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Model Summary
Step -2 Log likelihood Cox&Snell R NagelkerkeR
Square Square
1 517.292 211 293
Classification Table
Observed Predicted
DEFAULT Percentage
DEFAULT NO DEFAULT Correct
DEFAULT 294 40 88.0
DEFAULT
Step 1 NO DEFAULT 92 74 44.6
Overall Percentage 73.6
The cut value is
a 500, 0 is default and 1 is no default
1 of 7
Required:
estimated model
and the
mathematical model used by Yatin
a. Write the
of the same.
to predict the
statistically significant
b. Are the
variables used by him
probability of default?
income of
loan of Rs. 55 lakhs and has
e. lf another person has taken a
if the income
f. What is the rate of change in the probability of no-default
of the person in c. above changes?
(2+1+2+2+2+2+2 13]
2 of 7
2. From the following information given bëlQW, Comprete the Tabte given below.
0 Y 39.3477 +2.8278X
(3.7067) (0.6733); R? = 0.4450; No. of Observations = 24
VARIANCE OF Y = 29.9678
() Y 44.0478 +0.4188X2
(1.4540) (0.0533); R2 = 0.7371; No. of Observations - 24
G) Xa 3.2142 4.0580 X
(9.0202) (1.6384); R2 = 0.2180; No. of Observations 24
Where
Figures in brackets are respective standard errors.
Y Residual#1 are residuals of Y calculated from the estimates of (i) above
and Y_Residual#2 from (i) above.
X2Residuál are calculated from (ii) above.
X Residual are calculated from (iv) above.
3 of 7
sUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations
ANOVA
SS MS F
df
Regression
DResidual
Total
[15]
3. (a) State with reasons whether the following statements are true or false. (No
reason, no marks)
iv) The methods of testing stationarity for 'difference stationarity time series'
and 'trending time series' are same.
(v) The Standard Error of the Slope Term i.e. b is smaller if there is more
variation in the explanatory variable X.
[10
4 of 7
(b) Harshit was trying to estimate different types of risk of a
company using the
Single Factor Model. He estimated Total Risk of the Company's security was
0.000023, normalized measure of systematic risk is 1.0232 and the
proportion of
systematic risk out of the total risk is 27.209%. Using the information obtained by
Harshit, you are required to complete the following table: (please
do the
calculations upto six places of decimals)
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regressiorn Statistics
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations 250
ANOVA
SS MS
df
Regression
Residual
Total
Standard
tStat
Coefficients Error
0.0003
0.0005
Intercept
S & PB SE Sensex
0.1063
[12]
5 of 7
determinants of share return in India. She
4. (a) Darshita was working on
You are requested to help Darshita for deciding which model she should finally
select out of the two given above and she would also like to have the justification
for the same.
14
(b) One of the Groups did a project on - 'Determinants of Capital Structure ofa
Where
(Revenuet) - Revenue(t-1)/ Revenuet-1))
Growth
Profitability (Net Income after tax/ Total Assets)
Risk = (EBIT/Assets Mean(EBIT/Assets))
One of the Group Member suggested the following model (say, Model 1) to be used -
And, another member of the Group suggested the following model (say, Model 2)
6 of 7
Assume that you are observing and listening the discussion taking place in the
Group regarding which model is to be used. Do you think that there are problems
in using any one of the model? If yes, what are the problems with using models (1)
and (2) as given above? According to you, which one of these is a more serious
problem? And, why?
5. (a) What are the following criterions which are used to evaluate goodness of
fit of a model?
(i) R2
7 of 7
'
Wriie Your Roll No.
May 2018
Paper 201: Macroeconomic Analysis and Policy
The marks carried by each question indicated at the end of each question in brackets
Q.1. In Dementia, it was estimated that a change in the real rate of interest
results in a change in income after a lag of one year. It was found that a
departure of income from the equilibrium level of income caused a
change in the rate of inflation after a lag of one year. Dr. Lousy
Econometriks estimated the relationship between output and inflation
and the relationship between the rate on interest and the level of output
as
to + 0.5{yo- ye)
and
y1-ye-0.8(ro-rs) respectively.
