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STEP 2 2020 Mark Scheme
STEP 2 2020 Mark Scheme
STEP 2 2020 Mark Scheme
Mathematics 2 [9470]
2020
Mark Scheme
Only penalise missing +c once in parts (i) and (ii)
1(i) ⌠ ⌠ (1 − u )2 M1 Must include attempt at 𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 (or 𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 )
1 1
d x = du A1
𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑
23 1 2
( )
1
⌡ x ( x − 1) 2 ⌡ u 2 1 − u
1 A1
= 2u 2
1 A1
x − 1 2
= 2 +c
x
1(ii) Let 𝑥𝑥 − 2 = 𝑠𝑠 M1
⌠ 1 ⌠ 1 A1
Then
d x = ds
3 1 3 1
⌡ ( x − 2 ) 2 ( x + 1) 2 ⌡ s 2 (s + 3) 2
3 M1
Let s =
u −1 A1
⌠ ⌠ ( u − 1)2 A1
1 −3 1
2 u2
ds = d u = −
32 1 2 21 ( u − 1)2 3
⌡ s (s + 3) 2 ⌡ 3 u
1 1 M1
s +3 2 x +1 2
− 32
= − 32
= +c A1
s x −2
⌠
1 M1 Expressing the denominator as the square root of
1 a quadratic.
= du
1
(
⌡0 3 − 2u − u 2 ) 2
1 M1
⌠
1
= du
( )
1
2
⌡0 4 − (1 + u )
2
1 M1
1 + u
= arcsin A1
2 0
= 21 π − 61 π = 31 π A1 Answer given.
2(i) 1 − ky dy kx − 1 M1
=
y dx x
ln y − ky = kx − ln x + c M1
A1
Hence, ln xy = k ( x + y ) + c M1
1 ( x + y )2 − ( x − y )2 = Ae k ( x + y ) M1
xy= 4 A1
2 2
C1 is ( x − y ) =( x + y ) − 2 x + y A1 Answer given.
2 2
C2 is ( x − y ) =( x + y ) − 2 x + y + 4 A1
In both cases, the equation is invariant under (𝑥𝑥, 𝑦𝑦) ↦ (𝑦𝑦, 𝑥𝑥 ), so symmetrical in E1
𝑦𝑦 = 𝑥𝑥.
If the form given for 𝐶𝐶1 is differentiated to check
that it satisfies the differential equation and it is
also checked that it passes through (1,1), award 2
marks.
2(ii)
(4,16)
(2,4)
Therefore, (𝑥𝑥 + 𝑦𝑦) must lie between 2 and 4 E1 Explanation of how the graphs show this needed.
v
Graph: Symmetry about 𝑦𝑦 = 𝑥𝑥 G1
Graph: Passes through (-1,-1) G1
Graph: 𝑦𝑦 → 0 as 𝑥𝑥 → ∞, 𝑦𝑦 → −∞ as 𝑥𝑥 → 0 G1
3(i) Suppose, ∃𝑘𝑘: 2 ≤ 𝑘𝑘 ≤ 𝑛𝑛 − 1 such that 𝑢𝑢𝑘𝑘−1 ≥ 𝑢𝑢𝑘𝑘 , but 𝑢𝑢𝑘𝑘 < 𝑢𝑢𝑘𝑘+1 M1
Since all of the terms are positive, these imply that 𝑢𝑢𝑘𝑘2 < 𝑢𝑢𝑘𝑘−1 𝑢𝑢𝑘𝑘+1 , so the sequence E1 Must include that all terms are positive.
does not have property L.
Therefore, if the sequence has property L, once a value 𝑘𝑘 has been reached such that E1
𝑢𝑢𝑘𝑘−1 ≥ 𝑢𝑢𝑘𝑘 , it must be the case that all subsequent terms also have that property (which
is the given definition of unimodality).
3(ii) ur − α ur −1 = α ( ur −1 − α u r −2 ) , so ur − α ur −1= α r −2 ( u2 − α u 1 ) M1
A1 Answer given.
ur2 − ur −1 u r +1 = (
ur2 − ur −1 2α ur − α 2 u r −1=) ( ur 2
− α ur −1 ) for r ⩾ 2 B1 Answer given.
