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Data Analysis and Probability: Where You're Going
Data Analysis and Probability: Where You're Going
and Probability
LESSONS
12-1 Frequency Tables
and Line Plots
12-2 Box-and-Whisker
Plots
12-3 Using Graphs to
Persuade
12-4 Counting Outcomes
and Theoretical
Probability
12-5 Independent and
Dependent Events
12-6 Permutations and
Combinations
12-7 Experimental
Probability
1.2-8 Random Samples
and Surveys
12-9 Problem Solving:
Simulate the
Problem
Key Vocabulary
• box-and-whisker plot
(p. 635)
• combination (p. 660)
• counting principle (p. 650)
• dependent events (p. 656)
• experimental probability
Where You're Going (p. 665)
• frequency table (p. 630)
In this chapter, you will learn how to
• independent events (p. 654)
• Use graphs to represent data. • line plot (p. 631)
• Find theoretical probability and experimental probability. • permutation (p. 659)
• quartiles (p. 635)
• Find permutations and combinations.
• random sample (p. 669)
• Solve problems by doing simulations. • range (p. 631)
Real-World Snapshots Applying what you learn, • sample (p. 669)
on pages 684-685 you will solve problems about goal • sample space (p. 650)
scoring in World Cup soccer. • simulation (p. 665)
• theoretical probability
;
J.
(p. 650)
12-1 Frequency Tables
and Line Plots
OBJECTIVE
sf Check Skills You'll Need 1. Ask each person to choose an integer from Oto 9. Use a table
to record the responses.
Find the median and
mode of each data set. 2. Which number was chosen most frequently? How many times
was each of the other numbers chosen?
1. 6,9,9,5,9
3. Suppose you want to continue your survey by asking more
2. 73,78,77,73,79 people. Looking back, would you use the same type of table
3. 300,100,200,150,300 you used for Question 1? Can you make improvements?
Explain.
4. 3,5,7,9,3,4,6,3,7
] ror help, go to Lesson 3-3.
You can display data in a frequency table, which lists each data
New Vocabulary item with the number of times it occurs.
• frequency table
• line plot
• range
1 EXAMPLE Building a Frequency Table
List the numbers on Use a tally mark Count the tally marks and
the cube in order. for each result. record the frequency.
4 Ill 3
5 J#Ht I 6
• interactive lesson
(ja@
6 II 2
OBJECTIVE
{TTSD CTAlAD
A line plot displays data with X marks above a number line.
Reading Math
The range of the data is the difference between the greatest and This is the second use of
the least values in the data set. the word range. The
first appears in Lesson
8-1. You must read and
2 EXAMPLE Real-World ($,) Problem Solving use "range" in context,
that is, according to the
meanings of the words
Surveys Twenty-five students in a "How many books are that appear with it.
school hallway were asked how many you carrying?"
books they were carrying. The frequency Number Frequency
table at the right shows their responses. 0 3
Display the data in a line plot. Then find 1 7
the range. 2 6
3 2
4 4
s 3
For a line plot, follow steps @,@, and ©,
@
"
Write a title
that describes
the data.
x
X
X
X
X
2 Mark an X
for each response.
X X X
X X X X X
X X X X X X
X X X X X xX
0 1 2 3 4 5
D Draw a number line with the choices below it.
! The greatest value in the data set is 5 and the least value is 0.
So the range is 5 - 0, or 5.
@ 19. Baseball In the World Series, the first team to win four games is
the champion. Sometimes the Series lasts for seven games, but
sometimes the Series ends in fewer games. Below are data for
1970-2002. Make a frequency table and use it to find the mode.
Numbers of World Series Games, 1970-2002: 5, 7, 7, 7, 5, 7, 4, 6, 6,
7,6,6,7,5,5,7,7,7,5,4,4,7,6,6,0,6,6,7,4,4,5,7,7
Test Prep
Multiple Choice 28. Below is a list of the ages of first-year teachers in one school
system. What is the mode of the ages?
23,42, 21, 25, 23, 24, 23, 24, 37, 23, 39, 51, 63,24, 55
A. 23 B. 24 C. 37 D. 51
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b. How do you know? N
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Mixed Review
Lesson 11-7 32. Measurement The angle of elevation to a treetop from a point
10 ft out from the tree's base is 70°. Find the height of the tree.
Lesson 3-3 Find the mean, median, and mode for each data set.
36. 12 13 14 16 16 17 18 18 37. 8 15 22 9 11 16 20 10
'_- Technology
a t..\. . ,.._X' Making Histograms
For Use With Lesson 12-1
EXAMPLE
Step 3 In the ZOOM menu, select item 7 Step 4 To see the frequency of each number,
·Zoomstat" and EIDE In I EE[l set press l.lim, and move the cursor across the
xset = 1.men pig histogram. Sketch the histogram.
5
4
3
2
1
- -
A
o0on
0
I
20 21 22 235 24 25 26
•
EXERCISES
Use a graphing calculator to make a histogram of each set of data.
Then sketch the histogram.
1. ll,12,12,11,10,12,13,15,9,10,12,13 2. 9,7,6,9,8,5,9,2,2,5,8,4,6,3,8, 7,8,5
3. 23,26,25,26,23,25,25,24,21,21,22,23 4. 95,90,92,91,95,94,93,92,94,93,95,91
5. In Step 3 above. EIDE] showed one histogram and then [EHRZEIT
showed another. They are histograms of the same data. Explain
the difference in how they look.
