Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Posted Workers From and To Belgium
Posted Workers From and To Belgium
FREDERIC DE WISPELAERE, LYNN DE SMEDT, MATHILDE MUNOZ, DIRK GILLIS & JOZEF PACOLET
http://www.hummingbird-H2020.eu
Abstract
In 2021, in the framework of the freedom to provide services (Article 56 TFEU), approximately 255,000 persons (workers + self-
employed) were reported in LIMOSA. Every day, there were on average 136,500 posted persons active in Belgium. The group
of incoming posted workers amounted to approximately 2.8% of the total group of workers employed in Belgium. Posted
workers even represent about one-fifth of total employment in the Belgian construction sector.
Due to the COVID-19 pandemic and the restrictions on free movement in 2020, the number of persons sent to Belgium
decreased by approximately 6% compared to 2019. The COVID-19 pandemic only had a temporary effect on the number of
persons posted to Belgium.
In 2021, about one out of four persons posted to Belgium were third-country nationals. The posted TCNs mainly concerned
Ukrainians (38% of the posted TCNs), Belarusians (17% of the posted TCNs), Brazilians (8% of the posted TCNs) and Bosnians
and Herzegovinians (4% of the posted TCNs). The relative importance of the number of Ukrainians and Belarusians in the total
number of posted workers increased within a very short period. Both nationalities hardly appeared in the LIMOSA statistics
before 2018. In 2021, Ukrainian posted workers represented 10% and Belarusian posted workers 5% of the total number of
posted workers in Belgium. Six main ‘routes’ of TCNs posted to Belgium can be identified. By far the most important route is
that of Ukrainians who are posted to Belgium from Poland.
It is estimated that the gross wages for the persons posted to Belgium amounted to around € 2 billion in 2020. If they had not
been posted but had been employed in their sending Member State, their wages would have been approximately € 700 million
lower. Consequently, in ‘theory’ their wages have increased by about 50%. The Belgian state does not receive a considerable
amount of labour tax revenues because social security contributions for incoming posted workers have to be paid in the sending
Member State and not in Belgium. It is estimated that this amounts to more than € 750 million, which is however ‘only’ about
1% of the annual sum of labour tax revenues received by the Belgian State from social security contributions.
Between 2017 and 2020, 23% of the Portable Documents A1 issued to workers posted to another Member State were granted
retroactively.
About 6% of the inspectors employed within the Belgian labour inspectorates focus on the fight against cross-border social
fraud, and thus on the compliance with the posting rules. Only 4% of the inspections carried out by the Belgian labour
inspectorates relate to the cross-border dimension of social fraud. In 2021, an infringement was found in two out of three
inspections relating to the compliance with the posting rules.
March 2022
© 2022 - POSTING.STAT, Enhancing the collection and analysis of national data on intra-EU posting –
project number VS/2020/0499
Information may be quoted provided the source is stated accurately and clearly.
This publication is part of the POSTING.STAT project. This project has received funding by the European
Commission, DG Employment, Social Affairs and Inclusion, within the EU Programme for Employment and
Social Innovation (EaSI) under the Grant Agreement No°VS/2020/0499.
The information and views set out in this paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect
the official opinion of the European Union. Neither the European Union institutions and bodies nor any
person acting on their behalf may be held responsible for the use which may be made of the information
contained therein.
Contents
List of tables 4
List of figures 5
Abbreviations 6
Executive summary 7
Samenvatting 12
1. Introduction 18
1.1 Research questions 18
1.2 Research methodology 19
1.2.1 Administrative micro-data 19
1.2.2 Data quality and limitations 20
6. References 66
3
List of tables
4
List of figures
5
Abbreviations
6
Executive summary
Belgium is one of the main host Member States of posted workers1 in the EU. This situation, in which an
employer temporarily sends its employees to another country to work there for a certain period of time,2
has become an important form of employment in several Belgian (labour-intensive and price sensitive)
sectors of activity, not least in the construction sector.
Statistical evidence provided at EU level reveals only a fraction of the administrative data available in
Belgium on the posting of workers. This leaves several research questions as well as country-specific
phenomena unanswered. This country report, prepared within the framework of the POSTING.STAT
project,3 aims to provide additional evidence on 1) the scale, characteristics and impact of intra-EU posting
from and to Belgium; 2) the scale and characteristics of infringements related to intra-EU posting from and
to Belgium; 3) the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on intra-EU posting from and to Belgium; and finally
4) the economic impact of the amended Posting of Workers Directive (Directive (EU) 2018/957 amending
Directive 96/71/EC)4.
The availability of data on intra-EU posting and the completeness of it largely depends on the extent to
which companies are obliged to declare their posting activities, both in the sending Member State and in
the receiving Member State. At Belgian level, data on the number of ‘reported’ incoming posted persons to
Belgium are collected via the LIMOSA declaration.5 For outgoing postings, the WABRO database has been
analysed. This database contains information about the Portable Documents A1 (PD A1) issued by Belgium.
This certificate proves that the social security legislation of the issuing Member State applies and confirms
that the person concerned has no obligations to pay social security contributions in another Member State.
It should be noted that both data sources have their limitations to map the posting of workers from and to
Belgium. The results should therefore be read as an indication of the scale and the characteristics of intra-
EU posting from and to Belgium. In order to obtain a view on the characteristics and the scale of
infringements related to intra-EU posting reference is made to data collected and reported by the Belgian
Social Information and Investigation Service (SIOD/SIRS). These data provide an overview of the outcome
of the inspections carried out by the main competent labour inspectorates.6 The use of inspection data has
several limitations of which the reader should be aware. Inspection data probably bias the real relationship
between posting and cross-border social fraud. After all, inspections will mostly take place on the basis of a
risk assessment, mainly focused on specific ‘risk sectors’ (e.g., in the construction sector). Such inspections
will yield higher infringement rates and may therefore give a distorted view of the actual number of
infringements. These inspection data are supplemented with figures from the Belgian Federal Public Service
Social Security on the dialogue and conciliation procedure concerning the validity of the PD A1. Finally,
based on interviews with several stakeholders as well as desk research, a preliminary economic assessment
has been made on the possible impact of the recently amended Posting of Workers Directive.
7
A labour and import leakage due to the high number of persons posted to the Belgian
construction sector
In 2021, approximately 255,000 posted persons (workers and self-employed persons) were reported in
LIMOSA, of which some 225,000 posted workers and 30,000 posted self-employed persons. Every day,
there were on average 136,500 posted persons active in Belgium. The group of incoming posted workers
amounted to approximately 2.8% of the total group of workers employed in Belgium.
Imported services are sometimes referred to as a source of ‘leakage’ because they can have the effect of
transferring income (wages and profits) earned in one country to another country. In case of intra-EU
posting, the purchase of services from posting undertakings results in an outflow of income and public
revenues. This risk occurs for instance in the Belgian construction sector. After all, posted workers represent
about one fifth of total employment in the Belgian construction sector. In addition, the amount of imported
services in the construction sector equals some € 1.5 billion per year. A large share of investments in the
recovery and resilience plan that Belgium submitted to the European Commission in the framework of the
‘Recovery and Resilience Facility’7 is dedicated to the construction and renovation of buildings and
dwellings. The positive impact of the plan on the number of additional jobs would come from the
construction sector in particular. However, given the large presence of foreign companies and workers by
the posting of workers, the Belgian recovery plan will not only benefit the Belgian economy, but also foreign
employment and consumption.
A temporary impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the number of persons posted from and to
Belgium
Due to the COVID-19 pandemic and the restrictions on free movement in 2020, the number of posted
persons to Belgium decreased by approximately 6% compared to 2019. Nonetheless, the number of posted
persons in 2020 was still higher than before 2017. The COVID-19 pandemic only had a temporary effect
on the number of posted persons to Belgium. A sharp decline of the number of posted persons occurred
particularly in April and May 2020 (-12% compared to the same period in 2019). The level of posted persons
was picking up relatively quickly in the following months. Moreover, the number of persons reported in
2021 was 5.5% higher than in 2020. Not only the number of incoming postings but also the number of
outgoings postings suffered from the COVID-19 pandemic. The number of outgoing posted workers
decreased in 2020 by 26% compared to 2019.
7 https://ec.europa.eu/info/business-economy-euro/recovery-coronavirus/recovery-and-resilience-facility_en
8
total number of posted workers in Belgium. The short and medium-term evolution of the number of
Ukrainians posted to Belgium is highly uncertain given the current dramatic situation in Ukraine.
Six main ‘routes’ of TCNs posted to Belgium can be identified. By far the most important route is that of
Ukrainians who are posted to Belgium from Poland. These persons are mainly active in construction and
road transport. In 2021 posted TCNs with the Ukrainian nationality accounted for 26% of the workers
posted from Poland, while this was ‘only’ 16% in 2020 and 13% in 2019. These figures give the impression
that Ukrainians are gradually replacing Polish nationals in the postings from Poland to Belgium. Indeed,
there is a strong overrepresentation of this group: Ukrainian nationals make up 5% of the workforce in
Poland, but more than five times as much of the workforce which is posted from Poland to Belgium.
Furthermore, a lot of Ukrainians are posted from Lithuania, who are mainly active in road transport. Both
Poland and Lithuania are also important sending Member States of posted Belarusians. Finally, there is a
route of posted Brazilians from Portugal and of posted Bosnians and Herzegovinians from Slovenia to
Belgium.
In theory, the application of the Posting of Workers Directive should result in a significant
wage increase of workers posted to Belgium
Posted workers are entitled to the same ‘remuneration’8 as local workers. Of course, this principle does not
apply when the remuneration in the ‘sending’ Member State is higher compared to that of the ‘receiving
Member State. Only for a limited number of sending Member States, wages might not increase if workers
are posted to Belgium. This will mainly concern the Nordic countries. It is estimated that about seven out
of ten workers posted to Belgium should receive a higher wage. For example, workers posted from Bulgaria
should receive a wage at least five times higher than the minimum wage applicable in Bulgaria when they
are posted to Belgium. However, the question arises whether posted workers also receive higher wages in
practice. Indeed, posted workers do not always receive the remuneration to which they are theoretically
entitled.
It is estimated that the gross wages for the persons posted to Belgium amounted to around € 2 billion in
2020. If they had not been posted but had been employed in their sending Member State, their gross wages
would have been approximately € 700 million lower. Consequently, their wages increased by about 50% (at
least in theory). The Belgian state does not receive a considerable amount of labour tax revenues because
social security contributions for incoming posted workers have to be paid in the sending Member State and
not in Belgium. It is estimated that this amounts to more than € 750 million, which is however ‘only’ about
1% of the annual sum of labour tax revenues received by the Belgian State from social security contributions.
8 So no longer only ‘minimum rates of pay’ as provided by the previous version of the Posting of Workers Directive.
9
About 13% of the persons reported in LIMOSA are self-employed. A large group of persons from Poland
and Slovakia are self-employed. This concerns 31% of the persons posted from Poland to Belgium and even
50% of the persons posted from Slovakia to Belgium. Moreover, the percentage of posted self-employed
persons in total appears to be much higher in the Belgian construction sector. Almost three out of ten
persons reported in LIMOSA and providing services in the construction sector have a self-employed status.
From a sending perspective, about one out of ten PDs A1 are issued to self-employed persons.
The number of inspectors and inspections focussing on the fight against cross-border social
fraud does not match to the prevalence of it
About 6% of the inspectors employed within the Belgian labour inspectorates focus on the fight against
cross-border social fraud, and thus on the compliance with the posting rules (2021 figures). Only 4% of the
inspections carried out by the Belgian labour inspectorates relate to the cross-border dimension of social
fraud.
In 2020, an infringement was found in more than half of the inspections relating to the compliance with
the posting rules. Based on recent figures published by SIOD/SIRS, the infringement rate even amounted
to 66% in 2021. Moreover, the infringement rate for inspections related to the cross-border dimension of
social fraud is much higher than for inspections related to the national dimension of social fraud. The
construction sector is the most inspected sector regarding the compliance with the posting rules.
Both the number of available inspectors and the number of inspections does not match the attention paid
to ‘social dumping’ in the public and political debates in Belgium. Due to the fact that much more
infringements are found during inspections on cross-border social fraud, it seems appropriate to increase
the number of labour inspectors who focus on this area. In 2021, the number of labour inspectors focusing
on the fight against cross-border social fraud increased from 64 FTEs to 69 FTEs compared to 2020. This
is a step in the right direction. Moreover, other forms of social fraud also remain persistent in Belgium.9
This reality was painfully confirmed during the COVID-19 pandemic by the abuse of financial support
measures and of OSH rules.
9 For instance, the huge amount of attention given to the issue of ‘social dumping’ in the construction sector through the use of posting
sometimes creates the impression that ‘national’ undeclared work is no longer a problem. Yet it remains a challenge that cannot be ignored.
10
June 2015, in partnership with the other competent Belgian institutions. Since then, almost 1,600 cases have
been processed via the OSIRIS platform, of which nearly half concern PDs A1 issued by Poland. Ultimately,
this may lead to a withdrawal of the PD A1 by the competent institution in the issuing Member State. Every
year, between 0.5 and 1% of the total number of PDs A1 issued to workers posted to Belgium are withdrawn
by the competent institutions in the issuing Member States.
One of the aims of the Internal Market Information System (IMI) is to support administrative cooperation
and mutual assistance between the competent authorities of the Member States concerning the application
and enforcement of the Posting of Workers Directive. This digital tool can be used by labour inspectorates
to request and exchange information. Besides Austria, Belgium is one of the most intensive users of the IMI
tool. In 2018, some 880 questions were sent through IMI, mostly related to requests for additional
information. This while only 34 questions were received.
10 https://employment.belgium.be/en/themes/international/posting
11
Samenvatting
België is één van de belangrijkste ontvangende landen van gedetacheerde arbeidskrachten in de Europese
Unie (EU). Deze situatie waarbij een onderneming werknemers tijdelijk naar een ander land stuurt om daar
gedurende een bepaalde periode te werken,11 is zelfs een belangrijke vorm van tewerkstelling geworden in
verschillende Belgische (arbeidsintensieve en prijsgevoelige) sectoren, niet in het minst in de bouwsector.
De statistische evidentie die op EU-niveau wordt verstrekt, laat slechts een fractie zien van de
administratieve gegevens die in België over inkomende en uitgaande detachering beschikbaar zijn. Hierdoor
blijven verschillende onderzoeksvragen en specifieke fenomenen onbeantwoord of onderbelicht. Dit
landenrapport, opgesteld in het kader van het onderzoeksproject POSTING.STAT12, heeft tot doel
aanvullende of zelfs nieuwe evidentie aan te leveren over 1) de omvang, de kenmerken en de impact van
intra-EU detachering van en naar België; 2) de omvang en kenmerken van de arbeids- en sociaalrechtelijke
inbreuken bij intra-EU detachering richting België; 3) de impact van de COVID-19 pandemie op intra-EU
detachering van en naar België; en tenslotte 4) de economische impact van de recent gewijzigde
Detacheringsrichtlijn (Richtlijn 2018/957 tot wijziging van Richtlijn 96/71/EG)13.
De beschikbaarheid van administratieve gegevens over detachering binnen de EU en de volledigheid ervan
hangt grotendeels af van de mate waarin ondernemingen verplicht worden om deze activiteiten te melden,
dit zowel in de zendende als in de ontvangende lidstaat. Op Belgisch niveau worden gegevens over het
aantal inkomende detacheringen verzameld via de LIMOSA-aangifte. De verplichting om een LIMOSA-
aangifte te maken is sinds 1 april 2007 van toepassing op buitenlandse werkgevers en zelfstandigen die een
tijdelijke opdracht in België komen uitvoeren.14 Voor de analyse van detacheringen vanuit België naar andere
lidstaten kan gebruik gemaakt worden van de WABRO-databank. Deze databank bevat informatie over het
zogenaamde A1-attest.15 Bij de detachering van werknemers vanuit België levert de bevoegde administratie
(de Rijksdienst voor Sociale Zekerheid) een A1-attest af waaruit moet blijken dat aan de voorwaarden voor
detachering is voldaan en dat de betrokkene onderworpen blijft aan de Belgische sociale zekerheid. Al dient
gezegd dat zowel de data beschikbaar op basis van de LIMOSA-aangifte als deze op basis van het A1-attest
hun beperkingen hebben. Bovendien zijn beide databanken moeilijk met elkaar vergelijkbaar. Het gaat dus
steeds om een indicatie van de omvang en het profiel van detachering van en naar België. Om een beeld te
krijgen van de kenmerken en de omvang van de arbeids- en sociaalrechtelijke inbreuken bij detachering naar
België wordt gebruik gemaakt van gegevens die door de Sociale Inlichtingen- en Opsporingsdienst (SIOD)
worden verzameld en gerapporteerd. Deze gegevens geven een goed zicht op de inspecties die zijn
uitgevoerd door de bevoegde federale inspectiediensten en de resultaten hiervan16. Het gebruik van
inspectiedata heeft wel verschillende beperkingen waarvan de lezer zich bewust moet zijn. Zo vertekenen
inspectiegegevens waarschijnlijk de werkelijke relatie tussen detachering en transnationale sociale fraude.
Inspecties vinden immers meestal plaats op basis van een ‘risicoanalyse’, bovendien vooral gericht op
11 Vanuit een sociaalrechtelijk perspectief, door toepassing van Artikel 12 van Verordening 883/2004, kunnen ook zelfstandigen zichzelf
detacheren. Zelfstandigen vallen evenwel niet onder de Detacheringsrichtlijn.
