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Managerial Economics Topic 8
Managerial Economics Topic 8
Managerial Economics Topic 8
Fiscal Policy
Topic 8
ITM BUSINESS SCHOOL
PGDM 2022 - 2024 SEM I
VIJAYANTA PAWASE 1
Fiscal Policy and Objectives
2
Fiscal Policy: Receipts and Expenditures of the Government
5
Expenditures of the Government
Revenue expenditure can be classified under three broad categories:
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India’s Taxation Policy-Functions
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During April-May 2022, the Union government frontloaded capex, with the y-o-y
growth in capital spending of 70.1 percent turning out to be the highest in several
years (Chart 30). Consequently, the fiscal deficit widened to 12.3 percent of budget
estimates (BE) during the period, as compared with 8.2 percent of BE a year ago.
Current
Data
On the receipts front, tax collections remained buoyant, driven by a growth of
60.2 percent in direct tax revenue. Indirect tax collections reported a more
modest increase of 9.0 percent – double digit growth in goods and services tax
(GST) was offset by a contraction in customs and excise duty collections.
Current
Data
GST collections (Centre plus states) stood at 1.45 lakh crore in June 2022, the
second highest since the inception of GST. This also marks the fourth consecutive
month in which GST collections have surpassed 1.4 lakh crore (Chart 32). In
Q1:2022-23, the pick-up in the year-on-year growth in GST revenues was driven
by positive momentum and a favourable base effect.
Current
Data
Revenue collections of the States rose by 22.2 percent in April 2022 due to an increase in tax revenues
across all sub-components and higher nontax revenues. While revenue expenditure increased sharply,
capital outlay declined. The GST Council extended the period for the levy of the GST compensation cess
up to March 31, 2026 for repaying back-to-back loans taken during the pandemic to meet the shortfall
in compensation cess collection. In its 47th meeting held on June 29, 2022, the GST Council made
recommendations relating to changes in GST rates and laws and procedures18 that will be made
effective from July 18, 2022.
Current
Data
Current Data
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Current Data
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Current Data
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Current Data
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Current Data
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Current Data
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Current Data
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Current Data
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Current Data
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Current Data
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Current Data
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Current Data
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Current Data
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Current Data
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Current Data
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Current Data
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Current Data
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Receipts of the Government
➢ For example, Income up to Rs 2,50,000, we pay 0% tax; Income from Rs
2,50,000 – Rs 5,00,000, we pay 5% tax; Income from Rs 5,00,000 –
10,00,000 we pay 20% tax and, above Rs 10,00,000, we pay 30% tax. In
other words, as the marginal tax rate, i.e., the proportion of additional
income, which must be paid in taxes, goes up from 10 to 20 to 30 per
cent with each tax bracket, the average tax, i.e., the proportion of our
total income, which has to be paid in the form of taxes also goes up. This
implies that as GDP increases, direct taxes being progressive, their share
should increase faster than the rate of growth of GDP.
➢ Another characteristic of direct taxes is that they affect both aggregate
demand and aggregate supply. A change in the tax rates will certainly
affect aggregate demand. But this will be the case only up to a point.
➢ If the tax rates are very high, this may lead not only to non-compliance
but can also adversely affect incentive to produce and, thereby, stall
aggregate supply growth.
➢ Most governments try to strike a balance between demand and supply
sides of direct taxes.
36
Receipts of the Government
➢ Indirect taxes are levied on goods and services produced. Important
items of indirect taxes for the central government are custom and
excise duties.
➢ For the state governments, these are sales tax, state excise duties,
motor vehicle tax, and stamp duty. Indirect taxes are regressive.
➢ As the incomes rise, the incidence of tax on income goes down.
Assume a person's monthly income to be Rs. 1000. Given this income,
he will probably spend the entire amount in buying goods and
services. The incidence of indirect tax will thus be on 100 per cent of
his income.
➢ Now assume his monthly Income is Rs. 1, 00,000, of which he needs
Rs. 10,000 to meet his monthly purchases of goods and services. Thus
the incidence of indirect tax, when his income rises to Rs. 1, 00,000,
comes down to only on 10 per cent of his income. This implies that as
incomes (GDP) rise, the ratio of direct to indirect taxes should move in
favour of direct taxes, since direct taxes are progressive and indirect
taxes are regressive.
