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Worries About
Coronavirus Surge, as
Most Americans Expect a
Recession – or Worse
Trump’s job approval at highest point in three years
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RECOMMENDED CITATION
Pew Research Center, March, 2020, “Worries About
Coronavirus Surge, as Most Americans Expect a
Recession – or Worse”
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Here are the questions used for the report, along with responses, and its methodology.
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“significant crisis.”
And their outlook for the national economy is bleak. Nearly two-thirds of Americans (65%) say the
coronavirus outbreak will cause a recession or depression in the U.S., including nearly one-in-five
(17%) who anticipate a depression.
Less than two weeks ago, 47% said the coronavirus outbreak was a major threat to the health of
the U.S. population. Today, 66% say it is major threat to the health of Americans. An even larger
majority – 88% – says COVID-19 poses a major threat to the U.S. economy, up from 70% in mid-
March.
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Americans continue to be less anxious about the personal impact of the coronavirus outbreak.
Still, there have been significant increases in the shares saying the outbreak is a major threat to
their own health (36% currently) and personal finances (49%).
While Democrats remain more likely than Republicans to say that the coronavirus outbreak is a
major threat to public health and the economy, concerns have risen among members of both
parties. They also have increased in states experiencing a large number of coronavirus cases and
those that so far have been less seriously affected.
The new national survey by Pew Research Center, conducted March 19-24 among 11,537 U.S.
adults using the Center’s American Trends Panel, finds that despite the partisan differences in
views on several aspects of the outbreak, there also are important areas of agreement. Notably,
majorities in both parties say it is necessary to impose strict limitations on commerce, travel and
entertainment in order to
address the outbreak.
Large majorities say restrictions on travel, closures of
businesses have been necessary responses
About seven-in-ten adults
% who say each of the following has been a necessary step to address the
(71%) say that to address the coronavirus outbreak
coronavirus, it is necessary to
require most businesses other
than grocery stores or
pharmacies to close. A larger
share of Democrats and
Democratic-leaning
independents (81%) than
Republicans and GOP leaners
(61%) view this requirement as
necessary.
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The public is largely positive about the way that U.S. public health officials, such as those with the
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), are responding to the outbreak. Nearly eight-
in-ten (79%) say these officials are doing an excellent or good job; majorities of Republicans (84%)
and Democrats (74%) express positive views of the response by public health officials.
State and local elected officials also receive high marks – again, among members of both parties –
for their response to the outbreak. And 63% of
adults say that ordinary people in their
community are doing an excellent or good job Most in both parties say public health,
responding to the coronavirus. state and local officials are doing well
responding to COVID-19 outbreak
Opinions about how President Donald Trump is % who rate ___ as doing an excellent/good job
responding to the coronavirus outbreak
handling the crisis are less positive, and more
divided by partisanship. Nearly half of adults
(48%) say Trump is doing an excellent or good
job responding to the outbreak; an
overwhelming majority of Republicans (83%)
express positive views, compared with just 18%
of Democrats.
Since then, Trump’s job approval has increased Note: No answer responses not shown.
significantly among a number of groups, Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted March 19-24, 2020.
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including members of both parties, women
(from 37% in January to 44% today), black
adults (from 8% to 18%) and Hispanic adults (from 27% to 37%).
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The new survey also finds that the public is generally confident that the nation’s hospitals and
medical centers will be able to care for people afflicted with COVID-19 (see “Most Americans are
confident hospitals can handle the needs of the seriously ill during COVID-19 outbreak”). All of the
data in this report can be explored further by using the Election News Pathways data tool.
Divided views of how people across the country are reacting to COVID-19. Only about quarter of
Americans (28%) say ordinary people across the country are reacting about right to the
coronavirus outbreak; 31% say ordinary people are overreacting to the outbreak, while 40% say
they are not taking it seriously enough. The public also has mixed views about how ordinary
people in their community are reacting. But 86% say people in their household are reacting about
right to the coronavirus outbreak.
News media’s response to coronavirus outbreak. In the new survey, 54% say the news media have
done an excellent or good job responding to coronavirus outbreak. Yet, as in an earlier survey,
Democrats are more likely than Republicans to rate the media’s performance responding to the
outbreak positively.
