Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Untitled
Untitled
Bonnie J. Palifka
Tecnológico de Monterrey
32 Avenue of the Americas, New York NY 10013-2473, USA
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Dedication
Susan Rose-Ackerman: For my grandchildren
Introduction
1 What Is Corruption and Why Does It Matter?
Chapter 1 Appendix: Cross-Country Measures of
Corruption
Conclusions
16 Conclusions
References
Index
Figures
1.1 Corrupt interactions
AC
Anticorruption
ACA
Anticorruption Agency
ACINET
Arab Anti-Corruption and Integrity Network
ADR
Alternative Dispute Resolution
AML
Anti-Money Laundering
APA
Administrative Procedures Act, U.S.
AOC
Anti-Organized Crime
ASEAN
Association of Southeast Asian Nations
BAE
BAE Systems, a British defence and aerospace firm
BIT
Bilateral Investment Treaties
CEO
Chief Executive Officer
CCI
Control of Corruption Indicator, World Bank
CDU
Christian Democratic Union, the dominant right of center party in
Germany
CIA
Central Intelligence Agency
CPI
Corruption Perceptions Index, Transparency International
CoE
Council of Europe
CPIB
Corrupt Practices Investigations Bureau, Singapore
CREW
Center for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington
EITI
Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative
EU
European Union
FAR
Federal Acquisition Regulation
FATF
Financial Action Task Force
FBI
Federal Bureau of Investigation, U.S.
FCPA
Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, U.S.
FDA
Food and Drug Administration
FDI
Foreign Direct Investment
FIFA
Fédération Internationale de Football Association
FIU
Council of Europe’s Financial Intelligence Unit
FOIA
Freedom of Information Act, U.S.
GAO
Government Accountability Office, U.S.
GCB
Global Corruption Barometer
GDP
Gross Domestic Product
GES
Global Enterprise Survey
GGM
Good Governance in Medicine, World Health Organization
GNI
Gross National Income
GPA
The World Trade Organization’s Revised Agreement on Government
Procurement
GRECO
Group of States Against Corruption
HBMX
HSBC Mexico
ICAC
Independent Commission Against Corruption, Hong Kong
ICB
International Competitive Bidding
ICC
International Chamber of Commerce
ICJ
International Court of Justice
ICRG
International Country Risk Guide
ICSID
International Center for the Settlement of Investment Disputes, World
Bank
ICTs
Information and Communication Technologies
ICVS
International Crime Victimization Survey
IFI
International Financial Institution
ILOAT
International Labor Organization Administrative Tribunal
IMF
International Monetary Fund
INT
World Bank’s Department of Institutional Integrity, set up to detect
corruption and ethics violations at the World Bank
IP
Inspection Panel, World Bank
IPO
Initial Public Offering
KPMG
International consulting firms
LAPOP
Latin American Public Opinion Project
MDB
Multilateral Development Bank
NAFTA
North American Free Trade Agreement
NGO
Nongovernmental Organization
NPM
New Public Management
NRS
National Revenue Service, U.K.
OAS
Organization of American States
OCG
Organized Crime Group
OECD
Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development
OED
Operations Evaluations Department, the World Bank’s oversight agency
OPEC
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries
PAC (U.K.)
Public Accounts Committee
PAC (U.S.)
Political Action Committee
PAP
People’s Action Party, the party that has ruled Singapore since 1959
PEP
Politically Exposed Person
PETS
Public Expenditure Tracking Surveys
PR
Proportional Representation
PRI
Partido Revolucionario Institutional, the dominant political party in
Mexico during the twentieth century
PWYP
Publish What You Pay
REDD
Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation
RFD
Rural Free Delivery, U.S.
RICO
Racketeer-Influenced and Corrupt Organization Act, U.S.
STAR
Stolen Assets Recovery Initiative
SEC
Securities and Exchange Commission, U.S.
SME
small- and medium-sized enterprises
TI
Transparency International
UN
United Nations
UNAT
United Nations Administrative Tribunal
UNCAC
United Nations Convention against Corruption
UNCTAD
United Nations’ Comtrade
UNDP
United Nations Development Program
UNODC
United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime
UNTOC
United Nations Convention against Transnational Organized Crime
USAID
United States Agency for International Development
WB
World Bank
WBAT
World Bank Administrative Tribunal
WBES
World Bank Enterprise Survey
WEF
World Economic Forum
WGB
Working Group on Bribery in International Business, OECD
WHO
World Health Organization
WTO
World Trade Organization
WVS
World Victimization Survey
Preface to the First Edition (1999)
Economics is a powerful tool for the analysis of corruption. Cultural
differences and morality provide nuance and subtlety, but an economic
approach is fundamental to understanding where corrupt incentives are the
greatest and have the biggest impact. In an earlier book, Corruption: A
Study in Political Economy (1978), I made this point for an audience of
economists and technically trained political scientists. Twenty years later I
hope to broaden my audience and deepen my analysis with a new book that
focuses on the way corruption affects developing countries and those in
transition from state socialism.
The growing interest in institutional issues among development
economists encouraged me to make this effort. The study of corruption
forces scholars and policy makers to focus on the tension between self-
seeking behavior and public values. Those worried about the development
failures common throughout the world must confront the problem of
corruption and the weak and arbitrary state structures that feed it.
In 1995–6 I was a Visiting Research Fellow at the World Bank in
Washington, D.C. Because I previously had focused on public policy
problems in the United States and Western Europe, a year at the Bank was a
transformative experience. I learned a tremendous amount, not just by
reading whatever was at hand, but also by making shameless use of the
Bank’s e-mail system to track down lunch partners with complementary
interests. For a scholar used to sitting alone before a computer, the year in
Washington was a welcome and energizing change. It was fascinating to
work on a topic – corruption – that the Bank had treated with indirection in
the past. I began to collect euphemisms. People told me that when a review
of a program mentioned “governance problems,” “unexplained cost
overruns,” or “excessive purchase of vehicles,” this meant that corruption
and simple theft were a problem. A Bank staffer pointed out that complaints
about “excessive capital-labor ratios” in a report on Indonesia meant that
corruption was not only rife but costly.
My current work on corruption began before I arrived at the Bank and
was completed after I left, but my understanding was deepened by talking
to Bank staff who were living with the problem. Among the many
supportive and helpful staffers, I want particularly to thank Ladipo
Adamolekun, William Easterly, Daniel Kaufmann, Petter Langseth, John
Macgregor, Boris Pleskovic, Neil Roger, Sabine Schlemmer-Schulte,
Frederick Stapenhurst, and Michael Stevens. At the International Monetary
Fund I also had useful discussions with Nadeem Ul Haque, Paolo Mauro,
Vito Tanzi, and Caroline Van Rijckegham. All of them were helpful
sounding boards, but should not, of course, be implicated in any of my
conclusions. Obviously, the World Bank itself bears no responsibility for
my analysis and conclusions. I owe a special debt to Estelle James for
suggesting that I apply to the Bank as a Visiting Research Fellow and to
Michael Klein and his staff for providing me with a congenial institutional
home at the Bank’s unit on the Private Provision of Public Services located
in the Private Sector Development Department.
Soon after I arrived in Washington, James Wolfensohn, the World
Bank’s new president, sought to put the corruption issue openly on the
Bank’s agenda. Because my economic perspective fit well with the Bank’s
own efforts to define its role in this area, I was pleased to contribute
something to the internal debate – a debate that generated a 1997 paper,
Helping Countries Combat Corruption (World Bank 1997a), stating the
Bank’s position.
After leaving the Bank, I continued to work with Bank staff on the
corruption section of the World Development Report 1997, The State in a
Changing World (World Bank 1997b), and I wrote a paper entitled
“Corruption and Development” for the Annual World Bank Conference on
Development Economics in May 1997 (Rose-Ackerman 1998b). Both Brian
Levy and Sanjay Pradhan of the World Development Report team were
helpful critics and colleagues. In the spring of 1997 I presented the Philip
A. Hart Memorial Lecture at Georgetown Law School on the topic of “The
Role of the World Bank in Controlling Corruption” (Rose-Ackerman
1997c). I also wrote a background paper for the Management Development
and Governance Division of the Bureau for Policy and Programme Support
of the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP). The UNDP
issued this report as a discussion paper, entitled, Corruption and Good
Governance, in the summer of 1997 (UNDP 1997a), and the UNDP has
used this paper to develop its own thinking on the topic.
In 1994 I joined the board of the U.S. chapter of Transparency
International (TI), an international nonprofit organization devoted to
fighting corruption worldwide. This association has given me a valuable
opportunity to be on the inside of a growing international movement and to
keep up to date on worldwide developments. TI-USA’s executive director
Nancy Boswell has been a strong moral supporter of my research efforts as
has Fritz Heimann, the chair of TI-USA’s board. The international
organization – based in Berlin, but with chapters worldwide – has become a
global force and a clearinghouse for information on corruption. This is due
to the tireless efforts of TI Chairman Peter Eigen and TI’s first managing
director Jeremy Pope. Their efforts in raising the issue of corruption to
international consciousness have corresponded to my own scholarly and
policy interests. I thank TI for its interest in my own work, but obviously do
not implicate them in any of my specific proposals.
Several collaborative papers have contributed to the arguments I
develop here. Within the World Bank Group, I collaborated with Jacqueline
Coolidge of the Foreign Investment Advisory Service on a paper on
corruption in Africa and with Andrew Stone of the Private Sector
Development Department on a paper that analyzed World Bank surveys in
the Ukraine and Pakistan. At Yale University, I collaborated with Silvia
Colazingari, an advanced graduate student in political science, on a paper
on the Italian case. I thank all three co-authors for bringing their own
knowledge and insights to bear on topics that I could never have tackled on
my own.
Two Yale political science graduate students, Jonathan Rodden and
Sarah Dix, provided indefatigable research assistance on all manner of
diverse topics. I am extremely grateful for their help, patience, and good
humor. As always, I want to thank Gene Coakley and the Yale Law Library
staff for their help in tracking down sources and checking references. I am
also very grateful to my husband, Bruce Ackerman, who gave the
manuscript a careful and critical reading as it neared completion.
Over the last several years, as my thinking developed, I have presented
my work in a variety of places. I gave seminars at a number of universities
and colleges including the universities of Iowa, Michigan, Ottawa, and
Pennsylvania; the Kennedy School at Harvard University; New York
University; Northeastern University; Swarthmore College; Trinity College;
Yale University; and the Jerome Levy Institute at Bard College. Several
workshops at the World Bank and International Monetary Fund were
especially helpful. The Comparative Law and Economics Forum, of which I
am a member, was a congenial place to present several early draft papers. I
also presented papers at the American Economic Association Annual
Meeting in San Francisco; a workshop in Dakar, Senegal, sponsored by the
U.S. Agency for International Development; the Annual Meeting of the
American Society for International Law in Washington, D.C.; a conference
organized by the Institute for International Economics; several seminars and
workshops in Santiago, Chile, and Buenos Aires, Argentina during a visit
sponsored by the U.S. Information Agency; a meeting in Paris sponsored by
the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development and the
UNDP; a conference on institutional reform held at Instituto Tecnológico
Autónomo de México in Mexico City; the Latin American Law and
Economics Association Meeting in Buenos Aires; and a conference at the
Yale Center for International and Area Studies sponsored by the UNDP.
My research on this book was made possible by research stipends
provided by Yale Law School and by the Visiting Research Fellows
program of the World Bank. I am grateful to both institutions for their
support without implying any responsibility for the results.
Susan Rose-Ackerman
Preface to the Second Edition
Since Corruption and Government was published in 1999 interest in the
topic has burgeoned in both academic and policy circles. Empirical work, in
particular, has flourished, with scholars and policy analysts devising clever
techniques to measure and study a phenomenon that is inherently difficult
to observe. My own institutional, political-economy approach to the study
of corruption has, I believe, been vindicated by this newer work, and my
1999 and 1978 books have helped structure the debate. The 1999 book was
translated into seventeen languages and has engaged activists and scholars
worldwide. Nevertheless, even if the basic message of the book remains
relevant, the text is outdated in that it reports only on scholarship and
corruption scandals from before 1999. Thus, a second edition can inform
the ongoing debate. In Bonnie Palifka, I have found an excellent co-author.
Bonnie has taught courses based on the first edition for ten years at both
Tecnológico de Monterrey in Mexico and at Yale, and she has a teacher’s
perspective on what needs to be expanded or better explained.
This new edition not only assesses the empirical bases for claims made
in the first edition; in addition, it develops themes that were mentioned but
not fully explicated in that volume. The new material deals with debates
over the cultural bases of corruption, with corruption in democracies, and
with reconciling corruption control and democratic values. We have added
chapters on the criminal law, organized crime, and corruption in
postconflict societies, and expanded the material on international
anticorruption to reflect current developments. Corruption is a problem that
has existed since the rise of organized states and that is not likely to
disappear any time soon. However, some states and sectors have managed
to become less corrupt over time. Although we cannot claim to provide a
comprehensive literature review, we do try to incorporate new work that
asks what lessons can be learned from both successes and failures of
reform.
Susan Rose-Ackerman
Acknowledgments
Susan Rose-Ackerman: This new edition has benefitted from some of my
published work since 1999. Excerpts from that material have been
incorporated into some of the chapters, and I am indebted to Jana Kunicová,
Rory Truex, Tina Søreide, Paul Lagunes, Sinéad Hunt, and Miguel de
Figueiredo, who were my co-authors or research assistants on these
projects. I want particularly to acknowledge the work of Tina Søreide, Paul
Lagunes, and Paul Carrington for their co-editorship of volumes on
corruption and for help in organizing the conferences that led to the books.1
Gisela Mation, Leo O’Toole, Kyle Peyton, and Cait Unkovic provided
excellent research help connected with aspects of the second edition. I am
very grateful to the staff of the Yale Law Library, particularly Sarah Ryan,
for excellent assistance, and to my assistant Cathy Orcutt for help in
bringing the manuscript to completion. For financial help, I thank the Yale
Law School and the Wissenschaftskolleg zu Berlin, where I spent the
academic year 2014–15. Finally, I thank my husband, Bruce Ackerman,
who was, as always, an anchor of support and patience.
Bonnie J. Palifka: I would like to thank Susan for her generosity. I
have long admired her work; now I am honored to call her my mentor,
colleague, and friend. Part of this research was conducted while I was on
sabbatical from Tecnológico de Monterrey, January through December
2014, during which time I was a Visiting Research Fellow at the MacMillan
Center for International and Area Studies at Yale University: I am indebted
to both institutions. I am grateful to Alejandra Lee and Carlos Rojo for
research assistance. I would like to thank my students at Tecnológico de
Monterrey and Yale University, who are a constant source of inspiration.
Finally, I thank my family and friends for supporting me throughout this
project.
Figure 1.1.
Corrupt interactions.
Source: Authors.
Figure 1.3.
Sector-specific results from the 2013 Global Corruption
Barometer.
Figure 1.6.
Incidence (GCB) vs. expert opinion (CPI).
Figure 1.8.
Causes and consequences of corruption.
Source: Authors.
The cross-country data indicate underlying connections between the
quality of government institutions and other variables of interest. In spite of
the limitations of these data, they provide a useful place to begin.39 Figure
1.9 illustrates the simple relationship between the UN’s Human
Development Index – an index that takes account of education and health as
well as gross national income (GNI) per capita40 – and perceived levels of
corruption in 2012 as measured by TI’s CPI. This correlation is one of the
most robust relationships to have emerged out of corruption research
(Johnston 2005; Akçay 2006; Reiter and Steensma 2010; Askari, Rehman,
and Arfaa 2012). Countries with higher levels of corruption have lower
levels of human development. Similarly, as a rule, richer countries and
those with high growth rates have less reported corruption and better
functioning governments (Kaufmann 2003).
Figure 1.9.
Corruption and development.
5 The exact goal is for no more than 3% of the world’s population to live
on less than $1.25 per day measured in 2005 dollars. See, e.g., World
Bank, “Poverty Overview (Strategy),”
http://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/poverty/overview#2 (accessed
September 3, 2015).
8 Kilby (1995) found that World Bank projects were more likely to be
given an unsatisfactory rating by the Bank’s Operations Evaluation
Department if borrower countries ranked poorly on cross-country
measures of political instability and corruption. Knack and Keefer (1995)
examine the impact of government institutions on investment and
growth. Their measure of government quality combines indices of
corruption, expropriation risk, rule of law, risk of contract repudiation by
the government, and the quality of the bureaucracy. The study examined
rates of economic growth for 97 countries over the period from 1974 to
1989. The authors show that measures of the quality of government
institutions do at least as well as measures of political freedoms, civil
liberties, and the frequency of political violence in explaining investment
and growth.
9 The specific goal is “Goal 16: promote just, peaceful, and inclusive
societies.” The subgoal reads: “Substantially reduce corruption and
bribery in all its forms” and the goal also calls on countries to fight
money laundering and organized crime. United Nations, “Sustainable
Development Goals,”
http://www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment/sustainable-development-
goals/ (accessed July 22, 2015). We explain the importance of combatting
all three together in Chapter 9.
10 See, e.g., FATF, “High-risk and Non-cooperative Jurisdictions: FATF
Public Statement – June 26, 2015,” http://www.fatf-
gafi.org/publications/high-riskandnon-
cooperativejurisdictions/documents/public-statement-june-2015.html
(accessed September 27, 2015) for money laundering and financing
terrorists; U.S. Department of State, Directorate of Defense Trade
Controls, “Country Policies and Embargoes,”
http://www.pmddtc.state.gov/embargoed_countries/index.html (accessed
September 27, 2015) for arms trade; The White House, “Presidential
Determination – Major Drug Transit and Drug Producing Countries for
FY 2014,” http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-
office/2013/09/13/presidential-determination-major-drug-transit-and-
drug-producing-countri (accessed September 3, 2015).
11 The law is the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act of 1977, Pub. L. No. 95-
213, 91 Stat. 1494.
16 For a more complete list of terms with definitions and examples, see
Transparency International, 2009, “The Anti-Corruption Plain Language
Guide,” available at
http://files.transparency.org/content/download/84/335/file/2009_TIPlainL
anguageGuide_EN.pdf (accessed June 28, 2014).
22 Lord Kelvin is attributed with saying, “If you cannot measure it, you
cannot improve it.” (“Lord Kelvin/On Measurement,” Quotations,
http://zapatopi.net/kelvin/quotes/#meas, accessed September 27, 2015).
23 Each source index is normalized to have the same mean and standard
deviation; then a simple average is taken for each country and the CPI is
rescaled to fit the 0–100 range. The methodology was somewhat different
before 2012.
24 Before 2012, the CPI was reported on a scale from 0 to 10, where 0
meant “highly corrupt” and 10 meant “very clean.” TI is an international
organization that advocates for the control of corruption worldwide. TI
collects data from a number of different surveys that mostly report
business and expert perceptions of corruption in various countries. Some
of the underlying data sources also cover the overall business
environment – asking about red tape, the quality of the courts, etc.
Respondents rank the countries on a scale from excellent to poor. See
Transparency International, “Corruption Perceptions Index 2012:
Technical Methodology Note,”
http://www.transparency.org/files/content/pressrelease/2012_CPITechnic
alMethodologyNote_EMBARGO_EN.pdf (accessed September 27,
2015). For an assessment of the new methodology and comparison to the
old methodology, see Saisana and Saltelli (2012), available at
http://files.transparency.org/content/download/534/2217/file/JRC_Statisti
cal_Assessment_CPI2012_FINAL.pdf (accessed June 28, 2014).
25 The CCI and related information are available at the World Bank’s
Worldwide Governance Indicators site:
http://info.worldbank.org/governance/wgi/index.aspx#doc-sources
(accessed September 27, 2015).
26 For the data collected in 2013, the correlation between the two was
0.987. This is identical to the correlation between the CPI and the CCI
the previous year.
28 Note that TI uses the year the data are published (2014) while the
World Bank Institute uses the year the data were collected (2013) in
assigning a year to the data. Our graph refers to 2013, but the data from
TI are reported as the 2014 index.
29 Note that four of the five worst-ranked countries on either index are
postconflict countries; see Chapter 10.
31 Olken and Pande (2012: 482) cite the example of Indonesia where the
CPI fell (indicating increased corruption) after the fall of Suharto. They
speculate that the fall may have been the result of a freed press that was
better able to report scandals. Of course, another explanation is that the
populace became more aware of corruption as its nature changed from
centralized to competitive bribery (Chapter 8).
32 See Méndez and Sepúlveda (2009) for a model that demonstrates the
analytic differences among contrasting definitions. The three they
consider are (1) the number of corrupt deals, (2) the ratio of the number
of corrupted to total deals, and (3) the total volume of bribes collected by
corrupt officials. They show how one’s evaluation of the extent of
corruption can vary depending upon which metric is used in the context
of their formal model.
35 Global results are based on the entire sample: one response is one
vote. For most countries, the sample size is approximately 1,000.
Countries with significantly fewer respondents are Cyprus (570),
Luxembourg (502), Solomon Islands (509), and Vanuatu (505); those
with significantly more respondents are Afghanistan (2040), Australia
(1200), Bangladesh (1822), Bosnia and Herzegovina (2000), Brazil
(2002), Ghana (2207), Japan (1200), Korea (1500), Moldova (1211),
Pakistan (2451), Peru (1211), Romania (1143), and Ukraine (1200).
China is not represented. See
http://issuu.com/transparencyinternational/docs/2013_globalcorruptionba
rometer_en?e=2496456/3903358#search (accessed June 11, 2014).
37 We use the 2013 CPI so that both sets of data reflect the same year.
44 Shang-Jin Wei (2000) shows that corruption acts like a tax on FDI. An
increase in the corruption level from relatively clean Singapore to
relatively corrupt Mexico is the equivalent of an increase in the tax rate
of more than 20 percentage points. The statistical result holds for East
Asian countries as well as for the others in his sample. By contrast, Egger
and Winner (2006) find that corruption has a smaller effect on inward
FDI for large (GDP), more distant, and differently endowed countries,
arguing that China’s size and low wages overcome the negative effects of
corruption in attracting FDI from OECD countries.
46 Aidt, Dutta, and Sena (2008). Note, however, that Aidt (2009) argues
that any possible short-term individual gains are outweighed by long-
term macroeconomic growth concerns.
47 Méndez and Sepúlveda (2006) find that there is a quadratic
relationship between corruption and growth in free countries, with a
nonzero maximum. In nonfree countries, there is no statistically
significant relationship. Although their samples sizes are quite small,
their results complement other results that suggest interactions between
the corruption levels and other features of government.
48 For states in the United States, Apergis, Dincer, and Payne (2010) and
Chong and Gradstein (2007) also find a vicious circle between corruption
and inequality. Dincer and Gunalp (2012) find that corruption increases
inequality, but do not test for reverse causality. According to Dobson and
Ramlogan-Dobson (2012), informal sector employment reduces and may
even reverse the effect of corruption on inequality; they argue that for
this reason corruption is less costly in Latin America than in other
regions.
51 Early empirical works (Goel and Nelson 1998) found that government
size, measured as government spending, was positively correlated with
higher corruption, but others (Gerring and Thacker 2005; Glaeser and
Saks 2006) find no correlation. As Gerring and Thacker (2005: 250)
note: “big government is not necessarily corrupt government.” According
to Goel and Nelson (2011), the effect depends on how both corruption
and government size are measured.
52 See also Khan (1996, 2006) and Johnston (2005). In Johnston’s
typology influence markets are an example of venal corruption, while
systematic corruption is more characteristic of elite cartels and official
moguls. For oligarch and clan corruption both types of corruption are
likely to be pervasive.
53 There is also some skepticism over whether the corruption and GDP
growth correlation is driven by faulty measurement, specifically the use
of perceptions-based corruption measures. Treisman (2007b) and Aidt
(2009) find no strong relationship between corruption experiences and
growth.
55 See Glaeser and Goldin (2006a) for a series of essays on how the
United States reduced corruption during the late nineteenth and early
twentieth centuries.
Chapter 1 Appendix
Cross-Country Measures of Corruption
In this appendix, we explain some of the individual surveys that are used to
calculate the CPI and the CCI. This is not a comprehensive list of data
sources on corruption and related topics: there are now scores of data sets
ranging from cross-country to geographically specific, and more are
developed every year.1 The purpose of this appendix is merely to give an
overview by type.2
Table 1A.1 lists, in alphabetical order, the data sources used to
calculate the two composite indices for corruption corresponding to 2013,
as well as identifying the type of data and the number of countries included
in each. Almost all sources are expert opinion or executive surveys –
commonly referred to as “elite surveys”; only five public surveys are used
in calculating the CCI, three of which are regional. The sources used in
calculating each of these indices change from year to year, so this list
should not be considered definitive. Researchers and policy makers
interested in using these indices should consult the corresponding current
methodological documentation.
bThis source has been included in the CPI for some years but was not
part of the 2013 CPI.
Executive Surveys
As an example of an executive survey consider the World Economic Forum’s
Global Executive Survey, which contains more than 100 questions on topics
that relate to the business environment around the world. All responses are
subjective and range from a low (worst) of 1 to a high (best) of 7. The
question most related to corruption regards the cost to business of irregular
payments and bribes. The United States is ranked best of our six countries,
with a grade of 4.96, followed by China (3.98), India (3.50), Mexico (3.41),
and Russia (3.98). (Sudan is not included in the results.) The least corrupt
countries, according to this survey, are New Zealand (6.72), Finland (6.64),
Singapore (6.47), United Arab Emirates (6.43), and Qatar (6.35); the most
corrupt are Yemen (2.11), Guinea (2.12), Lebanon (2.23), and Mauritania and
Bangladesh (2.26 each). This survey focuses specifically on the cost to
businesses, so grand corruption may or may not be represented, and it does
not consider the effects of corruption on ordinary citizens. Many analysts
argue that such “elite” surveys are out of touch with the reality of corruption
to millions around the world. In response, those who use these data argue that
petty and grand corruption tend to be highly correlated overall in spite of
some clear exceptions.
Popular Surveys
As explained in the chapter popular polls address some of the issues raised by
composite indices and elite surveys. One such poll is the GCB, which
measures both perceptions of corruption and bribery incidence. Specifically,
the GCB asks respondents how much of a problem they think corruption is in
the public sector (1 = no problem; 5 = very serious problem). This same
question is asked regarding each of eight specific areas or services.
Respondents are also asked whether they used each of these services in the
past year and, if so, whether they paid at least one bribe in relation to that
service. These responses are used to calculate the incidence of bribery in each
service and overall.
The incidence of bribery in all eight services – the percentage of
respondents who used at least one service and paid at least one bribe for any
of the eight services – is presented by country in Figure 1A.1. Russia’s value
for this question is not included due to “validity concerns” according to the
Report, while China is not included in the survey at all. The United States is
the best-ranked of our six countries, at 7%, followed by Sudan (17%),
Mexico (33%), and India (54%). The least corrupt countries on this index are
Australia, Denmark, Finland, and Japan, tied at 1%; the most corrupt are
Sierra Leone (84%), Liberia (75%), Yemen (74%), and Kenya (70%). If one
disaggregates the data in Figure 1A.1 into high- and low-income households,
the incidence of corruption is higher for low-income households in all sectors
except for the judiciary (Rose-Ackerman and Truex 2013: 638, figure 3,
based on GCB 2010).4 Corruption, measured both by perceptions and by
actual experience, is more endemic to some sectors than others (Hunt 2006).
The figures report overall averages, but there is also considerable variation
across countries in the particularly vulnerable sectors. (Rose-Ackerman and
Truex 2013: 635–7 report the breakdown by country and sector from the
2010–11 GCB.) Also, note that, for most public services, at least twice as
many people think that corruption is a problem in the sector as have actually
paid a bribe. Furthermore, some categories, such as political parties or
legislators, do not typically collect payoffs from ordinary citizens and may,
instead, pay voters to get their support. If they are corrupted, the sources of
funds are wealthy individuals or businesses.
Figure 1A.1.
Global Corruption Barometer 2013: Incidence of bribery, by
country.
Source: Based on data from Transparency International, Global
Corruption Barometer 2013. TI data used with permission.
Comparing Surveys
Table 1A.2 compares our six countries in terms of several of the surveys we
have described. In order to make this comparison, the percentile rank has
been calculated by dividing the nominal rank by the number of countries in
each case (the fraction provided for each country in the graphs). From this
table, we can see that the United States generally lies between the 10th
percentile and the 40th percentile, always better than the other four countries,
but never among the best countries in the world. Mexico and China tend to be
near each other, almost always in the bottom half of the distribution, with
China ranked somewhat better than Mexico. The Russian Federation ranks
consistently below the 70th percentile. India’s position varies from the 30th
percentile to the 86th, straddling the middle of the distribution, sometimes
better but sometimes worse than Mexico and China, and generally better than
the Russian Federation.
Country TI’s
WB’s
ICRG WEF’s GCB:
GCB: GCB:
CPI CCI GES Corruption Paid Were
is a a asked
problem bribe to
pay a
bribe
Sudan is a bit of a puzzle. The percentile ranks for Sudan go the full
range, from almost the best country in the world to the very worst, depending
on the index used. Although this country ranks dead last on the International
Country Risk Guide (which measures the threat of corruption to political
security), and very close to the bottom on both the CPI and the CCI, only
38% of citizens reported paying a bribe on the GCB, only 56% of them report
having been asked for a bribe, and Sudan ranks better than any of the other
five countries on the GCB’s question regarding how serious a problem
corruption is for the country. Thus, Sudan ranks poorly on business and
political measures, the “elite surveys,” but well in popular polls. Still, an
incidence rate of 38% or 56%, as reported by citizens, is high enough that it
should impose a burden. It is possible that the size of the bribes is small, or
that they have cultural value, so that they are not seen as a problem.
(Compared to civil war, corruption may indeed seem to be a small problem.)
Corruption may even be perceived as beneficial, if it obviates state-imposed
costs. Furthermore, the question is open to interpretation. “To what extent do
you think that corruption is a problem in the public sector of this country?”
could mean to one person, “How frequently must you pay bribes?” to
another, “How much does bribery cost you?” and to yet another, “When
corruption occurs, how much trouble does it cause in this country?” The
cross-survey discrepancies also suggest that grand corruption is more
damaging than petty corruption in Sudan, with government officials
imposing higher demands on wealthy firms, especially multinational firms,
than on the country’s own poor citizens. Taken together, the results may show
that corrupt officials have little impact on people’s daily lives. Individuals
and small businesses may make small payoffs, but they do not see that
practice as a problem because officials have little extortionary power.5
4 Hunt and Laszlo (2012) refute this for samples of Peru and Uganda,
where they find that the poor bribe pay a larger percentage of their income
in bribes, but the rich are more likely to use public services and to bribe
when they do.
Corruption as an Economic
Problem
2
Bureaucratic Corruption
◈
Similar corrupt incentives exist if the government does not pay its bills
on time. This may occur for several reasons: there may be inadequate funds,
disbursement may require legislative or other authorization, or civil
servants responsible for disbursement may be overloaded. Another
possibility is that those responsible for payment intentionally delay in order
to extort bribes (Paterson and Chaudhuri 2007: 172), or to invest the funds
temporarily for personal gain (Klitgaard 1988: 20). In Argentina, for
example, insurance companies bribed to get delayed claims paid by a state-
run reinsurance company. Eventually the scheme degenerated into a system
of outright fraud against the state organized by corrupt state officials and
intermediaries, in which the private companies manufactured false claims
and colluded with corrupt officials to be reimbursed by the state company
(Moreno Ocampo 1995). In Mexico, the petroleum company Pemex
violated its contract with tanker truck companies when it stopped adjusting
the prices paid for its services in 2009; companies, nevertheless, continued
to provide the service for five years in expectation of pay, despite operating
at a loss.37 The government of Venezuela has accumulated a debt to firms
worth billions of U.S. dollars, refusing to pay out the scarce currency and
further feeding incentives for firms to resort to corruption.38
In highly corrupt countries managers spend many hours dealing with
state officials (Fries, Lysenko, and Polanec 2003). In surveys of business
people, post-transition Ukraine is an extreme case, with proprietors and
senior managers spending an average of 30% of their time dealing with
officials in 1996 (Kaufmann 1997). The more procedures and the longer the
time necessary to open a business, the greater the incentive to corruption
(Buscaglia and van Dijk 2003). According to the Global Competitiveness
Report 2013–2014, the time to start a business ranges from one day in New
Zealand to 694 days in Suriname (Schwab 2014).39 Figure 2.1 reveals a
direct relationship between the time to open a business and the cost of
bribes to business, from the same report. The cost of bribes is rated from 1
to 7, where 1 indicates that bribery is frequent and 7, that bribery almost
never occurs. Thus, as shown in the graph, the more days it takes to open a
business, the worse the country ranks in bribery.40 Of course, the figure
shows (weak) correlation, not causation.41 Perhaps the level of red tape is
determined by other factors beyond the search for payoffs, but the figure at
least suggests that a vicious cycle may exist where red tape encourages
bribery and the expectation of bribes encourages red tape.
Figure 2.1.
Cross-country relationship between days to start a business
and the frequency of bribery by firms.
Source: Elaborated with data from Klaus Schwab, ed. The Global
Competitiveness Report 2013–2014, World Economic Forum.Note:
Suriname was excluded from the graph as an extreme outlier.
III. Bribes to Reduce Costs
Governments impose regulations and levy taxes. Individuals and firms may
pay for relief from these costs. We first consider corrupt incentives in
regulatory programs, followed by corruption in the collection of taxes and
duties.
A. Regulatory Programs
Under public regulatory programs, firms may pay to get a favorable
interpretation of the rules or to lighten the regulatory load. Rules and
regulations can be used by corrupt officials as a means of enriching
themselves. Everywhere rules are bent in return for payoffs (see Box 2.1).
The loci of payoffs are remarkably similar throughout the world considering
the large differences in culture, economic conditions, and political
organization. Payoffs occur in business licensing, in the inspection of
construction sites and buildings, and in the regulation of environmental
hazards and workplace safety. Whenever regulatory officials have
discretion, an incentive for corruption exists.
Box 2.1.
The Market for Bent Rules
3 The report cites as the source of this figure Jack Bologna, Joseph Wells,
and Robert Lindquist, The Accountant’s Handbook of Fraud and
Commercial Crime, Wiley and Sons, 1993.
5 Data from the Price Reform Group of the Finance and Trade Institute
of China’s Academy of Social Science. Printed in Zhongguo Wujia
(China Price), Beijing, October 1990. For an example see “China’s
Paragon of Corruption,” New York Times, March 6, 1998. On corruption
in China in that period see Gong (1993), Hao and Johnston (1995), and
Johnston and Hao (1995).
15 BBC News, “India Chief Minister Resigns Amid War Widow Scam
Probe,” November 9, 2010, http://www.bbc.com/news/world-south-asia-
11715855 (accessed July 12, 2014); BBC News South Asia, “India’s
Corruption Scandals,” April 18, 2012, http://www.bbc.com/news/world-
south-asia-12769214 (accessed July 12, 2014).
16 Diallo (2013) asserts that some teachers in Niger have purchased their
college degrees.
38 Kejal Vyas, “Venezuela cumple con Wall Street, pero en casa les debe
a muchas firmas,” El Norte (The Wall Street Journal Americas), February
13, 2014, Negocios 4.
50 See Alexei Barrionuevo and Liz Robbins, “1.5 Million Displaced after
Chile Quake,” New York Times, February 28, 2010,
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/28/world/americas/28chile.html
(accessed July 21, 2014).
66 Marc Lacey, “Mexico Puts New Officers on the Job at Customs,” New
York Times, August 16, 2009,
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/08/17/world/americas/17mexico.html
(accessed October 9, 2015).
68 See Benjamin Weiser and Marc Santora, “In 2nd Alleged Bribe
Scheme, a Legislator Was in on the Case,” New York Times, April 4,
2013, http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/05/nyregion/assemblyman-eric-
stevenson-is-accused-of-taking-bribes.html (accessed July 29, 2014) and
Benjamin Weiser, “Assemblyman From the South Bronx Is Convicted on
Bribery and Extortion Charges,” New York Times, January 13, 2013,
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/01/14/nyregion/assemblyman-from-the-
south-bronx-is-convicted-on-bribery-and-extortion-charges.html
(accessed July 29, 2014).
70 In some countries, the police or judiciary tied for first place with at
least one other institution. Transparency International, “Global
Corruption Barometer 2013,”
http://www.transparency.org/gcb2013/results (accessed November 6,
2011).
72 Center for the Study of Democracy (2010: 15) and Clifford Krauss,
“Corruption in Uniform: The Long View; Bad Apple Shake-Ups: A 20-
Year Cycle,” New York Times, July 8, 1994,
http://www.nytimes.com/1994/07/08/nyregion/corruption-in-uniform-
the-long-view-bad-apple-shake-ups-a-20-year-police-cycle.html
(accessed July 29, 2014).
82 The act is the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, 15 U.S.C. §§ 78m(b) &
(d)(1) & (g)-(h), 78dd-1, 78dd-2, 78ff (a)(c) (1988 & Supp. IV 1992). For
a review of the case law see Bixby (2010) and Thomas (2010).
Figure 3.1.
Selected cost overruns.
The problem with this measure is that, although some cost overruns
are indeed caused by corruption, others are the result of unpredictable
events, incompetence, and simple miscalculation. Thus, as most authors
who use this methodology are quick to point out, one ought not necessarily
to conflate cost overruns with corruption. Furthermore, Flyvbjerg and
Molloy (2011) argue that cost overruns may be the result of strategic
underbidding or manipulation by public officials to gain approval for their
favored projects. However, if that occurs, the practice can provide an
opening to hide corrupt kickbacks, as cost overruns typically require less
oversight than the assignment of contracts.
Furthermore, truly systemic corruption may be incorporated into the
contract price so that costs are inflated before the project begins. One
cannot observe the impact of corruption in such cases unless one can
benchmark costs against those incurred in honest polities or, at least,
relative to other deals in same market. Thus, an anticorruption campaign in
hospital procurement in Buenos Aires evaluated each hospital’s contract
prices against the city average. The result was a 15% drop in purchasing
prices (Di Tella and Schargrodsky 2003). Corruption that shows up in the
initial price has been documented in many specific cases.15
We begin with the case of procurement and outline the way corruption
both raises costs for the government and distorts the choices of top officials
and contracting firms. We then concentrate on the problems of corruption in
the award of concessions and the privatization of state-owned assets. Many
corrupt incentives are similar in the three cases of procurement,
concessions, and privatizations, but we also stress the distinctive features of
corruption in each category of grand corruption.
I. Procurement
Some argue that bribery to obtain procurement contracts works like any
other auction. However, this will seldom be true because the very existence
of a corrupt system affects the nature of the projects subject to bid as well
as the number of firms willing and able to bid. Both top officials and firms
may modify their behavior in order to maximize overall corrupt benefits
from infrastructure projects and to increase the share that they can
appropriate. The result may be a distorted and inefficient choice of projects
up front and of their implementation over time.
Although our focus is on contracts for infrastructure and capital goods,
such as armaments, not all procurement and contracting scandals involve
such purchases. Goods that are used up in consumption are prime
candidates for payoffs because it may be difficult ex post to discover
whether or not they actually were delivered. In Malawi, for example,
auditors found that millions of dollars of nonexistent stationary had been
“purchased” by the Government Press Fund.16 In Kenya, the government
lost about $1.5 million through irregular drug procurement by the Ministry
of Health.17
Grand corruption in procurement arises from the incentives of officials
and private business as they jockey for advantage and divide the gains. The
first and simplest case is one in which the basic parameters of the deal –
both cost and characteristics – are known ahead of time, and bribes are used
to give firms a greater share of the net gains. Second, corrupt officials may
provide an excessive budget so that the bribe payments are hidden in the
extra funds, which must be provided by domestic taxpayers both at present
and in the future.18 Comparing outputs with inputs, highly corrupt polities
will appear less productively efficient than more honest ones even if the
actual production processes are similar. Thus, Golden and Picci (2005)
compare physical infrastructure in the Italian regions to cumulative public
expenditures (controlling for geographic factors that influence the cost of
public works construction). They use this methodology to present a
“corruption index” for the 20 regions of Italy that is essentially a rough
measure of the productivity of public spending on basic infrastructure, such
as roads and hospital buildings – in their index the south appears to be
generally more corrupt than the north.
Third, corruption may modify the nature of the project in ways that
enrich the corrupt firm and its public-sector collaborators, hide the illegal
payoffs, and create future payoff opportunities. Officials may also favor
firms that have a strong track record as corrupt collaborators, thus limiting
competition. On the other side of such deals, firms may adjust their
behavior in an environment where high-level corruption is the rule. Some
firms may simply exit the market, making it easier for the remaining firms
to cartelize and form a bidding ring or otherwise limit competition (on
Nigeria see Ufere et al. 2012). Others may take account of the risks of
operating in a corrupt environment by modifying their investment strategies
to limit officials’ ability to extract rents.
In practice, it is difficult to pull apart these disparate effects, but one
can locate instances in which one or another effect seems to dominate. We
suppose that the first case will not often arise in high-level corruption
because of the power of top officials to modify the rules of the game. This
is one area where high- and low-level corruption are likely to differ. Many
corrupt low-level officials must take basic program parameters as given.
The second case is common. There are numerous studies of overpriced
procurement contracts and of underpriced concessions, land sales, and
privatized firms or other assets. In such cases the winning firm may, indeed,
be the most efficient because it is able to pay the largest bribe, but the
benefits to the state are sharply reduced. Even if the corrupt top officials
“get things done,” taxpayers overpay for infrastructure and the treasury
receives too little for giving up valuable resources and assets. The third
category of effects includes a large number of different modifications in
state practice. We merely catalogue some of these possibilities and show
how they can distort public choices. We then discuss how the behavior of
firms can also lead to inefficient outcomes as they maneuver around and
through demands for corrupt payoffs.
A. The Strategies of Corrupt Top Officials
First, consider the officials’ decision calculus. The impact of high-level
corruption goes beyond the mere scale of public investment and lost
revenue for the public budget. Top officials may select projects and make
purchases with little or no macroeconomic rationale. For example, if
kickbacks are easier to obtain on capital investments and input purchases
than on labor, rulers will favor capital-intensive projects irrespective of their
economic justification. One empirical study demonstrates that high levels of
corruption are associated with higher levels of public investment as a share
of GDP (and lower levels of total investment and FDI). More corrupt
countries spend relatively less on operations and maintenance and have
lower quality infrastructure (Tanzi and Davoodi 1997).19 Corrupt rulers
favor capital-intensive public projects over other types of public
expenditures20 and will favor public investment over private investment.
They will frequently support “white elephant” projects with little value in
promoting economic development.21 For example, in Spain there has been
so much construction of transportation infrastructure (some of inferior
quality) that supply exceeds demand in many places, resulting in high costs
for the government in the form of subsidies. The winners were politically
connected construction firms; the losers are Spanish taxpayers (Bel,
Estache, and Foucart 2014).
