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2 - Time Value of Money PDF
2 - Time Value of Money PDF
Time Line
Cash Flows at-the-end of period
• Cash Flows of Rs 1000/- each at Year-end for 4 years
1000 1000 1000 1000
2
Time Value of Money
• Time Value of Money (TVM): Money (Cash flows) today
is more valuable than the same quantity of money in
the future.
• Why TVM?
✓ Inflation: Rs. 100/- today will buy more goods than a year
from now. - value of currency decreases over time.
✓ Preference of present consumption over future
consumption: to induce people to postpone the
consumption, you have to offer them more in the future.
✓ Uncertainty : higher uncertainty (risk) means less
valuable the future cash flow.
• Thus, the cash flows occurring in different time periods have
to be made comparable.
3
Time Value of Money
• To take today’s cash flows into the future : Future
Value
0 1 2 3 4 5
P FV
@ r%
P FV
@ r%
4
Future Value
• Future Value of an investment is what the investment will
be worth after earning interest for one or more time
periods.
• Suppose you deposit Rs. 100/- in a bank deposit that pays
10% pa, how much will you have in one year/ two years?
• FV1 = Principal + Interest earned
= 100 + 10% of 100
= 100 + 0.10*100 = 100*(1.10) = Rs. 110
FV1 = P0 + P0*r = P0 (1+ r)
FV2 = Principal (FV1) + Interest earned (FV1)
= 110 + 0.10*110 = 110*(1.10) = Rs. 121
= 100*(1.10) *(1.10) = 100*(1.10)2 = Rs. 121
FV2 = P0 (1+ r)2 5
Future Value
• Future Value of amount P0 , after ‘n’ years would be:
FVn = P0*(1+r)n
Future Value Interest Factor
[FVIF (n,r)]
FVIF (5 yrs,6%)
6
Future Value
If you invest Rs.80,000/- @ 14%p.a., how much would it amount
to in 3 years?
✓ Future Value of Rs. 80,000/- @14% after 3 years
would be: 80,000*(1+0.14)3 or 80,000*FVIF (3
years,14%)
= 80,000*1.48154 = Rs 1,18,523.52
80,000 1,18,523.52
0 1 2 3
7
Future Value
8
Future Value
Suppose you plan to invest Rs 25,000/- in a bank fixed
deposit for a period of 15 years. The rate of interest on
the fixed deposit is 6.50% pa. How much amount you
would have in your bank account at the end of 15 years?
FV = PV(1+r)n = 25000(1.065)15
= 25000(2.57184) = Rs. 64,296.03
10
Future value
4400
3900 15%
3400
12%
2900
10%
2400
8%
1900
5%
1400
900
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Years
11
Compounding more than once a year
• Interest may be paid more than once a year.
• If you invest Rs.80,000/- @ 14%p.a., how much would it
amount to in 5 years, if interest is compounded semi-annually?
80000*(1+0.14/2)(5*2)
= 80000*1.96715
= 157,372.11
12
Compounding more than once a year
• Future Value is : r n*m
FVn = P*(1+ )
m
where ‘m’ is no. of times interest is paid.
➢ If you invest Rs.80,000/- @ 14%p.a., how much would it amount
to in 5 years, if interest is compounded quarterly, monthly, or
daily?
Frequency m Future Value
Quarterly 4 80000*(1+0.14/4)(5*4)
= 80000*1.98979 = 1,59,183.11
Monthly 12 80000*(1+0.14/12)(5*12)
= 80000*2.00561 = 1,60,448.78
Daily 365 80000*(1+0.14/365)(5*365)
= 80000*2.01348 = 1,61,078.60
13
Compounding more than once a year
• As ‘m’ approaches infinity, the term (1+r/m)n*m approaches
er*n, where ‘e’ is approx. 2.71828 and is defined as
1 m
e=limit(1+ )
m→ m
• Future Value on continuous compounding basis is:
FVn = P*er n
14
Nominal vs. Effective Interest Rate
Nominal Future Effective
Frequency (m) Rate Value Interest Rate
Annual 1 10% 1100.00 (1.10)-1 10.0000%
Semi-annual 2 10% 1102.50 (1+ 0.10/2)2 - 1 10.2500%
Quarterly 4 10% 1103.81 (1+ 0.10/4)4 - 1 10.3813%
Monthly 12 10% 1104.71 (1+ 0.10/12)12 - 1 10.4713%
Daily 365 10% 1105.15 (1+ 0.10/365)365 - 1 10.5156%
Continuous 10% 1105.17 exp (0.10) - 1 10.5171%
m
Stated Annual Interest rate
EIR = 1+ -1
m 15
Effective Interest rate
iBank charges 7.95% pa interest compounded monthly,
on its car loans while uBank charges interest @ 8% pa
compounded half yearly. Which car loan is cheaper?