12 POSTING.STAT brengt een onderzoeksconsortium van universiteiten en onderzoekscentra uit 10 verschillende lidstaten samen. HIVA-KU Leuven
is verantwoordelijk voor het projectbeheer en de algemene coördinatie van de projectactiviteiten. Het geografische bereik van het
projectvoorstel bestrijkt de zes belangrijkste ‘zendende’ lidstaten (Duitsland, Polen, Italië, Spanje, Slovenië en Luxemburg) en de zes
belangrijkste ‘ontvangende’ lidstaten (Duitsland, Frankrijk, België, Oostenrijk, Nederland en Luxemburg) van gedetacheerde werknemers. Link
naar de publicaties van het POSTING.STAT-project.
13 De wet van 12 juni 2020 houdende diverse bepalingen inzake de detachering van werknemers implementeert richtlijn 2018/957 tot wijziging
van richtlijn 96/71/EG in de Belgische wetgeving. De wet is in werking getreden op 30 juli 2020 en wijzigt in hoofdzaak de wet van 5 maart 2002
betreffende de arbeids-, loon- en tewerkstellingsvoorwaarden in geval van detachering van werknemers in België en de naleving ervan, en
de wet van 24 juli 1987 betreffende de tijdelijke arbeid, de uitzendarbeid en het ter beschikking stellen van werknemers ten behoeve van
gebruikers.
14 www.limosa.be
15 https://www.socialsecurity.be/site_nl/employer/applics/gotot/index.htm
16 Toezicht op de Sociale Wetten (TSW) binnen de Federale overheidsdienst Werkgelegenheid, Arbeid en Sociaal Overleg (FOD WASO), de
inspectie van de Rijksdienst voor Sociale Zekerheid (RSZ) en de inspectie van het Rijksinstituut voor de Sociale Verzekeringen der Zelfstandigen
(RSVZ).
12
specifieke ‘risicosectoren’ (bv. de bouwsector). Dergelijke inspecties zullen hogere inbreukpercentages
opleveren en kunnen dus een vertekend beeld geven van de werkelijke inbreukgevoeligheid van detachering
richting België. Deze inspectiegegevens worden tevens aangevuld met cijfers van de Belgische Federale
Overheidsdienst Sociale Zekerheid over de dialoog en de bemiddelingsprocedure betreffende de geldigheid
van het A1-attest. Ten slotte is op basis van interviews en de beperkt beschikbare statistische evidentie een
eerste tentatieve analyse gemaakt van de mogelijke impact van de onlangs gewijzigde Detacheringsrichtlijn.
Een tewerkstellings- en importlek als gevolg van het hoge aantal gedetacheerde werknemers actief
in de Belgische bouwsector
In 2021 werden ongeveer 255.000 gedetacheerde personen (werknemers en zelfstandigen) gemeld in
LIMOSA, waarvan ongeveer 225.000 werknemers en 30.000 zelfstandigen. Gemiddeld waren er
dagelijks ongeveer 136.500 gedetacheerde personen actief in België. De groep van inkomende gedetacheerde
werknemers bedraagt daarom ongeveer 2,8% van de totale groep werknemers die in België werkzaam is.
Geïmporteerde diensten worden soms ‘een importlek’ genoemd omdat zij tot gevolg kunnen hebben dat
een deel van het nationaal inkomen (grotendeels lonen en winsten) weglekt naar het buitenland. In het geval
van intra-EU detachering wordt er beroep gedaan op de diensten van buitenlandse ondernemingen, wat tot
een uitstroom van inkomens en publieke inkomsten leidt. Dit risico doet zich voornamelijk voor in de
Belgische bouwsector. Gedetacheerde werknemers vertegenwoordigen immers ongeveer een vijfde van de
totale tewerkstelling in de Belgische bouwsector. Daarnaast bedroeg het bedrag aan geïmporteerde diensten
in de bouwsector ongeveer € 1,5 miljard. Een groot deel van de geplande investeringen in het herstelplan
dat België bij de Europese Commissie heeft ingediend in het kader van het coronaherstelfonds is gewijd aan
de bouw en renovatie van gebouwen en woningen. De positieve impact van het herstelplan in termen van
het aantal bijkomende jobs zal dan ook hoofdzakelijk door de bouwsector gecreëerd worden. Gezien de
grote aanwezigheid van buitenlandse bedrijven en werknemers in de bouwsector via intra-EU detachering
zal het Belgische herstelplan echter niet alleen de Belgische economie, maar zeker ook de buitenlandse
werkgelegenheid en consumptie ten goede komen.
Een tijdelijke impact van de COVID-19 pandemie op het aantal gedetacheerden van en naar België
Als gevolg van de COVID-19 pandemie en de daaruit volgende beperkingen op het vrije verkeer binnen de
EU daalde het aantal gedetacheerde personen naar België met ongeveer 6% in 2020 ten opzichte van 2019.
Dit is een relatief kleine daling, ook wetende dat het niveau van het aantal gedetacheerden in 2020 immers
nog steeds hoger lag dan vóór 2017. Bovendien had de COVID-19 pandemie slechts een tijdelijk effect. Er
deed zich een sterke daling voor van het aantal gedetacheerde personen in april en mei 2020 (-12% ten
opzichte van dezelfde periode in 2019). In de daaropvolgende maanden herstelde het aantal gedetacheerden
zich evenwel richting het niveau van dat van 2019. Bovendien steeg het aantal gedetacheerde personen naar
België in 2021 met 5,5% t.o.v. 2020.
Niet enkel het aantal inkomende detacheringen, maar ook het aantal uitgaande detacheringen had te lijden
onder de COVID-19 pandemie. Het aantal gedetacheerde werknemers dat vanuit België naar een andere
lidstaat werden gestuurd, daalde in 2020 met 26% ten opzichte van 2019.
Een steeds grotere groep derdelanders, hoofzakelijk met de Oekraïense nationaliteit, wordt naar
België gedetacheerd
Personen die naar België gedetacheerd worden komen voornamelijk uit Nederland (21% van het totaal) en
Polen (20% van het totaal). Vooral het toegenomen belang van Litouwen als zendende lidstaat, dit binnen
een zeer korte periode, is opvallend. In 2019 stond Litouwen nog niet in de top 10 van belangrijkste
zendende landen. Dit terwijl in 2021 één op de tien gedetacheerde personen naar België uit Litouwen kwam.
Het aantal gedetacheerde personen van buiten de EU is van relatief weinig belang (zo’n 3% in totaal voor
2021). Uit de gegevens per nationaliteit blijkt echter dat heel veel derdelanders (personen met een andere
nationaliteit dan die van één van de lidstaten van de EU) vanuit een andere lidstaat naar België werden
gedetacheerd. In 2021 betrof ongeveer één op de vier gedetacheerde personen naar België een derdelander.
13
De gedetacheerde derdelanders betroffen voornamelijk Oekraïners (38% van de gedetacheerde
derdelanders), Wit-Russen (17% van de gedetacheerde derdelanders), Brazilianen (8% van de gedetacheerde
derdelanders) en Bosniërs (4% van de gedetacheerde derdelanders). Het relatieve belang van het aantal
Oekraïners en Wit-Russen in het totale aantal gedetacheerde werknemers is in een zeer korte periode
toegenomen. Beide nationaliteiten kwamen vóór 2018 nauwelijks voor in de LIMOSA-statistieken. Het
aantal gedetacheerden voor beide nationaliteiten steeg enorm tijdens de COVID-19-pandemie in 2020
(+69% ten opzichte van 2019 voor Oekraïners en +263% voor Wit-Russen). In 2021 steeg het aantal
gedetacheerde Oekraïners nog eens met 75% ten opzichte van 2020 en het aantal gedetacheerde Wit-Russen
zelfs met 125%. Door deze sterke toename in zowel 2020 als 2021 vertegenwoordigen gedetacheerde
Oekraïense werknemers 10% en gedetacheerde Wit-Russische werknemers 5% van het totale aantal
gedetacheerde werknemers in België. De evolutie op korte en middellange termijn van het aantal
gedetacheerde Oekraïners richting België is gezien de huidige dramatische situatie in Oekraïne natuurlijk
hoogst onduidelijk.
Er kunnen zes belangrijke routes van gedetacheerde derdelanders richting België onderscheiden worden.
Veruit de belangrijkste route is die van Oekraïners die vanuit Polen naar België worden gedetacheerd. Deze
personen zijn vooral actief in de bouw en het wegvervoer. In 2021 maakten gedetacheerde Oekraïners 26%
uit van de vanuit Polen gedetacheerde personen, terwijl dit ‘slechts’ 16% in 2020 en 13% in 2019 was. Deze
cijfers wekken de indruk dat Oekraïners geleidelijk Poolse werknemers vervangen in de detacheringen vanuit
Polen naar België. Er is inderdaad een sterke oververtegenwoordiging van deze groep: Oekraïense
werknemers maken ongeveer 5% uit van de beroepsbevolking in Polen, terwijl meer dan vijf keer zoveel
Oekraïners vanuit Polen naar België worden gedetacheerd. Daarnaast worden ook heel wat Oekraïners
gedetacheerd vanuit Litouwen, die vooral actief zijn in het wegvervoer. Polen en Litouwen zijn tevens
belangrijke zendende lidstaten van gedetacheerde Wit-Russen. Tenslotte is er een route van gedetacheerde
Brazilianen vanuit Portugal en één van gedetacheerde Bosniërs vanuit Slovenië naar België.
De toepassing van de Detacheringsrichtlijn leidt in theorie tot een aanzienlijke loonsverhoging van
de naar België gedetacheerde werknemers
Gedetacheerde werknemers hebben recht op dezelfde ‘beloning’ als lokale werknemers. Dit beginsel is
uiteraard niet van toepassing wanneer het loon in de zendende lidstaat hoger is dan in de ontvangende
lidstaat. Slechts vanuit een beperkt aantal zendende lidstaten (voornamelijk vanuit de Scandinavische landen
Denemarken, Zweden en Finland) zal het loon van werknemers veelal niet stijgen wanneer zij naar België
worden gedetacheerd om er tijdelijk diensten te verrichten. Naar schatting zullen ongeveer zeven op de tien
gedetacheerde werknemers naar België een hoger loon ontvangen. Zo dienen bijvoorbeeld de vanuit
Bulgarije gedetacheerde werknemers naar België een loon te ontvangen dat meer dan vijf keer hoger ligt dan
het in Bulgarije geldende minimumloon.
In 2020 bedroeg het brutoloon voor de naar België gedetacheerde personen naar schatting € 2 miljard.
Indien deze groep niet was gedetacheerd naar België maar simpelweg in de zendende lidstaat was
tewerkgesteld, zou het brutoloon ongeveer € 700 miljoen lager gelegen hebben. Door de detachering naar
België zijn de lonen dus (theoretisch)17 met ongeveer 50% gestegen. Het toont tegelijk aan dat de Belgische
staat belangrijke inkomsten misloopt doordat socialezekerheidsbijdragen voor inkomende gedetacheerden
niet in België maar in de zendende lidstaat betaald worden. Het gaat hier naar schatting om meer dan
€ 750 miljoen, wat wel ‘slechts’ ongeveer 1% is van de jaarlijkse som aan inkomsten uit socialezekerheids-
bijdragen.
Het profiel van uitgaande detachering verschilt sterk van dat van inkomende detachering
In 2020 werden ongeveer 25.500 werknemers vanuit België naar een andere lidstaat gedetacheerd, dit
gemiddeld tweemaal per jaar. De omvang van uitgaande detachering blijkt dus beduidend lager te liggen dan
dat van inkomende detachering. Daarenboven doen zich ook onderlinge verschillen in het profiel voor.
14
Bijna negen op de tien gedetacheerde werknemers worden door hun Belgische werkgever gedetacheerd
richting buurlanden Frankrijk, Nederland, Luxemburg en Duitsland. Dit terwijl ‘slechts’ vier op de tien
inkomende gedetacheerde werknemers afkomstig zijn uit één van de buurlanden.
Inkomende gedetacheerde werknemers zijn in hoofdzaak tewerkgesteld in de Belgische bouwsector.
Belgische klanten zijn immers voornamelijk actief in de sub-sectoren ‘Bouw van woningen en andere
gebouwen’ (NACE 412) (met name op grote bouwwerven), ‘Afwerking van gebouwen’ (NACE 433),
‘Elektrische installatie, loodgieterswerk en overige bouwinstallatie’ (NACE 432) en ten slotte ‘Overige
gespecialiseerde bouwactiviteiten’ (NACE 439). Detachering vanuit België heeft dan weer eerder een
atypisch profiel. De sectoren waarin uitgaande gedetacheerde werknemers werkzaam zijn, zijn immers zeer
divers waarbij een grote groep via een Belgisch uitzendbureau wordt gedetacheerd of actief is in de sector
van podiumkunsten en live entertainment.
Ongeveer 13% van de in LIMOSA gerapporteerde personen betreffen zelfstandigen die zichzelf
detacheren naar België, hoofdzakelijk afkomstig uit Polen. Een grote groep van personen gedetacheerd
vanuit Polen en Slovakije heeft het zelfstandigenstatuut. Dit betreft 31% van de personen afkomstig uit
Polen en zelfs 50% van de personen afkomstig uit Slovakije. Bovendien blijkt het percentage gedetacheerde
personen met zelfstandigenstatuut veel hoger te liggen voor de Belgische bouwsector. Bijna drie op de tien
personen die een tijdelijke opdracht vervullen in de Belgische bouwsector, hebben het zelfstandigenstatuut.
Tenslotte betreft ongeveer negen op de tien gedetacheerde personen vanuit België een werknemer en dus
‘slechts’ één op de tien een zelfstandige.
Wat betreft de duur van de detacheringen van en naar België blijkt de periode dat diensten worden verricht
veelal relatief kort te zijn. Al doen zich mogelijks sterke verschillen voor tussen sectoren.
Een groot aantal van de A1-attesten wordt met terugwerkende kracht toegekend
In principe dient de werkgever van de gedetacheerde werknemer of de zelfstandige zelf de bevoegde
publieke administratie18 in kennis stellen van de geplande transnationale activiteiten, bij voorkeur voordat
deze activiteiten plaatsvinden. Vervolgens wordt, na verificatie van een aantal voorwaarden, door de
bevoegde publieke administratie een A1-attest verstrekt. Dit attest bewijst dat de socialezekerheidswetgeving
van de verstrekkende lidstaat van toepassing is en bevestigt dat de betrokkene geen verplichtingen heeft om
in een andere lidstaat socialezekerheidsbijdragen te betalen. In sommige gevallen zal een detachering
plaatsvinden zonder dat de bevoegde publieke administratie daarvan in kennis is gesteld en dus zonder een
A1-attest. Er is geen zicht op het aantal detacheringen die zonder een A1-attest vanuit België naar een andere
lidstaat plaatsvinden. Voorts kan tijdens of na de detachering een verzoek voor een A1-attest worden
ingediend. In dat geval wordt het A1-attest met terugwerkende kracht toegekend. Gemiddeld werd tussen
2017 en 2020 ongeveer 23% van de A1-attesten retroactief toegekend. Het feit dat het percentage A1-
attesten met terugwerkende kracht zo hoog ligt, is enigszins verrassend aangezien de aanvraagprocedure in
België relatief eenvoudig is. Het percentage retroactief toegekende A1-attesten lijkt bovendien niet sterk te
variëren naar gelang de ontvangende lidstaat. Ook dit is enigszins verrassend, zeker gezien het strenge
handhavingsbeleid in Oostenrijk en Frankrijk omtrent het beschikken over een geldig A1-attest.
Het aantal controles gericht op handhaving van de detacheringsregels staat niet in verhouding tot
de prevalentie ervan
Ongeveer 6% van de controleurs en inspecteurs die worden tewerkgesteld bij de Belgische sociale
inspectiediensten houdt zich bezig met de bestrijding van grensoverschrijdende sociale fraude en zodus met
de handhaving van de detacheringsregels. Bijgevolg heeft slechts 4% van de controles uitgevoerd door deze
sociale inspectiediensten betrekking op de grensoverschrijdende dimensie van sociale fraude.
In 2020 werd bij meer dan de helft van de controles in verband met de strijd tegen grensoverschrijdende
sociale fraude een inbreuk vastgesteld. Recente cijfers voor 2021 spreken zelfs van een inbreuk bij twee op
de drie controles. Dit inbreukpercentage ligt aanzienlijk hoger dan bij controles die betrekking hebben op
18 In België is dat bij de RSZ voor werknemers en bij het RSVZ voor zelfstandigen.
15
de binnenlandse dimensie van sociale fraude, al is het inbreukpercentage hier ook aanzienlijk (bij ongeveer
vier op de tien controles werd een inbreuk vastgesteld). De bouwsector is veruit de meest gecontroleerde
(en inbreukgevoelige) sector omtrent de naleving van de detacheringsregels.
Zowel het aantal beschikbare inspecteurs als het aantal inspecties is niet in overeenstemming met de
aandacht die in het publieke en politieke debat in België aan ‘sociale dumping’ via detachering wordt besteed.
Aangezien bij controles op grensoverschrijdende sociale fraude aanzienlijk meer inbreuken worden
vastgesteld, lijkt het aangewezen om het aantal controleurs die zich hierop focussen, te verhogen. In 2021
steeg het aantal inspecteurs die zich hierop richten alvast van 64 naar 69 VTE’s t.o.v. 2020. Wat een eerste
stap in de goede richting is. Bovendien blijven ook andere vormen van sociale fraude hardnekkig in België.19
Deze realiteit werd pijnlijk bevestigd tijdens de COVID-19-pandemie door het misbruik van financiële
steunmaatregelen en inbreuken op de regelgeving betreffende gezondheid en veiligheid op het werk.