The demand for cement is one tip-off. In Nigeria in 1975 the military
government ordered cement that totaled two-thirds of the estimated needs
of all of Africa and that exceeded the productive capacity of Western
Europe and the Soviet Union. The price exceeded the international market
price by a wide margin, presumably to make room for kickbacks, and
freight companies collected compensation for having to wait in the clogged
Lagos harbor. The cost to Nigeria was $2 billion or one-fourth of 1975 oil
revenues (Lundahl 1997: 40). In Italy the annual per capita consumption of
cement has been double that of the United States and triple that of Germany
and Britain. A review of the “Clean Hands” corruption cases in Italy reveals
that many construction projects were poorly conceived, overpriced, and had
little or no justification beyond their ability to produce kickbacks (della
Porta and Vannucci 1997a: 518–19, 523).
For large, capital-intensive projects the time path of net corrupt
benefits may be quite different from the pattern of net social benefits.
Suppose, as seems likely, that the benefits of bribery are relatively more
concentrated in the present than those of the overall project. At least some
of the bribes are paid up front, before the project has even begun. Thus, in
Nigeria, according to one study, the standard is that 25% of the bribes are
paid up front (Ufere et al. 2012). Even if the rulers and the populace
discount the future at the same rate,22 the rulers will support projects and
policies that have an inefficient time path of net social benefits. For
example, with major construction projects, a country’s leaders will extract
bribes in the present and may experience few of the future costs of shoddy
workmanship or an excessive debt burden. If there is no chance of
reelection, the leaders may be long gone by the time these issues become
apparent.
Furthermore, corrupt officials may well have a higher discount rate
than the country’s citizens. Even a ruler who has good short-term control
over society may not have secure long-term tenure. The ruler’s very
venality may make him or her insecure and subject to overthrow. This
insecurity induces the ruler to steal more, making him or her even more
insecure, and so forth. As a consequence, he or she will have a relatively
high discount rate for government projects and will support projects with
quick short-term payoffs and costs spread far into the future. Paradoxically,
an active prodemocracy movement that destabilizes an incumbent autocrat
can lead to an increase in corruption and inefficient rent-generating policies
as the ruler reacts to his or her new insecure status.23 In short, corrupt rulers
are likely to support an inefficient time path of social benefits and costs.
B. Investors’ Strategies
Now consider the decision-making calculus of outside investors. The ruler’s
corruption introduces an additional element of uncertainty into the
investment climate. Officials may find it difficult to make credible
commitments to stay bought, and the state may be open to domination by
criminal interests that can impose additional costs on legitimate business in
the form of demands for protection money. Lacking credible commitment
mechanisms, such as independent law enforcement institutions, corrupt
autocrats may have difficulty convincing investors to make capital
investments because they may fear expropriation or confiscatory tax and
regulatory systems. Having paid a bribe in the past, the firm is vulnerable to
extortionary demands in the future up and down the government hierarchy.
Its past corruption makes it subject to blackmail. Even if the ruler does not
favor a distorted net benefit stream and does not discount the future
differently from the nation’s citizens, the very existence of such a person as
head of state influences the calculations of investors. The only investors
willing to commit funds may be those with a short-term, get-rich-quick
attitude.
C. Nodes of Corruption
In short, officials’ and investors’ interests combine to produce an inefficient
time path of public benefits and costs. The pattern of government
contracting and nature of the production functions for infrastructure are
likely to be distorted by systematic grand corruption. The problem is deeper
and more intractable than simple cost inflation to hide kickbacks.
The ruler may favor projects with short-term benefits (for him), and
these may be the only type of project of interest to domestic or
multinational investors. The exceptions are countries where an autocratic
ruler has been able to make a credible commitment to stay bought (and stay
in power), thus giving investors confidence. Such countries can experience
high levels of investment and growth although the pattern of investments
across sectors is likely to remain distorted. This appears to have been the
case in Libya where Colonel Qaddafi frequently required foreign investors
either to pay “consulting fees” or “signing bonuses” to him or to partner
with his sons’ companies. Qaddafi hoarded cash reserves against the day he
might face new sanctions (and reportedly used some of it to pay
mercenaries during his overthrow).24
Indonesia under President Suharto is a case in which many
investments, although inefficiently costly, did, at least, take place. In the
later years of Suharto’s regime, however, as the issue of succession arose,
the rent-seeking behavior of Suharto’s children and cronies increased,
fueled by their worries about the future (Schwarz 1994: 133–61; Campos
and Root 1996). Fisman and Miguel (2008) document that news of
Suharto’s health problems led to declines in the stock market value of firms
closely connected to his family and associates.
Bribes will be extracted partly from returns that would otherwise flow
to the government and partly from the profits of the winning firm. If the
corrupt official has more leverage than the honest one, he or she will be
able to extract a larger share of the profits. In addition, the corrupt official
may be able to structure the deal to maximize the profits available to share
between officials and the bidding firm. In so doing, values may be
sacrificed that an honestly negotiated contract would include.
There are several nodes in the procurement process where corrupt
benefits can be created. Figure 3.2 outlines four stages in which officials
and firms can collude to generate corrupt rents: specification, prebid, bid
evaluation, and postbid.25
Figure 3.2.
Procurement process.
First, firms and officials can select or design projects with lucrative
corrupt opportunities even if they are of little social value. Officials may
seek one-of-a-kind projects that are difficult for outsiders to monitor or
evaluate, and seek projects that can generate big payoffs up front that result
in low long-term social benefits. Firms with political connections or
insiders in the procurement process induce officials to underestimate
environmental and social impacts or overestimate demand (Paterson and
Chaudhuri 2007: 168–70; Flyvbjerg and Molloy 2011). In Nigeria, for
example, firms reportedly design overpriced projects that are nominally in
line with announced development goals, and then convince government
agencies (using bribes and promises of kickbacks) to set aside inflated
budgets for such projects (Ufere et al. 2012). In Spain, due to inordinate
overestimation of demand for freight rail and roads, “[a]ll the concessions
awarded since the late 1990s, are on the border of bankruptcy.” The
overconstruction of infrastructure was most likely fueled by Spain’s
extraordinary subsidies to the sector (Bel, Estache, and Foucart 2014: 132–
3). Numerous projects all over the world have either cost much more than
forecast or their benefits have fallen far short (Flyvbjerg and Molloy 2011).
Second, once a project has been proposed, a firm may pay to be
included in the list of prequalified bidders and to limit competition.26 It may
also pay for inside information, such as others’ bids, that will help it win the
contract.27 For example, in Singapore, a polity with a generally clean
reputation, a senior official of the Public Utility Board was paid to reveal
confidential information about tenders. The case led to the blacklisting of
five major multinationals, and the official received a fourteen-year jail
term.28 In Mexico, a contract to provide window blinds for a government
high-rise was won by a bid just under the maximum; other firms claimed
that the job could have been done for half the cost.29 In one Asian country,
the winning bid for an urban road construction project was just $1 under the
official – presumably confidential – cost estimate (Ware et al. 2007: 312).
In the extreme, bribes may induce officials to structure the bidding
specifications so that the corrupt firm is the only qualified supplier. In
Hungary, for example, a call for bids to purchase 100 cars for the National
Tax and Customs authority specified the car’s length to within three
centimeters; the engine and trunk sizes were also designed to eliminate
competitors (Jávor and Jancsics 2013). If such transparent manipulation is
not possible, a firm may collude with potential competitors to submit high
bids so that bidding rules are seemingly being followed.
Alternatively, bribery may succeed in circumventing competitive
bidding requirements. In the United States, former Army National Guard
officers bribed active officers to avoid competitive bidding for marketing
and advertising contracts. Taking advantage of a law that bypasses
competitive bidding if the contract is awarded to a minority-owned
business, individuals in two separate cases bribed to have contracts awarded
to minority-owned businesses, then their own (nonminority) businesses did
the work and received some of the pay (apparently through
subcontracting).30 In one case, $4.5 million in contracts were awarded in
exchange for 15% of the profits; in the other, a $30,000 bribe was paid for a
contract worth $3.7 million.31
Some tasks may be intentionally omitted from the specifications,
allowing for lower bids. A 10% to 15% “commission” for information that
allows bidders to leave tasks out of the contract – and later submit variation
orders for these “unforeseen” tasks, running over the officially awarded
budget – is standard in the petroleum industry (Andvig 1995: 306).
Third, a firm may pay to be selected as the winning contractor among
those who submit bids. Most sealed bidding procedures used for large
infrastructure projects award the contract to the lowest “responsible” bidder.
However, in corrupt procurement that condition may be irrelevant because
the bidding firms collude. In other cases, the favored firm marks its
envelope discreetly, and the procurement officer opens it last, “reading” a
bid that is lower than all the others. The “winning” bid is filled in later.
Competitors may collude to rotate contracts at inflated prices, taking
turns meeting the requirements.32 In Hungary:
The typical trick is that your offer will be ranked as the second best
because its quality is good but it is too expensive. One of your friends
will win the tender with a cheap offer but immediately he will declare
a withdrawal from the project. Then the second applicant, you, will do
the job. If you pay to Dr. 30%, you buy the whole tender with its all
[sic] mechanisms. He guarantees the votes of the local assembly
members to select your firm....
Bidding rings in Korea used several methods to determine the winner and
the winning price on projects for the U.S. Army in the 1960s and early
1970s; these included lottery, consensus, and competitive bidding for the
right to win the project at the established price (Klitgaard 1988: 139–43).
Such collusion can occur without any bribes paid to government officials,
but, obviously, buying their complicity can be valuable. Ariane Lambert-
Mogiliansky (2011) shows how firms can organize a cartel and pay off the
procurement official to keep the collusive arrangement operating, giving
him or her a share of the excess profits from the project. If a reform simply
targets the payment of kickbacks, the official has less power to extort
payoffs, but the firms can still collude to share the market. If corruption is
attacked with no concern for collusion, there may be no social benefits from
a crackdown. An anticorruption drive might simply make the cartel cheaper
and more lucrative to organize, so that the firms still present a united front
that forces the state to continue overpaying for public projects. Therefore,
the state must target the risks of corruption and collusion simultaneously –
both in the reform of overall procurement procedures and in the
implementation of specific procurement projects.
Sometimes coordinated bidding is the work of the procurement official
providing inside information: when the difference between the lowest and
second-lowest bid is large, the official may propose that the lowest bidder
submit an upward-revised bid before the bid deadline; the firm and the
procurement official share the extra rents generated when the lowest bidder
is selected (Ware et al. 2007: 306–7). Andvig (1995) refers to this practice
as “uplift.”
In some cases, the winning bidder is a shadow company that does not
do the work itself, but subcontracts to other, nominally competing,
companies that collude with the winner, which takes a percentage of the
inflated contract. Sometimes these shadow companies are owned by the
public official responsible for the procurement decision (Ware et al. 2007:
304–5). In the nineteenth-century United States, for example, it was
common for legislators to own or hold stock in transportation and public
works companies (Glaeser 2004).
Of course, firms may try to win a contract using methods that distort
competition but fall short of corruption. An important borderline case is the
use of “offsets,” especially in defense procurement. These are contract
provisions that promise to provide specific benefits to the contracting
country by producing some goods and services locally. These may be
subcontracts for parts or maintenance that directly contribute to the
fulfillment of the main contract, even though the local supplier may not be
the least-cost firm. However, they also include promises to provide
financial and other help to local businesses with no direct connection to the
core of the contract. In defense contracts for specialized equipment, they
can easily become a way to hide corrupt dealings with firms that have
strong links to powerful political figures. To the extent such offsets are
substantial and common, they can undermine competition in the main
contract and be as harmful as outright payoffs if they inflate costs and
distort domestic priorities.34
Fourth, once a firm wins the contract, it may pay to get inflated prices,
to do “extra” (allegedly unanticipated) work, or to skimp on quality.35 On
the other side of the deal, officials may extort extra payments from the firm
for subsequent regulatory approvals and other benefits. Under a
construction contract, the high briber may anticipate bribing building
inspectors to approve work that does not meet the nation’s safety standards.
In fact, the expectation of a long-term ongoing relationship may be part of
the appeal of signing with a corrupt firm in the first place. Alternatively, the
corrupt firm may hold back some promised bribes as a way to guarantee
performance by the country’s officials. Thus a firm might sign a contract to
deliver cement to a road-building agency but only pay bribes when
payments are received from the public authority. Frequently, such
arrangements take the nominal form of consulting contracts with payments
tied to the receipt of funds under the contract. The “consultant” may be a
government employee or, more commonly, an intermediary.
A winning bidder may make an unrealistically low bid up front and
then demand additional payments ex post or simply fail to deliver. These
extra payments may be the deliberate result of the manipulation of the bid
specifications, as we have already explained. The winning contractor might
be the one with the lowest probability of securing a contract elsewhere
under competitive conditions. Here the problem is not overpaying for
infrastructure, but rather seeming to underpay in the short run followed by
excess costs ex post. For example, in Naples, Italy, in 2008, the firm that
won the bid to build a waste disposal facility failed to meet the established
deadline. “The contract had been won through unorthodox practices and
with a totally unrealistic bid, offering the required service for extremely
low, therefore dubious, prices. The ineptitude of the company contracted led
to the infamous ‘waste emergency’” (Center for the Study of Democracy
2010: 162). In early-nineteenth-century New York, the Manhattan Water
Company exploited loopholes in its franchise to go into banking rather than
water delivery (Glaeser 2004: 149).
Is there anything distinctive about these procurement cases other than
the size of the deals? At one level, they appear analogous to cases in which
government disburses a scarce benefit. As before, systemic corruption can
introduce inefficiencies that reduce competitiveness. It may limit the
number of bidders, favor those with inside connections over the most
efficient candidates, limit the information available to participants, and
introduce added transactions costs.36 However, the scale of the corrupt deal
and the involvement of high-level officials (and, possibly, politicians)
introduce new concerns. First, if top officials, including the head of state,
are concerned primarily with maximizing personal gain, they may favor an
inefficient level, composition, and time path of investment. Second,
investors’ decisions may be affected by the fact that they are dealing with
corrupt political leaders.
We turn now to concessions and privatizations. Many of the same
issues we have laid out recur here, so they are treated briefly in what
follows, but we also isolate some distinctive features of each. We conclude
with a short section on commercial bribery that involves private firms only.
II. Concessions
Corrupt gains can also be extracted from government concessions that give
private firms the right to exploit resources for a period of time, often on
public land. Rulers may create fiscal crises not only by supporting too many
capital projects, but also by failing to obtain adequate returns from
government concessions for natural resources such as hard rock minerals,
petroleum, or timber. Returns that should enter the government budget are
instead earned by corrupt officials and private contractors. The best cure for
corruption is not necessarily government exit from that sector, as that may
simply leave the way open for unregulated profit seeking.
Here corruption lowers the revenues earned by the government rather
than raising the prices paid for infrastructure or other goods and services.
For example, some countries allegedly have awarded timber concessions at
prices far below market value. Guyana and Surinam in northern South
America and Papua New Guinea and the Solomon Islands in the Pacific
Ocean are all said to have signed very unfavorable contracts with
international companies (Environmental Investigation Agency 1996: 5, 9).
In Russia, even 20 years post-transition and after several reforms to fight
corruption, forestry concessions were riddled with sales of inside
information, collusion among bidders, conflicts of interest, and unchecked
violations of environmental laws (Tulaeva 2014).
Similar incentives to corruption exist in petroleum exploitation and
refining, where rents are extraordinarily high. An Egyptian energy minister
allegedly approved a gas supply contract with an Israeli company at a
potential loss of $714 million, in return for kickbacks (Le Billon 2014: 48).
The Libyan government, under Colonel Qaddafi, charged “signing bonuses”
of $1 billion to oil companies in exchange for 30-year leases; he explicitly
extorted them to cover the $1.5 billion fine imposed on Libya for its role in
the downing of Pan Am Flight 103.37 President Nazarbayev of Kazakhstan
and his oil minister are said to have received at least $78 million in bribes –
channeled through a “consultant” and Swiss bank accounts – for access to
the country’s oil reserves.38 Several companies settled a case in the United
States regarding bribes paid to import drilling rigs, extend drilling contracts,
or influence judges in other countries. In this case, the U.S. subsidiary of
Panalpina, a Swiss freight company, paid nearly $82 million ($11 million
disgorgement and $71 criminal fine) for having paid $27 million in bribes
in seven countries, as an intermediary for its clients. Pride International paid
a penalty of $56 million on $800,000 of bribes in Venezuela, India, and
Mexico. Royal Dutch Shell’s penalty for nearly $2 million in bribes in
Nigeria was $48 million.39 These oil-producing countries all rank relatively
low on the CPI and CCI, but Andvig (1995) highlights the common corrupt
practices in petroleum procurement in the North Sea (Norway and the
United Kingdom) as well, demonstrating that the corruption in this industry
is not necessarily a question of economic or political development. The
French oil company Elf distributed at least €305 million in bribes around
the world – in both developing and developed countries – to secure
contracts to import oil between 1989 and 1993. Elf also made large political
contributions at home (McPherson and MacSearraigh 2007: 200).
Once again we need to ask if the cost of corruption is simply a massive
loss of revenue to the state or whether corruption also distorts production
choices and the level of benefits and costs from exploitation of the resource.
To illustrate the responses of private firms when concessionary contracts are
corrupted, consider a logging concession obtained corruptly by a company
that out-bribes its competitors. Suppose, to begin, that the corruption
“market” is efficient so that it operates just like an idealized competitive
bidding process and that the corrupt ruler’s rate of time preference is the
same as that of the country’s citizens. Suppose that as a result of corruption,
the government obtains less than fair market value for the resources under
its control.40 If corruption does not restrict entry and if the official cannot
affect the size of the concession, the high briber is the firm that values the
benefit the most. It is the most efficient firm that would offer the highest
price in a fair bidding procedure. The only loss is to the government budget
so that the state must either levy extra taxes or cut back public programs.
Honest officials, however, receive distorted information about the value of
the concession and may in the future support fewer of them.41 In this
simplified competitive case, the winner is indifferent to whether the
concession is won through an honest or a dishonest auction. Bribes paid do
not affect the time path of benefits and costs.
Now consider a firm that has obtained a secure long-term timber
concession at a bargain price even if the bribe is added in. If it operates in
the international market, its subsequent actions should depend upon the
market for timber. The fact that it has underpaid for the concession should
not affect its production decisions. It still seeks to maximize profits, and the
concession payment is a sunk cost. If the firm produces to the point where
marginal cost equals marginal benefit, the same quantity of timber should
be produced, independent of the price of the concession. The cost of
corruption is felt by the public treasury but no inefficiency has been
introduced into the international timber market in the short run. Even if the
total payment is above that expected in an honest system, there should be
no impact.
However, as we noted previously for procurement, the corrupt nature
of the deal may give the firm a short-run orientation.42 There are two
reasons for this. First, the concessionaire may fear that those in power are
vulnerable to overthrow because of their corruption. A new regime may not
honor the old one’s commitments. Second, even if the current regime
remains in power, the winner may fear the imposition of arbitrary rules and
financial demands once investments are sunk. It may be concerned that the
ruler will permit competitors to enter the market or worry that its contract
will be voided for reasons of politics or greed.43 For these reasons, the
corrupt firm with a timber contract may cut down trees more quickly than it
would in more honest countries.44 Like other investors in risky
environments, it may also be reluctant to invest in immovable capital, such
as lumber mills, that would be difficult to take out of the country should
conditions change. As a result, exports will have low value added.
Alternatively, investors may install mobile processing facilities. Outside of
the logging sector, electric power producers have built floating power
stations on barges. Such stations have been put in place in several
developing countries to make exit relatively inexpensive.45 In short, both
the timing of production and the input mix may be chosen with an eye to
the special risk introduced by the corrupt nature of the system.
Furthermore, corruption will seldom be limited to a one-time payment
to top officials. Instead, the winner may be a firm more willing than others
to engage in ongoing corrupt relationships up and down the hierarchy in
order to protect its interests. This firm may not be the most proactively
efficient investor. The corrupt firm may win the initial concession because
of its willingness to engage in downstream payoffs.
The inefficiencies of corrupted concession contracts also extend
beyond the firm’s time path of exploitation and its unwillingness to invest
in fixed capital. In addition, corrupt payments may permit firms to violate
environmental, archeological, and social standards. “In the area of
agriculture and rural development, corruption in the forestry sector has
arguably the most devastating and long-lasting impact on the environment
and, by virtue of its links to organized crime, to society” (Campos and
Bhargava 2007: 9). Studies of the forestry industry indicate that corrupt
payoffs have frequently been used to enhance the profitability of forestry
concessions over and above the price paid to the government (Roodman
1996).46 Bribes are paid not only to obtain concessions, but also to exceed
permitted logging limits, log outside the concession area, log in protected
forests, mislabel logs, and evade customs duties and other taxes.47 For
example, if the timber concession includes a royalty per log that is
calibrated by the type of timber, the firm may pay inspectors to misgrade
the logs. It may also pay to cut down more trees than the concession
permits.48 The result has been a 25% reduction in forest area over the past
50 years and the consequent changes in climate patterns (Magrath 2011:
170). Illegal logging49 is estimated to represent more than half of total
production in many countries, reaching a maximum of 90% in Cambodia,
although by sheer volume, Brazil leaves the rest far behind (ibid.: 173). The
rate of deforestation has been shown to be highly correlated with corruption
indices (Barbier 2004; Kishor and Damania 2007; Koyuncu and Yilmaz
2009),50 but is not limited to less-developed or highly corrupt countries:
even in Canada, illegal logging has occurred in 55% of protected areas
(Kishor and Damania 2007: 90). Illegal logging causes severe
environmental damage and loss of biodiversity, as well as loss in revenue
via tax evasion; it also affects markets by depressing the international price
for timber products, making legitimate forest exploitation less profitable
(Magrath 2011: 171–2). As Kishor and Damania (2007: 93, italics in
original) explain, “[U]nlike other resources, forests provide a wide range of
public benefits (watershed protection, carbon sequestration, biodiversity
protection, and ecosystem resilience) only when they are preserved; and
they provide private benefits (timber rents) principally when they are
harvested.”
Several international initiatives51 are attempting to curb deforestation
and slow or reverse climate change. The United Nations has created a
program denominated Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest
Degradation (REDD) to subsidize forestry, but even this program is
potentially vulnerable to corruption (Elges 2011; Larmour 2011;
Transparency International 2011a). The World Bank has promoted Forest
Law Enforcement and Governance (FLEG) Ministerial Processes, under
which participating countries (organized into regional groups) agree to
specific actions to curb illegal logging and trade in the derived products
(Kishor and Damania 2007: 107–8). Attempts at certification of legal
timber products, similar to the Kimberley process in the diamond industry,
however, have been relatively fruitless due to the lack of consumer demand
for certified timber: the price differential does not justify the cost of
certification (ibid.: 100).
Regulations that surround the exploitation of forest and other natural
resources are particularly open to corruption because bending the rules will
often produce high profits. Examples include regulations regarding the
protection of endangered species, the containment of toxic waste, the
quality of airborne effluence, and “policies on wastewater disposal or on
workers’ exposure to chemicals” (Le Billon 2014: 49). Illegal exploitation
of mineral and agricultural resources offers large short-run payoffs but
imposes extraordinary long-run costs on society. Even when civil society is
able to identify and denounce illegal logging or mining, however,
governments may be ill-equipped to reduce, or simply not interested in
reducing, such activity. The very profitability of these illegal activities may
encourage high-level officials to benefit personally and to suppress
transparency in government (Williams 2011). A large number of scandals –
past and present – involve the exploitation of mineral resources. Consider
just two recent high-profile cases. In Guinea, a very poor country in Africa,
the Simandou iron-ore mining project has been mired in accusations of
corruption for many years. The cost of the project, including the cost of
getting the ore to market, is estimated at $20 billion. A lawsuit alleges that
$100 million dollars in bribes were paid to get a concession to develop part
of the site for an overly favorable price. The legal wrangling will go on for
many more years.52 In Congo, a report by an expert panel chaired by former
UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan examined five large mineral deals. It
found a gap (favoring the firm) of $1.36 billion between the price paid and
independent assessments of their value between 2010 and 2012.53
The nation’s patrimony may also be sacrificed for a few well-placed
bribes. In Peru, private land developers use “fraud and political
connections” to encroach on protected archeological sites, destroying them
in the name of progress and profit.54 Walmart apparently used bribery in
Mexico to obtain permits to build a store on land within the archeological
zone of Teotihuacan, one of Mexico’s most iconic sites. Excavation was
undertaken without the legally required supervision by official
archeologists; witnesses saw shards and an ancient wall destroyed.55 In
Russia, timber concessions become de facto privatizations, depriving local
communities of traditional mushroom- and berry-picking areas (Tulaeva
2014).56
III. Privatization
Privatization has slowed since the mass privatization movement of the
1980s and 1990s; a large proportion of world production and assets still
remains in state control. One study reveals that roughly 10% of the top
2,000 publicy traded firms are state-owned enterprises (SOEs) (Kowalski et
al. 2013), and SOEs that are not publicly traded continue to play a very
important role in many economies and industries. This implies a latent
potential for large-scale privatizations at any time. In particular, as China
moves increasingly toward market orientation, and other countries
contemplate privatizing their petroleum or mineral exploitation,
privatization may reemerge as an important area for corruption.
Privatization can reduce corruption by removing certain assets from
state control and converting discretionary official actions into private
market-driven choices.57 However, the process of transferring assets to
private ownership is fraught with corrupt opportunities.58 Many corrupt
incentives are comparable to those that arise in the award of contracts and
concessions. Instead of bribing a parastatal to obtain contracts and favorable
treatment, bidders for a public company can bribe officials in the
privatization authority or at the top of government (Manzetti and Blake
1996; Manzetti 1999). Bribes may be solicited for inclusion on the list of
prequalified bidders, and firms may pay to restrict the number of other
bidders. However, other corrupt incentives are more specific to the
privatization process. Three factors seem particularly important.
First, when large state enterprises are privatized, there may be no
reliable way to value their assets, and the tax and regulatory regime that
will prevail ex post may be poorly specified. The uncertainties of the
process create opportunities for favoring corrupt insiders by giving them
information not available to the public, providing information early in
return for payoffs, or giving corrupt firms special treatment in the bidding
process. Even the assessment process can be corrupted by compliant
insiders or by outside assessors with close ties to the multinationals seeking
to bid on the assets.59In extreme cases no assessment is made, and no
auction occurs. The firm is simply awarded to those with the best political
connections: “Sales, at unstated prices, have sometimes been made to
dubious purchasers, such as ruling party politicians and others lacking in
business experience” (Nellis and Kikeri 1989: 668).
Consider Brazil under President Fernando Collor de Mello. When it
became clear that an ally of his of was in line to receive a privatized firm,
others withdrew their offers (Manzetti and Blake 1996). Collor sought to
use market reforms to create a financial empire of his own (Manzetti 1999).
Similar examples come from Argentina, Zaire, Ivory Coast, Thailand, and
Slovakia (Van de Walle 1989; Manzetti 1999; Pasuk and Sungsidh 1994).
Weak conflict of interest laws make insider dealing easy. In Argentina
several officials who designed the highway privatization bidding process
were on the staff of companies that acquired the highways (Manzetti 1999).
In Venezuela, an American consulting firm organized the privatization of
the state airline in spite of its close ties to the Spanish airline, Iberia
(Manzetti and Blake 1996). Later, Iberia was involved in valuing the airline
in spite of the fact that it also planned to bid on the company and did
eventually end up purchasing the airline (Celarier 1996: 65). According to
Russia’s senior prosecutor, the privatization process in that country was
undermined by bid rigging by banks that both arranged and won
privatization auctions.60
Second, corrupt officials may present information to the public that
makes the company look weak while revealing to favored insiders that it is
actually doing well. The insiders then are the high bidders in what appears
to be an open and aboveboard bidding process. Similarly, corrupt bidders
may be assured of lenient regulatory oversight, something an outsider
cannot rely upon. Ex post evaluations reveal that the privatization was a
huge success with the newly private company earning very high rates of
return. Observers in both China and Ecuador have noted cases of this type.
In Venezuela a major bank was undervalued by the minister of national
investment amid payoff allegations (Manzetti and Blake 1996).
Third, a privatized firm is worth more if it retains whatever monopoly
power was available to the public firm. To an economist the retention of
monopoly rents undermines the justification for privatization. To an
impecunious state and its bidders, however, assuring monopoly power is in
the interest of both. Thus the conflict between revenue maximization and
market competition arises for all privatization deals. If a state gives lip
service to competitive principles, however, it may be unable to endorse
monopolization openly. Corrupt back channel deals can then accomplish
that objective, but with some of the benefits transferred to individuals rather
than the government. Luigi Manzetti (1999) argues that many Latin
American privatizations increased, rather than decreased, market
concentration. He argues that the privatization of the telephone company in
Argentina and the electrical utility in Chile were carried out in a way that
generated monopoly rents for the winners. Subsequent regulatory oversight
has been weak. Such deals are not inevitable. Apparently, the privatization
of telecommunications in Chile and of electric power in Argentina did
encourage competition and limit monopoly rents (Manzetti 1997).
Although they provide no direct evidence of corruption, John Nellis
and Sunita Kikeri (1989: 668) list several examples of special benefits firms
may obtain.
3 Four percent of firms had fewer than 250 employees; for 36% of the
cases, firm size was not available (OECD 2014). The OECD gathers this
data under its Anti-Corruption Convention, which requires signatories to
make overseas bribery an offense under domestic law. We discuss the
Convention in Chapter 14.
13 For further discussion of this study, see Flyvbjerg and Molloy (2011).
20 Liu and Mikesell (2014) find that more corrupt U.S. states spend more
on construction projects and less on social issues.
22 Economists use the term discount rate to refer to the fact that people
tend to value a given thing in the present more than the promise of it in
the future. People or societies who are more focused on the present have
a higher discount rate. Hofstede’s cultural dimensions include “long-term
orientation,” which approximates the inverse of a discount rate and
ranges from zero in Puerto Rico (completely focused on the present) to
100 in South Korea. Data downloaded from Geert Hofstede & Gert Jan
Hofstede, “Dimension Data Matrix,”
http://www.geerthofstede.com/media/2583/6%20dimensions%20for%20
website%202015%2008%2016.xls (accessed October 10, 2015).
23 A former minister to Hosni Mubarak, Rachid Mohamed Rachid, was
convicted in absentia of smuggling $71,400 out of Egypt during the
unrest that led to Mubarak’s downfall. El Sayed Gamal El-Din, “Ex-
minister of Trade and Industry Gets 15 Years in Prison for Graft,”
Ahramonline, August 20, 2014,
http://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/3/12/108850/Business/Econom
y/Breaking-Cairo-Criminal-Court-slaps-former-ministe.aspx (accessed
August 20, 2014).
25 For a more detailed list of steps in the process, see Kühn and Sherman
(2014: 7).
26 Diaby and Sylwester (2015) find that increased competition for public
contracts leads to higher bribes (as a percentage of sales or of the contract
value), as firms bribe to block the competition. In Zimbabwe collusion
between senior ministers in Posts and Telecommunications and a
Swedish telecommunications company may have circumvented local
tender board procedures. Kickbacks were reported to be as high as $7.1
million. Economist Intelligence Unit, Zimbabwe Quarterly Report, 6/95.
32 Doree (2004, cited in Wells 2014: 30) argues that collusive bidding of
this sort may be beneficial insofar as it creates stability and reduces the
costs of preparing the bid.
39 See Edward Wyatt, “Oil and Gas Bribery Case Settled for $236
Million,” New York Times, November 4, 2010,
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/11/05/business/global/05bribe.html
(accessed September 1, 2014) and U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission, “SEC Charges Seven Oil Services and Freight Forwarding
Companies for Widespread Bribery of Customs Officials,” November 4,
2010, http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2010/2010–214.htm (accessed
September 1, 2014).
46 For an overview see the reports from Global Witness, an NGO that
has had a particular focus on illegal logging and corruption especially in
Southeast Asia; https://www.globalwitness.org/campaigns/forests/
(accessed October 10, 2015). Conversely, in Indonesia, 25% of bribes
and informal payments for logging are estimated to be paid for legal
logging activities. This reduces the profitability of those firms from 45%
to 15% (Kishor and Damania 2007: 92).
47 For a more complete list of corrupt acts in the forestry sector, see
Kishor and Damania (2007: 90, 99, 109–10),
50 Bulte, Damania, and López (2007) argue that this is due, at least in
part, to wealthy landowners bribing or lobbying to receive subsidies,
which in turn encourage the expansion of agricultural land use rather than
forest.
55 David Barstow and Alejandra Xanic von Bertrab, “The Bribery Aisle:
How Wal-Mart Got Its Way in Mexico,” New York Times, December 18,
2012, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/12/18/business/walmart-bribes-
teotihuacan.html?_r=0 (accessed October 10, 2015). For more
background, especially on the reaction of Walmart, see David Barstow,
“Vast Mexico Bribery Case Hushed Up by Wal-Mart after Top-Level
Struggle,” New York Times, April 22, 2012,
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/22/business/at-wal-mart-in-mexico-a-
bribe-inquiry-silenced.html (accessed March 19, 2014).
64 Tom Mueller, 2007, “Slippery Business,” The New Yorker, August 13,
2007, http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2007/08/13/slippery-
business (accessed August 19, 2014).
67 Dustan Prial, “Five Major Banks Plead Guilty to Felony Charges over
Currency Rigging,” Fox Business, May 20, 2015,
http://www.foxbusiness.com/industries/2015/05/20/five-major-banks-
plead-guilty-to-felony-charges-over-currency-rigging/ (accessed October
10, 2015).
Corrupt incentives exist because state officials have the power to allocate
scarce benefits and impose onerous costs. Because scarcity lies at the heart
of corrupt deals, basic insights derived from microeconomics can help
structure efforts to reduce corruption. Some benefits and costs are not
limited in amount, but public officials decide who gets the benefits or must
bear the costs. For those allocations as well, economic analysis can provide
insights. This chapter and Chapter 5 focus on incentive-based reforms that
reduce the benefits or increase the costs of malfeasance. Chapter 6
discusses the criminal law as a deterrent. Here, we consider the following
reform options.
Box 4.1.
OPEN Initiative in Seoul
Source: Based on Kim, Kim, and Lee (2009) and data from
UNPACS (2014).
Governments can publish laws, edicts, and application requirements
for public documents, such as passports, using websites and public kiosks.
Individuals and firms benefit by arming themselves with this knowledge. In
Egypt, for example, a survey found that owners of SMEs predisposed to
resist bribery took less time and bribed less frequently than those with an ex
ante expectation to bribe or who were willing to bribe if necessary; the
authors surmise that those willing to resist are better prepared. “It seems
that the predisposition of business owners toward bribes relates to a large
extent to their knowledge and understanding of the laws and regulations
governing their type of business (including those governing the registration
process itself), and not only to their compliance with ethical standards”
(Center for International Private Enterprise 2009: 12). Hence, Internet
resources that make knowledge about government operations easier to
obtain ought to limit not only corruption but also fraudulent efforts to
mimic government enforcement efforts.
Interactive applications may also serve both to inform the public and to
gather information from individuals and firms. These tools may be as
simple as sending an e-mail or submitting a query, but they may be more
complex. For example, Indonesia has introduced an interactive video-game-
like smartphone app that educates players about bureaucratic corruption and
bribery, and includes quizzes that enable users to test their knowledge.22
The use of customer databases, electronic billing, and usage data
transmission by satellite reduces the scope for theft and corruption in public
utilities (Gulati and Rao 2007: 141, 150). Online submission of tax
documents and automated selection of audit subjects were part of a
successful overhaul of the tax system in Bolivia (Zuleta, Leyton, and
Ivanovic 2007: 349); income taxes are also submitted electronically in
Mexico, where since 2014 electronic invoicing is a requirement for all tax-
related spending, so that declared tax deductions can be verified.23
Transparency improves when the government publishes not only
requirements, but also its own actions and their results. In the
pharmaceutical industry, for example, the regulatory agency should publish
lists of applications for drug approvals and their status, as well as a list of
all drugs that have been approved (Cohen, Mrazek, and Hawkins 2007: 40).
Public tenders should be disseminated on the related government websites,
as well as in newspapers (available in print and electronically); the detailed
specifications, bids, and winning firm should also be available in the same
place once the tender has been closed.24 Any follow-up activity, such as
inspections, should be included, as well, so that both government and the
public can monitor whether poorly performing firms continue to win bids
(Gulati and Rao 2007).
E-government can also improve transparency by facilitating the
sharing of information. For example, after a fiscal crisis in the health sector
due to the abuse of policies guaranteeing the right to health care, Colombia
enacted a National Pharmaceutical Policy that established a national
database of pharmaceutical prices. This public information helped curb
corrupt deals in which hospitals had paid up to twice the market value for
some drugs in return for kickbacks from the pharmaceutical companies to
purchasing agents (Hussmann and Rivillas 2014). In public procurement,
the process of prequalification could be standardized and a database of
prequalified suppliers could be made available to all levels of government,
thus saving suppliers the cost of submitting multiple requirements to
municipal and state governments: “the legal, commercial, and financial data
of firms in the database are compared with the qualifications profile of a
project, and a list of eligible firms is generated together with a list of those
firms not qualifying and the reasons for disqualification” (Paterson and
Chaudhuri 2007: 180). As a follow-up, evaluations on the same database
could rate the work done by each supplier in terms of keeping within the
budget and respecting deadlines, as well as required postcompletion
maintenance or repairs. Rather than limiting government to using only firms
with an established record as a good supplier, this would enable
governments to avoid those firms who have performed poorly in the past,
either locally or in work for other governments.25 By making such a
database available to the public, the media and civil society could hold
governments accountable for their procurement decisions. Such a system
was established in Chile, saving an estimated $150 million per year and
enabling more small businesses to participate (Bertot, Jaeger, and Grimes
2010: 265–6).
Databases can be instrumental in improving public service, reducing
costs, improving the collection of taxes and other fees, and increasing
accountability. For example, in Cameroon, the customs service was
reformed using an automated database to measure and track performance,
including the timing and tax collected on each shipment. When this
database was used to evaluate individual customs officers, waiting times
and corruption fell, while tax revenue increased by $25 million per year
(Raballand and Marteau 2014: 43). In Sierra Leone, a database of digital
fingerprints was used to combat the practice of a single teacher collecting
multiple salaries (Poisson 2014: 61). Similarly, a number of countries have
limited fraud in the operation of antipoverty programs by publicizing lists
of beneficiaries online and using payment systems tied to biometric
information or to the beneficiaries’ mobile phones.26
Accountability can be improved by the use of video cameras and other
technologies. This has been used effectively in customs administration and
police cars. Some police officers now clip cameras to their uniforms.27
Global satellite data can be used to monitor forests and detect illegal
logging (Campos, Pradhan, and Recanatini 2007: 432; Kishor and Damania
2007: 102). Of course, the use of cameras is an effective deterrent only if
there is a reasonable chance that someone will watch at least a significant
portion of the footage. This is where society can fill the gap. If full
transparency is achieved by making the video available to the public, the
probability that someone will see and report misdeeds increases.
Furthermore, individuals have used the cameras on their laptops, tablets, or
phones to record and then publish the extortion of bribes by traffic
officers.28 In an interesting variant, the government of the Punjab in
Pakistan is taking advantage of the wide use of cell phones to canvass
citizens’ experience with corruption through random calls to those who sign
up for the program. Citizens do not make individualized accusations.
Rather, the overall data from survey responses are used to identify
particular hot spots for graft.29 As the system becomes established, the aim
is to let corrupt officials know that they are being monitored and hence to
convince them to limit their payoff demands.
In some cases, these technologies make it possible to omit human
discretion entirely. For example, people and firms can now pay a variety of
taxes and services online in many countries, reducing the possibility of
extortion. (The threat of an audit may still be an option, but one more
difficult to implement.) In some places, speeding tickets are generated
automatically by systems of velocity-detecting video cameras that read the
license plate of the offending vehicle, cross-check the address of the owner,
and prepare the ticket for mailing. The use of radio-frequency identification
(RFID) tags (becoming popular in the pharmaceutical industry) can
automate the calculation of customs duties, as each product is identified
electronically (Cohen, Mrazek, and Hawkins 2007: 38).
When payroll or sales taxes are deducted automatically by firms and
sent to the government, evasion is much more difficult, at least in the
formal sector, although requiring such measures imposes fixed costs on
formal businesses and creates a new incentive to informality. Getting an
appointment for a passport or visa is free of discretion or discrimination
when the process is online; applicants are further aided by a printable
checklist of required documents in order to avoid wasting time and making
unnecessary multiple trips. For those who are not Internet savvy, firms have
appeared to help guide applicants through the process. Technology could
take some processes to the next level: in the application of driving exams,
for example, a simulator30 could take the applicant’s photo and fingerprints;
run background checks; administer the vision, written, and driving exams;
and print the license if all exams are passed. Similar processes could be
created for other applications. Vulnerability to hacking and viruses might be
a problem now and then, but corruption would be severely reduced or
eliminated. Even falsification of documents should be reduced as
verification by cross-checking online databases becomes easier.
Government employment and budgets would also potentially be reduced, as
low-level bureaucrats would be replaced by (proportionally fewer)
programmers, database managers, and kiosk maintenance staff.
When implemented successfully, e-governance not only improves
efficiency and reduces loss due to corruption, but also increases citizens’
trust in government and changes their attitudes regarding transparency
(Bertot, Jaeger, and Grimes 2010).
E-government is not, however, a guarantee of clean and transparent
processes, and can have its own pathologies in weak or autocratic
governments. E-procurement systems may still be vulnerable if qualitative
evaluations must be made, and the best bidders can be eliminated in
postqualification (Ware et al. 2007: 315). Websites and databases can be
hacked from the outside and manipulated by insiders.31 Software can be
written to allow access only to those with inside information; if ready-made
software is used, it may be in English (or the dominant national language)
only. To those lacking Internet access or computer skills, e-government may
mean further marginalization. The “agents” meant to facilitate these
processes may also sell falsification services or backdoor access. Video
footage may be manipulated or fabricated to entrap the innocent. In short,
while e-government is promising, it does not eliminate all corrupt
opportunities and may create new ones. Furthermore, the use of ICTs is not
justifiable in its own right: it must be a logical part of an overall strategy to
simplify processes and make them more transparent, taking into account the
government’s and society’s needs and resources. E-governance should be
embedded in other reforms to improve governance in general.32
A fundamental issue for advocates of e-government is the problem of
balancing privacy rights and national security against the anticorruption
benefits of transparency and lack of discretion. For example, public tenders
for high-tech military equipment might be best kept out of the public eye.
Surveillance systems that help the public observe the behavior of police and
other officials can be used instead to intrude into private life and encourage
blackmail and the release of information that is embarrassing but not illegal
or corrupt. In some cases the balance has been struck in ways that seem to
ignore the anticorruption benefits of transparency, but in other cases the
machinery of state surveillance – now enhanced by the Internet – has been
used to maintain incumbents in power and punish political opponents or
simply concerned citizens. The many promising developments that we have
outlined in this section need to be assessed in light of these potentials for
abuse.
III. Procurement Reform
Within any given sector, the procurement process is perhaps the single
most corruption-prone area. But it also presents the most promising
area for which a set of concrete, quantifiable indicators can be
developed, from the initial planning phase all the way through to
contract award and implementation.