Where ye is the medium run equilibrium level output; rs the real rate of
interest that stabilises the economy at ye; n the rate of inflation and the
subscripts 1 & 0 the time periods. The letters y and r stand for
represent
real output and the real rate of interest.
rule as
The Central Bank of Dementia has derived its monetary
in nominal
G iB =
T+ AB, where G stands for Government Expenditure
terms; i the nominal interest rate at which the government
borrows; T the
revenue of the government in nominal terms and AB the governmental
Q.3. Open market operations of the Central Bank increase the non-borrowed
reserves (NBR) of the banking system. It has been seen that a part of this
increased reserve is added to the excess reserves of banks and only the
rest used to give increased loans and advances. It is also seen that the
call loan market rates have a tendency to fall. How does this come about?
[12]
Q.4. A comparison of the middle class societies of the USA and Europe on the
one hand and India on the other shows that young persons typically
leave their parental home and set up their own establishments to a much
greater extent in the USA and Europe than is the case in India. Middle
class young persons in the USA and Europe have a higher expenditure to
income ratio in the starting years of their working life than those in India.
Indeed the young middle class persons in the USA and Europe dissave
rather than save out of their incomes and borrow to do so, while in India
these persons do some saving. In Europe, these persons do not save at
all, whereas in America, some small savings are seen, but the saving is at
a much smaller rate as compared to the case in India In the middle
years of their working life however the behaviour changes. The Americans
and Europeans save a greater part of their now higher incomes than do
the Indians. The Americans and the Europeans use these savings to
repay their debt and build up assets for their retirement, while the
Indians need to save only for their retirement. The result of these diverse
behaviour is that in America and Europe, the stream of consumption is
even and does not change much wiuh the leveci of current income, in
fairly
India the stream of consumption tends to vary with the level of income.
There is howevCr 0ne dilicrencC n the arrangement between Europe and
America, In Europe, the Welfarc benciits that a person gets are not only
much more than in America if a person were to lose a job, but that there
are programmes EuTOpe, which retrain pcople for new jobs and place
in
them in these jobs as well. Similarly health benefits in the case of illness
are better in Europe as
compared to the USA. What is the explanation
if
any for this observed consumption behaviour in Europe, USA and India?
[12]
Q.5. Dealcrs in the forcign cxchange markcts
are well informed and act
very
quickly to
any information
new which may affect the rates of exchange
especially in a fundamental way. Exporters and importers too get the
same information, butin their case, it takes time to enter into new
contracts to export and import as well as to make arrangements to
produce the goods and market them. Hence changes in exports and
imports take time and are slower. Under these conditions what will be
the impact of changes in monetary policy on the exchange rates
immediately, and after a lapse of time? You may assume that the
Marshall-Lerner conditions are met.
[12]
Q.6. How far do the problems in raising finance; the existence of fixed costs
and sunk costs along with uncertainty and the gradual availability of
information explain why the flow of investment is not smooth as
predicted by Tobin's q theory of Investment? You may take the average Q
as the ratio of the market value of a firm to its replacement cost and
marginal q as the ratio of the addition to a firm's market value to
acquisition cost of additional capital. The derivation of q is not required.
[10
Write Your Roll No.
May 2018
Paper 202: Management Accounting and Control Systemas
Time: 3 Hours
Maximum Marks: 70 Marks
(Write your roll No. on the top right immediately receipt of this
on
paper)
Attempt all questions
The marks carried by each question indicated at.the end of each question in brackets
Q.1. "ABC systems are always more accurate than traditional costinng
systems." Do you agree? Explain.
I5
Q.2. "Budgeting is an unnecessary burden on many managers. It takes time
away from important day-to-day problems." Do you agree? Explain.
5
Q.3. "It is confusing to think of fixed costs on a per-unit basis." Do you agree?
Why or why not?
5
Q.4. "CVP relationships are
unimportant in nonprofit organizations." Do you
agree? Explain.
Product
Tacos
Selling price to restaurants
Enchiladas
T5
Variable expenscs
Contribution margin
Number of units 200,0000 100,0000
The
company prepares the items in the same kitchens, delivers them in
the sametrucks, and so forth.