12
0.0795
EIR (iBank) = 1+ - 1 = 0.08246 = 8.246% pa
12
2
0.08
EIR (uBank) = 1+ - 1 = 0.08160 = 8.16% pa
2
17
Where to Invest ?
Option 1: Invest in Government Bonds @ 8% pa for 6 years & @
3.5% pa (half yearly compounding) in bank fixed deposit for next 4
years thereafter.
• 10,00,000 * (1.08)6 = Rs. 15,86,874.32
• 15,86,874.32 * (1.0175)8 = Rs. 15,86,874.32 *1.14888 = Rs. 18,23,131/-
18
Growth Rate
Due to advertising campaign, the sales of a firm have
increased from Rs 20 Mn to Rs 35 Mn in three years.
What is the average annual growth rate?
FV = PV*(1+g)n
35 = 20*(1+g)3
g = (35/20)1/3 -1 = 0.2050711 = 20.51%
19
Present Value
• The process of calculating the present value of a
future Cash Flow is called discounting and the
interest rate used for discounting is called the
discount rate.
• Values of PVIF for various combinations of “r” and “n” are given
in Present Value tables.
PVIF
(5 yrs,5%)
21
Present Value
What is the worth of Rs.10,000/- received at the end of 5 years
from now, if the discount rate is 6% p.a.?
10,000
0 1 2 3 4 5
??
22
Present Value
1100
1000
900
800
Present Value
700 5%
600
500
400
300
200 18%
100
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Years
26
Annuity
Annuity is a stream of ‘n’ equal cash flows (inflows or
outflows) at regular intervals for a fixed period of time.
➢ If each investment is made at the END of each period,
the annuity is called Regular / Ordinary Annuity or
Annuity in arrears
0 1 2 3 n
A A A A
0 1 2 3 4 5
1000(1.10)0 =1000
1000(1.10)1 =1100
1000(1.10)2 =1210
1000(1.10)3 =1331
1000(1.10)4 =1464
=6105
(1+r)n -1 (1.10)5 -1
FVA RA = A = 1000
r 0.10
= 1000*6.10510=6105.10
28
Future Value of Annuity (Regular Annuity)
• Future Value of n-year Regular Annuity of A @ r%:
0 1 2 3 n-2 n-1 n
A A A A A A
A(1+r)n-1
A(1+r)n-2
A(1+r)n-3
A(1+r)2
A(1+r)1
29
Future Value of Annuity (Regular Annuity)
30
Future Value of Annuity (Annuity Due)
• Future Value of 5-year Annuity Due of Rs.1000 @ 10%:
0 1 2 3 4 5
1000(1.10)1 =1100
1000(1.10)2 =1210
1000(1.10)3 =1331
1000(1.10)4 =1464
1000(1.10)5 =1610
=6715
(1+r)n -1 (1.10)5 -1
FVA AD = A (1+r) = 1000 (1.10)
r 0.10
=1000*6.71561=6715.61
31
Future Value of an Annuity (Annuity Due)
• Future Value of Annuity Due:
0 1 2 3 n-2 n-1 n
A A A A A
A(1+r)n
A(1+r)n-1
A(1+r)n-2
A(1+r)2
A(1+r)1
(1+r)n -1
FVA AD = A (1+r)
r
32
Future Value of an Annuity (Annuity Due)
33
Future Value of an Annuity
Sairam deposits Rs.50,000/- every year in a 5-year recurring
deposit earning interest @8%p.a. How much money would
get accumulated in the recurring deposit account, by the end
of 5 years?
??
0 1 2 3 4 5
Case-1 Regular Annuity:
50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000
(1.08)5 -1
FVA RA = 50,000 = 50,000*5.8666= Rs.2,93,330/-
0.08 ??