'ir:
OBJECTIVE
•{
}
{ F }
}
•} sf Check Skills You'll Need
{ } { Find each median.
least greatest
lower median upper
value
quartile (middle quartile
value 1. 12,10,11,7,9,8,10,5
quartile)
2. 4.5, 3.2, 6.3, 5.2, 5, 4.8,
6,3.9
1 EXAMPLE Real-World ,3) Problem Solving 3. 55,53,67,52,50,49,
51,52,52,52
Statistics The table, below right, shows United States crops
4. 101,100,100,105,
harvested from 1988 to 2000. Make a box-and-whisker plot.
102,101
Step 1 Arrange the data in order from least to greatest.
{ or help, go to Lesson 3-3.
Find the median.
298 308 314 317 318 318 321 322 323 326 326 327 333 New Vocabulary
Step 2 Find the lower quartile and upper quartile, which are the • box-and-whisker plot
medians of the lower and upper "halves." • quartiles
298 308 314 317 318 318 321 322 323 326 326 327 333
Draw a number line for both sets of data. Use the range
of data points to choose a scale.
OBJECTIVE
I
Although you cannot see every data point in a box-and-whisker
plot, you can use the quartiles and the greatest and least values to
analyze and describe a data set.
a. ] I I I I I I I I • b. , I I I I I I I I I·
10 20 30 40 50 10 20 30 40 50
e 44
• •
{+}·
You can compare box-and-whisker plots to analyze two sets of data.
Women
€£;) Practice by Example @ 1. Biology Use the data at the right to Maximum Speeds of
Example 1 make a box-and-whisker plot for Animals for a Quarter Mile
(page 635) the maximum speeds of animals. Maximum
Animal Speed (mi/h)
2. Make a box-and-whisker plot for 70
Cheetah
this set of data: Lion 50
16,18,59,75,30,34,25,49,27,16, Quarter horse 47.5
21, 58, 71, 19, 50 Coyote 43
Hyena 40
Example 2 3. Compare the data sets by making Rabbit 35
(page 636) two box-and-whisker plots below Giraffe 32
Grizzly bear 30
one number line. Cat (domestic) 30
setA: 3,7,9,12,2,1,6,5,4,3,7, Elephant 25
10,13,8,1,9 Squirrel 12
set B: 9, 8, 1, 7, 6, 3, 7, 9, 8, 6, 4, SOURCE: The World Almanac
7,8,9,10,10
Example 3 Answer each question for the data in the box-and-whisker plot below.
(page 637)
4. What are the highest Prices of Portable CD Players (S)
and lowest prices for • I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I •
the CD players? 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120
o Apply Your Skills ~ 8. a. Olympics Compare the ages of male and female soccer players
by making two box-and-whisker plots below one number line.
Ages of U.S. Olympic Soccer Team Players
men: 22,21,22,26,20,26,23,21,22,22,22,22,21,22,23,21,20,22
women: 30,27,28,25,31,24,31,24,21,23,27,18,19,24,23,20
b. Compare the box-and-whisker plots. What can you conclude?
9. Use the box-and-whisker plot below. What can you conclude
about acreages of state parks?
Areas of State Parks (acres)
• I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I
100 200 300 400 500
+600 +
+
10. Wri
ting,in MathExplain how you can find the quartiles of a set
of data.
Test Prep
Mixed Review
Lesson 11-3 Find the distance between the points in each pair to the nearest tenth.
19. D(3, -2),S(-3,2) 20. A(0,4), W(-7,-5)
21. Y(6,4),K(-1,3) 22. Z(9, 0), M(8,11)
Lessons 4-9 and 5-5 23. Lawns can have 850 blades of grass per square foot.
a. About how many blades of grass are in one square yard?
b. The area of all lawns in the United States equals an area twice
as large as that of Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania's area is
46,058 mi?. Estimate the number of blades of grass in lawns in
the United States. Write your answer in scientific notation.
(Hint: A mile equals 5,280 feet.)
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,-. 32,
• Extension 6 :
.
X'
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.j}
3·
-
.
Stem-and-Leaf Plots
"f q
mt f ?
1 EXAMPLE
y r
. .
Since the data items are in order, the median is the midpoint.
The median is the mean of the fourth and fifth values, or 37.
The mode corresponds to the most repeated leaf. The mode is 37.
The range is the difference of the greatest and least values, or 11.
Average Longevity
©) 1. Biology Use the table at the right. Animal Years Animal Years
a. Reasoning What number should Grizzly bear 25 Hippopotamus 41
you use as the stem for the kangaroo Kangaroo 7 Pig 10
and the opossum? Cow 15 Lion 15
b. Construct a stem-and-leaf plot.
Dog 12 Opossum 1
c. Find the median.
Giraffe 10 Cat 12
d. Find the mode.
Gorilla 20 Zebra 15
e. Find the range.
SOURCE: The World Almanac
Make a stem-and leaf plot for each set of data.
Then find the median, the mode, and the range.
