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Journal of Cleaner Production 282 (2021) 124533

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Journal of Cleaner Production


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/jclepro

Characteristics of CO2 and atmospheric pollutant emissions from


China’s cement industry: A life-cycle perspective
Chaoyue Zheng a, Haoran Zhang a, Xingrui Cai a, Long Chen b, Maodian Liu c,
Huiming Lin a, Xuejun Wang a, *
a
Ministry of Education Laboratory of Earth Surface Process, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, 100871, China
b
Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science (Ministry of Education), School of Geographic Sciences, East China Normal University, Shanghai,
200241, China
c
School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, New Haven, CT, 06511, USA

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: To estimate the air pollution emissions from China’s cement industry and quantify the impacts of various
Received 28 May 2020 influencing factors, we estimated the direct emissions and indirect electricity emissions of greenhouse
Received in revised form gases and atmospheric pollutants from China’s cement industry over 2005e2012 at the provincial level
16 September 2020
from the perspective of the cement life-cycle. Carbon dioxide (CO2), sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides
Accepted 4 October 2020
(NOX), and particulate matter (PM) were considered in this study. Using the Logarithmic Mean Divisia
Available online 7 October 2020
Index (LMDI) method and the multi-regional decomposition analysis (M-R) model, we quantified the
^as de
Handling Editor: Cecilia Maria Villas Bo impacts of the emission factor, energy intensity, output structure, clinker share, and production scale on
Almeida the tempo-spatial variations in pollutant emissions. Our results show that, from 2005 to 2012, the
emissions of CO2, SO2, NOx, and total suspended particulate (TSP) changed by 62%, 65%, 13%, and 46%,
Keywords: respectively. The major driving forces of these changes were production scale, output structure, pro-
Cement industry duction scale and output structure, and emission factor, respectively. In 2012, the proportions of indirect
Life-cycle analysis electricity emissions of CO2, SO2, NOx, and TSP corresponded to 10%, 33%, 20%, and 12% of the total,
CO2 and atmospheric pollutants
respectively. The emission intensities in the developed eastern provinces were much lower than the
Tempo-spatial variations
national average, due to their technological advantages. Through the interprovincial clinker trade, most
China
of the pollution derived from the cement life-cycle in the eastern provinces was transferred to the central
and western provinces, further increasing the pollution in these latter regions. This study may provide a
reference for the comprehensive accounting of pollutant emission characteristics in a specific industry.
The findings of this study suggest that China’s cement industry should adopt deNOx devices and use
alternative raw materials and fuels to further reduce environmental burden.
© 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction intensive and high-polluting: it consumes a large amount of raw


materials and energy (van Oss and Padovani, 2002). In China, the
Cement is a widely used construction material. Due to rapid production of 1 ton of cement clinker consumes 1.65 tons of raw
economic growth and urbanization, China has become the world’s materials on average (mainly limestone) (Cui and Liu, 2008; Gao
largest cement producer since the 1980s (National Bureau of et al., 2017). In 2012, China’s cement industry consumed a total of
Statistics, 2006e2019). China’s cement output increased from 176 Mtce, accounting for ~4.4% of the country’s total energy con-
597 Mt in 2000e2208 Mt in 2018, accounting for up to 54% of the sumption (China Cement Association, 2005e2012; National Bureau
world’s total in 2018 (National Bureau of Statistics, 2006e2019; of Statistics, 2006e2019). During the process of cement production,
Agency International Energy, 2019). The cement industry is energy- large amounts of greenhouse gases (GHGs) and hazardous atmo-
spheric pollutants are emitted into the atmosphere, contributing to
climate change, environmental pollution, and human health risk. A
* Corresponding author. Ministry of Education Laboratory of Earth Surface Pro- study has shown a statistically significant positive association be-
cesses, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, tween indoor particulate concentrations and the number of respi-
100871, China.
E-mail address: xjwang@urban.pku.edu.cn (X. Wang).
ratory symptoms (Mulenga and Siziya, 2019). In 2015, the cement

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.124533
0959-6526/© 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
C. Zheng, H. Zhang, X. Cai et al. Journal of Cleaner Production 282 (2021) 124533

