Economic Updates 24032023

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Fed Balance Sheet recent expansion

 Last many months amid inflationary pressures, Fed has withdrawn liquidity from the market
by selling bonds from its balance sheet.
 During the pandemic, with the bonanza liquidity that Fed infused, the balance sheet grew in
size from $4 trillion to $8.9 trillion. Over last few months, balance sheet size shrunk in size
by $600 billion as an inflation control measure
 Post 2023 banking crisis in US, Fed balance sheet increased by $300 billion, giving a view of
QE, but it’s not. These are towards credit extensions to banks through mechanisms

SVB Impact on Banking

 Essentially, SVB was the epitome of wrong-way risk – it accepted very lumpy deposits from
start-ups (which parked their venture capital funding), used related-party equity in these
start-ups to collateralize loans and invested excess funds in mostly long-dated mortgage
backed securities at a time when the yield curve was inverting even more, squeezing their
net interest margin.
 As much as central banks’ fast rate hikes to tackle inflation hit the bank’s asset side (resulting
in unrealized losses that exceeded their capital base)
 They also caused an economic pinch for their start-up depositors, who started withdrawing
their funds long before the deposit run that brought SVB to its knees.

Banking sector: price-to-book ratio (15 March 2023)


Eurozone banking sector: holdings of domestic government debt securities (% of total assets)

The global financial crisis in 2008 and the subsequent sovereign debt crisis in Europe highlighted the
need for a Banking Union (BU), with a consistent application of banking rules essential for financial
stability and building resilience. Common decision-making procedures and tools create a more
transparent, unified and safer market for banks, and help to prevent financial distress.

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