19 De enorme aandacht voor het probleem van ‘sociale dumping’ in de bouwsector door het gebruik van detachering wekt soms de indruk
dat zwartwerk door ‘Belgische’ ondernemingen, werknemers en zelfstandigen niet langer een probleem is. Toch blijft ook dit een uitdaging
die niet genegeerd kan worden.
20 https://werk.belgie.be/nl/themas/internationaal/detachering
16
minimumbedragen van de lonen worden per sector vastgelegd door het bevoegde paritair comité.
Dergelijke informatie wordt verstrekt op de enige officiële nationale website voor 13 paritaire comités. De
informatie voor de voedingsindustrie (paritair comité 118) werd het vaakst geraadpleegd tijdens het eerste
trimester van 2021.
17
1. Introduction
There are several forms of cross-border labour mobility in the EU. There is labour mobility to another
Member State under the free movement of workers (Article 45 TFEU) and the freedom of establishment
(Article 49 TFEU). This includes long-term intra-EU labour mobility by ‘EU movers’ (i.e., EU citizens of
working age who reside in a Member State other than their Member State of citizenship) and by
frontier/cross-border workers (i.e., EU citizens who work in a Member State other than their Member State
of residence), either as employee or self-employed, but also short-term intra-EU labour mobility by seasonal
workers (i.e., EU citizens who carry out seasonal work in another Member State for a limited period of time
without changing their habitual place of residence). However, intra-EU labour mobility should not be
narrowed down to movements that take place under Articles 45 and 49 TFEU. It may also take place in the
framework of the freedom to provide services (Article 56 TFEU). This form of intra-EU labour mobility,
called ‘posting of workers’, concerns the activity of a company sending (‘posting’) workers for a limited
period of time from one Member State (i.e., the sending or home Member State) to another Member State
(i.e., the receiving or host Member State) in order to provide a service.21
Belgium has a rather dual relationship with the use of intra-EU posting: it is often considered a ‘Trojan
horse’ while its use has increased significantly. Indeed, the posting of workers has become an important
form of employment in Belgium, not least in the Belgian construction sector. This while public and political
perception is rather negative about this form of intra-EU labour mobility.22 This reality shows that further
efforts should be made to map out the number, characteristics, and impact of intra-EU posting, as well as
of the infringements that occur during these activities. The mapping should distinguish between the use of
intra-EU posting (what is perfectly legal) and the infringements it entails in some specific sectors of activity.
Empirical evidence may refute or confirm existing perceptions and may support evidence-based policy both
a national and European level. However, it cannot be denied that the data available for this mapping exercise
also has its limitations and only portrays part of the reality (see below – section 1.2.2).
21 From a social law perspective, by applying Article 12 of Regulation (EC) No 883/2004, self-employed persons can post themselves to another
Member State. However, self-employed persons do not fall within the scope of the Posting of Workers Directive.
22 Further cultivated by some recent dramatic cases. For instance, there was the deadly accident of five construction workers that occurred on
18 June 2021 at a school building site in Antwerp.
23 Mainly by two reports: the report that provides data on the Portable Documents A1 and the report that provides data on the prior declaration
tools. See also De Wispelaere, De Smedt & Pacolet, 2021a & 2021b. Furthermore, evidence is collected and reported on infringements related
to the issuance of the Portable Document A1 (Jorens, De Wispelaere & Pacolet, 2021).
24 See, for instance, De Wispelaere, Chakkar & Struyven, 2020; De Wispelaere & Pacolet, 2017; Lens, Mussche & Marx, 2021a; 2021b; Lens, Marx
& Mussche, 2021.
18
inspections. The collection of such data should allow a (tentative) evaluation of the extent to which posting
to Belgium is subject to all kinds of infringements, and in which sectors of activity. The focus is only on
infringements that occur in the case of intra-EU posting to Belgium. This does not mean that there are no
infringements in the case of intra-EU posting from Belgium.
Furthermore, this report aims to focus on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the posting of
workers from and to Belgium. There was and still is a lack of timely and accurate data at EU level on the
impact of COVID-1925 on all forms of intra-EU labour mobility. In order to solve this, monthly or even
weekly data on the evolution of the number of incoming and outgoing postings could be collected at national
level. This research question aims to reveal whether such data are available for Belgium.
Finally, a first ‘economic’ assessment26 of the implementation and application of Directive (EU) 2018/957
amending Directive 96/71/EC concerning the posting of workers in the framework of the transnational
provision of services is made.27 Some important changes introduced by the revised Posting of Workers
Directive are the application to posted workers of all the mandatory elements of ‘remuneration’ (instead of
the ‘minimum rates of pay’), and for long-term postings (longer than 12 or 18 months) the application of
an extended set of terms and conditions of employment of the receiving Member State. The Act of 12 June
2020 on diverse matters of posting of workers to Belgium implements Directive (EU) 2018/957 amending
Directive 96/71/EC into Belgian legislation.28 The question arises whether a change of certain ‘quantitative
variables’ can be observed. We are thinking in particular of changes in the duration of posting, a possible
increase of the number of posted self-employed persons, an increase in salaries and social security
contributions paid, etc.
The four main research questions are:
1. What are the characteristics, the scale, and the impact of intra-EU posting from and to Belgium?
(Chapter 2)
2. What are the characteristics and the scale of infringements related to intra-EU posting from and to
Belgium? (Chapter 3)
3. What is the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on intra-EU posting from and to Belgium?
(Chapter 4)
4. What is the ‘economic’ impact of the amended Posting of Workers Directive (Directive (EU)
2018/957 amending Directive 96/71/EC) on intra-EU posting from and to Belgium? (Chapter 5)
25 This is actually the case for all sudden events, including the current flow of refugees from Ukraine.
26 Several Belgian legal experts commented already on the main legal consequences for Belgium (see e.g., Aerts & De Roo, 2021; Clesse &
Morsa, 2020; Pecinovsky, 2020; Verschueren, 2021).
27 https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A32018L0957. For the current consolidated version of the Posting of Workers
Directive see https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A01996L0071-20200730.
28 https://www.ejustice.just.fgov.be/cgi_loi/change_lg.pl?language=nl&la=N&table_name=wet&cn=2020061205
29 www.limosa.be
30 Directive 2014/67/EU (i.e., the ‘Enforcement Directive’) allows Member States to require a service provider established in another Member
State to make a ‘simple declaration’ containing the relevant information necessary in order to allow factual controls at the workplace.
19
been analysed. This database contains data on the Portable Documents A1 (PD A1) issued to workers by
the National Social Security Office (NSSO) (i.e., the competent administration in Belgium).31 This certificate
proves that the social security legislation of the issuing Member State applies and confirms that the person
concerned has no obligations to pay social security contributions in another Member State. The PD A1 is
to be requested by the employer when workers are posted abroad (or by the self-employed person). Due to
the wealth of data both in the LIMOSA and WABRO database, it was possible to formulate an answer to
the questions related to the characteristics, the scale, and the impact of intra-EU posting from and to
Belgium (Chapter 2) and those related to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic (Chapter 4).32,33 To describe
the characteristics of incoming posting, data for 2021 is mostly used. This while data for 2020 is used to
describe the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic as well as the characteristics of outgoing posting.
Furthermore, data from both LIMOSA and WABRO have recently been included in the ‘Datawarehouse
Labour Market and Social Protection’ of the Crossroads Bank for Social Security (CBSS). This makes it
possible, for example, to match the data available from the LIMOSA declaration with data on the profile of
the Belgian client. It should be noted that both the LIMOSA data and the PD A1 data have their limitations
(see below). Moreover, there is a risk of comparing apples and oranges when the results from both data sources
are confronted with each other (see Chapter 2).
In order to obtain a (partial) view on the characteristics and the scale of infringements related to intra-EU
posting (Chapter 3) reference is made to data collected and reported by the Social Information and
Investigation Service (SIOD/SIRS).34 These data provide a view on the number of inspections and
infringements related to the posting of workers to Belgium. In particular, this concerns inspections carried
out by the following Belgian labour inspectorates: the Directorate-General for Supervision of Social Law35,
the National Social Security Office (NSSO)36 and the National Institute for the Social Security of the Self-
employed (NISSE).37 In addition, some specific activities and findings of the inspection services of the
Directorate-General for Supervision of Social Law38 and the National Social Security Office (NSSO)39 are
reported separately.40 Finally, figures from the Belgian Federal Public Service Social Security are reported
on the dialogue and conciliation procedure concerning the validity of the PD A1.41
Finally, based on interviews with several stakeholders42 as well as desk research, a preliminary assessment
has been made on the impact of the recently amended Posting of Workers Directive (Chapter 5). However,
it cannot be denied that more than a year and a half after the implementation of the Directive (EU)
2018/957, it is still difficult to make a thorough economic assessment of its impact.
31 Please note that in Belgium, the National Institute for the Social Security of the Self-employed (NISSE) issues the Portable Document A1 to the
self-employed.
32 We would like to thank Lode Van Steenkiste and Bruno De Pauw (NSSO).
33 We would like to thank Nathalie Hoste and Marc Van Engeland (Constructiv) for providing data applicable to the Belgian construction sector.
34 We would like to thank Dominique Boels and Bart Stalpaert (SIOD/SIRS).
35 Compliance with the labour law aspects of posting as defined in the Posting of Workers Directive is mainly monitored by the Directorate-
General for Supervision of Social Laws.
36 Compliance with the social security aspects of posting as defined by Regulations 883/2004 and 987/2009 is mainly monitored by the inspection
departments of NSSO (workers) and NISSE (self-employed persons).
37 See https://employment.belgium.be/en/themes/international/posting/liaison-offices-and-labour-inspectorate/supervision-social-legislation
38 We would like to thank Nancy Segers (TSW) and Hilaire Willems (SIOD/SIRS).
39 We would like to thank Eric Verlinden (NSSO).
40 Furthermore, in order to be able to post agency workers to Belgium, a foreign temporary employment agency should have accreditation from
the Belgian region in which the work is performed. This falls within the competence of the different Regions and Communities concerned
(Flemish Region, Walloon Region, Brussels Capital Region and German-speaking Community). Data from the competent inspectorate in
Flanders is collected and reported on the compliance with this obligation. We would like to thank Thomas Rossie and Vincent Vandenameele
(Flemish Social Inspection).
41 We would like to thank Marc Morsa (FPS Social Security).
42 We would like to thank Nancy Segers (TSW), Hilaire Willems (SIOD/SIRS), Hilde Thys (AGORIA) and Natasja Engels (Federgon).
20
should always be clear to the reader, and hopefully also for follow-up research, what has and has not been
measured and how. However, we would first like to point out the added value of the data used. Given the
wealth of data present in the LIMOSA database, and to a lesser extent in the WABRO database, it was
possible to formulate an answer to the research questions.
The availability of data on intra-EU posting and the completeness of it largely depends on the extent to
which companies are obliged to declare, both in the Member State of establishment and in the host Member
State, that they intend to provide services in another Member State.
Let us first discuss the main limitations of the data collected by LIMOSA. A LIMOSA declaration should
be made for employees sent to work on a temporary or part-time basis in Belgium. In other words, workers
who have been hired in a country other than Belgium and habitually work in a country other than Belgium.
Furthermore, a declaration is required for every self-employed who comes to Belgium to pursue a temporal
or partial self-employed activity in a high-risk sector (construction, meat processing industry, and cleaning
industry),43 but who neither resides permanently nor is settled in Belgium. However, there are several
exemptions.44 They depend on the reasons for coming to Belgium and the duration of the stay. The
following activities are exempt from the obligation to make a LIMOSA declaration:
International transport: workers in the international transport sector for passengers and goods are
exempt, with the exception of inland transport in Belgium;
Academic conferences: workers and self-employed persons attending academic conferences in
Belgium are exempt;
Small-group meetings: workers and self-employed persons attending meetings with a closed attendee
list (strategic negotiations, contract negotiations with clients, etc.) are exempt;
Installation and assembly: workers and self-employed persons sent to Belgium for the initial assembly
and/or installation of goods are exempt. This applies only to qualified and/or specialised workers
in the business supplying the goods, or the self-employed supplier. The work may not exceed
eight days. This exemption does not apply to the construction sector;
Urgent repair and maintenance work: specialised technicians from foreign companies and self-
employed persons are exempt if they come to Belgium to carry out urgent maintenance or repair
work on machines or equipment. Machines or equipment must have been delivered by their
employer or by the self-employed persons themselves to the business where the
repair/maintenance took place. Such technicians may not stay on Belgian soil for more than
five days per month;
Self-employed business people: self-employed business people are exempt if they stay on Belgian soil
for business purposes for not more than five days per month. Independent business managers
and agents are also exempt from the declaration requirement if they are participating in company
staff committees and company general meetings in Belgium. They cannot stay in Belgium more
than five days per month for business purposes either;
Athletes: workers in foreign companies are exempt from the requirement to declare if travelling to
Belgium for an international sports competition. They may only stay in Belgium for the duration
of the competition, and a maximum of three months per calendar year. This exemption also
applies to referees, support staff, official representatives, members of staff and any other person
recognised by the international or national sporting federations;
Artists: artists with an international reputation are exempt on the condition that their stay on
Belgian soil for such purposes does not exceed 21 days per quarter. This exemption also applies
to the support staff needed for the performance and who come to Belgium as workers;
Scientists: they are exempt if they participate in a scientific programme at a host university or
scientific institute on Belgian territory. They may not stay for more than three months per
calendar year;
43 In 2012, the European Court of Justice ruled that the LIMOSA declaration for self-employed persons was in contradiction to the free movement
of services (see judgment C-577/10).
44 See also https://www.international.socialsecurity.be/working_in_belgium/en/limosa.html - See ‘who is exempt from LIMOSA?’
21
Public administration staff;
Staff at international institutions: insofar as the institution’s status is governed by an international
treaty that has been ratified;
Diplomats.
Postings that fall under the above activities should not be reported in LIMOSA. This means that the total
number of postings to Belgium as well as the number of postings in certain sectors is underestimated.
Especially short-term postings do not have to be reported. Consequently, it will be the case that the number
of postings in the Belgian metal industry (as ‘installation and assembly’ and ‘urgent repair and maintenance
work’ are exempt from reporting in LIMOSA), in the Belgian live performance sector and in academia is
(strongly) underestimated. In addition, ‘business trips’ are also exempt. This reality creates a risk of
underestimating the number of postings in knowledge-driven sectors and the number of ‘project-driven’
postings. Moreover, because of these exemptions, certain activities and sectors will be overrepresented in
LIMOSA compared to their actual share in the number of incoming postings in Belgium. This is a major
shortcoming. Not least when aiming to formulate policy conclusions based on the findings from the analysis
of the LIMOSA data.
Moreover, not every person posted to Belgium will be reported in LIMOSA, even if a declaration has to
be made for this person. In that respect, the data in this report only show the scale and profile of the
‘reported’ postings. Unfortunately, the number of unreported postings is a ‘dark number’. A positive point
here is that the LIMOSA declaration is a legal obligation under penalty of administrative or criminal
sanctions.45 National legislation obliges the foreign posting undertaken to notify the person posted in the
first place. Moreover, all those for whom work is carried out in Belgium may also be sued if they do not
report to the authorities that proof of a LIMOSA declaration has not been presented.
LIMOSA only reports the intention to send persons to Belgium. Despite the fact that notifications can be
cancelled, it cannot be excluded that no services will be provided in Belgium. Therefore, a notification does
not necessarily equate to actual employment, which is another limitation of the data. The scale of this group
is not known, but probably not too large. Especially for estimating the duration of posting we consider this
is a relevant remark. After all, the reported duration in LIMOSA is not necessarily the same as the actual
duration of posting.
Since October 2017, more detailed figures by sector of activity are available for the group of incoming
posted workers. In the past, only the scale of postings in the construction sector and postings through
temporary employment agencies were known. Despite the possibility to report activities in 17 specific
sectors of activity,46 it appears that a large group of the posted workers (some 25% in 2021) are still reported
under the category ‘other sector’. In addition, we observe that the number of ‘declared’ posted persons in
the construction sector decreased over the past years. This seems to be a statistical artefact rather than a real
decline in postings in the Belgian construction sector. Since the end of 2017, it is requested for activities in
the construction sector (Joint Committee No. 124) whether the employer pays a premium which is
comparable to the applicable ‘fidelity stamps’ in Belgium. There is a real chance that companies avoid this
question by reporting their activities under the category ‘other sector’, despite the fact that they are active
in the construction sector. Consequently, there are doubts about the reliability of the figures by sector of
activity which may lead to premature conclusions. Furthermore, since the end of 2017, the ‘accreditation
45 An employer who has not made a LIMOSA declaration may be subject to a level 4 sanction, namely an administrative fine of between € 2,400
and € 24,000 or a criminal fine of between € 4,800 and € 48,000, multiplied by the number of workers involved. In addition, this can lead to
imprisonment of between 6 months and 3 years (see Article 182 of the Belgian Social Criminal Code) (Elias & Van de Perre, 2021: 275). For a
translation of the Belgian Social Criminal Code see De Coninck et al., 2013. See also Chapter 3 for more detailed figures.