2. 15,22,25,10,36,15,28,35,18 3. 47,41,60,75,85,53,57,76,79,81,84,86
4. 785,785,776,772,792,788,761,768,768 5. 4.5, 4.3, 0.8, 3.5, 2.6, 1.4, 0.2, 0.8, 4.3, 6.0
2 EXAMPLE
Draw a back-to-back stem-and-leaf plot for the winning times in Winning Times,
the Olympic 100-m dash. Find each median and mode. 100-m Dash (seconds)
Use seconds for the stem and tenths of seconds for the leaves. Year Men Women
Put the leaves in ascending order starting at the stem. 1960 10.2 11.0
Winning Times, 100-m Dash 1964 10.0 11.4
1968 9.9 11.0
Men's Times Stem Women's Times
1972 10.1 11.1
(tenths of second) (seconds) (tenths of second)
1976 10.1 11.1
9998 9
1980 10.3 11.1
3211000 10 5889
1984 10.0 11.0
11 0001114
1988 9.9 10.5
means 10.0 - 0 I 10 I 5 - means 10.5 1992 10.0 10.8
The median of the times for men is 10.0 s. The median of the 1996 9.8 10.9
times for women is 11.0 s. The modes of the times for men 2000 9.9 10.8
SOURCE: Sports Illustrated Sports Almanac
are 9.9 s and 10.0 s. The modes of the times for women are
• 11.0 s and 11.1 s.
Use the stem-and-leaf plot at the right. The plot shows the Time Spent on Homework (min)
time spent on homework by students in two classes.
Class A Class B
9. Which numbers are the stems? 743 6 113 5 5
10. What is the least time spent for each set of data? 998544 7 0224
5210 8 4589
11. What is the median for each set of data? 76642 9 367999
12. What is the mode for each set of data? means 63- 3[6[1 ±means 61
sf Cheek Skills You'll Need Population Which title would be more appropriate for the graph
Find the slope of AB in below: "Los Angeles Overwhelms Chicago" or "Populations of
each graph. Chicago and Los Angeles"? Explain.
1.1:/
3.7 .-----~---~-----~---.
3_(6[3322°;pf[""ff;ff2"[pfpgg["[""~
3.5 2222222,,,,,,2 ]
3 A f22;2[;[""g2;22;g__"_; ]
a
E 3.3 [12222"27335233337%3
E 32\2lkif,?3.3l885' 3l
X sC
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0 2 4 6 8 10 .2
lo
3.0
2. y S 29
8 S 2.8
•
A,
°
6 2.7
4 B 2.6
2 2.5
{ or help, go to Lesson 8-3. Because of the break in the vertical axis, the bar for Los Angeles
appears to be more than three times as tall as the bar for Chicago.
Actually, the population of Los Angeles is a little less than
3.6 million, and the population of Chicago is about 2.7 million.
So the population of Los Angeles is about 1.3 times that of Chicago.
The title "Los Angeles Overwhelms Chicago" could be
jmisleading. "Populations of Chicago and Los Angeles" better
describes the information in the graph.
@limp
You can use different scales or spacing along axes. This lets you
emphasize ( or de-emphasize) how changes in data are related.
Cost of Living Study the graphs below. Which graph gives the
impression of a sharper increase in price? Explain.
Average
Average Gasoline Prices Gasoline Prices
1.6 1.6
1.4 1.4
=1.2
Td
= 1.2
cd
in 1.0 g0 1.0
©0.8 ©0s
2a o.6 CO
.2..... 0.6
1. ().4 a. ().4
0.2 0.2
0 0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun J FMAMJ
In the graph at the right, the months are much closer together,
so the line appears to climb more rapidly. This graph suggests
that prices are going up faster than suggested by the graph
• at the left.
Expanding Pillowcases
16
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a)
14
0. C
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12
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th p»
c o 10
n y
o if
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=
8
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3
o :2
=
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1991 1996
By reading the vertical axis, you can see that the number of
pillowcases shipped increased by about one fourth.
However, the bar on the right has not only increased in height,
but has also nearly doubled in width. The area of the second
bar is more than two times the area of the first bar.
Because of this, you might get the impression that the increase
was much greater than it really was.
"
60
6. Redraw the graph. Change the horizontal scale
to suggest a slower increase from 1989 to 1993.
=2 4050
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2,000
r
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t
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CO
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Jan Feb
Month
8. What impression does the graph give you about milk sales in the
school cafeteria? Is the graph misleading? Explain.
9. Redraw the graph to represent the data accurately.
10. Redraw the graph to suggest that milk sales changed very little.
y e
3 ± 60
18. Statistics Use the graph I:
£"
at the right. Explain o E
why the intervals on 5?
o 2
o
the horizontal axis b=
o 38.7 66.1 75.8 80.1
could make the graph 20
misleading.
19. Tell how to scale the Under 35 35-44 45-54 55-64
x- and y-axes so that Age
AB joining points A(4.2) and B(8, 6) appears to have the
slope given.
a.51 b.l c 2
646 Chapter 12 Data Analysis and Probability
Test Prep
Multiple Choice For Exercises 20 and 21, use the graph below.
A. 2 times B. 3 times 0 10 12 14 16 18 20 22
Students per Teacher
C. 4 times D. 5 times
21. Why might this graph give a distorted picture of the data?
F. The longest horizontal bar is on top.
G. The vertical lines are evenly spaced.
H. There is a break in the horizontal axis.
I. The horizontal bars are different lengths.
Short Response 22. Use the table at the right to make Annual Sales
two different line graphs.
Year Sales
a. Draw one graph to suggest
that sales more than doubled 1996 $87 million
from 1996 to 1999. 1997 $87 million
# ;a no to arr
5,me lesson quiz at
b. Draw the other graph to
suggest that sales increased only
1998 $88 million
1999 $90 million
! www.PHSchool.com slightly during the same period.
· · · · · · · · · Web Code: ada-1203
• Mixed Review
Lessons 10-5 26. Geometry The Museum of Health and Medical Science in
Houston, Texas, has one of the largest kaleidoscopes in the world.
It is a cylinder 10 feet long and 22 inches in diameter. What is the
surface area of the kaleidoscope?