In this appendix we revisit the simple economic model of the market for
“bent rules” that was presented in Chapter 2 in order to analyze the
expected results of common anticorruption reform prescriptions. Like most
graphical models, this is an oversimplification, intended for illustrative
purposes, but it helps to show that reforms often have unexpected and
unintended consequences. Recall that the demand curve shows the
willingness to bribe to obtain a corrupt benefit and the supply curve shows
the willingness of officials to provide this benefit in return for payoffs of
different amounts. Thus, in this case the only way to obtain the benefit or to
avoid a cost is through bribery.
Some reforms change the incentives from the supply side: a policy
might raise the wages of public servants (so that the opportunity cost upon
firing is higher); increase the probability of detection and punishment; or
increase the punishment applied when corruption is detected. The shape of
the new supply curve depends upon the nature of the reforms. Figure 4A.1
represents one case in which there is no threshold for bribery, but the supply
curve rotates upward. In contrast, if the curve shifts up in parallel, the
marginal effect of a rise in bribes remains unchanged, but there is now a
threshold that sets the minimum acceptable bribe. In either case,
equilibrium occurs with a lower number of corrupt transactions (q1), but a
higher bribe-price (b1). This may increase or decrease the total funds
collected in bribes by all officials depending upon the elasticity of demand.1
The higher bribe-price is sufficient to compensate the more corruption-
prone individuals, even as some drop out or start to act honestly. The social
cost of bribery, however, is not the volume of bribes but rather the
distortions in the allocation of the public benefit.
Figure 4A.1.
Supply-side reforms.
Source: Authors.
Figure 4A.2.
Demand-side reforms.
Source: Authors.
The analysis is more complex when corruption helps some firms
develop local monopoly positions in their own markets. Now bribery by
some firms convinces officials to deny the public benefit (e.g., a license to
open a restaurant, bar, or gas station) to others who are not just low bidders,
but who are also competitors. Hence, a reform that limits officials’
discretion, provides applicants more than one place to obtain a license, or
allows rejected applicants to effectively appeal the rejection, could limit the
size of bribes offered because one type of benefit cannot be assured.
If anticorruption policy targets both demand and supply, one cannot be
sure of the nature of the equilibrium. The quantity of corrupt transactions
falls but the bribe-price and overall corruption revenue could rise or fall
depending upon the relative shifts in the curves and on their underlying
shapes. Anticorruption policy for bureaucracies that serve multiple firms
and individuals needs to consider the relative costs and benefits of
alternatives that target officials and potential bribe payers. Later in
discussing the criminal law, we bring in another complicating factor, that is,
the need to give actors an incentive to reveal corrupt deals to law
enforcement authorities, especially in cases of quid pro quo bribery where
both sides benefit relative to a legal transaction.
1 Gary Becker, e.g., urged: “To Root Out Corruption, Boot Out Big
Government,” Business Week, January 30, 1994.
5 Legalization has not always been corruption free. See Johnson (2002:
177–95) on the legalization of gambling in Atlantic City. Keys to
winning the state referendum permitting gambling were private, not state,
ownership; earmarking taxes on gambling for subsidies to the elderly and
disabled; and a costly marketing campaign toting the economic benefits
to the state. Some were provided private benefits to get out the vote and
to support the referendum.
In many neighborhoods it takes paid Election Day workers to knock on
doors, drag people out of their homes, drive them to the polls and, when
necessary, buy them lunch, give them a bottle, or slip them a few dollars.
[Pro-gambling interests] saw to it that there was enough money on the
streets of every major city in the state to guarantee that when these voters
finally did get to the polls, they pulled the right lever (ibid.: 195).
9 Goods flow freely within the European Union, people are free to move
among the members of the Schengen Agreement, and a common
currency is used by members of the Euro Zone (and a few nonmembers).
While there is considerable overlap, the membership is not identical in
the three zones.
11 Robert Guy Matthews, “Steel Smugglers Pull the Wool over the Eyes
of Customs Agents to Enter U.S. Market,” Wall Street Journal,
November 1, 2001,
http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB1004565116710302480 (accessed
October 11, 2015).
13 Arthur Laffer, “The Laffer Curve: Past, Present, and Future,” The
Heritage Foundation,
http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2004/06/the-laffer-curve-past-
present-and-future (accessed August 26, 2014).
24 Gulati and Rao (2007: 141–2) find that the use of websites for
disseminating such information is more effective than publication in
newspapers. Of course, these are not mutually exclusive outlets.
27 This measure has been used in the United States to counter police
brutality, but could be equally effective in combating corruption. See von
Drehle, “Who Do You Trust? Police ‘Body Cams’ Raise Brave New
Questions along with Transparency,” Time, October 6, 2014, 21.
44 During the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries in the United
States, public ownership – not privatization – was promoted as a means
to combat corruption in the form of underpricing of public goods,
overpricing of goods sold to the government, and the abuse of subsidies
designed to promote activities with positive externalities (Glaeser 2004).
Once the incentive for petty corruption is created, the latter tends to
develop upstream through self-interested complicity. This, in turn,
creates through impunity a favourable environment for the growth of
bribery. Corruption thus creates complex relationships of vassalage,
protection and clientelism, based on bribery and blackmail. These
relationships, though originally based on the civil service’s hierarchy,
tend to bypass it and to distort normal channels of power and
information. This is one of the most perverse effects of generalized
corruption.
Civil service reform, for example, should improve pay and conditions
of work for government officials, and it may even reduce corruption
and patronage, but may mean little to the poor unless other conditions
are in place, such as political mobilization to ensure that public
officials treat them fairly or organizational cultures that encourage a
service orientation among public officials.
The trucks pass a giant X-ray machine delivered by the United States
military. Western-trained officials assess their cargo for import duties.
The paperwork is entered into a computer system paid for by the
World Bank. American-financed surveillance cameras monitor the
crossing. Yet for Afghan officials, every truck represents a fresh
opportunity for personal enrichment.
Border guards pocket a small fee for opening the gate, but that is
just the start. Businessmen and customs officials collude to fake
invoices and manipulate packing lists. Quantity, weight, contents,
country of origin – almost every piece of information can be altered to
slash the customs bill, often by up to 70 percent.41
12 Compare Evans and Rauch (1999) who follow a Weberian model and
study merit recruitment and professional career paths with Echebarría
and Cortázar (2007) who include these factors along with a broader range
of measures. Evans and Rauch (1999: 752, n. 9), however, mention other
factors related to NPM, but they do not measure them in their expert
surveys.
19 Available at http://www.oge.gov/Laws-and-Regulations/Executive-
Orders/Executive-Order-13490-(Jan--21,-2009)---Prescribing-Standards-
of-Ethical-Conduct-for-Government-Officers-and-Employees. The
Executive Order followed President Clinton’s lead under Executive
Order 12834 of January 20, 1993 (Gilman 1995: 75) that asked senior
officials to pledge to avoid dealings with government for five years after
leaving their respective administrations (accessed October 13, 2015).
29 In the model, at each stage one participant makes an offer that the
other participant may accept or reject. If the offer is rejected, the second
participant may make a counteroffer or wait for the first to make a new
offer. Once an agreement is reached, the truck goes on to the next
checkpoint. In the Olken and Barron (2009) study, officers accepted the
initial bribe offer 87% of the time; the other 13% resulted in bargaining.
35 In 14% of the 304 cases, the intermediaries were not involved in the
bribery; in 15% of the cases, this information was not available. Of the
intermediaries that were involved, 41% were agents, 35% corporate
vehicles (“subsidiary companies, local consulting firms, companies
located in offshore financial centres or tax havens or companies
established under the beneficial ownership of either the public official
who received the bribes or the individual or entity paying the bribes”),
6% lawyers, 3% family members of public officials, 2% associates, 1%
accountants, and 12% “unknown” (OECD 2014: 29).
39 Bussell has no direct evidence of corruption, but she found that those
using the private shops were not very happy with them, partly, it seems,
because the government imposed a seven-day minimum waiting period
that could not be overcome with a bribe.
41 Declan Walsh, “At Afghan Border, Graft Is Part of the Bargain,” New
York Times, November 12, 2014,
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/12/world/asia/in-afghanistan-customs-
system-corruption-is-part-of-the-bargain.html (accessed November 12,
2014).
6
Using the Criminal Law to Deter
Bribery and Extortion
◈
Laws against bribery, extortion, and self-dealing are necessary, but will
never be sufficient to deal with widespread corruption.1 The previous
chapters have argued that fundamental redesign of the relationship between
state and society is needed to control systemic corruption. Nevertheless,
well-designed and enforced laws against bribery and extortion are a
necessary backup to any broader reform, and economic analysis can
contribute to the assessment of their operation and effectiveness. That is our
focus in this chapter.
All countries draw the line somewhere between illegal bribery and
acceptable “gifts of good will,” and we will discuss the difficulties of
making that distinction in Chapter 7. Here, we take that judgment as given
and seek effective deterrence strategies using the criminal law. The
sanctioning strategies that are consistent with economic analysis often differ
from the actual legal penalties, even in developed countries. A law and
economics approach focuses both on improving the deterrent effect of arrest
and punishment and on providing incentives for people to come forward
with documentation of corrupt deeds. One conundrum for anticorruption
efforts is the possible tension between the goals of signaling credible
expected punishments and using the law to induce perpetrators to provide
evidence.
Given the costs of law enforcement, the optimal level of corruption is
not zero, even if society values the bribers’ benefits at zero.2 Once one
takes the costs of prevention into account, the level of deterrence
expenditures should be set where the net benefits are maximized, that is,
where marginal benefits equal the marginal costs (Becker and Stigler 1974;
Rose-Ackerman 1978: 109–19).3 A higher level of deterrence would not be
worth the extra costs; a lower level would sacrifice the net benefits of
increased enforcement. For example, a recent audit of expenses claimed by
Canadian senators revealed CAD840,000 in questionable expenses (less
than 1% of the annual budget); the inquiry cost CAD24 million.4
Obviously, the benefits go beyond the money recovered, insofar as the
findings may drive political change, deter future malfeasance, or bolster the
political standing of those who ordered the audit, but on a cost-effectiveness
basis, this audit was not worthwhile.
The deterrence of criminal behavior depends on the probability of
detection and punishment, and on the penalties imposed – both those
imposed by the legal system and more subtle costs, such as shame or loss of
reputation (Becker 1968). Low penalties upon conviction can still deter
crime if the chance of apprehension is high, and high penalties can
compensate for weak enforcement so long as the enforcement process is not
unduly biased. Becker (1968) first argued that the probability of detection
was more important than the punishment, in deterring crime; this result has
been corroborated by a large empirical literature (Eide, Rubin, and
Shepherd 2006: 221–7).5
Successful detection of corruption depends upon insiders to report
wrongdoing. Citizens and businesses victimized by extortion demands may
report bribery attempts, but they may not be able to offer enough proof for
prosecutors to act. Instead, effective law enforcement often requires
officials to promise leniency to one of the participants. This creates an
important paradox for law enforcement efforts. High expected punishments
ought to deter corruption, but a high probability of detection may only be
possible if some are promised low penalties.
We begin by discussing bribery deterrence based on expected
punishment, measured by multiplying the probability of apprehension by
the punishment imposed. We then consider strategies that take account of
the interaction between punishment and the probability of apprehension. We
include a separate section on private-to-private bribery because it raises
some distinct issues. Finally, we consider how bribery and extortion in law
enforcement can affect the enforcement of all types of law.
I. Punishment
Because it takes two to enter into a corrupt deal, the transaction will not
occur if the law can deter at least one of the parties. Legal language
frequently distinguishes between “active” and “passive” bribery, where the
former refers to the briber and the latter to the bribee.6 This language seems
to imply that bribe paying is worse than bribe acceptance. However, both
are generally criminal offences, and most statutes impose parallel
punishments. National statutes and international conventions generally
recognize that the distinction between actively organizing a corrupt
transaction, on the one hand, and passively acquiescing, on the other, is not
a viable one. Neither side is truly passive because both parties must agree
before corruption can occur. Furthermore, in practice, public officials might
actively organize a corrupt bureaucracy that presses citizens or firms to
make payoffs.
However, in some countries asymmetries in the law do exist. For
example, in Taiwan paying off an official is only a crime when the payment
is made to obtain an illegal service. Otherwise, the payer is not subject to
criminal sanction. However, the recently amended law makes it an offense
for the official to accept a bribe in all cases, including those in which he or
she does not otherwise violate his or her official duties.7 In India, according
to the 1988 Prevention of Corruption Act, giving or receiving a bribe is
punishable by up to five years in prison and a fine, but Section 24 grants
immunity to whistle-blowing bribe payers (Basu 2011). Under Romanian
law, making a payoff is not a crime if “the briber has been coerced in any
way by the one who received the bribe,” and, in addition, such a briber can
claim restitution of his payments (Romanian Criminal Code, 255 (3), (5);
discussed in Schroth and Bostan 2004: 650, 661). In other countries the
reverse is true. For example, in Chile in the 1990s payment of a bribe was a
criminal offense, but accepting a bribe was not unless accompanied by other
wrongdoing (Hepkema and Booysen 1997: 415).8
The legal distinction between bribery and extortion is not
straightforward, and in many situations a person can be guilty of both
(Lindgren 1988, 1993). Statutes usually define extortion without any
specific reference to public officials. Coercive extortion can refer to
payments obtained by threats, whether made by an official, a mafia
member, or a private individual. Violent threats are often punished more
severely than other types.9 Extortion can occur in the United States and
England “under color of office,” a condition that need not involve an
outright threat but is rather associated with the bargaining power that comes
from one’s official position. Thus, in many cases the official can be guilty
of both accepting a bribe and of extortion (Lindgren 1988, 1993).
The law and economics literature recognizes the two-sided nature of
corrupt deals, but it refers to bribe payers and recipients, not active and
passive corruption. Some scholars distinguish between the payer who
receives “better than fair treatment,” on the one hand, or someone who must
pay to be treated fairly, on the other (Ayres 1997). More narrowly, Polinsky
and Shavell (2001) categorize extortion as a bribe paid to avoid being
framed by an official for a trumped-up offense. These bright-line rules are
useful for analytic purposes, but they map imperfectly onto the legal
concepts. American law is quite confusing in defining these concepts
(Lindgren 1993), and the proposed distinctions would be difficult to
implement in practice. They require a clear benchmark of fair treatment and
raise difficulties when the person subject to extortion has, in fact, violated
some other law (Lindgren 1988, 1993).
In deciding how to allocate law enforcement resources, the degree of
social harm should be the key variable, not the location of payoffs in the
public or the private sector. In general, highest priority should be given to
preventing the allocation of illegal benefits or the imposition of illegal
costs. For legal benefits the social costs depend upon the damage done by
using willingness-to-pay criteria and the inefficiencies and inequities of
officials’ efforts to create bottlenecks and scarcity. These issues will loom
especially large when officials or organized crime groups use threats of
physical violence or property damage (Konrad and Skaperdas 1997, 1998).
Extortion that involves organized crime is especially harmful for that
reason. These groups seek to shift the reversion point for anyone who
resists paying to an outcome that is worse than the original status quo.
Furthermore, corrupt systems, especially if supported by credible threats,
have distributive consequences even if resources and services are allocated
efficiently. Corrupt officials share in the profits of private firms, and
households may obtain few benefits from a public program. The effects
may be purely distributive, or they may have long-term impacts on entry
into the corrupted businesses or activities.
A ranking of the social harm of different kinds of corruption should
help set enforcement priorities. However, the penalties actually levied on
the convicted need not be tied to these social harms but rather should
concentrate on the benefits received by the corrupt. To deter bribery, at least
one side of the corrupt transaction must face penalties that reflect its own
gains. Because the chance of detection and conviction is far less than one,
those convicted should sacrifice a multiple of these gains. To deter payoffs,
either side of the corrupt deal can be the focus of law enforcement efforts.
From the point of view of public acceptability, however, bribers who seek
legal benefits, which are otherwise denied them, may arouse public
sympathy, not blame. Such offenses may be de facto decriminalized through
prosecutorial inaction. Whatever the focus, actors should face expected
penalties tied to their own benefit from corruption.
In practice, the briber and the bribee may bargain over the size of the
bribe in light of the expected penalty functions that each one faces. These
functions depend both on the chance that the deal will be uncovered and on
the penalty levied upon conviction. Most models of corruption do not
include this aspect of the problem and assume either a fixed bribe-price or
an equal division of the rents. If the briber faces a fixed maximum penalty
X, while the bribee’s expected penalty is an ever-increasing function of his
or her gains, the division of the benefits will be affected by these differing
conditions. At some point the bribe recipient will reach his or her maximum
bribe, beyond which the costs outweigh the benefits. In contrast, the briber
in this example may be willing to contemplate very large corrupt deals
because, beyond some point, the penalties are not well tailored to the scale
of the deal. The law not only deters some bribery schemes altogether; it can
also influence the division of gains from corrupt deals.
To deter, officials’ penalties should be an increasing function of the
payoffs they receive and an inverse function of the probability of detection.
If expected penalties are not a function of the size of the bribe, an
anticorruption drive will quickly confront a paradox. A high fixed penalty
will lower the incidence of corruption but increase the average size of
bribes paid. Low bribes are not accepted, but once the threshold is crossed,
the penalty has no deterrent effect. If the penalty is high, officials must
receive a high return in order to be willing to engage in bribery. Thus, the
expected penalty should increase by more than a dollar for every dollar
increase in the size of the bribe (Rose-Ackerman 1978: 109–35; Shleifer
and Vishny 1993). This could be accomplished either by tying the penalty
levied upon conviction to the size of the bribe or by increasing the risk of
apprehension as the size of the bribe increases. However, if the probability
of detection is lower for small payoffs, the penalty for each detected offense
must reflect that fact. This could mean that those convicted of petty bribery
could face more severe penalties than those found to have taken larger
bribes. That outcome, however, is not likely to be politically viable. Hence,
two alternatives are possible: increasing surveillance and redesigning the
program to lower corrupt incentives by limiting the discretion of officials.
On the other side of the corrupt transaction, a fixed penalty levied on
bribers will lower both the demand for corrupt services and the incidence of
bribes. However, so long as the probability of apprehension does not
depend on the size of the bribe, it will have no marginal impact once the
bribe passes the corruption threshold. If the probability of apprehension
and/or the penalty rises with the size of the bribe, then the level of
individual bribes may fall as well. That result does not necessarily follow,
however, if higher bribes provide higher benefits. Suppose, for example,
that the benefits to bribery are an increasing function of the size of the bribe
so that, say, a bribe of $1,000 provides benefits of $1,500, but a bribe of
$5,000 provides benefits of $20,000. Then expected penalties that are set at
twice the size of the bribe will deter the smaller bribe but not the larger one.
More fundamentally, bribes represent a cost to those who pay them;
penalties for bribers should not be tied to these costs unless they are a good
proxy for the briber’s benefits. In the example, they are an imperfect proxy.
To have a marginal effect, the penalties should be tied to the briber’s gains
(e.g., excess profits derived from the corrupt act), not to the size of the
bribe. In procurement, if the potentially corrupt firms are repeat players,
one option is a disbarment procedure that prohibits corrupt firms from
contracting with the government (ideally, with any government) for a period
of years. To have a marginal effect, the disbarment penalty should be tied to
the seriousness of the corruption uncovered.10
Under American law the maximum penalties are symmetric for those
who make and those who accept corrupt payments. The offender can
receive a maximum sentence of “three times the monetary equivalent of the
thing of value [given or promised to the official] ... or imprisoned for not
more than fifteen years, or both, and may be disqualified from holding any
office of honor, trust, or profit under the United States” [18 U.S.C.S. §201
(b)].11 Thus, the maximums do not explicitly recognize the asymmetries in
gains between bribe payers and recipients. However, the federal sentencing
guidelines do permit judges to incorporate the benefits received by bribe
payers into their calculations. According to the guidelines, the fine levied
on an organization for bribery and related offences should consider the
value of the unlawful payment, the value of the benefit received or to be
received in return for the unlawful payment, and the consequential damages
resulting from the unlawful payment. The fine should be set equal to the
largest of these values [U.S. Federal Sentencing Guidelines, §2C1.1(d)(1)].
Thus, it can either reflect the gain to the firm or the loss to society. This
seems a reasonable compromise with the principles we have outlined,
except for one glaring weakness. It does not account for the fact that, ex
ante, the chance of being caught is far less than one. To properly deter, the
penalty should be a multiple of the figure produced by this formula. The
statute permits a fine that is three times the bribe paid, but the benefit to
bribe payers may far exceed even that total, especially when viewed ex
ante.
In the sentencing guidelines, the base penalty for individuals is a
number of months in prison that is not tied directly to the level of benefits
received by paying or accepting a bribe. The penalty is increased if a public
official is bribed, if more than one bribe is involved, or if the value exceeds
$5,000 [US Federal Sentencing Guidelines, §2C1.1(a)-(c)]. In addition,
civil fines can be imposed on those convicted of bribery and related
offenses. The fine can be either a maximum of $50,000 or the bribe amount,
whichever is larger. Thus, individuals can be punished with both fines and
jail time, but the marginal expected increases in punishment are unlikely to
exceed the marginal benefits for large bribes once one takes account of the
low probability of apprehension. It may be that the penalties have little
deterrent effect on large bribes.
The law, however, does permit the president to rescind any contract or
other benefit if there has been a conviction under the statute governing
bribery, graft, and conflicts of interest. The United States can also recover,
in addition to any penalties, “the amount expended or the thing transferred
or delivered on its behalf, or the reasonable value thereof” (18 U.S.C. §
218). This right of recovery is designed to avoid losses to the government.
It is a weak deterrent to corrupt payoffs because the recovery is not
multiplied by a factor that reflects the probability of detection.
Outside the United States the legal penalties bear only a weak
relationship to the deterrence priorities outlined here. Of the cases
examined, admittedly not a comprehensive list, both those who pay and
those who accept bribes face the possibility of fines and imprisonment and,
as in the U.S. statute, the maximum penalties are generally symmetric for
both groups. The statutes fail to link penalties either to the social harm of
corruption or to the private benefits obtained by those who engage in
bribery. In some statutes there are special increased penalties for aggravated
instances of corruption, but these are trigger strategies not explicitly tied to
marginal gains and losses. It seems quite likely that large-scale corrupt
deals are only slightly deterred by the formal legal penalties.
For example, under a new statute passed in April 2010, the United
Kingdom can impose prison terms up to ten years and fines of an
unspecified amount.12 Australia punishes “unwarranted demands” with
twelve years of imprisonment, while the payment or receipt of bribes
without threats has a ten-year maximum, and lesser related offenses receive
five years.13 Botswana sets the maximum penalty at £500,000, ten years in
prison, or both.14 Punishment for extortion in Ethiopia includes prison
terms ranging from three months to five years, and a fine that is not
specified in the law. Finland distinguishes between the ordinary offense of
giving or receiving bribes and an aggravated offense with somewhat higher
penalties, but the top prison term is four years. Fines can also be levied but
the law provides no guidance on their level. In France, the maximum
punishment is seven years in prison and a fine of up to 100,000 euros.15
Germany can impose prison terms up to ten years in especially serious
cases, but for ordinary offenses of paying or receiving bribes the maximum
penalty is three years imprisonment or a fine.16
If expected penalties do not increase along with the benefits of
corruption for bribers and bribees, governments may be caught in a trap
where high corruption levels beget high corruption levels. An equilibrium
with low corruption may also exist but be unreachable in small steps from
the status quo. High corruption can be a stable equilibrium when the net
rewards of corruption increase as the incidence of corruption increases. This
might occur, for example, if law enforcement officials discover a smaller
proportion of corrupt deals when the incidence of corruption is high, and if
penalties levied upon conviction are not adjusted to take account of that
fact. Any multiple equilibria case, however, can be converted into a single
equilibrium, low-corruption case with the appropriate choice of law
enforcement strategy or a change in the information conditions. Strategies
that tie expected penalties to marginal gains can remove a society from a
high-corruption trap. Doing so, however, may require a large increase in
law enforcement resources to tip the system to a low-corruption
equilibrium. Fortunately, such a sharp increase in enforcement resources
need not be permanent (Lui 1986: 21–2). A concentrated cleanup campaign
can change expectations about others’ cooperation in the corrupt system.
Once a new low-corruption equilibrium has been established, it can be
maintained with reduced enforcement resources so long as the honest are
willing to report corrupt offers, and law enforcement officials follow up on
reports of malfeasance (Rose-Ackerman 1978: 137–51; Cadot 1987;
Andvig and Moene 1990; Bardhan 1997: 1330–4). One problem with this
optimistic scenario, however, is the possibility that the corrupt will collude
with each other to lie low during the crackdown and reemerge later to
resume their corrupt activities. The models summarized here assume, in
contrast, that there is no collusion and that both officials and bribers act on
the basis of their most recent past experience.17
If a sector of the state is caught in a high-corruption trap, one response
is to completely eliminate the corrupt department, replacing it with a new
one that is staffed with new hires. This approach was used successfully in
Georgia after the Rose Revolution: many of the older state employees,
including judges, were replaced wholesale by young, idealistic adherents to
the reform agenda. Judicial corruption has thus been severely reduced in
Georgia, although the state apparently still exerts undue influence over
some judicial decisions (Kupatadze 2012: 26).18
An important aspect of grand corruption is the complicity of large
private corporations. Individuals organize the corrupt deals, but they are
acting in the interests of the firms that employ them. There is much debate
over whether it is appropriate to hold business firms criminally liable (Arlen
1994; Laufer 2008). Corporations have legal personalities. This does not
turn them into real human beings, and some commentators insist that this
lack of humanity implies that firms cannot have moral obligations. They
believe that it is not appropriate to hold business firms criminally liable
because they do not have mental states and because criminal liability would
give corporations the same rights as individuals with less justification for
these protections (Thompson 1987: 76–78; Khanna 1996).19 There is no
legal corporate equivalent to imprisonment, although a sufficiently high fine
could drive a firm to bankruptcy.
National legal systems vary widely in whether firms can be convicted
of crimes. In the United States criminal cases against business firms are
commonplace, with sentences consisting of fines and sometimes debarment
from public contracting. The decision of whether to bring a civil or a
criminal case is often a strategic one in which the greater stigma of a
criminal conviction is balanced against the higher standard of proof. Many
cases against corporations end in settlements that impose fines and require
internal reform but avoid debarment from government contracts. A recent
innovation is the “nonprosecution [or deferred prosecution] agreement”
under which the government agrees not to pursue the case so long as the
firm reaches an agreement with the law enforcement agency to reform its
internal oversight structures to limit corrupt dealings. The firm may also
agree to admit guilt and pay a fine. After a probationary period the case is
dropped.20
Under the 2010 U.K. Anti-Bribery Act corporate criminal liability can
result from a weak internal control system that fails to prevent a case of
bribery. Top management does not need to be actively involved in the
corrupt transaction. Conversely, unlike the United States, a firm can entirely
escape liability if the firm has in place “adequate procedures designed to
prevent” corruption so that any corrupt deals uncovered by the prosecutors
are seen as aberrations.21 As Alldridge (2012) points out, the 2010 law is a
welcome shift from the traditional view of corruption as a form of
disloyalty to an emphasis on its negative impact on market competition. So
far, the limits of this statute have not been tested, with only a handful of
cases initiated and brought to judgment. Some commentators worry that the
law permits overly aggressive enforcement against firms; others argue just
the reverse both because of a defense based on a corporation’s internal
procedures and because of actual U.K. practice.22
Other legal systems, such as Germany’s, simply rule out corporate
criminal liability by fiat. We believe that this is a mistake because
organizations are more than the sum of the individual actions of their
employees. Corporations can have moral responsibilities (Donaldson 1989;
De George 1993). These obligations cannot always be reduced to individual
responsibilities. Instead, they stem from “the practices of the organization –
the internal and external patterns of relationships – that persist even as the
identities of the individuals who participate in them change” (Thompson
1987: 76; see also French 1979 and Cooper 1968). Deterrence requires that
the organization and its owners (i.e., stockholders) expect to bear costs if its
agents are corrupt. Of course, civil fines can sometimes serve the same
deterrence function, but even if firms cannot “feel” guilty, a criminal
conviction can stigmatize a firm in the eyes of customers, investors, and
potential employees. Going beyond stigma, a conviction appears to affect a
firm’s bottom line. Thus, Baucus and Baucus (1997) find that in the five
years following a corporate conviction, convicted firms experienced lower
financial returns, sales, and stock prices. Other studies (e.g., Aguzzoni,
Langus, and Motta 2013; Zeidan 2013) find similar effects at least in the
short run. Unfortunately, however, conviction does not necessarily act as a
deterrent to future criminal acts (Baucus and Near 1991), and neither the
severity of the crime nor repeated conviction has a marginal effect on firm
behavior (Baucus and Baucus 1997; Zeidan 2013). These results suggest
that a criminal conviction or settlement is not sufficient to turn around many
firms involved in corrupt deals. In the worst case, it is just seen as a cost of
doing business, not a wake-up call to rethink corporate behavior. Laufer
(2008: x) argues that “[a]voiding the strictures of corporate criminal law is
too often a matter of gaming both prosecutors and regulators with a mix of
cooperation, disclosures, and audits.” Furthermore, as we discuss in Chapter
11, outright bribery is not the only or even the most important way that
firms influence government behavior. Campaign contributions to elected
politicians and implied job offers for top bureaucrats may skew public
policy decisions as effectively as an under-the-table payoff and with less
risk of punishment for either firms or their management.
II. Gathering Evidence: Promising
Leniency and Rewarding Whistle-
Blowers
Effective deterrence is impossible unless law enforcement authorities can
obtain relevant evidence – a difficult task because often the participants are
the only ones who know of the corrupt deal. In such cases, the probability
of detection is a function of whether any of the participants has an incentive
to report. Those subject to extortion may report attempts, but promises of
low penalties or even rewards are often essential to encourage self-
reporting. However, such tactics are frequently criticized by anticorruption
commentators as inconsistent with the goals of the criminal law. For
example, the Group of States against Corruption (GRECO), a European
group, criticized a provision in Romanian law exempting bribers from
punishment if they inform authorities of their activities before a formal
investigation begins [Romanian Criminal Code, Art. 255(3)(5)]. The
GRECO report recognized that this could be a means to gather evidence
and initiate criminal proceedings against officials, but it worried that it
would weaken enforcement of the law against active bribery (GRECO
2002).
Standard work on the economics of crime does not confront the
problem of obtaining evidence from perpetrators. In those models, detection
is uncertain but independent of criminals’ actions. That assumption does not
hold for bribery and extortion, where a prime source of evidence is
information obtained from those engaged in the same corrupt transactions
that they reveal.
To proceed, suppose, first, that the benefit obtained in return for a
bribe is legal and would be available in an honest world to those who now
pay bribes. Because the bribers receive benefits to which they are legally
entitled, they believe that they are extortion victims who would be better off
in an honest world. Such bribe payers are potential allies in an
anticorruption effort and will likely cooperate in efforts to eliminate
payoffs. They should not be punished heavily because leniency will give
them an incentive to report corrupt demands and will encourage
beneficiaries of public programs to demand services that are free of payoff
demands. Thus, Basu (2011) has proposed that bribes paid in this context
should be legal so that it will be costless for extortion victims to report their
payoffs, thus increasing the risk to corrupt officials. Basu’s proposal has
provoked outraged critiques, and it does indeed raise serious problems of
distinguishing pure extortion from bribes paid for special treatment.
Furthermore, given the time and trouble, not to mention the personal risk, of
exposing entrenched corruption, few may bother to report bribe demands.
In response, Dufwenberg and Spagnolo (2014) modify Basu’s proposal: one
must report his or her payoff to the authorities before detection by law
enforcement bodies. This modification often reflects actual prosecutorial
practice and is the law in some polities. It is common for law enforcement
agencies in the United States to promise leniency, if not outright exemption
from prosecution, for those who either report corrupt arrangements or agree
to help gather evidence of ongoing activities. They may do this even for
bribe payers who do not fit the case of pure extortion.
Of course, such strategies, whether or not incorporated into formal law,
only make sense if the background probability of being caught and the level
of punishment are high. Otherwise, the incentive to report will not operate.
For example, Hungary has strong anticorruption laws on the books and
legal exemptions for whistle-blowers, but they have little effect because the
overall expected cost of corruption (i.e., the chance of detection and
conviction multiplied by the penalty) is very low (Batory 2012).
Moving beyond pure extortion, consider next a scarce but legal benefit
that is corruptly allocated to those willing to pay bribes. Neither those who
pay nor those who receive bribes will voluntarily report the corrupt
transaction unless law enforcement is very aggressive and credible. A
“cooperating witness” involved in payoffs may appear, however, if he or
she is found to have violated other laws, such as failing to pay taxes. In the
U.S. case against officials in the Fédération Internationale Football
Association (FIFA), for example, a key source of information is Chuck
Blazer, who was originally targeted by the Internal Revenue Service for tax
evasion. In 2011, he agreed to cooperate with the authorities, secretly
recording conversations with other FIFA officials.23 When he secretly pled
guilty to tax evasion and corruption in 2013,24 he volunteered $2 million of
an estimated $11 million in illicit wealth, and his cooperation with the
Federal Bureau of Investigation has bought him time, and, one assumes, a
reduction in the overall penalty when he is sentenced.25
In addition, disappointed bidders shut out of a public contract have
grievances and may report corrupt demands to law enforcement authorities
(Alam 1995). They should be rewarded for coming forward with evidence
even if the reason they lost the bid was not moral scruples, but their own
unwillingness to make a large enough payoff. The reward offered need not
equal their lost benefits from losing the contract because one consequence
of revealing corruption will be a rebid contract in which the whistle-blower
can compete.
Bribes paid to obtain illegal services are likely to be the most difficult
to control. Bribers are often also engaged in other illegal activities, and
those who fail in their corruption efforts can hardly come forward to claim
that they should have been the ones obtaining the illegal benefit.
Nevertheless, the very vulnerability of bribers can be used to uncover
corruption. They may accept lenient treatment with respect to, say, a
violation of the drug or tax laws, in return for providing evidence in a
corruption trial. Here, the law with respect to cartels in restraint of trade can
provide useful parallels. Leniency for the first firm that comes forward to
report a cartel is a common feature of the law in the United States and in
Europe, and analysts study ways to structure the rewards to maintain the
deterrence effect of punishment. Thus, one study recommends increasing
average penalties and making leniency conditional on the quality of the
evidence provided (Wils 2007).
An alternative system protects and rewards honest whistle-blowers
who come forward with evidence of wrongdoing. Reporting the peculations
of others can be dangerous. If corruption is systemic, one risks being
disciplined by corrupt superiors and attacked by co-workers. One study of
corruption in China suggests that this is a serious problem (Manion 2004).
The whistle-blower may even end up accused of corruption. Short of this,
whistle-blowers are likely to be fired or ostracized at work. If fired, it may
be difficult to find new employment. Any reward for providing evidence
will probably be forthcoming only after the case goes to trial and results in
a conviction or settlement with the payment of a fine, a percentage of which
goes to the whistle-blower. The reward may not be worth the wait. As a
result, the OECD (2014) reports that only 2% of the cases concluded since
1999 in the signatory states to the OECD Anti-Bribery Convention have
been brought to the attention of investigators by whistle-blowers. If we add
to this figure the self-reported cases that were discovered by internal
whistle-blowers, the figure rises to 7%.26 By comparison, law enforcement
discovered 13% of the cases.
The United States has two relevant statutes. The False Claims Act
rewards those in the private sector who report irregularities in government
contracts and protects whistle-blowers from reprisals (31 U.S.C. Sections
§§ 3729–3731; Howse and Daniels 1995; Kovacic 1996). The act pays
whistle-blowers a share of the total penalties and other damages levied
against firms for wrongdoing that has injured the federal government. The
second protects whistle-blowers inside government agencies from
retaliation but does not give them a financial reward [Whistleblower
Protection Act, Pub. L. No. 101–12, 5 U.S.C. § 2302 (b)(8)]. Such statutes
can help prevent malfeasance so long as they do not induce potential
whistle-blowers to create compromising situations, and so long as the
search for misdeeds does not lower the quality of public services. Thus, the
value of such statutes depends both on the likelihood of corruption and on
the opportunity cost of whistle-blowing activity.27
Sometimes public officials claim that firms virtually force bribes upon
them. To the extent this claim is credible, public officials could come
forward with evidence of corrupt offers and seek protection under the
Whistleblower Protection Act. Firms would predictably defend themselves
by arguing that the official demanded the payoff. The distinctions in
American law may be useful here. Under the False Claims Act, the court
can reduce the award for a whistle-blower who was involved in
wrongdoing, but only if he or she planned or initiated the wrongful conduct.
The award need not be eliminated, however, unless the whistle-blower is
convicted of a crime [31 U.S.C. § 3730 (d) (3) 2006]. Prosecutors with the
authority to grant criminal immunity can thus set up a kind of a race in
which the first to report the corrupt transactions will be rewarded while the
others are punished.28
Alternatively, the law might impose penalties on anyone who is part of
a corrupt deal and who failed to report it promptly. Then all participants
would worry that the other participants will report their corruption to
authorities as a way of avoiding future penalties. Just as with a reward
system, the idea is to create a race to the prosecutors that will deter
corruption ex ante.29 Both carrots and sticks, however, depend on the
existence of a credible system of law enforcement that might discover the
corrupt deal on its own.
If any of these techniques is used, it is important to publicize the
means by which whistle-blowers can report corruption. Many victims of
extortion and unwilling participants in the bribery of officials would like to
report the crime, but they do not know how. All offices that deal with the
public, and each public tender, should feature prominent announcements of
hotlines and websites where questionable behavior can be reported, with the
option of anonymity. If fear of reprisal is a real concern, electronic reports
of corruption are ever more important. Social media have also become a
means of revealing corruption, as victims surreptitiously record requests for
or payment of bribes and post them on YouTube or send them to news
outlets. While such evidence may not be admissible in court, it can be a
lead for investigators, who can then target the alleged corrupt public
servant, through either increased monitoring or a sting operation.
Finally, carefully orchestrated sting operations can be a valuable tool
so long as the criminal behavior they target is relatively clear-cut.30 The
possibility of a sting can encourage those offered or pressured for bribes to
come forward. If they do not, they will worry that the corrupt offer may be
a trap set by law enforcement authorities. Although the defendant may raise
the defense of entrapment,31 this is rarely successful in the United States,
especially if the defendant offered a bribe (69 A.L. R. 2d 1397).32 The U.S.
Federal Bureau of Investigation has made good use of sting operations in its
efforts to ferret out domestic corruption, but it has been less successful in
applying the technique to the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA, in 15
U.S.C. § 78). The most famous case is probably the Abscam sting,
involving an elaborate hoax that snared several members of Congress into
corrupt transactions involving a supposed Middle Eastern sheikh.33 Less
encouraging was a sting that led to 22 arrests in January 2010 for alleged
violations of the FCPA.34 Unfortunately, the evidence was not sufficient to
convince a jury in two trials, and the Department of Justice dropped the
subsequent cases against the remaining defendants.35 This is not to say that
stings are not possible in the future, but only to highlight their costs and
risks.
III. Private-to-Private Bribery
Sometimes bribes are paid in dealings between private firms or individuals
with no official government involvement (see Figure 1.1 in Chapter 1).
Commercial or private-to-private bribery occurs when the agents or
employees of one firm bribe the employees of another for favorable
treatment. Many cases are similar to those that arise in the corruption of
civil servants. Thus, a salesperson may bribe a purchasing agent to get
business or to accept low quality goods. Thus, a tomato vendor paid Kraft
Food buyers to accept substandard tomatoes contaminated by mold and
other defects. Bribes also helped undermine bidding processes designed to
select suppliers by inducing several firms’ purchasing agents to supply
information on other firms’ bids.36 In similar fashion, a franchisee might
pay a bribe to violate the terms of its contract. For example, in the 1980s
and 1990s, car dealers in the United States bribed Honda executives for
leases to open showrooms, or to receive popular models; they were
prosecuted under the criminal law when they began engaging in outright
embezzlement.37 As with public corruption, private-to-private corruption
often distorts markets, reduces competition, and thwarts regulations.
Some legal systems have special statutes criminalizing private-to-
private bribery, but many jurisdictions have no such laws and thus
prosecute the offenses under other legal provisions, like antitrust laws or
breaches of fiduciary duty. Sometimes interfirm payoffs are not against the
law unless they involve another illegal offense, such as extortion, money
laundering, or operation of an illegal business.38 Tort law or employment
law sometimes provides a form of enforcement, but they may be rather
cumbersome tools39 and may not be a sufficient deterrent. There are two
linked issues. First, the threat of criminal penalties may provide a more
effective deterrent than civil penalties or a firm’s internal disciplinary
procedures. The possibility of a prison sentence and the stigma of a
conviction may deter such corruption, even if the higher standards for proof
and the defendants’ greater procedural protections mean that conviction is
less likely. Second, some private-to-private bribery can have broader
systemic consequences. If widespread, it may spill over into interactions
with government bureaucrats, and it may provide a way for a firm to
cement a monopoly position that harms other customers and suppliers. For
example, Russia’s bid to host the 2014 winter Olympics, which some claim
was accompanied by corruption, led to further corruption in procurement
and concessions in the construction of the facilities and improvements to
roads and the power grid, causing costs to exceed four times the original
estimate.40 Bribes may be paid not just to get business but also to dilute
product quality, enforce cartels, and limit entry. Thus, the motivation for
enforcing the law in this area goes beyond its direct impact on private
business and merges with the discussion of public sector corruption.
The line between commercial bribery and public-sector bribery may be
blurred in practice for newly privatized firms or those with monopoly
power. Many legally “private” firms have some level of public ownership.
Even if they are entirely privately owned, the firms’ officials, including top
management, may collude with powerful outsiders to favor customers,
suppliers, or creditors at the expense of shareholders, especially minority
shareholders.41
Especially problematic are international bodies with specialized
governance responsibilities that are organized as private, nonprofit
associations subject to little oversight. Switzerland hosts 65 international
sports federations, including the Olympics and FIFA, in part because Swiss
law allows such associations to operate with little transparency and with tax
leniency.42 The problems with this model have come to light with a U.S.
case that led to fourteen indictments, nine of whom are FIFA officials,
including seven taken into custody in Switzerland in May 2015.43 FIFA,
although organized as a private, nonprofit association, is, in practice, a
hybrid organization that both makes profits from media sales and other
activities around the quadrennial World Cups and performs a quasi-public
function in allotting World Cup rights and overseeing preparations. It
straddles the line between a for-profit firm and a public entity. The World
Cup confers prestige and profits on host countries and media outlets, and
hence creates corrupt incentives for officials, promoters, and media
companies. The mix of public benefit and private gain combined with a set
of vague choice criteria make the process of selecting World Cup venues
especially open to corruption. FIFA operates with great opacity and with
none of the normal constraints for both private, for-profit firms and
government agencies. Allegations of corruption have surfaced frequently
over the years and led FIFA to create an Independent Governance
Committee that recommended changes. Its 2014 report strikes a balance
between praising positive steps and being clear that reform has not moved
far enough (FIFA Governance Reform Project 2014).
