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14

14-1 Introduction
14-2 Factorial Experiments
Design of Experiments
with Several Factors
CHAPTER OUTLINE
14-6 Blocking & Confounding in the 2k
design
14-3 Two-Factor Factorial Experiments 14-7 Fractional Replication of the 2k
14-3.1 Statistical analysis of the fixed- Design
effects model 14-7.1 One-half fraction of the 2k design
14-3.2 Model adequacy checking 14-7.2 Smaller fractions: The 2k-p fractional
14-3.3 One observation per cell factorial
14-4 General Factorial Experiments 14-8 Response Surface Methods and
14-5 2k Factorial Designs Designs
14-5.1 2k design
14-5.2 2k design for k ≥3 factors
14-5.3 Single replicate of the 2k design
14-5.4 Addition of center points to a 2k
design
Chapter 14 Table of Contents 1
Learning Objectives for Chapter 14
After careful study of this chapter, you should be able to do the
following:
1. Design and conduct engineering experiments involving several factors
using the factorial design approach.
2. Know how to analyze and interpret main effects and interactions.
3. Understand how the ANOVA is used to analyze the data from these
experiments.
4. Assess model adequacy with residual plots.
5. Know how to use the two-level series of factorial designs.
6. Understand how two-level factorial designs can be run in blocks.
7. Design and conduct two-level fractional factorial designs.
8. Test for curvature in two-level factorial designs by using center points.
9. Use response surface methodology for process optimization experiments.

Chapter 14 Learning Objectives 2


© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-1: Introduction

• An experiment is a test or series of tests.


• The design of an experiment plays a major role in
the eventual solution of the problem.
• In a factorial experimental design, experimental
trials (or runs) are performed at all combinations of
the factor levels.
• The analysis of variance (ANOVA) will be used as
one of the primary tools for statistical data analysis.

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-2: Factorial Experiments

Definition

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-2: Factorial Experiments

Figure 14-3 Factorial Experiment, no interaction.


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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-2: Factorial Experiments

Figure 14-4 Factorial Experiment, with interaction.


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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-2: Factorial Experiments

Figure 14-5 Three-dimensional surface plot of the data from Table 14-1, showing main
effects of the two factors A and B.
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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-2: Factorial Experiments

Figure 14-6 Three-dimensional surface plot of the data from Table 14-2, showing main
effects of the A and B interaction.
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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-2: Factorial Experiments

Figure 14-7 Yield versus reaction time with temperature constant at 155º F.

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-2: Factorial Experiments

Figure 14-8 Yield versus temperature with reaction time constant at 1.7 hours.

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-2: Factorial Experiments

Figure 14-9 Optimization


experiment using the one-factor-
at-a-time method.

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments

The observations may be described by the linear


statistical model:

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments

14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments

14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments

14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments
14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model
To test H0: i = 0 use the ratio

To test H0: j = 0 use the ratio

To test H0: ()ij = 0 use the ratio

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments
14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model

Definition

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments

14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments

14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model


Example 14-1

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments

14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model


Example 14-1

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments
14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model
Example 14-1

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments

14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model


Example 14-1

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments
14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model
Example 14-1

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments

14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model


Example 14-1

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments

14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model


Example 14-1

Figure 14-10 Graph of


average adhesion force
versus primer types for both
application methods.

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments

14-3.1 Statistical Analysis of the Fixed-Effects Model


Minitab Output for Example 14-1

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments

14-3.2 Model Adequacy Checking

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14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments

14-3.2 Model Adequacy Checking

Figure 14-11 Normal


probability plot of the
residuals from Example 14-1

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments

14-3.2 Model Adequacy Checking

Figure 14-12 Plot of residuals versus primer type.


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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments
14-3.2 Model Adequacy Checking

Figure 14-13 Plot of residuals versus application method.


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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-3: Two-Factor Factorial Experiments
14-3.2 Model Adequacy Checking

Figure 14-14 Plot of residuals versus predicted values.


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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-4: General Factorial Experiments

Model for a three-factor factorial experiment

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-4: General Factorial Experiments

Example 14-2

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Example 14-2

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14-4: General Factorial Experiments

Example 14-2

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14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

14-5.1 22 Design

Figure 14-15 The 22 factorial design.