The first identity shows that 𝑢𝑢𝑟𝑟 > 0 for all r if 𝑢𝑢2 > 𝑎𝑎𝑢𝑢1 > 0. E1
Since the right hand side of the second identity is always non-negative, the sequence has E1
property L, and is hence unimodal.
3(iii) 𝑢𝑢1 = (2 − 1)𝛼𝛼 1−1 + 2(1 − 1)𝛼𝛼 1−2 = 1, which is correct. M1 Confirm both cases.
𝑢𝑢2 = (2 − 2)𝛼𝛼 2−1 + 2(2 − 1)𝛼𝛼 2−2 = 2, which is correct.
Suppose that:
𝑢𝑢𝑘𝑘−2 = (4 − 𝑘𝑘)𝛼𝛼 𝑘𝑘−3 + 2(𝑘𝑘 − 3)𝛼𝛼 𝑘𝑘−4 , and
𝑢𝑢𝑘𝑘−1 = (3 − 𝑘𝑘)𝛼𝛼 𝑘𝑘−2 + 2(𝑘𝑘 − 2)𝛼𝛼 𝑘𝑘−3 .
𝑢𝑢𝑘𝑘 = 2𝛼𝛼 �(3 − 𝑘𝑘)𝛼𝛼 𝑘𝑘−2 + 2(𝑘𝑘 − 2)𝛼𝛼 𝑘𝑘−3 � − 𝛼𝛼 2 ((4 − 𝑘𝑘)𝛼𝛼 𝑘𝑘−3 + 2(𝑘𝑘 − 3)𝛼𝛼 𝑘𝑘−4 ) M1
A1
= 𝛼𝛼 𝑘𝑘−1 (6 − 2𝑘𝑘 − 4 + 𝑘𝑘) + 𝛼𝛼 𝑘𝑘−2 (4𝑘𝑘 − 8 − 2𝑘𝑘 + 6)
= 𝛼𝛼 𝑘𝑘−1 (2 − 𝑘𝑘) + 2𝛼𝛼 𝑘𝑘−2 (𝑘𝑘 − 1)
which is the correct expression for 𝑢𝑢𝑘𝑘
Hence, by induction 𝑢𝑢𝑟𝑟 = (2 − 𝑟𝑟)𝛼𝛼 𝑟𝑟−1 + 2(𝑟𝑟 − 1)𝛼𝛼 𝑟𝑟−2 E1 Requires both statement of induction
hypotheses and conclusion.
ur − u r +1 = ((2 − r )α r −1
) (
+ 2 ( r − 1) α r −2 − (1 − r ) α r + 2r α r −1 ) M1
(
= α r −2 2 ( r − 1) + ( 2 − 3r ) α + (r − 1)α 2 ) A1
M1
=
α r −2
N2
( 2N 2 ( r − 1) + ( 2 − 3r ) N ( N − 1) + (r − 1) ( N − 1)
2
) A1
α r −2
=
N 2 ((r − 1) + rN − N ) 2
α r −2 ( N − 1) M1
when r = N, uN =
− u N +1 >0 A1
N2
−2α r −2 A1
when r = N – 1, uN −1 −=
uN <0
N2
so ur is largest when r = N E1 Answer given.
4(i) The straight line distance between two points must be less than the length of any other E1
rectilinear path between the points.
4(ii)
𝑎𝑎
𝑐𝑐
𝑏𝑏
Diagram showing two circles and straight line joining their centres. B1
Length of line and radii of circles are 𝑎𝑎, 𝑏𝑏 and 𝑐𝑐 in some order.
Either statement that the straight line is the longest of the lengths, or explanation that one E1
circle cannot be contained inside the other.
Explanation that the circles must meet. E1
4(iii) (A) M1 If it is not made clear that the result applies
If 𝑎𝑎 + 𝑏𝑏 > 𝑐𝑐 then (𝑎𝑎 + 1) + (𝑏𝑏 + 1) > 𝑐𝑐 + 2 > 𝑐𝑐 + 1 et cycl., so 𝑎𝑎 + 1, 𝑏𝑏 + 1, 𝑐𝑐 + 1 can A1 for cyclic permutations, do not award A1.
always form the sides of a triangle.