Because the officials of FIFA are not public officials, ordinary
antibribery laws do not apply, leaving prosecutors to rely on other legal
violations. Officials were charged, not with outright acceptance of bribes,
but with a variety of crimes, “including racketeering, wire fraud and money
laundering conspiracy,”44 terms usually applied to organized crime (see
Chapter 9). The Swiss arrests, however, may indicate a shift in Swiss legal
thinking and practice. Some Swiss politicians are recommending reform
that would impose more transparency and accounting oversight on such
associations.45 On the one hand, Marc Pieth, a Swiss lawyer and academic,
recommends that FIFA be treated as a for-profit company under Swiss law
(FIFA Governance Reform Project 2014). Alternatively, FIFA executives
and board members might be designated as “public officials” with regard to
the application of anti-bribery laws; the officials of other international
bodies with decision making and oversight responsibilities for major
international events could have the same status. Such a designation would
permit them to be charged under ordinary bribery laws.
IV. Corruption in Law Enforcement
So far we have assumed an honest system of law enforcement that deters
corruption. Unfortunately, corruption in law enforcement is widespread and
can affect the incidence of all types of crime. As we showed in Chapter 1
(Figure 1.4), the Global Corruption Barometer (GCB) reveals that
worldwide, the police and the judiciary have the highest levels of bribery
incidence of the eight services included: 31% and 24%, respectively.46
Obviously, if such corruption reduces the expected costs of breaking other
laws, it will encourage criminal behavior (Becker and Stigler 1974; Bowles
and Garoupa 1997; Polinsky and Shavell 2001). The optimal deterrence
strategy should take into account and seek to deter the corruption of
enforcers, such as the police (Bowles and Garoupa 1997). This could be
done through a mixture of organizational and personnel reforms combined
with better oversight.
However, it is at least possible that a corrupt system operates so that
the cost of breaking the law is higher under a corrupted law enforcement
system in which officials exercise their opportunities for illicit private gain.
Potential corrupt payments can be thought of as a common pool in which
the police all try to “fish” for private gain. No individual police officer takes
account of the fact that his or her extraction of payoffs limits those available
to others. They all race to collect payoffs, and their uncoordinated actions
may lead them to “overfish” for corrupt rents, thus deterring other forms of
illegality (Pashigian 1975). This effect is strongest when officers have
overlapping jurisdictions and weakest when each is assigned to a specific
“beat.”
Polinsky and Shavell (2001) model law enforcers as having three
options: first, soliciting bribes from offenders not to report a violation (or to
reduce the sanction); second, extorting a payment from an innocent person
by threatening to frame him or her; and, third, actually framing the
innocent. Thus, their distinction between bribery and extortion, although it
does not track the use of these terms in the criminal law, captures the
distinction between potential payers who are innocent or guilty of the
underlying offense. The control of corruption in law enforcement is
justified in their model because corruption limits the deterrent effect of the
law. They follow work on the law and economics of crime that recommends
the use of maximal fines up to the criminal’s wealth constraint (Becker and
Stigler 1974). They recommend the use of fines because they are much
cheaper for the government than putting people in prison and should have
equivalent deterrent effects for those able to pay the fine. Becker and Stigler
demonstrate the social value of maximally fining both law enforcers and
offenders who engage in bribery as well as enforcers who frame the
innocent.47 Of course, law enforcement officials, especially in developing
countries, are not well paid and cannot be deterred by fines that exceed their
family’s wealth.
Polinsky and Shavell’s most surprising conclusion is that pure
extortion, the second option, should not be punished. This is because its
punishment will push corrupt enforcers either to frame the innocent or to
demand higher extortion payments from the innocent. This result arises
from the structure of their model in which the victims of extortion have no
escape route. They are caught in a trap in which outside law enforcement
can do no more than raise the costs to extortionists, hence encouraging them
to demand higher payoffs. This seems an extreme and unrealistic
conclusion. A better response would be to make it easy for bribe payers to
report such extortion and to be granted leniency for helping law
enforcement to catch the extortionists.
For Garoupa and Klerman (2004) bribery is a second-best way to
introduce monetary penalties when nonmonetary sanctions (e.g.,
imprisonment) predominate. They show that, in the presence of corruption,
nonmonetary sanctions generate high bribes – equivalent to fines – paid to
avoid prison. In practice, ordinary crime is deterred by the expectation of
bribe payments. In a fully corrupt system no one goes to prison, and the
state benefits from the resulting cost savings. This model, of course,
assumes that bribe demands actually deter crime rather than simply being a
way of sharing the monopoly profits of criminal activity between the police
and the criminals. As Garoupa recognizes in later work, it neglects the
possibility that the unequal opportunities for payoffs across different types
of police work will distort enforcement priorities (Echazu and Garoupa
2010).
The economic models of corruption in law enforcement are also
consistent with research that looks favorably on privatizing law
enforcement. Under this view, tolerating the bribery of enforcers is worse
than policies that legally incentivize enforcers by giving them private
incentives to work diligently to enforce the law. For example, Becker and
Stigler (1974); Benson, Leburn, and Rasmussen (1998); and Polinsky and
Shavell (2001) suggest that bounties be paid to enforcers for successful law
enforcement activity. This is supported by the empirical work of Mast,
Benson, and Rasmussen (2000) that finds that asset forfeiture laws create
incentives for police departments to enforce drug laws.48 However, these
authors then claim that privatizing law enforcement through corruption
could be a desirable second-best result in a world where enforcers must be
paid a fixed salary. That tolerant view, however, is overly optimistic. If
penalties are low, bounty hunters might induce people to submit to arrest in
return for a share of the bounty.49 If one adds in the possibility of coercive
extortion and intimidation combined with threats of violence, the quasi-
privatization of enforcement, as Polinsky and Shavell recognize, increases
the incentives to extort and frame the innocent. Their analysis points to the
importance of establishing credible checks so that those subject to extortion
or framing have a safe and effective way to file complaints. Moves toward a
legal bounty system or toleration of corruption could tilt the entire system
into a violent, rent-seeking free-for-all. The system could end up dominated
by powerful criminal mafias able to organize corrupt payoffs and intimidate
rank-and-file officials and ordinary citizens, whether or not they engage in
criminal activity.
An extreme alternative would be to legalize the criminal activity, thus
removing the incentive to corrupt the police and the courts. Such a decision
should balance the costs of corruption versus the costs of decriminalizing
the activity. For example, the crux of the argument for legalizing certain
narcotics is that their criminalization imposes higher costs on society – in
terms of associated violence, imprisonment of small-scale users or dealers,
related health problems, and the corrupting effect of organized crime – than
the underlying drug use (Global Commission on Drug Policy 2011). Short
of the legalization of some corruption-prone markets, privatization of law
enforcement does not appear to be a desirable option given the downsides
highlighted here.
Conclusion
As we argued in prior chapters, the criminal law should not be the first or
the only line of attack against corruption. Rather, programs should be
redesigned or eliminated, and government should operate in an accountable
and transparent manner. This is especially true in law enforcement and
judicial systems in which corruption undermines the laws on the books.
That said, it remains true that law enforcement against bribery and extortion
has a backup role to play as a disincentive to corruption. Economic analysis
can help with the design of optimal law enforcement strategies.
Looking at a range of cases, it appears that the laws on the books are
often quite far from the recommendations of law and economics. Penalties
seem poorly tied to the marginal benefits of bribery, both to those who pay
and to those who receive bribes. Small bribes seem to be more effectively
deterred than larger ones, unless prosecutorial discretion makes up for the
legal language. The penalties levied on bribers are not well tied to their
gains. The tension between obtaining evidence to bring a case and
deterrence ex ante has seldom been recognized and has been imperfectly
resolved. There is no solid evidence to determine if giving corrupt
individuals leniency in return for their evidence and testimony limits
corruption or encourages people to participate ex ante. Many countries have
difficulty deterring organizations as opposed to individuals because the
criminal law only applies to individuals. Reform of the law of bribery and
extortion remains a necessary, if not sufficient, area of reform where
economic analysis can help guide the debate.
1 This chapter is an updated and expanded version of portions of Rose-
Ackerman (2010b). Miguel de Figueiredo provided very helpful research
assistance for the original article.
2 Some of the work on the economics of crime counts the benefits and
costs to the criminals as part of the overall social calculus. See, e.g.,
Andrianova and Melissas (2009) and Bowles and Garoupa (1997). In
contrast, we argue that if the state criminalizes some activity, that is a
judgment that the benefits to the criminal ought to be omitted from the
social calculus. An offense should be treated as a civil matter under, say,
tort or nuisance law, if society wishes to trade off the benefits to the
perpetrator against the costs. Of course, it is open to debate whether or
not to include corrupt benefits in the social welfare function. If a policy
maker believes that the gains should be counted, that is an argument for
decriminalizing the offense.
8 At present, Chilean law treats bribe payers and bribe recipients more
symmetrically. However, if the payer responded to a bribe request instead
of volunteering the payment, the maximum prison term is reduced. The
official’s penalties can also be higher if his or her action in response to
the bribe is also a crime. Chilean Criminal Code, December 2, 2009,
Article 248–251, available under “Código Penal” at
http://www.bcn.cl/lc/lmsolicitadas/cr (accessed October 14, 2015).
(Thanks to Fernando Munoz, Yale LLM ‘09, for information on the
Chilean law.)
20 The practice originated in 1994 with cases against Wall Street firms
not necessarily involving corruption. “A Mammoth Guilt Trip,” The
Economist, August 30, 2014. See also Garrett (2014). The advantage for
prosecutors is that they can impose a penalty without getting the approval
of a court. The disadvantage is the lack of transparency for the public
about what kind of wrongdoing is being sanctioned and at what scale.
Furthermore, little is known about the ultimate impact of such
arrangements.
24 Dubbed “soccer rat” by the New York Daily News in a report that
predates the arrests by six months. Teri Thompson, Mary Papenfuss,
Christian Red, and Nathanial Vinton, “Soccer Rat! The Inside Story of
How Chuck Blazer, Ex-U.S. Soccer Executive and FIFA Bigwig, Became
a Confidential Informant for the FBI,” New York Daily News, November
1, 2014, http://www.nydailynews.com/sports/soccer/soccer-rat-ex-u-s-
soccer-exec-chuck-blazer-fbi-informant-article-1.1995761 (accessed
October 13, 2015).
39 See Heine, Huber, and Rose (2003) for an overview of the law and
practice of commercial bribery in thirteen countries at the turn of the
twenty-first century, sponsored by the International Chamber of
Commerce.
47 The notion of a “maximal fine” comes from work on the law and
economics of crime that views imprisonment and other nonmonetary
sanctions as a waste of resources so long as convicted criminals have
monetary resources that can be expropriated by the state. The maximal
fine is the largest fine that an individual can pay given his wealth
constraint (Becker 1968; Becker and Stigler 1974).
Corruption as a Cultural
Problem
7
Culture and Corruption
◈
Source: Authors.
Although gifts differ from prices because of the lack of an explicit quid
pro quo, there may be more subtle links between gifts and beneficiaries’
behavior. A university may start a new professional school in the hope of
attracting donations, and a child may work hard in the hope of attracting
parental gifts. Nevertheless, many gifts are purely altruistic transfers with
no expectation of a material reward. They may provide psychological
benefits such as the “warm glow” of sympathy, or the satisfaction of living
up to a moral commitment (Sen 1977; Andreoni 1988; Rose-Ackerman
1996a) but no tangible gains. Some self-sacrificing gifts harm the giver, as
when a person imposes sacrifices on family members or, in the extreme,
gives up his or her life for another person or for a cause.6
In terms of standard economic analysis, gifts come closer to being
prices as they move down the scale from gifts to charitable organizations
and causes; to gifts to needy, but unknown individuals; to gifts to friends
and relatives; to gifts to people and institutions in a position to benefit the
giver.7 But simple economics is only part of the story. Personal relations
between giver and receiver or buyer and seller are an important dimension
of many transactions that have intrinsic value independent of their role in
regulating the transaction.8
Now consider the two agency relationships displayed in the table.
Agents are generally paid by their principals, not outsiders, such as
customers or sales representatives. The principal develops a system of
remuneration and monitoring that gives agents an incentive to perform well.
Most discussions of the relative merits of alternative remuneration schemes
assume that laziness and shirking are the problem, not payoffs offered by a
third party. There is a two-sided relationship between principal and agent
operating with given background conditions.9 Some scholars have brought
in a third party and use their models to analyze the problem of corruption
(Rose-Ackerman 1978; Tirole 1986, 1996).
Pervasive bribery may indicate that society has structured the agency
relationship inefficiently. If customers commonly bribe agents, perhaps it
would be more efficient to have the customers hire the agents to deal with
their old principals. For example, suppose an automobile company provides
free repair service to those who purchase its cars. In practice, customers
eager for good service bribe repairmen to provide speedy, high-quality
work. The fact that the customer is better at monitoring the repairman than
the automobile company suggests that the service can be more efficiently
provided by a contract between the customer and the repairman than by a
contract between the repairman and the automobile company. In spite of
this incentive for commercial bribery, the automobile company might
continue to provide repairs as part of the warranty provided ex ante to
buyers. Warranties improve a firm’s competitive position by reducing the
risk faced by customers, but like all insurance policies, they create
monitoring costs ex post (Cramton and Dees 1993: 366–7). Similar issues
arise in many professional service industries where customers buy the
expertise of others. They can judge output – good health, a large damage
award in a lawsuit – but cannot directly observe the quality of inputs. Is it
more efficient to hire the professional directly or to pay a lump sum to a
large organization (say an insurance company) that then monitors and
reimburses the professionals? Should the outright sale of lawsuits to
attorneys be permitted, thus avoiding the agency/principal problem
altogether? Should the state subsidize legal services across the board?
To see the difficulties of the last possibility, suppose that the state
provides free lawyers to anyone who brings a lawsuit and pays the lawyers
a fixed fee. Suppose further that many clients make secret payments to their
lawyers to induce greater work. If this type of commercial bribery is
common, it implies that the sale of legal services should be privatized with
a residual subsidized program for the indigent. In contrast, evidence that the
parties to a lawsuit are paying judges to get favorable rulings does not
imply that one should legalize such payments. They undermine the very
idea of the rule of law. The judge is not the agent of the parties but has
sworn to uphold general legal principles. This is in the long run interest of
those who use the courts. Recognizing this, even private commercial
arbitration services structure their payment systems to avoid links between
substantive decisions and the arbitrators’ financial rewards.
The state’s lack of organizational flexibility limits its ability to
reorganize the agency relationship. A government uses agents where private
businesses would simply sell their services directly. Conversely, the public
sector uses contracts where private firms would vertically integrate because
of monitoring difficulties. Sometimes deregulation and privatization can
correct these difficulties, but some constraints are inherent in the special
nature of government services. Legitimate public functions cannot by their
nature be organized like private markets. This fact implies that not all
incentives for corruption in public programs can be eliminated.
In some contexts, it may be difficult to distinguish between bribes and
tips. Both are informal payments by customers to compensate agents for
their services. Even the size of these payments may be similar, and they are
often made in cash. Furthermore, in many societies, both supplement the
wages earned by those in low-paid positions.10 The main difference
between bribes and tips lies in the agency relationship: while tips reinforce
the principal’s objectives, bribes subvert them.11 With tips, the quid pro quo
is vague and service is usually delivered before the tip is paid. They are
“legally optional, informally bestowed, the amount unspecified, variable,
and arbitrary” (Zelizer 1994: 91). Tips permit customers to pass judgment
on the quality of service in situations in which business owners may have
difficulty evaluating quality. If customers are better monitors than
managers, tips make sense. In contrast, if management can infer good
service from high levels of individual sales, it can reward the employees
directly (e.g., in commissions). A restaurant might reward its waiters on the
basis of the number of meals served, much as tips do. But such a scheme
would be less effective than tipping. Tying rewards to a mixture of volume
and quality is more efficient, and allowing customers to pay agents directly
for good service is one way to accomplish this. A public-sector example
occurred in Myanmar where one clean traffic cop (among the many who try
to extort payments from drivers) directed traffic effectively. In gratitude,
drivers on the crowded streets showed their appreciation with food,
beverages, and cash.12
Both tips and gifts can become bribes. Many would describe their
payments to service providers as gifts for good service, not tips or bribes.
However, either can function like a bribe. Suppose, for example, that tips
led agents to discriminate between customers in a way that undercuts the
revenues flowing to the principal. Imagine that waiters, like corrupt
customs agents, gave diners discounts on their meals or served extra dishes
in return for payoffs or that the concierge took tips for reserving a table
when the restaurant has no openings. These payments are similar to paying
a police officer to avoid a parking violation fee or a speeding ticket, or
paying a detective for solving the homicide case of a loved one rather than
following the priorities set by his or her superiors. Bribes are paid for
access to hospitals or schools in some countries; tips, often posing as gifts,
are made to health care workers or teachers out of gratitude for their service
or as an expression of respect, but the line between the two is often murky,
especially when the intention is difficult to gauge. In transitional Russia, for
example, doctors in maternity hospitals resented bribes – which they
identified as large payments made before birth, to “guarantee” good service
– but appreciated small gifts of thanks offered after a successful birth;
eventually, as real salaries fell and the hospital bureaucracy came to be
viewed as corrupt, doctors welcomed both types of payment (Rivkin-Fish
2005).13
Corrupt officials and private individuals may structure their
interactions to blur the line between bribes and gifts in order to avoid
prosecution and to overcome resistance from those on the other side of the
transaction. Publicly listed “tips” or “gifts” may publicize the benefits that
some obtain from making payments. The quid pro quo is often paid in the
same “currency” as the initial benefit – e.g., votes on bills or favoritism on
contracts. Taken in isolation the behavior looks like favoritism, not
corruption. A gift has been given or a favor done that some may view as
inappropriate. The gain to the person who does the favor is not easy to
identify. Only the reputation for doing well by people who have helped you
in the past sustains the system.
A disadvantage of bribes is that their illegality may make it hard to
establish a reputation for favoring those who make payoffs. Suppose, for
example, that the official price is uniform, but that agents can provide
special favors or benefits to some customers. If they do this, others may
experience declines in service. Then gifts from some customers may induce
others to give as well. This seems to be the aim of parking garage attendants
who publicly listed gifts from monthly parkers (Tierney 1995). The spiral in
gift giving would be especially powerful if there is a scarcity of desirable
parking spots; parkers are engaged in a “war of attrition.”14 They are
induced to give not only to avoid a stingy reputation, but also to assure
good service. Parking lot owners may try to capture some of these gains by
charging different prices for different quality spaces. The inevitable
discretion exercised by the attendants, however, means that owners will not
be able to extract all of the gains.
Some corrupt “markets” operate the same way, but are less effective
because bribes cannot usually be posted for all to see. Campaign
contributions frequently skirt the narrow line between gifts and bribes and
fall on one side or the other depending upon the vagaries of campaign
finance laws.15 Potential contributors may be more likely to donate if they
are informed about the donations of others. The possibility of an escalating
spiral of donations suggests that politicians might publish lists of their
contributors even if the law does not require it. The effectiveness of such a
list, however, depends upon the motivations of contributors. If they are only
concerned with the election of a particular person, information on the
generosity of others could discourage further gifts. In contrast, if
contributors, like the automobile parkers, seek an advantage over their
rivals, news of their rivals’ gifts could spur them to give more.
Paradoxically, the closer a gift is to a bribe in this context, the more useful
publicity can be as a spur to donations.
Developed market economies draw many formal and informal lines
between impersonal market trades and official functions, on the one hand,
and personal ties, on the other.16 Conflict-of-interest and campaign finance
laws regulate the links between money and politics. Norms of behavior
limit the intrusion of the market into family relationships and friendship.
Journalism standards prevent reporters from accepting money to write
particular stories. Yet, even so, the distinctions between prices, bribes, gifts,
and tips are difficult both to draw and to evaluate normatively. In
developing countries the problem is much more vexing. The line between
market and family and between the public and the private sectors is often
blurred, uncertain, and in flux.
II. The Impact of Gender and Religion
on Corruption
In distinguishing bribes from their close cousins – gifts, tips, and prices –
we stressed the element of choice and evolution. Both formal rules and
tolerated practices vary over time, space, and sector. This variation makes it
difficult to measure both corruption and culture and to track their
interrelationships. Nevertheless, there have been some efforts based on
individual surveys and cross-country data sets. Most empirical attempts to
identify the effects of “cultural” values on corruption have focused on two
easily identifiable aspects: gender and religion.
A. Gender
A number of studies have found that women are, on average, less corrupt
than men, holding a country’s background level of corruption constant.17
The definition of “corrupt” varies from one study to another, but, in general,
women are found to be both less tolerant of corruption (Swamy et al. 2001)
and less prone to engage in it (Frank and Schulze 1998; Swamy et al. 2001;
Alatas et al. 2009a). At worst, women are not more corrupt than men (Sung
2003; Alatas et al. 2009b; Armantier and Boly 2014).18 The explanation
typically offered is that women exhibit more “feminine” traits, such as
looking out for the greater good and quality of life, while men exhibit more
“masculine” traits like competitiveness and materialism. Using Hofstede’s
measures of culture,19 at least three cross-country studies (Husted 1999;
Davis and Ruhe 2003; McLaughlin 2013) have found that “masculinity,” as
defined by Hofstede, is associated with higher levels of corruption.
Both Swamy et al. (2001) and Dollar, Fisman, and Gatti (2001) find
that lower levels of corruption are associated with higher participation of
women in politics or, equivalently, female labor force participation, a highly
correlated variable. However, there is likely an interaction between the
effect of gender on corruption and the institutions of political life. Thus,
Sung (2003) finds that the gender effect disappears when the rule of law
and freedom of the press are included, so that both lower corruption and
higher participation of women in politics may be the result of societal
evolution. Chaudhuri (2012) notes that in several studies, the gender gap is
weaker in developing countries – where corruption tends to be more of a
problem – than in wealthier countries. In a more detailed study (Esarey and
Chirillo 2013), the gender gap in attitudes toward corruption was larger in
democracies than in autocracies, and female participation in government
was inversely related to corruption in democracies only. That result is, of
course, in some tension with Sung’s conclusion that gender differences
disappear when societies have press freedom and the rule of law. Goetz
(2007) argues that, if women in politics and bureaucracies are less corrupt
than men, it is mainly due to lack of opportunity because they do not have
the same access to patronage networks. In addition, women may not seek to
be insiders if such inclusion could expose them to sexual innuendo and
harassment. In her fieldwork in South Asia, Goetz observed women
engaging in and encouraging illicit or borderline practices with other
women, but not in male-dominated environments. The implication of these
studies is that institutions shape human behavior, whether the person is
male or female.
Of course, reverse causality is possible. As Goetz (2007) indicates,
many women in South Asia have entered politics due to their family ties
and the inability or unwillingness of parties to generate independent female
candidates. Many are, for example, the widows of former politicians. If,
however, women choose to enter politics, and if women find corruption
more distasteful than men do, we would expect to find more women self-
selecting into politics in countries where corruption is lower. Therefore,
lower corruption would cause the female proportion in politics to increase.
This argument fits well with the results reported by Esarey and Chirillo
(2013), noted previously, who find that female political participation is
higher in democracies that are less corrupt.
Furthermore, even if a gender bias does exist in the population at large,
it does not necessarily follow that filling parliamentary seats with women
will alleviate the problem of corruption. Presumably, the distribution of
traits among women and men overlaps even if the means are different.
Because politicians are not randomly drawn from the male and female
populations, one cannot presume that those who self-select into political life
will differ very much by gender. For example, female mayors in the United
States do not seem to produce better results compared to their male
counterparts; the gender of the mayor has no impact on crime rates,
municipal spending, or employment (Ferreira and Gyourko 2014). In
addition, if women join existing political networks or parties, they may
have little impact on outcomes whatever their underlying beliefs. If female
Members of Parliament are divided along party lines, they will find it
difficult to form a coalition that can promote honesty in government even if
they favor such policies. In Afghanistan, for example, the 2004 Constitution
establishes that women must hold at least two parliamentary seats in each
province.20 This requirement has not significantly changed the legal
landscape. Not only are women a minority, but some argue that many
women in parliament merely vote as instructed by male party members.21
Similarly, Mexico’s constitutional quota for female candidates in
congressional elections has been undermined by the common practice of a
victorious woman stepping down to allow her – male – substitute to take
her place.22
In contrast, favoring women in public-sector employment has been
more effective, although even there difficulties arise. On the plus side,
placing women in positions where they interact with citizens can limit
payoffs. For example, female cashiers introduced in the water sector in
Benin and Cote D’Ivoire were less susceptible to bribery and fraud than
men (Plummer and Cross 2007: 250). Similarly, in parts of Mexico, Peru,
and other Latin American countries, police reforms have included hiring
female police officers to reduce corruption, with some success (Karim
2011).23 Because citizens perceive women as more honest and trustworthy,
the expectation of bribery is lower. Some female Peruvian traffic officers
equated bribery to prostitution, indicating that they would feel
uncomfortable accepting or demanding bribes. The long-term results of
these programs, however, point to the difficulties of simplistic solutions. In
Peru, women entered the police force full of hope and pride, only to find
themselves in dead-end jobs with low pay, few benefits, and discriminatory
policies. Efforts to address corruption higher up the hierarchy (in
procurement, pensions, and benefits, where men dominate) were met with
resistance (ibid.). The police force in Peru is still perceived as highly
corrupt. According to the 2013 Global Corruption Barometer, 80% of
Peruvians believed the police to be corrupt or extremely corrupt; 44% of
respondents who had had contact with the police in the previous year
admitted to paying a bribe. Furthermore, simply hiring women for the
lowest street-level positions can fuel resentment among women denied
promotions. One of the ironies of placing more women in positions where
they interact with the public is that their very honesty may prevent them
from rising in the ranks.
In general, gender quotas may help increase the fairness of political
and bureaucratic life, but they do not appear to be a robust way to overcome
pervasive corruption.24 Such “hard power” policies may offer a short-term
solution, but will not necessarily lead to the desired outcome. Indeed, such
policies may deepen the us-versus-them mentality that often contributes to
corruption.
Instead, “soft power” measures to change the culture appear to be a
better option, although the empirical evidence is spotty. Rather than
discriminate by gender, a long-term attempt to instill more “feminine” traits
in the populace is more likely to yield lasting results – a strategy that would
need to view these traits as universally desirable, not gender specific.
The basic point is that if an easily measured trait – for example, gender
– is associated with less corruption, it does not follow that simply focusing
on that trait will do much to solve the problem. The association, if it exists,
likely depends on complex issues related to family life and education that
vary across individuals, and the nature of state institutions that vary across
countries. The impact of culture is probably too subtle to be captured by
simple metrics, such as gender. Furthermore, it is possible that the empirical
findings reflect the effects of long-run evolutionary processes that have led
some countries to be both more egalitarian and less corrupt.
B. Religion
Similar concerns arise in reviewing the evidence on religion. Following
Weber’s hypothesis regarding the Protestant ethic and economic
development, many researchers have included Protestantism (the
percentage of the population that is Protestant, or was so at some point in
time) in regressions of corruption. Some find that Protestantism is
associated with lower corruption (Treisman 2000; Paldam 2001; Haque and
Kneller 2009); others do not (Lambsdorff 2002; Quinn 2008). To the best of
our knowledge, no study has found Protestantism to be associated with
higher corruption. Expanding on this, some include other religions in an
attempt to identify those religious traditions that influence corruption levels,
for better or worse.25 Paldam (2001) tests the effects of eleven religious
groups on corruption levels, controlling for GDP per capita (measured in
terms of purchasing power parity). He finds that only the Reformed
Christian (Protestant and Anglican) and tribal religions are associated with
lower corruption, while Catholic, Orthodox Christian, and Islamic countries
have higher levels of corruption.26 The correlation between Protestantism
and corruption may, however, be another case of reverse causality:
One of the key purposes of the Reformation (almost 500 years ago)
was precisely to fight the corruption (broadly defined) of the Catholic
Church.... It is thus arguable that reverse causality entered into the
Reformation process. It was the more “moralist” countries, who [sic]
chose the various “Reformist” denominations, while those more
“tolerant” remained with their old denominations. However, this
happened long ago. In the meantime there have been many changes
within all denominations – including “moral reforms” also within the
Catholic Church. So it is amazing that such a large gap in “ethics” still
remains.
(Paldam 2001: 404)
5 See also the experimental studies of Cameron et al. (2009) carried out
in Australia with Chinese immigrants: convergence toward Western
norms increased with time spent in the country. In-group trust fell and
trust in Australians increased with time.
10 Indeed, the origin of tips seems to have been class based (Azar 2004).
15 See Jane Fritsch, “A Bribe’s Not a Bribe When It’s a Donation,” New
York Times, News of the Week in Review, January 28, 1996,
http://www.nytimes.com/1996/01/28/weekinreview/the-envelope-please-
a-bribe-s-not-a-bribe-when-it-s-a-donation.html (accessed October 15,
2015).
21 Aryn Baker, “Afghan Women and the Return of the Taliban,” Time
Magazine, August 9, 2010,
http://content.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,2007407,00.html
(accessed November 6, 2014).
23 On Mexico, see also BBC News World: Americas, “Traffic Police Get
Female Force,” July 31, 1999,
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/408622.stm (accessed November 6,
2014) and Carrie Kahn, “Mexican State’s Anti-Corruption Plan: Hire
Female Traffic Cops,” NPR, September 28, 2013,
http://www.npr.org/2013/09/28/226903227/mexican-state-s-anti-
corruption-plan-hire-women-traffic-cops (accessed November 6, 2014).
36 Empirical work has found that in the workplace trust can only be
created by “procedural justice.” Decisions must be fair and must be seen
to be fair with opportunities for appeal (Kim and Mauborgne 1995).
47 See Hauk and Saez-Marti (2002) for a theoretical model making this
point.
57 The former was published in Business Week, January 31, 1994, 18.
The latter was published in Business Week, December 11, 1995, 26. They
are reprinted in Becker and Becker (1996: 210, 203).
59 Olivier de Sardan (1999: 28–35, 38–41); see also Hasty (2005: 274–8)
(making the same point with respect to Ghana); Smith (2001: 346–9)
(similarly, for Nigeria).
60 The tribunal did, however, require the parties to split the tribunal’s
costs and to bear the costs of their own lawyers. World Duty Free Co. v.
Republic of Kenya, ICSID Case No. Arb/00/07 (October 4, 2006),
available at www.Transnational-Dispute-Management.com (accessed
October 15, 2015). See also Chapter 14.
62 James Van Zorge, “Cut Red Tape and You Cut Corruption,” Jakarta
Globe, November 30, 2009,
http://jakartaglobe.beritasatu.com/archive/cut-red-tape-and-you-cut-
corruption/ (accessed October 15, 2015).
Corruption as a Political
Problem
8
Politics, Corruption, and
Clientelism
◈
Source: Authors.
I. Kleptocracy
Consider first the case in which a kleptocratic ruler faces a large number of
unorganized potential bribe payers. In the extreme, a powerful head of
government can organize the political system to maximize its rent
extraction possibilities. Such a “stationary bandit” (in Mancur Olson’s
phase) can act like a private monopolist, striving for productive efficiency,
but restricting the output of the economy to maximize profits (Olson 1993).
A private monopoly underproduces output because it earns profits from the
difference between selling prices and costs. If a kleptocrat, like a private
monopolist, sold private goods to individuals and firms, it too would restrict
output (Findlay 1991; Przeworski and Limongi 1993: 58–9; Shleifer and
Vishny 1993). For example, if the state runs the railroads and the telephone
system it may set monopoly prices, restricting supply to maximize rents.
Similarly, a kleptocratic ruler of a country that dominates the world supply
of some raw material or agricultural product would restrict production to
keep world prices high and extract the profits. At the same time, he would
seek to isolate this business from everyday politics. The ruler will sacrifice
the benefits of patronage and petty favoritism to obtain the profits generated
by a well-run monopoly business. Thus if the key export sector is in state
hands, the ruler will favor a meritocratic system of recruitment and
promotion that rewards high productivity and good business practices.10
The kleptocrat will favor policies that transfer the most resources into his
pocket while maintaining the economy’s productivity. The kleptocrat will
oppose policies that distribute benefits widely throughout society with little
opportunity to extract payoffs at the center. Corrupt rulers will support
policies that produce personalized gains even if they result in lower overall
social wealth.
Most kleptocrats, however, are not as all-powerful as Olson’s
stationary bandit. Their goal is personal wealth maximization, but the tools
at their disposal are imperfect. They control the state but not the entire
economy. They may have a weak and disloyal civil service, a poor resource
base, and a vague and confusing legal framework. The ruler must work with
the levers at hand, and these may be quite inefficient rent-generation
devices. He or she supports some interventions that do not increase overall
national income because they provide personal benefits to him or her as
head of state. Even the kleptocrat, however, eventually reaches the point
where the inefficiencies of additional government intervention become so
large that marginal bribe revenues fall. The weak kleptocrat is likely to
favor a bloated and inefficient state to maximize corrupt possibilities.
Citizens in a weak kleptocracy prefer a smaller-than-optimal government
when the government is corrupt, but they get one that is too large.11
Examples that illustrate this model quite well were the long-running
dictatorships of President Alfredo Stroessner of Paraguay (1954–89) and
Mobutu Sese Seko of Zaire (1965–97), and the rule of François and Jean-
Claude Duvalier in Haiti (1957–86). In North Africa the rule of Presidents
Hosni Mubarak in Egypt (1981–2011) and Zine El Abidine Ben-Ali in
Tunisia (1987–2011) also fit the pattern.
In Paraguay, according to one scholar:
The key point here is not Stroessner’s kleptocratic aims per se, but his
“retinue” that insisted on accumulating wealth for itself. Instead of running
an efficient monopoly state, Stroessner ensured military support by
allowing the top brass to engage in contraband, narcotics trafficking, and
trade in arms (ibid.). Projects such as a dam, an unneeded cement plant, and
an airport produced corrupt gains for Stroessner and his associates but were
not wealth-maximizing choices for the country as a whole (ibid.: 244–5).
Similarly in Zaire, President Mobutu and his associates “looted” the
state. Mobutu placed a third of the state budget under his control and
reportedly siphoned off a quarter of gross receipts from copper exports. But
Mobutu also had to share his corrupt gains with both high-level cronies and
low-level customs inspectors and other officials. Corruption and predation
undermined the formal private sector, and grandiose infrastructure projects
were used as sources of payoffs for the president and his associates
(Wedeman 1997: 462–5). Clearly Zaire, with its kleptocratic ruler, was not
run like a productively efficient profit-maximizing monopoly.
In Haiti the dictatorship benefitted “just a few thousand people
connected by marriage, family ties or friendship to those in power.”
Political instability arose “not so much from popular movements ... but
from fellow members of the elite seeking a larger share of the spoils of
power” (Grafton and Rowlands 1996: 267). According to the U.S.
Department of Commerce, in 1977–8 government misappropriation of
funds was 63% of government revenue (cited in ibid.). The kleptocratic
aims of the top rulers produced an inefficient scramble for gains.
Institutions were created that impeded development; state monopolies were
used as “cash cows,” and the state discriminated against people of
motivation and ability (ibid.: 268–9).
This same situation played out in Egypt under Hosni Mubarak (1981–
2011), where international firms had to pay large “consulting fees” and
engage in joint investment with the dictator’s sons, and politically
connected development projects were granted on very favorable terms,
while widespread development failed to reach the populace (Adly 2011).
Empirical studies of the fate of firms connected with Mubarak and his
family before and after his downfall reveal the extent of favoritism involved
(Chekir and Diwan 2014). In Tunisia, Zine El-Abidine Ben-Ali (1987–
2011) was fined $66 million and sentenced in absentia to 35 years
imprisonment for the “embezzlement and misuse of public funds.”
Investigators found $27 million worth of jewels and cash at one of his
homes.12 Statistical analysis of the relative economic success of firms
connected and unconnected with him and his family revealed large benefits
to being in the favored group (Rijkers, Freund, and Nucifora 2014).
As these cases demonstrate, a corrupt ruler influences not only the size
of government but also the mixture of taxes and spending priorities. Taxes,
regulations, subsidies, price fixing, and privatizations are examples of
public-sector activities that kleptocrats can manipulate for their own
benefit. Because tax breaks can be awarded to corrupt individuals and firms
in return for bribes, kleptocrats may set high nominal tax rates to encourage
payoffs. They may set heavy duties on necessities used by the poor and
exempt luxuries. In Haiti between the 1910s and the 1970s, for example,
goods such as expensive liquor were almost untaxed, but duties were high
on cotton, textiles, soap, and kerosene (Lundahl 1997: 35).
Kleptocrats view the regulatory system as a source of personal profits.
Thus regulations and licensing requirements may be imposed that have no
justification other than to create a bottleneck that firms will pay to avoid.
Efficient regulatory reforms will be opposed by the kleptocrat if the reforms
would convert illegal into legal pricing systems. The kleptocrat will focus
subsidies on individuals and business firms willing to pay for them. Of
course, even corrupt autocrats may need to satisfy the mass of the
population in order to maintain power, but they will also promulgate
programs that induce the wealthy to pay for benefits. The ruler, for
example, might institute a system of investment subsidies with discretion to
distribute these benefits. No one can obtain these benefits as a matter of
right. Everyone must bid to obtain them from the ruler. The allocation of
scarce foreign exchange and access to credit are additional sources of rents
for rulers.
A kleptocratic ruler can affect the benefits of privatization. He or she is
likely to be especially eager to privatize monopolies that earn excess profits
so long as he or she can extract a share of the gains. But it is one thing for a
kleptocrat to want to privatize a state firm, and quite another for private
investors to make bids. A private firm will have little value to investors if it
can be taxed out of all its profits, renationalized at will without adequate
compensation, or excessively and arbitrarily regulated. Only if the state can
credibly commit to a reasonable future policy, will the firm be worth more
as a private entity. But a corrupt ruler faces special difficulties because he or
she is committed only to personal enrichment. Furthermore, even if he or
she can somehow write binding contracts, investors may worry that a
corrupt ruler risks overthrow. A change in regime can lead to the canceling
of previous understandings.
A kleptocrat may oppose some privatizations that an honest regime
would view as efficient and support others that are inefficient but produce
corrupt payoffs up front. The ruler’s inability to make credible
commitments lowers the value of the firm to private investors, tipping the
scales toward continued state ownership. In addition, state ownership is
associated with opportunities for rent seeking over and above the profits of
the enterprise. If the state enterprise can be used to generate rents through
such devices as the sale of jobs, favorable contracting deals, and special
treatment for customers, then the stream of benefits is higher for the
kleptocrat than for the honest ruler. Sometimes the distinction between the
public fisc and the private funds of the ruler is erased. In Haiti under the
Duavaliers, checks were simply written out to members of the presidential
family and other private citizens from various state monopolies (Lundahl
1997: 39–40). Public control of large enterprises can be a way of increasing
one’s chance of remaining in power in spite of one’s corruption. Such rulers
create a web of obligations and can threaten to expose their corrupt
counterparts if they are overthrown.
However, under other conditions, the kleptocrat may become an
overenthusiastic privatizer. He or she may, for example, be able to engineer
the privatization so that it involves a forced sale to the ruler or to his or her
family and cronies at a below-market price. In Indonesia, for example,
Suharto supported a number of privatizations that involved the transfer of
assets to firms controlled by his children and cronies (Schwarz 1994: 148–
9). Even if the sale is to an outsider, a kleptocrat may support some
privatizations that a benevolent social wealth maximizer would oppose. By
accepting present gains, he or she gives up a future stream of revenue. This
may be rational if the ruler has a short time horizon because he or she fears
being overthrown, that is, the kleptocrat has a higher discount rate13 than
private investors. The kleptocrat may value the up-front benefits of selling
the public firm more highly than the private market.
In some ways, a kleptocrat is like a stock broker or a real estate agent
who makes money from turnover. Corrupt gains can be earned, not just
from the ongoing level of government intervention, but also from one-shot
changes. The ruler can extract a share of the gains from any type of
transaction involving the state and thus may support the privatization of
some firms while supporting the nationalization of others. The ruler can be
bribed either to privatize efficient state firms at low prices or to nationalize
inefficient private firms at high prices. Without credible commitments to
refrain from one-shot changes, private investors will be reluctant to enter
into deals that risk being reversed in the future.
In short, the strong kleptocrat runs a brutal but efficient state limited
only by his or her own inability to make credible commitments. The weak
kleptocrat runs an intrusive and inefficient state organized to extract bribes
from the population and the business community.
Some analysts, however, are relatively sanguine about the corruption
of high-level officials, arguing that the most serious problem is low-level
corruption under which officials “overfish” a “commons” in their search for
private gain (Olson 1993; Shleifer and Vishny 1993; Rodrik 1994). If no
one owns the common pool, an inefficient amount of effort will be spent
fishing (Hardin 1968). One way to extract rents is to create extra rules and
regulations. Especially destructive, according to Shleifer and Vishny (1993:
606), is the possibility that new bureaucratic entrants will try to obtain a
share of the rents. If a ruler has relatively little day-to-day control over state
ministers, their freelance behavior can indeed be costly. With more control,
he or she may be interested in limited “liberalization” and perhaps
accompanying civil service reform to strengthen his or her control. The
ruler will back reform so long as it is consistent with his or her own income
maximization.
Just because a ruler favors some types of reform, however, it does not
follow that higher-level corruption is less destructive than low-level
peculation. A ruler seldom literally controls all the resources of the state,
and the size of the common pool under state control is not fixed by external
forces. Instead, officials may have the power to expand the resources under
their control, and higher-up officials will generally have more power to
increase the reach of the state than lower-level ones. Furthermore, corrupt
rulers generally must work with imperfect tools. Instead of simply
expropriating all private property and organizing it to produce efficiently,
those at the top may only have inefficient options. They can increase the
level of taxes and regulatory authority, grant exemptions in return for
payoffs, and nationalize industries. They can introduce general protectionist
policies that are beyond the reach of lower-level officials. They can propose
expensive, complex, capital-intensive projects that can be used to generate
bribes.14 In Haiti, for example, dictatorial governments favored institutions
that impeded development because they were the most effective way to
siphon off rents in the Haitian context. As a result, the assets of the wealthy
were invested either overseas or in secure, but unproductive, investments.
State polices that impeded development encouraged talented Haitians to
emigrate (Grafton and Rowlands 1996). No ruler can be absolutely
confident of remaining in power for ever. Those who became rich from the
ruler’s favor will not wish to expose all their assets to the risk of regime
change.
Of course, some powerful rulers manage to avoid such inefficient
policies. They enrich themselves and their families, but do not push rent-
generating programs so far as seriously to undermine growth. Countries
with a high degree of corruption that are politically secure and tightly
controlled from the top may suffer from fewer static inefficiencies than
those with an uncoordinated struggle for private gain (Lundahl 1997).15
They have a long-run viewpoint and hence seek ways to constrain
uncoordinated rent seeking so that long-term gains are maximized. This
type of regime seems a rough approximation to some East Asian countries
that have institutional mechanisms to cut back uncoordinated rent seeking
by both officials and private businesses (Campos and Root 1996). Even in
that region, however, countries with less corruption are better able to attract
foreign direct investment than their more corrupt neighbors (Wei 2000).
