Midterm 1. Statistics.
October, 28, 2022, Friday, 11:50
Name:
1. Given the following probability distribution, find the expected returns and standard deviation for
stocks A and B.
Event PCR) Ra Rp
Recession 0.10 5%. 4%,
Below average 0.30 2% 8%
| Normal 0.50 10% 10%
[Boom o.10 ea 31% 12%
(25 points)
2. A team of 6 men and 3 women are to be chosen from a group of 16 men and 14 women. In how many
Ways can the team be chosen?
(20 points)
3. There are three groups of students (A, B and C) who are eligible to sit a statistics test. There are 10
students in each group. For every student in group A there is a 0.5 probability that he/she will pass. For
groups B and C the probabilities are 0.7 and 0.9 respectively. After the results are announced it so
happens that 8 students in each group passed.
a. Calculate the probability of 8 students passing for each of the 3 groups.
b, Assume that only one group could sit the test. Each group had an equal chance of being selected
(with probability 1/3). Evaluate which group was most likely to have been selected given that 8 cut of 10
students passed
Hint: the probabilities of the following events should be considered:
Event A~group A is selected to sit the test;
Event B - group B is selected to sit the test;
Event C- group C is selected to sit the test;
Event P- 8 out of 10 students passed the test.
(30 points)
4, For X~N(2,16) evaluate:
a) P(X < 8.8)
b) P(X < 2orX 2 15.2)
(25 points)QE(8) =(-6 o5).o4 +(-008) 034 0.f. 084+
0.3/0 0.02
Ver[t,) = (-0.0F -0 oa or +(-0.0$-002/)" 034
[0./0-0.0 6 E+ (9.3/-0,097% 0./-0 bf00f
9 (Q,) = )b.07003 yA
tT, 400 Samp Woy
Pie 2 ‘ = A
Pla DONORS Var[hs)- 0,000 %9 2 "Tish oy
(D Any =1es Aw
Yn
26 Pu BB
ke tol
Oe ae
1 S107 ae
& a7 36Y
3008 SER = AOLY Bll
(39) Ps aoe hy = 10 z
Ce: ob Myth Bad
Po =09 No=
a)4) p(r=8) iP 0) () 0B one
ou S as
2 05) ene
yar be 0,O¢Y
B: Plw-8) 2 [ort 03" = 0,985BOVE T CEN oF
eo, Us): Ha): Lage
P(P/4) = o.0vy io
pier tat Vis Selo
£(P/8) = 0.239
P(? Jo) = o./ay
t(P)= 0.2%. 0.2 + 0.089.084 5 -D.
9.013240 0699 40.0529 =O. (Y48
OVeTrRL Prob. op Me ee
P(a]P) = prod ap veloeting A
Sot 10 parte
Pp 3 5 Of3d |
Gide be 7 88
Jp) > 0 ee
DWLY BVM dG)
y P(e <3.) - ie p[s< 1p 209597
Wis
ope e?:
b) reed ov 6A) Hie] ge
rls SES) - s(vco} Ble 3.9 =
Mu DH
0547-0