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The public continues to see the Rising concern about the threats posed by the
coronavirus outbreak as coronavirus, including the impact on public health
presenting more serious % who say the coronavirus outbreak is a major threat to …
Democrats and Democratic leaners remain more likely than Republicans and Republican leaners
to say the coronavirus outbreak is a major threat across all four areas of concern tested in the
survey. For instance, 78% of Democrats say the coronavirus is a major threat to the health of the
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U.S. public, compared with 52% of Republicans. However, over the past few weeks, both groups
have become significantly more likely to say the virus presents major threats to all four items in
the survey.
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Rep/Lean Rep 12 44 43
Republicans and Republican
Conserv 10 43 47
leaners are less likely to expect
Mod/Lib 15 46 38
a severe economic impact than
Democrats and Democratic
Dem/Lean Dem 22 52 25
leaners, though majorities of Cons/Mod 20 49 30
both groups expect the U.S. to Liberal 26 57 18
suffer a recession or a
Following news about
depression. the outbreak ...
Very closely 20 49 31
More than four-in-ten Less closely 14 46 38
Republicans (44%) say the Note: No answer responses not shown.
coronavirus outbreak will lead Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted March. 19-24, 2020.
Those with higher levels of education are more likely than those with lower levels to expect severe
national economic impacts. For instance, about eight-in-ten with a postgraduate degree (81%)
expect either a recession (61%) or depression (20%) in the U.S. Among those with no college
experience, 54% expect either a recession (39%) or depression (15%).
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Lower-income Americans are almost twice as likely as upper-income Americans to say they or
someone in their household has taken a pay cut or lost a job because of the coronavirus (43% vs.
22%). About a third (31%) of middle-income people say this has happened to them or someone in
their household. (See appendix for more details on how income tiers are defined.)
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Postgraduate 32 59 9
Adults ages 50 and older see a
College grad 29 60 11
greater personal health threat
Some college 36 51 13
from the coronavirus than
HS or less 41 48 11
those under age 50. Nearly
half (47%) of those 65 and
Urban 40 49 11
older and 40% of those ages
Suburban 35 55 10
50 to 64 see the virus as a
Rural 33 53 13
major threat to their own
health; smaller shares of those Notes: No answer responses not shown. Whites and blacks include only those who are not
Hispanic; Hispanics are of any race.
ages 30 to 49 (31%) and 18 to Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted March 19-24, 2020.
29 (27%) say the same. PEW RESEARCH CENTER
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Just over half of Americans (54%) rate the news media’s response to the outbreak positively, while
46% rate it negatively.
The public is about evenly split in their views of how Donald Trump is responding to the outbreak,
with 48% saying he has done a good or excellent job and 51% saying his response has been only
fair or poor.
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Partisan views about other key actors in the country’s response to coronavirus are more closely
aligned.
About two-thirds of Republicans (68%) and six-in-ten Democrats (60%) say ordinary people in
their community are doing an excellent or good job in response to the coronavirus outbreak, and
73% of Republicans and 66% of Democrats rate the performance of their local elected officials
positively.
Overall, roughly seven-in-ten Republicans (72%) and Democrats (69%) give positive ratings to
their state elected officials. Views of state officials’ handling of the outbreak are most positive
among partisans living in states controlled by members of their own party: 79% of Republicans
with GOP control of statehouses and governorships and 76% of Democrats in Democratic-
controlled states rate their state elected officials’ performance positively. Still, majorities of those
living in states controlled by the other party also offer positive evaluations of their state
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Rep/Lean Rep
Dem/Lean Dem
11 12
7 6 6 6 6 7
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Notes: Whites and blacks include only those who are not Hispanic;
Hispanics are of any race. No answer responses not shown.
Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted March 19-24, 2020.
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As school systems across the country have announced closures in an effort to slow the spread of
the coronavirus, large shares of adults say that their local school systems are reacting
appropriately to the outbreak. Most Americans (86%) say that their local school system’s reaction
to the coronavirus outbreak has been about right. Relatively few say their school systems are
overreacting to the outbreak (10%) or not taking it seriously enough (4%).
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Local and state governments also receive high marks in this regard. More than seven-in-ten say
that their local government (74%) and their state government (72%) are each reacting about right
to the coronavirus outbreak.
This pattern is even more pronounced in how partisans assess the reactions of ordinary people
across the country. About half of Democrats (48%) say that people across the country are
underreacting to the outbreak, compared with 27% who say they’re reacting about right and 25%
who say they are overreacting. By contrast, a plurality of Republicans (39%) say people around the
country are overreacting to the outbreak; somewhat fewer say they are either responding about
right (30%) or not taking it seriously enough (31%).