0 1 2 3 4 5
Case-2 Annuity Due:
50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000
(1.08)5 -1
FVA AD = 50,000 (1.08)
0.08
= 50,000*6.3359= Rs.3,16,796/-
34
Present Value of an Annuity
• Present Value of Regular Annuity:
1 2 3 n-2 n-1 n
0 1 2 3 n-2 n-1 n
A A A A A A
A/(1+r)1
A/(1+r)2
A/(1+r)3
A/(1+r)n-2
A/(1+r)n-1
A/(1+r)n
A A A A A A
PVARA = 1
+ 2
+ 3
+.........+ n-2
+ n-1
+
(1+r) (1+r) (1+r) (1+r) (1+r) (1+r)n
1 2 3 4 n-1 n
0 1 2 3 n-2 n-1 n
A A A A A A
A/(1+r)1
A/(1+r)2
A/(1+r)3
A/(1+r)n-2
A/(1+r)n-1
A A A A A
PVA AD = A+ 1
+ 2
+ 3
+.........+ n-2
+
(1+r) (1+r) (1+r) (1+r) (1+r)n-1
1 1
PVA AD =A - n
(1+r)
r r(1+r) 36
Present Value of an Annuity (Annuity Regular)
37
Present Value of an Annuity (Annuity Due)
38
Present Value of an Annuity
=PV(Interest Rate, Time,
-Annuity,,0(or1))
Time Period n)
-Annuity
39
Present Value of an Annuity
Aditya is planning to buy a Single premium pension plan
which would give him an annual pension of Rs 50,000/-
for the next 30 years. What should be the maximum
premium that he should pay now for the pension plan,
assuming interest @9%?
1 1
= 50000 - 30
0.09 0.09(1.09)
= 50000*10.2737 = Rs.5,13,683/-
40
Equated Monthly or Yearly Installments
Suppose you take a loan of Rs 2,50,000/- @8% pa to be
repaid in 5 yearly equal installments. Find the amount
of each installment?
41
Equated Monthly or Yearly Installments
1 1
PVA RA =A - n
r r(1+r)
1 1
2,50,000 = A - 5
0.08 0.08(1.08)
2,50,000
A= = 62,614/-
3.9927
42
Equated Yearly Installments
43
Equated Monthly Installments
Ajay has approached HDFC Bank for the loan of Rs.
1,00,000/-. The bank shall charge interest @8% pa and the
loan has to be repaid over 3 years in equal monthly
installments. How much would be the amount of each
installment?
1 1
PVA RA =A - n
r r(1+r)
1 1
1,00,000 = A - 3*12
0.08/12 0.08/12 (1+0.08/12)
1,00,000
A= = Rs. 3,133.64
31.91181 44
Equated Monthly Installments
45
Saving for College Education
47
Saving for College Education
48
Refinancing a Housing Loan
49
Refinancing Housing Loan
50
Refinancing Housing Loan
51
Growing Annuity
Growing Annuity is a stream of ‘n’ cash flows growing @
‘g’, paid at regular intervals.
• Growing Regular Annuity:
0 1 2 3 n
A A(1+g) A(1+g)2 A(1+g)n-1
52
Present Value of a Growing Annuity
• Present Value of Growing Regular Annuity :
0 1 2 3 n-1 n
A A(1+g) A(1+g)2 A(1+g)n-2 A(1+g)n-1
A
(1+r)1
A(1+g)1
(1+r)2
A(1+g)2
(1+r)3
A(1+g)n-2
(1+r)n-1
A(1+g)n-1
(1+r)n A A(1+g) A(1+g)2 A(1+g)n-1
PVGARA = 1
+ 2
+ 3
+......+
(1+r) (1+r) (1+r) (1+r)n
A 1+g
n
PVGARA = 1-
r-g 1+r For r > g
53
Present Value of a Growing Annuity
• Present Value of Growing Annuity Due:
0 1 2 3 n-1 n
A A(1+g) A(1+g)2 A(1+g)3 A(1+g)n-1
A(1+g)
(1+r)1
A(1+g)2
(1+r)2
A(1+g)3
(1+r)3
A(1+g)n-1
(1+r)n-1
A 1+g
n
3,00,000 1.025
50
PVGARA = 1- = Rs.23,92,380/-
0.15 - 0.025 1.15
3,00,000 1.025
50
PVGARA = 1- = Rs.48,042/-
0.08 - 0.10 1.08
A(1+g)n-2
(1+r)n-1
A(1+g)n-1
(1+r)n
A 1+g
n
n n
FVGARA = PVGARA *(1+r) = 1- *(1+r)
r-g 1+r
57
Future Value of a Growing Annuity
• Future Value of Growing Annuity Due:
0 1 2 3 n-1 n
A A(1+g) A(1+g)2 A(1+g)3 A(1+g)n-1
A(1+g)
(1+r)1
A(1+g)2
(1+r)2
A(1+g)3
(1+r)3
A(1+g)n-1
(1+r)n-1
n
FVGAAD = PVGA AD *(1+r)
A(1+r) 1+g
n
1-
n
FVGA AD = *(1+r)
r-g 1+r
58
Future Value of a Growing Annuity
Mr. Sairam is 35 years old now and wants to save each
year until he is 65. If he saves Rs 10,000/- every year and
the savings grow@ 5% pa (after the first year),how much
will he have saved by age 65 if the interest rate is 10% pa?
