Dr wishe bubs (3a)
—Zermed Ditton: bth Mado viable hawt
Normal distAibutien with mean 0 and Variance J, thie
Senate Lopnormall hawalom variable with probability
density Function 3
—Unr-0) gex< 0
Fx. 1 a4 CC
xu var
Note! (The name Logimamal dishibiton —fllois “From ‘the transtamain
Ane W ce, -the nadural fagantthin of X ts rnovenaiy olistaibuded.
(2) The pardaneters of a fognaemal distetbution ane 6 and wr
GNich ane the mean tne! Vaance of the noma
Aandom variable W.
G) Probabilities for X are Obdaineal Prom the ransfemabion,
+o W, but the Aanye of X is (0%),
Cumulative distribution Funct om for X Is
Ftxl= P(Xs%)
= pce sx) = P(WSJn(%))
=P[ Zs a ta x>0
' to
Whte Z js @ standarsl normal Aandom vartab fe.
So) WC cam Use -the lable or normal distribubion lo-Pord.
the Probability.
Also, Fxl=0 for x <0,
(4)
(s) The Sifetine of a sprout thot degrastes over, time is
Often modeleol by a Lognonmal distribution, A Wej bull
distaibutiow can also be useal in this type of application .Di Nisha Guble ca
* Mean anal Variance of fornermal distribution '
64/2
Meo = E(X) =e ——)
nd Vorlomee = Vix) = CPF Ce) a
Progis of these Assulls are omitteo! hare, Only Leary ths Ansel,
Que (Semicondluctey Laser) The Lifetime of @ semiconductor faser hos
a Loomeomal distribution with O=lo hers anol W= 1S hours.
(a) What is the probability that the Lifetime exceeds 10,000 haus?
cb) What Lifetime is exceeded by 99% of Lass?
(Cc) Find the mean anol standard dbeviation of Lifetioe
Sol Let the Adudom variable X olmote the Uifetime of q Stmicandu der
foser. X is a Logrroamal ranclom variable with B=10,0= 1S
(a) PC x > loans) = | PCX< 10,000)
1-P (e< 10,000)
= |-p( We In(lo,000))
= I-P(Zs frtoaoot0) whi Zis a
W
"
bs
Hondo roma try
= I-P(%S<~-058) :
= 1-030 =0-70 A, (From the normal dist.
table in appendix)
O Here we wad to-tind x suchthar
P(X>m)=0-99 4 Plea x) =099 4 P(W>lnln) =0-99
= P(R 7 Anticlo) Prieto) = =0.97
From the normal olist- table, Jat 10. 935 3 a LS. Cebus
hour
Ce) by above formulae, c me AL
¢ 2 ptt, this 2 67,8463 A :
ws. be. eer D per S103 2-25_)) = 39,070,059) 886° iGaE tls,Da. NiShs Gupt (120)
Bela p;
St Distributions A continuous disthibution thot is Flexible,
UF Bounded! over a-fint i babi
whe, t Abnge, is useful for “pro idly.
Definition: The Aarlim variable X wlth “probability dtnstly fertton
Fi] Mltep) of Cenyh, for x elo, 1]
: Fea) Pep)
'S a bela random variable with parameturs «70 darcl B70.
Examples! The proportion of solar fractiatien absorbeol bya
madtrial or He proportion Cof the WA Klien time) paguaned
to complete a task in a Projet are example, of Grfinueus
Random voriably on the inftrvel [0,1] where Bua
distaibution can be applirol :
Mean and Variance of Beta Distributing
TF X ha, a betg distribution with pardmetas Cand A, thn,
A = EX) = _&_
x+B
oe Vin= Xp
(arp) (d4+Pt!)
ft ne coe fxten oe
¥ foe p-!
= PCt+p) {x CExy dx
rere)
= Peete) a (ap)
Fear Pi eof Geto-Funct,
ae Vand ogy
Ca Sa x” (xy tr)= Pdep) P@r Cp)
TCaep) , TYE 6-5 Bema = fm te)
Play r(p) erie B) ( |
= reef) - ot CAS. POPS
Fev ceo tgs Co Ferner
=
A+B
Simifanly we can “prove the Aosult -for or
Que Considnthe completion time of a Large commenclal,
evelopment. The proportion of the maximum abfrraed Hime
+p comple a bask is modlalasl as a beta Adndom varichle
bith k= 3.Sand Bel,
(ay What isthe probability thot the Proportion of the
maximum time exceeds 0-77
(b» Find the mran andl yoriance of the NOndom variable
Let X dimoter be “Proportion of ths maximum Girne feguined
Sof.
+o comp fee tha task .
(a PCX zon = f Late a enol
0-1 rca) 7 (p) Tec
bh
: c rcs) 3 IHX}? de =(a5)f x ol x
7 ager ut
ae ms , a (12s) = 05 1025)
Sp Igkeren
2 Ea
() Mean = 4 22S 201, Voinnet
ap as A mmo =" aap recep) OF us)