2023 03 10 Weekly Economic Release

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Weekly Economic Release

Monday, 13th March 2023


EST GMT CO Event Exp. Prev. Low High

10:00 14:00 US Employment Trends (Feb) 118.74

17:45 21:45 NZ External Migration & Visitors (Jan) 5,740.9%

17:45 21:45 NZ Estimated Migrant Arrivals (Jan) 4,581

19:30 23:30 AU Consumer Sentiment (Mar) -6.9%

N/A N/A EU Eurogroup Finance Ministers Meeting

EST GMT CO Supply

05:15 09:15 NE EUR 1.5-2.0bln 0.75% 2027 DSL Auction

06:30 10:30 GE EUR 3bln 6-Month T-Bill Auction

EUR 4.8-6.0bln 3, 6 and 12-month T-Bill


09:50 13:50 FR
Auction

10:45 14:45 UK BoE Long-term Gilt Sale

11:30 15:30 US 13-, 26-week Bill Auction

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Tuesday, 14th March 2023
EST GMT CO Event Exp. Prev. Low High

20:30 00:30 AU NAB Business Conditions (Feb) 18

20:30 00:30 AU NAB Business Confidence (Feb) 6

Claimant Count Unemployment


03:00 07:00 UK -12.9k
Change (Feb)

03:00 07:00 UK ILO Unemployment Rate (Jan) 3.8% 3.7% 3.7% 3.8%

03:00 07:00 UK Employment Change (Jan) 74k

03:00 07:00 UK Average Week Earnings 3M YY (Jan) 5.7% 5.9% 5.5% 6.0%

03:00 07:00 UK Average Earnings (Ex-Bonus) (Jan) 6.6% 6.7% 6.3% 6.7%

03:00 07:00 UK HMRC Payrolls Change (Feb) 102k

03:30 07:30 SZ Producer/Import Price MM (Feb) 0.7%

03:30 07:30 SZ Producer/Import Price YY (Feb) 3.3%

04:00 08:00 SP CPI MM Final NSA (Feb) 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%

04:00 08:00 SP CPI YY Final NSA (Feb) 6.1% 6.1% 6.1% 6.1%

04:00 08:00 SP HICP Final MM (Feb) 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%

04:00 08:00 SP HICP Final YY (Feb) 6.1% 6.1% 6.1% 6.1%

04:00 08:00 SP Core CPI YY (Feb) 7.5%

04:00 08:00 SP CPI Final NSA (Feb) 110.769

05:00 09:00 IT Industrial Output MM SA (Jan) -0.4% 1.6% -1.4% 0.4%

05:00 09:00 IT Industrial Output YY WDA (Jan) 0.1%

06:00 10:00 US NFIB Business Optimism Index (Feb) 90.30

08:30 12:30 US Core CPI MM, SA (Feb) 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5%

08:30 12:30 US Core CPI YY, NSA (Feb) 5.5% 5.6% 5.4% 5.5%

08:30 12:30 US CPI Index, NSA (Feb) 299.170

08:30 12:30 US Core CPI Index, SA (Feb) 302.70

08:30 12:30 US CPI MM, SA (Feb) 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.6%

08:30 12:30 US CPI YY, NSA (Feb) 6.0% 6.4% 6.0% 6.3%

08:30 12:30 US Real Weekly Earnings MM (Feb) 0.7%

08:30 12:30 US CPI MM NSA (Feb) 0.800%

08:30 12:30 US CPI Index SA (Feb) 300.540

08:30 12:30 US CPI Wage Earner (Feb) 293.565

08:30 12:30 CA Manufacturing Sales MM (Jan) 3.9% -1.5% -0.5% 3.9%

08:55 12:55 US Redbook YY (11 Mar, w/e) 3.0%

09:00 13:00 HU NBH Minutes (Feb)

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EST GMT CO Event Exp. Prev. Low High

11:00 15:00 US Cleveland Fed CPI (Feb) 0.7%

16:30 20:30 US API Weekly Crude Stocks (6 Mar, w/e) -3.8M

16:30 20:30 US API Weekly Gasoline Stocks (6 Mar, w/e) 1.8M

16:30 20:30 US API Weekly Distillate Stocks (6 Mar, w/e) 1.9M

16:30 20:30 US API Cushing Stocks (6 Mar, w/e) U/C

-8.250 -10.200 -8.800 -7.100


17:45 21:45 NZ Current Account - Quarterly (Q4)
B B B B

-29.650
17:45 21:45 NZ Current Account- Annual (Q4)
B

17:45 21:45 NZ Current Account/GDP (Q4) -8.1% -7.9% -8.5% -7.8%

19:50 23:50 JN BoJ Minutes (Jan)

N/A N/A WD OPEC MOMR

EST GMT CO Speakers

Fed's Bowman (Voter, Neutral) speaking


17:20 21:20 US
at a Banking Event

EST GMT CO Supply

23:35 03:35 JN JPY 2.5tln 5yr JGB Auction

06:00 10:00 UK GBP 3bln 3.25% 2033 Gilt Auction

06:00 10:00 IT BTP Auction

06:30 10:30 GE EUR 5bln 2.20% 2028 Bund Auction

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Wednesday, 15th March 2023
EST GMT CO Event Exp. Prev. Low High

22:00 02:00 CN Urban Investment (YTD) YY (Feb) 4.0% 5.1% 3.0% 6.0%

22:00 02:00 CN Industrial Output YY (Feb) 2.6% 1.3% 2.0% 5.6%

22:00 02:00 CN Retail Sales YY (Feb) 3.4% -1.8% -1.0% 5.0%

22:00 02:00 CN Industrial Production YTD YY (Feb) 3.6%

22:00 02:00 CN Retail Sales YTD YY (Feb) -0.25%

22:00 02:00 CN Unemp Rate Urban Area (Feb) 5.5%

03:00 07:00 GE Wholesale Price Index MM (Feb) 0.2%

03:00 07:00 GE Wholesale Price Index YY (Feb) 10.6%

03:00 07:00 SW CPI MM (Feb) 0.8% -1.1% 0.7% 1.2%

03:00 07:00 SW CPI YY (Feb) 11.7% 11.7% 11.5% 12.2%

03:00 07:00 SW CPIF MM (Feb) 0.7% -1.3% 0.6% 0.9%

03:00 07:00 SW CPIF YY (Feb) 9.2% 9.3% 9.0% 9.4%

03:00 07:00 SW CPIF Ex Energy MM (Feb) 0.9% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1%

03:00 07:00 SW CPIF Ex Energy YY (Feb) 8.7% 8.7% 8.4% 8.9%

03:45 07:45 FR CPI (EU Norm) Final MM (Feb) 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%

03:45 07:45 FR CPI (EU Norm) Final YY (Feb) 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2%

03:45 07:45 FR CPI YY NSA (Feb) 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2%

03:45 07:45 FR CPI MM NSA (Feb) 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9%

03:45 07:45 FR CPI NSA (Feb) 114.60

05:00 09:00 WD IEA OMR

06:00 10:00 EU Industrial Production MM (Jan) 0.5% -1.1% 0.0% 1.7%

06:00 10:00 EU Industrial Production YY (Jan) 0.2% -1.7% -0.3% 1.0%

1,125.35
07:00 11:00 EU Reserve Assets Total (Feb)
B

07:00 11:00 US MBA Mortgage Applications (10 Mar, w/e) 7.4%

MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (10 Mar, w


07:00 11:00 US 6.79%
/e)

08:15 12:15 CA House Starts, Annualized (Feb) 215.4k

08:30 12:30 US NY Fed Manufacturing (Mar) -7.50 -5.80 -15.00 -3.00

08:30 12:30 US PPI Machine Manufacturing (Feb) 174.8

08:30 12:30 US PPI Final Demand YY (Feb) 5.5% 6.0% 5.3% 5.9%

08:30 12:30 US PPI Final Demand MM (Feb) 0.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.4%

08:30 12:30 US PPI ex-Food & Energy YY (Feb) 5.4%

08:30 12:30 US PPI ex-Food & Energy MM (Feb) 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5%

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EST GMT CO Event Exp. Prev. Low High

08:30 12:30 US PPI ex-Food, Energy & Trade YY (Feb) 4.5%

08:30 12:30 US PPI ex-Food, Energy & Trade MM (Feb) 0.6%

08:30 12:30 US Retail Sales MM (Feb) -0.1% 3.0% -0.9% 0.6%

08:30 12:30 US Retail Sales Ex-Autos MM (Feb) 0.3% 2.3% -0.7% 0.8%

08:30 12:30 US Retail Ex Gas/Autos (Feb) 2.6%

08:30 12:30 US Retail Control (Feb) -0.5% 1.7% -0.6% 0.6%

08:30 12:30 US Retail Sales YoY (Feb) 6.38%

08:30 12:30 UK Spring Budget

10:00 14:00 US Business Inventories MM (Jan) 0.0% 0.3% -0.1% 0.3%

10:00 14:00 US Retail Inventories Ex-Auto Revised (Jan) 0.2%

10:00 14:00 US NAHB Housing Market Index (Mar) 42 42 40 42

10:30 14:30 US EIA Weekly Crude Production 12.2M

EIA Weekly Crude Production Change,


10:30 14:30 US -100k
bbl

10:30 14:30 US EIA Weekly Crude Production Change, % -0.81%

-1.694
10:30 14:30 US EIA Weekly Crude Stocks (10 Mar, w/e)
M

EIA Weekly Distillate Stocks (10 Mar, w


10:30 14:30 US 0.138M
/e)

EIA Weekly Gasoline Stocks (10 Mar, w -1.134


10:30 14:30 US
/e) M

EIA Weekly Refining Utilisation (10 Mar,


10:30 14:30 US 0.2%
w/e)

-0.890
10:30 14:30 US EIA Weekly Crude Cushing (10 Mar, w/e)
M

16:00 20:00 US Net L-T Flows, Ex-swaps (Jan) 152.8B

16:00 20:00 US Foreign Buying, T-Bonds (Jan) 20.0B

16:00 20:00 US Overall Net Capital Flows (Jan) 28.6B

16:00 20:00 US Net L-T Flows, Including Swaps (Jan) 142.1B

17:45 21:45 NZ GDP Production Based QQ, SA (Q4) -0.2% 2.0% -0.5% 0.3%

17:45 21:45 NZ GDP Production Based YY, SA (Q4) 3.3% 6.4% 3.0% 4.2%

GDP Production Based, Annual Average


17:45 21:45 NZ 2.7% 2.7% 2.6% 2.8%
(Q4)

17:45 21:45 NZ GDP Export Based QQ, SA (Q4) 2.0%

-168.6
19:50 23:50 JN Foreign Bond Investment (11 Mar, w/e)
B

Foreign Investment Japanese Stock (11 -595.4


19:50 23:50 JN
Mar, w/e) B

Foreign Investment Japanese Bonds (11 -800.7


19:50 23:50 JN
Mar, w/e) B

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EST GMT CO Event Exp. Prev. Low High

19:50 23:50 JN Foreign Stock Investment (11 Mar, w/e) -18.4B

19:50 23:50 JN Machinery Orders MM (Jan) 1.8% 1.6% -0.5% 3.5%

19:50 23:50 JN Machinery Orders YY (Jan) -3.5% -6.6% -7.2% -1.1%

19:50 23:50 JN Exports YY (Feb) 7.1% 3.5% 2.7% 12.5%

19:50 23:50 JN Imports YY (Feb) 12.2% 17.8% 3.9% 18.5%

-1,069.4 -3,496.6 -2,176.2 -520.1


19:50 23:50 JN Trade Balance Total Yen (Feb)
B B B B

EST GMT CO Supply

05:50 09:50 EU ECB USD Op

EUR 2.5bln 1.80% 2053 and 0.0% 2050


06:30 10:30 GE
Bund Auctions

11:30 15:30 US 17-week bill auction

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Thursday, 16th March 2023
EST GMT CO Event Exp. Prev. Low High

20:30 00:30 AU Employment (Feb) 48.5k -11.5k 5.0k 90.0k

20:30 00:30 AU Full Time Employment (Feb) -43.3k

20:30 00:30 AU Participation Rate (Feb) 66.6% 66.5% 66.5% 66.7%

20:30 00:30 AU Unemployment Rate (Feb) 3.6% 3.7% 3.5% 3.8%

83,394
20:30 00:30 AU Reserve Assets Total (Feb)
M

21:30 01:30 CN China House Prices YY (Feb) -1.5%

22:00 02:00 NZ RBNZ Offshore Holdings (Feb) 56.8%

00:30 04:30 JN Industrial O/P Revenue MM SA (Jan) -4.6%

00:30 04:30 JN Capacity Utilization MM SA (Jan) -1.1%

00:30 04:30 JN Industrial O/P Revenue YY SA (Jan) -3.1%

Money Market CPIF Inflation 1-Year


03:00 07:00 SW 4.0%
(Mar)

Money Market CPIF Inflation 5-Years


03:00 07:00 SW 2.1%
(Mar)

03:00 07:00 NO GDP Month (Jan) 0.4%

03:00 07:00 NO GDP Month Mainland (Jan) 0.4%

05:00 09:00 IT Consumer Prices Final MM (Feb) 0.3%

05:00 09:00 IT Consumer Prices Final YY (Feb) 9.2%

05:00 09:00 IT CPI (EU Norm) Final MM (Feb) 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%

05:00 09:00 IT CPI (EU Norm) Final YY (Feb) 9.9% 9.9% 9.9% 9.9%

08:30 12:30 US Building Permits: Number (Feb) 1.340M 1.339M 1.320M 1.354M

08:30 12:30 US Build Permits: Change MM (Feb) 0.1%

08:30 12:30 US Housing Starts Number (Feb) 1.305M 1.309M 1.290M 1.365M

08:30 12:30 US House Starts MM: Change (Feb) -4.5%

08:30 12:30 US Import Prices MM (Feb) -0.2% -0.2% -0.5% 0.0%

08:30 12:30 US Export Prices MM (Feb) 0.8%

08:30 12:30 US Import Prices YY (Feb) 0.8%

08:30 12:30 US Initial Jobless Claims (6 Mar, w/e) 211k

Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (6 Mar, 197.00


08:30 12:30 US
w/e) k

Continued Jobless Claims (27 Feb, w


08:30 12:30 US 1.718M
/e)

08:30 12:30 US Philadelphia Fed Business Index (Mar) -16.0 -24.3 -22.0 -12.0

08:30 12:30 US Philadelphia Fed 6M Index (Mar) 1.70

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EST GMT CO Event Exp. Prev. Low High

08:30 12:30 US Philadelphia Fed Capex Index (Mar) 7.50

08:30 12:30 US Philadelphia Fed Employment (Mar) 5.10

08:30 12:30 US Philadelphia Fed Prices Paid (Mar) 26.50

08:30 12:30 US Philadelphia Fed New Orders (Mar) -13.60

08:30 12:30 CA Wholesale Trade MM (Jan) -0.8%

09:15 13:15 EU ECB Deposit Rate (Mar) 3.00% 2.50% 3.00% 3.00%

09:15 13:15 EU ECB Refinancing Rate (Mar) 3.50% 3.00% 3.50% 3.50%

09:15 13:15 EU ECB Marginal Lending Rate 3.75% 3.25%

10:30 14:30 US EIA-Nat Gas Change Bcf (6 Mar, w/e) -84B

EST GMT CO Speakers

Riksbank's Floden speaking on the


04:10 08:10 SW
domestic Economy & Monetary Policy

ECB's Lagarde (Dovish) post-Policy


09:45 13:45 EU
Announcement Press Conference

EST GMT CO Supply

23:35 03:35 JN JPY 1.2tln 20yr JGB Auction

0.00% 2028, 3.15% 2033, and 1.90% 2052


05:30 09:30 SP
Bono Auction

EUR 10.5-12bln 2.50% 2026, 0.75% 2028,


05:50 09:50 FR
and 0.00% 2030 OAT Auction

EUR 1.0-1.5bln 0.10% 2029 I/L, 0.10%


06:50 10:50 FR
2036 I/L, and 0.10% 2053 I/L Auction

11:00 15:00 US 20yr Bond and 10yr TIPS announcement

11:30 15:30 US 4-,8-Week T-Bill Auction

EST GMT CO Expiries

14:30 18:30 US WTI Apr 2023 Options Expiry

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Friday, 17th March 2023
EST GMT CO Event Exp. Prev. Low High

00:30 04:30 JN Tertiary Industry Activity NSA (Jan) 7.0%

06:00 10:00 EU HICP Final MM (Feb) 0.8% -0.2% 0.8% 0.8%

06:00 10:00 EU HICP Final YY (Feb) 8.5% 8.5% 8.3% 8.6%

06:00 10:00 EU HICP-X Food & Energy MM (Feb) -0.4%

06:00 10:00 EU HICP-X Food & Energy Final YY (Feb) 7.4%

HICP-X Food, Energy, Alcohol &


06:00 10:00 EU 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
Tobacco Final MM (Feb)

HICP-X Food, Energy, Alcohol &


06:00 10:00 EU 5.6% 5.6% 5.6% 5.6%
Tobacco Final YY (Feb)

06:00 10:00 EU Labour Costs YY (Q4) 2.9%

06:00 10:00 EU Wages In Euro Zone (Q4) 2.1%

ECB TLTRO.III Repayment Amount


07:05 11:05 EU
Publication

08:30 12:30 CA Producer Prices MM (Feb) 0.4%

08:30 12:30 CA Producer Prices YY (Feb) 5.4%

08:30 12:30 CA Raw Materials Prices MM (Feb) -0.1%

08:30 12:30 CA Raw Materials Prices YY (Feb) 1.2%

08:30 12:30 CA Securities Canadians, CAD (Jan) -2.29B

08:30 12:30 CA Securities Foreign, CAD (Jan) 21.22B

09:15 13:15 US Industrial Production MM (Feb) 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.8%

09:15 13:15 US Capacity Utilization SA (Feb) 78.5% 78.3% 78.0% 78.7%

09:15 13:15 US Manufacturing Output MM (Feb) 1.0%

09:15 13:15 US Industrial Production YoY (Feb) 0.79%

10:00 14:00 US Leading Index Change MM (Feb) -0.2% -0.3% -0.2% -0.2%

University of Michigan Sentiment


10:00 14:00 US 67.0 67.0 64.7 68.0
Preliminary (Mar)

University of Michigan Conditions


10:00 14:00 US 70.7
Preliminary (Mar)

University of Michigan Expectations


10:00 14:00 US 64.7
Preliminary (Mar)

University of Michigan 1-Year Inflation


10:00 14:00 US 4.1%
Preliminary (Mar)

University of Michigan 5-Year Inflation


10:00 14:00 US 2.9%
Preliminary (Mar)

13:00 17:00 US Baker Hughes Total Rig Count

13:00 17:00 US Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count

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Registered Office One Love Lane, London, EC2V 7JN, United Kingdom · Registered Number 12020774 · Registered in England and Wales.
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EST GMT CO Event Exp. Prev. Low High

13:00 17:00 US Baker Hughes Gas Rig Count

S&P reviewing Spain's Sovereign Debt


N/A N/A SP A
Rating

DBRS reviewing Netherland's Sovereign


N/A N/A NA AAA
Debt Rating

Fitch reviewing Turkey's Sovereign Debt


N/A N/A TR B
Rating

Moody's reviewing Greece's Sovereign


N/A N/A GR Ba3
Debt Rating

EST GMT CO Supply

21:00 01:00 AU AUD 1bln 3.75% 2034 AGB Auction

07:00 11:00 UK 1-,3-,6-Month T-Bill Auctions

EST GMT CO Expiries

FTSE 100 Mar 2023 Futures & Options


06:15 10:15 UK
Expiry

Euro Stoxx 50 Mar 2023 Futures & Options


07:00 11:00 EU
Expiry

08:00 12:00 EU DAX 40 Mar 2023 Futures & Options Expiry

E-mini S&P, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Mar 2023


09:30 13:30 US
Futures & Options Expiry

11:00 15:00 EU CAC 40 Mar 2023 Futures & Options Expiry

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