[2+3+3+2=10]
Q.6. The Gruen Toy Company makes a variety of dolls at its
Munich. Its manufacturing operation in
process is highly automated. A recently
installed ABC system has four
activity centers:
Indirect ResOurce
Activity Center Cost per Driver
Cost Driver
Unit
Materials receiving and handling Kilograms of
R0.80 per kg
materials
Production setup Number of setups 55 per setup_
Cutting, sewing, and assembly Number of units R0.50 per unit
Packing and shipping Number of orders 7 per order
Two dolls are called "Ann" and "Andy." They require 0.10 and 0.20 kg of
materials, respectively, at a materials cost of T0.75 for Ann and 1.10 for
Andy. One computer-controlled assembly line makes all dolls. When a
production run of a different doll is started, a setup procedure is required
to reprogram the computers and make other
changes in the process.
Normally, 550 Ann dolls are produced per setup, but for Andy dolls, only
110 are produced per setup. Products are packed and shipped separately
so a request from a customer for, say, three different products is
considered three different orders. Suppdse the gift shop at the Munich
Toy Museum (Spielzeugmuseum) just placed an order for 165 Ann dolls
and 110 Andy dolls.
2 of 5
2. Supposc the
products made for the Munich
required Toy Museum gift shop
the "Spiclzeugmuseum"
automated
to be printed cach
doll. Because of
on
process, printing the letters takes
materials, but no
it
requires a special production extrafortime or
product. Compute the cost of the setup each
Toy Muscum gift shop. products shipped to the Munich
Explain how the
Company to measurc activity-based-costing
costs of individual
system helps Gruen Toy
than a traditional
system that
products or orders better
based on direct labor.
allocates all non-materials
costs
[4+4+2=10
Q.7. The Drosselmeier
Corporation, located
nutcrackers and has in
Munich, makes Christmas
an annual
Suppose its plant capacity of 2,400 product units.
follows:
predicted operating results (in curos) for the
year are as
3 of
changcs are cxpectcd in variablc costs pçr unit or in total fixed
CostscxCept for depreciation.
(2+3+2+3=10]
Q.8. Levoy, Corp., cstimates it will produce 25,000 units of an electronic
sensor
currently
part that gocsthis
intosensor
one
of its final products, called a Fluctotron.It
produces internally but is considering outsourcing
this activity. Currcnt internal capacity permits the production of a
maximunm of 40,000 sensors. The production manager has prepared the
following information concerning the internal manufacture of 40,000
Sensors:
Per Sensor
Direct materials 15.00
Direct labor 8.00
Variable overhead 10.00
Fixed overhead 11.00
Total cost 44.00
The fixed overhead of R11 per unit includes a 2 per unit allocation for
supervisor to of sensors. The fixed
production
salary paid to a oversee
costs would not be reduced by outsourcing, except the supervisor would
be fired (the company would terminate his, contract). Assume that if
its purchase price from the outsourcer is T38 per unit.
Levoy outsources,
110 kg (Total)
10kg Standard Loss
100 kg output
40000 (Tota!
4 Of 5
Actual production,2000 kg of Chemical 123 and actual material
as followS: usage is
Kgs Total
1000 of material A@ 19 per kg
R19,000
850 of material B@42 per kg 35,700
450of material C@ 65 per kg 29,250
2300 kg (Total) 83,950 (Total)
Calculate the following:
MBA
for Management
Paper 204: Quantitative Techniques
Maximum Marks: 70 Marks
Time: 3 Hours
your roll No. on the top right immediately on receipt of this paper)
(Write
Attempt all questions
indicated at the end of each question in brackets
The marks carried by each question
20 15 40
Cj
X3 Si s2 s3
Cj BASIS bi x1 X2
0.00 0.44 0.00 1.00 0.08 -1.12
s1 592.00
1.00-0.10 0.00 0.00 0.30 -0.20
X1 20.00
0.56 1.00 0.00 -0.08 0.12
K3 8.00 .00
Z
Cj-Zj
On the basis of the above tableau,
answer the following:
alternative solutions? If yes, how many?
() Does the above solution have
The transporter has als determined the costs of trips up and down for each tripp
for the each type of the bus along with the capacity of each bys to carry the
passengers. Also, the Company has specified the number of employees to be
'
transported each day from each staff colony of the employees. And, if on a day an
employee is not transported to the office, a penalty would be imposed on the
transporter. In this regard, the necessary information is given below:
CAPACITY
PER BUS
ORDINARY
70 Rs.750 Rs.780 Rs.820 Rs.850
2of 5
The Transorter wants to hhyé an
optimum allocation its fleet of buses to the
various routes. You are
requured to
provide him the optimumn solution for the same.