(B)
If 𝑎𝑎 = 𝑏𝑏 = 𝑐𝑐 = 1 we have 1, 1, 1 which can form the sides of a triangle. B1
1
If 𝑎𝑎 = 1, 𝑏𝑏 = 𝑐𝑐 = 2 we have , 1, 2 which cannot form the sides of a triangle. B1
2
𝑎𝑎 𝑏𝑏 𝑐𝑐
Therefore, , , can sometimes, but not always form the sides of a triangle. E1
𝑏𝑏 𝑐𝑐 𝑎𝑎
(C) M1
If 𝑝𝑝 ≥ 𝑞𝑞 ≥ 𝑟𝑟 then |𝑝𝑝 − 𝑞𝑞| + |𝑞𝑞 − 𝑟𝑟| = 𝑝𝑝 − 𝑞𝑞 + 𝑞𝑞 − 𝑟𝑟 = 𝑝𝑝 − 𝑞𝑞 = |𝑝𝑝 − 𝑟𝑟| A1
So two of |𝑝𝑝 − 𝑞𝑞|, |𝑞𝑞 − 𝑟𝑟|, |𝑝𝑝 − 𝑟𝑟| will always sum to the third, so they never form the
sides of a triangle. E1
(D) M1
If 𝑎𝑎 + 𝑏𝑏 > 𝑐𝑐 then 𝑎𝑎2 + 𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏 + 𝑏𝑏 2 + 𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐 = 𝑎𝑎2 + 𝑏𝑏 2 − 2𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 + 𝑐𝑐 (𝑎𝑎 + 𝑏𝑏) + 2𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 A1
= (𝑎𝑎 − 𝑏𝑏)2 + 𝑐𝑐 (𝑎𝑎 + 𝑏𝑏) + 2𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 > 𝑐𝑐 2 + 𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 et cycl. M1 Penalise not referencing cyclic
so 𝑎𝑎2 + 𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏, 𝑏𝑏 2 + 𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐, 𝑐𝑐 2 + 𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 can always form the sides of a triangle. A1 permutations, but only if not penalised for
(A)
4(iv) Since 𝑎𝑎 + 𝑏𝑏 > 𝑎𝑎 𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 𝑏𝑏,
𝑓𝑓(𝑎𝑎)
>
𝑓𝑓(𝑎𝑎+𝑏𝑏)
and
𝑓𝑓(𝑏𝑏)
>
𝑓𝑓(𝑎𝑎+𝑏𝑏) M1
𝑎𝑎 𝑎𝑎+𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏 𝑎𝑎+𝑏𝑏
Thus M2 = ±I ⇔ τ = 0 and δ = ∓1 M1
or b = c = 0 and a2 = d2 = ±1 A1
A1
If 𝑏𝑏 = 𝑐𝑐 = 0 and 𝑎𝑎 = 𝑑𝑑 = ±1 , then M = ±I E1
Clearly M2 = ±I ⇒ M4 = I E1
Any example, for instance a matrix satisfying the conditions for any of M2 = I, M2 = –I, M1
M4 = –I, which is not a rotation or reflection. A1
7(i) 1 − ti
2
(=
1 − ti )(1 + ti ) M1
|w – =
1| =2
1 , which is independent of 𝑡𝑡. A1
1 + ti (1 + ti )(1 − ti )
Points on the line 𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅(𝑧𝑧) = 3 have the form 𝑧𝑧 = 3 + 𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡 and E1 Answer given.
the points satisfying |𝑤𝑤 − 1| = 1 lie on a circle with centre 1.
If z = p + ti, then M1 Choice of form for 𝑧𝑧.
2 M1
( 2 − ( p − 2) c )
2
2 2 − ( p − 2 ) c − cti + c 2t 2
A1
w −c = =
( p − 2 ) + ti ( p − 2 )2 + t 2
M1
which is independent of t when ( 2 − ( p − 2 ) c ) = c 2 ( p − 2 )
2 2
1 A1 Centre
which is when c = . A1 Radius
p−2
1 1
Thus the circle has centre at and radius .
p−2 p−2
2 2 ( p − 2 ) − 2ti M1
=w = ,
( p − 2 ) + ti ( p − 2 )2 + t 2
so Im(w) > 0 when t < 0; that is, for those z on V with negative imaginary part. A1
7(ii) If z = t + qi then M1 Choice of form for 𝑧𝑧.
