The global pharmaceutical industry: back to the future?
Sarah Holland
A CEO's dilemma
In April 2015, Olivier Brandicourt started work as CEO of
French pharmaceutical and vaccine giant Sanofi, after a
profit warning and the abrupt departure of his prede-
cessor Chris Viehbacher had sent the share price
tumbling the previous October. Viehbacher had revital
ised Sanofi's R&D, notably through the acquisition of
Genzyme in 2011, but fallen foul of the largely French
board by reportedly acting without consultation, and by
‘moving fis domicile back to the USA, A French native
with @ strong track record at Bayer and Pfizer,
Brandicourt’s appointment was viewed positively. Sanofi
was. top five global pharmaceutical company wit
{$40bn in annual revenues, but the company faced the
imminent loss of patent protection on Lantus, one of the
world’s biggest selling drugs, which contributed over
$8bn! to sales. Sanofi had also disclosed that sales in
the core diabetes franchise would be held flat by strong
pricing pressure in the USA. An analyst commented th
‘the organisation is just moving too slowly and is not
innovative enough’ It was clear that Brandicourt needed
to act swiftly, but how?
Industry evolution
4s described in Box 1, the pharmaceutical industry is
characterised by a highly risky and lengthy research and
development (R&D) process, intense competition for
intellectual property, stringent government regulation and,
Powerful purchaser pressures. How has this unusual
picture come about?
The origins of the modern pharmaceutical industry
date from the late nineteenth century, when dyestutts
Were found to have antiseptic properties. Penicilin was a
major discovery, and R&D became firmly established
Within the sector. The market developed some unusual
characteristics. Decision-making was in the hands of
medical practitioners whereas patients (the final
consumers) and payers (governments or insurance compa:
nies) had litle knowledge or influence. Consequently,
‘medical practitioners were insensitive to price but suscep:
tible tothe efforts of sales representatives.
‘Two important developments occurred in the 1970s,
First, the thalidomide tragedy (an anti-emetic for
morning sickness that caused birth defects) led to
much tighter regulatory controls on clinical trials
Second, legislation was enacted to set a fixed periad on
patent protection ~ typically 20 years. On patent
expiry, rivals could launch generic medicines with
exactly the same active ingredients as the original
brand, but at a lower price. The dramatic impact of
generic competitors is illustrated by Merck's top-selling
asthma and allergy drug Singulair, which lost 90 per
cent of US sales just four weeks after patent expiry in
2012. Generics had a major impact on the industry,
driving innovation and a race to market, since the time
during which R&D costs could be recouped was drast:
cally curtailed.
‘The pharmaceutical industry is unusual since in many
counties itis subject to a ‘monapsony’ ~ there is effec:
tively only one powerful purchaser, the government. From
the 1980s on, governments focused on pharmaceuticals
a8 a politically easy target in efforts to control rising
healthcare expenditure. Many introduced price or reim
bursement controls. The industry lacked the public or
political support to resist these changes.
Business environment
Ageing populations create pressure on healthcare
systems, since ‘over-65s' consume four times as much
healthcare per head as younger people. Combined with
an epidemic of chronic disease linked to obesity, this
created an unsustainable situation, further exacerbated
by the global financial crisis.
In response to these pressures, government and
private payers (such as insurance companies) use a
This case study was prepared by Sarah Holland, It is intended as a basis for class discussion, not as an illustration of good or bad
Practice. Not to be reproduced or quoted without permission. Tecms printed in
es are explained in the AppendixGLOBAL PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY: BACK TO THE Fi
BOX 1 The drug development process
The pharmaceutical industry has long new produt lead
mes, with the period from discovery to marketing
authorisation typically taking almost 12 years (Figure 1
‘New product development can be divided into distinc
research and development phases. The research phase
produces a new chemical entity (NCE) with the desired
Characteristics to be an effective drug, Development
mpasses. all of the # toxicology. and
clinical trial work nec stringent regula
tory requirements for marketing approval
During all o ases ‘attrition’ occurs, as
promising. age ticular hurdles, so most
R&D projects never result in a marketed drug, Late
stage failures are particularly costly and
luncommon ~ in 2014, Roche announced the failure
of bitopertin for schizophrenia and onartuzumab for
cancer, in both cases after heavy investment in
broad Phase I1l programmes. OF those drugs that
that do not reach fruition are considered, it becomes
Clear that pharmaceutical R&D is a very high-stakes
game indeed.
