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Thomas 2015
Thomas 2015
Centre for Research in Evidence-Based Practice (CREBP), Faculty of Health Sciences and Medicine, Bond University, Queensland, Australia
Dr Thomas, Ms Sanders, Dr Doust, and Dr Glasziou conceptualized and designed the study; Dr Thomas led the review process, drafted the initial manuscript, and with
Ms Sanders reviewed all articles and extracted data; and Dr Beller and Dr Thomas analyzed and interpreted the data. All authors made substantial contributions
to revising the manuscript and approved the final manuscript as submitted.
www.pediatrics.org/cgi/doi/10.1542/peds.2014-3482
DOI: 10.1542/peds.2014-3482
Accepted for publication Jan 28, 2015
Address correspondence to Rae Thomas, BEd, PhD, Centre for Research in Evidence-Based Practice (CREBP), Faculty of Health Sciences and Medicine, Bond University,
2 University Dr, Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia 4229. E-mail: rthomas@bond.edu.au
PEDIATRICS (ISSN Numbers: Print, 0031-4005; Online, 1098-4275).
Copyright © 2015 by the American Academy of Pediatrics
FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE: The authors have indicated they have no financial relationships relevant to this article to disclose.
FUNDING: No external funding.
POTENTIAL CONFLICT OF INTEREST: The authors have indicated they have no potential conflicts of interest to disclose.
REVIEW ARTICLE Downloaded from http://pediatrics.aappublications.org/ by guest on February 13, 2018Volume 135, number 4, April 2015
PEDIATRICS
Considerable debate exists vary when only some of the estimates of ADHD between DSM-III,
surrounding the diagnosis of diagnostic criteria are fulfilled DSM-III-R, and DSM-IV and that
attention-deficit/hyperactivity compared with full criteria being differences in study methods would
disorder (ADHD), with claims for the met.14,15 Prevalence estimates for account for significant variations in
condition being both underdiagnosed1 ADHD can be reduced by more than prevalence estimates.
and overdiagnosed.2,3 Prevalence one-half when full criteria are used.
estimates of ADHD within and For example, differences between METHODS
between countries often vary widely,4 DSM editions include the criterion of
and reports of increases in pervasiveness: the Diagnostic and Inclusion and Exclusion Criteria
prevalence5 further fuel the Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, The searches were conducted for
controversy. Prevalence estimates are Revised Third Edition (DSM-III-R), studies with point prevalence
important because high estimates are requires symptoms to manifest estimates of ADHD. Eligible studies
often widely reported and provide usually (but not necessarily) in .1 were those that used the diagnostic
anchors for parents and diagnosing setting, whereas the Diagnostic and criteria from DSM-III, DSM-III-R, or
clinicians. Concern has also been Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, DSM-IV with samples from
expressed regarding the effect of Fourth Edition (DSM-IV), requires community or school populations, or
widening diagnostic criteria with more symptoms be present in $2 settings. using a whole population approach
recent editions of the Diagnostic and DSM-IV includes a criterion of (eg, national surveys). We included
Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders clinically significant impairment. studies of any language and with
(DSM).6,7 Given the controversy of In the past decade, 5 systematic participants aged #18 years.
whether ADHD is overdiagnosed or reviews have been conducted Intervention or treatment studies
underdiagnosed and the true regarding prevalence estimates of were excluded.
prevalence rate of the disorder, we ADHD: 3 descriptive reviews16–18 and
conducted a systematic review to Search Strategy
2 meta-analyses.9,13 However, the
estimate the prevalence of ADHD and latter 2 studies are limited by the The databases of Medline, PsycINFO,
to examine factors that may explain following factors: (1) studies were CINAHL, Embase, and Web of Science
the variations in prevalence. restricted to only 5 languages; (2) the were searched by using Medical
Five editions of the DSM have been method of measurement (eg, Subject Headings terms and key
published, and reports of increases in symptom only questionnaires words to identify potentially eligible
ADHD prevalence have been made compared with interviews) as studies (Supplemental Box 1). Key
with each new edition since potentially affecting prevalence was words included attention deficit,
publication of the Diagnostic and not considered; (3) prevalence ADHD, hyperactivity, disorder,
Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, studies using DSM-IV criteria only epidemiology, point estimate, child,
adolescent, survey, and prevalence.
Third Edition (DSM-III).7–9 Even when were included; and (4) the impact of
No language, date, or publication
diagnoses are made by using the study variables on prevalence
restrictions were used.
same DSM edition, variations in estimates were not investigated. The
prevalence are reported. For example, present study is the first to Study Selection and Data Extraction
the United States has conducted statistically compare the prevalence
Our search yielded 5134 unique
multiple nationwide studies that estimates of ADHD over time between
citations (Fig 1). All studies were
provide estimates of ADHD different editions of the DSM.
screened against the eligibility
prevalence. When aggregated, these Our aim was to answer 3 research criteria by 2 independent reviewers
findings suggest statistically questions: (1) What is the pooled (R.T. and S.S.) by using screening
significant differences in prevalence prevalence estimate of ADHD in software (DistillerSR, Evidence
estimates, both between states and children according to DSM criteria? Partners, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada).
within the overall national estimate.10 (2) Have prevalence estimates of Conflicts were resolved through
How different studies assess ADHD ADHD increased over time when discussion. Data were independently
may affect reported prevalence differing DSM diagnostic criteria have extracted by the same 2 reviewers
estimates; for example, the person been used? (3) What is the effect regarding general publication
reporting symptoms for a diagnostic of different sampling frames, information, DSM edition used for
evaluation (parent, teacher, or child) informants, measurements, full diagnosis, country, language of
and with what instrument11,12 and versus partial criteria, and regions publication, sampling procedure
when .1 informant is used, how the on prevalence estimates? We (eg, random selection, cohort), year
information is combined.9,13 hypothesized that there would be of sampling (or publication date if
Estimates of ADHD prevalence also significant increases in the prevalence sampling year not reported),
FIGURE 2
Characteristics of included studies.
