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Price Signal: Comunicación Del Nord Pool
Price Signal: Comunicación Del Nord Pool
Price Signal: Comunicación Del Nord Pool
We have been asked to comment on the proposed MOR design, to summarize our
impressions concerning the visit last week to Colombia and XM/CREG and to give
recommendations on a high level for the future development of the Colombian Power
market.
Our comments and recommendations are based upon the explanations given to us by
XM and CREG as well as the papers "Colombia Firm Energy Market" dated 18th
December 2006 and "Colombia's Forward Energy Market" dated 27th July 2007.
The comments and recommendations are by no means complete and reflect the first
impression we achieved during the visit and the reading of the documents.
* Price signal
We believe in the price's ability of serving as a price signal for both generation
and consumption in means of being able to increase the system's efficiency.
The price determination must thereby too the highest possible degree reflects
the marginal generation's unit costs and consumptions' preferences in the
system. In this regard our experience shows that the two-price system (Day-
Ahead-Market for energy plus Balancing Power Market for capacity) based on
hourly values is the best way of achieving this.
Participation in a two price system: the day-ahead price shall reflect the
marginal costs for generating the expected consumption. Thereby the
companies selling to not hourly metered end-users (retailers) estimate their
users' total consumption and purchase this price independently in the spot
market. The consumption estimate should - as Cramton also suggests - be
based on a profile. The profile should be the result from estimated total load
minus grid losses minus estimated hourly metered consumers' consumption.
Each retailer should be obliged to purchase his customers consumption.
Hourly metered users should purchase either directly from the spot market or
indirectly through a retailer each of their 24 hours of estimated consumption.
The spot market should be voluntary and thus bilateral physical products
should be allowed to complement the spot market's hourly products.
* Price quality
Our understanding of Crampton's forward energy market is that there is a high
risk of achieving "wrong prices" in the auctioned products.
Each price will include many risks such as volume risk, price risk, unavailability
risk, time risk and more.
Crampton includes a volume risk by only allowing consumption shares and not
specific MWh/h. This implies that generators will include a risk premium in the
contract price for coverage of this risk. This again means a "dirty price"
including elements it shouldn't include.
* Transparency
The short term influence of transparency will influence the spot price through
generation adaptation and the long term influence will give price signals to
consumption development and investments.
A contract with high risks influences negatively the risk any Clearing House or
Settlement House is opposed to. This is the case with Crampton's forward
contracts. It will definitely boost the transaction costs and thus the electricity
price.
* Transaction costs
Our comment is that a load following product decreases the system's efficiency
to a large degree. It is never an efficient solution when generators have to
follow load of their customers. It results in an inefficient system resource
usage. Hourly products in a spot market support the efficiency in the systems
resource usage too a much higher degree by enabling any consumer to buy his
hourly needed volumes from that hour's cheapest suppliers.
* Volume risk
* Derivatives market
* Demand response
I hope this is good reading for you ... since a forward market as Crampton suggests
would take away all your volumes in the existing DAM. You would be left with a small
market with no price signal at all. Crampton's market would give you turnover at each
auction, but that is only each "year" and once a time for the questioned volume ...
which is not many TWhs .
Sverre