35 36 37 38 65
0 1 2 3 30
10,000 10,000(1.05) 10,000(1.05)2 10,000(1.05)29
Step-1 : Calculate PVGA:
10,000 1.05
30
0 1 2 3
∞
A A A
• Present Value of a Perpetuity:
A A A
PVP= 1
+ 2
+ 3
+......
(1+r) (1+r) (1+r)
A
PVP=
r
60
Perpetuity
You want to endow an annual MBA graduation party at
your alma amter. The event would cost Rs.50,000/- each
year forever. If the business school earns @ 8%p.a. on its
investments and the first party is in one year’s time, how
much will you need to donate to endow the party?
50,000
PVGP= =Rs.6,25,000/-
0.08
61
Growing Perpetuity
Growing Perpetuity is a stream of cash flows at regular
intervals and grows at a constant rate forever.
0 1 2 3 4 ∞
A
PVGP=
r-g
62
Growing Perpetuity
But then you are informed that the cost of the party would
increase by 4% per year, (after the first year).How much
will you now need to donate to endow the party?
50,000
PV= =Rs.12,50,000/-
0.08 - 0.04
You need to double the amount of your gift !!!
63
Summary
Present Value Future Value
Single Cash Flow 1
C C(1+r)n
(1+r)n
Annuity 1 1 (1+r)n -1
A - n A
(Regular Annuity) r r(1+r)
r
Annuity 1 1 (1+r)n -1
(Annuity Due) A - n
(1+r) A (1+r)
r r(1+r) r
Growing Annuity
A 1+g A 1+g
n n
(Regular Annuity) 1- 1- (1+r)
n
65
Valuation of Securities
Valuing a Coupon Bond
NTPC issues 14% bonds of Rs.10,000/- face value,
redeemable after 5 years. Assuming the required rate of
return is 10%, what should be the price of the bond today?
0 1 2 3 4 5
A A A A A+F
A/(1+r)1
A/(1+r)2
A/(1+r)3
A/(1+r)4
A+F/(1+r)5
n
Coupon Interest Face Value of Bond
Value of Coupon Bond = t
+ n
t=1 (1+r) (1+r)
A A A A Fn
V0 = 1
+ 2
+ 3
+.....+ +
(1+r) (1+r) (1+r) (1+r) (1+r)n
n
67
Valuing a Coupon Bond
Face Value = Rs.10,000 ; Coupon rate = 14% pa;
Tenure = 5 Years; Required rate of return = 10%;
Price of Bond= ??
5
At F
V0 = t
+ 5
t=1 (1+r) (1+r)
5
1,400 10,000
= t
+ 5
t=1 (1.10) (1.10)
0 1 2 3
??
Fn
Value of ZCB =
(1+r)n
5,000
V0 = 3
= Rs.4,319.19
(1.05) 70
Valuing Equity : Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
• Value of an equity share is the present value of the
stream of expected future dividends discounted at an
appropriate discount rate.
D1 D2 D3 D
Value = + + +..........+
1 2
(1+r) (1+r) (1+r) 3
(1+r)
Dt
Value = t
General Form of DDM
t=1 (1+r)
71
Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
ABC Co. is expected to pay a dividend of Rs.3/- forever.
What should be the Value of the equity share, if an
investor has a required rate of return as 13%?
D1 3.00
Value = = = Rs.23/-
r 0.13
72
DDM - Constant Growth
• If the dividends are expected to grow at a constant
rate ‘g’, and r > g, then,
D1 D1 (1+g)1 D1 (1+g)2 D1 (1+g)3
V0 = 1
+ 2
+ 3
+ 4
+..........+
(1+r) (1+r) (1+r) (1+r)
D1
V0 =
(r - g)
Assumptions:
• D1 > 0
• Dividends grow at a constant growth rate “g” =ROE*b (b= retention ratio)
• Dividend Payout ratio (1-b) is constant
73
DDM - Constant Growth
ABC Co. is expected to pay a dividend of Rs.3/- which is
expected to grow @ 7% forever. What should be the Value
of the equity share, if an investor has a required rate of
return as 13%?
D1 3.00
Value = = = Rs.50/-
(r - g) (0.13 - 0.07)
74
DDM - Multiple Growth Rate
• A firm may pass through different growth phases and hence
dividends may also grow at different rates.
76