industry contributed to 12% of China’s total CO2 emissions (Agency method. As a result, the impacts of cement production technology
International Energy, 2015; Wei and Cen, 2019). Besides, the shift over time and regional technology differences on pollutant
cement industry is also regarded as the largest source of atmo- emissions have not been fully addressed.
spheric primary particulate matter (PM), accounting for ~20% of the Considering the limitations of accounting scope and influencing
country’s total PM emissions (Lei et al., 2011a, 2011b). factor categories in previous studies, our study aimed to accurately
The process of cement production involves three stages: raw estimate the atmospheric pollutant emissions of China’s cement
material preparation, clinker calcination, and cement grinding industry and quantify the impacts of various influencing factors,
(Agency International Energy, 2009). Fossil fuels are mainly used in including technology shift, on pollutant emissions. During
the clinker calcination stage, while auxiliary processes (e.g., 2005e2012, China experienced a significant international financial
crushing, grinding, and drying) rely on electricity (Feng et al., 1995) crisis and several natural disasters, which caused great changes in
To obtain the atmospheric pollution emission characteristics in the structure of China’s cement industry. The proportion of new
China’s cement industry, previous studies have used a variety of suspension preheater (NSP) kiln clinker increased from 40% in 2005
methods, such as emergy analyses (Zhang et al., 2017; Song et al., to 92% in 2012 with respect to the total clinker production, and
2019), material flow analyses (Hu et al., 2015; Gao et al., 2016), industry data were available for this period (National Bureau of
and life-cycle assessments (Li et al., 2015; Song et al., 2016), to study Statistics, 2006e2019). Therefore, the time span of our study was
one or several specific cement production lines. For example, Song set to the period of 2005e2012. From a life-cycle perspective, we
et al. (2016) analyzed the life-cycle environmental impact of a estimated both the direct emissions and indirect electricity emis-
typical 2500 ton/day suspension preheater cement production line, sions of GHGs and atmospheric pollutant emissions (i.e., carbon
while Hu et al. (2015) conducted a metabolism analysis on two dioxide (CO2), sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOX), and PM)
typical cement production lines with different processes in Anhui from China’s cement industry at the provincial level. Notably, the
Province. Since the results of assessments conducted on different Tibet Autonomous Region, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Macao were not
function units can vary greatly (Salas et al., 2016), the above- included, due to lack of data. Furthermore, the LMDI and the M-R
mentioned studies may not provide realistic estimations of the model was used to quantify the impacts of the emission factor,
pollutant emissions of the entire cement industry. Some studies energy intensity, output structure, clinker share, and production
have developed emission inventories of GHGs and atmospheric scale on tempo-spatial variations in air pollution, to identify the
pollutants, contributing to pollution accounting in China’s cement major driving forces of the emission changes, and analyze the
industry. For GHGs, most previous studies estimated both direct causes of the spatial differences across provinces. Finally, the
emissions and indirect electricity emissions, but they used a fixed characteristics and impacts of the interprovincial clinker trade were
electricity emission factor to calculate indirect emissions in analyzed. Based on the life-cycle of the cement industry, this study
different years, and neglected the continuous reduction of carbon may provide a reference for the comprehensive accounting of
emissions from China’s power system (Gao et al., 2017; Shan et al., pollutant emission characteristics in a specific industry. The find-
2019). As for atmospheric pollutants, Lei et al. (2011b) and Hua et al. ings of this study can support the development of industry policies
(2016) calculated the direct emissions of CO2, SO2, NOx and PM, and and provide suggestions for further energy conservation and
obtained the historical trends of pollutant emissions from China’s emission reduction with regard to China’s cement industry.
cement industry at the provincial level, but they did not consider
indirect emissions caused by purchased electricity. Since electricity 2. Methodology
represents an important fraction (~10%) of the energy used for
cement production, ignoring the use of purchased electricity may 2.1. Study scope and emission calculations
affect the accuracy of pollutant emission accounting results from
China’s cement industry (China Cement Association, 2005e2012; To calculate the historical emission trends of CO2 and atmo-
Song et al., 2016). spheric pollutants of China’s cement industry, it is necessary to
To quantify the impacts of different factors on pollutant emis- define a boundary within which emissions are accounted for.
sions from the cement industry, some researchers used the Loga- Referring to ‘The greenhouse gas protocol: a corporate accounting
rithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) method proposed by Ang et al. and reporting standard’ (Ranganathan and Bhatia, 2004), from a
(1998). This method presents obvious advantages in terms of life-cycle perspective, three scopes should be ideally included
applicability, flexibility, consistence, and perfect decomposition (Table S1). Considering that the sources of Scope 3 emissions
(Ang and Liu, 2001); therefore, it has been widely used to study include multiple industrial sectors, and the availability and uncer-
regional and industrial energy consumptions (Wang et al., 2010; tainty of the associated data, the study scope in this paper was set
Wang and Feng, 2018), carbon emissions (Lin and Long, 2016), and to include Scope 1 and Scope 2.
air pollutant emissions (Lyu et al., 2016; Zhang et al., 2019). In In the cement industry, Scope 1 emission sources of GHGs and
addition to temporal decomposition analysis, Ang et al. (2015) atmospheric pollutants are different. CO2 emissions can be divided
extended the application of the LMDI method to spatial decom- into process-related emissions (emissions from carbonate decom-
position by establishing the multi-regional decomposition analysis position and organic carbon conversion) and fuel-related emissions
(M-R) model. The LMDI method has been used to study China’s (emissions from fuel combustion). SO2 and NOX emissions are
cement industry. Most of the existing studies on this topic involved derived from the fuel combustion process of cement kilns. The
energy consumption or carbon emissions, and conducted temporal emission sources of PM are quite complex to reconstruct (Gao et al.,
decomposition analysis at the national level, in which the impact 2016). For simplicity, in this study, PM emissions were divided into
factors included energy efficiency, energy structure, industry scale, two groups: those derived from the clinker manufacturing process
labor productivity, and fixed capital, among others (Wang et al., (emissions from material crushing, raw material milling, clinker
2013; Lin and Zhang, 2016; Shan et al., 2019). Liu et al. (2018) calcination and clinker cooling) and those from the cement milling
studied the emissions of atmospheric pollutants and developed a process. Based on China’s environmental monitoring specifications
tempo-spatial decomposition analysis to examine the driving and the availability of data, we divided the particulate matter into
forces of pollution at the provincial level. However, they did not three particle size ranges: <2.5 mm, 2.5e10 mm, and >10 mm. Given
consider the proportion of different cement kiln types as a factor the high application rate and significant effects of PM control
affecting atmospheric pollutant emissions when using the LMDI technologies, net emissions depend on both the unabated
2
C. Zheng, H. Zhang, X. Cai et al. Journal of Cleaner Production 282 (2021) 124533