Lesson 6-4 Find each probability for choosing a letter at random from the
word STATISTICS.
27. P(vowel) 28. P(S) 29. P(not T) 30. P(A or C)
Read the problems below. Then follow along with what Kayla thinks as
she solves them. Check your understanding by solving the exercise at
the bottom of the page. U.S. College Enrollment
a. Statistics Use the data at the right. Draw a graph with a break to Year Enrollment
suggest that enrollment in 2000 was many times the enrollment
1990 13.8 million
in 1990.
1995 14.2 million
b. Draw a second graph of the data without using a break. Choose a
scale that suggests that enrollment did not increase much from 2000 14.9 million
1990 to 2000. SOURCE: U.S. Education Department
EXERCISE
1. Two months ago, the price for Technostar 1990 1995 2000
stock was $32. Last month it was $32.40. Now
it is $32.80. Draw graphs suggesting each of
the following about the stock price.
a. a large increase b. a small increase
blue
> polyester "tree" represents one
choice-for example,
New Vocabulary
• counting principle
_ cotton
adult blue-child-cotton. • theoretical probability
-- polyester
• sample space
-- cotton
, hild 7 polyester
white
_ cotton
adult
-- polyester
- first letter
possible choices
26
second letter
possible choices
26
• There are 676 possible two-letter monograms.
monograms
possible choices
676
OBJECTIVE
y [TASSIE)TOSTE«OASIS TSIATSOS.SEDA
You can count outcomes to help you find the theoretical probability
of an event in which outcomes are equally likely.
Use a tree diagram to find the sample space for tossing two coins.
Then find the probability of tossing two tails.
h d -- heads
eadS fails The tree diagram shows there
are four possible outcomes, one
tails = ·{]
-- heads
tan.s
of which is tossing two tails.
Then find the probability when there are two favorable outcomes.
P(winning ticket) = number of favorable outcomes = 2
number of possible outcomes 10.000
O waa by Example You can choose a burrito having one filling wrapped in one tortilla.
Draw a tree diagram to count the number of burrito choices.
Example 1
(page 649) 1. tortillas: flour or corn; fillings: beef, chicken, bean, cheese, or vegetable
Example 2 There are four roads from Marsh to Taft and seven roads from Taft to
(page 650) Polk. Use the Counting Principle to find the number of routes below.
3. from Marsh to Polk through Taft
4. from Marsh to Polk after a new road opens from Marsh to Taft
Example 3 Use a tree diagram to find the sample space for tossing three coins.
(page 651) Then find each probability.
5. P(three heads) 6. P(two tails) 7. P(at least one head)
Example 4 Use the Counting Principle to help you find each probability.
(page 651)
8. Rolling a 3 on each of two number cubes
;) Amy Your sias @ 10. Snacks You can choose chocolate, strawberry, or vanilla frozen
yogurt, and red, blue, or green sprinkles. A sundae has one yogurt
flavor and two different colors of sprinkles. How many different
Sweaters
kinds of sundaes can you order? List them.
Colors Styles
You have one sweater of each possible color and style in the table (left).
Blue Cardigan
Pink Crewneck 11. How many sweaters do you have?
Red V-neck
Brown 12. What is the probability of choosing a brown sweater at random?
Black 13. What is the probability of choosing a cardigan at random?
Multiple Choice 18. You are writing a three-digit number. The first digit must be
2 or 8. The second digit must be 1, 3, or 9. The third digit
I
must be 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8. Which expression can you use to
find how many different three-digit numbers you can write?
A. 2 · 3 · 5 B. 5·4 · 3 · 2 · 1
C. (1 · 2) + (2 ·3) + (3 · 5) D. 2 + 3 + 5
19. An ice-cream vendor sells small or large cones and has chocolate,
vanilla, rocky road, pecan, and strawberry flavors. To help a
customer select a flavor and size, the vendor has a spinner. What is
the probability that the spinner will choose a large strawberry for
a customer?
1 1
r {} G.,% H. ; I. 5
Extended Response 20. You roll two number cubes. List all possible outcomes. Find the
probability of each event. Show your work.
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a. rolling a 1 and a 2
b. rolling the same numbers
' www.PHSchool.com c. rolling different numbers
: · · · · · · · · Web Code: ada-1204
• Mixed Review
Lesson 12-1 Display each data set in a line plot. Find the range.
21. 3 4 5 4 7 7 3 6 5 22. 19 18 19 17 17 16 19 18 17 19
Lesson 11-3 Find the midpoint of a segment with the given endpoints.
23. X(3, -2) and Y(-3, 6) 24. A(1,0) and B(2, 1)
v•
0
independent events
To calculate
probabilities of
esti~ation
Exploring Probability i Ganes 1
dependent events
... And Why You have four cards with an M written on them, two with an A,
six with a T, and eight with an H.
To solve real-world problems
involving games and science 1. You draw an M card at random and replace it. What is the
probability that the next card you draw at random will also
f Cheek Skills You'll Need be an M card?
Multiply. 2. You draw an M card at random and do not replace the card.
3 1 What is the probability that the next card you draw at random
1.%•3 2}-} will also be an M card?
3 4 2
'10' 10 4.%-$ 3. Make a table to find the probability of matching cards.
s.4.3 9 8
6. rp, ''5 Probability Probability
{ ror help, go to Lesson 5-4. With Replacement Without Replacement
New Vocabulary Second Card Second Card
First Card Matches First Card Matches
e independent events
• dependent events
P(M) = L P(M) = P(M) = P(M) =
P(A) = P(A) = P(A) = P(A) =
P(T) = P(T) = P(T) = P(T) =
P(H) = I P(H) = P(H) = P(H) = I
You roll a number cube once. Then you roll it again. What is the
probability that you get 2 on the first roll and a number greater
than 4 on the second roll?