Furthermore, as the preceding discussion indicated, many corrupt rulers are
not so secure, and their very venality increases their insecurity.
Kleptocrats may face additional problems of bureaucratic control not
faced by benevolent rulers. Corruption at the top creates expectations
among bureaucrats that they should share in the wealth and reduces the
moral and psychological constraints on lower-level officials. Low-level
malfeasance that can be kept under control by an honest ruler may become
endemic with a dishonest ruler. Kleptocratic rulers may be unable to create
the conditions needed for an honest bureaucracy to flourish (Lundahl 1997:
43). Yet many rent-generating possibilities cannot be achieved without staff
to collect the bribes. Thus the presence of venal civil servants makes the
corrupt ruler less enthusiastic about increasing the size of the state because
he or she obtains a smaller share of the gains than with honest subordinates.
The efficiency with which the ruler can extract private benefits from society
is reduced by a corrupt bureaucracy not completely under his or her control
(Coolidge and Rose-Ackerman 1997). If the ruler can develop an honest
civil service and share the gains with only a small number of trusted
subordinates, he will be better off, but this will often be impossible.16
Corrupt low-level officials introduce inefficiencies in the form of
additional delays and red tape and cross-agency interference. As a result,
national income net of the ruler’s corrupt earnings will be lower than with
an efficient bureaucracy at any level of state intervention. At least some of
the efficiency losses of having a corrupt civil service are shifted to citizens.
Would citizens prefer a kleptocrat able to ensure an honest bureaucracy or a
kleptocrat who must contend with a corrupt civil service? No clear answer
is possible. In the former case, the ruler can select the level of state
intervention that maximizes his or her gains given a well-working state
apparatus. In the latter, he or she chooses a lower level of intervention, but
services are provided inefficiently by corrupt officials (Coolidge and Rose-
Ackerman 1997).
II. Bilateral Monopolies
We now turn to cases in which powerful private interests can resist corrupt
demands and exert power over the state. The cases differ depending upon
whether or not the state is organized specifically to collect bribes. In the
first of these cases, discussed here, a corrupt kleptocratic ruler faces a single
major opponent across the table. In this situation, similar to a bilateral
monopoly, the rent extraction possibilities are shared between briber and
ruler. Their relative strength will determine the way gains are shared (Kahn
1996). It will also determine the overall size of the pie. If some rents can
only be created with state help, but if the ruler fears losing all the gains to
his adversary, he or she will not act. Each side may seek to improve its own
situation by making the other worse off through expropriating property, on
the one hand, or engaging in violence, on the other.
Of course, in most cases there is not literally one individual who
wields private power. Rather, the image of a mafia captures the oligarchic
nature of powerful private actors. Gambetta (1993) defines a mafia as an
organized crime group that provides protective services that substitute for
those provided by the state in ordinary societies. In some bilateral cases the
state and the mafia share the protection business and perhaps even have
overlapping membership. A powerful corrupt ruler in this context extorts a
share of the mafia’s gains and has little interest in controlling criminal
influence. Because the criminals seek to increase their wealth, optimists
might contend that if criminals actually control the government, they will
modify their ways (Olson 1993). But this seems utopian. One would expect
that those in control would seek to limit entry through threats of violence
and the elimination of rivals as they have done in the drug business.
Furthermore, organized crime bosses may be more interested in quick
profits through the export of a country’s assets and raw materials, than in
the difficult task of building up a modern industrial base. The end result is
the delegitimation of government and the undermining of capitalist
institutions. We discuss this case further in Chapter 9.
Alternatively, some states are economically dependent on the export of
one or two minerals or agricultural products. These countries may establish
long-term relationships with a few multinational firms. Both rulers and
firms favor productive efficiency, but the business/government alliance that
results may permit managers and rulers to share the nation’s wealth at the
expense of ordinary people. The division of gains will depend upon the
relative bargaining power of the parties. If the firm has invested in fixed
capital or if the product they produce is a raw material available in only a
few places on earth, the country’s rulers are in a strong position to extract a
large proportion of the benefits. In contrast, if the firm produces an
agricultural product, such as bananas, and can easily go elsewhere, or if the
raw material is available to the firm in many different locations, it has a
bargaining advantage and can require the country to provide useful
infrastructure, guarantees of labor peace, and low taxes. One may not see
much overt corruption in such regimes, but the harm to ordinary citizens
may, nevertheless, be severe. The country becomes an appendage of the
large investor.
Bilateral monopoly conditions can arise for particular contracting
deals. In fact, a kleptocrat has an incentive to create such conditions
through decisions about which projects to support and what firms to favor.
Contracts with firms in competitive markets are undesirable because there
are no excess profits to appropriate. The ruler distorts contracting priorities
by favoring projects that can only be produced by firms in industries
earning monopoly profits. Of course, a strong kleptocrat operating with
impunity would not have to worry about such a “cover story.” He or she can
just take public funds or aid monies, send them to his or her offshore bank
accounts, and earn international rates of return. This contrast between weak
and strong kleptocrats recalls a familiar joke, repeated in various versions in
the development community. The ruler of A shows off his new mansion to
the ruler of B. Pointing out a new highway, A’s ruler explains his new
house by saying: “thirty percent.” Later the ruler of A visits the ruler of B at
his even more lavish mansion. Asked how it was financed, B’s ruler says,
“See that highway out there?” A’s ruler looks puzzled because no highway
can be seen. “That’s just the point,” says A’s ruler, “one hundred percent.”
This story is usually used to demonstrate that corruption is less
harmful if the road is actually built. But that conclusion is not always
justified. If the ruler supports projects designed to hide his kickbacks easily,
the distortionary effect of such decisions may be large. A new highway
seems like a valuable piece of infrastructure, but if it just improves access
to the ruler’s country house, there is not much to be said for it. If no road is
built, fraud has been committed and development goals undermined, but the
country is not littered with costly “white elephants.” Taxpayers and foreign
aid institutions have financed an increase in the ruler’s wealth and seen their
funds diverted from legal purposes. This is unfair and provides citizens with
a strong justification to oppose the government; it also may lead
international financial institutions to cut off aid. Under prevailing economic
conditions, however, it is not as inefficient as actually constructing such
projects with no social value so long as the funds reenter the capital market.
If a kleptocrat faces a single bribe payer across the table, they
negotiate a deal to share the economic gains. Corrupt payments may be
lower in a bilateral monopoly situation than in a one-sided kleptocracy. The
briber has bargaining power and uses it to extract profits. However, the end
result is not necessarily superior. The size of the bribes is not the key
variable. Instead, the economic distortions and the high costs of public
projects measure the harm to citizens. In some cases, part of the deal may
be the continued protection of the monopoly. Private monopoly profits and
bribes enrich both parties to the deal with ordinary people still the losers.
III. Mafia-Dominated States
Now consider the case in which officials of a weak and disorganized state
engage in freelance bribery but face a monopoly of power in the private
sector. The state might be a poorly functioning democracy or an autocracy
with a weak head-of-state. As in the case of bilateral monopoly, the
monopolist could be a domestic mafia, a single large corporation, or a
close-knit oligarchy. In each case, private power dominates the state, buying
the cooperation of officials. The private actor is not, however, powerful
enough to take over the state and reorganize it into a unitary body. The
problem for the private sector is that the very disorganization of the state
reduces the ability of the private group to purchase the benefits it wants.
Making an agreement with one official will not discourage another from
coming forward. Such a state is very inefficient as officials compete with
each other for the available rents. Individuals may be unable to create
substantial rents on their own, but they compete with each other for a share
of the gains produced by the dominant private firm. Facing such freelance
rent seeking, however, the private firm will produce less. The activities of
the corrupt officials are like taxes on outputs or inputs that reduce the firm’s
profit-maximizing level of output.
Ukraine, with its currently weak government, is a good example of this
case. Powerful oligarchs have directly challenged state authority; for
example, one used his private militia to try to prevent the government from
regulating his business. The oligarchs may have amassed their wealth in a
bilateral monopoly situation, but now they are challenging the weak state
authority.17 Although we characterized Indonesia as a kleptocratic state
under Suharto, in recent years it has apparently moved into the category of
a weak state dealing with a powerful oligarchy of private business interests.
The legal and administrative system is unpredictable and inconsistent;
corruption and rent seeking are reportedly rampant. Political arbitrariness
inhibits the development of a legal, productive private sector. Some
business leaders obtain special favors, but the overall effect on commerce is
reportedly negative.18
IV. Competitive Bribery
In the fourth case many low-level officials deal with large numbers of
citizens. As in the case of mafia-dominated states, this situation could occur
in a democratic state with weak legal controls on corruption and poor public
accountability. It might also be the way a weak autocrat dispenses public
services.
We discussed this case in detail in the first part of the book. There we
made clear that the competitive corruption case is not analogous to an
efficient competitive market. Here, we stress a serious, systemic problem
that can arise from competitive corruption – the possibility of an upward
spiral of corruption. The corruption of some encourages additional officials
to accept bribes until all but the unreconstructed moralists are corrupt.
Several theoretical models produce this result along with a second
equilibrium with little corruption – a low level of corruption in one period
encourages even fewer to be corrupt in the next period.
Suppose, for example, that some people are committed to honesty
under all conditions, some are always willing to bribe, and a large
intermediate group decides how to behave by observing what others are
doing and balancing the benefits and costs. They judge their own corrupt
acts by asking how common they are in society. Each person has a tipping
point; he or she will bribe if a certain proportion of others are paying bribes.
This model, identical to Thomas Schelling’s models of neighborhood
tipping in the housing market,19 can produce a cascade over time as more
and more people opt into the corrupt regime until all but the extremely
honest are involved. Conversely, there may be an equilibrium where the
honesty of some breeds honesty in others. Bardhan (1997) graphs this to
make clear the multiple equilibria nature of such a corrupt market. If the
corrupt equilibrium prevails, the only solution is a massive effort to shift the
system to the “good” state. The good news, however, is that once the new
equilibrium has been established, it will be stable – no ongoing
coordination is needed.
A somewhat more subtle version has people imagining an honest
society that they view as better than one riddled by corruption. Even when
they engage in corruption, they understand that it is wrong from the point of
view of society, but they feel trapped in the corrupt status quo. This model
appears to describe people’s feelings, at least in some societies where
interview studies have been conducted (Persson, Rothstein, and Teorell
2012). This is a somewhat more hopeful situation because people could be
induced to move away from corruption – if given plausible options – even if
many others are still corrupt. In other words, they do not actually believe
that the moral value of corruption is reduced just because it is widespread.
Another model can produce multiple equilibria on the basis of standard
law and economics calculations, with no appeal to moral scruples. Suppose
that there are a fixed number of enforcement officers. This model has the
same structure as the previous ones except for the reasons that people
follow the rules. If few officials are corrupt, anticorruption resources can be
used efficiently to collect evidence, and law enforcement efforts will
apprehend many of the offenders, convincing more people to behave
honestly in the next round. Conversely, if there is widespread malfeasance,
only a few people are likely to be caught, convincing even more to break
the law next time around as the probability of detection falls and so on in a
deteriorating spiral (Andvig and Moene 1990: 75).20
In a corrupt environment, honest officials might turn in those who
offer bribes and honest citizens may report extortion demands. Then, it is
risky to pay or demand bribes if potential bribers and bribees are ignorant
about who is corrupt. However, the higher the proportion of corrupt
officials, the lower the risk of offering a payoff (because it is easier to
encounter a corrupt official), and the greater the number of individuals who
expect to benefit from paying a bribe. The dynamic is the same as described
in the preceding text but with one important additional consequence.
Ordinarily, one would expect that as bribe-prices increase, fewer people
would be willing to pay them. However, in this case, if the proportion of
corrupt officials increases with the level of bribes, an increase in the bribe
level could increase the proportion of private individuals who pay bribes
because it sends a signal about the high level of impunity. High bribes
signal a low probability of being caught.
In all these models, under plausible assumptions about the distribution
of corruption costs across officials, both high and low corruption equilibria
exist. Temporary but large changes in underlying conditions are needed to
produce long-run shifts in the level of corruption by moving the system
from the high- to the low-corruption equilibrium (Andvig and Moene 1990;
Bardhan 1997). Reform then requires systemic changes in expectations and
in government behavior to move such a state from a high-corruption to a
low-corruption equilibrium. Unfortunately, the nation-states that fall into
this fourth category are precisely those that lack the centralized authority
needed to carry out such reforms. The decentralized, competitive corrupt
system is well entrenched, and no one has the power to administer the
policy shock needed for reform. Thus, the unfortunate conclusion is that
corruption may be at least as hard to control in states where public and
private power is widely diffused as in polities with tightly organized power
centers inside and outside the state.
V. Johnston’s Syndromes of Corruption
To conclude, contrast our taxonomy with that of Johnston (2005, 2014),
who also presents a fourfold typology. He posits four types of states (Figure
8.2), whereas we posit four types of highly corrupt states, rather than
aiming for a comprehensive taxonomy. In Johnston’s model, the type
(“syndrome”) of corruption that prevails in a given society is determined by
the development of economic institutions versus state institutions. Thus,
corruption exists in all societies, but manifests itself as political influence in
more developed societies (Influence Markets), as groups of economic-
political power (Elite Cartels) in somewhat developed state economies, and
as either kleptocracy (Official Moguls) or states with political and economic
power defined along ethnic or loyalty lines (Oligarchs and Clans) where
both state and economic institutions are poorly developed, for example in
nondemocracies and states in conflict or postconflict.21 Notice that
Johnston’s cases all lie on a single line, where weak and strong economic
institutions go along with corresponding state institutions. He does not
consider cases with strong economic institutions and weak states, weak
economies and strong states, or states in which the economic institutions
advance faster than the political institutions, or vice versa, resulting in a
combination of moderate with weak or strong. Perhaps they do not exist,22
but it would be enlightening to know why not.
Figure 8.2.
Johnston’s “Syndromes of Corruption.”
Source: Based on Johnston (2005: 40, Table 3.1), Syndromes of
Corruption, Cambridge University Press.
7 “Croatia Jails ex-PM Ivo Sanader for Taking Bribes,” BBC News,
November 20, 2012, http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-20407006
(accessed October 11, 2015).
23 This may be a case that falls in the upper right corner of Figure 8.2,
with a weak state but well-developed economic institutions.
9
Organized Crime, Corruption,
and Money Laundering
◈
[T]he illegal drugs economy ... and organized crime cannot survive
without corruption. Both violence and corruption can only thrive in a
context of extensive impunity, in which there is no certainty that the
law will be enforced and the State lacks the capacity to identify and try
those responsible for breaking the law.
22 For more on the intricacies of Swiss banking secrecy law, see “Past,
Present and Future of Swiss Bank Secrecy,” Interview with Cyril
Troyanov,
http://www.altenburger.ch/uploads/tx_altenburgerteam/CT_2014_Past_Pr
esent_and_Future_of_Swiss_Bank_Secrecy.pdf (accessed on October 12,
2015).
Figure 10.1.
Control of Corruption Indicator in the year immediately
after conflict ended.
Source: Authors.
I. Guatemala: Organized Crime Takes
Over
Corruption is a serious problem in Guatemala.9 Impunity, a remnant of the
armed conflict, hampers its effective prosecution (Acción Ciudadana 1999:
12). Poverty and underdevelopment are both a cause and a consequence of
corruption, but the lack of accountability in the wake of the conflict has
allowed corruption to become entrenched. As but one example, former
President Alfonso Portillo (2000–4) was convicted in Guatemala and the
United States on bribery and money-laundering charges.10 Weak and
corruptible institutions have permitted organized crime to thrive, and its
success in co-opting some state institutions and public officials has further
undermined postconflict state building. The reduction in the CPI after 2009,
evident in Figure 10.2, coincides with an upswing in organized crime and
violence: the World Economic Forum’s Global Competitiveness Index
2014–2015 ranks Guatemala 142 of 144 countries in “business costs of
crime and violence” and dead last in “organized crime.”11 Thus, it can be
placed in the mafia-dominated category in Table 8.1.
During the war, the army controlled all aspects of the state’s
administration, and there was little distinction between state resources and
the resources of those in power (Torres 2001). In the immediate aftermath
of the fighting the old elite remained in power and had little interest in
controlling corruption or in questioning the wealth of those who had
benefited financially during the conflict (Altamirano 2006–7: 538–9).
Since the signing of the peace agreement in 1996, politicians have
posed as corruption fighters in an effort to attract support and to undermine
the opposition. Recent presidents have pursued charges against the
respective outgoing administrations and against opposition leaders, but at
the same time some in their own administrations have been viewed as
corrupt.12
Especially problematic is Guatemala’s poorly functioning judicial and
law enforcement system (Sieder et al. 2002: 32; U.S. Department of State
2008). The police are widely viewed as corrupt (Sieder et al. 2002: 39), and
the World Bank named the judiciary as Guatemala’s most corrupt institution
in its 1997 preliminary diagnostic. The judiciary is not viewed as
independent, and the police are considered unreliable.13 Hence, legitimate
prosecutions of corruption are unlikely to succeed, and false accusations
can undercut the political opposition. These weaknesses are, in part, a
legacy of the violence. During the 36-year conflict, the weakness of the
justice system, which lacked independence, apparently amplified and
reinforced the violence (González de Asis 1998). The relative lack of rule
of law created incentives for personal deal making and bribes. Twenty-five
percent of judges and 87% of public prosecutors acknowledged that they
had been pressured by superiors or influential parties (Sieder et al. 2002).
Organized Crime Groups (OCGs), particularly those involved in the
drug trade (U.S. Department of State 2004, 2007a, 2007b), have taken
advantage of Guatemala’s weak institutions and legal environment to
operate with little constraint and even to collaborate with some who possess
political and economic power and with portions of the police. In addition to
Guatemalan gangs (maras) and OCGs, the Zeta cartel crossed over from
Mexico, introducing still more violence. The weakness of the political
parties and the failure to purge the old security apparatuses, “make it easier
for organized criminal gangs rooted in clandestine counterinsurgency
structures to maintain and extend their political influence in the post
conflict period” (Sieder et al. 2002: 11). The continued dominance by
organized crime led to the election of General Otto Pérez to the presidency
in 2011 on a platform to control organized crime-related violence. His
reforms stalled in Congress, however, where the opposition held a majority.
In an historic move, in September 2015, the Senate stripped President Otto
Pérez of immunity, and he resigned to face charges of corruption and
customs fraud. The vice-president dismissed several high-ranking officials
after being sworn in.14 As we write, a first round of elections was led by “a
comedian with no political experience ... campaigning under the slogan,
‘Not corrupt, not a thief.’”15 By the time this is published, the second round
of voting will be over, and Guatemala will have a new president promising
to root out corruption, like many before. It is a daunting task.
Guatemala illustrates the case of a peace accord that left the old elite in
power with few effective checks on their behavior and little effort to limit
the development of links between criminals, ex-combatants, and state
officials. The cycle of impunity feeds into the cycle of corruption. The
growing role of organized crime has undermined anti-corruption initiatives.
The lack of strong law enforcement and judicial institutions feeds into the
criminal networks in a “vicious cycle in which weak institutions create
opportunities for the spread of corrupt networks, which in turn seek to
further weaken institutional capacity to combat corruption” (ibid.). The
vexed question raised by this case is whether the international community
should have made a concerted effort to buy off and neutralize the political
power of the old elite in the immediate postconflict period, or whether it
would have been better to hold them more rigorously to account. Organized
crime’s influence, fueled by the drug market in the United States, seems a
key factor in postconflict Guatemala, and it might well have been able to
undermine whatever fledgling government emerged.
In general, too little has changed since the peace accord was signed.
Poverty and inequality remain near the same levels, despite the use of
petroleum income since 2001 to target rural development. Thousands of
weapons distributed in Guatemala during the war are still in circulation,
contributing to violence and insecurity. A lack of development in public
education and after-school activities has left many youth to be recruited into
local gangs and OCGs. These more pressing problems are, at least in part, a
consequence of the continued corruption and generally weak state (World
Bank 2011).
II. Angola: The Danger of Resource
Wealth
Angola is similar to Guatemala in that a protracted and destructive civil war
(Human Rights Watch 2001; Hodges 2004: 21) ended in a brokered peace
deal that left the old elite in power with little interest in the creation of
transparent and accountable institutions.16 The conflict lasted from 1991 to
2002, with intermittent violence since then. As in other postconflict states,
the former rebels organized as a political party, but they have had little
political influence. The main difference, however, is the ruling group’s
access to a tremendous source of wealth in the form of off-shore oil
reserves and, to a lesser extent, diamonds. Thus, central issues are the
management of these resources in the wake of conflict, the lack of
transparency concerning the inflows and outflows of oil revenues, and
continuing inequalities in the distribution of income and wealth.17
In Angola corruption diverts the stream of petroleum rents into private
bank accounts. A report in 2003, soon after the war ended, found that in
Angola 39 individuals were worth between $50 million and $100 million,
and another 20 were worth at least $100 million, for a total of at least $3.95
billion. All seven at the top of the list were present or past government
officials.18
As in Guatemala, the civil war provided a cover for personal
enrichment but on a much larger scale given the available resource rents.
After the conflict ended, government budgets remained large as the
destruction of infrastructure required a widespread rebuilding program
(Human Rights Watch 2004: 44). However, transparency did not improve.
Many of the state assets that were privatized ended up in the hands of the
political elite (Corkin 2014). Furthermore, the IMF documents the high
level of “unexplained” expenditures from 1997 to 2002, which totaled
$4.22 billion over the period or about 9.25% of GDP per year.19 The state-
owned oil enterprise, Sonangol, appears to be at the center of the corruption
involving extra-budgetary operations, especially through its off-the-books
borrowing practices.20 Rather than submit to IMF conditions, the Angolan
government turned to the China Exim Bank for off-budget reconstruction
loans, totaling $10.5 billion by 2012. Most of these loans require hiring and
procuring from Chinese firms,21 with a proportion subcontracted to
Angolan firms. At least some of these loans were used to fund projects that
were subcontracted to firms owned by the entrenched political elite,
especially generals, with very little benefit to the Angolan population
(ibid.).22
Angola, although nominally democratic, is essentially controlled by
the same elite group that was in power during the civil war (Hodges 2004:
131–40). With so much money flowing into state coffers and, corruptly, into
the private bank accounts of the political elite, talented people select into
public office where they can get rich and ignore the private sector. Angola
provides an extra twist on the story of the “resource curse” related to the
long-running civil war. First, the guerrilla group also had access to a natural
resource – diamonds – that was easy to transport and trade (Le Billon 2003;
Hodges 2004: 2). These resource rents along with outside help from
sympathetic nation-states helped sustain the conflict. Second, the security
threat provided a cover for the political and economic elite to enrich
themselves. Once the fighting ended, national security continued to be used
as an excuse to limit transparency and even to increase penalties for leaking
information. This provides a parallel with Guatemala but on a much grander
scale given the presence of oil resources under state control.
Angola has taken some steps toward reform. The IMF reports some
progress in Angola’s systems of financial management but notes the need
for improvement (IMF 2007). Of particular concern is the continuing lack
of transparency of the accounts of Sonangol, which are excluded from the
government accounts. In spite of urging from the IMF, the government has
not applied to be part of the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative, a
civil society effort to require transparency with respect to payments made to
and received by the Angolan government.23 The Angola authorities claim
that “oil companies have positively assessed Angola’s bidding practices”
(ibid.: 10). This hardly seems a sufficient justification because transparency
is valuable not simply to generate fairer bidding processes but also to
permit more public oversight of the size and use of government revenues.24
The problem is not just capacity but also political will. Foreign exchange
from oil and diamonds gives those in power leverage to resist external
pressures to improve governance; at the same time Angola’s weak political
system limits the efficacy of domestic protest.
III. Mozambique: Aid-Influenced
Reforms
Although Mozambique remains very poor, it is often considered a relative
success of postconflict state building.25 Thus, it is an especially important
case for the study of postconflict corruption. Like Guatemala and Angola, a
longtime incumbent political group retained power after the end of conflict
in 1994 and maintains a dominant position to the present. However, the
character of the incumbents appears to be quite different. Hence, corruption,
although a serious problem, is not so deeply intertwined with political
power. Furthermore, neither organized crime nor resource rents sustain the
incumbent regime. Rather, foreign aid provides crucial resources, and this
aid can be conditioned on reforms that improve state functioning. Hence,
the role of aid and lending organizations is much more important here than
in Guatemala and Angola.
By the time of UN-sponsored peace negotiations, neither of the parties
had the capacity to defeat the other militarily (P. L. Reed 1996: 301–2;
Weisburd 1997; Wesley 1997: 87–8, 92, 95). The United Nations made
sufficient funds available to achieve its priorities of “the disarmament,
demobilization, and reintegration into civilian life of government and
RENAMO [rebel] combatants” (Newitt 2002: 222). It supported the
transformation of RENAMO into a political party and provided special
assistance to ex-combatants (Dobbins et al. 2005: 100, 104). Democratic
elections were held after demobilization of RENAMO in 1994.
In discussing corruption and other under-the-table payoffs, it is
important to distinguish between activities that were part of the initial
transition to peace and those that are systemic aspects of the long-term
transition process.
First, some payoffs were closely tied to the process of transforming
RENAMO into a political party. The United Nations created and managed
several trust funds to provide financial support for RENAMO to transform
itself into a political party and participate in elections, given that its leader
believed RENAMO would lose the first election (Nuvunga and Mosse
2007: 14–17).26 The leadership benefited personally from these funds and
made increasing demands after the peace agreement. There was no detailed
accounting for the use of the funds ex post although donors did impose
some constraints ex ante on their disbursement (P. L. Reed 1996: 285). The
trust funds benefited RENAMO as well as all the other parties running for
office. One official stated that “to ensure political stability and peace, the ...
[United Nations] ‘forgot’ those funds.”27 The empirical issue raised by this
case is whether the payments to RENAMO (and other groups) were a
worthwhile price to pay for peace. Furthermore, even if such payments are
a necessary, if unpleasant, policy in some cases, the United Nations (or
other aid agencies) should structure such payments so that they do the least
damage. The emphasis should be on lump-sum payments, not arrangements
that permit people to demand a share of the revenues from ongoing public
enterprises or tax collections.
Second, systemic corruption remains a problem in spite of
Mozambique’s good record of economic growth and its relative success in
carrying out reforms in the postconflict period (de Sousa and Sulemane
2008). On the Global Corruption Barometer 2013, 70% or more of
respondents considered the police, public officials and civil servants, health
services, and the education system to be corrupt or extremely corrupt.28
The end of conflict occurred as Mozambique was making a shift from
a postindependence socialist model toward a capitalist economy (Pitcher
2002). Corruption apparently flourished in this environment because of
greater opportunities for private profit as a result of the shift in the
economic model (as also occurred in many post-Soviet countries). Of
course, many of the economic opportunities were completely legal, but
some could be enhanced through illicit payoffs. Furthermore, the need to
rebuild the country with foreign aid funds created additional corrupt
opportunities. Aid inflows have been large in Mozambique, totaling about
15% of GDP.29
These sources of corruption were exacerbated by the weakness of state
institutions set up to control the developing market economy and the use of
public funds. Unlike Angola’s high-level kleptocracy, corruption in
Mozambique is disorganized and “anarchic.” As in the case of Burundi,
discussed in the next section, each corrupt official seeks personal
enrichment, and the result is multiple demands for payoffs that can be
costly in both time and money (Cahen 2000).
Corruption in Mozambique seems intimately tied to the transition to a
market economy in a very poor country with weak institutions and high aid
dependency. Corruption seems to have been kept in check during the earlier
period by a combination of moral suasion and the lack of opportunities as a
result of government policy, civil war, and a weak economy. Key features of
the postconflict situation are, first, the weak and untested nature of public
institutions in spite of (or maybe because of) continuity in leadership and,
second, the influx of foreign aid that continues to provide major funding.30
These funds provide resources to convert to private use, but they also are
required for state functioning and have supported some of the new
accountability institutions. The conditions imposed by international
institutions appear to have had a major impact on Mozambique’s
institutional development, but these institutions are still too weak to
withstand the corrupt incentives that arose from their creation.
However, Mozambique stands in sharp contrast with Angola and
suggests that even weak institutions, when combined with the oversight of
outside donors, have some value. The cases are similar on a number of
important dimensions: (1) both were Portuguese colonies that obtained
independence in 1975; (2) both moved to a state-planned economy right
after independence through nationalizing the properties formerly owned by
Portuguese settlers; (3) both experienced long-lasting, devastating civil
wars, which began shortly after independence and were fueled by outsiders
based on international (Angola) and regional (Mozambique) rivalries; and
(4) both face the problem of an inefficient bureaucracy and judicial system.
Nevertheless, the two cases also have important differences. First,
Angola is resource rich, especially in oil and diamonds; Mozambique is not
resource rich. Second, although very harmful to its people and to the
economy, Mozambique’s civil war did not last as long as Angola’s. Third,
with the support of the United Nations, the Mozambique peace agreement
was successfully followed by general elections. Fourth, in Angola the peace
agreement was made after a military defeat of one of the factions, UNITA,
while in Mozambique the rebel group retained some bargaining power.
Fifth, in Mozambique, although corruption remains a problem, there has
been a largely successful effort to improve the country’s budget system and
its system of public financial management, whereas in Angola reforms have
been resisted by a government that is flush with oil revenues and in no need
of outside support.
Thus, the basic policy issue is as follows. In Mozambique the United
Nations played a positive role in bringing the conflict to a close.
Disarmament was complete before the first democratic elections. This was
achieved, in part, by providing financial support to the former rebel leaders
to assure their participation in the political process and by assisting former
combatants. The World Bank and the IMF helped smooth the transition to
the market and democracy with aid and advice. This appears to have had
many positive effects, but one side effect was an increase in corruption as
market opportunities increased. The case raises the question of whether it is
possible to buy off former combatants with up-front payments at the same
time as the transition seeks to control corruption in the transition to a
market and democracy.
IV. Burundi: Ethnicity-Based Power
Sharing in a Poor Country
Burundi is a small, very poor, landlocked African country that has suffered
from widespread violence beginning soon after independence from Belgium
in 1962.31 Its transition from civil violence began in 2000 when the Arusha
Accords were signed, to be followed by elections in 2005. The Accords
provide constitutional protections for the minority Tutsis, who were
formerly the dominant political group. The constitution mandates political
power sharing, reserving 60% of the assembly for Hutu, and 40% for Tutsi
(Bentley and Southall 2005: 32–43; Goldmann 2006: 137; Schweiger 2006;
653–4; International Crisis Group 2007). The 2005 elections for the
national assembly followed the constitutional provisions, and although the
presidential election was marred by violence and irregularities, President
Pierre Nkurunziza, a Hutu, won a decisive electoral victory (Reyntjens
2006).
The Accords provide that corruption is a ground for presidential and
legislative impeachment and that “embezzlement, corruption, extortion and
misappropriation of all kinds shall be punishable in accordance with the
law.”32 However, against the background of an insecure, brokered peace
and a power-sharing democratic government, corruption apparently
flourishes.33 Most people link postconflict corruption to the weakness of the
state and the destruction of the economy during the decades of violence and
insecurity.34 The long-running crisis gave birth to a system of impunity.35
One report lists poverty as the most important factor accounting for
Burundi’s corruption, followed by impunity, bad governance, especially
related to the lack of transparency, the lack of political will to combat
corruption, and traditional practices favoring corruption. The same report
ranks the judiciary as the most corrupt sector, followed by the police and
the administration, respectively (Nimubona and Sebudandi 2007: 15, 27).
On the Global Competitiveness Index 2014–2015,36 Burundi ranks 142 of
144 countries in the “reliability of police services,” 143 in “judicial
independence,” and 121 in “favoritism in decisions of public officials.”
Corruption and rent seeking in Burundi have historical roots. Since
decolonization, ethnic and regional groups have manipulated state
structures for their own benefit. In particular, portions of the minority Tutsi
ethnic group managed to extend their favored position during the colonial
area into control over most state resources after independence.37 Public
corporations were used to collect and distribute rents to the political elite
(Nkurunziza and Ngaruko 2008). The Tutsi-dominated military enriched
themselves through the customs sector, advantageous land holding, and
private taxation of citizens (Bentley and Southall 2005: 179–80). Much of
the enrichment occurred through the state’s legal mechanisms, however,
rather than through illegal payoffs.
The advantages held by the privileged elite helped feed the violence,
and it gave the formerly disadvantaged a justification for appropriating state
resources for private gain in the postconflict period. In the three previous
cases the lack of change of the group in power fueled corruption; in
Burundi the change in the power structure in favor of the Hutus gave them
an excuse for enriching themselves to compensate for prior losses. The
Burundi case shows how the division of power can fuel a particularly
destructive type of corruption in the absence of effective control measures
or ethical constraints (Nkurunziza and Ngaruko 2008: 75).38
The contestation over state power weakened the state. According to a
local anticorruption NGO, “The weakness of the state has increased
corruption. Under the authoritarian regime, corruption was repressed.... The
crisis led to a weakness of state power and an increase in civil
disobedience.”39 With the end of a conflict the old elite networks no longer
operate, and there are more opportunities for illicit personal enrichment.40
Those in power do not feel secure. Hence, many tend to grab what they can
while they can.41
The two-way relationship between poverty and corruption makes it
harder to establish a stable peace. As Terrance Nahimana, a civil society
leader, points out, “If people are healthy and wealthy today, then it will be
easier to make an arrangement about the crimes of the past. It is harder to
accept the present when one is hungry and sees others driving around in
fancy cars.”42 As the United States Agency for International Development
states, “in Burundi’s post-conflict situation, therefore, corruption not only
harms recovery and reconstruction, but risks re-igniting the social conflict
that has characterized so much of the country’s history” (Schiavo-Campo
2006: 3). The weak economy makes a credible anticorruption policy
difficult. Indeed, as we write, Burundi is suffering a political and economic
crisis. President Pierre Nkurunziza announced in April 2015 that he would
run for a third term, in violation of the Accords. This provoked violent
protests, a failed coup attempt, threats to withdraw international aid,
currency depreciation, and the exodus of over 170,000 Burundians between
April and July. Nkurunziza won reelection in July but the electoral process
and the government’s violent suppression of protests have been condemned
by foreign governments, the UN, and Amnesty International.43 While the
conflict has not yet turned ethnic, there is fear that it will become so.
Several members of opposition parties have been killed since the
elections.44 Peace and democracy seem very fragile in Burundi.
One can ask whether international pressure and financial aid helped or
hindered the transition in the 2000s. Trade embargos pressured the
government of the time but also – as is often the case – “stimulated
development of a strong illicit economy benefiting those with access to
political power and military protection” (Bentley and Southall 2005: 7).45
International aid was made conditional on acceptance of the peace
agreement and thus played a decisive and positive role in pressuring the
different factions to negotiate and reach agreement (ibid.: 82, 116).
Much of the corruption in Burundi is linked to its poverty and its
weakly institutionalized state. These conditions have been made worse by
the ongoing conflict, but the corruption is of a type common in many poor
countries. What makes the case distinctive is the power sharing
incorporated into the peace accords that established a divided government
structure to make a return to violence unappealing.46 As a result, the state
has been unable or unwilling to create a set of clear and well-enforced rules
or to limit patronage and self-dealing. Formal power sharing limits the
scope for competitive politics across ethnic lines. Thus the political
compromises that helped end the fighting make corruption particularly
intractable, especially in the presence of an influx of aid. Worst of all,
Burundi seems to be on the verge of plunging back into conflict, unless the
populace succumbs to authoritarian rule.
Conclusion: Lessons
Given these disparate but interlocking cases, what can one learn about the
control of corruption in states emerging from domestic conflict? The goal is
a well-functioning system in which violence is seldom intertwined with
politics and in which evidence of corrupt self-dealing leads to a scandal that
has political consequences. In such a system, revelations of corruption may
tip the balance against incumbents who are implicated in the wrongdoing.
In contrast, if democracy is entwined with endemic corruption and public
order is less well established, elections can be an opportunity for violence
against opponents, individualized payoffs to voters, and corrupt payoffs to
politicians.
Much has been made of the importance of “political will” and moral
leadership from the top in establishing effective governments in the
postconflict setting. Although strong leadership and good morals are
necessary, they are not sufficient. Political will by itself can breed
autocracy, as seems to be the case in Burundi. Too much moralizing risks
degenerating into empty rhetoric – or worse, witch hunts against political
opponents. Policy must address the underlying conditions that create
corrupt incentives, or it will have no long-lasting effects. Furthermore, if the
policy does not resonate with the populace, it will lose momentum.
Peace-building strategies must avoid triggering vicious spirals. An
economy that is jump-started by giving monopoly powers to a few
prominent people may produce a society that is both lacking in competition
and unequal. Early stage decisions can lock in the power of a small elite
whose vested interests hold back efforts to increase competition, enhance
fairness, and promote transparency. Although it may be risky and difficult
to counter corruption in postconflict peace building, if the problem is
allowed to fester, it can undermine other efforts to create a stable, well-
functioning state with popular legitimacy. Conversely, an open-ended free
market solution in a state that lacks basic government capacity can lead to
widespread competitive corruption and rent seeking as individuals and
firms seek to evade the laws, influence or “reinterpret” the laws in their
favor, or simply avoid their strictures.
In postconflict situations, policy recommendations that concentrate
only on macroeconomic aggregates are pointless. No growth can occur
unless institutions are restored to at least a minimal level of competency.
Corruption is a symptom that state/society relations are dysfunctional,
undermining the legitimacy of the state and leading to wasteful public
policies. Good policies are unlikely to be chosen or to be carried out
effectively without honest institutions.
The cases outlined in this chapter provide a range of experience on the
presence of corruption in state building after civil war and widespread
domestic violence. In Guatemala, Angola, and Mozambique the old elite
remained in power after the end of the conflict. In Guatemala and Angola
these elites were widely viewed as corrupt during the conflict. In Guatemala
in the postconflict period the elite benefited from links with organized
crime involved mainly in the drug trade. In Angola the sources of wealth
are oil and, to a lesser extent, diamonds, which benefit top officials and
well-connected families through a series of opaque financial arrangements.
In both countries these sources of wealth help keep entrenched corrupt
networks in place and limit the development both of competitive politics
and of transparent and effective oversight and law enforcement institutions.
These are cases in which the lack of political will at the top will limit
anticorruption efforts even given international pressures.
Mozambique experienced an increase in corruption after peace was
achieved, but this did not arise from the prior corruption of those in power.
Rather it came from the increase in opportunities created both by the end of
hostilities and by the turn to a market economy in the context of a weak
state. The use of donor funds to pay off the former rebels and ease
RENAMO’s transition to a political party may have been an effective way
to end the violence, but it also provided an example of the use of public
money for private gain that may have made subsequent anticorruption
efforts less credible.
In Burundi, former fighters against the regime gained control of the
government with formal power sharing. The result is a weak state with
widespread competition for illicit gain as members of each group seek
benefits for themselves. Burundi has few oversight institutions and is
unable to provide many constraints on corrupt actors although its overall
poverty surely limits the options available. As a result, violence has been an
ongoing problem in Burundi, and it is unclear whether it can truly be
characterized as a postconflict society.47 The reignition of violence may
have been at least partially responsible for the sudden drop in the CPI after
2007, which erased previous gains (Figure 10.2).
Thus, corruption was and is part of the postconflict situation in all
cases, but two distinct situations seem to be most troubling. The first is the
entrenchment of an old elite with access to significant rents, as in Angola
and Guatemala. At least in Angola with a reformed government, the rents
from oil and diamonds could be put to good use inside the state. This is not
true for organized crime proceeds in Guatemala, which depend upon the
corrupt use of the police, the customs authorities, and the army, while they
generate no taxes and increase costs to the state. The second situation is a
formal power-sharing deal among multiple groups where politicians have
no incentive to uncover corruption as a way to achieve power. Rather, as in
Burundi, the corruption of one group with a guaranteed share of power
simply encourages other groups that are part of the brokered peace deal to
seek personal enrichment as well. Mozambique is a more hopeful case.
Corruption there appears to be a feature of the transition so that the main
concern is avoiding a vicious spiral originating in particular conditions of
the postconflict transition.
These cases suggest some general lessons. First, any peace agreement
should incorporate measures to limit corruption. Negotiators might have the
leverage to push through anticorruption reforms, such as establishing an
independent judiciary and anticorruption bodies, which might not be
feasible later. Early on, a thorough assessment of vulnerable and
underperforming areas is essential.48
Second, as far as possible, the peace negotiation process should not be
viewed as a way to divide the rents of state control among the different
factions. Transitional governments are frequently constrained by the need to
reach a compromise among various groups. The compromise may end the
violence but may entrench or create corrupt structures. Thus, the 40–60 split
institutionalized in Burundi’s constitution has not entirely quelled the ethnic
violence there, nor reduced corruption.49 Constitutionalized power sharing
like this may actually heighten tensions and lead to new conflict (United
Nations 2007). By contrast, Burundi’s neighbor Rwanda chose to build a
participatory democracy without quotas and has enjoyed relative peace and
lower corruption. However, its postconflict history is not an entirely happy
one as businesses with close ties to the president appear to have
disproportionately benefited from public contracts and concessions.50
Third, anticorruption efforts need some early and visible victories and
must fit the capacities of the country. Start simple. For example, be sure
primary systems of financial control inside agencies are in place before
creating secondary bodies such as anticorruption commissions (O’Donnell
2006). Fighting corruption and discrimination in the provision of public
services helps to build trust in government; publishing progress in media
and on government portals reinforces that trust (Johnston 2014).
Fourth, international aid, designed to help rebuild and extend
infrastructure, can create incentives for corruption and hence needs to be
audited and controlled.51 However, aid that is too strictly conditioned
impedes the state from developing its own agenda and can hamper
consolidation of power (Moore 1998). One option for international actors is
to use trust funds in the immediate postconflict period to administer aid
programs with the ultimate goal of turning over programs to government.
For example, the Afghan Reconstruction Trust Fund, operated by the World
Bank, channels funds to the government from 24 countries (Delesgues and
Torabi 2007: 17). In Mozambique a trust fund that funded political parties
accepted foreign donations (O’Donnell 2006). Foreign aid tends to focus on
the short-term needs of reconstruction, but should be a long-term
commitment. As Brinkerhoff (2005: 11) observes, “[P]ost-conflict
governance reform, whether reconstruction or building something new, is a
complex and long-term endeavour whose requirements are frequently at
odds with attention spans and resource commitments of the international
community.”
Fifth, as in Mozambique, international bodies can help buy off rebels
who might threaten a return to violence or dislodge corrupt incumbents.
This may involve arranging exile for former leaders or helping to
incorporate them and their followers into the new state as political parties.52
Deeply corrupt leaders, however, should be exiled, not incorporated into the
government (Le Billon 2003). A weapon buy-back program with a set
expiration date can help accomplish the goal of disarmament and also put
financial capital in the hands of the recently unemployed. Skills training can
help to ease the transition into productive economic activity, especially for
long-term combatants.
