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Definition: Portfolio
A portfolio is a collection of two or more assets say, 𝑎1 , 𝑎2 , . . 𝑎𝑛 ,
represented by an ordered 𝑛 − 𝑡𝑢𝑝𝑙𝑒 Θ = Θ(𝑥1 , 𝑥2 , . . 𝑥𝑛 ) , where
𝑥𝑖 ∈ 𝑅 , 𝑖 = 1 … 𝑛 is the number of units of the asset 𝑎𝑖 (𝑖 = 1, : . . , 𝑛)
owned by the investor.
We consider only a single period model, ie, in between the initial time taken
as 𝑡 = 0 and the final transaction time taken as 𝑡 = 𝑇, no transaction
ever takes place.
Let 𝑉𝑖 (0) and 𝑉𝑖 (𝑇) be the values of the ith asset at 𝑡 = 0 and 𝑡 = 𝑇.
respectively. Let 𝑉Θ (0) and 𝑉Θ (𝑇) denote the values of the portfolio
Θ = Θ(𝑥1 , 𝑥2 , . . 𝑥𝑛 ) at 𝑡 = 0 and 𝑡 = 𝑇, respectively. Then,
𝑛 𝑛
𝑥𝑖 𝑉𝑖 (0) 𝑎𝑖 𝑉𝑖 (0)
𝑤𝑖 = = 𝑛 , 𝑖 = 1, : . . , 𝑛
𝑉Θ (0) ∑𝑖=1 𝑥𝑖 𝑉𝑖 (0)
It can be observed that 𝑤1 + 𝑤2 + ⋯ + 𝑤𝑛 = 1 .
Therefore, a portfolio can now be represented by the weights as
(𝑤1 , 𝑤2 , . . 𝑤𝑛 ).
§§ 𝑤𝑖 < 0 for some ‘𝑖’ is also possible in a portfolio, it indicates that the
investor has taken a short position on the 𝑖 − 𝑡ℎ asset 𝑎𝑖 .
𝑉𝑖 (𝑇) − 𝑉𝑖 (0)
𝑟𝑖 = , 𝑖 = 1, . . 𝑛
𝑉𝑖 (0)
1 | Unit-4
Definition: Mean of the Portfolio Return
(referred as return of the portfolio)
Let (𝑤1 , 𝑤2 , . . 𝑤𝑛 ) be a portfolio of ‘n’ assets 𝑎1 , 𝑎2 , . . 𝑎𝑛 . Let 𝑟𝑖 , ( 𝑖 =
1, . . 𝑛) be the return on the 𝑖𝑡ℎ asset 𝑎𝑖 and 𝐸(𝑟𝑖 ) = 𝜇𝑖 , (𝑖 = 1, : . . , 𝑛), be its
expected value . Then the mean of the portfolio return is defined as
𝑛 𝑛 𝑛
𝜇 = 𝐸 (∑ 𝑤𝑖 𝑟𝑖 ) = ∑ 𝑤𝑖 𝐸(𝑟𝑖 ) = ∑ 𝑤𝑖 𝜇𝑖
𝑖=1 𝑖=1 𝑖=1
𝐶𝑜𝑣(𝑟𝑖 , 𝑟𝑗 ) 𝜎𝑖𝑗
𝜌𝑖𝑗 = = ⇒ 𝜎𝑖𝑗 = 𝜌𝑖𝑗 𝜎𝑖 𝜎𝑗
𝜎𝑖 𝜎𝑗 𝜎𝑖 𝜎𝑗
𝑖=1 𝑗=1
2 | Unit-4
The portfolio optimization problem refers to the problem of determining
weights 𝑤𝑖 , ( 𝑖 = 1, . . 𝑛) such that the return of the portfolio is maximum
and the risk of the portfolio is minimum. Thus we aim to solve the following
optimization problem,
subject to, 𝑤1 + 𝑤2 + ⋯ + 𝑤𝑛 = 1
[ the search of combination of weights (𝑤1 , 𝑤2 , . . 𝑤𝑛 ) ]
𝜇 = 𝐸(𝑤1 𝑟1 + 𝑤2 𝑟2 ) = 𝑤1 𝜇1 + 𝑤2 𝜇2 …..(1)
Here 𝜌 is the coefficient of correlation between 𝑟1 & 𝑟2 and lies in [−1, 1].
