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Anm 7.8 Earthquake On 6 February 2023 On The East Anatolian Fault, Turkey
Anm 7.8 Earthquake On 6 February 2023 On The East Anatolian Fault, Turkey
Anm 7.8 Earthquake On 6 February 2023 On The East Anatolian Fault, Turkey
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
ABSTRACT Caucasus Mountains in the Eurasian plate is taking place (Stern and
An earthquake of Mw7.8 occurred on 6 February 2023 at a Johnson, 2010).
depth of 18 km on the NE-SW trending East Anatolian Fault (EAF) Figure 1 shows the seismotectonics of the Anatolian plate where
in southern Turkey bordering Syria. This is the first time that an two large earthquakes of Mw 7.8 and Mw7.5 occurred on 6 February
earthquake of Mw≥7.0 has occurred on EAF since 1900. The region 2023 on the EAF at the Kahramanmaras Triple Junction (KMTJ).
lies on the triple-junction between the Arabian, African and Several studies have argued that the EAF joins Dead Sea Fault DSF at
Anatolian plates. The epicenter was located 32 km WNW of the KMTJ (Sengör et al., 2005; Hempton et al., 1981). But termination
Gaziantep city close to the Kahramanmaras Triple Junction of the EAF in the southwest is still debated. Earlier studies on the
(KMTJ) where the NNE-SSW Dead Sea transform fault (DSF) EAF suggested that the main fault continues towards Cyprus Arc where
intersects the EAF. Based on the distribution of immediate the convergence is accommodated between Nubia and Anatolia
aftershocks of 4.0≤≤Mw≤6.7 it is inferred that the fault rupture was (McKenzie, 1972). More than 220 aftershocks were recorded in the
bidirectional and broke a ~300 km fault length of EAF in three first ten days, till February 16, 2023. This paper discusses the
segments of Amanos, Pazarcik and Erkenek. This earthquake implications of future large and damaging earthquakes on the EAF
triggered an event of Mw7.5 on the E-W Surgu Fault, ~100 km segments by stress transfer by these two events. The severe damage
north of the mainshock. Eleven cities suffered the worst damage pattern observed in the near and far fields of the earthquake epicenter
where several multistoried structures collapsed killing more than is also discussed.
43,000 people. While the structures in the epicentral region
collapsed due to very strong shaking induced by these two shallow SEISMOTECTONICS OF TURKEY
and large earthquakes the collapse of structures in cities as far as Turkey lies on the seismically active Anatolian plate where
300 km suggests strong role of seismic wave amplification due to damaging and large earthquakes are reported since the historical times
local site effects in addition to poor construction practices and using data from geological and paleoseismological studies (Hartleb et
non-compliance of seismic codes. The rupture of a ~300 km fault al., 2006; Pantosti et al., 2008; Rockwell et al., 2009; https://
length in three segments of EAF and its influence to trigger future www.usgs.gov). In the present analysis USGS earthquake catalogue
large earthquakes in the adjacent four segments of Puturge, Palu, from 1900 till present is used (https://www.usgs.gov). The data shows
Ilica and Karliova in eastern Turkey by stress transfer in a that a high and widespread seismic activity in Turkey is because of the
cascading manner is discussed. Anatolian plate that is being pushed, pulled, and dragged from beneath
in a westward direction that, over the time, results in a westward
INTRODUCTION translation and counter clockwise rotation of the Anatolian plate,
Turkey is one of the most seismically active regions of the world relative to a stable Eurasia (Pondard et al., 2007; Westaway, 2003).
and occupies a major part of the Anatolian plate that lies north of the Figure 1 shows the major boundary faults that drive the seismotectonics
Arabian plate and is dominated by collision tectonics (Fig.1). As the in the region. The Anatolian plate is dominated by two major highly
Arabian plate including Syria moves northwards along the southern segmented fault systems, the NAF and the EAF where several
rim of Eurasia it squeezes the Anatolian plate that escapes westward earthquakes of M>7.0 have been documented since historical times
in an extrusion like process (Flerit et al., 2004; S’engör et al., 2005). (Ambraseys and Jackson, 1998). Historical records, though very
This extrusion happens mostly along two major boundary faults of useful, lack precise locations and the extent of fault ruptures, thus
the Anatolian plate in Turkey, viz., The North Anatolian Fault (NAF) limiting the analysis to qualitative interpretation and leave a lot of
with a right-lateral strike-slip movement and in the south along the room for conjectures.