2 2 2 M1 Recognises the centre is on imaginary axis.
2 2 + cq − ( t − 2 ) ci c 2
( t − 2 ) + ( cq + 2 ) M1
w − ci = =
( t − 2 ) + qi ( t − 2 )2 + q 2 A1
1 A1 Centre
which is when c = − A1 Radius
q
1 1
so the circle has centre − i A1 and radius c2 = A1.
q q
2 2 ( t − 2 ) − 2qi M1
=w = ,
( t − 2 ) + qi ( t − 2 )2 + q 2
so Re(w) > 0 when t > 2; that is, for those z on H with real part greater than 2. A1
8(i)
𝑎𝑎
𝑏𝑏 𝑐𝑐
Graph: Zeroes at 𝑥𝑥 = 0, 𝑐𝑐 and one other point (ℎ: label not required) in (𝑎𝑎, 𝑏𝑏). G1
Graph: Turning points at 𝑥𝑥 = 0, 𝑎𝑎, 𝑏𝑏, 𝑐𝑐. G1
Graph: Quintic shape with curve below axis in (0, ℎ) and above axis in (ℎ, 𝑐𝑐) G1
The area conditions give 𝐹𝐹 (0) = 𝐹𝐹 (𝑐𝑐 ) = 0. E1
𝐹𝐹 ′ (𝑥𝑥 ) = 𝑓𝑓(𝑥𝑥), so 𝐹𝐹 ′ (0) = 𝐹𝐹 ′ (𝑎𝑎) = 𝐹𝐹 ′ (𝑏𝑏) = 𝐹𝐹 ′ (𝑐𝑐 ) = 0
Since 𝑓𝑓 is a quartic and the coefficient of 𝑥𝑥 4 is 1, E1 Explanation must be clear that the double
𝐹𝐹 must be a quintic and the coefficient of 𝑥𝑥 5 is .
1 roots are deduced from the fact that
5 𝐹𝐹 (𝑥𝑥 ) = 𝐹𝐹 ′ (𝑥𝑥 ) = 0 at those points.
𝐹𝐹 (0) = 𝐹𝐹 ′ (0) = 0 and 𝐹𝐹 (𝑐𝑐 ) = 𝐹𝐹 ′ (𝑐𝑐 ) = 0, so 𝐹𝐹 must have double roots at 𝑥𝑥 = 0 and 𝑐𝑐.
So 𝐹𝐹(𝑥𝑥) must have the given form.
1
𝐹𝐹 (𝑥𝑥 ) + 𝐹𝐹 (𝑐𝑐 − 𝑥𝑥 ) = 𝑥𝑥 2 (𝑥𝑥 − 𝑐𝑐 )2 [(𝑥𝑥 − ℎ) + (𝑐𝑐 − 𝑥𝑥 − ℎ)] M1
5
1 A1
= 𝑥𝑥 2 (𝑐𝑐 − 𝑥𝑥 )2 (𝑐𝑐 − 2ℎ)
5
8(ii) Let 𝐴𝐴 be the (positive) area enclosed by the curve between 0 and 𝑎𝑎. E1
The maximum turning point of 𝐹𝐹(𝑥𝑥) occurs at 𝑥𝑥 = 𝑏𝑏, with 𝐹𝐹 (𝑏𝑏) = 𝐴𝐴.
The minimum turning point of 𝐹𝐹(𝑥𝑥) occurs at 𝑥𝑥 = 𝑎𝑎, with 𝐹𝐹 (𝑎𝑎) = −𝐴𝐴.
Therefore 𝐹𝐹 (𝑥𝑥 ) ≥ −𝐴𝐴, with equality iff 𝑥𝑥 = 𝑎𝑎. E1 Answer given.
So 𝐹𝐹 (𝑏𝑏) + 𝐹𝐹 (𝑥𝑥 ) ≥ 0, with equality iff 𝑥𝑥 = 𝑎𝑎.
