Risco, Disrupção e Resiliência

nas Cadeias de Suprimentos

Prof. Dr. Claudio Barbieri da Cunha

Escola Politécnica da Universidade de São Paulo
Departamento de Engenharia de Transportes

março de 2023
 Panic buying

(c) Claudio Barbieri da Cunha, 2023

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-03-29/panic-buying-in-brisbane-coronavirus-lockdown-queensland/100035926
Source: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/feb/28/price-panic-triggers-run-on-toilet-paper-in-taiwan
https://theconversation.com/why-you-should-expect-more-suez-like-supply-chain-disruptions-and-shortages-at-your-
local-grocery-store-158266

(c) Claudio Barbieri da Cunha, 2023

 ▪ Taiwan’s premier has called for calm following a desperate run on
toilet paper, sparked by speculation of imminent price hike
▪ The panic buying started after major hypermarkets were informed by
toilet paper manufacturers of a 10 to 30% price hike from mid-March
due to rising international pulp prices.
▪ The price increases stem in part from supply disruptions in short-fiber
pulp after forest fires in Canada and production problems in Brazil.
▪ The price of pulp accounts for nearly half the cost of toilet paper in
Taiwan
▪ Taiwanese consumers to choose toilet paper with recycled content,
noting that in Taiwan only 5% of the toilet paper and tissues comes
from recycled paper, compared with 65% Japan and more than half in
the United States and Europe

(c) Claudio Barbieri da Cunha, 2023

 Panic buying

https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2021/04/08/hand-sanitizer-deals-donations-surplus-panic-buying-pandemic/7120815002/

https://www.abc.net.au/news/rural/2021-03-16/how-the-covid-19-pandemic-has-changed-consumer-behaviour/13250360

(c) Claudio Barbieri da Cunha, 2023

https://www.usatoday.com/in-depth/money/shopping/2021/04/07/buy-online-but-careful-lest-shopping-becomes-covid-compulsion/4699892001/

https://theconversation.com/why-you-should-expect-more-suez-like-supply-chain-disruptions-and-shortages-at-your-
local-grocery-store-158266

(c) Claudio Barbieri da Cunha, 2023

Panic buying

https://theconversation.com/why-you-should-expect-more-suez-like-supply-chain-disruptions-and-shortages-at-your-local-grocery-store-158266

(c) Claudio Barbieri da Cunha, 2023

(c) Claudio Barbieri da Cunha, 2023 https://www.dnb.com/perspectives/supply-chain/wuhan-coronavirus-business-impact.html
(c) Claudio Barbieri da Cunha, 2023
(c) Claudio Barbieri da Cunha, 2023
(c) Claudio Barbieri da Cunha, 2023
(c) Claudio Barbieri da Cunha, 2023
(c) Claudio Barbieri da Cunha, 2023
 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2
020-02-07/china-virus-crisis-roils-supply-
(c) Claudio Barbieri da Cunha, 2023 chains-for-global-manufacturers
https://br.financas.yahoo.com/noticias/economia-global-%C3%A9-atingida-por-171117756.html
 1. Resiliency – As supply chain risks continue to flare up

Experts predict continued disruptions in the short term, with challenges around cargo ships, labor
shortages, and supply and demand imbalances.

To increase resiliency across global supply chains companies will need to rebalance on-shore, near-shore
and off-shore strategies for manufacturing locations. As they’ve been doing for the past two years, they’ll
have to keep identifying alternate sourcing strategies to reduce dependencies on individual suppliers in low-
cost regions.

Inventory optimization strategies will continue to be crucial, helping decision-makers identify key materials,
intermediates, and products, and determine how much and where to store them across the supply chain.
Organizations will also need to improve collaboration and increase visibility with suppliers, logistics service
providers, contract manufacturers and other key trading partners.
Fonte: https://www.forbes.com/sites/sap/2022/01/19/2022-global-supply-chains-four-trends-that-will-shape-the-future/?sh=31659bb43ef4
https://www.economist.com/briefing/2022/06/16/the-structure-of-the-worlds-supply-chains-is-changing
 3. Visibility drives resiliency and sustainability

The old saying goes, “you can't manage what you can’t measure”. How can we become more resilient to
changes across the supply chain, or meet sustainability goals, if we do not have the information to make
informed decisions?

There will be a major focus on improving visibility to collect, consolidate and consume data and insights in
real time from across the supply chain.

As we design, manufacture, and deliver smarter products, we are generating unparalleled amounts of data.
Using this data, people can determine how products, equipment or vehicles are performing, measure
carbon emissions, see if they require maintenance, and so much more. Add to this the improved demand
and customer data available from sentiment analysis, and social media, and environmental data such as
traffic and weather patterns, and we have a real-time, 360-degree view of the supply chain.

Fonte: https://www.forbes.com/sites/sap/2022/01/19/2022-global-supply-chains-four-trends-that-will-shape-the-future/?sh=31659bb43ef4
 4. Technology provides the data and tools

Industry 4.0 is expected to ramp up as machine learning and AI use volumes of IoT-based and social
media data from people, devices, assets, products, and vehicles across the supply chain to automate
decisions and processes.

Meantime, predictive analytics will empower employees to make more informed, real-time decisions, and
drive new business models.

From smart factories featuring 5G, greater connectivity and enhanced AI solutions, to smart products and
assets across the supply chain, Industry 4.0 has a lot to offer companies who have invested in these
technologies.

Technology will also help alleviate worker shortages and improve retention by improving the productivity
and decision making of existing employees, and attracting new talent with state-of-the-art tools.

And as the degree of automation increases, it frees up the workforce from repetitive tasks, and allows them
to focus on more complexity problems and decisions that required human interactions.

Fonte: https://www.forbes.com/sites/sap/2022/01/19/2022-global-supply-chains-four-trends-that-will-shape-the-future/?sh=31659bb43ef4
Fonte: https://www.wilsonquarterly.com/quarterly/as-strong-
as-our-weakest-link/building-resilience-in-supply-chains
Fonte: https://www.wilsonquarterly.com/quarterly/as-strong-
as-our-weakest-link/building-resilience-in-supply-chains
(c) Claudio Barbieri da Cunha, 2023