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2021-08-20-2382.HK-CJS International-CJSISunny Optical Initiation - Foreseeable Growth As Global O... - 93519536
2021-08-20-2382.HK-CJS International-CJSISunny Optical Initiation - Foreseeable Growth As Global O... - 93519536
[Table_Author]
● Mo Wenyu ● Olivia Niu
(8621)61118752 (852)2823 0415
mowy@cjsc.com.cn niuzhuolin@cjsc.com.hk
SFC No. BQT625 SFC No. BQG669
[Table_Summary]
Invisible winner in global optics business
Sunny Optical (“SO”) is the world leading optics manufacturer. The company was founded in 1984
and was listed on HKEX in June 2007 (Ticker: 2382.HK). SO principally engaged in the design
and manufacturing of optical products, covering smartphone business, automobile business and
so on. SO delivers rapid growth during past decades with revenue rockets more than 15 times
while market value jumped nearly 100 times. We deem SO's rapid growth is attributed to rise of
[Table_Invest]
Publish Date 2021-08-19
China Android brands and its “Mingpeijue” strategy which adheres to “customer-centered”
Report Type Company Initiation
principle.
Rating BUY
Last Price HK$215.40 Smartphone camera business: ready to monetize upgrade momentum
The global smartphone market enters into stock competition stage as the shipment volume is
pacing down and SO is ready to monetize the upgrade momentum. Smartphone makers flocks
into product hardware upgrading to create differentiated portfolio. Optics function has become the
main battlefield for smartphone upgrades including multi-camera design, 3D sensing design,
large size image design, etc. SO’s smartphone business is divided into Headset Camera Modules
(HCM) and Handset Lens Sets (HLS) segment. We believe that the catalysts for its camera
module business come from best-in-class product innovation and mass-production capabilities to
capture incremental orders from high-end smartphone. And the catalysts for handset lens set
business attribute to fast-developing in-house R&D achievements.
With the ascending penetration of electric vehicles, the functions of automotive cameras are
diversified and the EVs equipped with multi-camera becomes popularity. The basic autonomous
driving function requires multiple cameras to realize automatic cruise, automatic parking, while it
also urges higher resolution of cameras to detect more information in autonomous driving
environment. SO is the world’s largest supplier of Vehicle Lens Set (VLS) with wide-covered
product reserves. We deem it will benefit from EV sector’s foreseeable growth riding early mover
advantage and long-established recognition with global reputable vehicle makers.
We consider the VR/AR application market relies on hardware device penetration and extension
of application scenario. SO has stepped into VR/AR products strategically and shows quick and
innovative response to current clients. We believe SO will benefit from VR/AR market’s potential
growth in long run.
[Table_Risk]
Risks:
1. Failure in smartphone optics upgrading.
2. Vehicle camera optics upgrading below expectation.
Content
Invisible winner in global optics business ..................................................................................... 5
Beneficiary of China smartphone revolution .................................................................................................. 5
Topline delivers resilient growth throughout COVID-19................................................................................. 6
Intensive R&D investment to enhance competitiveness ............................................................................... 8
Smartphone camera business: ready to monetize upgrade momentum .................................... 10
Smartphone camera market fueled by optical upgrades wave ................................................................... 10
Higher resolution for both main and front camera .......................................................................................................... 10
Better image quality with more lens pieces and G+P mix ............................................................................................... 11
SO targets to be no.1 module suppliers as the high-end product shipment ramps up ................................................... 15
Narrowing technology gap with Largan attracts Apple orders on track ........................................................................... 18
Automobile camera business: step into fast-growing stage with solid position .......................... 21
SO maintains leading position to harvest sector growth ............................................................................. 21
Rising automotive camera market leaves great potential for optics application ......................................... 21
VR/AR camera business: strategic deployment on emerging market ........................................ 26
Listed on the Main Strategic Established Sunny • Set up new production plants
Board of Hong Kong deployment Optical(Zhejiang) in Vietnam and India,
of the 3D producing handset camera
Stock Exchange Research Institute
sensing modules and vehicle lens sets
product Co., Ltd in
Hangzhou • Established subsidiary in
Germany
Established and Participated
commenced in image
optics business digitalization
area
Figure 2: SO’s revenue (100 million yuan) Figure 3: SO’s market value (100 million yuan)
500 2500
2000
400
1500
300
1000
200
500
100
0
May-14
May-19
Jan-11
Jun-11
Jan-16
Jun-21
Jun-16
Jan-21
Mar-20
Mar-15
Feb-18
Feb-13
Apr-12
Oct-19
Oct-14
Apr-17
Jul-13
Jul-18
Nov-11
Dec-13
Nov-16
Dec-18
Sep-12
Sep-17
Aug-20
Aug-15
0
201 1 201 2 201 3 201 4 201 5 201 6 201 7 201 8 201 9 202 0
SO's rapid growth is attributed to prosperity of China Android brands and the
transfer of smartphone industrial chain towards local suppliers. As the “world
factory” for smartphone, China has developed complete smartphone industry chain
from demand side and supply side. Excellent domestic smartphone brands such as
HOVM tend to choose local suppliers with first-mover advantage. Worldwide
comparable company Largan's rise also relies on deep and stable relationship with
customer A, defeating Kangzhida in the Nokia era rapidly.