emissions, and the penetration rate and removal efficiency of The M-R model allows emission intensity comparisons between
various control technologies (Lei et al., 2008). the targeted regions and the group average (Ang et al., 2015; Liu
There are two main types of cement kiln: shaft and rotary kilns et al., 2018). The formulas used for the direct decomposition anal-
(Madlool et al., 2011). NSP kilns are a special type of rotary kiln with ysis between the provinces and the national average are shown
a pre-calciner or a pre-heater set in front of the barrel. Different below as Eqs. (6) and (7). To simplify the spatial decomposition
types of cement kilns are characterized by different energy con- analysis process, the time range was divided into three stages:
sumption levels, calcination temperature, and pollutant emissions. 2005e2007, 2008e2010, and 2011e2012. The provincial and na-
To gain more accurate results, we considered three types of cement tional emission intensities were calculated for each time period;
kilns: NSP, shaft, and other rotary (OR) kilns. Coal and electricity afterward, the M-R model was applied.
account for ~90% and 10%, respectively, of the total energy con-
sumption in China’s cement industry; hence, only coal was taken DEIRiCHN ¼EIRi EICHN ¼ DEIx1
RiCHN
þ DEIx2
RiCHN
þ/þ DEIxn
RiCHN

into account for energy-related Scope 1 emissions (China Cement (6)


Association, 2005e2012). The calculation equations applied for
Scope 1 emissions are shown in Table S2.
X xRi
Scope 2 emissions were calculated based on the electricity DEIxk
RiCHN
¼ LðEIiRi ; EIiCHN Þlnð CHN
k:i
Þ (7)
consumption and the emission factor: i
xk;i
X
E2t ¼ ECj;i;t  EEFj;t (1) We assumed that the total emissions were influenced by five
j;i factors: the emission factor (ef), the energy intensity (int), the
output structure (str), the clinker share (sha), and the production
E2: total Scope 2 emissions; EC: electricity consumption; EEF: scale (scale). All these factors are defined in Table S4. The influ-
emission factor of the electricity consumption; i: cement kiln types; encing factors of the emission intensity included ef, int, str, and sha.
j: province; t: year. We analyzed Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions separately, and then
According to the above calculation equations, we estimated the quantified the impacts of each factor on the emission amounts and
annual emissions of CO2, SO2, NOX, and PM at the provincial level, emission intensity to identify the driving forces. Since GHGs and
and aggregated them to obtain the historical emissions from atmospheric pollutants were associated with different emission
China’s cement industry over 2005e2012. The pollutant emission mechanisms and data types, we designed detailed decomposition
intensities were obtained by dividing the annual emissions by the formulas for different pollutants based on the LMDI method to
annual cement output. conduct tempo-spatial decomposition analysis (Table S5).

3. Data
2.2. Tempo-spatial decomposition analysis
3.1. Production and energy consumption
To conduct the tempo-spatial decomposition analysis, we
adopted the LMDI method and the multi-regional decomposition
The China Cement Almanac provided provincial data on China’s
analysis (M-R) model. The correspondent equations are shown
cement industry for 2005e2012, including clinker production,
below:
cement production, coal consumption, and electricity consumption
X (China Cement Association, 2005e2012). The output of NSP kilns
E¼ x1;i x2;i /xn;i (2)
i
was obtained from the China Cement Association, while the out-
puts of the other two kiln types were estimated according to in-
formation available in the literature (Li, 2004; Kong, 2005; Xu et al.,
DE ¼ ET  E0 ¼ DEx1 þ DEx2 þ / þ DExn (3) 2012). Based on the outputs and energy intensities of the three
cement kiln types reported in the literature (China Cement
ET Association, 2005e2012; Xu et al., 2012; Hua et al., 2016), we
D¼ ¼ Dx1 Dx2 /Dxn (4)
E0 were able to estimate a breakdown of the coal and electricity
consumptions for each kiln type. The production and energy con-
DE DEx1 DEx2 DExn sumption data are shown in Tables S6, S7 and S8.
¼ ¼ ¼/¼ (5)
lnD lnDx1 lnDx2 lnDxn
3.2. Emission factor
E represents an energy-related or emission-related aggregate,
while i represents the sub-category of the aggregate (e.g., the in-
All types of cement kilns are characterized by high combustion
dustrial sector or fuel type; Ang, 2005). It was assumed that n
P temperatures and long residence times and carbon oxidation rates
factors contributed to the change of E from E0 ¼ x01;i x02;i /x0n;i in
i
can reach ~99%, (National Development and Reform Commission,
P T T 2011; Word Business Council for Sustainable Development, 2011);
period 0 to ET ¼ x1;i x2;i /xTn;i in period T. In the additive decom-
i thus, the negligible differences between kiln types were ignored in
position form (Eq. (3)), the decomposition results were given in a this study. Cui and Liu (2008) conducted a comprehensive analysis:
physical unit, while in the multiplicative decomposition form in Eq. their calculation of the CO2 emission factor of China’s cement in-
(4), the results were expressed in indexes (Ang, 2005). dustry has been widely quoted. Following their results, the process-
The LMDI method comprises two different methods: LMDI-I and related emission factors EFC ¼ 0.55 kg CO2/kg clinker and the energy
LMDI-II (Ang, 2015). As shown in Table S3, the weight formula of related emission factor EF ¼ 1.94 kg CO2/kg coal. Scope 1 emissions
LMDI-I is more concise (Ang, 2015): this method is consistent in for SO2 and NOx varied depending on the cement kiln type. In NSP
aggregation (Ang and Liu, 2001) and provides a perfect decompo- kilns, most limestone is decomposed during the pre-calcination
sition at the subcategory level (Ang et al., 2009). Therefore, in this process and the CaO produced absorbs a large amount of SO2. It is
study, we chose to apply LMDI-I with the additive decomposition generally assumed that ~80% of the SO2 is absorbed in NSP kiln, while
form. only 30% is absorbed in shaft and OR kilns (Liu, 2006). Considering
3
C. Zheng, H. Zhang, X. Cai et al. Journal of Cleaner Production 282 (2021) 124533