Republicans in states with a higher number of confirmed COVID-19 cases are less likely than
Republicans in states with fewer cases to say people across the country are overreacting to the
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outbreak (33% vs. 42%). Still, Republicans living in the hardest-hit states remain more likely than
even Democrats in the least hard-hit states to say the public is overreacting to the outbreak.
Across both parties, those who are paying the most attention to news about the outbreak are the
least likely to say that people and institutions are overreacting to the coronavirus outbreak.
There also is majority support for requiring most businesses other than grocery stores and
pharmacies to close and for postponing upcoming state primary elections. However, among both
Republicans and Democrats there is slightly lower support for these two measures than for other
steps to confront the outbreak.
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Acknowledgments
This report is a collaborative effort based on the input and analysis of the following individuals:
Others at Pew Research Center also gave valuable feedback and assistance on this project,
including Director of Social Trends Research Kim Parker, Director of Internet and Technology
Research Lee Rainie, Associate Director of Internet and Technology Research Monica Anderson,
Associate Director of Religion Research Greg Smith, Senior Researcher Ruth Igielnik, Research
Associate Brooke Auxier, Research Analyst Andrew Perrin, and Research Assistant Luis Noe-
Bustamante.
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Methodology
The American Trends Panel survey methodology
The American Trends Panel (ATP), created by Pew Research Center, is a nationally representative
panel of randomly selected U.S. adults. Panelists participate via self-administered web surveys.
Panelists who do not have internet access at home are provided with a tablet and wireless internet
connection. The panel is being managed by Ipsos.
Data in this report is drawn from the panel wave conducted March 19 to March 24, 2020. A total
of 11,537 panelists responded out of 15,433 who were sampled, for a response rate of 75%. This
does not include five panelists
who were removed from the American Trends Panel recruitment surveys
data due to extremely high Active
panelists
rates of refusal or Recruitment dates Mode Invited Joined remaining
straightlining. The cumulative Landline/
Jan. 23 to March 16, 2014 cell RDD 9,809 5,338 2,311
response rate accounting for Landline/
Aug. 27 to Oct. 4, 2015 cell RDD 6,004 2,976 1,335
nonresponse to the
Landline/
recruitment surveys and April 25 to June 4, 2017 cell RDD 3,905 1,628 685
attrition is 4.1%. The break-off Aug. 8 to Oct. 31, 2018 ABS/web 9,396 8,778 6,412
rate among panelists who Aug. 19 to Nov. 30, 2019 ABS/web 5,900 4,720 4,690
Total 35,014 23,440 15,433
logged on to the survey and
completed at least one item is Note: Approximately once per year, panelists who have not participated in multiple
consecutive waves or who did not complete an annual profiling survey are removed from the
2%. The margin of sampling panel. Panelists also become inactive if they ask to be removed from the panel.
error for the full sample of PEW RESEARCH CENTER
11,537 respondents is plus or
minus 1.5 percentage points.
The ATP was created in 2014, with the first cohort of panelists invited to join the panel at the end
of a large, national, landline and cellphone random-digit-dial survey that was conducted in both
English and Spanish. Two additional recruitments were conducted using the same method in 2015
and 2017, respectively. Across these three surveys, a total of 19,718 adults were invited to join the
ATP, of which 9,942 agreed to participate.
In August 2018, the ATP switched from telephone to address-based recruitment. Invitations were
sent to a random, address-based sample (ABS) of households selected from the U.S. Postal
Service’s Delivery Sequence File. In each household, the adult with the next birthday was asked to
go online to complete a survey, at the end of which they were invited to join the panel. For a
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random half-sample of invitations, households without internet access were instructed to return a
postcard. These households were contacted by telephone and sent a tablet if they agreed to
participate. A total of 9,396 were invited to join the panel, and 8,778 agreed to join the panel and
completed an initial profile survey. The same recruitment procedure was carried out on August 19,
2019, from which a total of 5,900 were invited to join the panel and 4,720 agreed to join the panel
and completed an initial profile survey. Of the 23,440 individuals who have ever joined the ATP,
15,433 remained active panelists and continued to receive survey invitations at the time this survey
was conducted.