The value of 𝜌 provides a measure of the extent of diversification of the
portfolio so as to reduce risk. Larger the value of 𝜌 with negative sign,
smaller will be the value of 𝜎 2 .
Since , 𝑤1 + 𝑤2 = 1
Moreover, in case of short selling, the weights can be negative, hence
Let 𝑤2 = 𝑠 𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑛 𝑤1 = 1 − 𝑠 , 𝑠 ∈ 𝑅.
𝜇 = (1 − 𝑠)𝜇1 + 𝑠𝜇2 …..(3)
𝜎 2 = (1 − 𝑠)2 𝜎12 + 𝑠 2 𝜎22 + 2𝑠(1 − 𝑠) 𝜌 𝜎1 𝜎2 …..(4)
or, 𝜎 2 = (𝜎12 + 𝜎22 − 2 𝜌 𝜎1 𝜎2 )𝑠 2 − 2(𝜎1 − 𝜌𝜎2 )𝜎1 𝑠 + 𝜎21
Without loss of generality we assume that 0 < 𝜎1 ≤ 𝜎2 .
We discuss equ. (3 & 4) under two cases
𝜇 = (1 − 𝑠)𝜇1 + 𝑠𝜇2
𝜎 = |(1 − 𝑠)𝜎1 ± 𝑠𝜎2 |
3 | Unit-4
For 𝑠 ∈ [0,1] both weights are non-negative (no short selling). We have
𝜇 = (1 − 𝑠)𝜇1 + 𝑠𝜇2
𝜎̃ = (1 − 𝑠)𝜎1 + 𝑠𝜎2 (𝜌 = 1) 𝑜𝑟 𝜎̃ = (1 − 𝑠)𝜎1 − 𝑠𝜎2 (𝜌 = −1)
For, we plot the points (𝜎
̃ , 𝜇) (obtained by considering the different values of
𝑠) in (𝜎̃, 𝜇) − 𝑝𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑒 .
We get the following fig. (graphs are essentially straight lines). The bold
parts corresponding to 𝑠 ∈ [0,1].
4 | Unit-4
𝑑2 𝜎2
= 2(𝜎2 − 𝜎1 )2 > 0
𝑑𝑠 2
hence,
𝜎1 𝜎2
1 − 𝑠𝑚𝑖𝑛 = 1 + = >0
𝜎2 − 𝜎1 𝜎2 − 𝜎1
Let 𝜇𝑚𝑖𝑛 & 𝜎 2 𝑚𝑖𝑛 denote the expected return and variance of the portfolio,
and
𝜎2
𝑤1 = 1 − 𝑠𝑚𝑖𝑛 = >0 ,
𝜎2 − 𝜎1
𝜎1
& 𝑤2 = 𝑠𝑚𝑖𝑛 = − <0 … . . (7)
𝜎2 − 𝜎1
𝜎2 𝜇1 − 𝜎1 𝜇2
𝜇𝑚𝑖𝑛 = & 𝜎 2 𝑚𝑖𝑛 = 0 … . . (8)
𝜎2 − 𝜎1
Since 𝑠𝑚𝑖𝑛 < 0 ie, 𝑤2 < 0 an investor can eliminate risk in the portfolio
by taking a short position with respect to asset 𝑎2 .