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
2018 2018 2018 2018 2019 2019 2019 2019 2020 2020 2020 2020 2021
Samsung Apple Xiaomi OPPO vivo Huawei realme Others
Source: Counterpoint, CJS International; Note: Huawei’s market share in 21Q1 excludes Honor segment
Figure 5: SO’s income breakdown over 2006-2020 (in terms of Figure 6: SO’s income breakdown over 2018-2020 (in terms of
product) downstream sector)
Source: Wind, CJS International Source: Investor events material, CJS International
Figure 7: SO’s revenue balloons up during 2006-2020 (in terms of Figure 8: SO’s HCM shipment volume is climbing yet sector paces
product, RMB in million) down (’000)
Source: Wind, CJS International Source: Investor events material, CJS International
Figure 9: Shipment volume of periscope modules and large image Figure 10: Sector comparison in terms of gross margin
size modules with high margin surges
Source: Investor events material, CJS International Source: Investor events material, CJS International
ASP upside potential relies on upgrading optical components. Optics function has
become the main battlefield for smartphone upgrades. Consumers are highly
concerned about pictures and videos as the prime communication approach especially
in the 5G era. According to a survey conducted by ZDC in 2019, the element that
mobile phone users in China care about most is the camera function, ahead of
smartphone design and other features. Therefore, major smartphone makers invest to
upgrade handset cameras from multiple dimensions. Taking Apple as an example, the
increase in iPhone’s ASP is driven by lens upgrades in recent years. From iPhone 6
Plus to iPhone 12 Pro, the cost of the smartphone camera has risen from US$12.5 to
US$96, while the BOM ratio of the camera has risen from 5.8% to 18.68%.
Figure 12: Global smartphone shipment volume remains stable Figure 13: BOM cost per iPhone increases significantly
Source: IDC, CJS International Source: IHS, Tech Insights, CJS International
also advancing. Taking Huawei as an example, the front cameras of its flagship P10
Pro to P40 Pro, has climbed from 8MP->24MP->32MP->32MP+3D sensing.
Quad-camera
Dual-camera
Front
Camera
Better image quality with more lens pieces and G+P mix
The number of lenses determines camera’s light gathering capacity which
influences image texture, 7P/8P lenses are likely to become mainstream choices
in future. Theoretically, the more lenses per camera represents better image quality.
Nowadays mainstream smartphone has upgraded the number of lenses from 5P/6P to
7P/8P. The Mi 9 Transparent Premium Edition is equipped with the world's first 7P
camera, the Mi CC9 Pro Premium Edition is equipped with the world's first 8P camera,
and the iPhone 12's main camera is also equipped with a 7P lens. 7P and 8P lenses
have stronger light-gathering and resolution capabilities than 6P lenses, which can
reduce optical chromatic aberration. However, the increase in number of lenses per
camera will also cause several issues such as protrusion of the lens matrix and optical
axis deviation. Considering the most balanced revolution trend, we believe that the
marginal benefit for leveling up the lens to 9p/10p would be limited, while 7p and 8p
lens might become the mainstream choices in future.
offer better user experience. According to Counterpoint estimates, the average number
of cameras per smartphone has increased from 2 in 2015 to 3.7 in 2020. Multi-camera
per smartphone’s penetration contributes most to smartphone’s market expansion.
Figure 16: Average number of cameras per smartphone climbs over Figure 17: Multi-camera penetration during Q1’18-Q3’20
2015-2020
4
0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: Haleh Ardebili & Jiawei Zhang, Chip Scale Pack, China Baogao, CJS International
Figure 18: Global camera module market share Figure 19: HCM supplier consolidation driven by smartphone market
80.0%
O Film, 18%
70.0%
60.0%
50.0%
SO, 13% 40.0%
30.0%
20.0%
Q Tech, 9% 10.0%
0.0%
2017 2018 2019 2020
O Film SO Q Tech LGI Foxconn LuxVision CR5 of smartphone CR5 of HCM supplier
Sharp SEMCO Truly Cowell Primax Others
Source: Sunny Optical website, CJS International Source: Sunny Optical website, CJS International
Figure 22: SO’s HCM shipment volume movement Figure 23: SO’s ASP for HCM product is higher than O Film
70,000 100%
60
60,000 80%
50
50,000 60%
40
40,000 40%
30,000 20% 30
20,000 0% 20
10,000 -20%
10
0 -40%
Feb/19
Feb/20
Feb/21
Apr/19
Jun/19
Apr/20
Jun/20
Apr/21
Jun/21
Dec/18
Aug/19
Dec/19
Aug/20
Dec/20
Oct/19
Oct/20
0
2018 2019 2020
Source: Sunny Optical website, CJS International Source: Sunny Optical website, CJS International
The synergy between the HCM business and upstream HLS business is
expected to improve company's earnings. SO is the earliest domestic HCM maker
which commenced handset lens set business. In order to maintain market
competitiveness, SO's HCM and HLS segments operate independently and both
achieve leading position in corresponding markets. From the perspective of improving
the resource utilization efficiency within industry chain, optics manufacturers starts to
carry out vertical integration. Sunny Optical’ s HCM segment purchases about 1/5 of
the company's HLS products, while the rest of the lens comes from external
manufacturers. We believe SO may benefit from the synergy effect between upstream
HLS and downstream HCM segment and its earnings get further improvement.