Given the enormous risks and considerable invest
‘ment involved, itis not surprising that pharmaceutics)
Compenies compete fiercely to establish and retain
intellectual property rights. Only by securing a patent
that can be defended against imitators can the value
of all this R&D be recouped,
The industry is subjected to rigorous regulatory
scrutiny. Government agencies such as the Food and
Drug. Administration (FOA) in the USA thoroughly
examine all ofthe data to support the purity, stability,
safety, efficacy and tolerability of a new agent. The
time taken Is govemed by legislation and typically
averages 12 months. Obtaining marketing approval is
no longer the end of the road in many countries, as
further hurdles must be overcome in demonstrating
Teach the market, 80 per cent fail to recoup their the value ofthe new drug to jst pice ander cone
R&D investment. When the costs ofall the projects bursement to cost conscious payee
iia as
Discovery,
pretinica testing Prose! Phase Phase Fon Phase
Years 65 | 15. 2 35 1s |
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formula desage | sideetteis | Tecton trom | = arp
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Success | 9,000 compounds 5 1 }
‘ate evaluate enter tials eves |
Fitu ing new pharmaceuticals: it takes 10-15 years on average for an experimental érug to
from the lab to patientsames
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THE GLOBAL PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY; BACK TO THE FUTURE?
Table 1 Methods used to control pharmaceutical spending
Controls on supplies Mixed effect
Negotisted prices
with manstactur
vera ac
Reference pricing
Postve and negative lists
Constants on wholesalers and pharmacists
Imposea price cuts
ere the patent
Some ofthe rug cost
variety of methods to control pharmaceutical spending
(see Table 1). Some put the emphasis on the manufac-
turer and distributor, others on the prescriber and patien
Controls are designed to reward genuine advances ~ price
andior reimbursement levels are based on perceived inno
tion and superior effectiveness,
In countries with supply-side controls, negotiating
price or reimbursement can take up to a year. In those
with demand-side controls, market penetration is delayed
while negotiating with bodies such as the National
Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE) in the UK. NICE
typifies a general trend towards evidence-based medi
cine, where payers expect objective evidence of effec-
tiveness to justify funding new therapies. The impact of
NICE decisions reverberates beyond the UK, as coun-
tries collaborate internationally on value assessments.
Where new drugs are approved for funding, this is
increasingly in the context of formal patient selection
and teatment guidelines, so their use is carefully
controlled and individual prescribers have limited
decision-making power.
Switching to generics is one way to cut drug exnendi
ture. Countries are experimenting with ‘e-prescribing’
wnere physicians are presented with recommended
options. Payers are increasingly effective in establishing
generic drugs as first-line treatment for chronic diseases
such as osteoporosis, asthma and depression, with
patented drugs only used if generics fail to work, In
volume terms, generic drugs are growing and patented
drugs are in decline ~ falling from 50 per cent of US
Prescriptions in 2005 to barely over 12 per cent by 2014
~ s0 sales growth for patented drugs relies on securing
ever higher prices for innovation.
The industry has adopted a number of strategic
responses to these challenges. Pharmacot eval
uations are conducted to demonstrate the added value
offered by a new drug due to improved efficacy, safety,
tolerability or ease of use. For example, a study of the
Contos to intluence demand
1 negotiated Patent co-payments
Treatment guideline
indicative
fined bucests
Incentives to presctbe or dispense
seneries or paral! imports
ransfer trom prescrpton-oniy to
overthe-