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Regime - Siaroff
Regime - Siaroff
General Editors
Bertrand Badie
Institut d'études politiques (Sciences Po)
Paris, France
Dirk Berg-Schlosser
Philipps-Universität Marburg
Marburg, Germany
Leonardo Morlino
LUISS Guido Carli
Rome, Italy
Associate Editors
Nathaniel Beck Takashi Inoguchi
New York University University of Niigata Prefecture
New York City, New York, United States Tokyo, Japan
Walter Carlsnaes B. Guy Peters
Uppsala Universitet University of Pittsburgh
Uppsala, Sweden Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States
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International encyclopedia of political science / edited by Bertrand
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Badie, Dirk Berg-Schlosser, Leonardo Morlino.
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7
List of Entries
vi
Reader’s Guide
xiv
Entries
P 2069
Q 2173
R 2197
S 2347
Index
I-1
Regime (Comparative Politics) 2233
given above. Liberal democracies have these as contemporary world, the vast majority of coun-
well (and thus all liberal democracies are also elec- tries have more or less universal suffrage for both
toral democracies), but they additionally have the genders, so suffrage is now a limited measure for
liberal features of broad civil liberties, a strong rule defining regimes. In terms of responsible govern-
of law (e.g., an independent judiciary), horizontal ment, scholars have produced measures of the
accountability of elected officials to other state extent of monarchical control, and especially of
actors (e.g., ombudsmen and state auditors), and a military control. There are potential gray areas
well-functioning state with limited if not minimum here, especially with situations of monarchical or
corruption. There are, thus, many democratic military tutelage; normally these are seen as being
regimes that are electoral but not liberal. This is democratic regimes, but just so.
especially true in Africa and Latin America. The Without a doubt, however, the one submeasure
fact that the liberal democratic regimes of the of democracy where there are specific continua
world are overwhelmingly found in Europe, leading to regime classification is the extent of free
European settler societies, and the former Anglo- and fair elections. By “free and fair elections,” one
American colonies has led to the criticism that this means many things: the ability of most, if not all,
is a Western rather than a universal concept. people and parties to run for election; access of
By placing liberal democracies ahead of elec- candidates to voters; equal treatment of candidates
toral democracies (which in turn are ahead of and parties by state actors such as the police and
autocracies), the dichotomy between regimes has courts; media pluralism so that opposition candi-
been transformed into a continuum. Indeed, most dates have media access (as opposed to the media
scholarly and related analyses use some sort of being controlled by government); secret ballot; no
continuum of regimes. In terms of global assess- coercion of voters; neutral and transparent ballot
ments, Freedom House (an international nongov- counting with independent monitors allowed; no
ernmental organization that conducts research and major or “mysterious” delays in reporting the full
advocacy on democracy, human freedom, and results; and impartial resolution of disputes. In a
human rights) distinguishes among free, partly democratic regime, these factors exist sufficiently
free, and not free regimes, based ultimately on to allow a real opportunity for the government to
7-point scales for each of political rights and civil be defeated; in contrast, in an autocratic regime,
liberties. (Freedom House also has a separate the government will tilt the playing field so that it
dichotomous list of electoral democracies.) The has an insurmountable advantage and/or will sim-
Bertelsmann Transformation Index uses a 10-point ply fabricate the results (as presumably happened
scale that ultimately produces a continuum of five in Iran in 2009). Yet the dividing lines here are not
categories: democracies, defective democracies, always clear and decisive. Certainly if a govern-
highly defective democracies, moderate autocra- ment is defeated and hands over power, then one
cies, and autocracies. However, it classifies failed assumes that the elections were fair and the regime
states separately (within the broader autocratic is democratic. However, if a government or presi-
area). dent is reelected, does that reflect unfairness or
Continua can also be used for the submeasures simply the voters’ desire to reelect them? One
of democracy. There are various measures of the point here is whether the opposition cries foul or
rule of law, including that of the World Bank. accepts the results as legitimate. However, in some
Transparency International, a nongovernmental cases, the opposition may not bother to cry foul if
organization, publishes a Corruptions Perception it sees no point in protesting.