There is one 2 among 6 numbers
Pe)=} on a number cube.
There are two numbers greater
P(greater than4)= {
than 4 on a number cube.
P(2, then greater than 4) = P(2) · P(greater than 4)
= k3
- 2 or 1
- 36' 18
The probability is {s.
3 Check Understanding Example 1
1. You toss a coin twice. Find the probability of getting two heads.
OBJECTIVE
9111111J811111111111.illllllllallllalllllllllaj
2
P(girl) =
;) Practice by Example You roll a number cube twice. What is the probability that you roll
Example 1 each pair of numbers?
(page 655)
1. 6, then 5 2. 6, then a number less than 4
Example 3 You select a card at random from those below. Without replacing the
(page 656) card, you select a second card. Find the probability of selecting each
set of letters.
8. P, then G 9. E, then A
Gino has 5 blue socks and 4 black socks. He selects one sock at
random. Without replacing the sock, he selects a second sock at
random. Find each probability.
20. P(blue, then black) 21. P(black, then blue)
Test Prep
Multiple Choice 28. There are 6 girls and 5 boys in a debate class. The teacher chooses
two students at random to lead a class discussion. What is the
probability of selecting a girl and then a boy?
A• • c{ .{
29. Mike asks Carolyn to pick a number at random from 1 to 100, and
then asks Jamie to do the same. What is the probability that both
girls will select 49?
1 1 1 1
F. so G. 100 H. 9,900 I. 10 000
'
Short Response 30. a. Exercise 29 involves two events. What are they?
b. Are they independent or dependent? Explain.
31. In a game, Teri and Hector take turns choosing cards at random
from a basket. Each card shows a "T" or "H". A player chooses a
W
>
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5,ne lesson quiz at
card, records the letter, and puts the card in a discard pile.
a. Are the letters drawn independent or dependent events?
www.PH School.com b. Explain your answer.
· · · · · · · Web Code: ada-1205
4 Mixed Review
Lesson 12-4 ~ 32. Travel From Compt there are four ways to get to Murch. From
Murch there are five ways to get to Toll. How many ways are
there from Com pt to Toll through Murch?
Lesson 11-6 For each triangle, find the sine, cosine, and tangent of angle A.
33. A 8 in.
=
Permutations and
Combinations
OBJECTIVE
You can use the Counting Principle to find the number of ... And Why
possible permutations. To solve real-world
problems involving
sports and geography
1 EXAMPLE Counting Permutations
7 members-, ( Choose 4.
;P} = 7 · 6 5 4 840
1st 2nd 3rd 4th
member member member member
Permutation Notation
•~~~
OBJECTIVE
.....~~--~~~,.,~~~~--~-""-
Sometimes the order of items is not important. For instance, a ham
and cheese sandwich is the same as a cheese and ham sandwich. An
arrangement in which order does not matter is a combination.
Inland Water Geography In how many ways could you choose two countries
Water Area from the table when you write reports about inland water?
Country (mi?)
Make an organized list of all the combinations.
Australia 26,610
Canada 291,573
AC AE AI AT AU Abbreviate by using the first
letter of each country's name.
Ethiopia 46,680 CE CI CT cu First, list all pairs containing
India 121,391 Australia. Continue until every
EI ET EU
Tanzania 22,799 pair of countries is listed.
United States 79,541 IU
SOURCE: The Top 10 of Everything
• There are fifteen ways to choose two countries from the list of six.
©r=
PR,
p#-
r r
a. sC3 d. C;
0 Practice by Example Use the Counting Principle to find the number of permutations
possible for all the letters in each group.
Example 1
(page 659) 1. S, I,T 2. P,L, U,S 3. W,O,R,L,D
Example 3 In how many ways could you choose two different items from each
(page 660) group? Make an organized list of all the combinations.
9. C,A,T 10. M,A,T,H 11. V,A, L, U, E
O ww Your Skills Find the number of possible 5-letter permutations of the given letters.
20. D,E,C,I,M,A,L 21.F,A,C,T,O,R 22. T,R,I,A,N,G,L,E
Test Prep
jiu nee irT 35. A teacher is organizing a class of 24 students into eight groups
of three. In how many different ways could she form groups
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' www.PHSchool.com of three?
· · · · · · · · · Web Code: ada-1206
F. 56 G. 2,024 H. 12,144 I. 735,471
Short Response 36. a. How many three-letter permutations are possible for the letters
H, E, X, A, G, O, N?
b. How many four-letter permutations are possible?
• Mixed Review
Lesson 12-5 On each of five cards there is one of the letters A, B, C, D, and E.
You select two cards. Find P(A, then B) in each situation.
37. with first card replaced 38. with first card not replaced
Lessons 10-2 and 11-2 39. Find the areaof the triangle at the right. [I.
Lesson 6-9 @ 40. Consumer Issues A coat is on sale "] 26 in.
for $80. Its original price was $120.
What is the percent of discount?
C
Math at Work
O···························· .. ············ .. ··········· wi1dlife Statistician :I ~
EXAMPLE
t t t t t t
combinations in
sCo s©Ci s©> sCs sC± sCs ls»so»»soon»
EXERCISES
1. Copy and extend Pascal's triangle to Row 10.
2. a. Find the sum of the numbers in each row of the triangle.
b. Write each sum as a power of 2.
c. Complete: The sum of the numbers in row n is
OBJECTIVE
Nicole's Method
Each guess is independent. Find the probability of one correct
guess. Then find the probability of four independent correct guesses.