𝜇 = (1 − 𝑠)𝜇1 + 𝑠𝜇2
5 | Unit-4
𝜎 2 = (𝜎12 + 𝜎22 − 2 𝜌 𝜎1 𝜎2 )𝑠 2 − 2(𝜎1 − 𝜌𝜎2 )𝜎1 𝑠 + 𝜎21
It represents the parametric equation of a parabola in (𝜎 2 , µ) − 𝑝𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑒.
2
𝜎12 𝜎22 (1 − 𝜌2 )
𝜎 𝑚𝑖𝑛 = 2 … . . (13)
(𝜎1 + 𝜎22 − 2 𝜌 𝜎1 𝜎2 )
𝜎
i. If −1 ≤ 𝜌 < 𝜎1 then using equ. (12) we have 0 < 𝑠𝑚𝑖𝑛 < 1 then
2
minimum risk is attained without short selling. Also in this case
𝜎 2 𝑚𝑖𝑛 = 0 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝜌 = −1
𝜎1
ii. If 𝜌 = ⟺ 𝑠𝑚𝑖𝑛 = 0 ⟺ 𝜎 2 𝑚𝑖𝑛 = 𝜎12 (∵ 𝑠𝑚𝑖𝑛 = 𝑤2 = 0)
𝜎2
𝜎1
iii. If < 𝜌 ≤ 1 ⟹ 𝑠𝑚𝑖𝑛 < 0 , ie, In this case the investor has taken a
𝜎2
short position on asset 𝑎2 in order to minimize the portfolio risk.
𝜎 2 𝑚𝑖𝑛 = 0 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝜌 = 1
6 | Unit-4
Some Results and Discussion
§§ The variance 𝜎 2 of a portfolio cannot exceed the greater of the
Let us assume that 𝜎12 ≤ 𝜎22 . If short sales are not allowed, then
𝑤1 & 𝑤2 > 0 and
𝑤1 𝜎1 + 𝑤2 𝜎2 ≤ (𝑤1 + 𝑤2 )𝜎2 = 𝜎2
Since the correlation coefficient satisfies −1 ≤ 𝜌 ≤ 1, hence
7 | Unit-4
§§ For −1 < 𝜌 < 1 the portfolio with minimum variance is attained at
𝜎12 − 𝜌𝜎1 𝜎2
𝑠𝑔 = 2
(𝜎1 + 𝜎22 − 2 𝜌 𝜎1 𝜎2 )
If short sales are not allowed, then the smallest variance is attained at
0 𝑖𝑓 𝑠𝑔 < 0
𝑠𝑚𝑖𝑛 = {𝑠𝑔 𝑖𝑓 0 ≤ 𝑠𝑔 ≤ 1
1 𝑖𝑓 𝑠𝑔 > 1
Proof: The relation for 𝑠𝑔 has already been obtained for global minimum
(since 𝜎 2 is a quadratic function of ) in equ. (12).
The subsequent result for no short sell can be visualized through the
following graph drawn in the (𝑠, 𝜎 2 ) − 𝑝𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑒.
8 | Unit-4
§§ −1 ≤ 𝜌 ≤ 1 we have the following possibilities for 𝜎1 ≤ 𝜎2
𝜎
i. If −1 ≤ 𝜌 < 𝜎1 , then there is a portfolio without short selling such
2
that 𝜎 < 𝜎1 .
𝜎1
ii. If 𝜌 = , then 𝜎 ≥ 𝜎1 for each portfolio.
𝜎 2
𝜎1
iii. If < 𝜌 ≤ 1 , then there is a portfolio with short selling such that
𝜎2
𝜎 < 𝜎1 .
Proof:
𝜎
i. If −1 ≤ 𝜌 < 𝜎1 , then from expression of 𝑠𝑔
2
𝜎1 𝜎1
, ∵0 < 𝑠𝑔 < <1
𝜎1 + 𝜎2 𝜎1 + 𝜎2
Hence, 0 < 𝑠𝑔 < 1
That means no short selling and 𝜎 < 𝜎1 .
