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Paper 1 2019: Economics Advanced Level
Paper 1 2019: Economics Advanced Level
AQA
Economics
Advanced Level
Suggested Answers and
Examiner Commentary for:
PAPER 1
2019
IMPORTANT NOTICE
These suggested answers have been prepared solely to help students
develop their exam technique for future exam sittings. These answers
are not endorsed by AQA. These answers were not written under exam
conditions and were prepared with knowledge of the relevant mark
schemes. The examiner commentary provided is written by experienced
examiners but is not endorsed by AQA. The answers provide just one
way to approach each question – other equally valid approaches and
responses are possible.
AQA Economics
Paper 1 June 2019
Context 1
Finally, there are important arguments against intervention. In theory at least there are theoretical
cases where externalities can be solved by the market. The Coase Theorem provides such
circumstances. This requires that numbers affected and negotiation costs are low and this is not Conclusions
the case here, since sand is a global market. As mentioned earlier, excess demand for sand leads which link theory
to rising prices and this should lead to some consumers rationing their demand for this item and and evidence
using substitutes instead. This is possible since “substitutes for sand do exist” – Extract C line 10. are nearly
“In the UK, sand demand is 25% less than 2007” evidences that this is happening in some always highly
circumstances. The difficulty though is that without effective regulation, rising prices only make effective.
illegal mining (and the associated) externalities more profitable.
Context 2
The diagram is
carefully
labelled, and
referred to in the
detailed written
analysis
Given the nature of the break-up of British Rail, the scale of output may in fact be even lower than
this and the vertical disintegration as a result of privatisation may also mean there are increasing
costs arising from this source. Economies of scale suggests that breaking up the natural
monopoly may increase LRATC. It may be though that greater competition and greater private
sector efficiency may lead to greater dynamic efficiency and lower ATC curves due especially to
process innovation. X-inefficiency (where lack of competition reduces the incentive to be
technically efficient and negotiate the lowest possible prices for factors of production) may also be
reduced.
Starting
paragraphs by
stating the main
point of the
paragraph helps
Considering the
assumptions
made in analysis
is another
effective method
for developing
arguments – it
Finally, an argument against renationalisation would be if there were alternative and better ways
of improving rail performance. There are a number of possibilities here but one perhaps worthy
of consideration is the franchising process itself and the means by which subsequent problems are
handled. The process is very expensive and this must itself reduce competition. Best outcomes
are likely to be achieved the more contestable the market. While rail cannot be especially
contestable in the usual sense, if large profits attracted significant competition in the next franchise
bidding process, this might moderate significant abuse of monopoly power. It seems essential too
that once companies have taken on a franchise moral hazard should be avoided. The evidence
from Stage Coach and Virgin in 2018 that led to them leaving the very important East Coast
mainline contract 3 years early suggests this is a very significant problem.
It seems that renationalisation could be done at little cost as franchises would simply not be
renewed. This is a consideration but perhaps not the most important one. It seems pretty clear
though that something must be done. While UK trains are reasonably punctual and reliable, it is a
concern that “UK trains and tracks are more intensively used than in any other European market” –
Extract E lines 5 -6 and that ticket prices are higher than in much of Europe. Of particular note is
that “the costs of running the UK’s railways is 40% higher than in the rest of Europe” – Extract E –
lines 13 – 14. Certainly from a theoretical point of view there is no compelling case that
renationalisation is the answer but the experience when National Express gave up the East Coast
franchise in 2009 does suggest otherwise. The case for renationalising the railways, for the
reasons given, seems pretty evenly balanced.