P(1correct gueee)= }
P(4 correct guesses) - 1. 1. 1. 1 - J_
2 2 2 2 1o
The theoretical probability is ;>.
Vary]'s Method
Simulate the problem by tossing a coin. Let heads stand for a
correct guess and tails for an incorrect guess. Use the results
of 120 tosses given at the left. Separate the results into 30
groups of 4. Count the groups with 4 heads. There are two.
120 Coin Tosses
HITT HTTT HHHT TTTT TTHT THTI
HTTTHTTTHHHT THHH THHH HTTT TTHH HTTT HTHH
TTTTTTHTTHTT
THHHTHHHHTTT HTHH THTT TTHT THTH HHTT THTH
TTHHHTTTHTHH HHHH TTHT HHHH THTT TITH HHHT
HTHHTHTTTTHT HHTT HTTT THTT HHTT HHTH HTHH
THTHHHTTTHTH
Find the experimental probability.
HHHHTTHTHHHH
THTTTTTHHHHT number of times an event occurs
P( even t) = numer
ibe o1ftime experimen t1e d one
A
HHTTHTTTTHTT
HHTTHHTHHTHH 2 1
=30 =16
The experimental probability ie l.
For Daryl's simulation, the experimental probability
is a little greater than the theoretical probability.
Choose a Method
1. Which method would you use to solve the problem? Explain.
waa by Example
Example 1
A student randomly selected 68 vehicles
in a large parking lot and noted the color Color
Number
of Vehicles
(page 665) of each. Use the results to find the
experimental probability that a vehicle 9
chosen at random in the lot is the given
color. Write the probability as a percent, 10
to the nearest tenth of a percent.
13
1. red 2. white
7
3. black 4. blue or green
5. not black or gray 6. purple 12
O www Your Skills Students were surveyed about the Pencils in Students'
Book Bags
numbers of pencils in their book bags.
The table shows the results. Write each Number of Number of
experimental probability as a fraction pencils students
in simplest form. 0 4
1 16
9. P( one pencil) 2 or more 12
10. P(no pencils)
Test Prep
Gridded Response 17. A baseball manufacturer checked 250 of its baseballs and found
that 8 were defective. What is the experimental probability, to the
nearest tenth of a percent, that a baseball is NOT defective?
18. Suki tosses two number cubes 100 times. In 19 of the tosses, the
sum of the two cubes equals 7. What is Suki's experimental
probability of getting a sum of 7 when tossing two
number cubes?
19. A medical experiment finds that 232 out of 1,000 patients did
#a no terr
5,e lesson aulz at
NOT respond to the same medication. What is the experimental
probability, to the nearest tenth of a percent, that a patient will
www.PHSchool.com respond to the medication?
: .. .. .. .. Web Code: ada-1207
g Mixed Review
Lesson 10-9 24. Geometry Find the volume of a spherical globe with a diameter
of 0.9 m. Round to the nearest tenth.
s.
25. y A' 26. y
X' Y'
2 2
L
4 -2 0 2 -4 -2 0 2
•
4 X 4 X
-2 X y 2
J
'lier
OBJECTIVE
@i:mm
You can use a sample to make an estimate about a population by
writing and solving a proportion.
Write cross
3(20,000)= 500n
products.
120 = n Simplify.
Calculator Samples
Number Number
Sample Sampled Defective
A 500 3
B 200 2
C 50 0
c Practice by Example 6) Sports You want to find how popular basketball is at your school.
State whether each survey plan describes a good sample. Explain.
Example 1
(page 669) 1. Interview the 10 tallest students in the school.
2. Interview 20 students after picking their ID numbers at random.
0 Apply Your Skills You want to find which restaurants in your city are most popular.
State whether each survey plan describes a good sample. Explain.
6. Choose people to interview at random from the city phone book.
7. Interview every fifth person leaving a restaurant in the city.
{a'ca,
«] (€c
Test Prep
K ±g
Multiple Choice 13. Out of 6,000 radios tested, 12 are defective. What is the estimated
total number of defective radios in a group of 250,000?
A. 60 B. 120 C. 200 D. 500
15. You want to find how often teens get haircuts. You plan to survey
# ;a iio le er
5mne lesson quiz at
customers in a barbershop.
16. You want to find students' favorite foods. You plan to survey every
: www.PHSchool.com fourth student leaving the library.
· · · · · · · · · Web Code: ada-1208
g Mixed Review
Lesson 12-7 Use the survey data at the right. Write each Students' Pets
experimental probability as a fraction.
Number of Number of
17. P(no pets) 18. P(two or more pets) Pets Students
Lesson 10-3 Geometry Find the area of each circle. Give the exact area and area
rounded to the nearest whole number of units. Use 3.14 for n.
22. r = 24 cm 23. d = 45 in. 24. r = SO mi
EXAMPLE
To solve problems
IITETD JD2DDAD
by simulation
Math Strategies in Action
... And Why Do you dream of flying your own
To solve real-world problems airplane? Can you picture yourself
involving sports in a space shuttle? Flight simulators
help pilots train for real flying.
sf Check Skills You'll Need Simulators are models of the
real experience.
Create a frequency table
showing the number of You can use simulations to
times each letter of the investigate real-world problems.
alphabet appears in the First develop a model, and then
sentence below. conduct an experiment.