46 Construction; meat processing; agricultural sector; cleaning; security; ICT, financial institutions and insurance; production and distribution of
electricity, gas and water; health care and social services; accommodation and catering; private households; metalwork; electrical
installation and assembly works; petrochemical industry; transport and distribution; wood and furniture industry; trade in other consumer goods.
22
number’ of the foreign temporary employment agency is requested in LIMOSA.47 The introduction of this
question has led to a sharp decline in the number of reported agency workers in LIMOSA. After all, only
agency workers posted by a foreign temporary employment agency with an authorisation are still reported
under this category. The fact that the number of reported posted agency workers was much higher before
2018 seems to indicate that many of these persons were posted by foreign temporary employment agencies
without an authorisation.
In 2012, the European Court of Justice ruled that the LIMOSA declaration for self-employed persons
was in contradiction to the free movement of services (see judgment C-577/10). It was therefore agreed to
transform the general LIMOSA declaration obligation for self-employed persons into a declaration
obligation for specific ‘high risk sectors’ (the construction sector, the meat processing industry, and the
cleaning industry). As a result, the LIMOSA reporting obligation for self-employed persons is limited to
these three sectors as of 1 January 2019. Consequently, a good view is available on the number of incoming
reported posted self-employed persons until 2018, but from 2019 onward, only the number of posted self-
employed persons active in the construction, meat or cleaning sectors are known. This is regrettable for
several reasons, not in the least because monitoring the evolution of the number of posted self-employed
persons is of great importance. Self-employed persons do not fall within the scope of the Posting of Workers
Directive. Consequently, there is a chance that the new provisions in Directive (EU) 2018/957 amending
the Directive 96/71/EC will be circumvented by adopting the self-employed status.
Finally, a distinction should be made between the data available on the number of posted persons for
whom it was reported in LIMOSA that they will be working in Belgium for at least one day in the course of
2021 (it concerns persons for whom a declaration was made in 2021 or in an earlier year) (broad approach)
versus the data on the number of posted persons for whom a LIMOSA declaration was made in 2021 (narrow
approach). The analysis in this report focuses on the first group (some 255,000 persons in 2021). Though, it
might be the case that data is not always available for this group (reported in the ‘business data’ of the
NSSO), which implies that in that case the ‘narrow’ group should be analysed (some 227,000 persons in
2021).
The data from the WABRO database, which is used to outline the profile of outgoing postings, also has
its limitations (see Figure 1). This mainly concerns the question to what extent a PD A1 is a good indicator
to measure posting. PDs A1 are used for various cases: pursuing activities in another Member State on the
basis of Article 12 of the Basic Regulation (i.e., posting); pursuing activities in two or more Member States
on the basis of Article 13 of the Basic Regulation; ‘Article 16 agreements’; civil servants; mariners; flight or
cabin crew members; contract staff of the EU. For the analysis of intra-EU posting, PDs A1 issued
according to Article 12 will be considered in particular. Nonetheless, workers who pursue an activity in two
or more Member States (Article 13 of the Basic Regulation) may fall under the terms and conditions of the
Posting of Workers Directive.
In order to prove that a worker or a self-employed person remains subject to the social security system of
the Member State of origin a PD A1 can be requested by the posting undertaking or the self-employed
person. The current legal framework provides that the employer or the self-employed person must inform
the competent authorities about their planned transnational activities (including ‘business trips’), whenever
possible before these activities take place.48 In practice, authorities are not always informed about these
transnational activities. In that regard, there might be a discrepancy between the number of PDs A1 issued
under Article 12 of the Basic Regulation and the actual number of persons being sent abroad.
47 In order to be able to post agency workers to Belgium, a foreign temporary employment agency should have accreditation from the Belgian
region in which the work is performed. The rules relating to authorisation conditions and procedures exclusively fall within the competence of
the different Regions and Communities concerned (Flemish Region, Walloon Region, Brussels Capital Region and German-speaking
Community). See also https://employment.belgium.be/en/themes/international/posting/working-conditions-be-respected-case-posting-
belgium/temporary-agency
48 This obligation is defined by Article 15 (1) of the Implementing Regulation. As stated by the European Commission in the Practical Guide on
Posting: “as far as the coordination of social security is concerned, Regulations (EC) No 883/2004 and 987/2009 provide that, for every cross-
border work-related activity (including ‘business trips’) the employer, or any self-employed person concerned, is under the obligation to notify
the competent (home) Member State, whenever possible in advance, and obtain a Portable Document A1 (PD A1). That obligation covers
any economic activity, even if only of short duration. These Regulations do not provide for any exceptions for business trips either.”
23
Figure 1. Overview of the limitations of the LIMOSA and WABRO databases
LIMOSA (incoming posting) WABRO (outgoing posting)
Underestimates the extent of incoming posting due to the fact that Contains only data about employees and therefore
certain categories are exempt from the obligation to submit a not about outgoing self-employed persons;
LIMOSA declaration;
Not every person posted to Belgium is reported in LIMOSA. The Having a PD A1 is not obligatory, so there is an
volume of the number of unreported postings is a ‘dark number’; underestimation of outgoing posting;
A notification in LIMOSA does not necessarily equate to being Having a PD A1 does not necessarily equate to
employed in Belgium. Only the intention to post persons to Belgium being employed abroad.
is reported;
The year of notification in LIMOSA does not necessarily correspond
to the year of employment;
Self-reporting on the employment sector may differ from the actual
situation;
Incomplete picture of the number of posted self-employed persons
because there is only a notification requirement for three ‘high-risk
sectors’: construction, meat, and cleaning.
Finally, the limitations of the mapping exercise concerning the infringements related to intra-EU posting
should be highlighted. (Legal) concepts such as “What is an inspection?”, “What is an infringement?” and
“What is fraud?” are difficult to define and quantify. Their qualification often differs between inspection
services and between countries. As a result, there is a risk of comparing ‘apples with oranges’ when trying
to assess the extent of ‘irregular’ postings in a Member State, or when trying to make a comparative analysis
within and between Member States. Moreover, the question arises whether the findings regarding the extent
and profile of violations in case of posting based on data from the labour inspectorates are biased or not (as
referred to in chapter 4). After all, inspections will mostly take place on the basis of a risk assessment (by the
labour inspector, by data matching or data mining, or based on a complaint49), mostly in ‘risk sectors’ (e.g.,
the construction sector). Non-randomized inspections will yield higher infringement rates and may therefore
give a distorted view of the actual scale of infringements related to intra-EU posting. In order to estimate
the real extent of infringements in case of intra-EU posting, research methodologies other than the analysis
of inspection results are more suitable. This could involve a survey of the economic actors involved in
posting (workers, self-employed, posting undertakings, clients) as well as inspections of a random selected
group of posting undertakings/posted workers in all sectors of activity.
49 For instance, since the launch of the Point of Contact for Fair Competition on 5 October 2015, a total of 1,510 reports of possible ‘social
dumping’ have been received (data until 31 December 2020) (SIOD/SIRS, 2022).
24
2. Scale, characteristics and impact of intra-EU
posting
This chapter reports data on persons posted to Belgium but also on persons sent from Belgium to another
country. The latter flow is sometimes forgotten when the topic is discussed in Belgium. By analysing both
perspectives, a statement can be made as to whether the numbers between both flows differ significantly,
as well as their profile.
2.1 To Belgium
This section focuses on quantifying the number of persons posted to Belgium and describes their profile in
detail (by sending country, citizenship and status) mainly based on data from the LIMOSA declaration. As
already stated, these data have some important limitations. The LIMOSA data do not provide an exhaustive
view on the extent and profile of intra-EU posting to Belgium. Nevertheless, it is by far the best data source
that can be used to obtain a picture of both dimensions.
Two drivers are often distinguished when discussing intra-EU posting. Posting of workers can be cost-
driven, with flows from Member States with lower labour costs to Member States with higher labour costs,
often to provide services in labour-intensive and price-sensitive sectors of activity (for instance, in the
construction sector, mostly at large construction sites, in transnational road freight transport, in the meat
processing industry, in agriculture and horticulture etc.). However, intra-EU posting should not be narrowed
down to this driver. In addition, posting of workers can be ‘skills-driven’ and ‘project-driven’. This usually
concerns the provision of temporary services because there are qualitative or quantitative labour
shortages50,51 or because a specific expertise is needed. The figures below show that both drivers (‘cost-
driven’ and ‘skills-driven’) are present in the postings to Belgium.
50 See the recent report on labour shortages and surpluses (McGrath, 2022). A total of 28 occupations, employing 14% in the EU workforce in
2020, were classified as shortages – and 19 occupations were classified as shortages of high magnitude. The list of shortages is dominated by
just four groups of occupations: healthcare related occupations; software professionals; construction, and engineering craft workers. These
four occupation groups account for 21 of the 28 identified shortage occupations and for 64% of the total employment in the 28 occupations.
51 The Belgian construction sector, which is said to be mainly cost-driven, is also facing labour shortages. Roughly 20,000 additional construction
workers are needed. About seven out of ten of the (large) Belgian construction companies have one or more vacancies.
https://www.hln.be/economie/20-000-bouwvakkers-per-jaar-nodig-sector-eist-dat-werklozen-worden-ingezet~a1d39a5c/;
https://confederationconstruction.be/p%C3%A9nurie-de-main-d%E2%80%99%C5%93uvre-dans-la-construction-tous-ceux-qui-veulent-
travailler-sont-les-bienvenus
52 For some 227,000 persons a LIMOSA declaration was made in 2021 (narrow approach).
53 Note that this only concerns the group of persons reported in LIMOSA. The actual number of persons posted to Belgium, including those not
reported in LIMOSA, is not known.
25
Figure 2. Evolution of the number of persons reported in LIMOSA, 2015 - 2021
244,144 3.2%
245,000 241,368
2.3% 2.0%
% change
240,000
-0.6% 0.0%
235,000 232,649
231,168
-2.0%
230,000
-4.0%
225,000
215,000 -8.0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Number % change
This group of 255,000 posted persons will not have provided services in Belgium at the same moment in
2021, mainly because they are often posted for a relatively short period of time.54 As such, it is important
to know the average of the number of incoming posted persons active in the Belgian economy. In 2020,
there were about 136,500 posted persons active in Belgium on average, of which approximately 119,000
were employed and 18,000 self-employed (Table 1).
The number of posted persons does not necessarily follow a stable evolution over the year. In 2021, the
greatest peak in posted persons was visible in the months of October and November, while the level was
significantly lower in January. A similar evolution during the reference year occurred in 2018 and 2019. Only
in 2020, because of the COVID-19 pandemic, a completely other evolution occurred (see Chapter 4).
54 The average duration of the posting period per person amounted to 170 days in 2021 (see section 2.1.2.6).
26
Other data sources may also give an indication of the inflow of persons posted to Belgium. Below we briefly
discuss some possible data sources and their (dis)advantages.
Firstly, the number of persons who have received a PD A1 for activities in Belgium can be counted.
Nevertheless, there will be a discrepancy between the number of incoming posted persons with a PD A1
and the number of persons notified in LIMOSA. Indeed, persons with a PD A1 for Belgium may not have
been reported in LIMOSA. For instance, workers who are sent for a very short period to Belgium (for
example, workers on ‘business trips’, attending conferences and meetings) may have a PD A1 under Article
12 BR while being exempt from notification in LIMOSA. In addition, international truck drivers may have
a PD A1 under Article 13 BR but their activities will not be reported in LIMOSA. The overlap between
LIMOSA declarations versus PDs A1 granted under Article 12 BR and under Article 13 BR is difficult to
determine exactly. It seems appropriate to look especially at PDs A1 issued under Article 12 BR if a
comparison is to be made with LIMOSA data. In 2020,55 approximately 169,000 PDs A1 were issued under
Article 12 BR to posted workers and self-employed persons who were temporarily sent to Belgium (De
Wispelaere et al., 2022). Several PDs A1 may have been granted to the same person during 2020. However,
it is not known how many posted workers and self-employed workers are involved. The main reason why
the number of PDs A1 received under Article 12 by Belgium is (much) lower than the number of
declarations in LIMOSA is probably due to the compulsory nature of a LIMOSA declaration.56 A LIMOSA
declaration is a legal obligation under penalty of administrative or criminal sanctions, while having a PD A1
is not a precondition for posting. Consequently, in practice, a posting may take place towards Belgium
without the institutions in the sending Member State being informed of it.
Secondly, posting of workers and the export/import of services are strongly linked to each other.
Consequently, detailed data on the import of services can be an interesting source for mapping the
importance of posting. The Balance of Payments (BoP) provides data on international trade in services. This
is a statistical statement that summarises, over a given period of time, all the transactions of an economy
with the rest of the world. The balance of payments records all economic transactions undertaken between
the residents and non-residents of an economy during a given period. It thus provides information on the
total value of credits (or exports) and debits (or imports) for each BoP item and on the net result or ‘balance’
(credits minus debits) of the transactions with each partner. More specifically, the BoP makes it possible to
analyse the import of services in sectors with a high number of posted workers. These data are used when
discussing postings to the Belgian construction sector (see subsection 2.1.2.5) as they complement the available
LIMOSA data. Unfortunately, these data do not give any indication of the number of persons involved.
Furthermore, under the General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS), services can be traded
internationally in four different ways - known as the four modes.57 Mode 4 refers to the presence of persons
in the territory of another country for the purpose of providing a service (UNECE, 2006; Magdeleine &
Maurer, 2008, 2009). Unfortunately, there are no data available for Belgium quantifying GATS mode 4.
Finally, another data source that might be used as a proxy for measuring the inflow of posted workers are
tourism statistics on persons travelling abroad for business or professional purposes. Such data are collected
and reported by Eurostat.58 These data have some important limitations. For instance, as stated by the
United Nations Economic Commission for Europe – UNECE (2011a: 170) “It would be necessary to refine
these figures to identify the persons actually involved in the trading of services, since the tourism definition
covers other types of business visitors. It is not clear how well the category of business and professional
purposes is identified (i.e., to what extent it does not in practice cover people with an employment contract
– thus in many countries entry-exit cards refer to ‘work’, without distinguishing clearly between an
employment and a service contract).” Furthermore, trips for business and professional purposes can include
27
a wide range of trips, including training and conferences. These data do not include same-day visits, but
only trips with overnight stays. Between 2017 and 2020, there were approximately 2 million trips for business
and professional purposes from another Member State (mainly from the Netherlands and France) to
Belgium. This figure seems to indicate that the number of incoming posted persons to Belgium based on
the LIMOSA declarations is a strong underestimation of reality, especially because various activities and
sectors are exempt from making a declaration in LIMOSA (e.g., small group meetings, academic
conferences, self-employed business people etc.). Though, it should be acknowledged that the figure of
‘2 million’ also needs to be nuanced (see above comments). Moreover, it should be noted that one person can
make several trips per year.
Over the past decade, EU-14 Member States have always been the largest group of ‘sending’ Members of
posted persons to Belgium. Nevertheless, the relative importance of posted persons from the EU-13
increased significantly (from some 25% in 2008 to 46% in 2021) (Figure 3). In that regard, it might be a
matter of time before most of the posted persons coming to Belgium will have an employer established in
an EU-13 Member State. In fact, this is already the case in various labour-intensive sectors of activity (for
instance in the Belgian construction sector). Furthermore, this is also the case when a distinction is made
between the status of the person posted to Belgium (Figure 4). Data for 2021 show that posted self-employed
28
persons are mostly coming from an EU-13 Member State. Almost half of the posted self-employed persons
visible in the LIMOSA-data come from Poland. Moreover, a large group of posted self-employed persons
originate from the Netherlands and Slovakia.
The number of posted persons from outside the EU is of little importance (some 3% in total for 2021).
These persons mainly come from the United Kingdom and India. However, based on data by nationality, it
will appear that many persons posted from another Member State to Belgium are third country nationals
(TCNs).
Figure 3. Share in number of persons reported in LIMOSA, by region of the sending country, 2020 vs 2021
2020 2021
Share in total number of persons reported in
60% 60%
54%
51%
30% 30%
10% 10%
4% 3%
0% 0%
EU-14 EU-13 Extra-EU EU-14 EU-13 Extra-EU
Figure 4. Share in total number of persons reported in LIMOSA, by sending country and status, 2021
Workers Self-employed
Share in total number of posted workers
25% 60%
21.2% 49.6%
persons reported in LIMOSA
20% 50%
reported in LIMOSA
16.1%
40%
15% 12.2%
30%
10% 8.4% 7.9% 19.3%
7.4%
6.4% 20%
5% 3.3% 2.5% 9.6%
2.1% 10% 3.0% 3.0% 2.2% 2.1% 1.7% 1.6%
0% 0%
29
persons, it appears that about 17% of the persons posted to Belgium are of Dutch origin, 15% of Polish
origin and finally 9% of Ukrainian origin.
Approximately four out of ten of the persons posted to Belgium are nationals of an EU-14 Member State
and one third of an EU-13 Member State (Figure 5). In most cases there is a strong link between the sending
country and the nationality of the persons posted to Belgium. However, this link has recently become
blurred in some sending countries,61 largely due to the strong increase in the number of TCNs posted from
another Member State to Belgium.62
As far as TCNs are concerned, a distinction should be made between 1) those who are posted to Belgium
directly from a third country and 2) those who are posted to Belgium via an employer established in another
Member State. Figure 3 showed that the first situation is rather limited in scale. For instance, in 2021, only
42 persons were posted directly from Ukraine to Belgium. This while 24,400 Ukrainians (23,429 workers
and 971 self-employed) were posted to Belgium from another Member State (Table 3). Indeed, the reality is
completely different if we take a look at the nationality of intra-EU posted persons. In 2021, about one out
of four persons posted to Belgium are TCNs (Figure 5). This is an incredibly high percentage. Moreover, the
importance of the group of TCNs posted to Belgium increased over a very short period (see also Cillo,
2020; Lens et al., 2021a; Mussche & Lens, 2019).