(P = .008), 2% higher when symptom 96.9% and 99.3%). Despite the approval dates of significant ADHD
only checklists were used rather than different prevalence estimates, the medications, and the year direct-
clinical interviews (P = .02), and 4% pooled prevalence was not statistically to-consumer advertising commenced
higher when children were diagnosed significantly different between in the United States. When a new
in the Middle East compared with editions of the DSM (DSM-III to DSM edition was published, it was
North America (P = .002) (Table 1). DSM-III-R, P = .9; DSM-III-R to DSM-IV, followed by an increased publication
No other variables were statistically P = .6; DSM-III to DSM-IV, P = .8). of studies with prevalence estimates
significant. After entering all of ADHD with a publication lag
statistically significant variables into Impact of Study Variables on time. Most studies with a prevalence
Prevalence Estimates for Different
a multivariable meta-regression, only estimate of ADHD .10% occurred
DSMs
DSM edition and region remained using the diagnostic criteria of DSM-IV.
significant. After adjusting for In univariable meta-regressions for
measurement and region, prevalence studies conducted with DSM-III
criteria, there was a significant Sensitivity Analysis and Potential
estimates for ADHD were, on average,
increase in prevalence estimates Bias
2% lower when using DSM-III-R
compared with DSM-IV criteria when the informants were parents Sensitivity analyses were conducted
(P = .03) and 2% lower in studies compared with clinicians (parents’ with the 32 studies (contributing
conducted in Europe compared with estimates were, on average, 33 prevalence estimates) that were
North America after adjusting for DSM 8% higher, P = .03). However, no other at the lowest risk of bias. The
edition and measurement (P = .04). study variables were significant. In prevalence estimate of ADHD in these
studies establishing the prevalence of studies was slightly higher at 7.8%
Changes in Prevalence Using ADHD by using DSM-III-R criteria, no (95% CI: 6.6 to 9) but not statistically
Different DSMs study variables helped explain different from the overall pooled
There was a wide range of prevalence heterogeneity. When using DSM-IV prevalence (P = .95). Prevalence
estimates for each DSM. DSM-III criteria, only the region in which the estimates of low risk of bias studies
prevalence ranged from 1% to 12% study was conducted was significant; ranged between 1% and 20%.
and had a pooled prevalence of 5.6% the Middle East had, on average, Heterogeneity remained significant
(95% CI: 3.7 to 7.5). DSM-III-R 3% higher prevalence estimates of (I2 = 99.5%), and there were no
estimates ranged from 0.3% to 11% ADHD than North America (P = .02). statistically significant differences
with a pooled prevalence of 4.7% between prevalence estimates
(95% CI: 3.3 to 6.0). DSM-IV had the Changes in Prevalence Over Time according to the various DSM editions.
widest prevalence range (between Figure 4 plots the prevalence Prevalence estimates were compared
0.2% and 34%) with a pooled estimates of ADHD between 1977 and with study sample size (Supplemental
prevalence of 7.7% (95% CI: 7.1 to 2013 according to year of study Fig 8), similar to a funnel plot, to
8.4). There was significant publication. Also shown are the year detect publication or methodologic
heterogeneity across all studies in of DSM publication, the year of bias. Almost all of the studies with
each DSM edition (I2 ranged between US Food and Drug Administration smaller samples (between 100 and
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Supplementary Material Supplementary material can be found at:
http://pediatrics.aappublications.org/content/suppl/2015/02/24/peds.2
014-3482.DCSupplemental
References This article cites 24 articles, 1 of which you can access for free at:
http://pediatrics.aappublications.org/content/135/4/e994.full#ref-list-
1
Subspecialty Collections This article, along with others on similar topics, appears in the
following collection(s):
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http://classic.pediatrics.aappublications.org/cgi/collection/developme
nt:behavioral_issues_sub
Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD)
http://classic.pediatrics.aappublications.org/cgi/collection/attention-d
eficit:hyperactivity_disorder_adhd_sub
Public Health
http://classic.pediatrics.aappublications.org/cgi/collection/public_hea
lth_sub
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Pediatrics is the official journal of the American Academy of Pediatrics. A monthly publication, it
has been published continuously since . Pediatrics is owned, published, and trademarked by the
American Academy of Pediatrics, 141 Northwest Point Boulevard, Elk Grove Village, Illinois,
60007. Copyright © 2015 by the American Academy of Pediatrics. All rights reserved. Print
ISSN: .
The online version of this article, along with updated information and services, is
located on the World Wide Web at:
http://pediatrics.aappublications.org/content/135/4/e994
Pediatrics is the official journal of the American Academy of Pediatrics. A monthly publication, it
has been published continuously since . Pediatrics is owned, published, and trademarked by the
American Academy of Pediatrics, 141 Northwest Point Boulevard, Elk Grove Village, Illinois,
60007. Copyright © 2015 by the American Academy of Pediatrics. All rights reserved. Print
ISSN: .