the sulfur content in China’s coal, Lei et al. (2011b) estimated the SO2 to 1269 Mt in 2012. The trend of NOx emissions was similar with
emission factor for three types of cement kiln (see Table S9). Scope 1 that of CO2: they increased from 1122 kt to 2563 kt. In contrast, the
NOx emission factors mentioned in this paper are from Hua et al. SO2 emissions decreased from 1543 kt to 1341 kt over the same
(2016), who calculated the NOX emission factor for different kiln period. The reduction of TSP emissions was much more significant
types using the field data provided by Su et al. (1998) and the Chi- during this period; it dropped from 7745 kt to 4164 kt.
nese Academy of Environmental Sciences (see Table S9). Regarding As shown in Tables S14, S15 and S16, direct (Scope 1) emissions
the PM, since the three cement kiln types were associated to always represented most of GHGs and atmospheric pollutant
different exhaust emissions and dust concentrations, values of the emissions of China’s cement industry. Indirect electricity (Scope 2)
unabated emission factor EFRc and the net emission factor efc from emissions of various pollutants increased over 2005e2012. In 2012,
the clinker manufacturing process were also different. The values of Scope 2 emissions of CO2, SO2, NOx, and TSP were 134 Mt, 441 kt,
EFRc and the unabated emission factor from cement milling EFRm 522 kt and 498 kt, respectively. Over 2005e2012, Scope 2 emissions
were obtained from Jiao (2007) and Lei et al. (2008) (see Table S10). of CO2 accounted for ~10% of the total CO2 emissions, while the
PM control technologies used in the cement plant include cyclone proportion of Scope 2 emissions of NOx decreased from 25% to 20%.
(CYC), wet scrubber (WET), electrostatic precipitator (ESP) and Moreover, the proportions of Scope 2 emissions of SO2 and TSP
baghouse filter (FF). Their respective dust removal efficiencies are increased significantly from 16% to 33%, and from 3% to 12%,
shown in Table S11 (Lei et al., 2008). The application rates of these respectively. The CO2 emissions estimated in this study are close
four technologies in China’s cement industry have been investigated those reported by Wang et al. (2013), Chen et al. (2015), and Gao
and estimated in previous studies (Lei et al., 2008; Hua et al., 2016) et al. (2017); however, the emissions of atmospheric pollutants
(see Fig. S1). estimated in this study are slightly higher than those in other
Scope 2 emission factor for CO2 was obtained from Song et al. studies (Lei et al., 2011b; Hua et al., 2016). The main reason for these
(2013), who considered all the types of power, grid division, and differences is the distinct study scopes: other studies only calcu-
power exchange between grids to calculate China’s regional CO2 lated the direct emissions, while our study considered the life-cycle
electricity emission factor (see Table S12). The power emission of cement production, including the indirect emissions caused by
factors of the atmospheric pollutants were obtained from the purchased electricity.
Ecoinvent database (Ecoinvent Association, 2010), which is the Fig. S2 shows the emissions calculation results at the provincial
world’s leading life-cycle inventory database: it includes the air level. In 2005, the emissions of CO2, SO2, NOx, and TSP in eastern
pollutant emission factors per unit of power consumption in China China accounted for ~50% of the national total emissions; moreover,
(down to the provincial level) (see Table S13). the emissions in central China were slightly higher than those in
the western region. Among the eastern provinces, Shandong
4. Results showed the highest emissions in the country, while Guangdong,
Jiangsu, and Zhejiang ranked among the top five. In the central
4.1. Emissions of CO2 and atmospheric pollutants from 2005 to 2012 region, Anhui, Henan, and Hubei provinces had relatively high
emissions. Meanwhile, the emissions in western provinces were
As shown in Fig. 1, CO2 emissions increased from 785 Mt in 2005 generally low, with the exception of Sichuan, whose SO2 emissions

8000
PM >10
PM 2.5-10
7000
PM 2.5
CO₂/1000
6000
SO₂
NOx
5000
TSP
Emission (kt)

4000

3000

2000

1000

0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Year

Fig. 1. Emissions of CO2 and atmospheric pollutants of China’s cement industry.

