Section A [ 45 marks ]

Answer all questions in this section .

1 The following table shows the speeds of 100 cars that pass a highway during a certain time period.

Speed (km/h) 55 – 59 60 – 64 65 – 69 70 – 74 75 – 79 80 – 84
Number of cars 5 30 34 19 7 5

a) Calculate the mean and standard deviation for this distribution. [5]
b) Construct a cumulative frequency curve. [2]
Hence, estimate graphically
(i) The number of cars with speeds less than 76 km/h. [1]
(ii) The value of v if the speed of 25% of the cars is at least v km/h. [1]

2 A sample of 300 adults were asked whether they have ever done shopping
online. The following table displayed the responses.

Online Shopping
Yes No
Male 90 120
Female 40 50

a) If an adult is chosen randomly from these 300 adults, find the probability that the adult
i) has done shopping online [1]
ii) has done shopping online, given that this adult is a male [3]
b) Are the events having done online shopping and female adult mutually exclusive? [2]
c) Are the events male adult and never done shopping online independent? [2]

3 The continuous random variable X is the distance measured in hundreds of kilometers, that a
particular car will travel on a full tank of petrol. It is given that

0 ,x3
 2
P ( X  x )  ax  8ax  b , 3  x  4
1 ,x4

where a and b are constants.

a) Show that a = -1 and determine the value of b . [4]

b) Calculate the probability that a particular car will travel at least three hundred and fifty kilometers on a
full tank of petrol. [3]

4 A survey carried out by the counseling unit of a school shows that 120 out of 500 students go for
tuition class after school .
a) Obtain a 95% confidence interval for the proportion of students who go for tuition class in the school.
Explain what can be interpreted from this estimation [5]
b) Determine the smallest sample size required so that the estimated error does not exceed 0.04 at the 90%
confidence level. [4]

*This question paper is CONFIDENTIAL until the examination is over. CONFIDENTIAL*

[Turn over
CONFIDENTIAL*
5 A random sample of 40 batteries produced by a company is found to have a mean lifespan of 17 months
and standard deviation of lifespan of 4 months. Determine, at 5 % significance level, whether the mean
lifespan of the batteries produced by the company is less than 18 months. [5]

6 In experiments in pea breading Gregor Mendel obtained the following data relating to 556 peas.

Wrinkle and Wrinkled and

Round and Yellow Round and Green
Yellow Green
315 101 108 32

According to Mendel’s theoretical results, the expected figures are in the ratio 9 : 3 : 3 : 1. Calculate the
value of for these data on the assumption that the theory is correct. Test at the 10% significance level
whether the theory is contradicted. [7]

Section B [ 15 marks ]
Answer only one question in this section .

7 From past records, it is known that 3% of the total sum of an item produced in factory
XYZ are defective.

a) A random sample of ten items are chosen. Find the probability that at most two items are
defective. [4]

b) Determine the maximum number of these items should be packed in a box such that the probability of at
least one defective item is not more than 99%? [6]

c) An independent random sample of 200 items are collected. Using an

appropriate approximation, determine the probability that at most four items or at least seven items
are defective. [5]

8 The table shows the number of occasions in a year on which 100 patients had to consult the doctor.

Number of times 0 1 2 3 4 5
Number of patients 48 32 15 3 1 1

a) Show that the mean for the number of times a person has to consult the doctor is 0.8. [1]

b) Calculate the Poisson frequencies corresponding to this mean. [4]

c) Calculate the probability that someone has to consult their doctor more than thrice in a period of four
years. [3]

d) Determine whether the observed sample show the Poisson distribution is an appropriate model at 5%
significance level. [7]
Marking Scheme PraPentaksiran STPM2014 P3
Essential Workings Marks
6740 1
1a) x 
100 1 (CAO)
= 67.4

1, 1 (475810)
 67.42
457810

100
= 5.945 1 (CAO)
b)
Number of cars

100
(i) 90 cars
90

80
1(smooth curve
70 that passes
through all
60 points)

50
1(all correct)
40

30

20

(ii) v = 71 km/h
10

v
54.5 59.5 64.5 69.5 74.5 79.5 84.5
Speed(km/h)

i) 90  2 1
ii) 71  1 1

2 a) Let M = male, F = female , S = Has done shopping online

13 1
i) P (S) =
30
P( S  M ) 1
ii) P (SM) =
P( M )
90
1
= 300
210
300
3
= 1
7
2
b) P (S  F) =
15
1
≠0
 Events having done online shopping and female adult are not mutually exclusive 1

