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Kotak Morning Insight BajajElectricals IPO - CAMS 20200918
Kotak Morning Insight BajajElectricals IPO - CAMS 20200918
Kotak Morning Insight BajajElectricals IPO - CAMS 20200918
17-Sep 1 Day
% Chg
1 Mth 3 Mths
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Value traded (Rs cr) 17-Sep % Chg Day
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Kotak Securities Limited has two independent equity research groups: Institutional Equities and Private Client Group. This report has been prepared by the Private Client Group.
SEPTEMBER 18, 2020
Mar-20
Jun-20
Sep-19
Sep-20
Range Reach Expansion Programme (RREP): - The company had launched the
RREP programme few years back, which has revamped the way it sells
consumer products. As against the traditional practice of thrusting products
into the retail network, the RREP strategy works on a replenishment model as
and when the inventory at the retail level drops below a certain level. Delivery of
product to the dealer done within 24 hours. This has reduced inventory in the
retail network. Issue of excess inventory with one dealer and deficit with another
has also been addressed. The concept of sales target, which skewed sales
towards the end of the month, has been done away with. Also, prices of products
are uniform – meaning, no discrimination on retailer level discounts,
irrespective of the size of the dealer. Every week, person from Bajaj Electricals
undertakes visit of the retailer to address any issues in terms of products. As a
result, the Dealers/Retailers are happy with the revamp.
Following this revamp, the results are encouraging - the Fan segment saw
growth in FY20 sales value at double the speed of the industry, for sub economy
ceiling fan. In the Water Heater segment, the company consolidated its market
position. Despite price erosion of the LED product range, the B2C business saw
a significant value growth of ~9% in lighting segment while industry and all
other key competitors registered a de-growth in value.
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SEPTEMBER 18, 2020
100 0.5
342 481 500
0 0
FY18 FY19 FY20
Source: Company’s FY20 Annual Report
EPC segment
In the EPC segment, the company undertakes projects in Power Distribution,
Power Transmission and Illumination. The company has become selective in
bidding for orders, and rightly so, in view of the low margins and long working
capital cycles. In FY19, this segment was mainly responsible for sharp spike in
borrowings. Order book has now scaled down to Rs 1,730 cr in FY20 from a high
of Rs 8,934 cr in FY18. The company’s strategic priority remains the execution
of current projects and collection of receivables in a timely manner.
Order book (Rs in cr)
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SEPTEMBER 18, 2020
EPC Segment revenue mix (%) and Order book (Rs. in cr)
Category Scope EPC segment 1QFY21
revenue mix Order book
(%) (Rs cr)
Power Distribution Rural electrification works and 33.4 764
Feeder separation, etc
Power Transmission Transmission line projects - 132 V to 765 KV 35.6 624
Illumination Indoor and Outdoor lighting projects,
Smart lighting etc 30.8 207
Source: Company, Kotak Securities – Private Client Group
Other highlights
During FY20, the company has generated positive cash flow from operation
of Rs. 793 cr as compared to negative cashflow of Rs. (665) cr in FY19. Total
debt also has been reduced by ~53% from Rs. ~1585 crore in FY19 to Rs.
742 cr in FY20.
The company has raised ~ Rs. 350 cr during the year via right issue with the
main objective to curtail down the debt in the balance sheet. With that, the
company’s debt to equity ratio brought down from 1.5x in FY19 to 0.6x in
FY20.
Receivables declined to Rs 2536 cr in FY20 as compared to Rs 3148 cr in
FY19. As of Q1FY21, receivables stand at Rs 2303 cr, bulk of the receivables
are from the EPC division at Rs 1843 cr (Rs 600 cr is retention money). As
per the management, there are no worries in terms of writing off the
collection from EPC division as most of the clients are government clients
but they do expect ~2-3 months of delay in terms of payment.
2000 Debt (Rs. Cr) - LHS Debt to Equity (x) - RHS 2.00
1.50
1500 1.50
1000 764
-500 -253
-1000 -720
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SEPTEMBER 18, 2020
Outlook
The management expect the business performance of the company will get
impacted by Covid-19 outbreak in FY21. However, it is confident about
faster recovery relative to its peers & remain firmly focused on longer-term
strategic objective of driving growth.