The posted TCNs mainly concern Ukrainians (38% of the posted TCNs), Belarusians (17% of the posted
TCNs), Brazilians (8% of the posted TCNs) and Bosnians and Herzegovinians (4% of the posted TCNs).
The relative importance of the number of Ukrainians and Belarusians in the total number of posted workers
increased dramatically in a very short period. Both nationalities hardly appeared in the LIMOSA statistics
before 2018. In 2021, the number of posted Ukrainians increased by 75% compared to 2020 and the number
of posted Belarusians even by 125%. Moreover, the number of posted persons for both nationalities rose
sharply during the COVID-19 pandemic (+69% compared to 2019 for Ukrainians and +263% for
Belarusians). Due to these strong increase in both 2020 and 2021, Ukrainian posted workers represent 10%
and Belarusian posted workers 5% of the total number of posted workers in Belgium.
61 This is especially the case for Luxembourg. Most of the persons posted from Luxembourg are French, Belgian or Portuguese nationals. Only 3%
are nationals from Luxembourg.
62 The fact that TCNs can be mobile as posted workers across the EU was enabled by the European Court of Justice (ECJ) in the Vander Elst case
of 1994 (Case C-43/93). The Court decided that TCNs who have a valid work and residence permit in one Member State are free to be posted
in any other Member State across the EU.
30
Figure 5. Share in total number of persons reported in LIMOSA, by nationality, by region, 2021 vs 2020
2020 2021
Share in total number of persons
reported in LIMOSA
35% 30% 26%
30%
25%
25% 20% 20%
20%
15%
15%
10% 10%
5% 5%
0% 0%
EU-14 EU-13 TCNs EU-14 EU-13 TCNs
Six main ‘routes’ of TCNs posted to Belgium can be identified (Table 4 and Figure 6). By far the most
important route is that of Ukrainians who are posted to Belgium from Poland. These persons are mainly
active in the construction and road transport sector. In addition, a lot of Ukrainians are posted from
Lithuania, who are mainly active in road transport. Both Poland and Lithuania are also important sending
Member States of posted Belarusians to Belgium. Finally, there is a route of posted Brazilians from Portugal
and of posted Bosnians and Herzegovinians from Slovenia to Belgium.
In 2021, roughly 12,500 Ukrainians were posted to Belgium by a Polish employer (or they are self-
employed) and 8,400 Ukrainians were posted to Belgium by a Lithuanian employer. Furthermore, some
7,200 Belarusians were posted to Belgium by a Lithuanian employer and 2,500 Belarusians were posted to
Belgium by a Polish employer. Finally, approximately 4,300 Brazilians were posted by a Portuguese
employer, mainly to the Belgian construction sector.
A stated before, the link between the sending country and the nationality of the persons posted to Belgium
has become blurred in several sending countries. This is the case for Poland, Lithuania, Portugal, and
Slovenia, among others, due to the high number of TCNs posted from these Member States (Figure 7). For
instance, more than eight out of ten persons posted from Lithuania to Belgium are not Lithuanians, but
Ukrainians and Belarusians. A similar situation occurs in Slovenia, where only 13% of the persons posted
to Belgium are Slovenians. Furthermore, 63% of the persons posted from Poland to Belgium are Polish. An
increasing number of persons posted from Poland to Belgium are Ukrainians. In 2021 posted TCNs with
the Ukrainian nationality accounted for 26% of the persons posted from Poland, while this was ‘only’ 16%
in 2020 and 13% in 2019. These figures give the impression that Ukrainians are gradually replacing Polish
nationals in the postings from Poland to Belgium. Indeed, there is a strong overrepresentation of this group:
Ukrainian nationals make up around 5% of the workforce in Poland, but more than five times as much of
the workforce which is posted from Poland to Belgium.
31
Figure 6. Main sending countries of posted TCNs reported in LIMOSA, 2021
Ukrainians Belarusians
Other Other
100% 100%
countries
countries
90% 6% 90% Poland
1%
80% Lithuania 80% 26%
reported in LIMOSA
reported in LIMOSA
70% 38% 70%
60% 60%
50% 50%
40% 40% Lithuania
30% Poland 30% 74%
56%
20% 20%
10% 10%
0% 0%
Ukrainians Belarusians
70% 70%
60% 60%
50% Portugal 50%
96% Slovenia
40% 40% 83%
30% 30%
20% 20%
10% 10%
0% 0%
Brazilians Bosnians and Herzegovinians
Figure 7. Main nationalities of persons posted from Member States with a high number of TCNs, 2021
15%
Poland reported in LIMOSA
nationalities Other
90% 90%
nationalities
Portugal reported in LIMOSA
15%
80% 80% 33%
Brazil
70% 24% 70%
Kosovo
60% 60%
15%
50% 50%
40% 40% Bosnia and
Portugal Herzegovina
30% 30%
61% 38%
20% 20%
10% 10% Slovenia
0% 0% 13%
Portugal Slovenia
32
Finally, we can have a look at which nationalities are most common according to the sector of employment
(see Table 5 - selection of the main sectors of activity excluding ‘other sector’). Polish nationals are the main group of
posted persons in the construction sector, the metal industry, and the meat processing sector. In the
transport sector, mainly Ukrainians and Belarusians are employed. Dutch nationals are the main group of
posted persons in electrical installation and assembly works, the petrochemical industry, and cleaning.
Finally, the ICT sector mainly employs nationals from India.
Calculations from Constructiv based on LIMOSA data show that the posted workers employed in the
Belgian construction sector are mainly Dutch, Portuguese, Ukrainian, Polish, and Romanian nationals
(Table 6). Ukrainian posted workers represent 9.3% of the total number of posted workers active in the
Belgian construction sector. Their number even exceeds the number of Polish posted workers active in the
Belgian construction sector. Posted self-employed persons active in the Belgian construction sector are
mainly Polish nationals and, to a lesser extent, Dutch and Slovakian nationals.
33
2.1.2.3 By status: workers vs self-employed
In this section a distinction is made between the number of posted workers and the number of posted self-
employed persons. The monitoring of the evolution of the number of posted self-employed persons is of
great importance, not least because this group does not fall within the scope of the Posting of Workers
Directive. Consequently, there might be a chance that the Directive is circumvented by adopting the self-
employed status. Unfortunately, as mentioned before, the data on posted self-employed workers is most
probably even less complete than the data on posted workers and such for Belgium in particular.63
About 13% of the persons reported in LIMOSA have the self-employed status. The share of self-
employed persons in the total group remained stable in recent years (Figure 8 – left graph). After the revised
Posting of Workers Directive entered into force (July 2020), there has been no increase in the number of
posted self-employed persons in Belgium, either in terms of numbers or their share in the total group of
posted persons.
What is striking is that a large group of persons from Poland and Slovakia are self-employed (Figure 8 –
right graph). This concerns 31% of the persons posted from Poland to Belgium and even 50% of the persons
posted from Slovakia64 to Belgium. This creates a remarkable reality for the postings from Poland to
Belgium: posted workers are mainly Ukrainians, while posted self-employed persons are mainly Polish
nationals.
Moreover, the percentage of posted self-employed workers in total appears to be much higher in the
Belgian construction sector. Almost three out of ten persons reported in LIMOSA and providing services
in the construction sector have a self-employed status.
90%
100% 1% 4% 2% 2% 4%
12%
80% 90%
31%
80%
70% 50%
70%
60% 60%
50% 99% 96% 98% 98% 96%
50% 88%
40%
84% 87% 87% 86% 86% 86% 87% 69%
40% 30%
50%
20%
30%
10%
20% 0%
10%
0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
63 Since 2019, the LIMOSA reporting obligation for self-employed persons is limited to three ‘high risk sectors’ (i.e., the construction sector, the
meat processing industry, and the cleaning industry).
64 However, the overall share of the self-employed in Slovakia is only slightly above the EU average. For an explanation of the high share of self-
employed persons in total for Slovakia see Kováčová et al., 2021.
See also https://www.missoc.org/documents/self-employed/2021_07/self_2107_sk_en.pdf for more information about the self-employment
status in Slovakia.
34
earlier, since the end of 2017, the ‘accreditation number’ of the foreign temporary employment agency is
requested in LIMOSA. As a result, only agency workers posted by a foreign temporary employment agency
with an authorisation are still reported under this category. The fact that the number of reported posted
agency workers was much higher before 2018 seems to indicate that many of these ‘agency workers’ were
posted by foreign temporary employment agencies without an authorisation (see also input from Federgon).
Figure 9. Main sectors of activity of workers posted to Belgium, share in total, 2019
10%
8.9%
9%
Share in total number of incoming posted wokrers
8%
7% 6.7%
6.3%
6% 5.5%
5%
4%
3.2%
2.7%
3%
2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 1.9%
2%
1%
0%
Construction of Building Electrical, Other specialised Wholesale of other Other specialised Architectural and Freight transport Computer Manufacture of
residential and completion and plumbing and construction machinery, wholesale engineering by road and programming, structural metal
non-residential finishing other construction activities equipment and activities and removal services consultancy and products
buildings installation supplies related technical related activities
activities consultancy
65 Similar results were reported in a study of 2017 (De Wispelaere & Pacolet, 2017). In this study, the company number of the Belgian client
registered in LIMOSA, which has enlisted the services of posted workers employed in the construction sector, was linked to the Bel-first database
(a database with the financial accounts of all private firms in Belgium).
35
Focus on the Belgian construction sector
In 2021, the Belgian construction sector received 87,470 posted workers and self-employed, of which 63,530
posted workers66 (73% of total) and 23,940 self-employed persons (27% of total) (calculations from
Constructiv based on LIMOSA data). Consequently, roughly one out of three persons posted to Belgium is
active in the construction sector. Above figures might be a (strong) underestimation of the real situation,
mainly due to the changes made in the LIMOSA declaration since the end of 2017.67 After all, in 2015,
roughly 131,000 posted persons active in the construction sector were registered in LIMOSA. Moreover,
between 2013 and 2016, the proportion of posted persons in the construction sector fluctuated between
50% and 60% of the total number of posted persons to Belgium.
Furthermore, figures from the Balance of Payments (BoP) on the import of services in the Belgian
construction sector give an indication of the inflow of persons posted to Belgium (cf. Table 7). Most of the
services imported by the Belgian construction industry come from the neighbouring countries the
Netherlands, France, and Germany. In addition, a large part of the services is imported from Poland and
Portugal. These Member States are also important sending Member States of posted workers to the Belgian
construction sector. The percentage share of Poland in total is much lower in the figures on the export of
services than in the figures on incoming posted workers. This is an indicator that the cost charged/paid for
posted workers coming from Poland is significantly lower compared to those coming from the Netherlands,
France, and Germany (see also De Wispelaere & Pacolet, 2017). The importance of Germany in the total
volume of import of services to the Belgian construction sector decreased between 2011 and 2019, while
the importance of both Portugal and Poland increased over the same period. Imports of services from the
Netherlands experienced a very sharp increase in 2017. In the years that followed (2018 and 2019), the
import from the Netherlands returned to its previous levels. Therefore, the overall level of services imported
in 2017 should be considered an outlier compared to other years.
When the import of services to the Belgian construction sector is added to personnel costs for local
employment, the expenditure for posting can be compared with the total personnel cost. This goes without
saying that the total amount paid for imported services does not only include personnel costs for the posted
workers but also additional costs (such as transport costs, accommodation and administrative costs), taxes
(e.g., VAT) as well as the profit the posting undertaking wants to make on exporting services via posting.
In 2019, expenditure for imported services accounted for 11% of total personnel costs in the Belgian
construction sector. The import of services can also be compared with the added value since not only
personnel costs are taken into account but also the gross operating surplus of companies and the income of
self-employed persons. In 2019, expenditure for importing services accounted for 7% of the added value in
the Belgian construction sector.
As mentioned before, imported services are sometimes referred to as a source of ‘leakage’ because they
have the effect of transferring income that was earned in one country to another country. In case of intra-
EU posting, funds are used to import services from posting undertakings, resulting in an outflow of money.
This risk clearly occurs in the Belgian construction sector. For instance, in the recovery and resilience plan
that Belgium submitted to the European Commission in the framework of the Recovery and Resilience
Facility,68 a lot of money is going to renovation and infrastructure projects that benefit the Belgian
construction sector. According to the Federal Planning Bureau’s projections (2021) the implementation of
the plan is expected to create a moderate number of additional jobs over the period 2021-2026. This positive
impact would in particular come from the construction sector, reflecting the large share of investments in
the plan dedicated to construction and renovation of buildings and dwellings. However, given the large
66 Employed by some 7,625 posting undertakings. About nine out of ten posted workers are employed by one employer.
67 See Chapter 1 of the report. For activities in the construction sector (Joint Committee No. 124) it is asked whether the employer pays a premium
that is comparable to the premium ‘loyalty stamps’ in Belgium. There is a real chance that posting undertakings avoid this question by reporting
their activities under the category ‘other sector’. Consequently, there are doubts about the reliability of the figures on the number of posted
workers in the Belgian construction sector.
68 See https://ec.europa.eu/info/business-economy-euro/recovery-coronavirus/recovery-and-resilience-facility/belgiums-recovery-and-
resilience-plan_en
36
presence of foreign companies and workers by the posting of workers, the Belgian recovery plan will not
only benefit the Belgian economy, but also foreign employment and consumption.
Finally, the exemption from payment of wage withholding tax for shift work in the construction and related
sectors,69 together with the so-called ‘tax shift’,70 undoubtedly represents a sizeable tax break for the
69 The wage withholding tax exemption amounted to 3% of taxable remuneration in 2018 and 6% of taxable remuneration in 2019. In 2020, the
measure was ‘at full speed’ as the exemption amounted to 18% of taxable remuneration.
70 This includes a reduction in employer contributions from 33 to 25%.
37
construction sector. The question arises as to what extent these measures had an impact on the evolution
of the number of incoming posted workers in the construction sector. Due to doubts about the reliability
of the LIMOSA data for the construction sector, as of 2018, it is not possible to make any conclusions
about the impact.
% share in total
Less than 8 days 32%
Between 8 days and 1 month 17%
Between 1 month and 6 months 28%
Between 6 months and 12 months 9%
Between 12 months and 18 months 11%
Longer than 18 months 2%
Source LIMOSA database
38
Table 10. Average duration of the posting period reported in LIMOSA, Belgian construction sector, 2021
Posted workers Posted self-employed persons
1 to 7 days 33.5% 27.8%
8 to 14 days 7.1% 7.1%
15 to 29 days 11.7% 10.6%
30 to 60 days 14.0% 13.0%
61 to 120 days 15.8% 13.7%
Longer than 120 days 17.9% 27.8%
100% 100%
Source Data from Constructiv based on LIMOSA data
Table 11. Profile of Belgian clients with posted workers compared to the profile of non-users, 2019
The average number of foreign service suppliers per Belgian client doubled between 2010 and 2019. In
2010, Belgian clients had on average 1.8 service foreign suppliers per year (Figure 10). In 2019, Belgian clients
had on average 3.7 foreign service suppliers per year.
The graph at the right-hand side of Figure 10 shows the relationship between the average number of
posting undertakings per Belgian client and the number of years a Belgian client uses posted workers. The
graph shows an increasing evolution over time: the longer a Belgian client is using posted workers the more
‘diversified’ its pool of suppliers.
39
Figure 10. Average number of posting undertakings per Belgian client, 2010 - 2019
4.0 3.7
undertakings per Belgian client
3.5
Average number of posting
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
Figure 11. Share of local blue-collar workers in total employment (incl. posted workers) at Belgian
clients, 2008-2019
71 However, some methodological remarks should be made. First, there a risk that these percentages are influenced by Belgian clients that fall
out of the reference group (or come in). For instance, a Belgian client that made use of posted workers in 2017 but no longer in 2018. Ideally
only the group of clients that have always made use of posted workers between 2010 and 2019 was selected. Second, the evolution may also
be influenced by the evolution of the number of white-collar workers.
40
2.1.2.8 By wage level
In principle, posted workers are entitled to the same ‘remuneration’ as local workers (instead of equal
‘minimum rates of pay’ as provided for under the previous version of the Posting of Workers Directive).
Of course, this principle does not apply when the remuneration in the ‘sending’ Member State is higher
compared to that of the ‘receiving Member State. Figure 12 shows by how much the gross wage has to be
multiplied when persons are posted to Belgium. This exercise was carried out by comparing the minimum
wage applicable in Belgium with the minimum wage applicable in the sending Member State (1.0 = minimum
wage in Belgium is equal to the minimum wage in the sending Member State). The same is done for the
median gross earnings. Ideally, this exercise could be made by taking into account the applicable sectoral
collective agreements and all components of the remuneration. The calculations in Figure 12 are therefore a
simplification of by how much the wage (i.e., remuneration) of the posted worker will have to be multiplied
if (s)he is temporarily employed in Belgium. For example, the minimum wage will have to be multiplied by
5.2 if a worker is posted from Bulgaria to Belgium. For a limited number of sending Member States, wages
will stay the same when workers are posted to Belgium (i.e., multiplied by a figure lower than 1). This will
be the case in all Member States with higher (minimum) wages (such as the Nordic countries and the
neighbouring countries of Belgium). It is estimated that about seven out of ten workers sent to Belgium will
receive a higher wage for their activities in Belgium compared to their wages in the sending state.