4
C. Zheng, H. Zhang, X. Cai et al. Journal of Cleaner Production 282 (2021) 124533

ranked the forth in the nation. factors, TSP emissions were reduced by 7760 kt from 2005 to 2012,
Over 2005e2012, the growths of CO2 (14%) and NOx (62%) while changes in other pollutants were negligible. Both the coal and
emissions in the eastern region were far below the national electricity intensities dropped during this period, causing the CO2,
average, while the reductions of SO2 and TSP emissions were much SO2, NOx, and TSP emissions to decrease by 130 Mt, 267 kt, 169 kt,
higher than the national average. The emissions of all the pollutants and 395 kt, respectively. There are exceptions in terms of energy
in Beijing, Tianjin, and Shanghai declined during this period. In intensity across provinces; for example, its values increased in Jilin,
addition, the four abovementioned eastern provinces, which had Chongqing, and Shandong during this period. The energy intensity
high emissions in 2005, have also significantly low emission growth in Jilin was the most obvious, and linked to increases in CO2
growth rates. The change rates of pollutant emissions in the central (29%), SO2 (55%), NOx (79%), and TSP (2%). These also explain the
region were similar to the national average. But the emission observed increase in Scope 2 emission intensity in Jilin.
growth rate in the Anhui Province was the highest in China: from The output structure showed a weak increasing effect on Scope
2005 to 2012, the CO2 and NOx emissions increased by 55 Mt and 2 emissions, but its effect on Scope 1 emissions varied by pollutant
119 kt, respectively, while the SO2 emissions increased by 39%. In type. Due to the shift in output structure, Scope 1 emissions of CO2
the western region, the emissions increased significantly during decreased by 18 Mt and those of TSP increased by 984 kt over
this period: the emission growth rates of CO2 and NOx were 135% 2005e2012. The effect was significant for Scope 1 emissions of SO2
and 244%, respectively (much higher than the national average); and NOx: it caused the SO2 emissions to fall by 875 kt and the NOx
the regional growth rate of SO2 emissions was 25%, offsetting one- emissions to increase by 1158 kt. As shown in Fig. S3, the effects of
third of the total SO2 emission reduction in the eastern and central the output structure in single provinces were similar to those
regions. Meanwhile, the TSP emissions declined in the western observed for the whole country.
region, but their reduction was much lower. Clinker share usually plays an important role in reducing
With the development of China’s cement industry over pollutant emissions. During the study period, it led to CO2, SO2,
2005e2012, the gap in pollutant emissions between different re- NOx, and TSP emission reductions of 172 Mt, 195 kt, 2254 kt, and
gions greatly narrowed. In 2012, the CO2, NOx, and TSP emissions of 729 kt, respectively. However, the clinker share increased in Beijing,
the cement industry in the western, central, and eastern regions Hainan, Hubei, and Xinjiang, causing slight emission increases.
were similar to each other. The SO2 emissions were particularly Contrary to the clinker share, production scale tends to have an
high in the western region, accounting for 40% of the total emis- increasing effect on pollutant emissions. With the continuous
sions in China. The five provinces with the highest emissions expansion of the production scale, the emissions of CO2, SO2, NOx,
changed from 2005 to 2012: in 2012, they corresponded to Shan- and TSP increased by 751 Mt, 1096 kt, 1191 kt, and 3664 kt,
dong, Guangdong (both in the eastern region), Anhui (in the central respectively. In the eastern provinces (i.e., Shandong, Guangdong,
region), Sichuan, and Guangxi (both in the western region). Besides, Jiangsu, and Zhejiang), where emissions were high in 2005, the
Anhui had replaced Shandong as the province with the highest CO2, emission increase caused by production scale was much lower than
NOx, and TSP emissions, while the highest SO2 emissions were in the provinces of other regions. In the central and western re-
registered in the Sichuan Province. gions, in fact, the emission growth caused by production scale was
obvious.
4.2. Emission intensities of CO2 and atmospheric pollutants Based on the temporal decomposition results, we were able to
identify the key driving forces of pollutant emissions from China’s
As shown in Fig. 2 and Table S17, the pollutant emission in- cement industry. The leading driving factors for the growth of CO2
tensities in the first stage (over 2005e2007) were 0.72 kg CO2/kg and NOx emissions were the production scale, the production scale
cement, 1.33 g SO2/kg cement, 1.42 g NOx/kg cement, and 5.28 g and the output structure, respectively. Furthermore, the leading
TSP/kg cement, while they changed to 0.59 kg CO2/kg cement, driving factors for the decline in SO2 and TSP emissions were the
0.65 g SO2/kg cement, 1.57 g NOx/kg cement, and 1.95 g TSP/kg output structure and Scope 1 emission factor, respectively. Except
cement in the third stage (over 2011e2012). Scope 1 and Scope 2 for production scale, other factors combined effectively reduced the
emission intensities of CO2, SO2, and TSP all decreased during the emissions of CO2, SO2, and TSP, while NOx emissions still increased
three stages; however, the reduction in Scope 1 emission intensities due to the effect of the output structure. As a result, the emission
was more obvious. Scope 2 NOx emission intensity decreased, but intensities of CO2, SO2, and TSP dropped, while that of NOx
the increase in Scope 1 NOx emission intensity was more signifi- increased during the study period.
cant. In the third stage, Scope 2 emission intensities were 0.06 kg In the eastern region, the energy efficiency and the production
CO2/kg cement, 0.21 g SO2/kg cement, 0.24 kg NOx/kg cement, and technology improved significantly, while the increase in cement
0.23 g TSP/kg cement. production was relatively low. However, in the central and western
The pollutant emission intensities in the eastern provinces were regions, the rapid expansion of the production scale offset the
relatively low; notably, the lowest values were registered in Tianjin, reduction effects of the other factors, especially in Anhui, Sichuan,
Shanghai, Jiangsu, and Hebei. For the central region, the emission and Guangxi. Therefore, the pollutant emission differences be-
intensities were very high in Anhui and Jilin, while they were close tween the regions narrowed during the period 2005e2012.
to the national average in the other provinces. During the third
stage, emission intensities of 0.98 kg CO2/kg cement and 2.01 g 4.4. Results of the spatial decomposition analysis
NOx/kg cement were observed in Anhui, while emission intensities
of 0.91 kg CO2/kg cement, 2.49 g NOx/kg cement, and 1.02 g SO2/kg The effects of each factor on the provincial emission intensities
cement were observed in Jilin. In the western region, the emission during the third stage (2011e2012) are presented in Fig. 4. The
intensities were generally higher than the national average, espe- clinker share and the energy intensity were the main factors
cially those of SO2. leading to differences in the provincial emission intensities of CO2,
NOx, and TSP. In the case of SO2, the output structure and Scope 2
4.3. Results of the temporal decomposition analysis emission factor were also essential. In the eastern region, due to the
energy intensity and clinker share effects, the emission intensities
The results of temporal decomposition analysis are shown in of various pollutants in Beijing were relatively high, while in other
Fig. 3, Table S18, and Fig. S3. Due to the changes of Scope 1 emission provinces/municipalities (e.g., Shanghai, Tianjin, Jiangsu, Zhejiang,
5
C. Zheng, H. Zhang, X. Cai et al. Journal of Cleaner Production 282 (2021) 124533