In contrast, Humans experience bounded rationality and this is one way in which rules of thumb
and irrationality affect their demand for goods and services. Consumers face an incredible array
of choice. Against this background, even if attempts are made to adopt maximising behaviour,
there are limits to the rationality that will be shown. Rationality may be limited by the complexity
of the decisions that need to be taken, their familiarity and the time available for example. In Very good use
order to reduce cognitive load, consumers may adopt simple rules of thumb. Examples of such of technical
behaviour include inertia, default choice, and herd behaviour. The result is some degree of terminology
irrationality. Consumers are unlikely to be wholly irrational but in the case of demerit goods for
instance the irrational component may be large. An example of a demerit good is smoking. The use of an
Consumers receive some immediate utility from consumption because it is addictive but are example helps to
irrational in their failure to take proper account of the longer-term disadvantages. Partly as a support the
result their self-control is bounded and the impact on their demand for goods and services is that argument and
it is above their private optimum and well above the socially optimal level. convince
examiners that
Consumers’ demand for goods and services may also be affected because supermarkets and the topic is well
other commercial firms are adept at using choice architecture and framing techniques to exploit understood
the rules of thumb that irrational consumers adopt. One example of this is anchoring. In a sale
for example, rather than considering the utility to be gained from a purchase, irrational consumers
will consider the sale price with reference to the original price. The original price is the anchor on
which decisions are based. The bigger the discount, the more likely the consumer is to make the
purchase. Default choice is an example of choice architecture, where consumers are more likely
to accept the default since they assume it contains some element of social norm.
In the case of a merit good the individual concerned may not be making an accurate assessment
of their own marginal private benefit (and especially taking accurate account of the long term It is clear from
benefits), there will be externalities (impacts on third parties) and these are goods which society the use of
judges an individual should have access to irrespective of their ability to pay. An example would technical
be education or healthcare. Demerit goods such as smoking or alcohol are the opposite. The language,
diagram shows these features of a demerit good, with D being the incorrect estimate the interesting and
individual puts on their MPB, D1 the correct evaluation according to society and MSB the impact accurate
including the effect diagram and its
of the negative accompanying
consumption analysis, that this
externality. The topic is very well
result is a market understood
failure, which
certainly in the case
of alcohol or
smoking is
significant as
evidenced by the
sizeable impact on
NHS services that
are paid for by
taxpayers.
Traditional theory
would suggest that Good use of
one solution would be an indirect tax of the distance P2 to P4. In theory this would work but the traditional and
tax would need to be very large given the size of the market failure. Another possibility is to behavioural
attempt to reduce the information failure and close the gap between D and D1. Traditional theory approaches,
would suggest an information campaign but experience suggests these have not been especially with real-world
successful. Behavioural theory suggests instead particular types of campaigns (specifically images contexts
of health impacts on packets) that exploit availability bias. In other areas (the organ donor register
and work place pensions), choice architecture has been shown to be very effective in achieving
better outcomes and this may suggest a behavioural approach will work well with some aspects
demerit goods. Given the size of the problem it is likely though that behavioural and traditional
approach would need to work hand in hand.
Inequality is a particular type of market failure where allocative efficiency is compromised because
not all have an equal ability to express their demand for goods and services. Traditional economic
theory suggests a number of approaches such as improving earnings ability through supply side
or labour market approaches (this would affect original income) or tax and benefits to affect final
It seems that the effectiveness of behavioural soljutions depends very much on the type of market
failure in question. For public goods and inequality, it seems as though behavioural policies are of
very little help where the government is concerned. It is a different matter though for charities
themselves. For merit and demerit goods though, behavioural is an exciting field which seems to
offer benefit especially where bounded self-control is an issue. Evidence from the trials of the
“Nudge” unit bear this out. There is very little evidence though of behavioural approaches
replacing traditional. Behavioural approaches only work where an individual is irrational. There
may be many examples of predictable irrationality but it seems likely that much behaviour is still
rational and this therefore calls for traditional policies in the main in many cases.
Essay 2
Profit is the reward to risk taking and must therefore be an important consideration for most firms.
