Lecture 1 - ICT Emerging Tech Trends and Society PDF

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ICT:

Emerging Technological Trends


and
Society
TuK

Diptech IT/CT/CN Y3

OVERVIEW OF ICT EMERGING TECHNOLOGICAL TRENDS AND SOCIETY

SUBJECT CODE: ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204


ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

OVERVIEW

ICT

EMERGING
TRENDS

http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke
ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

OVERVIEW
•The aims and objectives of this unit is to:
1) Introduce emerging technology trends and their impact on
everyday life in society.

2) Study emerging technology growth, incremental development


and ultimately disruptiveness.

3) Explain how critical emerging technology is to humanity's future


and examine the roles they play for good or evil, as well as social
and ethical issues related to their use

http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke
ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

THE 10 MOST IMPORTANT TECH TRENDS OF THE DECADE


( Countdown: The 10 most important tech trends of the decade - CNET )
1) 4G LTE
2) SMARTPHONES, TABLETS, NETBOOKS
3) CLOUD, DATA, A.I.
4) SMART TV, TV STICKS AND VOD
5) TECH TRACKERS FOR EXERCISE, DIET AND SLEEP
6) ELECTRIC VEHICLES AND SELF-DRIVING CARS
7) WEARABLES
8) SMART SPEAKERS
9) WIRELESS EARBUDS
10) THE SHARING ECONOMY APPS

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ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

WHY DO SOME TECH BECOME TRENDS WHILE OTHERS FLOPS?

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ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

EMERGING TECHNOLOGICAL TRENDS DEFINITION:-

•New technologies currently being developed or will be developed in the


next 5 to 10 years

•Still in the emergence phase thus somewhat uncertain and ambiguous


ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

CHARACTERISTICS OF EMERGING TECHNOLOGICAL TRENDS:-


•Radical novelty

•Relatively fast growth

•Coherence (DEVELOPERS and USERS all envision the same use)

•Prominent impact

•Uncertainty and ambiguity


ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

WHAT IS A TREND?
•A trend can be defined as:-
1 A general direction in which something is developing or changing
2. Can be upward or downward

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ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

WHAT IS SOCIETY?
•Society can be defined as the aggregate of people living together in a
more or less ordered community

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ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

•WHAT IS DISRUPTION?

A process whereby an entrant (smaller company with fewer resources) is

able to successfully challenge an incumbent (established businesses)

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•EXAMPLES OF DISRUPTION
ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

WHAT IS THE NEXT BIG TREND? WHAT IS THE NEXT BIG FLOP?

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ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

THE BIGGEST TECH FLOPS OF 2019


( Countdown: The 10 most important tech trends of the decade - CNET )

1) FOLDABLE PHONES

2) 5G DATA COMMUNICATION

3) LIBRA CRYPTOCURRENCY

4) Mpesa 1tap

http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke
ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

THE BIGGEST TECH FLOPS OF 2019


1) FOLDABLE PHONES
DEFINITION
Smartphone with a special display-can
be either a phone or tablet

FEATURES
Folds in half, bendable displays, can
be rolled FORMAT
Flexible screens not flexible just Two screens with a bezel in the
flexible keyboards middle or single flexible screen
that folds seamlessly
ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

THE BIGGEST TECH FLOPS OF 2019


1) FOLDABLE PHONES
CHALLENGES
Bendable display needs to be
flexible, i.e. made with polymer
plastic
Subject to scratching and scuffing
Battery for larger/dual displays
means dramatically increased power Foldable phone needs an entirely redesigned OS
demands Apps need to adapt to an ever-changing screen size
Manufacturing (changing the cases for displays,
adhesives and components inside the phone. )
ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

THE BIGGEST TECH FLOPS OF 2019


FOLDABLE PHONES
Received with much hype
Structural issues-they started
breaking!
2019 Did Not Qualify as an emerging
trend?
2021-2023 Making A Comeback As
An Emerging Trend

http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke
ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

THE BIGGEST TECH FLOPS OF 2019

FOLDABLE PHONES
BENCHMARK TESTS
1. APP QUALITY
-Apps should have the ability to
give a fluent, flawless experience,
from smartphone to unfolding the
device into tablet mode.
-A user should not lose any existing session.

-App continuity needs to be as smooth as


possible
ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

THE BIGGEST TECH FLOPS OF 2019


1) FOLDABLE PHONES BENCHMARK
TESTS
-Test and Test plan for the user
experience(CAT 2),

-Test and Test plan for user


friendliness(CAT 2),

-Test and Test plan the Usability


functioning (CAT 2).
ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

THE BIGGEST TECH FLOPS OF 2019


1) BENCHMARK TEST
USER EXPERIENCE:- what feedback does the user give after experiencing?
1) Attitude and behaviours (positive/excited/doubtful/apprehensive)--->
(difficulty to use/simple to understand/fun to own)
2) Feelings and Task Completion rates(easy to navigate menus? install and
uninstall is fast? successful performance of tasks e.g. chatting? video
calls? downloads from internet? etc)

http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke
ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