Figure 24: Synergy trend between module and lens business Figure 25: SO’s internal transaction value (CNY’000)
Source: Investor events material, CJS International Source: Sunny Optical website, CJS International
Figure 26: SO’s HLS shipment volume shows seasonal volatility Figure 27: Optical business comparison within industry (million yuan)
16,000 80%
180,000 80%
160,000
60%
140,000 12,000 60%
120,000 40%
100,000
20% 8,000 40%
80,000
60,000 0%
40,000 4,000 20%
-20%
20,000
0 -40%
Jun/19
Jun/20
Jun/21
Apr/20
Apr/19
Dec/18
Aug/19
Feb/21
Apr/21
Feb/19
Dec/19
Aug/20
Feb/20
Dec/20
Oct/19
Oct/20
0 0%
2018 2019 2020
Source: SO’s referral materials, CJS International Source: Wind, Bloomberg, CJS International
Figure 28: The number of SO’s patent surpassed that of Largan’s in Figure 29: The proportion of SO’s invention patents is lower than that
recent year
of Largan (2020)
Source: Taiwan China Intellectual Property Bureau, SO’s annoucement, CJS Source: Taiwan China Intellectual Property Bureau, SO’s announcement, CJS
International International
Figure 30: The proportion of high-resolution in SO’s optical shipments Figure 31: The proportion of SO’s value-added handset lens sets has
is gradually approaching Largan
increased
Source: Largan, SO’s referral materials, CJS International Source: SO’s referral materials, CJS International
Figure 32: SO's overseas revenue has growth potential to boost overall earning (Inner ring:
2019, Outer ring: 2020)
Figure 33: SO’s vehicle lens set for rear view camera Figure 34: SO’s VLS shipment volume remains prosperity
8,000 250%
7,000 200%
6,000
150%
5,000
100%
4,000
50%
3,000
0%
2,000
1,000 -50%
0 -100%
Apr/19
Jun/19
Apr/20
Jun/20
Apr/21
Jun/21
Dec/18
Feb/19
Aug/19
Dec/19
Feb/20
Aug/20
Dec/20
Feb/21
Oct/19
Oct/20
Source: SO’s referral materials, CJS International Source: SO’s referral materials, CJS International
functions. Nowadays, the vehicle cameras are commonly used to realize primary
automatic driving functions (ADAS, Advanced Driver Assistance Systems). The basic
autonomous driving function requires multiple cameras, including front-view, rear-view,
surround-view, side-view, and inner-view cameras to realize automatic cruise,
automatic parking and so on.
Figure 35: 8MP-pixel lens’s maximum perceived distance is 3 times of 1.2MP-pixel lens’s
(meter)
Latest-launched smart EVs all have equipped with 8MP HD cameras. Geely’s
Extreme 001 is equipped with eight ADS HD cameras (8MP): Front-view lens*3(Front
windshield: binocular*1 + Telephoto monocular camera*1) + side and rear-view*2(Wing)
MDC 300F 64 - -
DRIVE Orin 254 Nio’s ET7 11* 8mn mega pixel HD cameras
Figure 37: Different electronic end products shipment in the last five years(million)
SO has stepped into VR/AR products strategically. The company shows quick
and innovative response to current clients and we believe it will benefit from
VR/AR market’s potential growth. Since 2016, SO has provided front-facing
cameras for HTC Vive. It realized mass production of Fresnel lens sets and entered
into a lot of VR device makers supply chain in 2017. In terms of AR market, SO reached
strategic cooperation with Longjing Photoelectric Technology in 2019, the leader in AR
optical waveguide lens market. After that, SO successfully developed the AR diffraction
optical waveguide monochrome waveguide in 2020.
Rating Definition
Sector Rating Definition
Outperform: The sector is expected to outperform the benchmark in the next 12-month period
Neutral: The sector is expected to perform in line with the benchmark in the next 12-month period
Underperform: The sector is expected to underperform the benchmark in the next 12-month period
Company Rating Definition
Buy: A potential return of over 10% relative to the benchmark in the next 12-month period
Accumulate: A potential return ranging from 5% to 10% relative to the benchmark in the next 12-month period
Neutral: A potential return ranging from -5% to 5% relative to the benchmark in the next 12-month period
Reduce: A potential return of less than -5% relative to the benchmark in the next 12-month period
Not Rated: Not Rated as a result of lack of indispensable documents, unpredictable material, uncertainties the company
would be facing, or other reasons.
Benchmark: CSI 300 for A-share market; Hong Kong Hang Seng Index for Hong Kong market.
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