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Efficient Frontier
Efficient Frontier
Return
0.130%
30% 70% 0.124% 0.92% 12.65% 0.120%
20% 80% 0.123% 0.93% 12.38% 0.110%
10% 90% 0.121% 0.94% 12.07%
0.100%
0% 100% 0.120% 0.95% 11.72% 0.85% 0.90%
-10% 110% 0.118% 0.97% 11.34%
St
-20% 120% 0.117% 1.00% 10.93%
-30% 130% 0.115% 1.02% 10.52%
Optimal Portfolio: 0.130% 0.92% 13.17%
=INDEX(P6:P22,MATCH(MAX(Q6:Q22),Q6:Q22,0),1)
0.130% 0.92% 13.17%
cted Return)
B * σA * σB * ρAB)
Standard Deviation
Markowitz created a formula that allows an investor to mathematically trade off risk tolerance and
This theory was based on two main concepts:
1. Every investor’s goal is to maximize return for any level of risk
2. Risk can be reduced by diversifying a portfolio through individual, unrelated securities
Under the MPT—or mean-variance analysis—an investor can hold a high-risk asset,
mutual fund, or security, so long as this high-risk investment is minimized by all
underlying assets. The portfolio itself is balanced in a way that its overall risk is lower
than some of its underlying investments. Risk is defined as the range by which an
asset’s price will vary on average, but Markowitz split risk into two subsequent categories
According to MPT, there are two components of risk for individual stock returns.
Systematic Risk: This refers to market risks that cannot be reduced through
diversification, or the possibility that the entire market and economy will show losses
that negatively affect investments. It’s important to note that MPT does not claim to be
able to moderate this type of risk, as it is inherent to an entire market or market segment
Unsystematic Risk: Also called specific risk, unsystematic risk is specific to individual
stocks, meaning it can be diversified as you increase the number of stocks in your portfolio.
de off risk tolerance and reward expectations, resulting in the ideal portfolio.
ated securities
sumption,
risk asset,
isk is lower
uent categories
how losses
t claim to be
arket segment
o individual
s in your portfolio.
Consider the below Portfolios
Step1
Calcualte Securities mean Ret Stock
Mean Returns 11.00%
Step 2
Calculate Securities Variance, Standard Deviation
Step 4
Calculate the Portfolio Covariance, Correlation
Portfolio Covariance
Portfolio Correlation
Stock Bond
Mean Returns 11.00% 7.00%
Weights 50% 50%
Portfolio Returns for equally 9.000%
Stdev 14.31% 8.16%
Portfolio Risk for equally weig 3.082%
Bond
7%
Squared Squared
Bond Deviation Deviation
Returns (Stock) (Bond)
17% 0.0108 0.0033
7% 0.0000 0.0000
-3% 0.0096 0.0033
Variance 0.0205 0.0067
Standard Dev 14.31% 8.16%
Portfolio
Bond Squared
Returns deviation
17% -0.01
7% 0.00
-3% -0.01
-0.01
-0.9987777547
Returns
Portf olo risk , returns
7.00% 0.12
7.20% 0.1
7.40% 0.08
7.60% 0.06
7.80% 0.04
8.00% 0.02
8.20% 0
0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1 0.12 0.14 0.16
8.40%
8.60%
8.80%
9.00%
9.20%
9.40%
9.60%
9.80%
10.00%
10.20%
10.40%
10.60%
10.80%
11.00%
ons analysis
0.2 1
Risk Risk
(Correl=0.2) Risk (Correl=+1) Returns 0.12
0
0 0.02 0.04 0
0.06
0.04
0.02
0.1
1.17% 2.14% 11.00%
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
0.006 0.008 0.01 0.012
-0.006
ns
100%
stocks
100% bonds
0.1
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1 0.12 0.14 0.16
0.12
0.1
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1 0.12 0.14 0.16
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1 0.12 0.14 0.16
0.12
0.1
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
0.006 0.008 0.01 0.012 0.014 0.016 0.018 0.02 0.022 0.024 0.026
100%
stocks
Finding the mini
You are currently 100% invested in Stock A, which has an expected
Since Stock B is negatively correlated to Stock A and has a higher e
we determined it was beneficial to invest in Stock B so we decided
This combination produced a portfolio with an expected return of
We’re happy that we increased the expected return and lowered t
by investing in Stock B but is this 50/50 portfolio optimal?
Stock A Stock B
Returns 4% 8%
SD 6% 15%
Correlation -0.7
Portfolio SD 5.81% 15.00%
Chart Title
.00%
.00%
.00%
.00%
.00%
.00%
.00%
.00%
.00%
.00%
2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00% 14.00% 16.00%
You want to allocate Rs 19,53,000 between tow stocks of A and B.
A is expected to generate a return of 25% with a standard deviation of 70%.
B' Variance is given 39%
Current Price of Stock B is given as 48
Future one year price of Stock B is 54
Correlation between Stock A and B 0.2
What combination of these two stocks will minimize Risk
What is the expected return of the portfolio?
Given
Current price (B) 48
Future price (B) 54
Correlataion (A,B) 0.2
SD (A) 70%
VAR(A) 0.49
Ret(A) 25%
WA 44.32%
WB 55.68%
When Correl is -1
W1 Sig(2)/(sig1+sig2)
W2 Sig(1)/(sig1+sig2)