Index. Yet these measures do not claim to make a Even if the opposition is not allowed to win by
clear distinction among regimes, perhaps because the powers that be, they may still have some elec-
they deal with aspects of liberalism rather than toral success. At a minimum, they are allowed to
democracy. Regime distinctions can be made based exist. This gave rise to the concept of an electoral
on the extent of the right to vote; this would lead authoritarian regime, which conceptually is a rela-
to pre–World War II Belgium and France, for tively new regime type. In such a regime, multi-
example, being classified as male democracies due party/multicandidate elections are held but with
to the absence of female suffrage. Of course, in the no chance of the incumbents losing power due to
2236 Regime (Comparative Politics)
the lack of fairness and perhaps freedom as well. the opposition wins only a tiny and largely irrele-
Yet it is the very reality of election “victory” that vant number of seats (but it still exists, unlike in
is used to give legitimacy to the regime, if not fully closed regimes). These differing regime clas-
indeed to claim it as a democracy. Singapore is a sifications thus draw heavily on election outcomes,
classic case here. These electoral authoritarian but the general level of freedom in a country (such
regimes can be contrasted with fully closed regimes, as its Freedom House score) usually is related rea-
where no opposition is allowed to exist (e.g., sonably well to this specific indicator of election
totalitarian and sultanistic regimes or certain tradi- outcomes. There are also liberal autocratic regimes
tional authoritarian regimes such as Saudi Arabia). where the civil rights are much greater than the
On the other hand, in some autocratic regimes effective political freedoms, such as Monaco and
elections are not just a rubber stamp, and election Tonga; that said, in these countries the autocracy
outcomes are of concern to the government. stems from a lack of responsible government (and
Opposition forces may win a significant minority thus “relevant” elections) rather than unfair elec-
of the seats or even some control of regional/local tions per se.
governments. Even if the playing field is not level All of this also raises the question of whether
enough, or fair enough, for the government to be empirically there is a maximum level of support
defeated overall, it can still experience a worse or for a government/incumbent beyond which the
better result from election to election. Malaysia for result is not credible and the regime cannot be
decades (through the time of writing) fits this situ- considered a democracy. Usually, something like
ation. Thus, scholars have developed the concept 70% of the vote is suggested here. Yet in countries
of a competitive authoritarian regime that, broadly considered to be democratic, such as
although clearly authoritarian as opposed to dem- Botswana and Namibia, incumbent parties have
ocratic, allows much more competition and plural- won over 70% of the vote in elections (however, in
ism (including media freedom) than (hegemonic) South Africa the African National Congress has
electoral authoritarian regimes, not to mention never reached this level of support, its best result
fully closed regimes. The concept of a competitive being 69.7% in 2004). In part, this may reflect the
authoritarian regime thus overlaps with the exceptional support given to parties that led the
Bertelsmann Transformation Index’s notion of a nation’s struggle for independence. Certainly in
moderate autocracy. It is thus possible for such Western democracies, parties (or presidential can-
competitive authoritarian regimes to become com- didates) competing in national elections never get
petitive enough to produce a transition to democ- much more than 60% of the vote, even in the most
racy, as happened to Ukraine when the amount of successful cases. Indeed, presidential elections in
vote rigging needed to produce victory for the the United States are interesting in this regard,
regime’s presidential candidate in 2004 led to the since there does appear to be an effective “ceiling”
Orange Revolution and the ushering in of a demo- just above 60% of the vote. In descending order,
cratic regime. the largest vote shares in such elections have been
These distinctions among democracies, com- 61.1% (Lyndon Johnson in 1964), 60.8% (Franklin
petitive authoritarian regimes, hegemonic electoral Roosevelt in 1936), 60.7% (Richard Nixon in
authoritarian regimes, and fully closed regimes 1972), and 60.3% (Warren Harding in 1920)—all
essentially or ultimately reflect the electoral success very close values. Outside the United States, one
of the opposition. To repeat, in democracies the can note the vote share of 64.7% that José Figueres
opposition has a realistic chance of defeating the got in Costa Rica in 1953—an undisputed out-
government (and if this does not happen in an come in a democratic regime. Consequently, it
individual election, it is the result of voter prefer- seems clear that a result of 90% or 80% cannot be