Figure 12. Posting of workers from MS X to Belgium. By how much should the gross wage be multiplied?
(estimate), 2020
8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
Latvia
Denmark
Finland
France
Italy
Hungary
Romania
Ireland
Netherlands
Austria
Cyprus
Luxembourg
Germany
Spain
Slovenia
Greece
Slovak Republic
Poland
Bulgaria
Malta
Estonia
Czech Republic
Lithuania
Portugal
Sweden
Croatia
Next, an estimate is made of the total amount of gross wages that posted persons will receive in Belgium.72
These amounts are compared to the gross wages that they should receive in their country of origin.
It is estimated that the gross wages for the persons posted to Belgium amounted to around € 2 billion in
2020 (Table 12). If they had not been posted but had been employed in their country of origin, their wages
would have been approximately € 700 million lower. Consequently, their wages have increased by about
50% (at least in theory).
At the same time, the Belgian state does not receive a considerable amount of labour tax revenues because
social security contributions for incoming posted workers have to be paid in the sending Member State and
not in Belgium. It is estimated that this amounts to more than € 750 million.73 Still this is ‘only’ about 1%
of the annual sum of labour tax revenues received by the Belgian State from social security contributions.74
72 Including posted self-employed persons. It is therefore assumed that they will charge an amount that is comparable to the Belgian minimum
wage. Which, of course, is not necessarily the case in practice.
73 By taking into account an employee social security contribution rate of 13.07% and an employer social security contribution rate of 24.9%.
74 Based on ESSPROS data. In 2019, receipts from social contributions amounted to € 82.4 billion in Belgium.
41
Table 12. Estimated increase of the gross wages for persons posted to Belgium, in €, 2020
Number
Wage at the
of Wage at the
Minimum Duration level of the %
incoming level of Difference**
wage (in days) sending increase**
posted Belgium**
Member State
persons
Belgium 1,626
Bulgaria 312 5,620 196 11,078,947 57,748,773 46,669,827 421%
Czech Republic 546 3,145 149 8,267,074 24,615,289 16,348,215 198%
Denmark* 3,107 891 164 14,684,484 14,684,484 0 0%
Germany 1,544 19,481 95 92,299,473 97,184,650 4,885,177 5%
Estonia 584 155 102 297,199 827,334 530,135 178%
Ireland 1,707 438 212 5,114,258 5,114,258 0 0%
Greece 758 492 161 1,940,273 4,159,588 2,219,315 114%
Spain 1,108 3,416 147 17,972,465 26,362,361 8,389,896 47%
France 1,539 16,435 131 106,937,846 112,932,790 5,994,944 6%
Croatia 546 1,743 153 4,683,413 13,943,119 9,259,705 198%
Italy* 1,611 4,406 134 30,786,782 31,068,086 281,304 1%
Cyprus* 886 281 130 1,047,166 1,921,444 874,277 83%
Latvia 430 591 116 948,289 3,585,237 2,636,948 278%
Lithuania 607 14,704 175 50,302,286 134,723,941 84,421,655 168%
Luxembourg 2,142 7,951 124 67,984,690 67,984,690 0 0%
Hungary 452 2,171 183 5,796,529 20,871,151 15,074,622 260%
Malta 777 25 94 58,909 123,240 64,331 109%
Netherlands 1,680 53,927 198 579,898,823 579,898,823 0 0%
Austria* 1,852 739 106 4,684,485 4,684,485 0 0%
Poland 583 41,737 182 142,785,254 397,835,133 255,049,879 179%
Portugal 741 18,029 175 75,288,283 165,216,942 89,928,659 119%
Romania 461 13,074 202 39,323,881 138,745,185 99,421,305 253%
Slovenia 941 4,917 177 26,396,689 45,604,278 19,207,589 73%
Slovak Republic 580 5,624 184 19,390,242 54,350,180 34,959,938 180%
Finland* 2,381 247 94 1,782,601 1,782,601 0 0%
Sweden* 2,665 314 169 4,562,824 4,562,824 0 0%
1,314,313,164 2,010,530,884 696,217,720 53%
* DK, IT, CY, AT, FI and SE do not have a national minimum wage. First decile monthly earnings (not median wage as in
previous figure) are used for these Member States.
** Wage level of sending Member State is taken into account if it is higher than the wage level in Belgium.
Source LIMOSA database and Eurostat
42
thus much lower than those issued by other Member States to carry out temporary activities in Belgium.
Indeed, in 2020, approximately 169,000 PDs A1 were issued under Article 12 BR to posted workers and
self-employed persons who were temporarily sent to Belgium (De Wispelaere et al., 2022).
Table 13. Total number of Portable A1 documents issued by the Belgian authorities, 2020
In order to assess the importance of postings from Belgium to other Member States, it is best to look at the
number of persons with a PD A1 and thus not at the raw number of certificates issued (Table 14). In 2020,
approximately 25,500 workers with a PD A1 issued under Article 12 BR were posted to another Member
State, this on average twice a year. The number of known outgoing posted workers thus appears to be much
lower than the number of incoming posted workers. This becomes even clearer when looking at the number
of workers with a PD A1 issued under Article 12 BR who were abroad at a specific moment of the year. In
each case, it concerns only around 1,400 posted workers, which shows that the period that posted workers
stay abroad is also of a (very) short duration.
Table 14. Different concepts to measure the number of outgoing posted workers, 2020
Total PDs A1
Number of PDs A1 123,839
Number of persons involved 70,445
5 March 47,163
4 June 45,574
3 September 47,664
3 December 48,550
Issued to posted workers (Article 12.1)
Number of PDs A1 54,406
Number of persons involved 25,481
PDs A1 issued per posted worker 2.1
5 March 1,482
4 June 1,362
3 September 1,364
3 December 1,403
Source WABRO database
Another data source that can be used as a proxy for measuring the outflow of posted workers are tourism
statistics on persons travelling abroad for business or professional purposes. Between 2017 and 2020, there
were approximately 900,000 trips for business and professional purposes from Belgium to another Member
43
State, mostly to the neighbouring countries France (29%), the Netherlands (16%), and Germany (16%).75
This figure seems to indicate that the number of outgoing posted persons to Belgium based on the WABRO
database is a strong underestimation of reality. In practice, authorities are not always informed about
outgoing transnational activities. Consequently, there might be a discrepancy between the number of PDs
A1 issued by the competent administrations in Belgium and the actual scale of persons providing services
abroad. Finally, this data source also confirms that the inflow of posted persons is much higher than the
outflow. Between 2017 and 2020, there were approximately 2 million trips for business and professional
purposes from another Member State (mainly from the Netherlands and France) to Belgium.
Figure 13. Main receiving countries of posted workers from Belgium, 2020
40%
33%
Share in total number of outgoing posted
35%
31%
30%
25%
workers
20%
14%
15% 13%
9%
10%
5%
0%
France The Netherlands Luxembourg Germany Other countries
44
sector fell sharply. In addition, posted workers from Belgium are active in the construction sector (of
neighbouring countries), more specifically in following activities: building completion and finishing;
electrical, plumbing and other construction installation activities; other specialised construction activities.
Therefore, it is certainly not the case that posting in the construction sector is a reality only from a receiving
perspective. Finally, a large group of outgoing posted workers is active in other (sub)sectors.
Figure 14. Main sectors of activity of posted workers from Belgium, 2019
50%
Share in total number of outgoing posted workers
45%
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
25%
20%
14%
15%
10%
4% 4% 3%
5% 3% 2%
0%
Temporary Creative, arts Building Electrical, Other specialised Construction of Motion picture, Other sectors
employment and completion and plumbing and construction residential and video and
agency activities entertainment finishing other activities non-residential television
activities construction buildings programme
installation activities
activities
2.2.2.3 By duration
The period persons can pursue an activity under Article 12 BR is set at a maximum of 24 months. This does
not necessarily imply that this is also the real duration. The average duration applicable to the PDs A1 issued
by the competent Belgian administration under Article 12 BR amounted to 42 days in 2020 (De Wispelaere
et al., 2022).
The majority of the PDs A1 issued under Article 12 BR applies to a period of less than a month, even a
week. The posting period in the live performance sector is even limited to only a few days. In Table 15, data
for 2019 shows that 28% of the transnational activities in the live performance sector is limited to one day
and almost 90% of the transnational activities is limited to one week.
Table 15. Number of PDs A1 issued according to Article 12 BR for activities in the live performance
sector, by duration, Belgium, 2019
Duration %
1 day 28%
More than 1 day and less than 8 days 59%
Between 8 and 14 days 8%
Between 15 and 31 days 3%
Between 1 and 6 months 2%
Between 6 and 12 months 0%
Longer than 12 months 0%
Total 100%
Source De Wispelaere et al., 2021 based on data received from the NSSO.
45
2.2.3 Retroactive request for a Portable Document A1
The current legal framework provides that the employer or the person concerned (i.e., the posted self-
employed person) must inform the competent authorities about their planned transnational activities,
whenever possible before these activities take place.76 Consequently, in some/several cases, a posting may
take place without the institutions being informed.77 Moreover, in some/several cases the PD A1 is awarded
with retroactive effect.78 In that case, a request for a PD A1 is made during or even after the posting activities
took place. Recently, some Member States such as France and Austria seem to be much stricter in their
judgment of having a PD A1 as a condition for being ‘legally’ posted to their territory. They implemented
sanctions in case of failure to show a PD A1 and/or are currently carrying out far more inspections on
having a PD A1. As there are often high administrative sanctions if no proof can be delivered, it might be
an incentive for posting undertakings to ask for a PD A1. Consequently, such measures may have an impact
on the number of requested PDs A1 in advance but also retroactively.
The number of postings that have taken place without a PD A1 or for which a PD A1 was applied for
retroactively is unknown. The added value of having such data became clear during the negotiations on the
revision of the Coordination Regulations. In the provisional agreements among Council of Ministers,
European Parliament, and European Commission (in that of 25 March 2019: Document 7698/19 ADD1
REV1 of 25 March 2019,79and in that of 17 December 2021: Document 15068/21 of 17 December 202180) it was
agreed that the employer or the posted self-employed person should inform the competent institution ‘in
advance’ (i.e., ‘a mandatory prior notification’), except for ‘business trips’81,82. It is rather unclear what the
impact will be of such a provision on both posting undertakings and the competent institutions.
Table 16 sheds light on the number of PDs A1 granted retroactively by the NSSO on the basis of
Article 12 BR. On average, between 2017 and 2020, about 23% of PDs A1 under Article 12 BR were not
granted in advance. The percentage of PDs A1 granted retroactively is stable over this period. The fact that
the percentage of PDs A1 granted retroactively is so high is somewhat surprising, as the application
procedure for the PD A1 in Belgium being relatively easy, certainly in comparison with other Member States.
Furthermore, given the enforcement policy in Austria and France (cf. supra), a higher percentage of PDs A1
issued retroactively was expected for both countries. This does not appear to be the case on the basis of the
data. Indeed, the percentage of PDs A1 issued retroactively does not seem to vary greatly depending on the
Member State to which the worker was posted.
Table 16. Number and percentage of PDs A1 granted retroactively on the basis of Art. 12 BR, 2017-2020
46
2.3 Measuring the importance of intra-EU posting in total employment in Belgium
The place of establishment of the employer is decisive for counting total employment (as determined in the
‘system of national accounts – SNA 2008’83, and the ‘European system of national and regional accounts -
ESA 2010’84). Consequently, employment in a country as defined by the ‘domestic concept’85 includes (only)
those persons who were paid during the reference period by an employer established in that country. As a
result, employment provided by (non-)resident workers on behalf of non-resident employer, and thus
covering labour mobility by the freedom to provide services, is currently not taken into account. It has been
argued that labour mobility by the provision of cross-border services also needs to be taken into account
when calculating the employment of a country (De Wispelaere et al., 2020). That this is a relevant exercise
is shown in below analysis, both for the Belgian economy and the Belgian construction sector.
Table 17. Share of posted workers in total employment in Belgium, 2019-2021, by month
Employment (domestic concept) Posted workers
Share in total employment (B/(A+B))
(excl. self-employed) (A) (excl. self-employed) (B)
2019 2020 2021 2019 2020 2021 2019 2020 2021
January 4,032,200 4,082,400 4,055,998 97,877 99,342 96,210 2.4% 2.4% 2.3%
February 4,038,100 4,090,700 4,053,902 104,289 103,531 102,214 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
March 4,048,900 4,093,100 4,065,732 109,796 105,730 110,462 2.6% 2.5% 2.6%
April 4,058,500 4,028,600 4,071,669 111,514 97,594 112,943 2.7% 2.4% 2.7%
May 4,064,700 4,014,800 4,086,686 115,794 102,071 116,174 2.8% 2.5% 2.8%
June 4,075,400 4,021,200 4,101,287 116,890 109,512 120,471 2.8% 2.7% 2.9%
July 4,030,200 3,996,900 4,062,751 116,863 110,693 119,607 2.8% 2.7% 2.9%
August 3,963,500 3,945,400 4,106,915 115,058 111,128 120,172 2.8% 2.7% 2.8%
September 4,059,900 4,033,300 4,100,090 120,281 117,563 130,643 2.9% 2.8% 3.1%
October 4,104,800 4,076,100 4,157,943 122,102 121,507 133,470 2.9% 2.9% 3.1%
November 4,113,500 4,079,800 4,169,200 122,189 121,211 133,784 2.9% 2.9% 3.1%
December 4,127,700 4,085,884 4,180,897 117,685 116,659 130,966 2.8% 2.8% 3.0%
Average 4,059,783 4,045,682 4,101,089 114,195 109,712 118,926 2.7% 2.6% 2.8%
Source LIMOSA database and https://www.rsz.be/stats/barometer-van-de-bezoldigde-tewerkstelling-in-belgie#archives
83 The System of National Accounts 2008 is a statistical framework that provides a comprehensive, consistent, and flexible set of macroeconomic
accounts for policymaking, analysis, and research purposes.
84 The European System of National and Regional Accounts (ESA 2010) is the newest internationally compatible EU accounting framework for a
systematic and detailed description of an economy.
85 There are two employment concepts depending on the geographical coverage: resident persons in employment (i.e., the so-called national
concept of employment) and employment in the resident production unit irrespective of the place of residence of the employed person (i.e.,
domestic concept). The difference between them corresponds mainly to the net number of cross-border workers. See
https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/documents/24987/4253479/LFS-ESA2010.pdf/47eb1f62-b546-4848-a0e5-930ab84a26f8
47
2.3.2 For the Belgian construction sector
In 2015, intra-EU posting accounted for roughly one third of total employment in the Belgian construction
sector (De Wispelaere & Pacolet, 2017). This huge proportion of posted workers in the Belgian construction
industry is rather exceptional within the EU. Only the construction sectors in Luxembourg and Austria have
a comparably high share of posted workers (De Wispelaere et al., 2020). Table 18 presents the share of
posted workers and self-employed persons in total employment in the Belgian construction sector for
reference year 2020. As already noted, the number of posted persons active in the Belgian construction
sector calculated on the basis of LIMOSA data is probably a strong underestimation of the actual number
of posted persons active in this sector of activity.
Figures for 2020 show that posted workers (share of 14%) and self-employed persons (share of 6%)
represent about one fifth of total employment in the Belgian construction sector. In full-time equivalents,
the importance of intra-EU posting drops to around one tenth of total employment in the Belgian
construction sector. Figures for 2021 are already available on the number of blue-collar workers and posted
workers employed in the Belgian construction sector. In the third quarter of 2021, 147,770 blue-collar
workers were employed, and 40,971 workers were posted. This confirms that posted workers represent
about one fifth of the workforce in the Belgian construction sector. Above figures show how dependent
the Belgian construction sector has become on intra-EU posting.
Table 18. Share of incoming posted persons in total employment in the Belgian construction sector,
2020, quarterly data
Employment Incoming posted workers
Blue-collar Temporary Posted self-
Self-employed Posted workers Total
workers* agency workers employed persons
Persons
Number
Q1 147,608 8,068 52,915 33,316 15,650 257,557
Q2 145,577 6,670 54,031 35,131 15,990 257,399
Q3 147,049 7,781 55,147 38,691 16,479 265,147
Q4 145,910 7,343 56,264 38,071 16,446 264,034
Average 146,536 7,466 54,589 36,302 16,141 261,034
Share in total
Q1 57.3% 3.1% 20.5% 12.9% 6.1% 100.0%
Q2 56.6% 2.6% 21.0% 13.6% 6.2% 100.0%
Q3 55.5% 2.9% 20.8% 14.6% 6.2% 100.0%
Q4 55.3% 2.8% 21.3% 14.4% 6.2% 100.0%
Average 56.1% 2.9% 20.9% 13.9% 6.2% 100.0%
Persons in FTE’s
Number
Q1 98,135 3,065 52,915 12,814 6,019 172,948
Q2 94,869 2,456 54,031 13,512 6,150 171,018
Q3 114,106 2,852 55,147 14,881 6,338 193,324
Q4 114,188 3,314 56,264 14,644 6,325 194,735
Average 105,325 2,922 54,589 13,963 6,208 183,006
Share in total
Q1 56.7% 1.8% 30.6% 7.4% 3.5% 100.0%
Q2 55.5% 1.4% 31.6% 7.9% 3.6% 100.0%
Q3 59.0% 1.5% 28.5% 7.7% 3.3% 100.0%
Q4 58.6% 1.7% 28.9% 7.5% 3.2% 100.0%
Average 57.6% 1.6% 29.8% 7.6% 3.4% 100.0%
* Thus excluding white-collar workers
Source Calculations based on data from Constructiv
48
3. Scale and characteristics of infringements related
to intra-EU posting
The main objective of this chapter is to provide administrative data on the number of inspections carried
out by the Belgian labour inspectorates86 on the compliance with the posting rules and the outcome of these
inspections. The collection of such data should allow us to make a preliminary assessment of the extent to
which posting to Belgium is ‘infected’ by all kinds of infringements related to the labour and social security
aspects of posting. As already noted in Chapter 1, the use of inspection data has several limitations of which
the reader should be aware when reading below analysis. Inspection data probably bias the real relationship
between posting and cross-border social fraud. After all, inspections will mostly take place on the basis of a
risk assessment, mostly focused on specific ‘risk sectors’ (e.g., in the construction sector, in road transport,
in the meat processing industry etc.). Such inspections will yield higher infringement rates and may therefore
give a distorted view of the actual number of infringements related to intra-EU posting in the receiving
Member State.
