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ENSOAdvisory18A LaNiña Simplifieda
ENSOAdvisory18A LaNiña Simplifieda
ENSOAdvisory18A LaNiña Simplifieda
0/06-01-22
Issued: 10 March 2023
OVERVIEW Although La Niña has already ended,
La Niña (cold phase) condition has ended. Most of the climate models its lag effect may still influence the
predict that ENSO-neutral (neither La Niña nor El Niño) is favored from probability of above-normal rainfall
conditions in the coming months,
March through June this year with an increased likelihood of a transition potentially leading to adverse impacts
to El Niño (warm phase) thereafter. (such as heavy rainfall, floods, flash
floods, and rain-induced landslides) in
Assessment in February 2023 some highly vulnerable areas.
RAINFALL CONDITION
Abra, Ilocos
Apayao, Batanes, Bataan,
provinces, Quirino,
Nueva Ecija, Zambales,
Aurora, Occidental
Batangas, Cavite, Laguna,
Mindoro, Davao del
Rizal, Oriental Mindoro,
Sur, Davao
Palawan, Davao City,
Occidental, South
Cotabato, Sultan Kudarat,
Cotabato, Sarangani
and Metro Manila Basilan, Maguindanao
54 provinces
Generally, near-average to slightly above-average mean surface air temperatures were observed in most parts
TEMPERATURE of the country except for Tayabas, Coron, Romblon, Guiuan, and General Santos City where slightly below-
average temperatures were experienced. Moreover, based on these observations, February daytime
environments were generally cooler than average while the night-time was mostly warmer than average.
RAINFALL CONDITION
Some provinces
over the western
section of
High probability Northern Luzon
in most areas of and the northern
the country part of Palawan
Near to slightly above-average mean surface air temperatures are forecast in most parts of the
country, except for some areas that may experience slightly below-average temperatures including
TEMPERATURE Calayan, Ilocos Sur, Batangas, Northern Palawan, Occidental Mindoro, Romblon, Masbate, Samar,
Southern Leyte, and Bohol.
For further information, please contact the Climatology and Agrometeorology Division (CAD)
at Tel No. (02) 8284-0800 loc 906