East Anatolian Fault (EAF) with a left-lateral strike-slip motion. The The NAF is a 1500 km long right-lateral strike-slip fault in
Dead Sea Transform Fault (DSF) in the northwestern Arabian plate northern Turkey that runs from Sea of Marmara in the west and
moves with a left-lateral strike-slip motion intersecting the EAF in joins the Bitlis Suture zone in the east (Fig.1). Most of the westward
southern Turkey. Towards the eastern Anatolian plate the NAF and motion between the Anatolia plate and the Eurasian Plate caused by
EAF joins at the intersection of the NW-SE trending Zagros thrust the northward movement of the Arabian plate is accommodated
and fold belt at the Bitlis Suture Zone where crustal shortening in the by this Fault system (Barka, 1992; Sengör et al., 2005; Westaway,
2003; Fraser et al., 2010). The USGS earthquake catalogue document not experienced any earthquake of Mw≥7.0 and most of the seismicity
eleven earthquakes of M>7.0 on the NAF since 1900. The M7.6 Izmit is exhibited with moderate size earthquakes below Mw≤7.0.
earthquake on 17 August 1999 was the most devastating event on
NAF in the recent memory that occurred in western Turkey and MW7.8 EARTHQUAKE OF 6 FEBRUARY 2023
killed approximately 17,000 people. Eight earthquakes of M>7.0 A devastating earthquake of Mw7.8 occurred on Turkey-Syria
also occurred in a diffused manner in western Turkey region and border on 6 February 2023 in the early hours at 4:17 am local time.
in the Aegean Sea (Fig.1). The rupture history of these earthquakes This is also the largest recorded earthquake in Turkey that claimed
that occurred on NAF since the 20th century shows a progressive more than 43,000 human lives. The epicenter was located at the
spatiotemporal failure pattern indicating that one segment of the boundaries of Amanos and Pazarcik segments of the EAF that lies on
fault casts a shadow of increased Coulomb failure stress onto the Kahramanmaras Triple Junction (KMTJ) 32 km WNW of
adjacent fault segments, increasing their probability of failure (Stein Gaziantep, a city of 2 million people (Fig.2). The earthquake was
et al., 1997). felt in the entire southern Turkey and northern Syria and as far as
The EAF is a highly segmented 700 km long left-lateral strike- Cyprus, Greece, Jordan, Lebanon, Iraq, Georgia, Armenia, Egypt and
slip fault located between the Anatolian and Arabian plates (Arpat & Israel. The earthquake occurred at a depth of 18 km with a left-lateral
Saroglu, 1972; Hempton et al., 1981). It runs from the coast of strike-slip motion and ruptured a near-vertical fault segment of the
Mediterranean Sea in the southwest and intersects the NAF, Zagros NE-SW trending EAF. From the immediate aftershocks that followed
and Caucasus Fold and Thrust Belts in the east at Bitlis suture zone within minutes of the mainshock a bidirectional fault rupture is
where the relative motion between the Eurasia and Arabia is being inferred for a length of ~300 km in NE-SW direction coinciding with
accommodated (McKenzie 1972; Sengor et al., 1985; Le Pichon & the maximum intensity of MMI X in meisoseismal area and IX
Kreemer 2010). In the west the NNE-SSW trending DSF along the observed from Antakya, a city near the Mediterranean coast in the
Arabian plate intersects the EAF in southern Turkey (Fig.1). Duman southwest to Malatya in the northeast. Thirty six aftershocks in the
and Emre (2013) identified seven main fault segments along the 700 magnitude range 4.0≥Mw≤6.7 occurred within nine hours before an
km EAF. These seven fault segments from west to east are, Amanos, Mw 7.5 earthquake was triggered on the E-W Surgu Fault, 100 km to
Pazarcik, Erkenek, Puturge, Palu, Ilica and Karliova in which the north of the mainshock. The Surgu fault splays out in E-W direction
earthquakes of M<7.0 have occurred since 1900. They also identified from the main EAF at the Erkenek-Pazarcik segment west of Celikhan.