𝜎1
ii. If 𝜌= , then 𝑠𝑔 = 0 as a result we have 𝜎 ≥ 𝜎1 for every
𝜎2
portfolio because minimum variance is 𝜎12 .
𝜎
iii. If 1 ≥ 𝜌 > 𝜎1 then 𝑠𝑔 < 0 , that means the portfolio with minimum
2
variance that correspond to 𝑠𝑔 involves short selling of security 𝑎2
and satisfy 𝜎 < 𝜎1 . And if short selling is not allowed then minimum
variance will be 𝜎1 , hence 𝜎 > 𝜎1 for all other portfolio.
shows two typical examples of such curve, with 𝜌 close to but greater than
−1 (left) and with 𝜌 close to but smaller than +1 (right). Portfolios without
short selling are indicated by the bold line segments.
9 | Unit-4
Multi Asset Portfolio Optimization
The weights of the various assets 𝑎1 , 𝑎2 , . . 𝑎𝑛 in the portfolio are written in
the
vector form 𝑤 𝑇 = [𝑤1 , 𝑤2 , . . 𝑤𝑛 ] .
Let
𝑐𝑖𝑗 = 𝐶𝑜𝑣(𝑟𝑖 , 𝑟𝑗 ) , 𝑖, 𝑗 = 1, . . 𝑛 .
Obviously C is a symmetric matrix. Now the expected return µ of the
portfolio is given by
𝑛 𝑛 𝑛
𝜇 = 𝐸 (∑ 𝑤𝑖 𝑟𝑖 ) = ∑ 𝑤𝑖 𝐸(𝑟𝑖 ) = ∑ 𝑤𝑖 𝜇𝑖 = 𝑚𝑇 𝑤
𝑖=1 𝑖=1 𝑖=1
resides. Let 𝑓 be the mapping that takes each weight vector in the
weight hyperplane to the corresponding portfolio point in the (𝜎, 𝜇) − 𝑝𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑒.
Our aim is to find the image of any straight line in the weight hyperplane
𝑒 𝑇 𝑤 = 1 under the mapping 𝑓.
10 | Unit-4
The parametric equation of any line in the weight hyperplane is of the form
𝑙(𝜉) = (𝑠1 𝜉 + 𝑏1 , 𝑠2 𝜉 + 𝑏2 , … + 𝑠𝑛 𝜉 + 𝑏𝑛 )𝑇
= 𝑠𝜉 + 𝑏 , −∞<𝜉 <∞
Where , 𝑠 = (𝑠1 , 𝑠2 , . . 𝑠𝑛 )𝑇 & 𝑏 = (𝑏1 , 𝑏2 , . . 𝑏𝑛 )𝑇
Let 𝑤 be any point this line, Then,
𝜇 = 𝑚𝑇 𝑤
= 𝑚𝑇 (𝑠𝜉 + 𝑏)
= 𝜉(𝑚𝑇 𝑠) + (𝑚𝑇 𝑏)
Let , (𝑚𝑇 𝑠)−1 = 𝛼 & − (𝑚𝑇 𝑏)(𝑚𝑇 𝑠)−1 = 𝛽 , then
𝜉 = 𝛼𝜇 + 𝛽
Now, 𝜎 2 = 𝑤𝑇 𝐶 𝑤
= (𝑠𝜉 + 𝑏)𝑇 𝐶 (𝑠𝜉 + 𝑏)
= (𝑠 𝑇 𝐶𝑠)𝜉 2 + (𝑠 𝑇 𝐶𝑏 + 𝑏 𝑇 𝐶𝑠)𝜉 + 𝑏 𝑇 𝐶𝑏
2
= 𝛾 𝜉 + 𝛿𝜉 + 𝜂
11 | Unit-4
The solid region generated by all
possible weight vectors. Its left
boundary is called the minimum
variance set. The return corresponding
to points 𝑃0 , 𝑃1 , &𝑃2 are 𝜇0 , 𝜇1 , &𝜇2
respectively with known level of risk .