Transfer payments to former rebels may be a condition for obtaining
peace, but they need to be structured as lump-sum benefits that do not
permanently distort the operation of the economy or the government. Don’t
give the rebel army turned political party a 50% ownership stake in the
national oil company or promise warring ethnic groups a fixed share of the
public pie.53 The aim should be to buy off such groups with lump-sum
payments, not give them an ongoing incentive to stay together and divide
the country. Furthermore, do not give the regular military a stake in
nondefense government programs, and monitor its involvement in defense
contracts, or it may use its coercive power to extort payoffs.
Sixth, international donors can help to review the training and integrity
of law enforcement officers, military personnel, judges, and prosecutors. If
these groups carry over from the old regime, they may be disinclined or
unable to prosecute corrupt members of that regime. Ensuring that police
and security forces will not abuse their power, especially in areas with
ethnic tension, will increase confidence in the incipient government.
Training (in human rights, anticorruption, and anti–money laundering) and
ethnic balance are especially important as this sector must ultimately be
able to investigate and prosecute corruption charges in an evenhanded
manner.
Seventh, local people should be involved in oversight and
participation, and the law should provide safe havens for whistle-blowers.
Of course, such protections are needed in any transitional case. Thus, in
Romania, after the fall of the Ceauşescu regime, the public’s “lack of trust
in public institutions, cynicism, unfulfilled high expectations, uneven access
to resources and overwhelming socio-economic problems, poor knowledge
of rights, and fragile democratic skills” lagged behind fast-moving reforms,
making implementation of the reforms less effective (United Nations 2007:
26). Protections for whistle-blowers are especially important if societal
violence is still prevalent. The government can take advantage of
information and communications technology, and social media, to create
spaces where citizens can report corruption anonymously; state follow-
through is essential. However, self-help vigilantes should be replaced with
regular police.
Eighth, the peace deal should restrict the armed forces’ and other
security services’ ability to participate in legal businesses, to engage in
illegal businesses, and to accept kickbacks. Such conflicts of interest
undermine public trust in government and the legitimacy of the state. At the
same time, well-resourced, international peacekeepers may be able to create
a space in which reform can occur (O’Donnell 2006).
Ninth, institutions of oversight need strengthening in most postconflict
states, but this may be a difficult task in the face of limited trained
personnel. Both financial aid and foreign personnel – as well as qualified
returning refugees – can help create bodies to administer a freedom of
information law, to audit and monitor government spending, and to
strengthen the independence of prosecutors and courts. The goal, of course,
is to improve the capacity and independence of domestic actors so that
foreign assistance can be cut back.
Several international bodies have been helpful in building oversight in
the new millennium. In the Americas, the Union of South American
Nations (UNASUR) has issued statements without directly influencing the
internal policies of the member states. In Africa, the African Union (AU)
and the Economic Union of West African States (ECOWAS) have played an
active, if limited, role in postconflict state building in the region, including
internal guiding principles that encourage democratization and
transparency. Such regional bodies have the advantage of understanding the
local sources of conflict and specific postconflict contexts (Aning and
Salihu 2013). Their emphasis, however, tends to be on security and
avoiding further conflict: corruption is not high on the agenda. International
nonprofits with a specific anticorruption mandate, such as Transparency
International, Global Witness, and Global Integrity, can help to monitor
malfeasance on the ground. In addition, donors’ own internal auditing and
oversight bodies also need sufficient funding and support. If international
funders put speed ahead of integrity, they may be institutionalizing
structural corruption problems in just those cases in which aid might
otherwise have had the biggest positive impact (Rose-Ackerman 2009).
Strong leadership from the top is needed as a postconflict state moves
toward the goal of a more legitimate and better functioning government and
sidelines those who have used the state as a tool for private gain. The sheer
number of tasks in postconflict reconstruction is daunting (Association of
the U.S. Army and Center for Strategic and International Studies 2002) and
the process is complex. International assistance can, in principle, help, but it
needs to be tailored to avoid exacerbating the underlying problem created
by the mixture of corruption and threats of violence from those inside and
outside the government.
4 The United States was excluded on the grounds that the “conflict”
listed in the database did not occur on U.S. soil, with the exception of the
terrorist acts of 9/11/2001. The database ends in 2007; we chose the
previous ten years for illustrative purposes. “Armed conflict” includes
both war and minor confrontations, as long as one of the parties is the
government and at least 25 battle-related deaths are recorded. See
UCDP/PRIO (2009: 1).
19 IMF, Angola Staff Report for the 2002 Article IV Consultation, March
18, 2002, 31–3 and IMF, “Angola: Selected Issues and Statistical
Appendix,” July 11, 2003, 107–8, cited in Human Rights Watch (2004:
44–5).
25 Rodrigo de Sousa, Yale, LLM ‘08 provided research on this case and
Caroline Gross commented on an earlier draft. Mozambique has
continued to suffer internal conflict. In 2014, the government of
Mozambique signed into law a ceasefire, and granted amnesty to all
those involved in violent conflict in various parts of the country in 2002,
2004, 2011, and 2012. Assembleia da República VII Legislatura,
Comissão dos Assuntos Constitucionais Direitos Humanos e de
Legalidade – 1ª Comissão, “Parecer relative à Proposta de Lei de
Amnistia,” http://peacemaker.un.org/sites/peacemaker.un.org/files/MZ-
143508-MozambiqueCeasefire_1.pdf (accessed April 2, 2015).
29 IMF, Country Report No. 07/258 (Washington, DC, July 2007), 5, 20,
OECD-DAC,
https://public.tableau.com/views/AidAtAGlance_Recipients/Recipients?:
embed=n&:showTabs=y&:display_count=no?&:showVizHome=no#1
(accessed October 11, 2015) and World Bank, “World Data Bank,”
http://databank.worldbank.org/data/views/reports/tableview.aspx
(accessed April 20, 2015).
35 OLUCOME interview.
37 Not all Tutsi shared equally. A group of Tutsi from one clan
maintained a virtual monopoly on military and political power.
International Crisis Group (2003: 6). Thus, as Goldmann (2006) argues,
conflict in Burundi is not so much about ethnicity as it is about power.
39 OLUCOME interview.
42 Nahimana interview.
45 The authors quote Rubin Lund and Hara Lund, “Learning from
Burundi’s Failed Democratic Transition, 1993–1996,” Council on
Foreign Relations (ed.), Cases and Strategies for Preventive Action, 68,
80 (Washington, DC, 1998).
3 In the United States the mayor of Providence, Rhode Island, was jailed
for corruption in connection with a project to revitalize the downtown
area. He was released from jail in 2007 and in 2014 announced his
intention to run for his old office. He had been mayor from 1975 to 1984
(when he was convicted of felony assault) and again from 1991 to 2002
(when he was convicted of racketeering). Although he lost the 2014
election, he received 45% of the vote. Jess Bidgood and Katherine Q.
Seelye, “Ex-Prosecutors Urge Voters Not to Bring a Felon Back as
Providence’s Mayor,” New York Times, October 14, 2014,
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/15/us/ex-prosecutors-urge-voters-not-
to-bring-a-felon-back-as-providences-mayor.html (accessed October 11,
2015); Dan Barry, “Now Free to Speak His Mind, an Ex-Mayor Is Doing
So,” New York Times, April 28, 2008,
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/28/us/28land.html (accessed October
11, 2015); and The Associated Press, “Cianci Defeat Represents Break
from Old Providence,” The Washington Times, November 6, 2014,
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/nov/6/cianci-defeat-
represents-break-from-old-providence/?page=all (accessed October 11,
2015).
5 Lessig (2011: 166–70) reports survey results from the Pew Research
Center showing that only 22% of American voters trust the government
in Washington. The American National Elections Studies report similarly
low numbers.
6 See Arnold (1990). He argues that omnibus bills may be necessary for
the passage of certain kinds of broad-based compromises in the public
interest (ibid.: 131–2).
29 Rohr (1991: 287–8). The 2015 civil service share was about 30%. The
data are on the website of the National Assembly: http://www.assemblee-
nationale.fr/qui/xml/cat_soc_prof.asp?legislature=14 (accessed July 23,
2014).
36 Kee, Olarreaga, and Silva (2007) study foreign country lobbying for
trade preferences and conclude that lobby contributions are five times
more important than foregone tariff revenue. They also cite the literature
on domestic and foreign lobbying and trade, which generally does not
show such a large impact. Unfortunately, the United States is the only
country with relatively comprehensive data on lobbying expenses.
39 Seth Mydans, “Thai Civics: New Leader but Votes Are Still for Sale,”
New York Times, November 19, 1996. For background on Thailand see
Pasuk and Sungsidh (1994).
Figure 12.1.
The cross-country relationship between judicial
independence and diversion of public funds.
Source: Generated by authors using World Economic Forum, Global
Competitiveness Report 2014-2015 dataset,
http://www3.weforum.org/docs/GCR2014-15/GCI_Dataset_2006-07-
2014-15.xlsx.
Independence is necessary but not sufficient. Judges must be not only
independent but also respected, competent, and responsible. If judges
operate with no outside checks, they may become slothful, arbitrary, or
venal, exploiting their positions for private gain.
The judiciary needs to be able to sort out the strong cases from those
that are weak and politically motivated. Otherwise, even a large caseload
that produces many convictions will have little deterrent effect. Individuals
may conclude that the likelihood of arrest and conviction is random or, even
worse, tied to one’s political predilections.
Even respected and independent judges can produce rulings that
undercut reform. They may act as guarantors of special interest deals
enacted by past governments.16 They may zealously enforce government
actions that appear legal on their face but that are actually motivated by
corruption. An excellent example comes from the early years of the
American Republic. A corrupt land sale approved by the legislature of
Georgia in the early 1800s was upheld by the U.S. Supreme Court in the
case of Fletcher v. Peck [3 L. Ed. 162–181 (1810)]. The Court was
unmoved by the fact that all but one of the legislators had been bribed.
When the scandal was revealed, the entire legislature lost office in the next
election, but the Court held that the contract was a legal obligation of the
state of Georgia (Magrath 1966). What better way to encourage payoffs
than a legal system that upholds public contracts no matter what the
underlying corrupt deals? This issue has recently been raised in critiques of
international arbitration tribunals where one of the parties claims that the
original contract was awarded through corrupt payoffs (see Chapter 14).
Because of these worries, no country has an entirely independent
judiciary. Some form of broad-based accountability to the government and
the citizens is consistent with a well-functioning judiciary, and such
accountability provides a check on corruption and other forms of self-
dealing within the judiciary. Successful political regimes have found
various solutions; none seems obviously superior, but there are some
common themes and some promising avenues for the reform.
In emerging democracies, efforts to create competent, independent
courts have faced numerous technical and political difficulties. An index of
judicial independence (see Figure 12.1) gives countries a score between 1
and 7, with 7 the highest score. The average score for the 144 countries
represented is 3.87; the median is 3.62. Worldwide, 43% of the countries
score less than 3.5 – in the lower half of the scoring range – from 4.3% of
European countries to 62.5% of countries in Africa.17 Reports from
Transparency International chapters in Latin America complain of political
influence over the selection of judges, especially by the executive. Similar
problems with political influence over appointments are reported by
Transparency International in the Czech Republic, Georgia, Pakistan,
Russia, Sri Lanka, and Turkey (Transparency International 2007).
Authoritarian states face a particular difficulty with respect to the
courts. The nation’s leaders may want to reassure foreign investors by
creating courts that can act independently of domestic power structures.
Independent courts operating at the grass roots may also act as a check on
the state’s bureaucratic hierarchy. However, maintaining credible
independence is likely to prove difficult. In China, judges are pressured to
convict even when the defendant insists that his confession was obtained
through torture.18 Of the “nearly 150,000” cases in which the accused was
charged with corruption during the period 2008–13, fewer than 0.1% ended
in acquittal in the courts.19 One reason for a lack of independence in China
is that judges are dependent on benefits they receive from governments.
Thus, it is difficult to separate zealous prosecution of the corrupt from
biased efforts to sideline troublemakers. Even though the judges are not
necessarily corrupt, their dependence on the state makes them weak checks
on overzealous anticorruption efforts and other abuses inside those
governments (Gong 2004).
In contrast, in small countries with few law schools, legislators,
prosecutors, defense lawyers, and judges may all belong to the same
network, as is the case in Bulgaria (Center for the Study of Democracy
2010: 107). In France and Malta, Masonic Lodge membership has been
implicated in cases of judicial corruption (ibid.: 105, 108).
Several issues surround establishing and maintaining judicial
independence. The first concerns the judges. How are they selected and
what are their career paths and tenure? How are their pay and working
conditions set? What specific rules govern conflicts of interest, asset
disclosure, and ex parte communication? How are judges protected from
threats and intimidation, and, conversely, what are the criteria for
impeachment and what criminal statutes govern judicial corruption?
The second category is court organization and staffing. How are
caseloads managed and how large are caseloads? What is the role of clerks
and other court staff? How is the court system organized, and where are the
prosecutors located in the structure of government? Are there juries or lay
judges, and do the public and the press have access to court proceedings?
Are written opinions common and are dissents and concurrences allowed?
Third, legal systems differ in the rules for getting into court, joining
similar cases, dealing with frivolous cases, and so forth. In addition, civil
and criminal procedures differ, as does the role of precedent, law codes,
constitution, statutes, and agency rules. Lawyers’ fees and court costs are
assigned differently in different systems. Finally, the legal profession may
be more or less professionalized and respected, and legal education may not
be up to date with contemporary developments, especially in business law.
The ways these issues are addressed varies from country to country,
specifically between civil law and common law systems. In the former, the
judiciary gains independence through professional training, oversight, and
career paths; in the latter, political balance, transparency, and public
participation play a larger role. In civil law systems, judges have little
discretion in interpreting the law, and a judgeship is a full-time, lifetime job,
earned by passing a competitive exam, a fact that limits problems with
conflicts of interest, while formal rules also limit acceptance of outside
remuneration. However, cases are often decided by a single judge based on
written evidence, behind closed doors, and hierarchical corruption is a real
risk. The use of panels of judges and the presence of lay judges in some
systems help limit corruption. If the judiciary suffers from a lack of
resources and staff, this can produce delays that litigants might pay to
avoid. In the extreme, the judges and their staff can create delays in order to
generate payoffs. Finally, because judges are career civil servants with
salaries fixed by the state, they may be vulnerable to financial inducements
offered by wealthy litigants and their lawyers.
In the common law model, courts build on precedent in their effort to
interpret the law and apply it to new situations. Lay juries participate in
many trials, providing a form of judicial check, and trials are public,
improving transparency. Civil and criminal procedures protect litigants’
rights but lead to delays that create incentives for corruption. The judicial
selection process is intertwined with politics, whether judges are appointed
or elected. In the United States, federal judges and many state judges are
appointed for life, so even if their nomination is politically charged, once
appointed they are immune to political pressure. Elected judges, by
contrast, impose longer sentences as elections approach (Huber and Gordon
2004; Gordon and Huber 2007), suggesting that election and reelection may
impair impartiality.
Because lawyers often become judges after a long career in private
practice, avoiding conflicts of interest is particularly important. If judges
are independently wealthy from prior careers as private lawyers, they may
favor litigants associated with organizations in which the judges have a
financial interest. U.S. law has stringent requirements for disclosure of
assets and restrictive limits on permitted activities while in office.
Furthermore, because in the United States the prosecutor is inside the
executive branch, certain types of corrupt activities may be overlooked if
they are too closely associated with the regime in power. Similar problems
may arise in Commonwealth systems if the judges are beholden to
incumbent politicians. Thus dereliction of duty may arise in forms that do
not fit conveniently under the legal definition of corruption but that
nevertheless distort the operation of the judicial system. Other actors, such
as jurors and witnesses, are particularly vulnerable to corruption.
Some corrupt incentives are common to both systems. First, if pay and
working conditions are poor, judges and their staffs may be relatively easy
to corrupt (Voigt 2007). Judges may be more vulnerable to these
inducements in civil-law systems in which they have few accumulated
assets. In the extreme, judges may be threatened and intimidated by wealthy
defendants, particularly those associated with organized crime or those
accused of “grand” corruption at the top of government. Judges may be
offered bribes with the implication that if the offer is refused, the judge and
his or her family may suffer physical harm.
Second, bribes can avoid some of the costs of a judicial proceeding.
Bribes can speed up (or slow down) cases (ibid.).20 Even if judges are not
corrupt, low-paid clerks in charge of assigning cases and managing files
may demand or accept bribes.21 The lack of formal court fees creates
incentives for court employees and judges to demand unauthorized fees
(Buscaglia 1995).
However, a paradox exists. If the services of the courts improve, more
people will use them, leading to the need for even more resources to
maintain service quality. In most markets, prices ration the quality and
quantity of services, but if congestion is a problem, each service user
imposes costs on others (Buscaglia and Ulen 1997: 278–83). If the price of
the service does not reflect this cost, the market will operate inefficiently.
Litigants and their lawyers will continue to offer bribes to get to the head of
the queue. Hence, reforms in Argentina, Ecuador, and Venezuela simplified
processes and made them more transparent and eliminated some of the
clerks’ discretion (Buscaglia 2001). The most effective reforms were: (1)
use of computer systems for information provision and the reporting of
corruption; (2) reducing the time to disposition and the number of
administrative or procedural steps; and (3) increasing options for alternative
public and private methods of dispute resolution.22
Third, the rules governing the relations between judges, lawyers, and
litigants can facilitate corruption. Thus, if judges make a practice of
meeting with the lawyer for one side– without the presence of the other
lawyer – this can be an invitation to corruption.
Fourth, if the caseload facing judges raises complex and technical
issues not included in their legal training, there is a temptation to use bribe
payments to resolve such issues. In countries that have just become
committed to democracy and the free market, laws governing the private
market either do not exist or are vague and contradictory (Buscaglia and
Dakolias 1996: 12). In Latin America one study refers to the “jungle of
laws” governing private contracts and argues that judges’ discretion creates
corrupt incentives that increase the uncertainty of the business climate.
“The legislature and executive produce a multitude of laws [that] make it
almost impossible for anyone to know which ones are actually in force.
This uncertainty makes the courts the ideal place for bargaining, corruption,
and rent seeking” (Borner, Brunetti, and Weder 1992: 20, 29–30; see also
Rowat, Malik, and Dakolias 1995; Buscaglia and Dakolias 1996; Dakolias
1996; Buscaglia and Ulen 1997). Often, it is hard to find the text of statutes
and regulations, and there is sometimes a poor fit between the formal law
and the reality of private disputes (Linarelli 1996). Hence, rather than
focusing on the courts as an institution, reform may have to start by
redrafting statutes and reforming legal training and professional credentials.
The goal of reform is not just to improve the operation of the courts,
but also to create a secure legal framework for public policy
implementation and private market activity. Corrupt incentives can be
reduced by laws that are well-drafted, relatively clear, and accessible to the
public (ideally online, as well as in public libraries) in the language(s) of
the country. Then, not only will cases be easier to resolve, but fewer
disputes will arise.
B. Prosecutors
The organization and independence of prosecutors is another dimension for
reform. Some, as in the United States, are part of the executive branch. In
other countries they are part of the judiciary. Either option can create
problems with independence and professionalism.
Among the range of options, one interesting experiment is the
Brazilian public prosecutor (Ministerio Público) system that is largely
independent of the rest of government and has been able to achieve a level
of prestige and professionalism unknown under the previous system (Sadek
and Batista Cavalcanti 2003). The prosecutors were professionalized
through careful selection of candidates, inculcation of values and
procedures, and detailed evaluation during their first few years of practice
(Coslovsky 2011). Nevertheless, the public prosecutor needs resources to
function well and cannot achieve reform on its own (Sadek and Batista
Cavalcanti 2003: 210; Coslovsky 2011: 75–6). Some prosecutors express
frustration with the police, on the one hand, and with the judiciary, on the
other – either or both of which may be underresourced, corrupt, or
incompetent. Hence the prosecutors’ performance varies from state to state
(Sadek and Batista Cavalcanti 2003: 211–13). Some look for creative
solutions to social problems, negotiating settlements in some cases to obtain
resources for their own offices, for regulatory agencies, and for social
projects (Coslovsky 2011). Furthermore, the prosecutors’ very
independence risks the sort of impunity that can also be a problem with an
overly insulated judiciary (Sadek and Batista Cavalcanti 2003: 217–22;
Coslovsky 2011: 71). In spite of the difficulties, the Brazilian case seems
worth careful study: positive traits might be copied elsewhere.
C. Alternative Dispute Resolution
If the law on the books does not mean much and the judicial system
operates poorly, people will avoid bringing disputes before the courts unless
they are willing and able to be the high bribers. Otherwise, they will find
ways to circumvent the court system by hiring private arbitrators and using
other methods, such as the protection provided by organized crime. In Latin
America, for example, business people try to avoid using the courts to
resolve disputes (Buscaglia 1995; Dakolias 1996; Hammergren 2002,
2003). Informal Alternative Dispute Resolution (ADR) systems can be one
response. However, because such systems are generally less transparent
than courts and harder for the state to control, they carry their own risks. In
Peru, for example, they involved “pseudo-attorneys, false documents,
forged title deeds, nonexistent identities, and virtually no legal guarantees”
(Santa Gadea 1995: 185). In Indonesia the courts are ineffective because of
the widespread belief that many judges are corrupt or incompetent (Das-
Gupta and Mookherjee 1998: 427); alternative private “collection agencies”
are used by private creditors to extort payments. According to MacLean
(1996: 158) a delinquent debtor in Jakarta may find a basket of snakes or a
box of spiders in his home. In Eastern Europe and Russia murders of
businessmen and bankers have been common. Many were apparently
execution-style killings that were part of a brutal private system of “dispute
resolution.”23
However, ADR can be a promising reform. One survey showed that
ADR helped poor rural households in Colombia resolve land title disputes
(Buscaglia and Stephen 2005). In the survey areas, few households used the
courts, and few obtained a final resolution to the cases they brought to
court.24 The obstacles most mentioned were lack of information, costs in
money and time, and corruption (ibid.: 98). A system of Complaint Boards
or Panels, composed of respected local volunteers, was introduced into
parts of rural Colombia in about 2000. The study shows that they operated
much more effectively to resolve land disputes. Even though their decisions
are only advisory, the local governments accepted Board rulings in
recording ownership. Land values rose for those using that system
compared to those using the courts, with the relative gains for the poorest
being especially high. These gains went along with much lower costs as a
percent of the stakes. The use of Complaint Boards apparently both raised
property values and cost less. Nevertheless, as Buscaglia and Stephan point
out, these results should not lead one to abandon court reform in favor of a
wholesale shift to ADR. Such processes cannot be used for cases in which
“the public interest is at stake and where, consequently, ex ante guidance is
required (e.g. civil and political liberties cases)” (ibid.: 103). The problem
of court reform cannot be abandoned but can perhaps be integrated with
bottom-up informal institutions.
D. Independent Anticorruption Agencies
An alternative to relying on existing prosecutors and police forces is the
creation of an independent anticorruption agency (ACA) reporting only to
the chief executive or parliament.25 Dozens of countries have established
ACAs in the past several decades. ACAs are partly a response to pressure
from the international community to fight corruption, as we discuss in
Chapter 14.26 The European Union and the United States have supported
the creation of ACAs in the new member states of the European Union,
apparently with some positive effects. At least in Romania, press reports
suggest that the ACA, headed by an energetic, courageous lawyer, has
begun to have a positive effect and has earned acceptance from the top of
government although her de jure independence is rather weak.27
Although ACAs have become a popular approach to combating
corruption, they have yielded mixed results. There have been notable
success stories, but also many countries in which corruption has persisted
despite the establishment of an ACA. They can also be a tool to limit
dissent.
The best-known examples are provided by Hong Kong and Singapore,
both city-states and former British colonies. In both cases, the turnaround in
corruption combined commitment from the top, credible law enforcement
by an independent agency operating under a strong statute, and reform of
the civil service. Corruption was endemic in Hong Kong in the 1960s
(Manion 1996b; Skidmore 1996). Spurred to action by a scandal involving
a high-ranking police officer, the governor established an Independent
Commission against Corruption (ICAC) in 1974 that reported only to the
governor and was independent of the police force. Officials in the ICAC
were paid more than other bureaucrats, and were not subject to transfer to
other departments. No one in the ICAC could end up working for a more
senior officer who had been subject to investigation. The ICAC was given
the power to investigate and prosecute corruption cases, to recommend
legal and administrative changes to reduce corrupt incentives, and to engage
in a campaign of public education (Rahman 1986: 144–6; Klitgaard 1988:
98–121; Quah 1995; Manion 1996b; Skidmore 1996). To avoid conflicts of
interest, ICAC employees are banned from working for the government
after they leave the ICAC, but turnover is low, so this is not much of a
concern (Heilbrunn 2004).
The credibility of the new institution is indicated by the increased
number of complaints it received upon establishment and by the high
proportion of complaints that were not anonymous. In addition to the
ICAC’s independence, the government appointed a person of unquestioned
integrity to head the ICAC and instituted an initial policy of investigating
and prosecuting “big tigers” (Klitgaard 1988; Manion 1996b). Efforts to
clean up corrupt syndicates within the police, however, met with protests,
and the ICAC backed down and granted an amnesty for offenses committed
before January 1, 1977.28 This setback was harmful, but the ICAC was able
to recover with a vigorous focus on public education. Surveys of the public
carried out between 1977 and 1994 indicate that public perceptions of
corruption fell during the early years of the ICAC. Indirect evidence
suggests that corruption did, in fact, decline along with public perceptions
(Manion1996b). However, now that Hong Kong has reunified with China,
business opportunities on the mainland have increased the benefits of
corruption. Indeed, perhaps the most problematic area is Chinese trade
through Hong Kong (Fisman, Moustakerski, and Wei 2008).
Among Asian countries, Singapore stands out as a relatively clean
place to do business. Singapore ranks among the “cleanest” countries on
both the CCI (8/210) and the CPI (7/100). But during the colonial era, it
was a very corrupt place. Just after World War II, graft was pervasive,
especially in the police department (Quah 1989, 1994). When the People’s
Action Party (PAP) assumed power in 1959, it strengthened the powers of
an existing Corrupt Practices Investigations Bureau (CPIB), and in 1970
placed it directly under the prime minister’s office. The CPIB has
succeeded in limiting corruption (Rahman 1986: 149–52), but it is not
subject to external checks and those accused of corruption have sometimes
accused the agency of heavy-handed behavior that violated their rights
(Quah 1989).
Singapore also reduced corrupt incentives by giving civil servants a
stake in their jobs through high wages, bonuses, and favorable working
conditions. The aim is to keep compensation packages in line with private-
sector alternatives (Klitgaard 1988: 122–33; Quah 1989, 1994, 1995).
Successes also sometimes accompany the creation of more specialized
ACAs that monitor a particular government system. For example, the
School Construction Authority of New York City established an internal
agency with some independence to both ferret out corrupt contractors and
propose internal reorganizations that reduce corruption. This hybrid form
does not focus only on after-the-fact law enforcement, but also helps design
internal control systems. Although some critics believe that it has been too
rigid and intrusive, the New York Authority has apparently paid for itself by
saving the city many millions of dollars.29 This experiment suggests the
value of mixing the benefits of an independent prosecutorial body with an
oversight capability located inside a public agency. This option presents
tricky problems of avoiding co-optation, but it promises to make possible
structural reforms that would be beyond the scope of the Hong Kong and
Singapore institutions.
Independent ACAs are a popular reform proposal for developing
countries (Recanatini 2011a), but the widespread powers of an ACA could
be abused in systems less committed to the rule of law.30 As a check on its
power, such an agency might report, not to the chief executive, but to the
legislature – as does the Government Accountability Office (GAO) in the
United States.31 The GAO monitors the federal executive branch but reports
directly to Congress. It resolves contracting disputes, settles the accounts of
the U.S. government, resolves claims of or against the United States,
gathers information for Congress, and makes recommendations to it.
Another potential problem is an underemphasis on structural reforms.
For example, the process of obtaining a driver’s license in Hong Kong had
become very long and cumbersome. The ICAC discovered that bribes were
paid to obtain licenses speedily. Even though the ICAC’s mandate includes
recommending ways to reduce corrupt incentives, the agency focused on
enforcing the law against corrupt drivers and civil servants rather than on
reforming the bureaucracy to streamline the issuance of licenses (Skidmore
1996). An anticorruption policy will not be very useful if it leaves in place
the restrictive laws and cumbersome processes that produced incentives for
bribery in the first place. An ACA ought to be only one part of a larger
strategy that includes more fundamental reforms that go beyond law
enforcement.
The necessary conditions for success of an ACA include political
support at the highest levels and also in middle management; the
introduction of clear anticorruption legislation; an effective law
enforcement structure; coordination and cooperation among agencies and
jurisdictions; and sufficient funding – guaranteed for the medium term. The
ACA should be but one part of public-sector reform, and should be
supported by a publicity campaign to enlist the support of citizens, the
media, and NGOs. Clear performance indicators for the ACA should be
announced beforehand and their values published periodically (websites
enable the public to oversee the ACA) to ensure accountability of the
agency, demonstrate that the agency is effective, and guard against
politically motivated prosecutions. Separating the power to appoint from
the power to fire the head of the agency provides checks on authority over
the ACA and helps to ensure its independence. International donors should
provide funds for the medium term in order to avoid a strong start followed
by limited results (Recanatini 2011a). Firms should also play a role,
reporting corruption to the agency, because they are in a position to observe
corruption in public procurement, customs administration, and tax
collection.
All too often, ACAs are underfunded, understaffed, disempowered,
and unpopular in either the political or social sphere, or both. In some cases,
the ACA’s successful identification of corruption cases among the powerful
has led to accusations of corruption within the ACA, resulting in the
imprisonment or exile of the ACA head. In others, the ACA identifies the
cases, but then turns them over to the judicial system, where impunity
reigns.
IV. Openness and Accountability
The public can be an important check on the arbitrary exercise of power by
government. This check can only operate, however, if the government
provides information on its actions. Citizens must have a convenient means
of lodging complaints and be protected against possible reprisals. Of
course, government officials must also find it in their interest to respond to
complaints. There are two basic routes for public pressure – collective
complaints by groups of citizens concerning general failures of government
and objections raised by particular individuals against their own treatment
at the hands of public authorities.
A. Information and Auditing
A precondition for either type of complaint is information. In addition to
passively placing information on a website, agencies can be proactive:
circulating posters, fliers, and videos that tell people what they can expect
from honest officials and how to make a complaint.
In addition to basic information on official standards of behavior,
citizen activists need more comprehensive information. Government must
tell them what it is doing by publishing consolidated budgets, revenue
collections, statutes and rules, and the proceedings of legislative bodies.
Such practices are standard in developed countries, but many developing
countries are seriously deficient. Former colonies often use systems
originally imposed by the colonizer, which may not fit local conditions. A
number of developing and middle-income countries have moved toward
greater budgetary transparency. Several civil society organizations promote
transparency and provide assistance, arguing the shift is often not at all
costly because the data are usually already available. For example, a local
group in Nigeria translated opaque budget data into easily understood
graphics.32
Financial data should be audited and published by independent
authorities such as the GAO in the United States or the Audit Commission
in Great Britain (United Kingdom 1993, 1994, 1996). The British Audit
Commission audits both local governments and the National Health Service
and reports to the national government. Both institutions are independent of
the government agencies they audit – a necessary condition for credibility.33
Outside of the United States and the United Kingdom, audit agencies
vary in professionalism and independence. Santiso (2007) evaluated the
audit agencies in ten Latin American countries. He found that all have
weaknesses, but that overall Brazil, Chile, and Colombia were the best and
Argentina and Ecuador were the worst. He ranks them in terms of
independence, credibility, timeliness, and enforcement. Although most
agencies rank fairly well in terms of formal independence and enforcement
powers, they do less well in measures related to actual performance –
credibility and timeliness. Although the number of data points is too small
to draw firm conclusions, there is a positive relationship between the
effectiveness of external audit agencies in Latin America and the quality of
fiscal governance defined by the efficiency of the bureaucracy, the control
of corruption, and the strength of public institutions. However, more
detailed case study research is necessary to make any causal inferences.
Santiso’s study (2007) of Argentina, Brazil, and Chile and Ackerman’s
studies (2007, 2010) of Mexico provide much more nuance. Even for audit
institutions that rank relatively well, the authors locate serious problems.
Santiso even concludes that Chile’s Contraloría General de la República is
too independent, leaving it insulated from political accountability, and
excessively legalistic and procedural.
Ferraz and Finan (2007) took advantage of a natural experiment in
Brazil, under which the federal government randomly audited the accounts
of municipal governments and revealed the results to citizens before
elections. Voters lowered their electoral support for mayors of
municipalities with problematic accounts, especially if local radio stations
publicized the results. Independent audits and media exposure helped
determine electoral outcomes. The Brazilian federal agency is also an
example of the positive role that a federal structure can play. If federal
government monitors are credibly impartial, they can check the behavior of
state and local governments whose own politicians would not have
incentives to establish such oversight themselves.
However, sometimes sitting politicians do pass statutes setting up
independent monitors of their own governments. They may do this in
response to scandals or because they fear losing power in the next election
and want to limit the new government. In Brazil, for example, incumbent
governors were more likely to support the creation of independent state
audit agencies in competitive polities than in single-party states (Melo,
Pereira, and Figueiredo 2009). Information about mayors’ irregularities
must be publicized in the election year to make a difference in their
reelection chances because corrupt officials may use illicitly obtained funds
to buy votes and because corrupt officials have a strong incentive to stay in
office (Pereira, Melo, and Figueiredo 2008).
Another positive case is a field experiment involving road construction
in 608 Indonesian villages, where Olken (2007) finds that an increased
probability of being audited reduces missing expenditures. At the time the
study was initiated, all the villages were in the beginning stages of building
a road as part of a nationwide development effort. A randomly selected
subset of villages was told that their projects would be audited by the
central government audit agency, effectively increasing the probability of
audit from 4% (the baseline audit rate) to 100%. The audit treatment
reduced missing expenditures by more than 8%. This translates to a net
benefit per village of around $250. Unfortunately, in projects with weak
financial controls it may be difficult to establish a cost benchmark as Olken
was able to do in Indonesia. In that case, cost overruns can simply lead the
recipient polity to ask for and obtain more funds.34 Thus, auditing needs to
be part of an overall system of financial controls and benchmarking. In such
cases, all that is needed is evidence of cost discrepancies not justified by
differences in background conditions. Other studies also support auditing as
a tool to improve service delivery. Thus, Golden and Picci (2005) compared
costs and physical infrastructure in Italy to generate a rough measure of the
productivity of public spending. In general, infrastructure spending was
most unproductive in the poorer southern regions, despite lower private-
sector costs, suggesting higher levels of corruption and waste.
If financing is centralized but administration is decentralized, audits
can detect “leakages” on the path from the central government to the final
program for which the funds are destined. For example, Public Expenditure
Tracking Surveys (PETS) compare funds disbursed at one level of
government to those received or disbursed at the next level. Reinikka and
Svensson (2006) document the results of the first PETS that the World Bank
carried out in Uganda in 1996: 87% of funds earmarked for primary
education never reached the schools. Similar PETS in Ghana, Peru,
Tanzania, and Zambia between 1998 and 2001 revealed leakages from 10%
to 76% (the extremes occurred in Zambia); one survey of teacher payrolls
in Peru was halted due to threats (Hallak and Poisson 2007: 105). Sundet
(2008) laments that many PETS are seen as an end – informative – rather
than a means to mobilize reform.
Such studies could be used as diagnostic tools to allocate both public
funds and monitoring resources. As an example, Di Tella and Schargrodsky
(2003) studied a program in Argentina where the prices hospitals paid for
standardized products were monitored. The authority announced that it
would examine closely any prices that were especially high relative to the
average. As a result, prices both fell and converged. Hence, auditors ought
to check for links between the price and the quantity and quality of public
services as an indirect way of getting at corruption and a direct way of
achieving better public-sector performance.
In all democratic countries the legislature can play an important role in
reviewing the spending of the executive. In presidential systems,
congressional committees, aided in the United States by the GAO, can
provide continuing oversight. In parliamentary systems on the Westminster
model, Public Accounts Committees (PACs), often headed by a leading
opposition member of Parliament, perform a similar function (Chester
1981). In the United Kingdom, for example, the PAC issued a report in
1994 arguing that serious failures in administrative and financial systems
had led to money being spent wastefully or improperly (Doig 1996: 174).
Legislators themselves may misuse public funds. In the UK a 2009
report revealed instances of “gaming the expense system” with personal
expenses unrelated to parliamentarians’ work, resulting in prison sentences
for members.35 An inquiry in Canada found abuses on a smaller scale by
members of the ruling Conservative party.36
In both the United States and in Westminster democracies, the
involvement of opposition politicians in oversight means that the review
will have a political cast. The input may be in the form of accounting
documents, but the debate will be influenced by political factors. This is as
it should be in a well-functioning democracy, but it is hardly an unbiased
way of uncovering malfeasance. If violations of the criminal law are
uncovered, there must also be an unbiased prosecutorial and judicial system
available to pursue the allegations.
In many countries, outside review is hampered because unaudited,
secret funds are available to the chief executives and top ministers. These
funds are an invitation to corruption throughout the world.37 In the United
States, despite the Freedom of Information Act, the budgets of the
individual national security agencies such as the Central Intelligence
Agency are not published.38 Oversight is provided by a special committee
of Congress – a level of review that goes beyond many other countries
where the executive essentially has unfettered discretion over a secret
account. For example, before 1989 the United Kingdom simply refused to
formally acknowledge that it had an intelligence service (Shpiro 1998). In
Brazil, when President Collor’s impeachment was before the Congress,
observers worried that his allies were seeking to use secret government
funds to bribe the members to obtain a favorable verdict (Geddes and
Ribeiro Neto 1992).
In general, however, audit agencies in other polities are not as
independent of the governments they audit, and they report to the
legislature. In a parliamentary system the legislative majority selects the
cabinet; hence the two are not really independent of each other. Although
audits may help citizens to evaluate state functioning, they are part of the
government structure.
In addition, many countries facilitate direct citizen oversight through
freedom of information acts (FOIAs) that permit citizens and organizations
to access government information without having to give a reason for their
interest in the material.39 There has been an explosion in such laws in recent
decades (Ackerman and Sandoval 2006; Neuman and Calland 2007). The
earliest example, dating from 1974, is the U.S. Freedom of Information
Act,40 which sets out the basic principles including a range of exceptions,
time limits on bureaucrats, and provisions to help agencies manage the
process including guidelines on fees and record-keeping requirements. The
European Union (EU) requires access to EU “documents” – a seemingly
less inclusive term than “information,” but numerous Member States have
more inclusive statutes.41 The U.S. has no government agency charged with
legally resolving disputes. Instead, complainants must go to court or seek
mediation through an ombudsman in the new Office of Government
Information Services [OPEN Government Act of 2007, Pub. L. 110–81,
sec. 10]. In contrast, some countries have strong independent agencies that
monitor and manage the implementation of the law. Examples are Mexico,
Jamaica, Canada, and Hungary (Rose-Ackerman 2005: 149–53; Neuman
and Calland 2007: 204–5).42
FOIAs are only effective if the government actually collects data that
citizens find useful. They are necessary but not sufficient conditions for
accountability. Some FOIAs mandate the collection and dissemination of
particular types of information, including requirements for open web access
to certain materials.43 Furthermore, the cost of complying with information
requests encourages agencies to take steps ex ante to organize their files and
to make more of them available online. Neuman and Calland (2007) outline
the implementation challenges. A strong civil society can help keep
pressure on the state to perform, and such groups should concentrate on the
procedures for information management and disclosure. Successful
implementation is quite expensive both in start-up costs and in the ongoing
response to requests. Poorer countries will need to find ways to keep costs
down without undermining the law’s purposes. To get a sense of the costs,
the authors take the example of Mexico, one of the few countries where
budgetary figures are available. In its first year the Mexican Federal
Institute for Access to Information had a budget of U.S. $25 million
(0.033% of GDP, compared to 0.0007% in the United States and 0.004% in
Canada), a new building, a staff of more than 150, and an advanced
Internet-based system “that would make major corporations jealous” (ibid.:
193).
A FOIA aims to keep government accountable overall, but it can also
have specific anticorruption benefits because the provision of information
can be a cost-effective way to limit corruption (Di Tella and Schargrodsky
2003; Reinikka and Svensson 2006). In particular, a field experiment in
India studied citizens applying for a welfare program. One group of
applicants used the country’s FOIA to check on the progress of their files
compared to others who simply waited for service or paid middlemen, who
were presumed conduits for bribes. Using the FOIA reduced waiting time
and was cheaper than paying a bribe (Peisakhin and Pinto 2010). This result
was obtained with the help of a local civil society organization, suggesting
that the mere existence of a FOIA is not sufficient. Groups may need to
invent ways to use the law to limit corruption and to publicize and facilitate
its use.
FOIAs can be abused, however. In Texas, a regent of the University of
Texas at Austin requested more than 800,000 pages of documents from
university offices, imposing costs of more than $1 million on the
university.44 Other individuals and organizations have also “filed many
large records requests” with the university system.45 When resources must
be dedicated to fulfilling such requests, they must be shifted from other
duties, and may undermine the primary purpose of a department or agency.
In the United States, other sources of information are legislative
hearings that are open to the public unless national security is at stake, as
well as many executive branch meetings and hearings. For multimember
agencies, the Government in the Sunshine Act gives citizens access to every
meeting that includes a decision-making quorum (5 U.S.C. §552b). Some
critics of the act urge that open-meeting requirements be made more
effective through better publicity and the provision of background
materials. Others argue that the act undermines the agencies’ deliberative
processes (Tucker 1980: 547).46 But even critics would retain the
requirement that votes and other important substantive decisions be made in
open meetings. At issue is the public’s right to present information to the
executive branch, to learn the reasons for decisions, and to flag those that
are most likely influenced by corruption and favoritism.
But a FOIA has little value if government does not gather much
information. Many countries must first put information systems in order,
provide for the publication of the most important documents, and assure
public access to other unpublished material. Similarly, an open-meeting rule
is of little value if the formal law is so vague that any decision can be
justified. These measures provide some measure of accountability, but the
value of that accountability depends on the degree of democratization.
B. The Media and Public Opinion
Even a government that keeps good records and makes them available to
the public may operate with impunity if no one bothers to analyze the
available information – or if analysts are afraid to raise their voices. There
are three routes to accountability. If the aim is to pressure government to act
in the public interest, the role of both the media and organized groups is
important. If the goal is government accountability to individuals, avenues
for individual complaints must be established. In all three cases – media,
groups, and individuals – there is the problem of fear. If government
officials or their unofficial allies intimidate and harass those who speak out,
formal structures of accountability will be meaningless.
The media can facilitate public discussion if it is privately owned and
free to criticize the government without fear of reprisal. Even undemocratic
rulers are likely to be sensitive to public opinion if they wish to avoid civil
unrest. Thus a free press is an essential check, especially in undemocratic
countries that lack other means of constraining politicians and bureaucrats.
And if elections are important, the media is also crucial.
Nominal press freedom will be insufficient if most of the media is
associated with political parties. In Italy corruption only became big news
as the Italian press became increasingly independent from the political
system (Giglioli 1996: 386). Government can also keep the press in line
through advertising, printing contracts, and payments to journalists.