For small firms though it is likely to be critically important. In the case of perfect competition for Comparing
example, where products are homogenous, information is perfect and firms are price takers, any theory to
firm failing to maximise profit will earn below normal profit and will be forced to exit the market in practice is a
the long run. In the real world though, perfect competition is an unrealistic market structure, but great way to
for any small firm, profit is likely to be very important, as it is the basis of their means of finance. approach
Small firms will not have access to the capital market (through bonds and share issues) and will economics exam
either need to use retained profits to grow or will need to demonstrate an ability to earn profits in questions.
order to obtain bank borrowing. However, even if a small firm wishes to maximise profit it may be Similarly, noting
in reality be quite difficult for them to do so. It is likely that managers of firms will experience that all firms are
bounded rationality in considering all of the cost and revenue information necessary to equate MR different e.g.
and MC and will instead adopt heuristics or simple rules of thumb to reduce cognitive load. One small v large, is
such example is cost plus pricing. The result may be that they are profit seeking as oppose to effective
profit maximising. Bounded rationality will be even greater for larger firms, even though they may
have the benefit of specialised managers. In theory profit maximisation may be a valid
assumption for small firms in particular but the practical difficulties of achieving it bring the
assumption into question.
If excess supply is particularly great then the incentives for black markets to develop in response to
the minimum price may be stronger. If this is the case then the impact of the minimum price in
terms of reducing consumption will be less and could also generate unintended consequences in
terms of greater crime etc. This will depend though on the effectiveness of regulation and the
severity of any sanctions. In the case of most demerit goods, certainly demand is likely to be price
inelastic (since they are addictive) although supply may be more variable.
The diagram analyses the impact of the imposition of a minimum wage. Assuming the minimum
wage is above the equilibrium (which it may be for some industries and not others, and the impact
may even differ within industries) then the market will now be in disequilibrium for the reasons Not only is there
discussed earlier. Depending on the extent to which the minimum wage is above the equilibrium good theory
and the wage elasticities then there will be some unemployment. E1 to E workers who were shown here, but
employed at the old wage rate will be unemployed now and E to E2 workers were not offering evaluation
their labour at the equilibrium wage but are at W min. The group of workers who remain comments are
employed though have ‘built in’ e.g.
benefitted and are different
receiving W to Wmin industries,
additional earnings. “depending on”
The greater the statements etc
minimum wage above
the equilibrium then the
greater will be the
benefit to the worker
employed, but equally
the greater will be
unemployment. The
more wage elastic
supply and demand
then the greater the
impact will be on
unemployment. In low wage industries where NMW is most likely to be above the equilibrium
then there is reason to think supply and demand may be more elastic. Jobs tend to be less skilled
and this increases supply elasticity. On the demand side, it does vary but employment is likely to A range of
be associated with goods and services which are price elastic (restaurant chains, retail etc) and this economic
will mean demand for labour is more wage elastic. There is some evidence though that being impacts are
paid a “fair” wage is important in motivating labour and that the NMW may have led to considered here
productivity improvements. If this is the case, MRP will rise and hence the demand for labour.
This will reduce excess supply. There are a number of estimates that suggest the NMW has not
increased unemployment at all (and productivity is one reason given) but the same cannot be said
of the higher NLW. There seems to be some evidence that the NMW is beneficial for some
workers but perhaps less so for the over 25s.
Thinking about
the impact of
assumptions that
have been made
is a great way to
develop an
argument
Finally, what of the impact on inequality? This is possibly the key reason why governments
introduce minimum wages. There is some evidence (from Wilkinson’s Spirit Level analysis) that
developed economies have much to gain if inequality is reduced. These benefits come in the
main from reduced social exclusion. Certainly those who remain in employment are likely to see
their incomes improved and also those who work for monopsony employers. The unemployed
though are likely to be worse off and this may widen rather than narrow inequality. There is also
some evidence that employers offset NMW by reducing non-wage benefits and this may mean
that welfare does not improve at all. It is unlikely that an economy will see benefits if the welfare
of its workforce is unchanged.
Overall, it certainly seems to be a complex picture, as evidenced by the discussion above, and
much will depend on the circumstances in question. In the case of the UK there does seem to be
some evidence that the national minimum wage has not caused considerable unemployment but
equally there seems to be evidence that some employers have managed to introduce offsetting
changes minimising the overall gain. Where the NLW is concerned though, the unemployment
impacts do seem greater and since this covers the majority of those in the working age
population, this does bring into question the view that a national minimum wage is overall
beneficial for an economy.