2
c) P( M  S ' ) 
5

7 17 2
P( M )  P( S ' )   
10 30 5 1
  P( M  S ' )
 Events having done online shopping and female adult are not independent 1
3 a) F(4) = 1
 a(4)2 – 8a(4) + b = 1 1
b – 16a = 1-----------(1)
F(3) = 0
 9a – 24a + b = 0 1
b – 15a = 0------------(2)
solving (1) and (2):
a = -1 1
b = 1 + 16(-1) = -15 1
b) P(X  3.5) 1
= 1 – P(X < 3.5)
= 1 – [-(3.5)2 – 8(-1)(3.5) – 15] 1
= 0.25 1
120
4. (a) ps   0.24 1
500

0.24(0.76)
0.24  1.96 1, 1 (1.96)
500
= ( 0.2026 , 0.2774 ) 1
95% certain that the percentage of students who go to tuition is between 20.26% and
1
27.74%.

(b ) 1.645
0.240.76  0.04 1, 1 (1.645)
n

0.24(0.76)
n  1.645
0.04

1 (solving)
(0.04 ) 2
n  1.645 2 ( 0.24 ) ( 0.76 )

n > 308.5

Smallest sample is 309. 1

40(4 2 )
5. X ~ N (17, 4 )  xˆ  17, ˆ   4.051
2
40  1
Ho :  =18 months
H 1:  <18 months 1
At α = 0.05, Ztable = 1.645 1
Zcalc = 17  18
1
4.051
40
= 1.561 1
Since Zcalc= 1.561 > 1.645 , Do not reject Ho at α = 0.05. The mean lifespan of the
batteries produced by the company is NOT less than 18 months. 1

6 : The different types of peas occur in the ratio 9 : 3 : 3 : 1.

: The different types of peas do not occur in the ratio 9 : 3 : 3 : 1. 1

315
1 (finding ei)
101 104.25
108 104.25 1 (all values of
ei correct)
32 34.75

=
315  312.752  101 104.252  108  104.252  32  34.752
cal
312.75 104.25 104.25 34.75 1
= 0.4700 1
=4–1=3

At  = 0.1, 3 = 6.251 1
Critical region : > 6.251
= 0.4700 (< 6.251) does not lie in the critical region.
There is insufficient evidence to reject Ho. The different types of peas occur in the
1
ratio 9 : 3 : 3: 1 and the theory is not contradicted.

7 (a) Let X represents the number of defective items in 10 .

X ~ B(10, 0.03) 1 (can be
P(X  2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) implied)

= 10C0 (0.03) 0 (0.97)10  10C1 (0.03)1 (0.97) 9  10C2 (0.03) 2 (0.97) 8 1

1
= 0.9972 1
b) 1
P ( X  1)  0.99
1  P X  1  0.99
1
P X  0  0.01
n
C0 0.030 0.97n  0.01 1
log 0.01
n 1
log 0.97
1
n  151.19 1
Maximum number of items is 151.

c) X ~ B(200, 0.03)
 X ~ N(6, 5.82) 1
P(X  4) or P(X  7)
= P(X  4) + P(X  7) 1
= P(X < 4.5) + P(X > 6.5) 1(continuity
4.5  6 6.5  6 correction)
= P(Z < ) + P(Z > ) 1
5.82) 5.82) (standardization)

= 0.2671 + 0.4179
= 0.685 1
 80
8) a) x   0.8
100 1

b) PX  0  e 0.8
0.80
 0.4493
0! 1(using Poisson
 
P X  1  0.3595 probability

PX  2  0.1438
distribution)

PX  3  0.0383
PX  4  0.0077
1 (at least 6
PX  5  0.0012 correct)

PX  6  0.0017

x 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 1(Any 2 correct
frequency 44.93 35.95 14.38 3.83 0.77 0.12 0.17 pairs)
1 (All correct)
c) X ~ P0 3.2
P X  3  1  P X  3 1
 3.2 2
3.2  3 1
 1  e  0.8 1  3.2  
 2! 3! 
 0.3975
1
d) H0 : Poisson distribution is an appropriate model
H1 : Poisson distribution is not an appropriate model
1
x oi ei
0 48 44.93 1(Any 2
1 32 35.95 correct)

2 15 19.27 1(his correct

combination)

2 
44.93  48 2

35.95  32
2

19.27  152

48 32 15 1(his)

 1.899
1(correct
answer)
At   0.05 ,  22  5.991
Since, 1.899 < 5.991, do not reject H0. Conclusion: Poisson distribution is an 1
appropriate model.
1