There is a point 𝑃𝑚𝑖𝑛 which has the
least variance. This point is called the
minimum variance point.
12 | Unit-4
To find the minimum variance point we need to solve the following risk
minimization problem
𝑚𝑖𝑛 𝜎2 = 𝑤𝑇𝐶 𝑤
} . . . . (1)
𝑠𝑢𝑏𝑗𝑒𝑐𝑡 𝑡𝑜 𝑒𝑇 𝑤 = 1
Theorem: Portfolio with minimum risk has weight given by
𝐶 −1 𝑒
𝑤 = 𝑇 −1
𝑒 𝐶 𝑒
Proof: Using the method of Lagrange Multiplier to solve equ. (1), we have
𝐿(𝑤, 𝜆) = 𝑤 𝑇 𝐶 𝑤 + 𝜆(1 − 𝑒 𝑇 𝑤)
𝑛 𝑛
= ∑ ∑ 𝑤𝑖 𝑤𝑗 𝜎𝑖𝑗 + 𝜆(1 − 𝑒 𝑇 𝑤)
𝑖=1 𝑗=1
𝐶 −1 𝑒
𝑤 = 𝑇 −1
𝑒 𝐶 𝑒
13 | Unit-4
Markovitz Efficient Frontier
Looking at the minimum variance set in the (𝜎, 𝜇) − 𝑝𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑒 ,
we observe that for a given level of risk, (say 𝜎1 ), there are two values of
returns 𝜇0𝐿 < 𝜇0𝑈 . Since we want to maximize the return hence obvious
choice is 𝜇0𝑈 . Therefore in the minimum variance set, it is only the upper
half which is of importance for investment.
This upper half portion of the minimum variance set is called the Markowitz
efficient frontier.
Sometimes investor is more concern about the return. Hence for a given
return 𝜇 ,we are to find the value of the weights for minimum risk.
14 | Unit-4
Theorem: For a given expected return , the portfolio with minimum risk
has weights given by
𝜇 𝑚𝑇 𝐶 −1 𝑒 −1 𝑚𝑇 𝐶 −1 𝑚 𝜇 −1
𝑑𝑒𝑡 ( ) 𝐶 𝑚 + 𝑑𝑒𝑡 ( )𝐶 𝑚
𝑤= 1 𝑒 𝑇 𝐶 −1 𝑒 𝑒 𝑇 𝐶 −1 𝑚 1
𝑚𝑇 𝐶 −1 𝑚 𝑚𝑇 𝐶 −1 𝑒
𝑑𝑒𝑡 ( 𝑇 −1 )
𝑒 𝐶 𝑚 𝑒 𝑇 𝐶 −1 𝑒
𝑒𝑇𝑤 = 1 ....(3)
We define the Lagrangian with 2-parameters
1
𝐿(𝑤, 𝛼, 𝛽) = 𝑤 𝑇 𝐶 𝑤 + 𝛼(𝜇 − 𝑚𝑇 𝑤) + 𝛽(1 − 𝑒 𝑇 𝑤), 𝛼, 𝛽 ∈ 𝑅
2
𝜕𝐿
= 0 = 𝑤𝑇 𝐶 − 𝛼𝑚𝑇 − 𝛽𝑒𝑇
𝜕𝑤
or 𝑤 = 𝐶 −1 (𝛼𝑚 + 𝛽𝑒) …(4)
substituting in equ (2 & 3) from equ (4)
𝜇 𝑚𝑇 𝐶 −1 𝑒 𝑚𝑇 𝐶 −1 𝑚 𝜇
𝑑𝑒𝑡 ( 𝑇 −1
) 𝑑𝑒𝑡 (
𝑇 −1
)
𝛼= 1 𝑒 𝐶 𝑒 , & 𝛽= 𝑒 𝐶 𝑚 1
𝑚𝑇 𝐶 −1 𝑚 𝑚𝑇 𝐶 −1 𝑒 𝑚𝑇 𝐶 −1 𝑚 𝑚𝑇 𝐶 −1 𝑒
𝑑𝑒𝑡 ( 𝑇 −1 ) 𝑑𝑒𝑡 ( 𝑇 −1 )
𝑒 𝐶 𝑚 𝑒 𝑇 𝐶 −1 𝑒 𝑒 𝐶 𝑚 𝑒 𝑇 𝐶 −1 𝑒
Putting the value in equ. (4) we get the result
Karush-Kuhn-Tucker optimality conditions. The result is known as the two
fun d theorem.