Also, suggest the impåct on the profitability of the transporter if he withdraws one
deluxe bus from the fleet
[15]
3. Restaurants in NCR face
huge rush of customers on the weekends.
Consequently,
they are not able to serve their hest to their customers on the weekends. Chicken
Khurana is facing the same problem and requested
consultant some solution in
a
Assume that
you-have obsèrved that the appropriate waiting line model in such
case may be M/M/1. In this regard, you start collecting the
necessary data. It has
been estimated that the
probability of 5 customers arriving in 15 minutes is
9.160% while the
probability of 6 customers arriving in the same period is
12.214 %. Chicken Khurana has a
capacity to serve
16 customers in 15 minutes.
With this information available, you are required to answer the
following:
a. The probability that a
customer would find on his arrival that 5
people are
already waiting for their turn.
b. How many
customers one may find waiting given that there a queue??
C. It has been
observed that 20% of the customers who
will
supposed to wat
are
give a
véry bad review and rating. On a
typical Saturday, between 7:00
pm to 1:00 pm, how
many customers will give a very bad revieW and
rating?
[2+2+3-7]1
sof 5
data r e l a t e d
to a project
4. Consider the following Requirement of
Crash
Workers
Normal Cost (Rs.
Time (in
Cost (RRs. Thousands)_
Time (11n 10
Thousands) Wecks 36
Actiily
'redeccssor
Weeks) 6
24 48
14
28 5
112
88 2
13
32
4
6
8
E 10
8
28
G B,D
The
H F.G week for the Project will be Rs. 3,000.
that indirect cost per
It is estimated
m a x i m u m 20 workers for
the
manager to
use
has authorized the Project
company
4,000 per week. Suggest the
and each worker is costing the company.Rs.
project can take
Manager
Project Schedule. (Please note that the Project
most economical
r duce the project cost. But,
workers from the company qrd
lower number of the
he takes for the project,
he will returm them only on
whatever number of workers,
completion of the project.)
[15
now supply at the rate of 200 units per day. Should he look for another supplier?
141
(b) M/S Sondhi & Sons is planning to replace the existing machine by a new
machine. The estimates of resale values and the maintenance cost per year ol thhe
machine purchased for Rs. 2.5 lakhs are given below. You are required to determine
the economic life of the machine after the firm would like replace it.
4of 5
Y'ear 4 5 6 8
Maintenance
Cost (Rs. O00) 25 . 30 35 40 45 50 60 70
Resale
Price Lakhs) 1.75 1.5 1.25 1 0.75 0.5 0.25
[6
6. There are four items of different weight per unit and value as shown below, which
are to be loaded in a cargo. The maximum cargo load is restricted to 17 units. How
many units of each item is loaded to maximize the value?
1 1 1
2 3 5
3 4 7
4 11
[10]
7. State whether the following statements are true with reasons:
(11) Increasing Traffic Intensity in the theory of Waiting Line increases the
waiting time of a customer.
(1V A two-person zero-sum gamc, its optimum solution is always Nash
Equilibrium.
(v) An EOQ Model with Finite Replenishment Rate has higher E0Q
and lower cost as compared to EOQ Model with infinite
Quantity
Rate.
Replenishment
5ot 5
Your Roll No .
(Write your Roll No. on the top immediately on receipt of this question paper)
Page 1 of 3
3Critically discuss
Constituents of Cornprehensive Income
statement information
bDemand for financial
data relating to
Handicrafts Ltd
4 A retail investor has compiled
the following
on
financial statements for the financial year ending
based on her analysis of the
relevant sources of data (all amounts
are in rupees
31 March 2018. and other
unless stated otherwise)
the company)
and 14
Cost of debt (pre-tax) and cost of equity are, respectively, 10 percent
mix that is reasonable
percent. You may decide and state clearly the debt-equity
for the economic conditions of operations of the company.
Determine per share intrinsic value of the equity of Handicrafts Ltd. using
Abnormal Earnings Growth (AEG) model. Give detailed workings of your analysis
Page 2 of 3
5. Explain and illustrate: