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Management Science 2
Management Science 2
Decision Tree
- In a certain decision-making process, probability plays an
important role. On the decision model based upon probability is
decision trees.
IV. Forecasting
- is the process of making predictions of the future based on past and
present data and most commonly by analysis of trends. A
commonplace example might be estimation of some variable of
interest at some specified future date. It refers to formal statistical
method employing time series, cross-sectional or longitudinal data,
or alternatively to less formal judgmental methods.
● Forecasting starts with certain assumptions based on the management's
experience, knowledge, and judgment. These estimates are projected into the
coming months or years using one or more techniques such as Box-Jenkins
INTERMEDIATE ACCOUNTING 1
FINANCIAL MARKETS
COST ACCOUNTING AND CONTROL
BUSINESS LAW
AQUATICS
COST ACCOUNTING AND CONTROL
IT
Cura, Queeny A.
STS
BSA-2B
QUEENY A. CURA
BSA -2B
Yabut, Jed Angela T.
BSA-2B QUEENY A. CURA
BSA -2B
MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
QUEENY A. CURA
BSA -2B
ETHICS
MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Parameters are numerical values that are included in the objective functions
(Linear Programming) and constraints.
❖ Objectives of a business frequently are to maximize profit or minimize cost Steps in LP Model Formulation:
subject to the restrictions placed on the manager by the operating Step 1: Define the decision variables
environment Step 2: Define the objective function
❖ These restrictions can take the form of limited resources, such as time, labor, Step 3: Define the constraints
energy, material, or money; or they can be in the form of restrictive
guidelines, such as a recipe for making cereal or engineering specifications Sample Problem: (Maximization Model Example)
❖ When a manager attempts to solve a general type of problem by seeking an A company produces two types of tables, Coffee Table and Side Table. It
objective that is subject to restrictions, the management science technique takes 2 hours to produce the parts of one unit of Coffee Table, 1 hour to assemble and
called linear programming is frequently used. 2 hours to polish. It takes 4 hours to produce the parts of one unit of Side Table, 2.5
❖ Linear programming is a model that consists of linear relationships hour to assemble and 1.5 hours to polish. Per month, 700 hours are available for
representing a firm’s decision(s), given an objective and resource constraints. producing the parts, 400 hours for assembling the parts and 550 hours for polishing
the tables. The profit per unit of Coffee Table is 4,500 pesos and per unit of Side Table
Steps in applying the linear programming technique is 5,500 pesos. How many of each type of tables should be produced in order to
maximize the total monthly profit?
FIRST, the problem must be identified as being solvable by linear
programming. Summary of LP Model Formulation Steps (Maximization Problem)
SECOND, the unstructured problem must be formulated as a mathematical Step 1: Define the decision variables
model. - How many Coffee Tables and Side Tables to produce
THIRD, the model must be solved by using established mathematical Step 2: Define the objective function
techniques. - Maximize profit
Step 3: Define the constraints
What to do? - The resources (hours) available
:Formulation of the mathematical model that represents the problem a. Parts production
:Solving the mathematical model using the graphical method or solver b. Assembly
application c. Polishing
● decision variables:
STEP 2: CHOOSING AN OBJECTIVE FUNCTION
- describe our choices that are under our control;
We usually seek a criterion (or a measure) to compare alternative solutions.
● objective function:
This yields the objective function.
- describes a criterion that we wish to minimize (e.g., cost) or
It is now your turn to identify the objective function.
maximize (e.g., profit);
● constraints: We want to maximize the total profit. The profit per each unit of product J is
- describe the limitations that restrict our choices for decision 25 pesos and profit per each unit of product M is 30 pesos. Therefore, the total profit
variables. is 25x+30y if we produce x units of J and y units of M.This leads to the following
Formally, we use the term “linear programming (LP)” to refer to an optimization objective function:
problem in which the objective function is linear and each constraint is a linear max 40x+35y
inequality or equality. Note that:
1. The objective function is linear in terms of decision variables x and y (i.e., it
AN INTRODUCTORY EXAMPLE: is of the form ax + by, where a and b are constant).
Problem Statement: A manufacturing firm makes two products ( J and M) 2. We typically use the variable z to denote the value of the objective. So the
using two machines (say, C and B). Each unit of J that is produced requires 50 objective function can be stated as:
minutes processing time on machine C and 30 minutes processing time on machine B.
Each unit of M that is produced requires 24 minutes processing time on machine C STEP 3: IDENTIFYING THE CONSTRAINTS
and 33 minutes processing time on machine B. In many practical problems, there are limitations (such as resource / physical
Machine C is going to be available for 40 hours and machine B is available / strategic /economical) that restrict our decision. We describe these limitations using
for 35 hours. The profit per unit of J is 25 pesos and the profit per unit of M is 30 mathematical constraints.
pesos. Company policy is to determine the production quantity of each product in
such a way as to maximize the total profit given that the available resources should What are the constraints in our example?
not be exceeded
The amount of time that machine C is available restricts the quantities to be
manufactured. If we produce x units of J and y units of M, machine C should
Task: The aim is to formulate the problem of deciding how much of each product to
be used for 50x+24y minutes since each unit of J requires 50 minutes
make in the current week as an LP.
processing time on machine C and each unit of M requires 24 minutes
processing time on machine C. On the other hand, machine C is available for
40 hours or equivalently for 2400 minutes. This imposes the following ACTIVITY PROBLEM: Linear Programming
constraint:
Activity Problem #1
50x + 24y ≤ 2400.
A calculator company produces a scientific calculator and a graphing calculator.
Similarly, the amount of time that machine B is available imposes the
Long-term projections indicate an expected demand of at least 100 scientific and 80
following constraint:
graphing calculators each day. Because of limitations on production capacity, no
30x + 33y ≤ 2100.
more than 200 scientific and 170 graphing calculators can be made daily. To satisfy a
shipping contract, a total of at least 200 calculators must be shipped each day.
These constraints are linear inequalities since in each constraint the left-hand
side of the inequality sign is a linear function in terms of the decision variables x and
If each scientific calculator sold results in a Php 20 loss, but each graphing calculator
y and the right hand side is constant.
produces a Php 50 profit, how many of each type should be made daily to maximize
net profits?
Note: In an LP problem, the decision variables are required to be nonnegative, and
this should be explicitly included in the formulation. This is the case here. So you
Activity Problem #2
need to include the following two non- negativity constraints as well:
At a certain refinery, the refining process requires the production of at least two
x ≥0 and y ≥0 gallons of gasoline for each gallon of fuel oil. To meet the anticipated demands of
winter, at least three million gallons of fuel oil a day will need to be produced. The
So the constraints we are subject to (s.t.) are :
demand for gasoline, on the other hand, is not more than 6.4 million gallons a day.
50x + 24y ≤ 2400, (machine C time)
30x + 33y ≤ 2100, (machine B time)
If gasoline is selling for Php 1.90 per gallon and fuel oil sells for Php 1.50/gal, how
x ≥ 0,
much of each should be produced in order to maximize revenue?
y ≥ 0.
Activity Problem #1
A calculator company produces a scientific calculator and a graphing calculator.
Long-term projections indicate an expected demand of at least 100 scientific and 80
graphing calculators each day. Because of limitations on production capacity, no
more than 200 scientific and 170 graphing calculators can be made daily. To satisfy a
shipping contract, a total of at least 200 calculators must be shipped each day.
If each scientific calculator sold results in a Php 20 loss, but each graphing calculator
produces a Php 50 profit, how many of each type should be made daily to maximize
net profits?
Activity Problem #2
At a certain refinery, the refining process requires the production of at least two
gallons of gasoline for each gallon of fuel oil. To meet the anticipated demands of
winter, at least three million gallons of fuel oil a day will need to be produced. The
demand for gasoline, on the other hand, is not more than 6.4 million gallons a day.
If gasoline is selling for Php 1.90 per gallon and fuel oil sells for Php 1.50/gal, how
much of each should be produced in order to maximize revenue?