HOMEWORK #6

Sensitivity Analysis of WEC Nexus Model Based on the Water End Uses
Behaviours

JONATHAN WIJAYA
2021315135
Parameters
Five different parameters related to the residential users were selected to be analysed
in this assignment. Those parameters are land use change, garden irrigation, appliances type,
leakage, and hot water ratio. Land use change consider the percentage of housing type (single
house, duplex, row house, small apartment, and large apartment) in Penticton city, Canada.
Garden irrigations refers to the flowrate of water uses in each square foot of the garden, with
the unit of gallons per square foot per year. Appliances type refers to the efficiency of the
shower, faucet, and toilet. This efficiency parameters were measured based on the flowrate of
the water for each appliance. Leakage was calculated based on the percentage of how much
distributed water were missed or not used in the system. Hot water ratio was calculated based
on the percentage of how much hot water was used in each appliance such as laundry,
shower, and faucet.
All parameters were calculated with the time series analysis of 20 years and is shown
in Table 1, where the changes of parameters were done gradually and not spontaneously
changed. These were done to make sure that the analyses were calculated to mimic the real
situation, which not all of the changes or improvement of the infrastructure can be done in
short of time, but rather done in a certain period of time. The changes in parameters also
observed based on the local sensitivity analysis, where the changes of parameters were done
individually and not combined. Therefore, the interaction between the parameters is not
observed in this assignment.
Table 1. Residential water end uses parameters.
Year(s)
Parameters
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
housing single 0.518 0.510 0.500 0.490 0.480 0.470 0.460 0.450 0.440 0.430 0.420 0.410 0.400 0.390 0.380 0.370 0.360 0.350 0.340 0.330
housing duplex 0.037 0.035 0.033 0.031 0.029 0.027 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025
housing row house 0.100 0.100 0.090 0.090 0.090 0.090 0.080 0.080 0.080 0.080 0.080 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.070 0.070
housing small apartment 0.289 0.289 0.290 0.290 0.290 0.290 0.310 0.310 0.310 0.310 0.310 0.310 0.330 0.330 0.330 0.330 0.330 0.350 0.350 0.350
housing large apartment 0.056 0.066 0.087 0.099 0.111 0.123 0.125 0.135 0.145 0.155 0.165 0.185 0.175 0.185 0.195 0.205 0.215 0.205 0.215 0.225
garden irrigation 9.900 9.800 9.700 9.600 9.500 9.400 9.300 9.200 9.100 9.000 8.900 8.800 8.700 8.600 8.500 8.400 8.300 8.200 8.100 8.000
faucet efficiency 7.550 7.500 7.450 7.400 7.350 7.300 7.250 7.200 7.150 7.100 7.050 7.000 6.950 6.900 6.850 6.800 6.750 6.700 6.650 6.600
toilet efficiency 10.650 10.600 10.550 10.500 10.450 10.400 10.350 10.300 10.250 10.200 10.150 10.100 10.050 10.000 9.950 9.900 9.850 9.800 9.750 9.700
shower efficiency 10.750 10.700 10.650 10.600 10.550 10.500 10.450 10.400 10.350 10.300 10.250 10.200 10.150 10.100 10.050 10.000 9.950 9.900 9.850 9.800
residential leakage 0.128 0.126 0.124 0.122 0.120 0.118 0.116 0.114 0.112 0.110 0.108 0.106 0.104 0.102 0.100 0.098 0.096 0.094 0.092 0.090
hot laundry ratio 0.275 0.270 0.265 0.260 0.255 0.250 0.245 0.240 0.235 0.230 0.225 0.220 0.215 0.210 0.205 0.200 0.195 0.190 0.185 0.180
hot faucet ratio 0.725 0.723 0.721 0.719 0.717 0.715 0.713 0.711 0.709 0.707 0.705 0.703 0.701 0.699 0.697 0.695 0.693 0.691 0.689 0.687
hot shower ratio 0.780 0.778 0.776 0.774 0.772 0.770 0.768 0.766 0.764 0.762 0.760 0.758 0.756 0.754 0.752 0.750 0.748 0.746 0.744 0.742

Code Modification
Some lines of the code must be modified in order to calculate the analysis for time
series condition with multiple changes. Housing types is one of the parameters that has to be
modified or moved to be inside the loop of 20 years. The code modification for land use type
is shown in Figure 1. In line 92, the housing type were put inside the loop of parameters,
which means that the increased population (additional population from the year before) will
have different percentage or distribution of land use type. Other parameters does not have
significant change to the code in this assignment.

Figure 1. Code modification for the land use change parameter.

Results
The water, energy, and carbon footprint for each parameter with respect to the normal
conditions are shown in Figure 2. From the results obtained, we can conclude that the most
affecting parameters is the appliances type, as it relates to the flowrate of the water. However,
it must be remembered that the appliances type parameters include all three different uses as
one (faucet, shower, and toilet), which might explain why this parameter has a high impact on
the results of WEC nexus. Further sensitivity analysis might have to be focused on each use
of water (faucet, shower, and toilet) individually to see more detail on which parameter
affecting the WEC footprint.
Figure 2. WEC nexus results in terms of footprint (per capita), and usage (total).