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14-5: 2k Factorial Designs
14-5.1 22 Design

The main effect of a factor A is estimated by

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs
14-5.1 22 Design

The main effect of a factor B is estimated by

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs
14-5.1 22 Design

The AB interaction effect is estimated by

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

14-5.1 22 Design
The quantities in brackets in Equations 14-11, 14-12, and 14-
13 are called contrasts. For example, the A contrast is
ContrastA = a + ab – b – (1)

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

14-5.1 22 Design
Contrasts are used in calculating both the effect estimates and
the sums of squares for A, B, and the AB interaction. The
sums of squares formulas are

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs
Example 14-3

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs
Example 14-3

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

Example 14-3

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

Residual Analysis

Figure 14-16 Normal


probability plot of
residuals for the epitaxial
process experiment.

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

Residual Analysis

Figure 14-17 Plot of


residuals versus
deposition time.

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

Residual Analysis

Figure 14-18 Plot of


residuals versus arsenic
flow rate.

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

Residual Analysis

Figure 14-19 The standard deviation of epitaxial layer thickness at the four runs
in the 22 design.
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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

14-5.2 2k Design for k  3 Factors

Figure 14-20 The 23 design. 51


© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
Figure 14-21 Geometric
presentation of contrasts
corresponding to the main effects
and interaction in the 23 design. (a)
Main effects. (b) Two-factor
interactions. (c) Three-factor
interaction.

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

14-5.2 2k Design for k  3 Factors


The main effect of A is estimated by

The main effect of B is estimated by

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

14-5.2 2k Design for k  3 Factors


The main effect of C is estimated by

The interaction effect of AB is estimated by

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

14-5.2 2k Design for k  3 Factors


Other two-factor interactions effects estimated by

The three-factor interaction effect, ABC, is estimated by

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

14-5.2 2k Design for k  3 Factors

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

14-5.2 2k Design for k  3 Factors

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

14-5.2 2k Design for k  3 Factors

Contrasts can be used to calculate several quantities:

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

Example 14-4

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14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

Example 14-4

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14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

Example 14-4

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

Example 14-4

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

Example 14-4

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Example 14-4

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs
Residual Analysis

Figure 14-22 Normal


probability plot of residuals
from the surface roughness
experiment.

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs
14-5.3 Single Replicate of the 2k Design
Example 14-5

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14-5: 2k Factorial Designs
14-5.3 Single Replicate of the 2k Design
Example 14-5

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14-5: 2k Factorial Designs
14-5.3 Single Replicate of the 2k Design
Example 14-5

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14-5: 2k Factorial Designs
14-5.3 Single Replicate of the 2k Design
Example 14-5

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14-5: 2k Factorial Designs
14-5.3 Single Replicate of the 2k Design
Example 14-5

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14-5: 2k Factorial Designs
14-5.3 Single Replicate of the 2k Design
Example 14-5

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs
14-5.3 Single Replicate of the 2k Design
Example 14-5

Figure 14-23 Normal


probability plot of effects
from the plasma etch
experiment.

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs
14-5.3 Single Replicate of the 2k Design
Example 14-5

Figure 14-24 AD (Gap-Power) interaction from the plasma etch experiment.


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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs
14-5.3 Single Replicate of the 2k Design
Example 14-5

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs
14-5.3 Single Replicate of the 2k Design
Example 14-5

Figure 14-25 Normal


probability plot of residuals
from the plasma etch
experiment.

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

14-5.4 Additional Center Points to a 2k Design

A potential concern in the use of two-level


factorial designs is the assumption of the
linearity in the factor effect. Adding center
points to the 2k design will provide protection
against curvature as well as allow an
independent estimate of error to be obtained.
Figure 14-26 illustrates the situation.

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

14-5.4 Additional Center Points to a 2k Design

Figure 14-26 A 22 Design


with center points.

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

14-5.4 Additional Center Points to a 2k Design

A single-degree-of-freedom sum of squares for


curvature is given by:

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs
14-5.4 Additional Center Points to a 2k Design
Example 14-6

Figure 14-27 The 22 Design


with five center points for
Example 14-6.

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

14-5.4 Additional Center Points to a 2k Design


Example 14-6

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14-5: 2k Factorial Designs

14-5.4 Additional Center Points to a 2k Design


Example 14-6

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14-5: 2k Factorial Designs
14-5.4 Additional Center Points to a 2k Design
Example 14-6

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14-6: Blocking and Confounding in the 2k Design

Figure 14-28 A 22 design in two blocks. (a) Geometric view. (b) Assignment of the four runs to
two blocks.
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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-6: Blocking and Confounding in the 2k Design

Figure 14-29 A 23 design in two blocks with ABC confounded. (a) Geometric view. (b) Assignment
of the eight runs to two blocks.
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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-6: Blocking and Confounding in the 2k Design

General method of constructing blocks employs a


defining contrast

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14-6: Blocking and Confounding in the 2k Design

Example 14-7

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14-6: Blocking and Confounding in the 2k Design

Example 14-7

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Example 14-7

Figure 14-30 A 24 design in two blocks for Example 14-7. (a) Geometric view. (b) Assignment of
the 16 runs to two blocks.
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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-6: Blocking and Confounding in the 2k Design
Example 14-7

Figure 14-31 Normal probability plot of the


effects from Minitab, Example 14-7.