Mexican newspapers, for example, have been controlled through these
methods. In Argentina, Di Tella and Franseschelli (2011) found that
government advertising in four major newspapers fell when corruption
stories were featured on the front page (or vice versa). More recently, when
certain media covered apparent personal enrichment by presidents Néstor
and Cristina Kirchner,47 the latter “began to deprive [them] of state
advertising.”48 Another subtle form of control is to overlook underpayment
of taxes by editors and media companies, retaining the possibility of
prosecution as a threat.49
In many countries restrictive libel laws give special protections to
public officials (Pope 1996: 129–41; Vick and Macpherson 1997: 647).50
This is just the reverse of what is needed. Politicians and other public
figures should be harder to libel than private citizens, not easier. They
should not be immune to facing charges of corruption, and allegations of
libel should be handled as civil, not criminal, matters. In this at least, the
United States provides an outstanding example with a law that makes it
more difficult to libel public figures than private individuals and that almost
always treats libel as a civil offense.51 Those in the public eye have
assumed the risk of public scrutiny and have access to the media to rebut
accusations (Vick and Macpherson 1997: 650; Sanders and Miller 2013–
14). The First Amendment protects speech, especially speech that seeks to
hold public officials to account. However, some argue that the distinction
between public figure and private individuals has eroded in the Internet age
and that libel should be a civil offence that must meet the high standard of
“actual malice” in all claims (Sanders and Miller 2013–14).52 Threats of
lawsuits operate as a serious deterrent elsewhere. Great Britain has no
public figure defense, and some claim that its libel law deters critical
reporting of issues affecting the public interest (Vick and Macpherson 1997:
627, 649–50). Britain repealed the criminal law against sedition and
seditious libel in 2009 although the reform was hardly a major step as, in
practice, the law was rarely enforced.53 Free speech advocates,
nevertheless, hailed the reform as a way to pressure other countries to
decriminalize libel.54 The uniform treatment of public and private figures
remains in the UK, however, and may deter certain kinds of political
critique.
An especially clear example of the chilling effect of a strong libel law
is Singapore, where top politicians successfully sued both the media and
political opponents.55 In Liberia an investigative reporter was imprisoned in
2013 after being unable to pay a court judgment in a libel suit brought by a
politician who was dismissed for graft.56 In some Latin American countries
libel can still be prosecuted as a criminal instead of a civil action, but this
has changed in some states, such as Mexico, which abolished criminal libel
in 2007.57
Political control is usually more subtle than outright censorship. But,
in the extreme, a sitting government may simply buy off the media with
regular payments conditional on their subservient behavior. A study of the
regime of President Fujimori in Peru demonstrates the importance of a free
media in maintaining democracy. McMillan and Zoido (2004) studied the
tapes made by Vladimir Montesinos, President Fujimori’s top advisor. The
videos recorded his payoffs to legislators, judges, and the media. The
relatively large size of the payoffs to television stations suggests their
importance. McMillan and Zoido show how a state with exemplary formal
constitutional rules, providing for elections and checks and balances, can be
undermined by corrupt high-level officials. However, it was not sufficient to
pay off the media; Montesinos recognized that the information available to
the public must be manipulated as well. In fact, the one independent cable
station, which was not corrupted, ultimately brought the system to light and
led to the downfall of the government. Another data point is the Ferraz and
Finan (2007) study mentioned previously, where radio broadcasts of
incumbents’ finances were a critical part of a strategy that helped punish
corrupt incumbents at the polls.
But in poor countries with high levels of illiteracy, the media can play
only a limited role. Many people have limited education and little
understanding of government operations.58 This has two implications for
reformers. First, government or independent private organizations might
provide educational programs to help people understand what they should
expect of a legitimate government. Some low-level bribery arises because
people suppose that they ought to provide gifts in gratitude for favorable
decisions by superiors (Pasuk and Sungsidh 1994). Citizens may have no
notion that public officials owe them anything.
Second, the government needs a means of identifying the concerns of
poor and marginalized groups without making them subject to penalties for
speaking out. A free media can help here if it can sponsor or publicize
surveys of popular attitudes. Even if the media plays only a limited role in
telling citizens what the government is doing, it can still tell the government
what people think and what difficulties ordinary people face when dealing
with bureaucracies.
C. Private Associations and Nonprofit Organizations as Agents of
Change
A free media with good access to government information is not likely to be
a sufficient check, especially in an autocracy. Individuals and groups must
push for change, but they face a familiar free-rider/collective-action
problem. Information may be available, but no one may have an incentive
to look at it. The scandals uncovered by investigative journalists may
provoke outrage, but no action.
Laws that make it easy to establish private associations and nonprofit
corporations will help. This will facilitate the creation of watchdog groups
like Transparency International, a Berlin-based nonprofit focused on
corruption with national chapters in more than one hundred countries.59
These local chapters carry out a range of activities including participation in
Integrity Workshops, anticorruption training for public servants, data
collection and publication, and advocacy for victims of corruption.
Transparency International regularly issues press releases calling for reform
in a particular country or specific action on a particular case.
Some governments limit NGOs or make it very costly for them to
organize. Formal legal constraints may be high, and members may be
subject to surveillance and harassment (Carothers and Brechenmacher
2014). Once registered, nonprofits may face onerous formal reporting
requirements. However, in practice, such rules mean little in many countries
because the state lacks enforcement capacity. Sometimes the very
ineffectiveness of the state can be a source of freedom (Bratton 1989: 577–
8).
Another problem is co-optation. Some nonprofits organize and
administer development programs for the poor with financing provided by
the state or by aid funds administered by the state. Their very existence
depends upon cooperation with public authorities. Hence, they may be
reluctant to criticize officials openly (ibid.: 578–9). To avoid such tensions,
an NGO that takes on an anticorruption mandate should avoid participation
in service delivery.
In countries with an honest and independent judicial system, another
possibility arises for the indirect control of corruption. Private individuals
and groups can be given the right to bring suits to force compliance with tax
and regulatory laws. The aim of such suits is not to uncover bribery but to
obtain compliance with the underlying substantive law. No evidence of
corruption need be presented. Instead, the focus would be on regulatory or
tax law violations. This procedure operates fairly well with respect to
projects funded by the World Bank, as outlined in Chapter 14: affected
parties appeal to the World Bank on the basis of operating rules that have
been broken, usually without any proof of corruption.
Few legal systems provide an opportunity for individuals to sue to
protect public values. They must demonstrate that their own rights or
interests were actually injured, and only then can they have standing before
the courts. Of course, sometimes an individual can further public-interest
goals in the process of vindicating his or her individual rights, but many
administrative failures are beyond the purview of the courts in such
systems. The U.S., German, and Japanese judicial review processes share
this weakness, with a few exceptions (Fuke 1989; Rose-Ackerman 1995a;
Rose-Ackerman, Egidy, and Fowkes 2015). As a commentator on Japanese
law notes, “[C]ertain comprehensive administrative activities may bring
about irreparable damage to the public as well as specific persons in the
long run, without causing any immediate, specific, personal and justiciable
injury to anyone” (Fuke 1989: 232). Some types of corruption that raise the
costs and lower the effectiveness of government are in that category.
Outside of the United States the losing party in a lawsuit commonly
pays the legal fees of both sides. The American innovation is one-sided fee
shifting – private plaintiffs who bring citizen suits against the government
or polluters are compensated for their legal fees if they win but are not
required to pay their opponents’ fees if they lose. This is a valuable
innovation that could be applied in the anticorruption context. One-sided
fee shifting gives public interest groups an incentive to focus on the most
worthy cases. It has the further advantage of forcing firms that gain from
paying bribes to pay most of the cost of enforcing the law against them.
Because accusations of corruption and malfeasance can be motivated by
revenge, the law might include a provision that shifts all legal fees onto the
plaintiff for suits found to be harassing or vindictive – so long as the courts
can be relied upon to apply the rule sparingly. For example, the U.S. law
that protects whistle-blowers generally awards them their legal fees but
with an exception for suits that are “frivolous, clearly vexatious, or brought
primarily for purposes of harassment” [31 USCS § 3730 (d)].
In countries with weak courts and ineffective governments, reform
efforts can be frustrating. A group knows that government is working
poorly, can document its failure, and speaks out in protest. The media
reports the group’s complaints, and they are the source of widespread public
debate. But the government may not react. In a democracy, political
opposition can make corruption a campaign issue. In an autocracy, political
opponents are likely to be relatively weak. An anticorruption organization
can do little without some cooperation from the country’s political
leadership. Here corruption may be an easier issue for citizens to tackle than
other controversial topics such as land reform or labor rights. Although
some autocrats operate with impunity, indifferent to domestic public
opinion and criticism from the outside world, others are not so self-
confident or powerful. In these cases, reform may be possible with NGOs
pushing the state to change and working with it to make reform happen.
Nevertheless, serious anticorruption efforts may require a radical
realignment of the relationship between ordinary people and the state.
Citizens may be afraid that complaining will only make things worse for
them personally. Greater popular voice may challenge deep-seated views
about the prerogatives of rulers. However, even autocrats have been known
to reform when the cost in lost investment and growth is especially obvious.
D. Avenues for Individual Complaints
Fighting high-level corruption requires national attention and private
organizations willing to push leaders for change. In contrast, limiting low-
level bureaucratic corruption is often in the interest of top officials, who
may try to enlist ordinary citizens in the effort. This can be done without
organized citizen activity if individuals can lodge complaints easily and
without fear that corrupt officials will take revenge.
Recall the distinction made in Chapter 2 between bribes made to get
around the rules and bribes made to get a benefit that should have been
provided for free. Facilitating complaints will only help uncover the latter
type of corruption. Bribes that permit illegal activities or that soften a legal
regulation or tax assessment are unlikely to be revealed by private
individuals and firms unless they have been arrested and are seeking to
mitigate their punishment. In contrast, if bribery demands are a condition
for obtaining a legal benefit, individuals may not go along if they can
appeal to an honest forum.
The appeals processes must be not only honest, but also speedy and
efficient. The plaintiff must have a right to obtain information about his
case from bureaucrats. For example, land consolidation in Uttar Pradesh in
India apparently was achieved with relatively low levels of corruption. The
keys were an open process with real participation by those affected, time
pressure, and speedy and fair appeals (Oldenburg 1987).
Complaints are unlikely if people fear reprisals. For this reason, e-
government tools such as toll-free phone numbers and portals for
anonymous complaints and presentation of evidence are important. If
telephones and Internet service are not widely available to people in rural
areas (in local dialects) or in poor urban neighborhoods, other methods of
collecting complaints must be found. “Hotlines” must be more than just
symbolic. Public officials – the ombudsman, agency oversight units, or law
enforcement agents – must follow up on complaints in a visible way. At the
same time, if the complaints concern individuals, the accused must have a
credible way of defending against false accusations. Otherwise, an
anticorruption campaign can degenerate into a collection of private
vendettas with people enlisting the state to settle their private feuds.
Many countries have established ombudsmen to hear complaints of all
kinds, not just those related to malfeasance. These offices can help increase
the accountability of government agencies to ordinary citizens (Antoniou
1990: 68–78; Pope 1996; Noorani 1997). Hence they may generate a great
deal of resistance from politicians and bureaucrats. Although this is
regrettable, one should have modest expectations for an ombudsman. These
officials seldom uncover large-scale systemic corruption and generally lack
authority to initiate lawsuits.
Furthermore, the existence of ombudsmen and other complaint
mechanisms will not work if people are unwilling to complain. One way to
encourage insiders to come forward is a whistle-blower statute that protects
and rewards those in government agencies and private firms willing to
complain. Important factors are the role of the media, the lobbying of
groups seeking change, and sympathetic legislators in key positions.
Whistle-blowers acting with such support can put issues on the agenda,
catalyzing a larger process of change. One study (Johnson and Kraft 1990)
details two early case studies of successful whistle-blowers within the U.S.
government. One revealed abuses in the hazardous waste program in the
Environmental Protection Agency; the second protested policy toward
people with AIDS in the Office of Civil Rights in the Department of Human
Services. Both whistle-blowers were policy entrepreneurs who attracted
widespread media coverage and used members of Congress to highlight
their concerns. Both could rely on the support of organized interest groups
to back up their efforts. In the field of corruption control a public mobilized
against corruption is essential if a whistle-blowing statute is to do more than
provide formal legal protections to complaining officials and private-sector
employees. Thus in developing countries that lack such organized groups
whistle-blower protection cannot be an important feature of a reform
strategy until such groups are in place.60 Even in the European Union, the
vast majority of countries have only partial whistle-blower protection, at
best (Transparency International 2013d).
E. Grassroots Oversight of Government Programs
Sometimes public oversight can be more effective if it moves beyond
individual complaints to take an organized local form, perhaps aided by
civil society groups. Sometimes this type of oversight is limited by fear of
intimidation, which may be justified by the actions of those in power.61 If
the problem is acute at the local level, higher levels of government need to
prevent corrupt local officials from operating with impunity. Democracies
need to ensure that the routes for public oversight and complaint are open to
those at the bottom and that fears of intimidation are addressed in an open
and straightforward fashion. However, long-standing patron-client
relationships between politicians and local elites, on the one hand, and
ordinary citizens, on the other, sometimes make independent monitoring
difficult.
Much of the research on the role of grassroots participation draws on
cases in South Asia and Africa (Rose-Ackerman 2004: 316–22). As
Deininger and Mpuga (2005: 172) conclude, “both governments and donors
might be well advised to focus on ways by which ordinary citizens can hold
(elected and appointed) bureaucrats to account as a means to improve
outcomes in the public sector.” In Latin America, for example, numerous
attempts have been made both to involve rural people in the design and
monitoring of agricultural development programs and to increase the
participation of city dwellers in government decision making. The rural
development programs were designed to improve the targeting of programs
to the needs of the farmers and to increase accountability to beneficiaries
(Parker 1995; Das Gupta, Grandvoinnet, and Romani 2000). The urban
cases aimed to increase democratic participation, in order to weaken
existing clientelistic structures; the most famous of these is Participatory
Budgeting in Porto Alegre, Brazil (Abers 1998; Sousa Santos 1998; Torres
Ribeiro and de Grazia 2003; Ackerman 2004: 451–2). The successful cases
in both settings gave citizens better information about what to expect from
government and developed their capacity to hold public officials to account.
Evaluations of the Porto Alegre case found that it reduced clientelism and
corruption (Shah and Wagle 2003; Gret and Sintomer 2005), but at the state
level in Brazil the results were mixed (Goldfrank and Schneider 2006).
Participatory programs require a long-term commitment from
established governments, technical and organizational help, and sufficient
resources for many participants to benefit (Goldfrank and Schneider 2006).
Furthermore, people who are not used to political power need time to learn
how to exercise it responsibly. The variety of experience at both the rural
and urban level suggests that a number of factors must come together
before productive partnerships between government reformers and low-
income people can succeed. The successes have proved difficult to replicate
elsewhere, but this experience teaches us something about how to facilitate
grassroots participation. Increases in local control do not necessarily
increase transparency and accountability (Das Gupta, Grandvoinnet, and
Romani 2000). In a worst-case scenario, such policies enhance the power of
local patrons and entrenched interests. Grassroots monitoring could mean
either that local people obtain a better and more effective project or that
those who make the loudest noise are able to leverage their activism into a
share of the corrupt spoils.
Conclusions
Moving beyond electoral control, corruption can be controlled indirectly by
other limits on political power. We have considered four broad types of
limits. The first are administrative law constraints that require accountable
and transparent executive policy making. The second is the checks and
balances that may be introduced by a federal system, although its efficacy
as an anticorruption institution is unclear. Third are independent bodies
such as courts and ACAs that limit corruption by making it less profitable
for both officials and bribe payers. The fourth group gives people and
groups a way to monitor and to complain about government and the poor
services it may provide. The government supplies information about its
actions; the media and the public can voice complaints; and private
organizations and individuals can push for more public accountability. Such
openness, however, leaves governments vulnerable to popular discontent.
Thus, many regimes, even nominally democratic ones, may view this last
group of policies with suspicion. They are, nevertheless, an essential check
on corruption that cannot be replaced by the other forms of oversight.
3 See del Granado (1995: 19–23), who argues this point for Latin
America.
4 The Taiwanese APA has notice and comment rule making with no
requirement for reason giving and limited judicial review. The act
provides only limited public accountability (Chang 2005).
6 DiIulio (2014) argues that the large body of incumbents in the United
States has the same effect.
12 Fort Lee, NJ, across the Hudson River from New York City, was the
site of illegal gambling games, but the mafia made one mistake – they
invested in Fort Lee condominium projects. These projects soon filled up
with reform-minded young professionals who voted in a reform
government committed to closing down the gambling industry in their
town (Amick 1976: 89).
16 On the positive side see La Porta et al. (2004) and Hanssen (2000). On
the negative side see Landes and Posner (1975) and Ramseyer (1994).
20 Voigt (2007) notes that the causation might run in reverse. Judges and
court officials seeking payoffs might introduce more time-consuming and
arbitrary procedures that cause delays. See also Feld and Voigt (2003,
2006).
22 See also Hammergren (2002, 2003) who focuses on the large number
of abandoned cases. For example, in Mexico 80% of the cases did not
reach final disposition and in Ecuador only 39% of controversies had
been closed in a three- to four-year period. Hammergren would focus on
facilitating out-of-court settlements and improving the execution of court
judgments.
24 Of those interviewed, 3.75% had attempted to use the courts, and only
0.2% (9 of 4,500) of households had resolved a land dispute through the
courts. In the district with no ADR system the average case took 3.5
years, and the courts were reputedly corrupt and dysfunctional; the
formal court system particularly disadvantaged women (Buscaglia and
Stephan 2005: 97, 99, 101).
33 This problem also arises in the private sector. It may prove difficult,
e.g., to induce private corporations to monitor their employees for
criminal law violations (Arlen 1994).
40 5 U.S.C. §§ 552.
47 Cristina Kirchner won the election in 2007 when her husband chose
not to run for reelection. He died in 2010.
53 http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2009/25/section/73 (accessed
October 10, 2015).
I will take a buck and who the hell does not know it, and I am probably
the only one who has guts enough to say I will take a buck. I would
like to see the guy who does not take a buck, let me know the guy who
does not take a buck. Who does he think he is kidding? A lawyer can
go out and take a fee.
This incident was widely publicized in the Boston newspapers and
generated an investigation of the council by the Suffolk County District
Attorney. Allegations were made of shakedowns, bribes to get licenses, and
payoffs for widening sidewalks and installing driveways. Although those
indicted were eventually acquitted, the scandal helped generate support for
a reform to reduce the size of the council and change to an at-large electoral
system under which councilors would have “a city-wide rather than a
neighborhood viewpoint.”
In New York State, the kidnapping and murder of a renegade
Freemason in 1828 led to the arrest and trial of several other Masons.
According to Bodenhorn (2006: 246), “For more than four years, the public
devoured the news, most of which demonstrated Freemasonry’s ...
subversion of the political and judicial system.” Public outrage coalesced
into the Anti-Mason Party and fed banking reform efforts (to fight
corruption in bank chartering) in that state long before other states became
concerned with corruption (Bodenhorn 2006).
Even nations with state-controlled media can use corruption stories to
teach cautionary lessons. In the Soviet Union, for example, corruption
revelations were commonplace news items. To a Western economist, they
indicated the rigidities and inefficiencies of the planned economy. To the
Soviet officials, they were part of periodic cleanup campaigns that did not
challenge the underlying organization of the economic system.14 The recent
anticorruption crackdowns in China show some similarities. They are
designed to punish officials who misbehave and/or are out of political favor.
The cases may lead to the reform of particular sectors, and be presented in
the media as cautionary tales. They are not part of a systemic overhaul (Fu
2015).
Media attention is necessary for scandals to surface, but it is not
sufficient. The revelations must have credibility with the public, and the
public must be sufficiently concerned to express outrage and distress –
which can, in turn, be covered by the media. This dynamic may finally
induce the government to investigate the allegations and correct the
underlying abuses. Unfortunately, responses often focus only on
personalities – covering up blame, on the one hand, and searching for
scapegoats, on the other. Nevertheless, if political leaders are committed to
underlying reforms, the clever use of scandals can generate public support
for costly changes in government operations that would otherwise be
unpopular. Economic crises, like political scandals, can also make reform
seem necessary to the majority of voters even if it implies some pain in the
short run. For example, high inflation might prompt interest groups to agree
on economic policy reform more quickly than under conditions of price
stability (Drazen and Grilli 1993). Empirical work based on a sample of
countries with external debt crises supports this claim. Some of these
countries, mostly in Latin America, had high inflation; others, mostly in the
franc zone in Africa, had low inflation. The study shows that countries with
high inflation rates were more likely to reduce their public-sector deficits.
Furthermore, very high inflation in the present induced countries to lower
inflation in the future (Bruno and Easterly 1996; Kaplan 2013).
Democracies are sometimes viewed critically by economic reformers
who worry that populist pressures will make reform difficult. As a
counterweight, an economic crisis can act like a major scandal to push
reform to the top of the agenda. Thus Das-Gupta and Mookherjee (1998:
450) argue that severe fiscal crises can make reform possible for a new
government that has been elected with a mandate for change. They point to
the examples of Argentina, Bolivia, Colombia, and Peru in the 1980s. They
argue that India missed an opportunity for reform in 1991 in the wake of a
foreign exchange crisis and the election of a new government. In Great
Britain, Australia, and New Zealand in the 1980s administrative reforms by
newly elected governments were spurred by the stagflation of the 1970s
(Scott 1996: 5–6; Zifcak 1994: 7–8, 17–18, 138–9). Economic crises have
also made reform possible in the United States. For example, a case study
of reform in Wisconsin during the late nineteenth century points to the
salient impact of economic depression and financial panic in bringing
people together across divisions of class and status to push for reform
(Thelen 1972: 200).
Of course, many economic crises have no clear relationship with the
level of corruption, but in countries where the public fiscal system and the
profitability of business have been undermined by corruption in tax
collection and public procurement, economic crises can provide a catalyst
for anticorruption policies as well as macroeconomic adjustment. In fact, if
underlying relationships based on corruption, family connections, and
patronage are not changed, standard macroeconomic prescriptions may not
succeed. For example, a study of efforts to reform tax administration in
Mexico and Argentina points to the costs of corruption and inefficiency in
the revenue system as an underlying cause of the fiscal crises of the early
1980s. The weak and arbitrary aspects of the tax system in both countries
contributed to a poorly functioning public sector and inefficiencies in the
private sector as well. The resulting crisis persuaded political elites of the
need for reform (Berensztein 1998). The current debt crises in Greece (CPI
= 43; CCI = −0.11) and Puerto Rico (CPI = 63; CCI = 0.50) should be met
not only with macroeconomic reform, but also with reform of government
in ways that limit corruption and promote the effective delivery of services.
Economic and political crises are costly and risky preconditions to
reform. They are often preceded by long periods of slow decline in the
effectiveness of the state (Scott 1996: 72; Corrales 1997–8). Crises may
produce violence, chaos, and a challenge to state legitimacy (Bruno and
Easterly 1996). Reform may occur, but at great cost to society, or the
country may descend into anarchy. One can hardly recommend the
manufacture of crises as a cure for the corruption of state institutions
(Corrales 1997–8). Far better is a political system subject to ongoing
pressures to perform well (Scott 1996: 72). Nevertheless, reformers need to
recognize that crises and scandals can sometimes be used to push reluctant
public and private actors toward change, and take advantage of such
opportunities.
B. Gradual Reform: The United States and Great Britain
In Great Britain the model of public office as a benefit-by-contract became
unworkable during the first half of the nineteenth century as the government
extended its activities. Few large private corporations existed that could
have provided mass public services. Instead of contracting out for postal or
customs services, the state began to employ a large number of subordinate
officials who earned a salary and were often selected on the basis of loyalty
to the ruling coalition. The East India Company was an exception, a private
firm operating as a surrogate for the British government that as early as the
late eighteenth century introduced some measure of training and merit
recruitment, but its personnel system shared many of the other weaknesses
of the government (Raadschelders and Rutgers 1996: 84; Marshall 1997). A
similar patronage-based system of public employment developed in the
United States. These systems performed poorly, and the lack of viable
private-sector alternatives to state provision made internal reform by the
state the only plausible option. The pressure for civil service reform
derived, in part, from the lack of any alternative to public provision.
Johnson and Libecap (1994) argue that in the United States, civil
service reform was motivated by the growing absolute size of the federal
bureaucracy. It is a commonplace of the organization theory literature that
loss of control increases with organizational size. In the United States this
happened at the federal level after the Civil War. Direct monitoring became
more costly and led those at the top of the hierarchy to relinquish some
discretion in return for the establishment of formal rules. Johnson and
Libecap claim that the combination of large government size and the
growing independence of local party leaders produced support for civil
service reform in Congress. The 1883 Pendleton Act only covered the
largest federal facilities, and support for the act was indeed stronger among
members of Congress from districts with important post offices and
customs houses (ibid.: 105–7). In this case, national prosperity seems to
have been unaffected by reform. Neither total nor per capita measures of
GNP were significantly associated with extension of the merit system at the
federal level. The macroeconomy, however, appears to be the wrong level
of analysis because a well-functioning national state would have a different
impact on businesses depending upon how dependent they were on the post
office and the customs service. Unlike many countries in the present day,
the federal government had many fewer regulatory and spending
responsibilities.15
Experience from some developing countries seems to contradict
Johnson and Libecap’s argument that a growth in the size of government
spurs reform. Large governments appear to be especially hard to reform. If
government is very large, it will employ a large proportion of the
workforce. In some poor countries the government sector accounts for a
large share of the jobs in the modern sector. If this is true, reform that
requires substantial privatization and massive layoffs may be politically
difficult to achieve. Even if reform will improve job opportunities and
facilitate economic growth over time, public employees will oppose reform
because of uncertainty about how they will fare (cf. Fernandez and Rodrik
1991). Furthermore, the possibility that employees can organize into unions
and pressure groups will limit reformers’ freedom of action. Even if
Johnson and Libecap are correct that inefficiency increases as government
grows, that fact may be insufficient to overcome the political clout of public
employees. Johnson and Libecap emphasize the absolute size of
government or at least of some key agencies such as the post office. In
contrast, the government share of total employment is also relevant.
The best case for reform occurs when government employment is large
in absolute numbers but a small share of the labor force. If most jobs are in
the private sector, citizens, in general, will care more about whether the
mail is delivered expeditiously, roads are built and maintained, and
schoolsand hospitals function than whether jobs within government are
available. Thus, privatization of some government activities may be prudent
before reform, both to improve service and to shrink government
employment. Reform in the United States may have been facilitated by the
small size of the public sector relative to the private sector. Public
employees were not a potent pressure group, and the public generally
supported reform. Rosenbloom claims that when the federal civil service
was reformed in the United States, most of the nation was behind the
change (Rosenbloom 1971: 71–86). The same was generally true at the
state level (on Wisconsin see Thelen 1972). Before the advent of civil
service systems, jobs were a benefit used to motivate campaign workers,
but their relative value declined as the costs of patronage become more
visible to voters (Maranto and Schultz 1991; Johnson and Libecap 1994).
Furthermore, if the civil service is small enough so that reform does not
imply layoffs, existing government workers may support reform. Although
appointed under political criteria, they may want to stay in office with a
change in government. Even with rather long terms of four to six years,
patronage workers may support creation of a civil service system, especially
if it involves not just job security but also increases in pay and improved
working conditions. Thus American public-sector workers came to support
the civil service once it was in place because they were grandfathered into
their current positions.
Kernell and McDonald (1999) provide a somewhat different but
complementary take on the establishment of Rural Free Delivery (RFD) by
the U.S. Post Office. They also explain the decline of rural postmaster
positions as associated with the decline of patronage and party loyalty as
criteria. However, they also stress the benefits of reform, not for big
businesses, but rather for the multitude of rural, farm families who were
enthusiastic supporters of free mail delivery to their homes. Once RFD was
put in place on a trial basis, it became extremely popular and trumped any
remaining political benefits of appointing postmasters based on their party
loyalty. The Post Office, faced with multiple demands for routes, gave
members of Congress a role in nominating new routes, although the Post
Office retained the final say. The empirical work shows that under a
Republican president in 1899–1900 more routes were allocated to
Republican districts than to Democratic or Populist ones and that
Republican incumbents in close races were especially favored. These
results, of course, depend upon the particular nature of RFD – the program
was instituted gradually over time and the benefits were individually
experienced by rural voters. Thus, RFD was especially suited for a shift
from party-oriented patronage to service in a way that would not apply to
less visible public services.
Finally, consider the interaction between reform and the size of
government. Johnson and Libecap treat the size of government agencies as
given: increased size makes it difficult to control the bureaucracy and that
in turn leads to reform pressures. However, if government leaders are
corrupt, causation also runs the other way. Corrupt rulers may seek an
excessively large government as a means of extracting benefits for
themselves. Recall, however, that if they seek to maximize their corrupt
rents, they may restrict the supply of certain services to extract the scarcity
rents (see Chapter 8). Operating against the search for monopoly gains,
powerful elected leaders may favor a large government as a means of
increasing patronage opportunities. Leaders use the machinery of
government both to enrich themselves and to provide jobs for supporters.
These joint activities often produce bloated governments. The machine-
dominated American cities of the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries
provide an example. One scholar describes a political machine “as a
political party in which a boss oversees a hierarchy of party regulars who
provide private favors to citizens in exchange for votes and who expect
government jobs in return for their services” (Menes 1996). A statistical
study of machine and nonmachine cities over the years 1900–20 found that
machine cities spent 18% more than nonmachine cities per capita and that
municipal wages for lower-skilled workers were 8% higher (ibid.). Machine
cities averaged 34% higher per capita spending on general administration
and 17% more on police and fire services – all areas with many patronage
jobs. To take one extreme case, the population increased by 22.7% in
Boston between 1895 and 1907 while the number of city clerks increased
by 75%. By 1907 salaries in the city were three times more than for
comparable jobs in the state government and the private sector. The number
of day laborers on the city payroll increased 50% between 1895 and 1907
while productivity fell by half. The impact of machine dominance seems to
have been large budgets, civil service wages above the norm, and, as a
consequence, excess spending on services dominated by patronage jobs
such as police and fire departments (ibid.). Another phenomenon that bloats
payrolls is the practice of “ghost workers” – “employees” who do not
actually work there – in many government agencies and services. In these
cases, the actual size of government is smaller than it would seem based on
the number of public-sector employees on the books, and government may
be downsized simply by improving accounting mechanisms to eliminate the
ghost workers.
Yet eventually most such U.S. cities did reform, cutting expenditures
and payroll (Schiesl 1977). According to Johnson and Libecap (1994: 112–
13), in states and urban areas, reform was more likely as the absolute size of
government increased. They point out that the large states of New York,
Massachusetts, and Illinois, which presumably also had large public sectors,
were the first to introduce civil service reform. Boston, New York City, and
Chicago, which also employed large numbers of people, were early
reformers, while some rural areas and small towns retain vestiges of
patronage systems to this day.16 Apparently political machines sometimes
contained the seeds of their own destruction as they expanded government
to a point where a backlash set in. If a vigorous private sector feels
constrained by an ineffective public sector, conditions may be ripe for
reform.
According to one study, reformed cities not only introduced civil
service systems and procurement and tax reform, but also took a more long
run view. They spent proportionately more on infrastructure projects, such
as roads, waterways, sewers, and water supply, than unreformed cities,
decisions that were presumably favored by the business community (Rauch
1995).17 Civil service reform appears to have been good for the growth of
manufacturing. In one study of American cities, reform increased the
manufacturing growth rate by half a percentage point – one-quarter of its
mean value of 2% (ibid.). This result is consistent with the finding that
manufacturing interests were frequently in the forefront of the reform effort.
Manufacturers resented the costly special deals struck with other business
interests more concerned with government contracts and franchises (Menes
1996). Construction companies and manufacturing interests were often on
opposing sides if reform included not just the civil service, but the
contracting process as well. Nevertheless, a coalition for reform did
eventually develop in many cities that elected reform mayors with business
support (Schiesl 1977).
The strength and growth rate of the private sector should help
determine the ease of reform. Perhaps reforming cities and states were those
where the private sector was a relatively large share of total employment
and income. In such cases private businesses would be supporters of
reforms that lowered their costs, and public-sector workers might not
protest too much with reemployment in the private sector a viable option.
Reform occurred when the government became a large organization in
absolute size while remaining small relative to the private sector. Too few
private individuals and businesses were dependent on government jobs,
contracts, and favors to block reform.
C. Sustaining Reform
One way to assure durable reform is to compensate opponents for the losses
they would otherwise suffer. Such solicitude for the losers is not always
strictly necessary. The majority can override even a vocal minority, and an
autocrat can simply announce a reform plan. However, in many cases
reform will have a greater likelihood of success if those most affected are
compensated. This may be an unpleasant necessity if the aim is to convince
a corrupt ruler to cede power without bloodshed. In other situations,
however, compensating the formerly corrupt may not seem so distasteful.
The best example is civil service reform where salaries and working
conditions are improved in return for officials foregoing bribery receipts.
Corrupt high-level officials are relieved of their jobs, but the rest of the
bureaucracy is given an incentive to be honest, perhaps with an amnesty.
Such policies are likely to be needed in poor countries that have a scarcity
of educated people capable of performing some types of public-sector tasks.
The wholesale dismissal of corrupt officials is not a viable option in that
case. The danger, of course, is that the concessions made to existing
officials are so large that the very effectiveness of the reform is undermined
(Grindle and Thomas 1991: 121–50; Polidano 1996).
Sometimes anticorruption policies include a restructuring of the state
to reduce its role through privatization and deregulation. Because these
reforms will reduce the number of public officials needed, they can be
expected to resist the change. One study recommends obtaining
bureaucrats’ support for such reforms by giving officials “golden
handshakes” in the form of a one-time surge in bribe receipts. This gives
them a financial stake in the success of the long-term reform effort and an
incentive to reveal needed information to the reformers (Basu and Li 1996).
The authors give two examples from China where officials benefitted
personally from “sponsoring” new businesses and approving stock
offerings. However, as the authors recognize, toleration of corruption is a
risky strategy. Corrupt officials may take it upon themselves to organize
their activities to produce greater gains, thus undermining economic growth
and the legitimacy of government. The government’s past toleration of
corruption will then make it difficult for them credibly to crack down on
malfeasance. Thus, better options are legal incentive bonuses, severance
payments, and assistance in changing to private employment.
Even if opponents can be pacified, reform can be fragile. The history
of reform efforts is not encouraging (Geddes 1991; Grindle and Thomas
1991; Nunberg and Nellis 1995; Klitgaard 1997). As Geddes (1991, 1994)
demonstrates, the new policies are likely to be reversed if they occur
because of a temporary balance of political interests. Too often reformers
have contented themselves with passing laws or announcing new policies
without concentrating on the difficult task of translating reforms into
durable changes in government operations (Grindle and Thomas 1991). If
the political and bureaucratic costs of implementation are ignored in the
first flush of reformist zeal, the stage is set for subsequent failure.
The durability of national civil service reform in the United States and
Great Britain deserves study. Their experience suggests the possibility of a
benevolent dynamic – in which partial changes evolve over time into full-
scale reform. Although research has focused on civil service reform, the
basic dynamic seems to be a general one. The key is a reform process in
which new allies are produced by the very process of change. Support
grows over time as the reach of the reform program grows. Thus reforms,
once started, become self-sustaining.
Reform started slowly at the federal level in the United States and
focused at first on parts of the bureaucracy where the marginal gains would
be highest. Important constituencies outside government benefitted and
helped to institutionalize reform. Inside government, the first beneficiaries
of civil service protection favored its preservation. Presidents about to leave
office extended civil service protection to their appointees. Although newly
elected presidents did return some positions to patronage, so that the share
of merit employees fell during a few years, the general trend was slowly
upward. The move from 10% to 80% took almost 40 years. The proportion
covered by the merit system increased when overall government
employment rose. When public-sector jobs were increasing, an increased
proportion could be covered without great pressure on existing employees.
Although some people might lose their jobs because of incompetence, no
large-scale cutbacks were needed (Johnson and Libecap 1994: 109–11).
Once the number of merit employees became large, they emerged as a
potent interest group in favor of maintaining the system. This could, of
course, have been a mixed blessing if the underlying conditions had
changed. At some point, employees with civil service protection can
undermine other reforms designed to improve productivity. The worst
situation is a large, well-organized body of public employees hired on the
basis of patronage, but difficult to fire or reform.18 This has proved to be a
particular problem for governments seeking to contract-out services to
private organizations. Contracting out, however, is likely to be less viable in
poor countries that lack indigenous private businesses able to take over state
functions.
Progressive reform in urban America is another example of sustainable
reform. Even so, in many American cities reform did not proceed in a
straight line. Machine and reform administrations alternated in power.
However, although some backsliding occurred, machines often maintained
the reforms introduced by progressive governments. Reforms were popular
with the electorate and hard to reverse. Property tax reform in some cities
led to a fall in the tax bills of homeowners as businesses paid a larger share.
In Jersey City, for example, taxation of railroad properties relieved the tax
burdens on home owners (Schiesl 1977). Clearly, those voters who owned
real estate could see the benefits of property tax rationalization, and even
renters may have perceived some benefits. Reforms were maintained
because the gains were obvious to a large number of voters in spite of the
costs imposed on some business interests.
In some cases, reform fails because of bad sequencing. Instead of
creating a group of early winners who support continuing reform, the
program’s early beneficiaries fear that they will lose if reform continues. In
the worst case they become a blocking coalition that prevents broad-based
change. According to one study, land reform in Latin America was an
example of this reverse process (De Janvry and Sadoulet 1989). The
reforming countries first introduced programs to modernize medium and
large farms as the quickest way to increase productivity. However, the
success of these programs made these farmers more economically powerful,
which in turn gave them greater political power. As a consequence, they
engaged in rent seeking to block plans to redistribute lands to poorer
households. The authors conclude that, in spite of the short-term costs, land
reform should be carried out before modernization.
III. Natural Resource Wealth and
Foreign Aid
Just as economic crises can spur reform, wealth can make reform seem
unimportant. Considerable evidence suggests that a strong natural resource
base does not necessarily promote economic development (Gelb 1988;
Sachs and Warner 1995; Ross 2012). There are two basic explanations for
this: the “Dutch disease” (a strong currency depresses manufacturing
exports) and the “Nigerian disease” (government wastes resource wealth)
(Williams 2011). Developing countries such as Nigeria, Venezuela, and
Indonesia that experienced oil windfalls were able to resist political and
economic reform for many years, and the mineral wealth of Zaire helped
sustain Mobutu’s corrupt regime (Geddes 1991; MacGaffey 1991; Diamond
1993b, 1995). Mineral-rich countries with few other sources of foreign
exchange may be unlikely reformers both because the state can finance
itself through royalties (Moore 1998) and because there may be few sources
of alternative employment for laid-off civil servants. The country is rich in
natural resources but does not create many private-sector jobs for its
citizens. Instead of promoting growth, the valuable resource may simply
make control of the state attractive. Individuals compete to rule the state in
order to use it for their own benefit and for the benefit of their families and
close associates. The same can be true for countries that are very dependent
on foreign aid. In both cases, talented people concentrate their effort on rent
seeking rather than on productive activities (Krueger 1974). The private
profitability of rent-seeking activities is above their social value and may
crowd out productive investment (Bigsten and Moene 1996: 192–5).
Natural resource businesses usually just want to be left alone and are
not much interested in an effective public sector beyond the provision of
transport and port facilities. The countries least likely to reform would seem
to be those with more natural resources than others in their region. Then
corruption and patronage can extract huge economic costs without a
country’s citizens feeling badly off compared to their more impoverished
neighbors (see Dunning 2008 for a nuanced analysis of the possibilities).
A secure source of foreign aid is a little like a diamond mine or an oil
deposit. Countries with access to such largesse have a cushion that others
lack (Moore 1998). If overseas aid lacks conditionality, it may simply
postpone painful decisions by masking underlying problems that would
produce a crisis in less fortunate countries. Bruno and Easterly (1996: 216)
speculate that low inflation countries that did not adjust current-account
deficits and budget deficits were able to avoid reform because of high
inflows of development aid and lending.
Weak states may face a paradoxical situation in which increases in
resources undermine political stability and growth. So long as the state is
poor, few may care about controlling the levers of power. If the state
acquires a large foreign-aid package or gains control over a valuable
mineral deposit, new political figures may arise to stake their claims. The
political struggle becomes a fight for control of the state’s wealth. Insiders
try to prevent outsiders from benefitting except to the extent payoffs are
needed to buy their assent to the status quo. In such perverse scenarios,
wealth increases do not encourage income growth and can lead to
subsequent falls in the wealth of ordinary citizens. A study of the
Philippines, for example, argues that rent seeking by an oligarchy of
business and political leaders was sustained by foreign aid from the United
States and the presence of American military bases (Hutchcroft 1998: 23).
As President Fidel Ramos noted in his 1992 inaugural address, the
economic system “rewards people who do not produce at the expense of
those who do ... [and] enables persons with political influence to extract
wealth without effort from the economy” (quoted in ibid.).
The case of Nigeria is an extreme example where the state has been
described as “a national cake to be divided and subdivided among
officeholders” (Joseph 1996: 195). The situation is exacerbated by the
presence of massive petroleum deposits (Olowu 1993: 94; Herbst 1996:
157–8). Oil represents 90% of Nigeria’s exports, 35% of GDP, and most of
the government’s revenue.19 The oil reserves are under state control and
provide huge windfall gains to those who control them and their political
allies. Nigeria profited handsomely: oil rents have been estimated at $300
billion over 35 years (McPherson and MacSearraigh 2007: 192). Control of
the state was a valuable prize worth fighting for. In 1993, General Sani
Abacha overthrew the former military government and subsequently
“appropriated some $4 billion from Nigeria’s treasury through a number of
property crimes, including embezzlement, fraud, forgery, and money
laundering.... After Abacha’s death in June 1998, his wife was stopped at a
Lagos airport with 38 suitcases full of cash, and his son was found with
$100 million in cash” (Levi, Dakolias, and Greenberg 2007: 200). In a
resource-rich environment, those who seek to get rich struggle for a share of
the rents, instead of engaging in productive entrepreneurship (Diamond
1993b: 220, 1995: 474; Herbst 1996; Lewis 1996: 81). As Diamond writes,
“plainly, the stakes of politics are too high” (Diamond 1993b: 218).
According to Global Financial Integrity, Nigeria was among the top ten
sources of illicit financial outflows during the period 2000–9 (Kar and
Curcio 2011). Perhaps the fall in oil prices as a result of the fracking boom
and OPEC’s decision to maintain high levels of production will provide an
opening for reform. In 2015, Nigeria elected a president with an explicit
anticorruption agenda, although the task is daunting, and Nigeria has far to
go to deal with its underlying governance problems.20
Corrupt democracies with strong resource bases may have poorer
growth prospects than corrupt autocracies with similar endowments. The
autocrat may have both a longer time horizon and a better ability to control
competitive rent seeking by his subordinates. The risk, of course, is that an
autocrat may gradually turn into a thoroughgoing kleptocrat over time. As
McPherson and MacSearraigh (2007: 194) assert:
3 Pereira, Melo, and Figueiredo (2008) find that corrupt Brazilian mayors
are only punished at the polls if the revelations are released during the
election year. Hence, if the benefits of corruption are high and the
likelihood of detection is low, even first-term politicians may be corrupt.