THE BIGGEST TECH FLOPS OF 2019


1) BENCHMARK TEST
USER EXPERIENCE:-(FEEDBACK FROM USAGE)
TEST PLAN
1) Does it have an O.S. and if so what O.S. is running (?)
2) Is there a battery? If so how is its life? (length of battery life lasting
under intensive usage)? (?)
3) How does it feel when you hold and use it? (?)
4) Does it have a display? if so what size is it? (?)
5) Productivity:-what does it do? how many tasks does it perform? how
long does it take to perform tasks? (?)
ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

THE BIGGEST TECH FLOPS OF 2019


1) BENCHMARK TEST USER FRIENDLINESS
2) TOOLS for the user experience
USER FRIENDLY BENCHMARK:- what does the user LIKE or DISLIKE?
1) Colours and colour scheme/interface accessibility
(login/logoff/startup/shutdown) (attractive?/do they put off the taste?
2) Size and shape (easy to manipulate and handle?etc) (layout, design and
the style of the website/app? features for assistance incase of
problems?)

http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke
ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

THE BIGGEST TECH FLOPS OF 2019


1) BENCHMARK TEST USER FRIENDLINESS
(USER LIKES/DISLIKES?)
TEST PLAN
1) What does it look like? Outdated look (travel back in time) or modern
look? (fashionable)
2) What does it feel like? Fragile (easy to break) or durable (strong)
3) Is it convenient or inconvenient to carry? use?
4) Attractiveness:- what do you like about its appearance?
5) Look:- how does the content appear on it? Stretched? optimised?
ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

THE BIGGEST TECH FLOPS OF 2019


1) BENCHMARK TEST USABILITY FUNCTIONING:-
(extent to which a product can be used in a specific context to achieve
specific goals effectively, efficiently and satisfactorily)
TEST PLAN
1) Is the design User-centered?
2) Are the interactions goal-directed?
3) Do the features help achieve the goal of the product? Should there be
less or more features?
4) How can the User Interface be improved?
5) How many keystrokes does it take to perform a task?
6) How can the design of the menus/keys/icons be made better?
ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

WHAT IS ICT: EMERGING TECH TRENDS & SOCIETY


FOLDABLE PHONES BENCHMARK TESTS (BATTERY
TESTS)

1) Use the phone’s main display and secondary


screen to surf the web using data bundles

2) Set the screen to a certain level of brightness


e.g. highest.

3) Measure the time (how long does it take the


phone to run out of power on display 1?display
2).
ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

WHAT IS ICT: EMERGING TECH TRENDS & SOCIETY


FOLDABLE PHONES BENCHMARK TESTS (BATTERY TESTS)
ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

WHAT IS ICT: EMERGING TECH TRENDS & SOCIETY


FOLDABLE PHONES BENCHMARK TESTS (BATTERY TESTS)
ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

WHAT IS ICT: EMERGING TECH TRENDS & SOCIETY


THE BIGGEST KENYAN TECH FLOPS OF 2000-2023
1) What Benchmark Tests Would Be Suitable For Each Type of Mpesa 1tap?

http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke
ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

WHAT IS ICT: EMERGING TECH TRENDS & SOCIETY


ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

WHAT IS ICT: EMERGING TECH TRENDS & SOCIETY


•LIFE CYCLE OF EMERGING TRENDS
1. Early Emergence stage

2. Emergence(SUCCESS/NOT SUCCESS) stage

3. Post Emergence stage

http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke
ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

WHAT IS ICT: EMERGING TECH TRENDS & SOCIETY


•LIFE CYCLE OF EMERGING TRENDS
1) Early Emergence Stage
ATTRIBUTES
• In this stage a technology has high levels of radical novelty compared to
other similar technology.

• impact relatively low.

• Conceptual stage
ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

WHAT IS ICT: EMERGING TECH TRENDS & SOCIETY


•LIFE CYCLE OF EMERGING TRENDS
1) Early Emergence Stage
ATTRIBUTES
• growth is relatively slow/not yet begun

• High levels of uncertainty and ambiguity

• It may not even emerge out of this stage


ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

WHAT IS ICT: EMERGING TECH TRENDS & SOCIETY


•LIFE CYCLE OF EMERGING TRENDS
2) Emergence(SUCCESS/NOT A SUCCESS) Stage
ATTRIBUTES
• Impact relatively less uncertain and ambiguous

• Starts to take off (publicity) etc.

• Radical novelty diminishes — other similar technologies emerge in the


same domain
ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 http://elearning.tukenya.ac.ke ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

WHAT IS ICT: EMERGING TECH TRENDS & SOCIETY


•LIFE CYCLE OF EMERGING TRENDS
3) Post-Emergence Stage
(FACEBOOK SUCCESSFUL, TWITTER SUCCESSFUL, WHATSAPP SUCCESSFUL)
ATTRIBUTES
• The change in levels of attributes of emergence starts to follow a reversed
S curve.
ECIE/ECCE/ECSF 3204 ICT: Emerging Tech & Society

QUESTION AND ANSWER SESSION

ANY
QUESTIONS
?

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