The U.S. Postal Service’s Delivery Sequence File has been estimated to cover as much as 98% of
the population, although some studies suggest that the coverage could be in the low 90% range. 1
1 AAPOR Task Force on Address-based Sampling. 2016. “AAPOR Report: Address-based Sampling.”
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Weighting
The ATP data was weighted in a multistep process that begins with a
base weight incorporating the respondents’ original selection Weighting dimensions
probability. The next step in the weighting uses an iterative technique Variable Benchmark
source
that aligns the sample to population benchmarks on the dimensions Gender 2018 American
Community
listed in the accompanying table. Age Survey
Education
Sampling errors and test of statistical significance take into account the Race/Hispanic
origin
effect of weighting. Interviews are conducted in both English and Country of birth
among Hispanics
Spanish.
Home internet
access
Years lived in the
In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question United States
wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce among Hispanics
Region x 2019 CPS March
error or bias into the findings of opinion polls. Metropolitan status Supplement
Volunteerism 2017 CPS
Volunteering &
Civic Life
Supplement
Voter registration 2018 CPS Voting
and Registration
Supplement
Party affiliation Average of the
three most recent
Pew Research
Center telephone
surveys.
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The following table shows the unweighted sample sizes and the error attributable to sampling that
would be expected at the 95% level of confidence for different groups in the survey:
Sample sizes and sampling errors for other subgroups are available upon request.
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Appendix
Categorization of COVID-19 state health impact in this report
This report uses a measure of
state-level impact of COVID-19. Categorization of COVID-19 state impact
States and the District of States where COVID-19 has a had a ___ impact on state health
Columbia are categorized as (as of March 22)
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Based on these adjustments, among respondents who provided their income, 33% are lower
income, 45% are middle income and 22% fall into the upper-income tier.
For more information about how the income tiers were determined, please see here.
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FOR RELEASE MARCH 30, 2020
202.419.4372
www.pewresearch.org
RECOMMENDED CITATION
Pew Research Center, March, 2020, “Most
Americans Say Coronavirus Outbreak Has Impacted
Their Lives”
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www.pewresearch.org
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Here are the questions used for the report, along with responses, and its methodology.
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The virus also has impacted Americans’ religious behaviors. More than half of all U.S. adults (55%)
say they have prayed for an end to the spread of coronavirus. Large majorities of
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These are among the findings of a Pew Research Center survey of 11,537 U.S. adults conducted
March 19-24, 2020, using the Center’s American Trends Panel. 1 Other key findings from the
survey include:
§ Republicans are more likely than Democrats to say they feel comfortable proceeding with a
variety of activities despite the coronavirus outbreak. For example, 68% of Republicans and
people who lean toward the GOP say they would be comfortable visiting with a close friend or
family member at their home, compared with 55% of Democrats and Democratic leaners.
Along these same lines, Democrats are more likely than Republicans to say their lives have
changed in a major way as a result of the virus, and that they have been feeling psychological
distress.
§ Compared with older Americans, young adults are more likely to say they are comfortable
going to a crowded party, a restaurant or a small gathering with close family or friends. Still,
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most adults under 30 say they are uncomfortable eating out at a restaurant (73%) or going to a
crowded party (87%). Young adults are more likely than their elders to say they have used a
food delivery service due to the outbreak.
§ Concerns about public activities and changes to personal lives have been felt more acutely in
states with higher numbers of COVID-19 cases. For instance, 51% of those living in highly
impacted states say their lives have changed in a major way, compared with 40% of those in
states with the lowest numbers of cases.
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Most Americans say their personal life has been affected by the
coronavirus outbreak
Nearly nine-in-ten U.S. adults say their
More than four-in-ten Americans say
personal life has changed at least a little bit as a
their lives have changed in a major way
result of the coronavirus outbreak, with 44%
% saying that, as a result of the coronavirus outbreak,
saying their life has changed in a major way. their personal life has …
Just 12% say their life has stayed about the
Changed Changed, Stayed
same as it was before the outbreak. in a major but only a about the
way little bit same
All adults 44 44 12
Women (47%) are more likely than men (41%)
Men 41 46 12
to say their personal life has changed in a major Women 47 41 11
way as a result of the coronavirus outbreak. White 45 45 10
And while more than four-in-ten white (45%) Black 34 43 22
Hispanic 47 43 10
and Hispanic (47%) adults say this has changed
Ages 18-29 43 45 12
their lives significantly, about a third of black 30-49 46 43 10
adults (34%) say the same. 50-64 42 42 16
65+ 45 45 9
Postgrad 61 34 5
Income and education are also linked to
Bachelor's degree 54 40 5
assessments of the personal impact of the Some college 43 45 12
coronavirus outbreak. More than half of those HS or less 35 48 16
with higher incomes (54%) say this has changed Upper income 54 39 6
Middle income 44 45 10
their life in a major way, compared with 44% of
Lower income 39 44 16
those with middle incomes and 39% of those
COVID-19 state health impact to date
with lower incomes.2 High 51 39 9
Medium 43 44 12
Low 40 47 13
Similarly, 61% of those with postgraduate
degrees, and a narrower majority of those with Note: Share of respondents who didn’t offer an answer not shown.