Inspections on the labour and social security aspects of posting are in principle carried out, solely or
jointly, by the social inspection services of the Belgian Federal Public Service Employment, Labour and
Social Dialogue (i.e., both by the Directorate-General for Supervision of Social Law and the Directorate-
General for Humanisation of Labour87), the National Social Security Office (NSSO) and the National
Institute for the Social Security of the Self-employed (NISSE)). Specialised units are created within the
Directorate-General for Supervision of Social Law (i.e., Control of foreign enterprises active on Belgian
territory (COVRON)) and the NSSO inspection department (i.e., GOTOT).88 Furthermore, the Social
Information and Investigation Service (SIOD/SIRS) (mainly by the ‘district cells’), the regional inspection
services, and the Federal Police (mainly by the MOTEM teams (Multidisciplinair Onderzoeksteam - Enquête
Multidisciplinaire)89) play an important role in the fight against cross-border social fraud. Labour inspectors
in Belgium have a broad margin of discretion. They have the competency to provide information and advice,
to issue warnings, to grant a period of time to allow regularization, and to draw up an official report
(Pro Justitia). Infringements may lead to judicial prosecution or administrative fines.90 The labour
auditor/prosecutor (Auditeur du travail/Arbeidsauditeur) investigates and prosecutes criminal offences in
matters related to social and labour law.91,92 This while the ‘service administrative fines’ (Directie van de
administratieve geldboeten/la Direction des amendes administratives) of the Belgian Federal Public Service
Employment, Labour and Social Dialogue is responsible for the administrative fines.
When identifying93 and quantifying infringements, a distinction could be made between the labour law
and social security law aspects of posting. With regard to the application of the Posting of Workers
Directive, infringements such as bogus self-employment and failure to respect the terms and conditions of
86 For an overview of the competences of the Belgian labour inspectorates see Elia and Van de Perre, 2021.
87 Unfortunately, no data are available on the compliance with the OSH rules in the case of posting.
88 See also https://ec.europa.eu/social/BlobServlet?docId=22386&langId=en.
89 The Federal Police joins forces with the labour inspectorates to combat social dumping, undeclared work, bogus self-employment, and
organised bankruptcies by criminal gangs. These joint investigation teams (MOTEM) tackle social fraud in the same way in all judicial districts.
An investigation plan is drawn up at the opening of each case, in consultation with the competent inspection services. The aim of this initiative
is not to tackle isolated cases of social fraud, but to combat organised social fraud, with a view to recovering illegally acquired property. See
https://annualreport.federalpolice.be/security/economic-social-security/. Since 2019, 282 cases have been started, involving an amount of
€ 62 million (see https://www.politie.be/5998/nl/pers/aanpak-van-sociale-fraude-de-motem).
90 There are 4 sanction levels in the Belgian Social Criminal Code: Level 1: an administrative fine of € 80 to 800; Level 2: a criminal fine of € 400 to
4,000 or an administrative fine of € 200 to 2,000; Level 3: a criminal fine of € 800 to 8,000 or an administrative fine of € 400 to 4,000; Level 4: a
criminal fine of € 4,800 to 48,000 or an administrative fine of € 2,400 to 24,000 and/or imprisonment from 6 months to 3 years.
91 https://www.om-mp.be/nl/uw-om/arbeidsauditoraten
92 In this chapter no reference is made to case-law linked to infringements related to intra-EU posting. For an overview of some cases see Myria,
2020b; Nevens, 2019.
93 For an overview, see for instance the Annual Report published by the Directorate-General for Supervision of Social Law and the Strategic Plan
for 2022-2025 of SIOD/SIRS.
49
employment may occur (sometimes even leading to labour exploitation). Figure 12 in Chapter 2 shows that
the national minimum wage applicable in Belgium is much higher than that of a number of main sending
Member States. Workers from Bulgaria, Romania, Hungary, Lithuania, Latvia, Poland, Portugal, Croatia,
Slovakia, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Greece, Slovenia, Cyprus, Malta and Spain should all receive much
higher wages when posted to Belgium. Postings from these countries to Belgium should be considered a
‘red flag’. For example, workers posted from Bulgaria should receive a wage at least five times higher than
the minimum wage applicable in Bulgaria when they are posted to Belgium. Large differences between the
minimum wage applicable in Belgium compared to that applicable in the sending Member State make it
likely that posted workers from these Member States agree with a wage below the Belgian minimum wage.
Furthermore, paying posted workers more than they would receive in the sending Member State, but less
than the mandatory (minimum) wage in the host Member State, gives the posting undertaking an illegal (and
thus unfair) competitive advantage.94,95 Infringements related to the application of the Posting of Workers
Directive may also include not respecting ‘administrative obligations’96 such as not reporting the activities
in the prior declaration tools of the recipient Member State (for Belgium this concerns the LIMOSA
declaration). With regard to the application of the Coordination Regulations (i.e., Regulations 883/2004 and
987/2009), infringements such as the non-compliance with the posting conditions97 as well as paying the
correct level of social security contributions are the main concerns.
Infringements may, of course, also apply to other branches of law, such as migration law. Think for
instance about the posting of third country nationals from one Member State to another without these
persons having a valid residence or work permit. Setting up a letterbox company is another example where
several aspects of the law may be violated. Furthermore, during the COVID-19 pandemic a long list of
incidents have made it clear and apparent, due to non-compliance with (additional) Occupational Safety and
Health legislation (OSH), that workers’ safety in different labour-intensive sectors came under pressure.
Especially migrant/mobile workers, including posted workers, found themselves in a particularly vulnerable
situation. In that respect, the COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted that OSH legislation, and (non-
)compliance with it, is equally relevant when discussing infringements related to intra-EU posting. In
Belgium, the importance of health and safety at work in case of the posting of workers has come to the
fore, unfortunately, due to the deadly accident of five posted construction workers that occurred on 18 June
2021 on a construction site in Antwerp.
Finally, infringements related to intra-EU posting might in some cases be linked to criminal activities.98,99
For instance, in 2020, the Financial Intelligence Processing Unit CTIF-CFI worked together with the
Federal Public Prosecutor’s Office on the issue of large-scale social fraud and Brazilian and Portuguese
networks (CTIF-CFI, 2021). Over the past several years CTIF-CFI has found that Brazilian or Portuguese
nationals set up or take over companies, usually in the construction industry and industrial cleaning industry.
94 E.g., imagine a worker of a Bulgarian posting undertaking receiving double the wages he would receive in Bulgaria when posted to Belgium
whereas he should receive not two but at least five times the wage he would receive in Bulgaria. This difference is an unfair competitive
advantage towards Belgian undertakings (mostly SME's, cf. supra) and workers. See also https://www.politie.be/5998/nl/pers/aanpak-van-
sociale-fraude-de-motem: “In the case of social dumping, it is estimated that one employee provides a benefit of around € 38,000 per year
to the employer.”
95 This 'competitive advantage' already exists for posted self-employed persons as they are not covered by the Posting of Workers Directive.
96 Though, they are key to an effective and efficient enforcement.
97 There are several conditions, to be fulfilled cumulatively, for the proper use of posting under the Coordination Regulations: 1) the employer
must ‘normally carry’ out its activities in the Member State of establishment; 2) there is a direct relationship between the posting employer and
the posted worker; 3) the posting is of a temporary nature; 4) the posted worker is not being replaced. All posting conditions can individually
disrupt the labour market of the receiving Member State if they are not respected. For instance, no substantial activities in the Member State
of establishment by setting up a ‘letterbox company’ (see also BTB,2021).
98 https://www.europol.europa.eu/newsroom/news/employment-fraud-in-construction-sector-twelve-arrested-in-belgium-and-italy “The
criminal organisation, managed by a single Italian family, had several companies in Italy, Romania and Slovakia, which recruited workers
locally. The workers were then sent to in the construction sectors in Western European countries, mainly in Belgium and Luxembourg. In Belgium,
about 20 local subcontractors then hired the workers. The working conditions were often poor and the working legal conditions were not met
including limit of working hours per day/week, minimum salary and annual leave. The investigation uncovered that the hiring companies had
no activity in the countries they were based in and the employees they hired had never actually worked for the original companies. The fraud
is estimated at € 20 million without the possible VAT losses.”
99 https://www.lecho.be/entreprises/construction/un-important-reseau-de-dumping-social-demantele-en-belgique/10340052.html
50
CTIF-CFI recently found that other sectors were also involved, in particular goods transport, and that other
nationalities were involved as well.
This chapter provides administrative data on the number of inspections carried out by the Belgian labour
inspectorates on the compliance with the posting rules and the outcome of these inspections. Reference is
made to data collected and reported by the Social Information and Investigation Service (SIOD/SIRS) as
these data provide a rather complete overview of the available data on the number of inspections and
infringements related to the posting rules (covering figures from the Directorate-General for Supervision
of Social Law, the National Social Security Office (NSSO) and the National Institute for the Social Security
of the Self-employed (NISSE)). Furthermore, some specific activities and findings of the inspection services
of the Directorate-General for Supervision of Social Law and the National Social Security Office (NSSO)
are reported separately. In order to be able to post agency workers to Belgium, a foreign temporary
employment agency should have accreditation from the Belgian region in which the work is performed.
This falls within the competence of the different Regions and Communities concerned (Flemish Region,
Walloon Region, Brussels Capital Region and German-speaking Community). Data from the competent
inspectorate in Flanders is reported. Finally, figures from the Belgian Federal Public Service Social Security
are reported on the dialogue and conciliation procedure concerning the validity of the PD A1.
51
security law aspects. In both cases, a violation was found during approximately 4 out of 10 inspections in
2019.
Table 19. The scale of infringements related to (cross-border) social fraud in Belgium, 2019-2020
2019 2020
Inspections Inspections
Infringement Infringement
Inspections with an Inspections with an
rate rate
infringement infringement
Related to the fight against
social fraud 149,022 48,317 32% 131,577 50,693 39%
(national + cross-border)
Related to the fight against
5,308 2,049 39% 5,270 2,799 53%
cross-border social fraud
Related to the fight against
143,714 46,268 32% 126,307 47,894 38%
national social fraud
Share/difference of cross-
3.6% 4.2% 4.0% 5.5%
border dimension in total
Source SIOD/SIRS, 2021
The table below takes a closer look at the construction sector (Table 20). These figures include the number
of inspections and infringements identified by the labour inspectorates of the Directorate-General for
Supervision of Social Law, the National Social Security Office (NSSO) and the National Institute for the
Social Security of the Self-employed (NISSE). Infringements were found in about 45% of the inspections.100
The construction sector has a high share in the total number of inspections carried out and infringements
detected by the competent labour inspectorates in 2019 and 2020: about seven out of ten inspections on
the compliance with the posting rules are carried out in the construction industry (68% in 2019 and 76% in
2020). In 2019, the infringement rate in the construction sector was significantly higher than for the total
(44% vs 39%) while in 2020 it was the opposite (46% vs 53%). It shows that a high infringement rate may
occur in other sectors as well (comparison Table 20 with Table 19).
Table 20. Cross-border social fraud within the Belgian construction sector, 2019-2020
2019 2020
Inspections Inspections
Infringement Infringement
Inspections with an Inspections with an
rate rate
infringement infringement
Both in the Annual Report of the Directorate-General for Supervision of Social Law and in the Strategic
Plan for 2022-2025 of SIOD/SIRS more information is available on the type of infringements related to
posting.101 Moreover, the Strategic Plan 2022-2025 of SIOD/SIRS contains information on the
100 The attention given to the issue of ‘cross-border social fraud’ through posting can sometimes create the impression that ‘national’ social fraud
is no longer a problem in the Belgian construction sector. Yet it remains a challenge that cannot be ignored. In fact, undeclared work was
already a reality before ‘social dumping’ through posting became a hot topic of debate. According to the National Bank of Belgium, around
a fifth of the wealth generated by the construction sector comes from activities in the black economy. This estimate of the extent of
undeclared work is considerably higher than for other sectors (De Wispelaere, 2020).
101 E.g., infringements related to applicable wages and working hours, delocalisation, bogus self-employment, setting up letterbox companies
within the EU from non-EU countries in order to gain access to the European (labour) market and to circumvent national work permit legislation,
circumvention or non-compliance with public procurement award criteria; fraudulent networks (e.g., ‘Brazilian networks’) (SIOD, 2022; TSW,
2019).
52
sectors/groups at risk (2022a). Posted TCNs are identified as the main risk group. Most of the infringements
detected concern postings from Poland and Portugal. Sectors where infringements mainly occur are road
transport and construction. Based on an interview with the Directorate-General for Supervision of Social
Laws and SIOD/SIRS, a number of additional findings can be reported (non-exhaustive):
The high number of infringements to the core aspects of the Posting of Workers Directive, namely
the payment of a Belgian minimum wage and respecting working time and rest periods, remains a
major concern;
The sharp increase of the number of TCNs posted to Belgium from other Member States, as
described in Chapter 2, is also observed by the labour inspectors. This reality has led to some
problematic situations and abuses. For instance, in some cases, wages are paid far below the Belgian
minimum wage, sometimes amounting to only € 2 or € 3 per hour. In several cases posted TCNs
are employed in precarious working conditions, sometimes even leading to labour exploitation;
The phenomenon of bogus self-employment remains a major problem. However, it is often very
time-consuming to prove this. There is a particular focus on problematic situations involving
invoicing at ‘dumping prices’ (e.g., below the minimum wage) or bogus self-employment in
combination with other infringements. (Bogus) self-employed persons are mostly posted from
Member States such as Slovakia (and the Netherlands).
Finally, figures from the district cells of SIOD/SIRS show that the number of detected infringements to
the LIMOSA declaration are relatively low (Table 21). In 2021, 175 infringements (out of more than
15,000 inspections)102 were recorded, of which seven out of ten were in the Belgian construction sector.
Self-employed workers are overrepresented in the number of infringements compared to their share in the
LIMOSA declarations.
In 2021, some € 15.3 million claims103 related to unpaid social security contributions within a cross-border
context (incl. additional contributions imposed) (Table 22). Furthermore, due to non-compliance with the
minimum wages and conditions, an additional amount of € 20.3 million of wages and allowances was paid
to employees involved in cases of ‘social dumping’.104 In 2021, the amount applicable to ‘social dumping’
amounted to 4.5% of the total amount of unduly paid social contributions/benefits claimed by the Belgian
labour inspectorates.105 This percentage was lower in 2020 (3%) but higher in 2018 (8%) and 2019 (11%).
102 Not all focused to the fight against ‘social dumping’ (at least 2,000 inspections) - see SIOD/SIRS, 2021b.
103 It is likely that not all of these claims can be recovered.
104 In 2018, an administrative fine of € 666,000 was imposed in relation to ‘social dumping’. That is 25% of the total amount of administrative fines
(see the Annual Report 2018 of the Directorate-General for Supervision of Social Law).
105 In 2021, a total of € 342 million of unduly paid social contributions/benefits was claimed by the labour inspectorates. Selecting “Claims related
to unpaid social security contributions”.
53
Table 22. Amount claimed/regulated in case of ‘social dumping’, in €, 2019-2021
Table 23. Posting information exchanges through IMI by Belgium as sending and receiving Member
State, 2018
As sending MS As receiving MS
Number Column % Number Column %
Information requests 777 89% 28 82%
Urgent requests 77 9% 0 0%
Request to send documents 17 2% 3 9%
UI – Notification of a decision 5 1% 1 3%
UI – Request to recover
0 0% 0 0%
penalty/fine
Communication of
0 0% 2 6%
Irregularities
Total 876 100% 34 100%
Source https://ec.europa.eu/internal_market/imi-net/statistics/2019/08/posting-of-workers/index_en.htm
106 Compliance with OSH conditions is enforced by the Directorate-General for Humanisation of Labour.
54
From 31 May to 6 June 2021, action days against labour exploitation were organised in 24 countries with
the support of Europol.107 The focus in Belgium was on detecting labour exploitation among posted third-
country nationals working in the construction sector. The inspectorate of the NSSO organised these actions,
in close cooperation with the specialised unit from the Directorate-General for Supervision of Social Laws.
In total, 35 construction sites, 126 employers, 419 employees and 29 self-employed workers were inspected.
Indicators of economic exploitation were found for 5 of the employers and further investigations of
suspected posting fraud were carried out for 24 companies. Of the workers checked, 18 undeclared workers
were found, and 12 workers were employed illegally. For 78 posted workers, the specific obligations to work
in Belgium were not respected by the foreign employer or the Belgian user. Finally, two construction sites
were sealed.