05-07 05-07
1.40 3.00
05-07ave 05-07ave
08-10 08-10
08-10ave 08-10ave
1.20
11-12 2.50 11-12
11-12ave 11-12ave
1.00
2.00

0.80
1.50
0.60

1.00
0.40

0.50
0.20

0.00 0.00

Yunnan

Xinjiang
Inner Mongonia
Zhejiang
Shanghai

Sichuan

Gansu
Tianjin

Liaoning

Fujian

Hainan
Guangdong
Beijing

Hebei

Shanodng

Henan

Ningxia
Guangxi
Hunan
Jiangsu

Shanxi

Hubei

Chongqing
Tianjin

Zhejiang

Yunnan

Xinjiang

Heilongjiang
Anhui

Guizhou

Shaanxi

Qinghai
Inner Mongonia
Hainan

Jilin

Jiangxi
Shanghai

Sichuan
Fujian
Liaoning

Guangdong

Gansu
Henan
Beijing

Ningxia
Hebei

Shanodng

Jiangxi

Guangxi
Jiangsu

Shanxi

Hunan
Hubei

Chongqing
Anhui

Guizhou
Heilongjiang

Shaanxi

Qinghai
Jilin

(a) (b)
Eastern region Central region Western region Eastern region Central region Western region
05-07 05-07
3.00 05-07ave 12.00 05-07ave
08-10 08-10
08-10ave 08-10ave
2.50 11-12 10.00 11-12
11-12ave 11-12ave

2.00 8.00

1.50 6.00

1.00 4.00

0.50 2.00

0.00 0.00

Yunnan

Xinjiang
Zhejiang

Inner Mongonia
Hainan

Sichuan
Tianjin

Liaoning
Shanghai

Gansu
Fujian

Guangdong

Henan
Beijing

Hebei

Ningxia
Shanodng

Anhui

Guangxi
Jiangsu

Shanxi

Hubei
Hunan

Chongqing
Guizhou

Shaanxi

Qinghai
Heilongjiang

Jiangxi
Jilin
Zhejiang

Yunnan

Xinjiang
Inner Mongonia
Hainan
Tianjin

Shanghai

Heilongjiang

Hubei

Sichuan

Gansu
Liaoning

Fujian

Guangdong

Henan
Beijing

Hebei

Ningxia
Jiangsu

Shanodng

Guangxi
Shanxi

Hunan

Chongqing
Anhui
Jiangxi

Guizhou

Shaanxi

Qinghai
Jilin

(c) (d)
Eastern region Central region Western region Eastern region Central region Western region

Fig. 2. Emission intensities of CO2 and atmospheric pollutants from China’s cement industry during three time stages.

and Hebei) the emissions intensities were generally low. Among considering the emissions derived from purchased electricity.
the central provinces, we highlight the cases of Jilin (where the high Notably, electricity accounts for up to 10% of the total energy con-
emission intensity was led by the energy intensity and the clinker sumption of China’s cement industry, and is the most important
share) and that of Anhui (where the leading factor was the clinker energy type other than coal. Our estimations show that Scope 2
share). The western region was at a disadvantage with regard to emissions have been increasing during the period 2005e2012, ac-
clinker share and the output structure; notably, some western counting for a considerable portion of the total emissions; in
provinces even had high energy intensities and emission factors. particular, SO2 and NOx emission accounted for 33% and 20% in
Therefore, the emission intensities of the western provinces were 2012, respectively. These data prove the importance of electricity.
always higher than the national average, especially in the case of Besides, the results obtained by distinguishing the emissions
SO2: their output structures led to SO2 emission intensities of derived from different phases of the cement life-cycle are useful for
0.27 g/kg cement in Xinjiang, Guizhou, and Sichuan. the formulation of reasonable industry policies. For example, our
results show that the NOx emission intensity increased over time,
5. Discussion while Scope 2 emission intensity of NOx decreased. This suggests
that further reduction efforts should focus on direct emission
From the perspective of the cement life-cycle, we estimated process.
both Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions from China’s cement industry. Temporal decomposition analysis results showed that the
Most other researchers had focused mainly on the cement clinker continuous expansion of production scale was the most important
calcination process and calculated the direct emissions without factor leading to the emission increase, which is related to the social