𝐹𝐹 (𝑎𝑎) + 𝐹𝐹 (𝑥𝑥 ) ≤ 0, with equality iff 𝑥𝑥 = 𝑏𝑏. B1
1
Since 𝐹𝐹 (𝑏𝑏) + 𝐹𝐹 (𝑐𝑐 − 𝑏𝑏) = 𝑏𝑏 2 (𝑐𝑐 − 𝑏𝑏)2 (𝑐𝑐 − 2ℎ), M1
5
A1 Answer given.
either 𝑐𝑐 > 2ℎ, or 𝑐𝑐 = 2ℎ and 𝑐𝑐 − 𝑏𝑏 = 𝑎𝑎.
1
Also, 𝐹𝐹 (𝑎𝑎) + 𝐹𝐹 (𝑐𝑐 − 𝑎𝑎) = 𝑎𝑎2 (𝑐𝑐 − 𝑎𝑎)2 (𝑐𝑐 − 2ℎ), so M1
5
A1
either 𝑐𝑐 < 2ℎ, or 𝑐𝑐 = 2ℎ and 𝑐𝑐 − 𝑎𝑎 = 𝑏𝑏.
Thus 𝑐𝑐 = 𝑎𝑎 + 𝑏𝑏 and 𝑐𝑐 = 2ℎ. E1 Answer given.
8(iii) 𝐹𝐹 (𝑥𝑥 ) =
1
𝑥𝑥 2 (𝑥𝑥 − 𝑐𝑐 )2 (2𝑥𝑥 − 𝑐𝑐) M1
10
1 A1
So 𝑓𝑓 (𝑥𝑥 ) = 𝑥𝑥 (𝑥𝑥 − 𝑐𝑐 )(5𝑥𝑥 2 − 5𝑥𝑥𝑥𝑥 + 𝑐𝑐 2 )
5
Therefore 𝑓𝑓 ′′ (𝑥𝑥 ) = 0 at 𝑥𝑥 = 𝑎𝑎 and 𝑥𝑥 = 𝑏𝑏 and so (𝑎𝑎, 0) and (𝑏𝑏, 0) are points of inflection. E1
9 If the particles collide at time 𝑡𝑡:
𝑉𝑉𝑉𝑉 + 𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈 cos 𝜃𝜃 = 𝑑𝑑, and M1
1 1
ℎ − 𝑔𝑔𝑡𝑡 2 = 𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈 sin 𝜃𝜃 − 𝑔𝑔𝑡𝑡 2 (or ℎ = 𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈 sin 𝜃𝜃) M1
2 2
Therefore, 𝑑𝑑 sin 𝜃𝜃 − ℎ cos 𝜃𝜃 = 𝑉𝑉𝑉𝑉 sin 𝜃𝜃 + 𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈 sin 𝜃𝜃 cos 𝜃𝜃 − 𝑈𝑈𝑈𝑈 sin 𝜃𝜃 cos 𝜃𝜃 M1
=
𝑉𝑉ℎ A1 Answer given.
𝑈𝑈
Therefore,
𝑉𝑉ℎ
< √𝑑𝑑 2 + ℎ2 M1
𝑈𝑈
ℎ 𝑈𝑈 A1 Answer given.
or sin 𝛽𝛽 = <
√𝑑𝑑 2 +ℎ2 𝑉𝑉
The height at which the particles collide is:
1 𝑔𝑔ℎ2
ℎ − 𝑔𝑔𝑡𝑡 2 = ℎ −
2 2𝑈𝑈 2 sin2 𝜃𝜃
ℎ−
𝑔𝑔ℎ2 1
> ℎ iff 𝑈𝑈 2 sin2 𝜃𝜃 > 𝑔𝑔ℎ M1
2𝑈𝑈 2 sin2 𝜃𝜃 2 A1
The vertical velocity of the particle fired from 𝐵𝐵 at the point of collision is:
𝑔𝑔ℎ
𝑈𝑈 sin 𝜃𝜃 − 𝑔𝑔𝑔𝑔 = 𝑈𝑈 sin 𝜃𝜃 −
𝑈𝑈 sin 𝜃𝜃
𝑈𝑈 sin 𝜃𝜃 −
𝑔𝑔ℎ
> 0 iff 𝑈𝑈 2 sin2 𝜃𝜃 > 𝑔𝑔ℎ M1
𝑈𝑈 sin 𝜃𝜃 A1
Since both cases have the same condition: E1 Answer given.