The management expects to grow much better in 2H of FY21. As per the
management, the overall consumer division will do ~Rs. 3000 crores in
FY21E. In the EPC segment, management expects revenue de-growth and
losses to continue in the next couple of quarters. Currently all the projects
are back in the operations but with limited labour due to Covid-19.
In the EPC segment, the management expects illumination & transmission
line towers may turnaround in FY21E into profitability but Power distribution
still will remain challenged due to large overall cost structure because lag
in execution.
On costs, the company is working on optimisation of sourcing and
rationalising of existing products portfolio to generate savings in the
coming quarters.
The management expects ~1-2% EBIT margin expansion in the consumer
division in FY21E led by product mix and general level of price increasing of
on an average ~2-3%.
SOTP
EBITDA Consumer FY22E (Rs cr) 311
Target EV/EBITDA (x) 20
Target EV (Rs cr) 6283
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SEPTEMBER 18, 2020
40.00
EV/EBITDA Average
30.00
20.00
10.00
Jul-15
Mar-15
Nov-15
Jul-16
Mar-16
Nov-16
Jul-17
Mar-17
Nov-17
Jul-18
Mar-18
Nov-18
Jul-19
Mar-19
Nov-19
Jul-20
Mar-20
May-15
Sep-15
Jan-16
May-16
Sep-16
Jan-17
May-17
Sep-17
Jan-18
May-18
Sep-18
Jan-19
May-19
Sep-19
Jan-20
May-20
Sep-20
Source: NSE; Company; Kotak Securities
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SEPTEMBER 18, 2020
Financials: Consolidated
Profit and Loss Statement (Rs cr) Balance sheet (Rs cr)
(Year-end Mar) FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E (Year-end Mar) FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E
Revenues 6,679 4,987 4,779 4,838 Cash and cash equivalents 16 105 137 127
% change yoy 41.9 (25.3) (4.2) 1.2 Accounts receivable 3,144 2,537 2,226 2,187
EBITDA 340 208 172 410 Inventories 830 699 720 663
% change yoy 15.9 (38.8) (17.5) 138.6 Other current assets 520 446 367 398
Depreciation 44 74 80 86 Current Assets 4,510 3,787 3,450 3,375
Other Income 65 46 43 42
EBIT 361 181 135 366
% change yoy 15.5 (49.9) (25.5) 171.5 Investments 11 13 20 25
Gross Interest 118 171 85 40 Net fixed assets 377 333 303 267
EBT 244 10 50 326 Other non-current assets 281 435 435 435
% change yoy (4.1) (95.9) 395.4 556.7 Total Assets 5,179 4,567 4,207 4,102
Extraordinary items - - - -
Tax 88 17 13 83
as % of EBT 36.0 174.3 25.6 25.6 Equity & reserves 1,056 1,348 1,385 1,579
Share of P&L from Asso and MI (2) (4) (4) (4) Debt 1,585 742 542 262
Reported PAT 154 (11) 33 238 Other liabilities 155 262 262 262
% change yoy 84.1 N.A N.A 621.3
Shares outstanding (mn) 102 114 114 114 Current Liabilities 2,383 2,214 2,017 1,997
EPS (Rs) 13.5 (1.0) 2.9 21.0 Total Liabilities 5,179 4,567 4,207 4,102
DPS (Rs) 3.5 3.5 - 3.5
CEPS (Rs) 17.4 5.5 9.9 28.5 BVPS (Rs) 92.8 118.5 121.8 138.8
Source: Company, Kotak Securities – Private Client Group Source: Company, Kotak Securities – Private Client Group
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SEPTEMBER 18, 2020
Offer details
Particulars Details
Price band (Rs/share) Rs1,229-1,230
Opening date of the Issue September 21st, 2020
Closing date of the issue September 23rd, 2020
No. of shares pre-issue (nos. cr) 4.87
No. of shares post-issue (nos. cr)* 4.87
Fresh Issue (nos. cr)* NA
Offer for sale (nos. cr)* 1.82
Issue size (Rs cr)* 2,242.11
Bid Lot 12 equity shares & multiple of 12 equity shares
thereafter.