6
C. Zheng, H. Zhang, X. Cai et al. Journal of Cleaner Production 282 (2021) 124533

Fig. 3. Temporal decomposition analysis results: impacts of various factors on the changes in CO2 and atmospheric pollutant emissions of China’s cement industry over 2005e2012.

economy development. During this period, the urbanization rate in three regions are different: the influence on the eastern region was
China increased from 43% to 53% (National Bureau of Statistics, relatively small, while that on the central and western regions were
2006e2019), leading to great demand for infrastructures and significant. The eastern region is economically developed, showing
housing; besides, the rapid economy growth and large-scale fixed- a high degree of industrialization and urbanization, as well as a
asset investment also propelled the growth of cement production. heavy environmental load. Therefore, the Chinese government
However, this type of production fluctuated during the study restricted the growth of cement production capacity in this region.
period, especially in 2008 and 2012, when the annual growths were The ‘4 trillion yuan investment’ policy focused mainly on the cen-
of only 4.33% and 5.64% (China Cement Association, 2005e2012), tral and western regions, generating a huge cement demand in
respectively. In 2008, China suffered from severe natural disasters these regions. In the western region, the development strategy and
and an international financial crisis, which led to a decline in the the post-disaster reconstruction projects further promoted the
cement production growth rate. In response to this financial crisis, prosperity of the cement market. Therefore, the cement industry in
the Chinese government decided to invest 4 trillion yuan (RMB) by the central and western regions developed rapidly and the pro-
2010 to stimulate the domestic demand and start the post-disaster duction increased significantly during the study period.
reconstruction, generating a large demand for cement. Conse- In addition to the production scale, industrial restructuring also
quently, the cement production increased significantly in the led to changes in the emission factor, energy intensity, output
following years, with annual growth rates of 16% in 2009 and 15% in structure, and clinker share during the study period. At the
2011 (China Cement Association, 2014). After completing the ‘4 beginning of the 21st century, disqualified production capacity
trillion yuan investment’ and the post-disaster reconstruction, the dominated China’s cement industry, causing a huge waste of re-
growth rate of China’s fixed-asset investment fell from 30% in 2009 sources and severe environmental pollution. Thus, the Chinese
to 20% in 2012 (National Bureau of Statistics of China, 2009e2012). government decided to adopt efficient production technology to
As a result, the growth rate of cement production declined again in promote the sustainable development of cement industry. With
2012. pre-decomposition and pre-heating systems, NSP kilns have higher
Due to the differences in regional policies, resource abundance energy efficiency, provide clinkers of better quality and can absorb
and market demands, the influences of production scale on the more SO2. Since China’s cement market is dominated by low-

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C. Zheng, H. Zhang, X. Cai et al. Journal of Cleaner Production 282 (2021) 124533

Fig. 4. Spatial decomposition analysis results: impacts of various factors on the differences in the emission intensities of CO2 and atmospheric pollutants in each province and the
national average emission intensities during the third stage (2011e2012).

strength cement, the improvement in clinker quality allows the During 2005e2012, the proportion of NSP clinker within the total
addition of mixed materials, reducing the energy consumption and clinker production increased from 40% to 92%, the clinker share
pollutant emissions per cement product (Wang et al., 2016; Wei decreased from 72% to 60%, and the comprehensive energy con-
and Cen, 2019). Therefore, the National Development and Reform sumption per cement product was reduced from 110 tce/kg to 80
Commission formulated the ‘Guidance Catalogue for the Adjust- tce/kg (China Cement Association, 2005e2012). Besides, the
ment of Industrial Institutions’ in 2005 and the ‘Cement Industry application rate of the high-efficiency dust collectors significantly
Development Policy’ in 2006, encouraging the elimination of dis- increased, resulting in great reduction in PM emissions. However,
qualified technologies (e.g., vertical kilns and wet process kilns) and few cement kilns have been equipped with NOx control devices,
the development of large-scale NSP cement production lines. The and thus NOx pollution got more severe.
‘Eleventh Five-Year Plan for the Development of Materials Industry’ The results of spatial decomposition analysis showed that the
and the ‘Twelfth Five-Year Plan for the Development of Cement main reasons for the regional differences in emission intensities are
industry’ even quantified the objectives of the industrial restruc- energy intensity and clinker share, which are related to regional
turing for each stage. Moreover, China revised the air pollutant technology differences. Compared with the central and western
emission standards for the cement industry, strengthening the regions, the eastern region has a better industrial foundation. In
limits for PM emissions and asking for the adoption of effective dust 2005, NSP production lines were prevalent in the eastern region,
control measures. With the implementation of these policies, especially in Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, and Zhejiang, where the
China’s cement industry has undergone observable changes. NSP clinker production accounted for 70% of the total. Meanwhile,