A simulation is a model
of a real experience.
1 EXAMPLE Real-World ,) Problem Solving
] ror help, go to Lesson 12-1.
Basketball As time is running out in the basketball game, your
team is behind by one point. You are fouled and go to the free-
throw line. If you miss the shot, your team loses. If you make it,
the score is tied and you get another shot. If you miss the second
shot, the game ends in a tie. If you make both shots, your team
wins. Your average at free throws is four out of five. Simulate the
situation and find an experimental probability for each event.
• a. You tie the game. b. You win the game. c. You tie or win the game.
Use the results given in the table below. B" stands for blue and "R"
stands for red. Note that there is no second shot when the first shot is a
miss (R).
Results of 100 Experiments
BR BB BB BB BB BR BB BB BB BB
BR BB BR BB R BB R BB BR BB
BB BB BB R BB BB BB BB BB BB
BB R BB BB BB BB BB BB BB BB
BB R BR BR BB BB BB R BB BR
BB BR BB BB BB R BB R BB BB
BB R BR BB BB R BB BR BB R
BB BB BB BB BB BB BB BR BB BB
BB R BR BB R BB BB BB R BB
BR BR BB R BB R BB BB BB BB
Makes the first shot and Makes the first shot and
Misses the first shot misses the second shot makes the second shot
(R) (BR) (BB)
JlHt Alff 4lit J/Ht Alt Ht Ht Alff Alt 4Ht AlHt 4ltt Ht Alt
JHt JHt #Ht Ht Ht IlII
s/ Check Uderstanding
6. Continue the simulation with another 100 experiments. Combine
the results with the results of the first 100 experiments.
7. Based on the second simulation, what is the probability that your
team wins?
~ 5. Prices The original cost of a jacket is $72. During a sale, the store
reduces the jacket price by 25%. After the sale, the store raises
,_Strategies the reduced jacket price by 25%. What is the price of the jacket
after it is increased?
• Account for All
Possibilities 6. Geometry A farmer uses 24 yd of fencing to make a rectangular
• Draw a Diagram pen. The pen is 6 yd longer than it is wide. What are the
• Look for a Pattern dimensions of the pen?
• Make a Model
• Make a Table 7. Reasoning The circumference of the peg is 3 in. Will the peg go
• Simplify the Problem through the hole? Explain.
• Simulate the Problem
• Solve by Graphing
• Try, Test, Revise
• Use Multiple Strategies
• Work Backward L
• Write an Equation
• Write a Proportion
J 8. You toss five coins. What is the theoretical probability that you
will get five heads?
9. Many sweepstakes contests have an elimination round. In the
elimination round, half of the entrants are chosen at random to
go on to the final round. Then one person is chosen as the winner.
What is the theoretical probability that a person who enters a
contest with 10,000 entrants will be the winner?
Test Prep
Multiple Choice 12. Raul has 4 pairs of shoes to choose from each day. He wants to
find the experimental probability of choosing his favorite pair of
shoes at random. Which simulation should Raul use?
A. Tossing a coin
B. Rolling a number cube
C. Spinning a spinner with 4 congruent sections
D. Drawing chips from a bag with 8 different-colored chips
g Mixed Review
Lesson 12-8 ~ 15. Quality Control Six out of every 80 wrenches are found to be
defective. For a batch of 3,200 wrenches, estimate the number of
wrenches that will not have any flaw.
Lesson 11-5 16. Geometry Each side of a square kite is to be 20 in. long. To
the nearest inch, what length of wood do you need to make
the diagonals?
Lesson 11-1 Estimate to the nearest integer.
17. Vi5 18. Vi0 19. Vs0 20. -Vs2
12-9 Simulate the Problem 677
est-Taking
trategies Answering True/False Questions
1 EXAMPLE
True or False? The mean of a set of values is always different from the
median of the same set of values.
Choose a simple example that has an odd number of values, and that
is "evenly balanced" above and below the middle value.
8, 10, 12, 14, and 16
Find the median: 8, 10, 12, 14, 16
Find the mean: (8 + 10 + 12 + 14 + 16)+ 5 = 12
• This is a counterexample to the statement, so the statement is false.
2 EXAMPLE
EXERCISES
Determine whether each statement is true or false. Explain.
1. The median of a data set is always one of the data values.
Vocabulary
box-and-whisker plot (p. 635) independent events (p. 654) range (p. 631)
combination (p. 660) line plot (p. 631) sample (p. 669)
counting principle (p. 650) permutation (p. 659) sample space (p. 650)
dependent events (p. 656) population (p. 669) simulation (p. 665)
experimental probability (p. 665) quartiles (p. 635) theoretical probability (p. 650)
frequency table (p. 630) random sample (p. 669)
I~ 1
Reading Math
Understanding
Vocabulary
Choose the vocabulary term that correctly completes the sentence.
1. An arrangement in which order does not matter is a ?
2. The part of a population used to make estimates about the entire
population is a? .
3. The ratio of the number of favorable outcomes to the number of
possible outcomes is the ? of an event.
4. An arrangement in which order is important is a ?_.
5. The difference between the greatest and the least values in a data
# ;% io to arr
5,e vocabulary quiz 6.
set is the? of the data set.
A listing of a data set that shows the number of times each data
' at www.PHSchool.com item occurs is a'?_.
·· · · · · · · · Web Code: adj-1251
7. Events in which the first event does affect the second event
are?_.
8. Ina? each member of the population has an equal chance of
being selected.
Draw a line plot for each frequency table. Find the range.
11. 12.