Theorem 5.6.3 (Two Fund Theorem) Two efficient portfolios can be
established so that any other efficient portfolio can be duplicated, in terms
of mean and variance, as a linear combination of these two assets. In other
words, it says that, an investor seeking an efficient portfolio need to invest
only in the combination of these two assets. To be decided
15 | Unit-4
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
So far we considered the portfolio consisting of risky assets. Now we
consider the portfolio containing risk free asset also.
the expected return and the variance associated with this portfolio are given
by
𝑛
and
𝑛 𝑛
respectively.
If we remove the risk-free asset from the portfolio and readjust the weight of
the risky assets so that their sum remain 1, the resultant portfolio so
obtained is referred to as the derived risky portfolio. We shall use
2
𝜇𝑑𝑒𝑟 & 𝜎𝑑𝑒𝑟 to represent the expected return and risk of the derived risky
portfolio. Then
𝑛
𝑤𝑖
𝜇 = 𝑤𝑟𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑦 ∑ 𝜇𝑖 + 𝑤𝑟𝑓 . 𝜇𝑟𝑓
𝑤𝑟𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑦
𝑖=1
16 | Unit-4
2 2
𝜎
= 𝑤𝑟𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑦 𝜎𝑑𝑒𝑟 ⟹ 𝑤𝑟𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑦 = … (5)
𝜎𝑑𝑒𝑟
Putting in equ. (4) we get
(𝜇𝑑𝑒𝑟 − 𝜇𝑟𝑓 )𝜎
𝜇 = 𝜇𝑟𝑓 + … (7)
𝜎𝑑𝑒𝑟
It is an equation of the line in (𝜎, 𝜇) − 𝑝𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑒 joining the points
(0, 𝜇𝑟𝑓 ) & (𝜎𝑑𝑒𝑟 , 𝜇𝑑𝑒𝑟 ) .
17 | Unit-4
Theorem: For any expected risk-free return 𝜇𝑟𝑓 , the weight vector 𝑤𝑀 of the
market portfolio is given by
𝐶 −1 (𝑚 − 𝜇𝑟𝑓 𝑒)
𝑤𝑀 = 𝑇 −1
𝑒 𝐶 (𝑚 − 𝜇𝑟𝑓 𝑒)
Proof:
For any (𝜎, 𝜇) in the Morkovitz bullet, the
slope of the line joining (0, 𝜇𝑟𝑓 ) and (𝜎, 𝜇)