Whites and blacks include those who report being only one race and
bachelor’s degrees (54%), say the coronavirus are non-Hispanic. Hispanics are of any race. “Some college” includes
outbreak has changed their life in a major way. those with an associate degree and those who attended college but
did not obtain a degree. Family income tiers are based on adjusted
By comparison, 43% of those with some college 2018 earnings. COVID-19 state health impact is based on per-capita
and about a third of those with a high school cases and/or total number of cases. See Appendix for details.
Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted March 19-24, 2020.
diploma or less education (35%) say this has “Most Americans Say Coronavirus Outbreak Has Impacted Their
Lives”
happened to them. Across income groups, those
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with at least a bachelor’s degree are more likely
2 Family incomes are based on 2018 earnings and adjusted for differences in purchasing power by geographic region and for household sizes.
Middle income is defined here as two-thirds to double the median annual income for all panelists. Lower income falls below that range; upper
income falls above it.
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than those with less education to say the coronavirus outbreak has changed their life in a major
way.
Across age groups, similar shares say the coronavirus outbreak has had a major impact on their
personal life. For example, 43% of adults younger than 30 say the outbreak has changed their life
in a major way, as do 45% of those ages 65 and older.
Not surprisingly, those in states with a high number of coronavirus cases are more likely than
those in states that haven’t been as affected to say their personal life has changed in a major way
because of the outbreak. About half of those
who live in states with a high number of cases Democrats are more likely than
(51%) say their life has changed in a major way, Republicans to say their lives have
compared with 43% of those in states with a changed in a major way
medium number of cases and 40% of those in % saying that, as a result of the coronavirus outbreak,
states with a low number of cases. 3 their personal life has …
3 COVID-19 state health impact is based on per-capita cases and/or total number of cases. See Appendix for details.
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These partisan differences remain even after accounting for the fact that Democrats are more
likely than Republicans to live in states with a high number of confirmed cases of COVID-19.
About a third of Democrats (34%) live in these states, compared with 22% of Republicans. More
than half of Democrats in states with a high number of cases (57%) say their life has changed in a
major way, compared with 42% of Republicans in states with a high number of cases. Similarly, in
states with a medium or low number of cases, Democrats are more likely than their Republican
counterparts to say the coronavirus outbreak has impacted their life in a major way.
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Republicans are more likely than Democrats to feel comfortable visiting with a friend,
going grocery shopping
Across a variety of measures, Republicans are
more likely than Democrats to say they are Among Republicans in states with low
comfortable continuing with regular activities. numbers of confirmed COVID-19 cases,
Republicans are significantly more likely than 74% say they are comfortable visiting
Democrats to say they are comfortable going to with close family and friends
a grocery store and visiting friends and are far % saying that, given the current situation with the
coronavirus outbreak, they would feel ____ visiting
more likely than Democrats to say they are with a close friend or family member at their home
comfortable eating in a restaurant.
Uncomfortable Comfortable
All adults 38 62
Roughly seven-in-ten Republicans (68%) say Rep/Lean Rep 32 68
they are comfortable visiting with a close friend Dem/Lean Rep 45 55
or family member at their home, while 32% say COVID-19 state health impact to date ...
they would be uncomfortable. Democrats are Among Republicans and Republican leaners
High 35 65
more divided: 55% say they would be
Medium 33 67
comfortable doing this while 45% say they
Low 26 74
would not be comfortable.
Among Democrats and Democratic leaners
High 50 50
When it comes to Americans’ comfort with Medium 44 56
visiting with those close to them, partisan Low 40 60
differences remain even after accounting for the Notes: Share of respondents who did not offer an answer not
fact that Democrats are more likely than shown. COVID-19 state health impact is based on per-capita cases
and/or total number of cases. See Appendix for details.
