Part 1: TB Data Project

Part A:

I used the simple random sample method as a way of selecting the 10 countries. I used
GeoGebra and typed in the input bar a random number between (1,025). Next, I pressed the
enter key 10 different times which gave me 10 numbers that corresponded to the different
countries. I then went back to the list of countries and wrote down the ones that have been
chosen. Those countries are Belize, Chile, Estonia, Japan, Malaysia, Mongolia, Nepal, Peru,
Sierra Leone, and Switzerland.

Part B:

Total TB Incidence Success rate Cohort size

Belize 28 82% 79

Chile 16 77% 1,992

Estonia 9.3 75% 101

Japan 11 65% 12,586

Malaysia 97 78% 22,973

Mongolia 428 90% 3,710

Peru 130 85% 20, 938

Sierra Leone 289 89% 15,706

Switzerland 4.7 74% 342

Nepal 229 91% 26, 909

Part C:

1. In Peru, the female group with the most notified cases is 25-34. The relative frequency can be
found by dividing the group number by the total number of females. Therefore the relative
frequency for this group is 2500/9025= 0.277
This is a rough estimate, as it doesn’t show the exact number for each category
2. In Peru, the male group with the least notified cases is 0-4. We can find the relative frequency
for this group, in the same way we found it for the question above. Therefore the relative
frequency for this group is roughly 25/16225= 0.002

3. For the women age group 25-34 there would be about 1,385. To find this I multiplied 5,000
times the relative frequency for females in this group which is 0.277.
For the male age group 0-4 there would be about 10. To find this number I multiplied 5,000 by
the relative frequency for this group which is 0.002.

Below is the chart for Incidence, Notified cases by age and sex for PERU

Incidence, Notified cases by age group and sex, 2021

(Number)

Part D:
Ho: p= 0.85
Ha: p≠ 0.85
For Belize, the success rate is 0.82 which is not rare compared to the rest
of the world, which is 0.85.
We do have statistically significant evidence that the success rate is not
different from the rest of the world.

PART II:

A. For the following, I chose Chile and Sierra Leone for my 2 countries.

1. For Chile, the sample size n= 1,992, and P^ = 0.77

a. Yes this is a random sample
b. 1,992 is less then 5% of the worlds population
c. 0.77 x 1,992= 1533.84 ≥ 10, 1,992(1-0.77)=458.16≥ 10
These three conditions have been met.

2. For Sierra Leone, the sample size n= 15,706, and P^=0.89

a. Yes this is a random sample
b. 15,706 is less then 5% of the worlds population
c. 0.89 x 15,706= 13,978≥ 10, 15,706(1-0.89)= 1727.66≥ 10
These three conditions have been met.

B. We are 95% confident that the interval (0.7516, 0.7886) contains the true proportion of all
Chile

We are 95% confident that the interval (0.8851, 0.8949) contains the true proportion of all Sierra
Leone

Sierra Leone Chile

C. Neither of these intervals have a likey success rate, because 0.85 does not fall between
either of them.
D. The following data is for Belize (used in part 1):
1. This is a random sample
2. It is likely that 79 is less then 5% of the worlds population
3. 79 (0.85)= 67.15 ≥ 10, and 79(1-0.85) 11.85 ≥ 10

E. Ho: p= 0.85
Ha: p≠ 0.85 Test statistic= -0.6774
P- value= 0.4981

I chose 0.05 to be my a value. So, a=0.05.

0.4981 > 0.05

We fail to reject Ho. There is insufficient evidence to conclude that there are more then
85% of successful treatments.

F.

These results are different then the results of part 2, because different numbers were used for
the sample sizes and number of samples. We failed to reject Ho in part two due to insufficient
evidence, but in part 1 we had statisticlaly significant evidence.
Part 3:

A.
Country Total TB incidence

Belize 28

Chile 16

Estonia 9.3

Japan 11

Malaysia 97

Mongolia 428

Peru 130

Sierra Leone 289

Switzerland 4.7

Nepal 229

B.The shape of the boxplot above is right skewed. The middle is 124.2 (found by adding all
numbers together and dividing by 10), and the spread is 423.3 (found by taking 428-4.7)
C. LF: 11-1.5(218)= -316 UF: 229+1.5(218)= 556.
There are no outliers here. As you can see above the fences stretch from (-316 to 556) and
there are no values beyond those two limits, everything is between them.

D.
1. This sample is a simple random sample. All countries were randomly chosen.
2. The sample size is 59,528. There are more than 59,528 people in the entire world, so the
sample sizeis less than 5% of the world’s population.
3. It is a normal distribution because our sample of 59,528 people is greater than 30.

E.
We are 95% confident that the interval (19.5862, 228. 8138) contains the true mean of the
total number of TB incidences.

F.
Below displays the hypothesis test for this set of data. With us wanting to find the global
incidence rate of TB in the world is different than the reported value of 132. We know that our
t-statistic is 2.6846 and our p-value is 0.025. With our alpha level being 0.05.

We reject the null hypothesis, we have sufficient evidence that the global
incidence rate of TB in the world is different than the reported value.
Part 4:

A.
Member of WHO Success Failure TOTAL

Belize 82 18 100

Chile 77 23 100

Estonia 75 25 100

Japan 65 35 100

Malaysia 78 22 100

Mongolia 90 10 100

Peru 85 15 100

Sierra Leone 89 11 100

Switzerland 74 26 100

Nepal 91 9 100

TOTAL 806 194 1,000

 B.
1.The probability of a case being randomly selected in Malaysia and Mongolia is
200/1000 = 0. 2
2. The probability of a case being randomly selected from Malaysia or is a failure is
272/1000 = 0. 272
3. The probability of a case being randomly selected from Malaysia and is a failure is
22/1000 = 0. 22
4. The probability of a case being randomly selected from Mongolia given it is a failure is
22/194 = 0. 11
5. The probability that three randomly selected cases (without replacement) are all
successes from Sierra Leone is 0.005.

C. Below is the GeoGebra output and interpretation for a 95% confidence interval for the difference
between the proportions of successes of Malaysia and Mongolia.
We are 95% confident that the interval -0.2202 to -0.0198 contains the true difference of
proportions of successes of Malaysia and Mongolia.

D.
Below is the hypothesis test, p-value, and test-statistic for where there is a difference in
proportions of successful treatment for Malaysia and Mongolia. And alpha will be 0.05

The p-value is 0.0206

The test-statistic is -2.3146

We reject the null hypothesis. There is sufficient evidence that there is a difference of
proportions for successful treatments for Malaysia and Mongolia.
.