a major split along EAF that splays out as an E-W Surgu Fault near These two large earthquakes were followed by more than 220
the boundary of Erkenek and Pazarcik segments (Fig.2). In five of aftershocks in ten days till 16 February 2023 in the magnitudes range
these fault segments, with the exception of Puturge and Ilica in the between Mw 4.0-6.7 confining to the three segments of EAF and the
east, historical earthquakes of M>7.0 are reported based on geology Surgu fault.
and field observations. However, ruptures associated with these As both these large earthquakes were shallow, the devastation was
historical earthquakes spanning a period from 1795 to 1893 are poorly severe with total collapse of several multistoried structures in near
constrained (Sezim Ezgi Guvercin et al., 2022). Since 1900, EAF has and far fields of the epicenter. The most affected places in south Turkey
are Gaziantep, Kahramanmaras, Hatay, Osmaniye, Adiyaman, Malatya, 2 mm yr-1 in the western segments from geodetic observations. The
Sanliurfa, Adana, Diyarbakir, Kilis and Sarmada in Syria. (Fig.2). seismic slip rates computed from the seismicity rate for 2007 to 2019
Earlier, damaging earthquakes in Syria have been reported during also showed decrease in slip rates in the western segments vis-à-vis
historical times like the M7.1 earthquake in 1138 in Aleppo that killed eastern segments (Sezim Ezgi Guvercin et al., 2022). Although similar
20,000 to 60,000 people and again M7.0 in 1822 that caused severe trends of decreasing geodetic and seismic slip rates from east to west
damage. are observed along the fault segments, the variations in seismic slip
rates from east to west are much greater and more heterogeneous than
RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS the variations of the geodetic slip rates. These observations indicate
In the seismically active Anatolian plate an earthquake of Mw 7.8 the complex structure of EAF, which may be due to fault geometry,
on 6 February 2023 ruptured a ~300 km fault length of EAF from speed and direction of the plate motion. Reilinger and McClusky,
Antakya near the Mediterranean coast in the southwest Turkey to (2011) and Bletery et al. (2020) attributed this pattern to the proximity
Malatya in the northeast. The fault rupture was bidirectional in NE- of the Euler Pole of the Arabian-Anatolian plate motion at ~130 from
SW direction from the epicenter in KMTJ and broke Amanos, Pazarcik the EAF that may possibly lead to rapid changes in the direction of the
and Erkenek segments of EAF. After nine hours Mw7.5 earthquake relative motion between the two plates.
again triggered on the Surgu Fault ~100 km to the north, which Thus, occurrence of an Mw7.8 earthquake on the complex and a
branches out of the EAF in E-W direction from the Erkenek-Pazarcik heterogeneous 700 km EAF raises a very important concern on the
segment west of Celikhan. The aftershocks till 16 February 2023 were progressive rupturing of the remaining ~400 km segments of EAF in
more intense including three of them of Mw≥6.0 in the Pazarcik and a cascading manner where rupture on one fault segment can trigger a
Erkenek segments of EAF and Surgu fault region relative to Amanos rupture on the adjacent fault. This phenomenon was observed in case
segment that extends in southwest direction up to the coast of of the NAF during the 20th century large earthquakes (Fraser et al.,
Mediterranean Sea (Fig.2). 2010). Changes in the seismicity rates at far off locations in Turkey
The seismic activity along the 700 km long EAF is not uniform following large earthquakes were also reported (Durand et al., 2010).
and shows heterogeneous seismicity patterns with localized clusters, Since, the EAF has experienced a large earthquake of Mw7.8 for the
diffuse activity, gaps and absence of large earthquakes of M≥ ≥7.0 in first time in the known history, its implications in triggering earthquakes
all the seven segments since 1900 (Duman and Emre (2013). on the other segments can only be a conjecture, at present. So far, all
Mahmoud et al. (2013) showed higher strain accumulation of the seven segments of EAF had been the locales of earthquakes of
10 mm yr -1 in the eastern segments of EAF in comparison to Mw≤7.0 since 1900. Several studies on the EAF have revealed that no