is
𝜇 − 𝜇𝑟𝑓 ∑𝑛𝑖=1 𝜇𝑖 𝑤𝑖 − 𝜇𝑟𝑓
𝜇= = 1/2
𝜎 (∑𝑛𝑖=1 ∑𝑛𝑗=1 𝑤𝑖 𝑤𝑗 𝑐𝑖𝑗 )
𝑚𝑇 𝑤 − 𝜇𝑟𝑓
max 1/2
(𝑤𝑇 𝐶 𝑤) ⟩ … (1)
𝑠𝑢𝑏𝑗𝑒𝑐𝑡 𝑒𝑇 𝑤 = 1
The Lagrange’s function 𝐿: 𝑅 𝑛 × 𝑅 → 𝑅 for equ. (1) will be
𝑚𝑇 𝑤 − 𝜇𝑟𝑓
𝐿(𝑤, 𝜆) = + 𝜆(1 − 𝑒 𝑇 𝑤)
(𝑤 𝐶 𝑤)
𝑇 1/2
𝜕𝐿
considering =0
𝜕𝑤
1
[(𝑤 𝑇 𝐶 𝑤)1/2 𝑚 − (𝑚𝑇 𝑤 − 𝜇𝑟𝑓 )(𝑤 𝑇 𝐶 𝑤)−1/2 𝐶𝑤] = 𝜆𝑒
𝑤𝑇𝐶 𝑤
𝐶𝑤
or 𝜎 𝑚 − (𝜇 − 𝜇𝑟𝑓 ) = 𝜆𝜎 2 𝑒
𝜎
or 𝜎 2 𝑚 − (𝜇 − 𝜇𝑟𝑓 )𝐶𝑤 = 𝜆𝜎 3 𝑒
...(2)
or 𝜎 2 𝑤 𝑇 𝑚 − (𝜇 − 𝜇𝑟𝑓 )𝑤 𝑇 𝐶 𝑤 = 𝜆𝜎 3 𝑤 𝑇 𝑒
since 𝑤𝑇𝑚 = 𝜇 , 𝑒𝑇 𝑤 = 1 , & 𝜎2 = 𝑤𝑇𝐶 𝑤
𝜎 2 𝜇 − (𝜇 − 𝜇𝑟𝑓 )𝜎 2 = 𝜆𝜎 3
𝜇𝑟𝑓
𝜆= … (3)
𝜎
Hence the requisite value of weight vector 𝑤𝑀 can be obtained using
equ. (2 & 3)
18 | Unit-4
§§ If the market portfolio (𝜎𝑚 , 𝜇𝑚 ) is k:nown. Then the equation of
the capital market line is given by
(𝜇𝑀 − 𝜇𝑟𝑓 )
𝜇 = 𝜇𝑟𝑓 + 𝜎
𝜎𝑀
If the investor is willing to take a positive risk 𝜎 , it will in an
(𝜇𝑀 −𝜇𝑟𝑓 )
additional return 𝜎 over and above the risk-free return.
𝜎𝑀
§§ Now suppose an investor is willing to take risk 𝜎𝑃 , then for this risk
the expected return 𝜇𝑃 is maximum if the point (𝜎𝑃 , 𝜇𝑃 ) lies on
CML (Capital Market Line) , thus,
(𝜇𝑀 − 𝜇𝑟𝑓 )
𝜇𝑃 = 𝜇𝑟𝑓 + 𝜎𝑃
𝜎𝑀
𝜎𝑃
If we let 𝑤𝑃 = , then
𝜎𝑀
𝜇𝑃 = 𝜇𝑟𝑓 (1 − 𝑤𝑃 ) + 𝑤𝑃 𝜇𝑀
𝜎𝑃
That means investor should invest 𝑤𝑃 = proportion of investment
𝜎𝑀
in index and (1 − 𝑤𝑃 ) proportion in risk free.
𝐶𝑜𝑣(𝑟𝑖 , 𝑟𝑀 )
𝜇𝑖 = 𝜇𝑟𝑓 + 𝛽𝑖 (𝜇𝑀 − 𝜇𝑟𝑓 ) , 𝑤ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑒 𝛽𝑖 =
𝜎𝑀2
Proof: Suppose an investor portfolio comprises of asset 𝑎𝑖 with weight 𝑤
and the market portfolio 𝑀 with weight 1 − 𝑤. Then the expected return
and risk of the portfolio will be
𝜇 = 𝑤𝜇𝑖 + (1 − 𝑤)𝜇𝑀
} ...(1)
𝜎 2 = 𝑤 2 𝜎𝑖2 + (1 − 𝑤)𝜎𝑀2 + 2𝜌𝑤(1 − 𝑤)𝜎𝑖 𝜎𝑗
Where 𝜌 is coefficient of correlation between the returns of asset 𝑎𝑖 and the
market portfolio 𝑀.