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-6: Blocking and Confounding in the 2k Design

Example 14-7

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14-7: Fractional Replication of the 2k Design

14-7.1 One-Half Fraction of the 2k Design

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14-7: Fractional Replication of the 2k Design

14-7.1 One-Half Fraction of the 2k Design

Figure 14-32 The one-half fractions of the 23 design. (a) The principal fraction, I = +ABC. (B)
The alternate fraction, I = -ABC
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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-7: Fractional Replication of the 2k Design

Example 14-8

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14-7: Fractional Replication of the 2k Design

Example 14-8

Figure 14-33 The 24-1 design for the experiment of Example 14-8.
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14-7: Fractional Replication of the 2k Design

Example 14-8

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14-7: Fractional Replication of the 2k Design

Example 14-8

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14-7: Fractional Replication of the 2k Design

Example 14-8

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14-7: Fractional Replication of the 2k Design

Example 14-8

Figure 14-34 Normal probability plot of the effects from Minitab, Example 14-8.
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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-7: Fractional Replication of the 2k Design
Projection of the 2k-1 Design

Figure 14-35 Projection of a 23-1 design into three 22 designs.


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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-7: Fractional Replication of the 2k Design

Projection of the 2k-1 Design

Figure 14-36 The 22 design obtained by dropping factors B and C from the plasma etch
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experiment in Example 14-8.
© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-7: Fractional Replication of the 2k Design
Design Resolution

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14-7: Fractional Replication of the 2k Design

14-7.2 Smaller Fractions: The 2k-p Fractional


Factorial

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14-7: Fractional Replication of the 2k Design
Example 14-9

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Example 14-8

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14-7: Fractional Replication of the 2k Design
Example 14-9

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14-7: Fractional Replication of the 2k Design

Example 14-9

Figure 14-37 Normal probability plot


of effects for Example 14-9.

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-7: Fractional Replication of the 2k Design

Example 14-9

Figure 14-38 Plot of AB (mold


temperature-screw speed)
interaction for Example 14-9.

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-7: Fractional Replication of the 2k Design

Example 14-9

Figure 14-39 Normal probability plot


of residuals for Example 14-9.

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14-7: Fractional Replication of the 2k Design

Example 14-9

Figure 14-40 Residuals versus


holding time (C) for Example 14-9.

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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-7: Fractional Replication of the 2k Design

Example 14-9

Figure 14-41 Average shrinkage and range of shrinkage in factors A, B, and C for Example
14-9.
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© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.
14-8: Response Surface Methods and Designs

Response surface methodology, or RSM , is a collection of mathematical


and statistical techniques that are useful for modeling and analysis in
applications where a response of interest is influenced by several variables
and the objective is to optimize this response.

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14-8: Response Surface Methods and Designs

Figure 14-42 A three-dimensional response surface showing the expected yield as a


function of temperature and feed concentration.

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14-8: Response Surface Methods and Designs

Figure 14-43 A contour plot of yield response surface in Figure 14-42.

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14-8: Response Surface Methods and Designs

The first-order model

The second-order model

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14-8: Response Surface Methods and Designs
Method of Steepest Ascent

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14-8: Response Surface Methods and Designs

Method of Steepest Ascent

Figure 14-44 First-order response


surface and path of steepest ascent.

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14-8: Response Surface Methods and Designs
Example 14-11

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14-8: Response Surface Methods and Designs

Example 14-11

Figure 14-45 Response surface plots for the first-order model in the Example 14-11.
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14-8: Response Surface Methods and Designs
Example 14-11

Figure 14-46 Steepest ascent experiment for Example 14-11.


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Important Terms & Concepts of Chapter 14
Analysis of variance (ANOVA) Normal probability plot of factor
Blocking & nuisance factors effects
Center points Optimization experiment
Central composite design Orthogonal design
Confounding Regression model
Contrast Residual analysis
Defining relation Resolution
Design matrix Response surface
Factorial experiment Screening experiment
Fractional factorial design Steepest ascent (or descent)
Generator 2k factorial design
Interaction Two-level factorial design
Main effect
Chapter 14 Summary 121
© John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, by Montgomery and Runger.

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