1
The particles collide at a height greater than ℎ if and only if the particle projected from 𝐵𝐵
2
is moving upwards at the time of collision.
10(i)
H
𝜃𝜃
R 𝑇𝑇
L P
2𝜃𝜃
𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚
Diagram showing necessary forces and angles G2 G1 for all forces.
G1 for angles used in calculations if not
explained well within solution.
𝑇𝑇 =
𝜆𝜆(2𝑎𝑎 cos 𝛼𝛼−𝑙𝑙) B1
𝑙𝑙
Resolving tangentially:
𝑇𝑇 sin 𝛼𝛼 − 𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 sin 2𝛼𝛼 = 0 M1
𝜆𝜆
Therefore sin 𝛼𝛼 � (2𝑎𝑎 cos 𝛼𝛼 − 𝑙𝑙 ) − 2𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 cos 𝛼𝛼� = 0 A1
𝑙𝑙
aλcos 2 𝛽𝛽 �
2(𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎−𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚) 1
� − 2𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 cos 𝛽𝛽 = 𝑚𝑚𝑢𝑢2 − 2𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 +
2𝜆𝜆𝑎𝑎2
− 2𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 A1
𝜆𝜆𝜆𝜆 2 𝑙𝑙
Sequence that follows the first 𝐻𝐻 will be 𝑘𝑘 repetitions of 𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇, followed by 𝐻𝐻, where 𝑘𝑘 ≥ 0. M1
𝑝𝑝
So 𝑃𝑃 (𝐴𝐴 𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤|𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓 𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 𝐻𝐻) = ∑∞ 𝑘𝑘
𝑘𝑘=0(𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 ) 𝑝𝑝 =
A1 Answer given
1−𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝
𝑝𝑝
𝑃𝑃(𝐴𝐴 𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤 ∩ 𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓 𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 𝐻𝐻) = 𝑝𝑝 × M1 Use of conditional probability
1−𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝
𝑝𝑝2 𝑞𝑞
𝑃𝑃(𝐴𝐴 𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤 ∩ 𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓 𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡𝑡 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 𝑇𝑇) =
1−𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝
And M1
𝑃𝑃(𝐴𝐴 | 𝑇𝑇 𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓) = (𝑝𝑝 + 𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝)(𝑝𝑝2 + (𝑞𝑞 + 𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 )𝑃𝑃(𝐴𝐴 | 𝑇𝑇 𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓))
𝑝𝑝2 (𝑝𝑝+𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝)
𝑃𝑃(𝐴𝐴 | 𝑇𝑇 𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓) =
1−(𝑝𝑝+𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝)(𝑞𝑞+𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝)
So A1 Answer given
𝑝𝑝2 𝑝𝑝2 (𝑝𝑝+𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝) 𝑝𝑝2 �1−𝑞𝑞 3 �
𝑃𝑃(𝐴𝐴 𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤) = 𝑝𝑝 × + 𝑞𝑞 × =
1−(𝑝𝑝+𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝)(𝑞𝑞+𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝) 1−(𝑝𝑝+𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝)(𝑞𝑞+𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝) 1−(1−𝑝𝑝2 )(1−𝑞𝑞 2 )
𝑃𝑃(𝑊𝑊 | 𝐻𝐻 𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓) =
𝑝𝑝𝑎𝑎−1 M1
1−(1−𝑝𝑝𝑎𝑎−1 )(1−𝑞𝑞 𝑏𝑏−1 )
𝑃𝑃(𝑊𝑊 | 𝑇𝑇 𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓) =
𝑝𝑝𝑎𝑎−1 (1−𝑞𝑞 𝑏𝑏−1 ) M1
1−(1−𝑝𝑝𝑎𝑎−1 )(1−𝑞𝑞 𝑏𝑏−1 )
Therefore: A1
𝑝𝑝𝑎𝑎−1 �1−𝑞𝑞 𝑏𝑏 �
𝑃𝑃(𝑊𝑊 ) =
1−(1−𝑝𝑝𝑎𝑎−1 )(1−𝑞𝑞 𝑏𝑏−1 )
If 𝑎𝑎 = 𝑏𝑏 = 2, B1
𝑝𝑝�1−𝑞𝑞 2 � 𝑝𝑝2 (1+𝑞𝑞)
𝑃𝑃(𝑊𝑊 ) = = as expected.