19 | Unit-4
𝑑𝜇 𝑑𝜇 𝑑𝑤 𝑑𝑤
| = | = (𝜇𝑖 − 𝜇𝑀 ) |
𝑑𝜎 𝑤=0 𝑑𝑤 𝑑𝜎 𝑤=0 𝑑𝜎 𝑤=0
𝑑𝜎 𝑤𝜎𝑖2 − (1 − 𝑤)𝜎𝑀2 + 𝜌𝜎𝑖 𝜎𝑀 (1 − 2𝑤)
𝑎𝑙𝑠𝑜 | = |
𝑑𝑤 𝑤=0 𝜎 𝑤=0
𝜎𝑖𝑀 − 𝜎𝑀2
= , ( 𝑠𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑒 𝜎𝑖𝑀 = 𝜌𝜎𝑖 𝜎𝑀 )
𝜎𝑀
𝑑𝜇 (𝜇𝑖 − 𝜇𝑀 )𝜎𝑀
𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑒 , | = … (2)
𝑑𝜎 𝑤=0 𝜎𝑖𝑀 − 𝜎𝑀2
Equating with slope of line, we get,
𝜇𝑖 − 𝜇𝑟𝑓 𝑑𝜇 (𝜇𝑖 − 𝜇𝑀 )𝜎𝑀
= | =
𝜎𝑀 𝑑𝜎 𝑤=0 𝜎𝑖𝑀 − 𝜎𝑀2
(𝜇𝑀 − 𝜇𝑟𝑓 )𝜎𝑀
𝑜𝑟 𝜇𝑖 = 𝜇𝑟𝑓 +
𝜎𝑀2
𝑜𝑟 𝜇𝑖 = 𝜇𝑟𝑓 + 𝛽𝑖 (𝜇𝑀 − 𝜇𝑟𝑓 ) … (3)
𝜎𝑖𝑀
Here 𝛽𝑖 = 2 is called the beta of an asset.
𝜎𝑀
Example 5.7.2
Let the risk-free ·rate Pr! be 8% and the market has µM = 12% and aM =
15%. Let an asset a be given which has covariance of 0.045 with the market.
Determine the expected rate of return of the given asset.
Therefore the expected rate of return of the given asset is 16%.
20 | Unit-4
Definition: Beta of the Portfolio
The overall 𝛽 of the portfolio is defined as
𝑛
𝛽 = ∑ 𝑤𝑖 𝛽𝑖
𝑖=1
Ie, the weighted average of the betas of the individual assets in the portfolio
with the weights being those that define the portfolio.
𝑄̃ − 𝑃
= 𝜇𝑟𝑓 + 𝛽(𝜇𝑀 − 𝜇𝑟𝑓 )
𝑃
𝑄̃
𝑜𝑟 𝑃=
1 + 𝜇𝑟𝑓 + 𝛽(𝜇𝑀 − 𝜇𝑟𝑓 )
𝛽 is the beta of given asset.
𝑄
̃ is known then price 𝑃 can be determined , since 𝑃 =
If 𝑄 , hence
1+𝜇𝑟𝑓
21 | Unit-4
Limitation of Markovitz Model
Markovitz model is known to be valid if returns 𝑟𝑖 are normally distributed
and the investor is ‘risk averse’ preferring lower standard deviation (S.D.).
The idea of standard deviation being a measure of risk may not be very
appealing to investor. This means the perception about risk of an investor is
symmetric about mean. There are several empirical studies, which reveal
that most 𝑟𝑖 are not normally are even symmetrically distributed.
If it is not symmetric about me then consideration of skewness and kurtosis
may also be considered. Thus the efficient Frontier in Markovitz model may
be generated in ( mean, variance, skewness, kurtosis )-space.
22 | Unit-4