EC3 188 W23 AlO

1.
1 P(A) <0
2) PCs) 1 =

3)
EAyAs,..... And is a
sequence ofmutually
exclusive events so t

AinAn 0 =

kijj =
P(A,UAzu ....vAju...3 P(Ai) P(A2) ..=

+ +
.. P(Aj)t...
+

Let S be a set that

contains X, the powersetof S

is P(S) [0, 3x33 =

Assure there exists a functive fi PCS) ->R that

satisfies these
9x:Deb.

Since asks
it PCS) 1
that =

f(0) f(3x3)
+
2
=

f(0)9f(9x3) are non

negative by the
non-negative ation

f(0) =1 f(x3) =L
However if we combine these inequalities we
get
f(0) f(3x3) =
+

Howeverf(0)+f(3x3) =
1 butthe inequality I2 thus
says

1 2 contradicts itself.. our

assumption contradicts itself

this there is no funtion thatexists

3.
A be thatthe
I 10%
Let the is there also be
event
port good chance trezMarnie
a

B
Let be the event thatIron Kitten makes the port thinks
it's had since she thinks
90% that itwill be
good)
PrSAlB3 Pr SA3 PrEBIAS
=

PrSA3Pr3BlA3 PrSES PrEBIAS+

↓
Pr3A3= PrSBIA3 0.1
B given from the question, PrSBIAS=0.9,
=

as

PrSAIB3 5.0.9
=

-8
=I
(5) (0.9) (1 -) +
-

0.1
-
i. the probability is
I
4.
LetAbe event where sun of is 19 2
pips
B
Let be eventwhere 6 outof
8 dises rolls a 2
⑥

We Theorem
can use
Bayes'
P(AIB) P(BIA). P(A)
=

P(B)

We solve for PCBIA), PCA), PCB)

PCA):
There is
only 1 way
to geta sum of19 when rolling 8 dies

The # ofpossible outcomes whenrolling 5 die is 68

P(A) 1 =

68

P(B):
10) 6
2
=
68

P(BIA):To find this, we need to find the

probability rolling exceltly
of 625
to sun to 19
up

We know the sun ofthe remaining 2 dies will be 6,:. we

need to choose two 2's that

sure to 13.
up
5.
6 possible outcomes for each die thus (6)(6) 36 =
outcomes

in sample space

To satisfy the firstoutcome, we can countthe # of

ordered in the sample space the 1stdie is
pairs where even

E1,2,3,4,5,63 there are 3 even numbers from 1 to 6

thus 5.6=18 ordered thus P(A) is

pairs,

P(A)
5t
=

We can calculate the probability event B

of by finding the #
outcomes
of in the sample space that
satisfies condition B

The thatthe of2 dice 11

only ordered pair sum is

(5,6), thus PCB) would

be
is

Now we
find their intersection to find independence

P(An B) P(A) *P(B)

=

=(i)(5)
s z
.
z meaning events A & B are
independent
not
 6.
We can apply Bayes Theorem

Let Aby the eventthat

a random picture contains a cat
Let i be the thatthe Al classifies
event a
picture as a cat

P(AIB) P(BIA). =

P(A)

P(B)
We know P(A) 0.06, P(E) 0.94410.06
=
=

P(B(A) 3600
=88 0.
=

15000-1000) e

images that
actually contain
Find P(B) a cat

P(B(A)
0 0.2
=

↑
images total
that
do
images P(AIB) P(
P(A) =

PCBIAT) PCIES
notcontain
that
a sat do not 1
= -

From ti
contain P(B)
1 -0.8
=

(0.9)(0.06]
a cut
=

=0.236
0.236

0.2288
=

P(B) P(B(A) P(A) P(B(E) P/A)

=
·
+ +

.. the probability
P(B) (0.5)(0.00) (0.2) (0.94)
=

=
would be 0.2288
P(B) 0.236 =
 7.
A)
Pr5x x3 =

(Y) 0.5N
=

E(x) EP(X=
=

x).i

E(x) =

(N) 0.s
B) 1.50 =

(4)0.s
Find N

E(!)
1.so =

0.SN.;

iN itis the summation

the largestterm in
=

as

to ensure
So -

Elin50.S.N. N 3583=4
=

E(x) is his d we rounded to 4 as

than 1.50 1. SOS (N0.SY) we are
using coins thus
there cannotbe 3.585 coins.

logl. SOL logN+ Nlog0.S

N > 3.585