1−(1−𝑝𝑝)(1−𝑞𝑞) 1−𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝
12(i) For the biased die: M1
1 2
𝑃𝑃(𝑅𝑅1 = 𝑅𝑅2 ) = ∑𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖=1 � + 𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖 �
𝑛𝑛
𝑃𝑃(𝑅𝑅1 = 𝑅𝑅2 ) =
1 2
∑𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖=1 1 + ∑𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖=1 𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖 + ∑𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖=1 𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖 2 M1
𝑛𝑛2 𝑛𝑛
A1
∑𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖=1 𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖 = 0 , so M1
1
𝑃𝑃(𝑅𝑅1 = 𝑅𝑅2 ) = + ∑𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖=1 𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖 2 A1
𝑛𝑛
1
For a fair die, 𝑃𝑃(𝑅𝑅1 = 𝑅𝑅2 ) = and ∑𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖=1 𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖 2 > 0, so it is more likely with the biased die. E1
𝑛𝑛
(ii) 1
𝑃𝑃(𝑅𝑅1 > 𝑅𝑅2 ) = �1 − 𝑃𝑃(𝑅𝑅1 = 𝑅𝑅2 )� M1
2
Therefore, the value of 𝑃𝑃(𝑅𝑅1 > 𝑅𝑅2 ) if the die is possibly biased is ≤ 𝑃𝑃(𝑅𝑅1 > 𝑅𝑅2 ) if the die M1
is fair.
𝑥𝑥
Let T= ∑𝑛𝑛𝑟𝑟=1 𝑥𝑥𝑟𝑟 and, for each 𝑖𝑖, let 𝑝𝑝𝑖𝑖 = 𝑖𝑖 M1
𝑇𝑇
Then ∑𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖=1 𝑝𝑝𝑖𝑖 = 1, so we can construct a biased 𝑛𝑛-sided die with 𝑃𝑃 (𝑋𝑋 = 𝑖𝑖 ) = 𝑝𝑝𝑖𝑖
𝑃𝑃(𝑅𝑅1 > 𝑅𝑅2 ) = ∑𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖=2 ∑𝑖𝑖−1
𝑗𝑗=1 𝑝𝑝𝑖𝑖 𝑝𝑝𝑗𝑗
M1
A1
A1
For a fair die: A1
𝑛𝑛−1
𝑃𝑃(𝑅𝑅1 > 𝑅𝑅2 ) =
2𝑛𝑛
= ∑𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖=1
1
+ ∑𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖=1
3𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖
+ ∑𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖=1
3𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖2
+ ∑𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖=1 𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖 3 A1
𝑛𝑛3 𝑛𝑛2 𝑛𝑛
Therefore
𝑛𝑛 𝑛𝑛 𝑛𝑛
3𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖 3𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖2
𝑃𝑃 (𝑅𝑅1 = 𝑅𝑅2 = 𝑅𝑅3 𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏 ) − 𝑃𝑃(𝑅𝑅1 = 𝑅𝑅2 = 𝑅𝑅3 𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓) = � 2 + � + � 𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖 3
𝑛𝑛 𝑛𝑛
𝑖𝑖=1 𝑖𝑖=1 𝑖𝑖=1
2
=
3𝜀𝜀
∑𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖=1 𝑖𝑖 + ∑𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖=1 𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖 3 (since ∑𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖=1 𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖 = 0) A1
𝑛𝑛
3𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖2 3
= ∑𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖=1 + 𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖3 = ∑𝑛𝑛𝑖𝑖=1 𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖2 � + 𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖 �
𝑛𝑛 𝑛𝑛
1
But 𝜀𝜀𝑖𝑖 ≥ − (since 𝑝𝑝𝑖𝑖 ≥ 0), so this sum must be positive. M1
𝑛𝑛
A1
Therefore, 𝑃𝑃(𝑅𝑅1 = 𝑅𝑅2 = 𝑅𝑅3 ) must be greater for the biased die. E1
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