Republicans to live in states with a high number Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted March 19-24, 2020.
of confirmed cases of COVID-19. About two- “Most Americans Say Coronavirus Outbreak Has Impacted Their
Lives”
thirds of Republicans in states with a high PEW RESEARCH CENTER
number of cases (65%) say they would be
comfortable visiting with close family and
friends, compared with 50% of Democrats in these states. Similarly, in states with a medium or
low number of cases, Republicans are more likely than their Democratic counterparts to say they
are comfortable visiting with family and friends.
Overall, Americans living in suburban and rural areas are more likely than those living in urban
communities to feel comfortable visiting with close friends and relatives. However, Americans
living in urban areas are divided depending on how many confirmed cases of COVID-19 are in
their state. Those living in urban areas in states with a high number of cases are the least likely to
feel comfortable visiting with others (47%) while urban dwellers in states with a medium (56%) or
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low (67%) number of cases are more likely to feel comfortable going out to visit friends. These
differences are not as stark in suburban areas, and there is no difference in comfort with visiting
others among Americans in rural communities, regardless of the number of cases in the state.
About one-in-five adults say they have used a food delivery service
because of the coronavirus outbreak
Amid recommendations for social distancing to help prevent the spread of COVID-19, about one-
in-five adults (21%) say they have used a food delivery service
instead of going to a restaurant or grocery store as a result of the
Younger adults more
coronavirus outbreak.
likely to have used a food
delivery service because
Adults younger than 30 are particularly likely to say they have of coronavirus outbreak
used a food delivery service because of the coronavirus outbreak:
% saying they have used a food
Three-in-ten in this group say they have done this. A quarter of delivery service instead of going to
adults ages 30 to 49 also say they have used a food delivery a restaurant or grocery store as a
result of the coronavirus outbreak
service because of the coronavirus outbreak, while smaller shares
of those ages 50 to 64 (15%) and those 65 and older (14%) say All adults 21
the same.
Men 19
Hispanic adults (26%) are more likely than white (19%) and Women 23
black (20%) adults to have used a food delivery service instead of
White 19
going to a restaurant or grocery store as a result of the
coronavirus outbreak. And while about a quarter of women Black 20
(23%) say they have done this, about one-in-five men (19%) say Hispanic 26
the same. There are no notable differences by educational
Ages 18-29 30
attainment, income, or whether people live in states with a high,
medium or low number of coronavirus cases. 30-49 25
50-64 15
65+ 14
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4 This analysis includes all working-age adults ages 18 to 64, including some who may not be employed.
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Most adults with young children at home say it has been easy for them to
handle child care responsibilities
Even as many schools have closed because of
the coronavirus outbreak, 65% of adults with About a third of adults with young
children younger than 12 at home say it has children say handling child care
been at least somewhat easy for them to handle responsibilities has been difficult
child care responsibilities during this time, with % of adults with children younger than 12 living in their
household saying it has been ___ for them to handle
32% saying it has been very easy. About a third child care responsibilities during the coronavirus
(35%) say this has been very or somewhat outbreak
difficult for them. Very/Somewhat Very/Somewhat
difficult easy
All w/children <12
Similar shares of men (68%) and women (63%) in household 35 65
with young children at home say it has been Men 32 68
easy for them to handle child care Women 37 63
responsibilities during the coronavirus
White 28 71
outbreak (the difference between the shares of
Black 38 61
men and women saying this is not statistically
significant). Hispanic 40 60
Upper income 42 58
Black and Hispanic adults with children Middle income 30 70
younger than 12 at home are more likely than
Lower income 37 63
white adults with children in the same age
group to say handling child care responsibilities Note: Share of respondents who didn’t offer an answer not shown.
Whites and blacks include those who report being only one race and
has been difficult for them during the outbreak: are non-Hispanic. Hispanics are of any race. Family income tiers are
About four-in-ten black (38%) and Hispanic based on adjusted 2018 earnings. See Appendix for details.
Source: Survey of U.S. adults conducted March 19-24, 2020.
(40%) adults with young children say this, “Most Americans Say Coronavirus Outbreak Has Impacted Their
Lives”
compared with 28% of their white counterparts.
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Still, majorities of at least six-in-ten in each
group say it has been easy for them to handle
child care responsibilities during this time.
