Professional Documents
Culture Documents
List of Figures: Fig. 1: Location Map of The Study Area
List of Figures: Fig. 1: Location Map of The Study Area
Training samples
Validation samples
LULC Classification using Random Forest classification
NO Accuracy assessment
YES
Classification maps of year 1990, 2000, 2010, and 2020 2020 LULC Map
LULC Change Detection (1990 – 2000, 2000 – 2010, 2010 – 2020, and 1990 - 2020)
tion Probability Matrix and Transition Area Matrix (2000 – 2010) Transition Probability Matrix and Transition Area Matrix (20010 – 2020)
Markov Chain Analysis
CA-Markov model
Factors to LULCs Change Suitability Map
No Model Validation
YES
4161.8
2977.2
2926.2
3500
2783.8
3474.4
3000
2500
2647.3
2000
2235.1
1918.9
1500
1455.1
1324.1
1000
156.9
1438.5
2325.5
2553.4
2505.7
119.1
139.6
500
498.2
109.4
103.3
Agriculture Built-up Vegetation Grass land Water body
Grasses Grasses
Built up Built up
Agriculture Agriculture
00 00 00 00 0 0 00 00 00 00 0 00 0 00 00 00
0 5 0 -5 50 10 15 20 25 00 0 10 20 30
-2 -1 -1 -2 -1
Water Water
Vegetation Vegetation
2000-2010
Grasses Grasses
Built up Built up
Agriculture Agriculture
00 00 0 00 00 0 0 00 00 00 0 0 0 0 0 00 00
5 0 50 0 -5 50 10 15 5 00 -5 50 10 15
-2 -2 -1 -1 -1 -1
Water Water
Vegetation Vegetation
2010-2020
Grasses Grasses
Built up Built up
Agriculture Agriculture
00 0 0 00 00 00 0
0 00 10 20 30 0 00 00 00 0
20
0
40
0
60
0
-2 -1 -8 -6 -4 -2
Fig. 6: Historical LULC losses, gains, and net changes constructed by author
Fig.7: Classified and Projected 2020of Burayu City
Fig.8: Classified land use/land cover (1990, 2000, 2010 and 2020)
Agriculture Built up
3000 8000
2000 6000
4000
Hectors
Hectors
1000 2000
0 0
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2050
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2050
Year Year
Grasses Vegetation
4000 4000
3000 3000
2000 2000
Hectors
Hectors
1000 1000
0 0
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2050
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2050
Year Year
Water Total
150
8000
100
Hectors
Hectors
4000
50
0 0
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2050
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2050
Year Year
Fig. 9: Historical and simulated LULC for Burayu town (1990 - 2050)