They trade off their chances of reelection with the up-front benefits of
corruption, and for Brazilian mayors, the balance for many may tilt
toward self-dealing.
8 Geddes’s work refers to the high oil prices of the 1970s, but the same
could be said of the 2000s. President Chávez, elected in 1998 on an anti-
status quo platform, used high oil prices to finance populist policies and
nationalize several industries, while consolidating executive power and
undermining democratic checks. After changing the constitution, Chávez
was reelected three times. Health and education outcomes improved, but
corruption and insecurity increased.
9 Goel and Nelson (2011) find that U.S. states with larger public
employment tend to have higher levels of corruption. Interestingly, they
also find that Southern states are more corrupt than Northern states,
suggesting that reform was not uniform. Both of these results corroborate
Glaeser and Saks (2006), who find that more local government
employment is related to higher corruption, but greater state government
employment is not.
3 See, e.g., Ayee et al. (2011). The report is a work in progress, not a
statement of World Bank policy.
28 See the OECD website on the Paris Declaration and the Accra Agenda
for Action at
http://www.oecd.org/dac/effectiveness/parisdeclarationandaccraagendafo
raction.htm (accessed October 13, 2015).
31 The World Bank, e.g., has long examined the behavior of its own
employees. “World Bank in Internal Corruption Probe,” Financial Times,
July 17, 1998. “World Bank Hires Auditors to Probe Its Own Spending;
Possible Kickbacks, Embezzlement Cited,” Washington Post, July 16,
1998. The Office of Business Ethics and Integrity now oversees all
questions of ethics among the World Bank’s employees.
34 In the discussion at the workshop that produced the book cited in note
1, Nathaniel Heller and Liam Wren-Lewis stressed this point based on
their experience.
41 15 U.S.C. § 78m(b)(2)(A)–(B).
42 Transparency International, “Our History,”
http://www.transparency.org/whoweare/history (accessed March 22,
2013).
46 Rose-Ackerman and Billa (2008) argued that this exemption could not
be defended. Their argument was used by two British NGOs that
challenged the decisions, winning in the lower courts only to lose in the
House of Lords.
47 See Chapter 6.
49 UK firm BAE Systems agreed to pay a $400 million fine to settle one
charge of “conspiring to ... make false statements.” Press Release, U.S.
Department of Justice, “BAE Systems PLC Pleads Guilty and Ordered to
Pay $400 Million Criminal Fine” (March 1, 2010),
http://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/2010/March/10-crm-209.html (accessed
October 13, 2015).
51 See, e.g., Murphy (2004: 184) (quoting UN GAOR, 58th Sess., 50th
plen. mtg. at 19, UN Doc. A/58/PV.50 (Oct. 31, 2003)).
54 Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld, LLP, International Trade Alert:
The United Nations Convention against Corruption, 5–6 (January 14,
2004), http://www.akingump.com/files/Publication/eb85b0df-4b9d-49f2-
bb83-0a19fa0e31a5/Presentation/PublicationAttachment/0ddf3ac5-050e-
4e16-b3df-0bf9e32f5ad3/628.pdf (accessed October 13, 2015).
59 Nina Lakhani, “How Hit Men and High Living Lifted Lid on Looting
of Honduran Healthcare System,” The Guardian, June 10, 2015,
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/jun/10/hit-men-high-living-
honduran-corruption-scandal-president?CMP=share_btn_tw (accessed
October 13, 2015).
64 It has been ratified by 34 member states plus Belarus and signed but
not ratified by seven others. Council of Europe, Treaty Office, “Civil
Law Convention on Corruption, CETS No.: 74,”
http://conventions.coe.int/Treaty/Commun/ChercheSig.asp?
NT=174&CM=&DF=&CL=ENG (accessed October 13, 2015).
65 Council of Europe, Committee of Ministers, Resolution (99) 5,
Establishing the Group of States Against Corruption (GRECO), May 1,
1999.
67 The convention was adopted in 2003, the same year as the UNCAC,
and entered into force in 2006. Transparency International, “The African
Union Convention on Preventing and Combating Corruption,”
http://archive.transparency.org/global_priorities/international_convention
s/conventions_instruments/au_convention (accessed June 24, 2015). See
also Muna (2005).
69 The Network works with the UNODC, the UNDP, the OECD, and the
World Bank. The ACINET meets periodically to discuss ongoing efforts
and make recommendations for anticorruption policy. Arab Anti-
Corruption and Integrity Network,
http://www.arabacinet.org/index.php/en/home (accessed July 7, 2015).
70 The original code dates back to 1979, with amendments in 1987,
1994, and 2011. World Trade Organization, “Agreement on Public
Procurement,”
https://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/gproc_e/gp_gpa_e.htm (accessed
June 24, 2015).
71 All but Switzerland of the original fifteen had ratified the agreement
by June 2015. World Trade Organization, “Agreement on Public
Procurement: Parties, Observers and Accessions,”
https://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/gproc_e/memobs_e.htm (accessed
June 24, 2015).
78 The legal developments under both sections 1502 and 1504 are
summarized and updated in Michael Seitzinger and Kathleen Ann Ruane,
Conflict Minerals and Resource Extraction: Dodd-Frank, SEC
Regulations, and Legal Challenges, Congressional Research Service,
Washington, DC, Paper 7-5700, December 2, 2014,
http://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R43639.pdf (accessed March 14, 2015).
79 Transparency International-UK (2015), Defence Companies Anti-
Corruption Index,
http://companies.defenceindex.org/docs/2015%20Defence%20Companie
s%20Anti-Corruption%20Index.pdf (accessed October 13, 2015).
81 In presenting this taxonomy, Koh has little to say about the role of
global corporations. However, in a speech while he was U.S. assistant
secretary of state, he urged business to be part of a voluntary partnership
and draws an explicit analogy with the anticorruption movement (Koh
2000).
82 Available at
https://icsid.worldbank.org/apps/ICSIDWEB/Pages/default.aspx
(accessed October 13, 2015).
87 See, e.g., Henry (Litong) Chen and Xiaosong Zhou, “Possible Impacts
of the Dodd-Frank Act on U.S. Companies Doing Business in Asia,”
Bloomberg Law Reports Asia Pacific, June 6, 2011, pp. 18–19, available
at http://www.mwechinalaw.com/uploads/doc/chenzhou-doddfrank.pdf
(accessed October 13, 2015).
95 Shearman & Sterling LLP, “FCPA Digest: Recent Trends and Patterns
in the Enforcement of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act,” January 2012,
available at http://www.shearman.com/shearman--sterlings-recent-trends-
and-patterns-in-the-enforcement-of-the-foreign-corrupt-practices-act-
fcpa--fcpa-digest-01-03-2012/ (accessed October 13, 2015).
99 Palifka thanks Eno Inyangete for raising this issue in class, June 2015.
101 World Bank, Inspection Panel, Annual Report, July 1, 2014 – June
30, 2015, p. 6, http://ewebapps.worldbank.org/apps/ip/Pages/Annual-
Report.aspx (accessed October 18, 2015).
102 “Yacyreta Report Implies WB Panel Downgrade,” Financial Times
Business Reports, January 1, 1998; “Row Brews Over Bank Role in Dam
Project,” Financial Times, May 4, 1998; “World Bank Issues Apology,”
Financial Times, May 12, 1998.
103 The World Bank, The Inspection Panel, “Kosovo: Kosovo Power
Project (Proposed),”
http://ewebapps.worldbank.org/apps/ip/Pages/ViewCase.aspx?CaseId=87
and “Complaint Addressed to the World Bank Inspection Panel
Regarding the Kosovo Power Project,”
http://ewebapps.worldbank.org/apps/ip/PanelCases/78-
Request%20for%20Inspection%20(English).pdf (accessed October 13,
2015).
105 The World Bank, The Inspection Panel, “Haiti: Haiti Mining
Dialogue Technical Assistance,”
http://ewebapps.worldbank.org/apps/ip/Pages/AllPanelCases.aspx
(accessed June 27, 2015).
112 See, e.g., Transparency International, “Are We There Yet? The World
Bank’s Anti-Corruption Record,” June 28, 2012,
http://www.transparency.org/news/feature/are_we_there_yet_the_world_
banks_anti_corruption_record; Transparency International, “Making
Development Accountable: World Bank/IMF Spring Meetings 2011,”
April 13, 2011,
http://www.transparency.org/news/feature/making_development_account
able_world_bank_imf_spring_meetings_2011; U4 Expert Answer,
“Multilateral Development Banks’ Integrity Management Systems,”
http://www.transparency.org/files/content/corruptionqas/264_Multilateral
_development_banks_integrity_management.pdf (all accessed October
13, 2015).
6 See Braithwaite (1985: 49): “The mentality of ‘Do what you have to do
but don’t tell me how you do it’ is widespread in business.” The solution,
according to Braithwaite, is to set goals that can be achieved without
illegal behavior. Experimental work suggests that many individuals
express strong norms of moral behavior but do not apply them as the
employees of for-profit firms. The pursuit of firm profitability takes
precedence over their moral scruples. Thus, Baumhart (1961) examined
managers’ views of ethics by asking them what they would do in
response to fictitious cases in which ethical issues were involved. He
found that, when faced with an ethical dilemma, executives tended to opt
for the profitable course of action if doing so would further company
interests. In contrast, managers did not choose the unethical course of
action if doing so hurt company interests. In another experiment, more
than 70% of participants were willing to pay a bribe to get a sale for their
firms. Those willing to make payoffs were not significantly less
committed to honesty and fairness in their personal lives than other
participants. Other studies have produced similar results (Brenner and
Molander 1977; Vitell and Festervand 1987).
22 Nina Lakhani, “How Hitmen and High Living Lifted Lid on Looting
of Honduran Healthcare System,” The Guardian, June 10, 2015,
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/jun/10/hit-men-high-living-
honduran-corruption-scandal-president?CMP=share_btn_tw (accessed
October 14, 2015).
29 For recent U.S. cases brought under the Alien Tort Statute (ATS)
outside the corruption area see Doe v. Exxon Mobil, D.C. Cir., No. 09-
7125, 7/8/11, and Flomo v. Natural Rubber Co., 7th Cir., No. 10–3675,
7/11/11. In the former case the D.C. Circuit held that the ATS applied to
corporate conduct and allowed a case against Exxon Mobil brought by
Indonesian villagers, claiming human rights violations, to go forward.
The seventh circuit opinion also held that the ATS applies to
corporations, but it held that plaintiffs, 23 Liberian children, had not
shown that Firestone violated customary international law. These two
opinions contradict a recent second circuit opinion, Kiobel v. Royal Dutch
Petroleum Co., 621 F. 3d 111 (2d Cir. 2010), which held that the ATS did
not apply to corporations. The Supreme Court has not yet ruled
definitively on this issue. Other foreign litigants have used the Racketeer
Influenced and Corrupt Organizations (RICO) Act to seek damages,
under the jurisdiction of the U.S. courts, from companies that are alleged
to have engaged in corrupt or fraudulent behavior. For a recent example
see Ukrvaktsina v. Olden Group, Case No. 10-CV-06297-AA (Proposed)
Default Judgment, June 9, 2011.
Widespread corruption may have roots in culture and history, but it is,
nevertheless, an economic and political problem. Corruption causes
inefficiency and inequity. It is a symptom that the political system is
operating with little concern for the broader public interest. It indicates that
the structure of government does not channel private interests effectively.
The economic goals of growth, poverty alleviation, and efficient, fair
markets are undermined by corruption. Corruption erodes political
legitimacy and the protection of rights. Twenty years into the global fight
against corruption, there has been progress in both policy and research, but
much remains to be done. Attempts to measure corruption – imperfect as
they are – have exposed especially corrupt governments and industries,
spurring reform toward transparency and more ethical dealings in the public
and private sectors, but most governments still receive failing grades on the
control of corruption. Our goal is to further understand the circumstances
that contribute to corruption and the policies that can help to combat
corruption, but there is no one-size-fits-all anticorruption program.
I. The Causes of Corruption
The causes of corruption fall into three broad categories: institutions,
incentives, and personal ethics. These interact to determine the levels and
types of corruption in any given case. Corrupt practices such as bribery,
nepotism, and influence peddling are informal institutions that frequently
undermine formal institutions and are often pervasive and entrenched.
Formal institutions, such as the political structure and the body of law and
its enforcement, help shape culture and attitudes toward corruption. A
strong kleptocratic state may suffer financial hemorrhaging at the top, but
very little day-to-day petty corruption. Where the state pretends to be strong
by implementing numerous strict regulations, but the rule of law is weak,
petty corruption will be rampant.
Situation-specific incentives influence choices when an individual
balances costs and benefits to decide whether to offer, accept, or demand a
corrupt exchange. A strong organizational stance against corruption,
coupled with monitoring and proportional penalties, creates very different
incentives from an environment in which corruption is tolerated or even
encouraged. Low pay may need to be supplemented in some circumstances,
but even some well-paid public servants and CEOs engage in corruption if
the risks of detection and punishment are low. Individuals and firms may
engage in corruption if it seems beneficial: to lower taxes, avoid a penalty,
gain access to a scarce good or service, or win a contract. Public servants
may even create scarcity or onerous qualifications in order to extract more
bribes.
Finally, personal ethics play a role. Some people have such strong
moral convictions that they will resist any corrupt proposal. At the other
extreme, some are so cynical that they have no scruples about using
corruption to get things done. Most have a sense of morality, but one that
can be overcome for the right price. Perceptions of corruption can help
shape personal ethics: the more an individual perceives corruption to be the
norm, the more that person is likely to engage in corruption. If government
is generally perceived to be illegitimate, then cheating the government
through tax evasion or taking benefits to which one is not entitled does not
seem immoral.
II. The Consequences of Corruption
Self-interest and the public interest frequently conflict. Well-functioning
governments try to align them, but there will always be tensions between
broad public goals and narrow calculations of self-interest. Taxes and
regulatory restrictions are burdensome, and distributional programs require
criteria other than willingness to pay. Then corruption perverts underlying
public goals. However, sometimes corrupt public officials claim that bribes
have not influenced their behavior, but were merely gifts of appreciation.
Even those who pay to receive something they ought to obtain for free may
believe that bribery is better than the alternative presented by the corrupt
official, who will be biased against them if no money or favors have
changed hands.
Although individual payoffs may seem to further efficiency and even
fairness in specific situations, systemic corruption is evidence that the
underlying public programs need reform. Too much discretion allows civil
servants to invent requirements with the sole purpose of generating bribes,
resulting in inefficiency, low growth, and poorly distributed income and
wealth. Frustrated when trying to follow the rules, formerly honest citizens
may begin to pay bribes, in a vicious spiral of increasing corruption.
Bureaucrats and firms may collude to create rents, which can be divided
between them. Domestic and foreign investment suffer, and competition is
stifled. Only those willing to engage in bribery participate in such distorted
markets.
Facilitation payments are sometimes viewed as a positive form of
corruption because they increase civil servants’ productivity, much like a
tip. The cases in which corruption actually enhances the efficiency of agents
and improves the allocation of public services are limited to programs
where willingness to pay is an acceptable allocation method. In any case,
bribes are a second-best response compared with programmatic reform. The
theoretical and empirical evidence does not support tolerance of corruption.
The possibility that payoffs may sometimes motivate officials to work more
efficiently suggests that in particular cases illegal bribes could be converted
into legal incentive pay schemes. If some types of payments are viewed as
acceptable tips to public officials, they should be legalized and made
subject to reporting requirements. One test of the “cultural” justification for
payments is the acceptability of proposals to make such payments legal and
public.
Grand corruption in procurement and concessions is extremely costly
to society. Oversized or inappropriate projects are chosen, not for their
social or economic benefit, but for the kickbacks they generate or the votes
they buy. A country may then have too many roads and high-rises, but not
enough potable water, teachers, or essential medicines. Concessions are
granted and purchases made on favorable terms that are suboptimal from an
environmental or fiscal perspective. The results are, for example, excessive
deforestation, minerals sold at below-market prices, and overpriced and
misdirected government infrastructure projects and purchases for the ruler’s
glorification.
Widespread corruption undermines the legitimacy of the government.
In democracies, corrupt incumbents are likely to lose to an opposing party
that favors reform unless corruption has so undermined the system that no
politicians are trusted to be honest. In autocracies, the eventual result of
kleptocracy may be violent overthrow. In a state whose policies favor an
entrenched elite, the private elite corrupts the political elite, and low-level
corruption may be the only option for the excluded. As long as ordinary
people tolerate the status quo, corruption and inefficiency will persist. In
such circumstances, tolerance of corruption may decline as a result of
political maturity, as citizens become aware of its negative consequences.
Especially if the media is not censored, the exposure of corruption scandals
is a positive development, providing checks on the government. Citizen
concerns over bribes paid in return for favors indicate that people recognize
norms of fair dealing and competent administration and are beginning to
demand that governments serve general public purposes.
III. Anticorruption Reforms
Because combatting corruption is a means to an end – improving both
economic conditions and political legitimacy – anticorruption reform
should be embedded in overall efforts to improve the delivery of public
goods and services. Treating the symptom, but not the underlying problems,
will not cure the malady. It is not enough to make a few high-profile arrests:
true reform involves changing the way government interacts with society.
The experience of other countries should be documented – both successful
experiments and those that backfired when the nominal corruption fighters
became corrupt, instead. Especially important, as a background to other
reforms, are improvements in the checks and balances present in a political
system.
The initial step for reform should be assessment: survey the public to
find out how corruption affects their daily lives. This provides a way to set
priorities that reflect popular grievances. However, assessment should not
stop at such surveys. High-level corruption in procurement, concessions,
and privatizations can be even more damaging, but may not be perceived by
the general public. These might be assessed using targeted surveys of
participating firms and the establishment of reporting mechanisms that
guarantee anonymity and whistle-blower protection. Deals supported by
organized crime are especially harmful, but even otherwise legitimate
business deals can be deeply dysfunctional if payoffs determine the results.
Audits or what the World Bank calls Public Expenditure Tracking Surveys,
carried out by independent public or private organizations, can measure the
impact of corruption and embezzlement on public finances.
Once these efforts have identified vulnerable sectors, reformers should
promote several changes at once. We stress the importance of reforms that
limit the incentives for payoffs as well as reforms that target law
enforcement and that increase transparency and oversight.
First, reforms should modify incentives: reduce the benefits and
increase the costs of engaging in corruption, over and above the
enforcement of antibribery laws. To tackle grand corruption, decision-
makers need to be held accountable for their decisions. Increased
transparency and whistle-blower protection are key elements here, but,
unlike routine purchases, removing discretion can be counterproductive in
large-scale procurement. A simple rule requiring acceptance of the lowest-
priced proposal often results in poor quality. Thus, discretion is necessary,
but the decision-makers should have enough technical knowledge to
exercise such discretion wisely. From the perspective of civil servants,
increased monitoring by supervisors or peers and penalties for corruption
that are proportionate to the act detected should be coupled with increased
compensation and reduced workloads if the acceptance of payoffs has
become a substitute for the careful evaluation of alternatives. If civil service
wages are allowed to deteriorate relative to the private sector and if pay
differentials within the civil service are too small to give officials an
incentive to seek promotions, then efforts to control official corruption are
unlikely to succeed. At the same time, public servants should declare their
assets and income and be held accountable for extraordinary wealth.
In order to reduce the demand for “bent rules,” the incentives for firms
and individuals need to change. Reforms should reduce onerous monetary
and temporal burdens imposed by unnecessary regulations and high
nominal tax rates. Necessary programs serving valid public purposes should
be redesigned. Many countries have excessive business regulation that
merely generates bribes. Care should be taken, however, when reducing red
tape, so that programs that serve important public purposes (when
administered honestly) are not eliminated, and that such simplification
actually reduces corruption, rather than displacing it to another department.
Removing discretion, through e-governance, both reduces opportunities for
civil servants to demand bribes and allows the government to operate with
fewer employees.
Privatization may be an effective strategy in some cases but may bring
its own problems. Privatized monopolies will still be inefficient if they
maintain their monopoly power and especially if they retain close links to
politicians. Even nonmonopolies may shift from demanding bribes of the
public, to paying bribes to legislators and regulators, with no benefits to the
public relative to pre-privatization. Prices may even rise, and quality may
suffer after privatization because the government is no longer held
accountable.
Even if some programs can be redesigned and some responsibilities
shifted to private firms, the state must play a central role in regulating the
market, providing public goods, protecting the vulnerable, and promoting
equity. Hence, thoroughgoing civil service reform is often essential.
Professionalization of the civil service should be designed to change the
way public servants see themselves and how they interact with the public.
In the extreme, firing entire departments and replacing them with new hires
may be more effective than purging a few “bad apples.”
Second, reformers should review the criminal law of corruption to be
sure that its coverage and penalties are sufficient, and laws that are not
directly related to corruption should include anticorruption elements, as a
deterrent. An honest law enforcement system is essential, including police,
prisons, prosecutors, and judges. If the judiciary is corrupt, the law will be
applied arbitrarily; thus, removing judicial impunity is an important step.
Police departments and the prison system should be professionalized, with
strong codes of ethics, personnel training, and pay comparable to the private
sector, in order to ensure that the law will be applied impartially. All
branches of law enforcement should also be trained in anti-money
laundering and organized crime, to avoid sharp jurisdictional boundaries in
cases that involve corruption. Likewise, if an anticorruption agency is
established, it should have sufficient funding and power to act, and the
support of other agencies. If international financial institutions provide
assistance, they should make a long-term commitment rather than exit once
the training is done. Restructuring government and changing people’s
expectations take time.
Third, civil society should be part of the anticorruption discourse. If
the populace does not understand the damage caused by corruption, there
will be little interest in combating it. To reduce the financial burden on
government, civil society groups can help educate against corruption,
provide credibly safe environments for whistle-blowers, and advocate for
change. Increasing transparency helps citizens identify corruption and
improve government efficiency and legitimacy. Even if government resists
transparency, it may come of its own accord: increasingly, social media can
overcome a lack of media freedom in some polities, as witnessed recently in
the Arab Spring, Turkey, and China.
Democratic governments are subject to more outside checks on
corruption than autocratic polities. However, the need to finance elections,
even using legally raised funds, can undermine popular control. Corrupt
campaign finance means that elected officials represent the interests of the
highest bidder, rather than those of their constituents. In addition to the key
role of elections, other institutions help citizens monitor the state, and
deserve support even in nondemocratic regimes. These include freedom of
information acts, ombudsmen, and independent oversight bodies such as
audit agencies, electoral commissions, anticorruption commissions, and
judicial review of government action. Laws governing conflicts of interests
and ethical standards for civil servants, politicians, and business people can
also help. The protection of whistle-blowers can complement these efforts
by encouraging those inside government to come forward without being
afraid of losing their jobs and by rewarding those in the private sector who
report malfeasance. Corporations should be required to reveal all campaign
donations and lobbying expenses, and the voting record of each elected
official should be published. Only then can elected officials and political
parties be held accountable at elections.
It is often difficult for reform-minded groups to determine whether an
incumbent or incoming government is willing to change the status quo.
Even if government leadership is committed to reform, there may be
resistance within the bureaucracy. Outside pressure can help, but abiding
change is unlikely unless those who oppose reform can be either
compensated or marginalized. In the best scenario, reform benefits a
specific interest group, such as importers or program beneficiaries, who will
defend the reform and advocate for more. In the worst case, reform
backfires, and corruption spreads. An announced reform plan or change of
leadership will not, in and of itself, change attitudes and behavior; if the
underlying incentives remain the same, corruption will persist. Those who
claim that “the fish rots from head down” take too simplistic a view of
reform if they concentrate only on personalities at the top. Rather, even
honest leaders might tolerate low-level corruption and some corrupt rulers
have supported lower-level reform to increase the rents available at the top
and to quiet demands for overall reform (Rose-Ackerman 2015).
In postconflict countries, many urgent changes must be addressed at
once in order to establish the legitimacy of the victorious government and
prevent further conflict. Anticorruption should be built into whatever
restructuring occurs, not treated as a stand-alone policy. On the one hand,
the new government structure should be inclusive, but, on the other hand, it
should not rigidly divide up the spoils of office or the result can be an
ongoing struggle for the private benefits of office. In many cases, large
international aid flows – also present after national disasters – are tempting
to those who administer and distribute them, and need to be monitored
closely. Foreign and domestic contractors should sign Integrity Pacts to
avoid perpetuating previous levels of corruption. States that are deeply
infiltrated by organized crime are in a similarly difficult situation because
the basic problem is not corruption per se but the overall weakness of the
state vis-à-vis mafia-dominated businesses.
The international community can be a source of pressure for change.
Several international anticorruption initiatives include peer review by other
signatory countries specifically with this in mind. Simply signing an
initiative, however, does not necessarily signal a willingness to change,
especially if the signature is required in order to qualify for aid. There are
ample examples of countries that have signed multiple anticorruption
agreements, and even established anticorruption agencies, without effecting
fundamental reform; corruption continues unabated. More direct pressure
can come from international cooperation among governments, agencies, or
firms. If one government is unwilling to prosecute the corrupt, a foreign
government may do so if an extradition treaty is in place. Furthermore, the
OECD Convention provides that the home states of multinational firms can
prosecute these firms for foreign bribery. Proposals for an international
court to handle large-scale corruption cases are worthy of consideration
along with reforms in the international arbitration system to make these
proceedings more transparent and allow the consideration of kickbacks and
bribes in determining the enforceability of contracts.
Clearly, it makes no sense for international bodies to pressure for
reform unless key actors inside corrupt states have an interest in reform.
Many of the reforms we have proposed assume that some of those in power
genuinely want to limit corruption and do not just see reform as a way to
suppress their opponents and consolidate their power – the “bad principal”
problem. A kleptocrat might support some low-level reforms to increase his
or her own rent stream and support an anticorruption crackdown that
differentially targets political rivals. Serious reform can be carried out
within any existing structure of government, but governments that make it
difficult for independent voices to be raised in criticism will have an
especially difficult time establishing a credible commitment to honest and
transparent government. Such governments may be able to move quickly in
the short run, but they may reverse course in the future. Anticorruption
campaigns can be used to undermine political opponents and discipline
troublesome groups. Reformers should resist those who would use
anticorruption crusades to limit political opposition. Nominal reform efforts
that become a vendetta against political opponents will lose credibility. In a
highly politicized atmosphere individualized prosecutions will not produce
real reform. Only structural changes in the underlying corrupt incentives
built into the operation of government can accomplish lasting change.
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Index
Page numbers in italic refer to footnotes. Page numbers in bold refer to
Boxes.
ment, 3–7, 21, 29, 31, 33, 38, 101, 105, 111, 113, 233, 247, 251, 268, 270,
271, 280, 283, 286, 291, 306, 324, 329, 380, 397, 406, 410, 425, 426, 428,
441, 442, 447, 450, 452, 454, 455, 457, 461, 466, 468, 476, 488, 489, 495,
499, 505. See also United Nations, Development Goals
Rafael, 30, 398, 403
on of income, 3, 4, 7, 19, 33, 36, 125, 165, 168, 201, 319, 325, 384
14, 73, 74, 122–123, 241, 513. See also health system corruption
ank Act, 477, 478
e.See under organized crime
oney laundering, 308
family, 279, 282
ement, 9, 11, 12, 19, 71, 122, 222, 280, 300, 309, 331, 379, 382, 442, 506,
514, 526
20, 123, 352
power, 9
mental degradation, 33, 34, 72, 105, 110, 112, 113–115, 297–298, 409, 482,
484, 494, 525
mental regulation, 136, 137, 143, 377
al Guinea, 17
y laundering, 312
, 527
oreign investment, 303
d tariff reform, 134
niversalism, 6
7, 121, 175–178, 247, 253, 266, 351, 363, 422, 429, 459, 470, 472, 483, 495,
496, 497, 498, 502, 523, 524, 528
criminal law, 208, 213
phy, 262, 264–266, 270
See also individual countries and European Union banking corruption, 124
odity taxes, 54
al law, 219
system corruption, 74
al independence, 385
zed crime, 304, 295, 297
n Bank for Reconstruction and Development, 452
n Police Office (Interpol), 295, 506
n Union anti-corruption agencies, 391
ng of aid programs, 457
ervice pay levels, 168
titive anti-corruption, 379
ions Trading System, 137
m of information, 400
tive conflict of interest, 358
y laundering, 491, 512–513
zed crime, 295, 304
ement corruption, 148
al integration, 132
ies, 123
eblowing statutes, 409
e of favors, 8, 262, 264
e rates, 55–56, 124
nk of China, 325
definition, 8
e Industries Transparency Initiative (EITI), 326, 470–471, 472, 477, 490,
502
Mobil, 510
Facebook, 310
FIFA, 96, 218, 221, 224–225, 506
Fiji credit access, 55
Packard, 98
cal corruption, 185–189, 257
m-up, 185–186, 187–188
al vs. external, 187
wn, 185–186
rruption,8, 11, 14, 58, 170, 179, 247, 289, 424, 437
Thomas, 263
Council of Europe conventions, 467
22, 222
s health system corruption, 506–507
y laundering, 506
ng housing supply corruption, 59
endent Commission against Corruption (ICAC), 392–393, 394
corruption, 392
, 14, 69, 72, 73, 97, 100, 122, 136, 142, 180, 381, 398, 435, 452
supply corruption, 59
Iberia, 118
illegal activity, 79–83
informal vs. criminal, 79
vulnerability to extortion, 80, 81
impartiality, 6, 10, 38, 146, 153, 165, 176, 235, 250, 252, 253, 255, 256,
257, 266, 396, 416, 430, 528
import and export licenses, 56–57, 58, 62, 136
imports, 56, 62, 69, 78, 80, 119, 135, 517
incentive bribes, 66–69, 84
red tape burden, 68–69
inclusive institutions, 10
India, 18, 43, 44, 46, 136, 138, 186, 277
appeal processes, 408
civil service pay levels, 170
class differences, 257
Commonwealth Games scandal, 96
criminal law, 207
crisis-driven reform, 432
defense spending corruption, 98
falsification of documents, 260
fossil fuels corruption, 111
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA), 401
gender differences, 243
health system corruption, 74, 122
housing supply corruption, 59
incentive bribes, 66
International Center for the Settlement of Investment Disputes, 473
irrigation supply corruption, 60, 233
outsourcing, 200
permit corruption, 128
police corruption, 63, 64
tax and tariff corruption, 135, 186, 196
telecoms corruption, 83, 84
Indonesia, 20, 22, 62, 65, 85, 104, 190, 195, 300, 361
auditing, 397, 457
civil service recruitment, 170
colonial history, 268
education system corruption, 380
e-government, 141
Exxon Mobil, 510
forestry corruption, 111, 114
gender differences, 243
health system corruption, 380
kleptocracy, 282, 284
lobbying, 360
oil wealth as obstacle to reform, 441
procurement corruption, 98
regulatory corruption, 72
religion, 247
tax and tariff reform, 426
violent resolution of disputes, 390
weak state authority, 288
industrial policy, 29–31
inequality and corruption, 33
influence peddling, 9, 123, 523
initial public offerings (IPOs), 123, 160
Institute for Economics and Peace, 383
Integrity Pacts, 156, 458, 476, 502, 529
Inter-American Development Bank, 452
international action, 529–530. See also cross-country data
arbitration, 473–475
conditional aid and lending, 461
conventions, 462–469
extradition agreements, 505
monitoring international organizations, 481–488
Mutual Legal Assistance treaties, 505
soft laws, 462, 469–473
tribunals, 475–476
International Bar Association, 504
International Center for the Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID). See
under World Bank
International Chamber of Commerce (ICC), 494, 503, 504
International Competitive Bidding, 151, 154
International Country Risk Guide (ICRG). See under PRS Group
International Court of Justice (ICJ), 468, 484–485
International Crime Victims Survey, 45, 46, 48
International Federation of Accountants, 470
International Labor Organization Administrative Tribunal (ILOAT), 484,
485
International Law Commission (ILC), 485
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 5, 57, 132, 202, 325, 330, 457, 460,
481, 489–490
International Organization of Supreme Audit Institutions, 470
Iran state-subsidized prices, 54
J.P. Morgan, 11
Jackson, Andrew, 423
Jamaica, 159
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA), 400
Japan, 22, 44, 501
credit access, 55
electoral corruption, 351, 353, 366, 368
gift-giving, 255
judicial review, 407
political corruption, 276
procurement corruption, 154–155
procurement reform, 155
Jersey money laundering, 309, 514
& Johnson, 74
, Michael, 290–292, 293
il-for-food scandal, 485
, 382
ntability, 384–387
ative Dispute Resolution, 390–391
aw systems, 386, 389
of laws, 388–389
on law systems, 387
tence, 384, 385, 386, 388
ct of interest, 387
tion, 8, 80, 81, 225–228, 313, 314, 322–323, 328, 331, 384, 386, 387–388,
528
ndence, 374, 383–389
utors, 389–390
d crime, 79, 80, 113, 151, 167, 209, 225, 228, 271, 285, 287, 293, 294–306,
307, 311, 313, 314–315, 321, 353, 387, 390, 448, 460, 491, 507–508, 517–
518, 519, 526, 528. See also gambling; money laundering; prostitution
, 295–296
ve philanthropy, 297
ion, 295
rade, 29, 34, 56, 79, 82, 129, 180, 195, 196, 219, 227, 228, 259, 285, 294,
295, 296, 297–298, 300, 302, 304, 306, 307, 311, 312, 314, 315, 323,
324, 335, 379, 508, 510, 511, 518, 519
on, 301, 302
nment contracts, 302–303
n trafficking, 34, 294, 297, 314, 510
ation of legitimate business, 302
d goods, 302
onflict society, 317–324, 327, 335, 336
zation, 303
tion rackets, 255–256
ce, 306, 285, 297, 298–299, 302, 303, 304, 305
Elinor, 248
Empire tax farming, 181
478
one, 44
ion system corruption, 143
ernment, 143
d, 516
e, 16, 43
atic reform, 427
ervice pay levels, 393
pt Practices Investigations Bureau (CPIB), 393
r differences, 243
g supply corruption, 59
aws, 404
oring of civil service, 393
corruption, 393
ement corruption, 105
privatization, 118
rms, 233, 234–235, 236, 524
ience policy evaluation, 448–450
m, 119, 303, 328, 359
Islands, 22
ssion corruption, 110
68, 10, 17, 43
l, 325, 326
Tina, xxiii, 37, 88, 457, 470
rica, 337
ms corruption, 65
e spending corruption, 452
nge rates, 56
ational Center for the Settlement of Investment Disputes, 473
dan, 17
nion, 447
ervice pay levels, 168
n investment, 303
mal networks, 258
scrutiny of corruption, 431
zation, 159
d tariff corruption, 76
ctoral corruption, 353, 366
ement corruption, 101, 105
dies corruption, 96, 218, 221, 223, 225
a judiciary, 385
oseph, 258
sidized prices, 54
14, 73, 104, 108, 120, 123, 133, 216, 282, 360, 361, 439, 463, 471, 478, 502
er, Alfredo, 279
7, 18, 22, 43, 44, 47–48, 69
20, 85, 104, 114, 170, 195, 282, 284, 288, 360, 426
ACs, 355
concession corruption, 110
ble Development Goals. See United Nations, Millennium Development Goals
n, Jakob, 62, 67, 71, 84, 398
17, 43
driven reform, 429
tive conflict of interest, 358
and, 17, 22
scandal, 506
y laundering, 309, 513–514
l Legal Assistance treaties, 505
niency, 224
g in influence, 197
Revised Agreement on Government Procurement, 469
-for-food scandal, 485
Tabellini, 348
Tabellini, Guido, 30, 247, 348
Taiwan criminal law, 207
defense spending corruption, 452
rulemaking procedures, 376
Uganda, 44
autocratic reform, 427
defense spending corruption, 452
education system corruption, 382
health system corruption, 453
import and export licenses, 62
incentive payments, 67
Public Expenditure Tracking Surveys, 398
Ukraine, 22
civil service pay levels, 168, 170
fall of Yanukovych, 417
foreign investment, 303
incentive bribes, 66–67
legislative conflict of interest, 359
regional corruption, 234
weak state authority, 287–288
Union of South American Nations, 339
United Arab Emirates, 43
United Kingdom. See Britain
United Nations, 87, 95, 115, 234, 320, 330, 462, 487, 488, 506
Administrative Tribunal (UNAT), 484, 485, 487
Appeals Tribunal, 484, 485, 487
Code of Conduct on Transnational Corporations, 495
Comtrade, 517
Convention against Corruption (UNCAC), 465–466, 468, 478, 480, 488,
508, 511, 512
Development Program (UNDP), 461, 468, 470, 476
Dispute Tribunal, 484, 485, 487
Global Compact, 470, 503
Human Development Index (HDI), 29, 31
Millennium Development Goals, 3, 5
Model Code, 147
Mozambique, 327–328
Office on Drugs and Crime, 297, 468, 504
oil-for-food scandal, 485–487, 514–515
Palermo Convention (UNTOC), 510
Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation
(REDD), 115
Vienna Convention, 508, 513
United States of America, 342, 18, 33, 37, 43, 44, 46, 136, 319, 324
Administrative Procedures Act (APA), 375–376
Agency for International Development (USAID), 130
anti-corruption agencies, 393
Anti-Patronage and Progressive periods, 415
archaeological destruction, 116
automobile industry corruption, 122, 222
banking corruption, 128
blocking legislation, 361
Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), 399, 506
Chamber of Commerce, 476
civil service corruption, 179
civil service ethics codes, 175–176, 177–178
civil service incentive bonuses, 182–183
civil service job-seeking, 177
civil service pay levels, 168
civil service reform, 198
competing jurisdictions, 380
competitive anti-corruption, 379
conflict of interest, 175
construction industry corruption, 71
corporate anti-corruption efforts, 504
corporate criminal liability, 215
corporate gender quotas, 246
corruption scandals, 429
Council of Europe conventions, 467
Crédit Mobilier scandal, 425
criminal law, 208, 209, 211–212, 218, 219, 220
crisis-driven reform, 429, 432
defense spending corruption, 95–96
Dodd-Frank Act, 471, 480
durability of reform, 422
e-government,143, 376, 400
election funding, 351, 352, 353–356, 362, 368–369, 370, 371–372
electoral corruption, 364, 367
environmental degradation, 409
environmental regulation, 137
executive corruption, 378
Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative, 326
Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), 95, 218, 221, 379, 506
federal oversight, 379
Food and Drug Administration (FDA), 74, 123
Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA), 5, 87, 221, 222, 461, 462–465,
476–481, 484
fossil fuels corruption, 110–111
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA), 400, 400
Freemasons, 431
gender differences, 244
General Accounting Office, 394
Government Accountability Office (GAO), 396, 398
Government in the Sunshine Act, 401–402
health system corruption, 74, 122–123
housing supply corruption, 59
institutionalizing reform, 439–440
judiciary, 384, 387
legislative conflict of interest, 358
libel laws, 403–404
lobbying, 360, 361, 363–364
local government corruption, 380
media scrutiny of corruption, 430–431
money laundering, 310–311, 491, 507, 508, 513, 514, 516–517
Mutual Legal Assistance treaties, 505
nineteenth-century reform, 417, 423–425, 433–434, 435–436
Office of Federal Procurement Policy, 148
one-sided fee shifting, 407
organized crime, 296, 299–300, 302, 517–518
outsourcing, 201, 199–200
peer reporting of corruption, 497
Pendleton Act, 423, 434
police corruption, 84, 143, 186
political corruption, 276, 351
political machine cities, 436–438, 440
political neutrality in civil service, 177
political system, 345–346
postal service reform, 435–436
prison corruption, 82–83
privatization, 117, 157
procurement corruption,97, 101, 106, 108, 109, 148, 325
procurement reform, 148–151, 152, 153
Prohibition, 129
prosecutors, 387, 389
public interest lawsuits, 406
qualification-for-benefits corruption, 63
Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act (RICO), 511
regional corruption, 234
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), 74, 121, 463, 471, 507, 510
separation of legislature and executive, 377
social norms, 270
tax and tariff corruption, 75, 133
Teapot Dome scandal, 430
training foreign militaries, 460
training foreign police, 460
trust in government, 343
whistleblowing, 409
Uruguay anti-corruption reform, 419, 420
New Public Management (NPM) reform, 173
resistance to reform, 415
orruption, 75, 109, 112, 120, 141, 155, 157, 199, 245, 437
aximization, 7
Vanuatu, 22
ombudsman, 409
Vanucci, Alberto, 202
Varese, Federico, 307, 295
Vargas, Getúlio, 427
variable quantity and quality corruption, 61–62
Venezuela, 43
anti-corruption as tool of repression, 428
anti-corruption reform, 419
civil service pay levels, 168
exchange rates, 56
fossil fuels corruption, 111
incentive bribes, 67
judicial corruption, 388
money laundering, 517, 311
oil wealth as obstacle to reform, 441
police corruption, 66
political corruption, 276
presidential corruption, 399
privatization, 118
state-subsidized prices, 54
windfall oil profits, 424
vicious circle, 10, 33, 36, 46, 69, 76, 96, 131, 236, 252, 257, 258, 259, 260,
262, 294, 296, 299, 300, 305, 314, 324, 335, 336, 525
vicious spiral. See vicious circle
Vietnam education system corruption, 60
efan, 387
Paul, 487, 485
Wachovia, 311
Wade, Robert, 233
Walmart, 116
Washington Consensus, 6, 6
water, 34, 525. See also environmental degradation; irrigation supply
corruption; utilities corruption
Watergate, 356
weak state authority, 10, 287–288
Weber, Max, 247
Wei, Shang-Jin, 31
Western Express, 516
whistleblowing, 96, 127, 208, 218, 219–221, 339, 407, 409, 451, 453, 467,
470, 478, 484, 496, 497, 503, 526, 527, 528, 529
World Bank, 4, 115, 129, 138, 156, 169, 202, 203, 322, 330, 380, 406, 426,
446, 447, 450, 452, 457, 458, 459, 460, 461, 468, 476, 481, 485,
487, 488, 489–490
Administrative Tribunal (WBAT), 483–484
Afghan Reconstruction Trust Fund, 337
conditionality of programs, 456–457
Control of Corruption Indicator (CCI), 15, 16–20, 26, 39, 80, 111, 317,
393
Department of Institutional Integrity (INT), 484, 487
Enterprise Survey, 48
good governance priorities, 5
Inspection Panel (IP), 481–483, 484
International Center for the Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID),
473–474, 481
International Competitive Bidding, 147
Office of Business Ethics and Integrity, 483
Operations Evaluation Department, 459
poverty reduction, 4, 4
Procurement Guidelines, 152, 156
Public Expenditure Tracking Surveys, 398, 526
Stolen Asset Recovery Initiative (StAR), 514
World Economic Forum, 503
Global Executive Survey, 43
Partnering against Corruption Initiative, 503
World Health Organization (WHO) Good Governance in Medicine (GGM),
472
Xi Jinping, 175