3.5 The Belgian Federal Public Service Social Security: the OSIRIS-project
Decision No A1 of 12 June 2009108 lays down the rules for the application of a dialogue and conciliation
procedure concerning the validity of documents, the determination of the applicable legislation and the
provision of benefits under Regulation (EC) No 883/2004. In order to give full effect to Decision A1, the
Belgian Federal Public Service Social Security initiated the OSIRIS project in June 2015, in partnership with
the other competent Belgian institutions (Morsa, 2019; 2015). The aim was to systematise the use of the
dialogue and conciliation procedure in the handling of disputes relating to the validity of PDs A1.
There are three phases defined in the dialogue and conciliation procedure (Figure 15). In the first stage, in
the event of doubts concerning the validity of the PD A1 issued by the competent institution of another
Member State, or in the event of a dispute relating to the (provisional) determination of the applicable law,
the inspection services send a reasoned request to the competent institution(s) in the other Member State
concerned, asking them to provide the necessary clarifications concerning its decision and, if necessary, to
withdraw the PD A1. If the institutions cannot reach an agreement during the first stage of the dialogue
55
procedure, the institutions notify their competent authorities. They each appoint a central contact person.
These contact persons shall endeavour to seek an agreement on the matter. If no agreement is reached at
the end of the second phase of the dialogue, the parties concerned may go to the Administrative
Commission, with the possibility of a referral to a Conciliation Board if both parties to the dispute and the
Administrative Commission agree. As below figures show, the competent Belgian institutions and
authorities have been using the dialogue and conciliation procedure quite extensively since mid-2015.
Roughly 1,580 files have been processed via the OSIRIS platform between June 2015 and 1 January 2021
(cumulative). By far the most files concern PDs A1 issued by Poland (473 files or almost 30% of the total
files) and, to a lesser extent, files related to PDs A1 forms issued by Portugal (208 files), Slovakia (129 files)
and Romania (112 files) (Figure 16). Finally, since June 2015, only seven times a ‘Belgian’ case was discussed
by the Conciliation Board.
Figure 16. Number of cases processed via the OSIRIS platform between June 2015 and 1 January 2021,
top 5 Member States involved
500 473
450
400
350
Number of cases
300
250
208
200
150 129
112
100 82
50
0
Bulgaria Romania Slovakia Portugal Poland
Source Belgian Federal Public Service Social Security
Finally, data on the number of PDs A1 withdrawn by the competent Member States applicable to activities
in Belgium show that each year more than 1,000 PDs A1 are withdrawn by the competent institutions in
another Member State which apply to activities in Belgium (Figure 17). In 2018, a peak was reached of 1,673
withdrawn PDs A1. This concerns between 0.5 and 1% of the total number of PDs A1 issued to workers
posted to Belgium.
56
Figure 17. Number of PDs A1 withdrawn applicable to activities in Belgium, 2015 - 2020
1,800
1,673
Number of PDs A1 withdrawn applicable
1,600
1,400
1,260
to activities in Belgium
1,232
1,200 1,134
1,077
1,000
808
800
600
400
200
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source Belgian Federal Public Service Social Security
57
4. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on intra-EU
posting
The COVID-19 pandemic and the restrictions on free movement had an important impact on labour
mobility in the EU, and thus also on the provision of services in another Member State (Fries-Tersch et al.,
2022; De Wispelaere et al., 2022). To what extent the pandemic slowed down the inflow and outflow of
posted workers in 2020 for Belgium is discussed in this chapter.109
4.1 To Belgium
In 2020, the number of posted persons to Belgium decreased by 6.3% compared to 2019. The number of
persons declared in LIMOSA decreased by about 16,360 persons in 2020 (257,728 persons) as compared to
2019 (241,368 persons). The decrease in the number of reported posted workers (-6.2%) was slightly higher
than that for the number of reported posted self-employed persons (-8%). The evolution of the number of
calendar days reported in LIMOSA (including weekend) is another relevant indicator to measure the impact
of COVID-19 on intra-EU posting to Belgium. In 2019, the number of calendar days reported in LIMOSA
amounted to 41.6 million days, whereas in 2020 it decreased to 40.4 million days. This implied a decrease in
2020 of ‘only’ 2.8% compared to 2019. The fact that the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the inflow
of posted persons to Belgium remained relatively limited is also visible when looking at the trend figures.
Figure 2 in Chapter 2 shows that the number of posted persons reported in LIMOSA for 2020 was still
higher than the number of posted persons before 2017.
Looking across the year on a month-by-month basis, the figures available for Belgium suggest that there
was a drop in the numbers of posted persons in line with the level of government restrictions. As Figures 18
and 19 show, there is a strong deviation from the 2019 pattern for the numbers of postings reported in April
and May 2020. In both months, the data shows a 12% decrease compared to the same period in 2019. The
number of posted persons was picking up relatively quickly in the following months. It appears that the
COVID-19 pandemic only had a temporary effect on the number of posted persons to Belgium. For
instance, the number of persons reported in 2021 was 5.5% higher than in 2020. Moreover, the number of
persons reported per month from June 2021 onwards was always much higher than for the same months
in 2019.
Finally, Lens et al. (2021) observe some important differences when analysing the posting notifications by
nationality groups of the posted workers. The number of notifications for EU-citizens roughly followed the
general pattern: a sharp dip in April 2020, followed by a recovery in June-August 2020, finally followed by
a new dip as of September 2020. On the contrary, the number of notifications for workers with a nationality
from outside the EU (e.g., Ukrainians and Belarusians) hardly decreased in April 2020. In May-June 2020
the number was rather similar to previous years and the number of notifications really peaked in November
2020. In Chapter 2 of this report, it was already mentioned that the group of posted Ukrainians increased by
69% compared to 2019 and the group of posted Belarusians even by 263%.
109 In addition, the COVID-19 pandemic certainly had an impact on the Belgian labour inspectorates (see Loyens et al., 2022).
58
Figure 18. Number of persons reported in LIMOSA during the reference month, 2019-2021
160,000
150,000
Number of persons
140,000
130,000
120,000
110,000
100,000
Figure 19. Number of persons reported in LIMOSA during the reference month, evolution 2020 vs 2019
145,000 4%
140,000 2%
135,000 0%
Number of persons
130,000 -2%
% change
125,000 -4%
120,000 -6%
115,000 -8%
110,000 -10%
105,000 -12%
100,000 -14%
59
2019 2020 % change 2020 vs 2019
Posted workers (Art. 12.1)
Number of PDs A1 77,865 54,406 -30%
Persons involved 34,466 25,481 -26%
5 March 1,500 1,482 -1%
4 June 1,625 1,362 -16%
3 September 1,661 1,364 -18%
3 December 1,750 1,403 -20%
Source WABRO database
60
5. The economic impact of the amended Posting of
Workers Directive
As far as the terms and conditions of employment of posted workers are concerned, Directive 96/71/EC
(i.e., Posting of Workers Directive), is relevant. In 2016, the European Commission submitted a proposal
for a revised Posting of Workers Directive.110 Mid 2018, an agreement was reached on the matter. On 28
June 2018, Directive (EU) 2018/957 amending Directive 96/71/EC was adopted. A two-year
implementation period was set until 30 July 2020 for the Member States. The major changes concern the
new rules on remuneration, temporary agency work, and long-term posting (see also the Practical Guide on
Posting published by the Commission (EC, 2019)). One of the main amendments concerns the changes to
the list of so-called ‘hard core provisions’ which has to be guaranteed vis-à-vis the posted workers. Essential
in this is the replacement of the concept of “minimum wages” with the concept of “remuneration”. As a
result of this amendment, all wage elements have to be taken into account, including supplements to the
wage such as overtime rates, allowances for working at night, allowances for working on Sundays or on
public holidays, holiday remunerations, end of the year bonuses and the 13th month bonuses (Verschueren,
2021).
The Act of 12 June 2020 on diverse matters of posting of workers to Belgium implements Directive (EU)
2018/957 amending Directive 96/71/EC into Belgian legislation.111 The Act entered into force on 30 July
2020 and mainly amends the Act of 5 March 2002 on working conditions, wages, and conditions of
employment in the event of the posting of workers to Belgium and the compliance therewith, and the Act
of 24 July 1987 on temporary work, temporary agency work, and the hiring-out of workers for the benefit
of users. Several legal experts commented on the main legal consequences for Belgium (see e.g., Aerts & De
Roo, 2021; Clesse & Morsa, 2020; Pecinovsky, 2020; Verschueren, 2021). Their analysis gives the impression
that the impact of the revised Posting of Workers Directive is relatively limited, both in terms of the legal
amendments to be made and the application of it by the stakeholders involved.112
This chapter aims to give an idea of the (economic) impact based on administrative data available and/or
on input from several stakeholders involved. Though, it cannot be denied that more than a year and a half
after the implementation of the Directive(EU) 2018/957, it is still difficult to make a thorough economic
analysis of its impact.113 For instance, no well-founded statement can be made whether the revised Directive
leads to an increase in the number of posted bogus self-employed persons or has an impact on the duration
of posting.114 Or whether it really has led to an increase in the remuneration paid to posted workers. In this
chapter, we mainly look at 1) the information duty for the ‘receiving’ Member States as regards the terms
and conditions of employment applicable when workers are posted to their territory, and 2) postings longer
than 12 months.
61
First, we would like to point out the lack of knowledge about the (new) labour law rules to be respected
in case of posting. It shows the importance of easily accessible information as a lack of knowledge may lead
to a lack of compliance. Although it cannot be denied that for many companies, the provision of services
to another Member State is daily practice. Consequently, it may have been difficult for them to know and
apply all the new rules just after the implementation of the revised Directive, but this argument does not
hold true permanently.
Table 25. Share of Belgian organisations active in the live performance sector and working across the EU
aware of the amendment of the Posting of Workers Directive, by type of organisation, in %
116 https://hiva.kuleuven.be/en/news/newsitems/Cross-border-employment-in-the-live-performance-sector
117 For an overview of all these national websites see:
https://europa.eu/youreurope/citizens/work/work-abroad/posted-workers/index_en.htm#shortcut-6
118 See recital 21 of Directive (EU) 2018/957: “Any penalty imposed on an undertaking for non-compliance with the terms and conditions of
employment to be ensured to posted workers should be proportionate, and the determination of the penalty should take into account, in
particular, whether the information on the single official national website on the terms and conditions of employment was provided in
accordance with Article 5 of Directive 2014/67/EU, respecting the autonomy of the social partners.”
62
who enforce the application of the terms and conditions of employment to posted workers in Belgium need
to take into consideration the fact that certain matters are not (duly) mentioned on the website when they
decide on the sanction they will impose (this does not mean that they cannot impose a sanction).119
Therefore, it is important that the website is clear and contains all the necessary information.
The Working Group on Information within the European Labour Authority (ELA) is peer reviewing the
single official national websites on the posting of workers.120 The peer review covers an analysis of the
accessibility, accuracy, completeness, and user-friendliness of the posting webpages. The review of the
Belgian website by another Member State, the Commission, and the social partners, was discussed in the
September meeting of 2021 of the Working Group.121 In general, positive feedback was given on the Belgian
website.
The statistics below (Table 26) show the most frequently consulted pages on the single official national
website for Belgium between 1 January and 31 March 2021. A distinction is made between the consultation
of information in Dutch, French, and English. The information on ‘working time and rest periods’122 is by
far the most frequently consulted for all three available languages. The page with information on
‘remuneration’ is consulted remarkably less. It is precisely this page where information is available on the
remuneration laid down by sectorial collective agreements.123 The minimal amounts of remuneration are
laid down per sector by the competent joint committee. Information on the remuneration is provided for
13 Joint Committees.124 The information for the food industry (Joint Committee 118) was most frequently
consulted during the first trimester of 2021 (Table 27). In addition, the information for Joint Committee 111
“Metal, machine and electric construction for workers” and for Joint Committee 140.03 “Road transport”
is also frequently consulted. It is therefore not the case that only the terms and conditions applicable to the
construction sector (Joint Committee 124) are consulted. The frequent consultation of the information for
the food industry and the metal industry seem to indicate that many posted workers in Belgium are active
in both sectors.
Table 26. Consultation of information on the single national website, 1 January 2021 – 31 March 2021
119 See also the revised articles 110 and 115 of the Belgian Social Criminal Code.
120 https://www.ela.europa.eu/en/what-we-do
121 https://www.ela.europa.eu/sites/default/files/2021-10/ELA%20Summary_Working_Group_on_Information_27_September_2021.pdf
122https://employment.belgium.be/en/themes/international/posting/working-conditions-be-respected-case-posting-belgium/working-time-
and
123 https://employment.belgium.be/en/themes/international/posting/working-conditions-be-respected-case-posting-belgium/remuneration
124 E.g., for the construction sector see:
https://employment.belgium.be/sites/default/files/content/documents/International/Limosa%20fiches%20EN/Limosafiche%20PC%20124%20E
N.pdf
63
Table 27. Consultation of information for specific joint committees, 1 January 2021 – 31 March 2021
5.2.1 Monitoring
In Belgium, there is no systematic monitoring of the compliance with this provision. Only during
inspections compliance with that set of additional Belgian working, remuneration and employment
conditions is verified. A systematic monitoring of compliance with these provisions could be done on the
basis of data from the LIMOSA declaration. Companies that have been active in Belgium for more than 12
months would then be selected and subjected to an inspection. However, it is unlikely that the Directorate-
General for Supervision of Social Law will consider the enforcement of this provisions as a priority. After
all, the number of additional terms and conditions of employment to be applied when the posting is longer
than 12 months seems rather limited in Belgium. Moreover, inspections related to the compliance with the
‘basic’ terms and conditions of employment (e.g., compliance with the minimum amounts of remuneration
laid down per sector by the competent joint committee) may have priority. Not least because infringement
rates are still very high (see Chapter 3). Finally, the number of postings to Belgium lasting longer than 12
months is also relatively limited (see Chapter 2). This does not mean that it would not be interesting to
consider companies posting workers to Belgium for a period longer than 12 months as a priority for
inspections.
125 There are two exceptions to this rule: the host Member State’s procedures and conditions of conclusion and termination of the employment
contract and the rules on supplementary occupational pension schemes do not apply to workers posted for long term according to the host
Member State’s rules (EC, 2019).
126 Such additional Belgian working conditions are those provided for by the legal and regulatory provisions that are not sanctioned under
criminal law. They concern, in particular, the rights and obligations of the worker and the employer and the suspension of the execution of the
employment contract. The foreign employer must never apply the provisions relating to: the procedures, formalities and conditions governing
the conclusion and termination of the employment contract, including the non-competition clause, and the contributions to supplementary
occupational pension schemes (see https://employment.belgium.be/en/themes/international/posting/working-conditions-be-respected-
case-posting-belgium#toc_heading_2).
64
5.2.2 Motivated notifications
When the duration of the posting exceeds 12 months, the posted worker’s employer may be exempt, for an
additional six-month period, from the obligation to apply the additional working conditions which must be
complied with. In order to be exempt from applying these additional Belgian working conditions, the
employer must send a motivated notification to the labour inspectors of the Directorate-General for
Supervision of Social Laws of the Federal Public Service Employment, Labour and Social Dialogue.127 This
notification may also be sent by a representative of the employer.
During the first year of implementation, 421 motived notifications were made by 35 unique employers
and 19 unique representatives (Table 28). The main reasons for the requests were the COVID-19 pandemic
and an unforeseen extension of the project.
This low number can indicate three things: 1) the duration of postings is often lower than 12 months, so
no motivated notification needs to be made; 2) posting undertakings are not sufficiently aware of this
possibility; or 3) due to the low probability of being inspected, many employers do not submit a motivated
notification. The average duration of postings to Belgium amounted to 144 days in 2020. This is an average
duration, with many postings exceeding one year their number far exceeding the number of 421 motivated
notifications. Therefore, companies that send their employees to Belgium for longer than 12 months might
not yet sufficiently be aware of this possibility.
Table 28. Number of motivated notifications received, total received from implementation (date) until
June 2021
Number
Number of motivated
421
notifications
Number of employers involved 35 unique employers, of which 15 with a Belgian VAT number
Number of representatives of
19 unique representatives, of which 8 with a Belgian VAT number
the employer
Main reasons COVID-19 and unforeseen extension of the project
Source Directorate-General for Supervision of Social Laws of the Federal Public Service Employment, Labour and Social
Dialogue
65
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COORDINATOR
HIVA - Research Institute for Work and Society, KU Leuven (BE)
PARTNERS
COMILLAS - Comillas Pontifical University (ES)
CUE - Cracow University of Economics (PL)
ELMI - European Labour Mobility Institute (PL)
European Centre for Social Welfare Policy and Research (AT)
ifo Institut – Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (DE)
LISER - Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research (LU)
PSE - Paris School of Economics (FR)
SEO – SEO Amsterdam Economics (NL)
UCLM - University of Castilla-La Mancha (ES)
UNIMI - University of Milan (IT)
UNISTRA - University of Strasbourg (FR)
ZRC SAZU - Research Centre of the Slovenian Academy of Sciences and Arts (SI)
ASSOCIATE ORGANISATIONS
CEEMET - Council of European Employers of the Metal, Engineering and Technology-based industries (BE)
EFBWW - European Federation of Building and Woodworkers (BE)
ESIP - European Social Insurance Platform (BE)
EUROFEDOP - European Federation of Employees in Public Services (BE)