ences and/or poor opposition strategies rather than consistent with democracy. That said, many dubi-
an unfair playing field), in competitive authoritar- ous/nondemocratic outcomes are based on much
ian regimes the opposition is able to win a reason- less lopsided “official” results, such as 63% for
ably large number of seats (and thus also hold the President Ahmadinejad in Iran in 2009, 51%
government to some account in the legislature), for President Salinas in Mexico in 1988, and 47%
and in hegemonic electoral authoritarian regimes for President Kibaki in Kenya in 2007—all of
Regime (Comparative Politics) 2237
which were nevertheless (at best) competitive in the assessment. Narrow(er) assessments that
authoritarian regimes. focus on just competition and responsible govern-
ment are likely to place every country on one side
or the other of the divide—that is, as either a
Ambiguous and Hybrid Regimes
democratic or an autocratic regime. However, if
Regardless of how many categories there are in a there are multiple criteria—and if these are weighted
continuum of regime types, one needs to ask equally—then the reality arises of countries that are
whether this continuum could be collapsed into democratic in some aspects and autocratic in others
two categories—democracies and autocracies. In or that average out as being in the middle. This is
other words, is every country ultimately consid- the reality of, for example, the Economist
ered to be a democracy or an autocracy, or is Intelligence Unit’s Index of Democracy, which has
there some unclear middle ground? Scholarly and five aspects including political participation and
related research differs as to whether or not there political culture—indeed, what this really seeks to
is ever any such unclear middle ground. There are measure is consolidated democracy. Consequently,
two rather different problems here. First of all, a a substantial number of countries fall into its
country could have a fluid or unstable political hybrid regime category, defined as having a score
system, making it hard to pin it down. In this from 4.0 to 5.9 out of 10. Decomposing their com-
case, one option is the concept of a transitional ponents would categorize the vast majority of these
regime. Conversely, the previous regime could be countries as either (unconsolidated) electoral
deemed to remain in place (and the country be democracies or competitive authoritarian regimes,
classified as such) until there is a clear shift to a with a few countries scoring as they do because of
new regime. Second, there could be genuine a lack of sufficient stateness.
scholarly disagreement about the political reality
in a country, with independent analysts having Alan Siaroff
differing opinions as to, say, the level of competi- University of Lethbridge
tiveness. This divergence is most common where Lethbridge, Alberta, Canada
the government/incumbent is reelected, and seems
to be genuinely popular, but where there are (seri- See also Authoritarian Regimes; Democracy, Types of;
ous) procedural issues—for example, Russia Hybrid Regimes; Parliamentary Systems; Totalitarian
Regimes
under Vladimir Putin or Venezuela under Hugo
Chávez. Such polities could be considered ambig-
uous regimes, at least until there is a reasonable Further Readings
consensus on their regime classification (which
incidentally tends to be that they are authoritar- Chehabi, H. E., & Linz, J. J. (Eds.). (1998). Sultanistic
ian, leading to a related debate as to the point at regimes. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.
Collier, R. B., & Collier, D. (2002). Shaping the political
which democracy broke down). A variant of this
arena: Critical junctures, the labor movement, and
dilemma is where a country just places into a cat-
regime dynamics in Latin America. Notre Dame, IN:
egory. For example, the Bertelsmann Transformation
University of Notre Dame Press.
Index refers to highly defective democracies as
Diamond, L. (1999). Developing democracy: Toward
barely meeting its minimum criteria for democ- consolidation. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University
racy. It also acknowledges a gray area between Press.
democracy and autocracy. Diamond, L. (2002). Thinking about hybrid regimes.
These situations all involve ambiguity in classifi- Journal of Democracy, 13, 21–35.
cation. The resulting notions of ambiguous regimes Easton, D. (1965). A systems analysis of political life.
or transitional regimes are meant not to be precise New York: Wiley.
categories but rather to reflect the inability to be Fishman, R. M. (1990). Rethinking state and regime:
precise. Conversely, the notion of a hybrid regime Southern Europe’s transition to democracy. World
involves combined aspects of democracy and autoc- Politics, 42, 422–440.
racy in a fairly stable, ongoing way. This concept is Levitsky, S., & Way, L. A. (2002). The rise of competitive
more likely to be used if more aspects are included authoritarianism. Journal of Democracy, 13, 51–65.