Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Operations Management NOTES
Operations Management NOTES
Operations Management NOTES
Video: Introduction to Operations - Identifies who are the customers & how
Management + Stevenson Chapt 1 ppt to bring them in
OPERATIONS OPERATIONS
- What you do in the buss. - makes/does smth
- Producing goods/ services FINANCE
- EX: Restaurant → making & serving food - Collecting, managing money
OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT
- Managing systems/ processes to create
goods/ provide services
GOODS
- Raw materials, partially assembled prdt,
final prdt (physical items)
SERVICES
- Activities providing time, loc., form, or
psychological value
- EX: Air travel, education, haircut OVERLAP F & O
SUPPLY CHAIN - Budgeting, provisions of funds
- Seq. of activities & orgs that produce & OVERLAP M & O
deliver a good/service - Demand data, prdt/service design,
Suppliers’ suppliers → Direct Suppliers → competitor analysis, lead time data
Producer → Distributor → Final Customer
TRANSFORMATION PROCESS PROCESS
- 1 or + actions that turn input to outputs
1. UPPER MNGMNT PROCESS: operations
of the whole org
2. OPERATIONAL PROCESSES (OP): core
process making up the value stream
3. SUPPORTING PROCESSES: supports
OP
SUPPLY & DEMAND
GOODS-SERVICE CONTINUUM
- Not purely service or purely goods
Operations Strategy
FACTORS THAT AFFECT PRODUCTIVITY ● aligned w org strat to guide operations
- Capital, quality, tech, mngmnt, function
methods, safety, layoffs Quality-Based Strategy
IMPROVING PRODUCTIVITY ● improve quality of all
1. have productivity measure for all phases/departments of an org
operations ● tries to erase poor quality reputation,
2. know critical operations help maintain quality image, catch up
3. make ways to improve productivity w competitors, helps cost reduction
4. make SMART goals strat
Time-Based Strats ● planning is the RESPONSE to Forecast
● how to reduce time on finishing tasks ● forecasts reduce some uncertainly
● reduced time —> high productivity —> which helps managers
lower costs & higher quality ● forecasts is a statement abt future
● use this in : planning time, prdt design value of a variable i.e. demand
“, processing “, changover “, delivery “, IMPT OF FORECASTING IN OM
complaint response “ ● dpets throughout the org depend on it
Agile Operations to make and execute plans
● competitive advantage strat where org ● finance needs it to project cash flow &
is flexible to adapt & excel in a changing capital reqs
envi ● HUman resources use it to anticipate
● cost, quality, reliability, flexibility hiring needs
Balanced Scorecard Approach ● production uses it for plan production
-top-down management system to clarify lvls, workforce, material reqs,
vision & strat & put them in action inventories, etc.
● make objectives, metrics & targets for ● demand isnt the only variable of
those interest to forecasters
● initiatives to achieve obj ● manufacturers —> absents, machine
● what links finance, customer, internal avaialbility, material costs, transpo &
buss process, learning & growth production lead times, etc.
● monitor results ● Serice providers —> population, other
demographic variables, weather etc.
2ND SYNC CLASS 3 TYPES OF FORECASTS
FORECASTING ● Short-range (0 - 3 mons)
● intuitive ● detailed use of system
● rely on experience of the ● job scheduling & worker
person predicting a forecast of assigning
future perf or trends ● Medium ( 3 mon - 2 yrs)
● short-term demand estimates ( ● detailed use of system
for indiv prdts) help know ● sales & prdtion panning
daily/weekly management of ● Long Range ( < 2 yrs)
org’s activities i.e. scheduling ● DEsign of system
personnel & ordering raw ● new prdt planning
materials
● Long term of overall demand
help strat making, i.e. long term
capacity & location needs QUALITATIVE FORECAST
● process of predicting a future event ● opinions, gathering info
based on historical data 1. EXECUTIVE JUDGEMENT: opinion of a
● educated guessing grp of high level experts or managers is
● underlying basis of all buss decisions pooled
WHY NEED FORECAST? 2. SALES FORE COMPOSITE: Each
● Forecast are almost always wrong regional salesperson sales estimate. Are
● every buss attempt is based on reviews to make sure if realistic.
forecasting regional forecasts are pooled at district
● not all are derived from sophisticated and national lvls for overall forecasts
methods, only “BEST” educated 3. MARKET RESEARCH/ SURVEY: get
guesses for valuable planning, then no input from customers abt future
forecasts and no planning purchaisng plans. Questionnaires,
consumer panels, testers of prdt
DIFFERENCE OF FORECAST & PLANNING
4. DELPHI METHOD: eliminated effects of
group potential dominance of the GUIDE PRINCIPLES TO FORECASTING
most vocal members. Group 1. Forecasts are more accurate for larger
interviewed has indivs from inside & groups of items.
outside org 2. Forecasts are more accurate for shorter
1. Each expert in the grp makes periods of time.
their own forecast in 3. Every forecast should include an
statements —> coordinator estimate of error.
collects & summarizes 4. Before applying any forecasting
statements —> gives summary method, the total system should be
then gives more Qs + need understood.
feedback abt the input of 5. Before applying any forecasting
others—> repeat steps until method, the method should be tested
consensus reached and evaluated.
6. Be aware of people; they can prove you
QUANTITATIVE FORECAST wrong very easily in forecasting
1. NAIVE APPROACH
● demand of NEXT PERIOD is SAME as
MOST RECENT PERIOD
● i.e. May profit 23 —> June Profit 23
1. MOVING AVE
● (2.a.) SIMPLE MOVING AVE
● averages are good estimators of future
behavior
● little or no trends
● for smoothing
1. EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING
● most recent observation has the
highest predictive value
● more weight to recent time period
● increasing “a” makes forecast more
sensitive to recent data
FORECAST EFFECTS of SMOOTHING
CONSTANT “a”