Number 1 2 3 4 5 6 Number 1 2 3 4 5 6
Frequency 6 4 5 2 3 1 Frequency 2 8 6 7 3 1
12-3 Objectives A graph can give a different impression if a break is used in the scale.
T To recognize the use of A graph can be misleading when a scale is distorted.
breaks in the scales of
graphs (p. 642) For Exercises 15 and 16, use the graph showing wheat production.
To recognize the use of
different scales (p. 643) 15. What does the graph Wheat Production
suggest about U.S.
O
CO
in the United States
) a mm
wheat production? = o 2
E2 5
16. Explain how you could ±..2.2
±E 'E
redraw the graph so gS2
that production seems 5
to be increasing dramatically.
12-4 Objectives A sample space is all the possible outcomes of an event. Use a tree
T To use a tree diagram diagram or the Counting Principle to count the number of outcomes.
and the Counting You can count outcomes to help find theoretical probability.
Principle to count
possible choices (p. 649) 17. Volunteers have made a large number of sandwiches for a school
To find theoretical party. The sandwiches come on white bread, on whole wheat
probability by counting bread, or on a roll. Each contains one of five fillings: turkey,
outcomes (p. 650)
chicken, egg salad, cheese, or peanut butter.
a. How many different types of sandwich are possible?
b. There are 20 of each type of sandwich. You receive one
sandwich at random. Find the theoretical probability of
getting a sandwich on bread with a meat filling.
12-5 Objectives Independent events are events for which the occurrence of one event
y To calculate probabilities does not affect the probability of the occurrence of the other. If A and
of independent events B are independent events, the probability that both A and B occur is
(p. 654) P(A and B) = P(A) · P(B).
To calculate probabilities
of dependent events Dependent events are events for which the occurrence of one event
(p. 656) affects the probability of the occurrence of the other. If A and B
are dependent events, the probability that A and then B occur is
P(A, then B) = P(A) · P(B after A).
19. You select T, do not replace the card, and then select N.
21. How many groups of three pens can you select from a box of
twelve pens?
12-7 and 12-9 Objectives Experimental probability is based on experimental data. You can use
To find experimental a simulation to model real-world problems.
probability (p. 665) Notebooks in
W To use simulations Use the survey data at the right. Write Students' Lockers
(p. 665) each experimental probability as a Number of
y To solve problems by fraction in simplest form. Notebooks Frequency
simulation (p. 674) 0 1
22. P(one notebook) 1 9
23. P(at least two notebooks) 2 6
3 or more 4
12-8 Objectives A population is a group about which you want information. A sample
y To choose a sample for a is a part of the population you use to make estimates for the
survey of a population population. In a random sample each member of the population has
(p. 669) an equal chance to be selected.
T To make estimates about
populations (p. 670)
You want to find the favorite brand of in-line skates in your town.
Does each survey plan describe a good sample? Explain.
25. You interview students in your homeroom.
26. You interview every tenth student entering the building.
F. four
5 15
G. five
'> 2000 17.5 million
Gridded Response
4. Simplify ,Pg.
11. LABC is an acute angle.
a. Write an inequality for x. tw
5. A student has 3 blue T-shirts and 2 white
T-shirts. He selects one T-shirt at random.
Without replacing the T-shirt, he selects
another T-shirt at random. What is the
probability that the student will pick a
b. Explain your answer for
part (a).
Extended Response
12. You roll two number cubes.
•
B C
white T-shirt and then a blue T-shirt? a. What is P(6, then 6)?
b. What is P(odd, then even)?
6. A shoe manufacturer checks 150 pairs of
walking shoes and finds three pairs to be c. Suppose you roll the two number cubes
defective. What is the estimated percent 50 times in a simulation. You roll double
probability that a pair of walking shoes 3s six times. What is the experimental
is defective? probability of NOT getting double 3s?
I Real-World Snapshots
Final Gold
Mia Hamm (left) of the
United States and Daniela
Alves of Brazil get ready to
kick the ball during the 2000
Women's Gold Cup Finals.
© 1998 FIFA
Following the Ball
Senegal midfielder Papa Bouba Diop (left) and
Swedish forward Henrik Larsson go for the ball.
© 1974 FIFA
Activity
Use the table to answer 2002 FIFA Men's World Cup™
the questions. Top Goal Scorers
1. Make a line plot of the goals Flag Player Team Goals Scored
scored by the players. Ronaldo Brazil 8
2. What is the range of the data Rivaldo Brazil 5
in the table?
Miroslav Klose Germany 5
3. Find the mean, median, and
Jon Dahl Tomasson Denmark 4
mode of the data. Which
measure best represents the Christian Vieri Italy 4
data? Explain. Marc Wilmots Belg.\ca 3
4. a. Based on the data at the
Pauleta Portugal 3
right, make a table showing
the number of goals scored Papa Bouba Diop Senegal 3
by each team. Ilhan Mansiz Turkey 3
b. Find the mean and the mode Robbie Keane Ireland 3
of the data in your table.
Michael Ballack Germany 3
c. Why is the mean of this data
different from the mean Fernando Morientes Spain 3
found in Exercise 3? Raul Spain 3
5. Number Sense Suppose you Henrik Larsson Sweden
did not know which team won
the 2002 FIFA World Cup". From the data in the table, can you
determine the top two teams? Explain.
Where You've Been
• In Chapter 1, you wrote rules for patterns using
inductive reasoning.
e Diagnosing Readiness
•
(}±a'·tent self-<check
1=" ,p/ine and on CD-ROM
(For help, go to the lesson in green.)