Majorities across income groups also say handling child care responsibilities has been at least
somewhat easy for them so far, but those with middle incomes are more likely than those with
upper or lower incomes to say this. Seven-in-ten middle-income adults with children younger than
12 at home say it’s been easy for them to handle child care responsibilities, compared with 58% of
those in the upper-income tier and 63% in the lower-income tier.
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Fully 86% of people who pray every day say they have prayed Men 44
specifically about the virus, as have two-thirds of those who Women 65
say they pray on a weekly basis. Half of those who say they White 53
pray a few times a month report having prayed about the Black 66
coronavirus, as have 15% of those who generally seldom or Hispanic 57
never pray. Ages 18-29 35
30-49 52
More women than men say they have prayed for an end to the 50-64 63
spread of the disease, and more black respondents than white 65+ 67
and Hispanic respondents say the same. Older people are Rep/Lean Rep 64
more likely than younger adults to say they have prayed for an Dem/Lean Dem 46
end to the virus, and more Republicans than Democrats have Note: Whites and blacks include those who
prayed about the outbreak. These patterns are consistent with report being only one race and are non-
Hispanic. Hispanics are of any race.
overall differences in the religiousness of these groups. Source: Survey conducted March 19-24, 2020.
“Most Americans Say Coronavirus Outbreak
Has Impacted Their Lives”
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White 66 58
Women who attend worship services monthly
Black 50 58
or more often are a bit more likely than men Hispanic 42 56
who attend with the same frequency to say they Ages 18-29 55 58
have turned to the internet or television to 30-49 60 53
watch religious services (though no more likely 50-64 56 56
to say they have been attending less often in- 65+ 65 60
attended less often. Higher shares of Note: Based on those who said in a 2019 survey they attend
religious services at least once or twice per month. Whites and
Republicans than Democrats say they have blacks include those who report being only one race and are non-
Hispanic. Hispanics are of any race. The survey included too few
stayed away from religious services and that
interviews with non-Christian respondents who attend religious
they have turned to virtual alternatives in services regularly to permit analysis of their responses to these
questions.
reaction to the outbreak. Source: Survey conducted March 19-24, 2020.
“Most Americans Say Coronavirus Outbreak Has Impacted Their
Lives”
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5 The questions that ask respondents whether they have been attending religious services less often or watching them online or on TV instead
of attending in-person were asked of everyone. Among all respondents, 27% say they have attended religious services less often and 25%
(including 11% who generally attend religious services a few times a year or less) say they have watched them online or on TV in response to
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the outbreak. To facilitate interpretation of these data, the analyses reported here are based on those who said in a previous survey
(conducted in the summer and fall of 2019) that they generally attend religious services at least once or twice a month. Those who indicated
in the previous survey that they attend religious services a few times a year or less often may report low levels of having attended less often or
having watched online in response to the virus because they attended sporadically or not at all to begin with, not because they are
unconcerned by the virus. The survey included too few interviews with non-Christian respondents who attend religious services regularly to
permit analysis of their responses to these questions.
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services online while attending less in person, while black and Hispanic people are more likely
than white respondents to say they are supplementing their in-person attendance with virtual
religious participation or that their attendance habits have not changed.
CORRECTION (April 1, 2020): Due to a rounding error, a previous version of this report gave an
incorrect percentage of Republicans and Republican leaners who say they would be comfortable
visiting with a close friend or family member at their home. It should have been 68%. Also,
a previous version of the first chart in the report had an incorrect percentage for the share of
Americans who would feel uncomfortable going out to the grocery store. It should have been
42%. These changes do not substantively affect the report’s findings.
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Acknowledgments
This report is a collaborative effort based on the input and analysis of the following individuals:
Others at Pew Research Center also gave valuable feedback and assistance on this project,
including Director of Political Research Carroll Doherty, Associate Director of Research Adam
Hughes, Research Associates Andrew Daniller, Bradley Jones, Hannah Hartig and Claire
Gecewicz, and Research Assistants Amina Dunn, Hannah Gilberstadt and Ted Van Green.
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Methodology
The American Trends Panel survey methodology
The American Trends Panel (ATP), created by Pew Research Center, is a nationally representative
panel of randomly selected U.S. adults. Panelists participate via self-administered web surveys.
Panelists who do not have internet access at home are provided with a tablet and wireless internet
connection. The panel is being managed by Ipsos.