37
Receipts and Expenditures of the Central Government
Revenue Budget consist of revenue receipt and the expenditure met from
such revenues.
38
Receipts and Expenditures of the Central Government
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Government Debt
41
Government Debt
Domestic sources External sources
44
Receipts and Expenditures of the Central Government
Net fiscal deficit : Gross Fiscal Deficit subtract net lending of the Central
government
Primary Deficit: Net fiscal deficit less interest payments.
45
Fiscal Deficit
A: Revenue Account
Fiscal Deficit= Total Expenditure - Revenue
1. Revenue Receipts (a + b)
Receipts - Recovery of Loans - Other
(a) Tax Revenue*
Receipts**
(b) Non-tax Revenue
2. Revenue Expenditure (a + b + c)
(a) Interest Payment
(b) Major Subsidies
(c) Defence Expenditure
3. Revenue Deficit (2 - 1)
B: Capital Account
1. Capital Receipts (a + b + c)
(a) Recovery of Loans
(b) Other Receipts**
(c) Borrowings and other Liabilities
2. Capital Expenditure
C: Total Expenditure (A.2 + B.2)
1. Plan Expenditure
2. Non-Plan Expenditure
D: Fiscal Deficit =[C - A.l - B.l(a) - B.l(b)]
E: Primary Deficit (D - A.2(a)) ** Consisting mainly of PSU disinvestment
47
Instruments (EFP) Expansionary Fiscal Policy (CFP) Contractionary Fiscal Policy
[ Slow-growing Economy] [ Fast-growing Economy]
2) Tax – Direct and TAXES WILL DECREASE➔MONEY SUPPLY WILL TAXES WILL INCREASE➔MONEY
Indirect INCREASE SUPPLY WILL DECREASE
4) Open Market BUY-BACK OF T-BILLs ➔MONEY SUPPLY WILL SELL T-BILLs ➔MONEY SUPPLY WILL
Operations(OMO) INCREASE DECREASE
Or
Public
Borrowing(debt)
Case 1
50
▪ The central government's fiscal deficit touched 20.5 per cent of the annual target in
the four months through July 2022 as against 21.3 per cent a year ago, reflecting
improvement in public finance, as per official data released on Wednesday.
▪ In actual terms, the fiscal deficit - the difference between expenditure and revenue -
was Rs 3.41 trillion during the April-July period this financial year.
▪ As per the data released by the Controller General of Accounts (CGA), the
government's receipts, including taxes, stood at Rs 7.85 trillion or 34.4 per cent of the
Budget Estimates (BE) for 2022-23. During the year-ago period, it was nearly the
same at 34.6 per cent.
▪ The tax revenue stood at Rs 6.66 trillion or 34.4 per cent of this year's BE. Last year
too, the government had managed to mop 34.2 per cent of its annual estimate during
April-July.
51
▪ The data further revealed that the central government's total expenditure was Rs 11.26
trillion or 28.6 per cent of the BE 2022-23, almost same as in the year-ago period.
▪ Capital expenditure was 27.8 per cent of the full-year budget target compared to 23.2 per
cent in the corresponding period last year, as per the monthly account of the Union
government up to July 2022, released by the CGA.
▪ For 2022-23, the fiscal deficit of the government is estimated to be Rs 16.61 trillion or 6.4
per cent of the GDP
52
Case 2
• The central government's fiscal deficit stood at Rs 3.21 lakh crore or 21.3 percent
of the budget estimates at the end of July, as per the data released by the
Controller General of Accounts (CGA) on Tuesday.
• The deicit figures this fiscal appear much better than the previous financial year,
when it soared to 103.1 percent of the estimate, mainly on account of a jump in
expenditure to deal with the COVID-19 pandemic.
• The fiscal deficit or the gap between expenditure and revenue for 2020-21 was
9.3 percent of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), better than 9.5 percent
projected in the revised estimates in the Budget in February.
• As per the data, the central government's total receipts stood at Rs 6.83 lakh
crore or 34.6 percent of corresponding BE 2021-22 up to July 2021. The total
receipts were 10.4 percent of the BE of 2019-20 in the same period of the last
financial year.