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C. Zheng, H. Zhang, X. Cai et al. Journal of Cleaner Production 282 (2021) 124533

in the central and western regions disqualified technologies TSP emissions of China’s cement industry changed by 62%,
dominated the cement industry. After the industrial restructuring, 65%, 13%, and 46%, respectively, over the study period. Notably,
the technology differences between the regions narrowed signifi- the emission intensities of CO2, SO2, and TSP dropped, while that of
cantly. In 2012, in central and western provinces with poor indus- NOx increased slightly. Scope 2 emissions continued to increase
trial foundations (e.g., Hunan, Sichuan, and Guizhou) the during 2005e2012, accounting for a considerable portion of the
proportion of NSP clinker production was 80%. But on the whole, total emissions. In 2012, the proportions of Scope 2 emissions of
the technology condition in the eastern region was still much better CO2, SO2, NOx, and TSP corresponded to 10%, 33%, 20%, and 12% of
and thus the emission intensity was generally low. the total, respectively. The main driving forces of the CO2, SO2, NOx,
However, the differences in clinker share between some prov- and TSP emissions were the production scale, the output structure,
inces were so large that it could not be explained merely by tech- production scale and output structure, and the emission factor,
nology difference. For example, in 2012, the clinker share in Anhui respectively.
reached 103%, while in the developed provinces of Tianjin, Jiangsu, The eastern region, characterized by unique industrial founda-
Zhejiang, and Shanghai it was very low (21%, 37%, 49% and 5%, tion and policy, presented a low emission intensity and a slow
respectively). These differences confirm the occurrence of an production growth; meanwhile, the central and western regions
interprovincial clinker trade. In developed provinces mineral re- showed obvious production growths and high emission intensities
sources are scarce; therefore, the expansion of the clinker pro- (especially the western region). The clinker and cement transport
duction capacity was restricted. To meet the demand for cement, from the underdeveloped provinces to the eastern developed
these provinces needed to purchase clinker from their neighboring provinces apparently enhanced the pollution in the central and
provinces. In this context, Anhui became the major clinker export western regions.
province due to its rich limestone resources and large clinker Based on the life-cycle perspective, this study may provide a
production capacity. A large-scale clinker and cement trade also reference for the comprehensive accounting of pollutant emission
occurred from Guangxi to Guangdong. In the cement life-cycle, characteristics in a specific industry. The findings of this study
pollution is mainly produced during the clinker calcination pro- proved the effectiveness of China’s industrial policies in the cement
cess; therefore, the cement-related pollution of developed prov- industry. To achieve further energy savings and emission reduction,
inces should have been much higher than what was estimated in we suggest that the Chinese government focus on the use of NOx
this study. A considerable part of this pollution was transferred to control devices, alternative raw materials and fuels. Due to data
underdeveloped provinces through the interprovincial trade of limitation, this study did not estimate the scope 3 emissions, which
clinker and cement. may lead to underestimation of the total life-cycle emissions.
According to the above discussion, industrial restructuring has Therefore, further research should be conducted to collect data on
played a key role in energy savings and emission reduction in energy consumption and pollution emissions of upstream and
China’s cement industry over 2005e2012. Since the proportion of downstream industries through field investigations.
NSP kilns reached 92% in 2012, China’s cement industry should take
other measures to achieve further energy savings and emission
reduction. Considering the temperature and flue gas residence time CRediT authorship contribution statement
in a cement kiln, selective non-catalytic reduction (SNCR) is
regarded as the most suitable technology to control NOx emissions, Chaoyue Zheng: Writing - original draft, Work together with
and its deNOx efficiency can reach 80% (Fan et al., 2014; Fu et al., the corresponding author to design and implement the work.
2015). Rehman et al. (2020) evaluated the composition and calo- Prepare the draft manuscript. Haoran Zhang: Involved in the
rific value of municipal solid waste (MSW), and their results indi- design of the work. Participate in model establishment. Xingrui
cated that MSW might be utilized as an alternative fuel in cement Cai: Data curation, Involved in data collection and treatment, as
production. Moreover, it has been reported that fly ash and gran- well as discussion on the results and discussion sections. Long
ulated blast furnace slag can be used as alternative raw materials Chen: Participate in model establishment. Maodian Liu: Involved
for cement to manufacture concrete, which could not only reduce in the discussion on the results and discussion sections. Huiming
the environmental burden, but also improve the performance of Lin: Data curation, Involved in data collection and treatment.
concrete (Reddy et al., 2019). Therefore, we suggest that the Chi- Xuejun Wang: Writing - review & editing, Design the work. Revise
nese government ask cement plants to equip their production lines and finalize the manuscript. Responsible for ensuring that the de-
with NOx control devices and promote the use of alternative fuels scriptions are accurate and agreed by all authors.
and raw materials.
This study may provide a reference for the comprehensive ac-
Declaration of competing interest
counting of pollutant emission characteristics in a specific industry.
From a life-cycle perspective, the emissions of the entire produc-
The authors declare that they have no known competing
tion process are considered, and thus the calculation would be
financial interests or personal relationships that could have
more accurate. Combined with the LMDI method and the M-R
appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
model, the major driving forces for the tempo-spatial differences
could be identified. Furthermore, it is possible to measure the
effectiveness of industry policies and make targeted suggestions for Acknowledgements
further energy conservation and emission reduction.
This work was funded by the National Natural Science Foun-
6. Conclusions dation of China (41630748, 41977311, and 41821005).

This study estimated the emissions of GHGs and primary air


pollutants from China’s cement industry from a life-cycle Appendix A. Supplementary data
perspective. The driving factors for tempo-spatial emission differ-
ences over 2005e2012 were determined by using the LMDI method Supplementary data to this article can be found online at
and the M-R model. Our results show that the CO2, SO2, NOx, and https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.124533.
9
C. Zheng, H. Zhang, X. Cai et al. Journal of Cleaner Production 282 (2021) 124533

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