Data in this report is drawn from the panel wave conducted March 19 to March 24, 2020. A total
of 11,537 panelists responded out of 15,433 who were sampled, for a response rate of 75%. This
does not include five panelists
who were removed from the American Trends Panel recruitment surveys
data due to extremely high Active
panelists
rates of refusal or Recruitment dates Mode Invited Joined remaining
straightlining. The cumulative Landline/
Jan. 23 to March 16, 2014 cell RDD 9,809 5,338 2,311
response rate accounting for Landline/
Aug. 27 to Oct. 4, 2015 cell RDD 6,004 2,976 1,335
nonresponse to the
Landline/
recruitment surveys and April 25 to June 4, 2017 cell RDD 3,905 1,628 685
attrition is 4.1%. The break-off Aug. 8 to Oct. 31, 2018 ABS/web 9,396 8,778 6,412
rate among panelists who Aug. 19 to Nov. 30, 2019 ABS/web 5,900 4,720 4,690
Total 35,014 23,440 15,433
logged on to the survey and
completed at least one item is Note: Approximately once per year, panelists who have not participated in multiple
consecutive waves or who did not complete an annual profiling survey are removed from the
2%. The margin of sampling panel. Panelists also become inactive if they ask to be removed from the panel.
error for the full sample of PEW RESEARCH CENTER
The ATP was created in 2014, with the first cohort of panelists invited to join the panel at the end
of a large, national, landline and cellphone random-digit-dial survey that was conducted in both
English and Spanish. Two additional recruitments were conducted using the same method in 2015
and 2017, respectively. Across these three surveys, a total of 19,718 adults were invited to join the
ATP, of which 9,942 agreed to participate.
In August 2018, the ATP switched from telephone to address-based recruitment. Invitations were
sent to a random, address-based sample (ABS) of households selected from the U.S. Postal
Service’s Delivery Sequence File. In each household, the adult with the next birthday was asked to
go online to complete a survey, at the end of which they were invited to join the panel. For a
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random half-sample of invitations, households without internet access were instructed to return a
postcard. These households were contacted by telephone and sent a tablet if they agreed to
participate. A total of 9,396 were invited to join the panel, and 8,778 agreed to join the panel and
completed an initial profile survey. The same recruitment procedure was carried out on August 19,
2019, from which a total of 5,900 were invited to join the panel and 4,720 agreed to join the panel
and completed an initial profile survey. Of the 23,440 individuals who have ever joined the ATP,
15,433 remained active panelists and continued to receive survey invitations at the time this survey
was conducted.
The U.S. Postal Service’s Delivery Sequence File has been estimated to cover as much as 98% of
the population, although some studies suggest that the coverage could be in the low 90% range.6
6 AAPOR Task Force on Address-based Sampling. 2016. “AAPOR Report: Address-based Sampling.”
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Weighting
The ATP data was weighted in a multistep process that begins with a
base weight incorporating the respondents’ original selection Weighting dimensions
probability. The next step in the weighting uses an iterative technique Variable Benchmark
source
that aligns the sample to population benchmarks on the dimensions Gender 2018 American
Community
listed in the accompanying table. Age Survey
Education
Sampling errors and test of statistical significance take into account the Race/Hispanic
origin
effect of weighting. Interviews are conducted in both English and Country of birth
Spanish. among Hispanics
Home internet
access
Years lived in the
In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question United States
wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce among Hispanics
Region x 2019 CPS March
error or bias into the findings of opinion polls. Metropolitan status Supplement
Volunteerism 2017 CPS
Volunteering &
Civic Life
Supplement
Voter registration 2018 CPS Voting
and Registration
Supplement
Party affiliation Average of the
three most recent
Pew Research
Center telephone
surveys.
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The following table shows the unweighted sample sizes and the error attributable to sampling that
would be expected at the 95% level of confidence for different groups in the survey:
Sample sizes and sampling errors for other subgroups are available upon request.
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Appendix
Categorization of COVID-19 state health impact in this report
This report uses a measure of
state-level impact of COVID-19. Categorization of COVID-19 state impact
States and the District of States where COVID-19 has had a ___ impact on state health (as of
Columbia are categorized as March 22)
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Based on these adjustments, among respondents who provided their income, 33% are lower
income, 45% are middle income and 22% fall into the upper-income tier.
For more information about how the income tiers were determined, please see here.
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