• Of the total receipts till July 2021, Rs 5,29,189 crore was tax revenue (net to
centre), Rs 1,39,960 crore non-tax revenue and Rs 14,148 crore non-debt capital
receipts.
53
• Non-debt capital receipts consist of recovery of loans worth Rs 5,777 crore and
disinvestment proceeds of Rs 8,371 crore.
• Further, Rs 1,65,064 crore was transferred to state governments as devolution of
share of taxes by the Centre up to July 2021.
• The government's total expenditure was Rs 10.04 lakh crore or 28.8 percent of
the corresponding BE 2021-22. The expenditure was 34.7 percent of BE of 2019-
20 in the same period last fiscal.
• Of the total expenditure during the first four months of the current fiscal, Rs
8,76,012 crore was on the revenue account and Rs 1,28,428 crore on the capital
account.
• Out of the total revenue expenditure, Rs 2,25,817 crore was on account of
interest payments and Rs 1,20,069 crore towards major subsidies.
54
Case 3
India is likely to miss its fiscal deficit target for the current
financial year, despite receiving an additional dividend from
the central bank, five government officials and advisers said,
as tax collections have sunk amid a sharp slowdown.
57
Government Expenditure Financing
Instruments of Fiscal Policy
➢ Budgetary surplus and deficit
➢ Government expenditure
➢ Taxation- direct and indirect
➢ Public borrowings(debt)
Funding
The expenditure of government can be funded in different
ways :
➢ Taxation
➢ Borrowing
➢ Consumption fiscal reserves
➢ Sale of fixed assets. 58
Instruments of Fiscal Policy
61
Instruments of Fiscal Policy
Public borrowings (debt) : to finance government’s budget
deficits.
Internal borrowings
➢ Borrowings from the public by means of treasury bills and
govt. bonds(it leads to a transfer of purchasing power
from the public to the government ( contractionary fiscal
policy))
➢ Borrowings from the central bank (it leads to monetized
deficit financing (expansionary fiscal policy))
External borrowings
➢ Foreign government
➢ Investments international organizations like World Bank &
IMF
➢ Market borrowings 62
Target Variables
The target variables of fiscal policy,i.e., the variables
which are sought to be changed through fiscal
instruments are:
I. Private disposable incomes,
II. Private consumption expenditure,
III. Private savings and investment,
IV. Exports and imports, and
V. Level and structure of prices.
The interdependence of target variables--disposable income, consumption expenditure, savings,
investment, imports, and price level-can be demonstrated by using the aggregate demand function.
The aggregate demand (AD) is given as: AD=C+I+G+X-M
where, C = consumer demand, I = investment, G = public spending, M = imports, and
X = exports.
In the short run, C = f(Yd), and M = f(Y)
where, Yd = Y - tY = disposable income, Y = gross income, and t = tax rate.
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How Fiscal Instruments Affect Target Variables
64
Kinds of Fiscal Policy
1. Automatic Stabilization Fiscal Policy,
2. Compensatory Fiscal Policy, and
3. Discretionary Fiscal Policy.
The policy of surplus budgeting is adopted by the governments during the period of
high rate of inflation, especially when inflation is caused by excessive demand.
➢Surplus budgeting is a powerful tool to control the aggregate demand.
➢Under this policy, the government keeps its expenditure lower than its revenue.
➢If necessary, the government may resort to a higher rate of taxation and cut its expenditure further
down.
➢Taxation reduces disposable income.
➢As a result, the aggregate demand decreases at the rate of tax multiplier.
➢On the expenditure side, a cut in the government expenditure reduces the aggregate demand at the
rate of expenditure multiplier.
➢The two-prong attack on the aggregate demand helps reducing the demand pressure and, thereby,
the inflation. 67
Discretionary Fiscal Policy
A discretionary fiscal policy is one in which ad hoc changes are made in the government expenditure and
taxation system and tax rates at the discretion of the government as and when required.
In discretionary fiscal policy, the government makes deliberate changes in
(a) the level and pattern of taxation,
(b) the size and pattern of its expenditure, and
(c) the size and composition of public debt.
Changes in Taxation: The discretionary changes in taxation include such changes in both direct
and indirect taxes as:
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Crowding-in
70
Summary