Book Building QIBs 50%
Non-Institutional 15%
Retail 35%
Lead managers Kotak Mahindra Capital Company Limited, HDFC
Bank Limited, ICICI Securities Limited and Nomura
Financial Advisory and Securities (India) Private
Limited.
Source: Company RHP, * Based on upper price band
Background
Computer Age Management Services (CAMS) is a technology-driven financial
infrastructure and services provider to mutual funds and other financial
institutions with over two decades of experience. The company is India’s largest
registrar and transfer agent of mutual funds with an aggregate market share of
approximately 70% based on mutual fund average assets under management
(“AAUM”) managed by its clients and serviced by them during July 2020,
according to the CRISIL Report. Over the last five years, the company has grown
market share from approximately 61% during March 2015 to approximately 69%
during March 2020, based on AAUM serviced, according to the CRISIL Report.
Its mutual fund clients include four of the five largest mutual funds as well as
nine of the 15 largest mutual funds based on AAUM during July 2020, according
to the CRISIL Report. With the initiative of creating an end-to-end value chain of
services, the company has grown its service offerings and currently provides a
comprehensive portfolio of technology based services, such as transaction
origination interface, transaction execution, payment, settlement &
reconciliation, dividend processing, investor interface, record keeping, report
generation, intermediary empanelment and brokerage computation and
compliance related services, through its pan-India network to their mutual fund
Jatin Damania clients, distributors and investors. CAMS also provides certain services to
Jatin.damania@kotak.com alternative investment funds, insurance companies, banks and non-banking
+91 22 6218 6440 finance companies.
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SEPTEMBER 18, 2020
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SEPTEMBER 18, 2020
Management Background
Name Designation Profile
Mr. Dinesh Kumar Mehrotra Chairman and Independent Director He holds a bachelor’s degree in science (honours) from the University
of Patna. He has previously served as the chairman and the managing
director of Life Insurance Corporation of India, where he also served
as the executive director of international operations.
Mr. Anuj Kumar Wholetime Director and CEO He holds a bachelor’s degree in engineering (mechanical) from Birla
Institute of Technology, a post-graduate diploma in management
from the Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. He joined the
company as chief operating officer – asset management Services in
March, 2016 and was appointed as whole time Director and CEO with
effect from November 6, 2018.
Mr. Somasundaram M. Chief Financial Officer He holds a bachelors degree in commerce from the University of
Madras. He has previously been associated with SRF Limited, Henkel
SPIC India Ltd., Pond’s India Limited, Hindustan Lever Limited and
TVS Electronics Limited. He joined the Company on July 6, 2009 as a
general manager and was promoted to Chief Financial Officer with
effect from April 1, 2018.
Mr. Srikanth Tanikella Chief Operations Officer He holds a bachelors degree in technology (chemical engineering)
from the Indian Institute of Technology Delhi and a post graduate
diploma in management from the Indian Institute of Management
Calcutta. He joined the Company on December 18, 2014 as a senior
vice president and was promoted to Chief Operations Officer on April
6, 2018.
Source: Company RHP
Strengths
Largest Infrastructure and Services Provider in a Large and Growing
Mutual Funds Market
According to the CRISIL Report, the QAAUM of the Indian mutual funds has
grown from approximately Rs7,60,000 cr as of March 2010 to approximately
Rs27,00,000 cr as of March 2020 at a CAGR of 13.4% and was Rs24,60,000 cr
as of June 2020. The growth was led by the increase in share of mutual funds
in household savings as well as the number of individual and institutional
investors investing in mutual funds. According to the CRISIL Report, the number
of folios grew from 4.17 cr as of March 2015 to 8.97 cr as of March 2020 at a
CAGR of approximately 17% and was 9.15 cr as of June 2020.
CAMS is India’s largest registrar and transfer agent of mutual funds with an
aggregate market share of approximately 70% based on mutual fund AAUM
managed by its clients and serviced by them during July 2020, according to the
CRISIL Report. Over the last five years, the company has grown its market share
from approximately 61% during March 2015 to approximately 69% during March
2020, based on AAUM serviced, according to the CRISIL Report.
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SEPTEMBER 18, 2020
The nature of its services to mutual funds spans multiple facets of their
relationship with their investors, distributors and regulators. By providing a
range of services, the company plays an important role in developing and
maintaining its clients’ market perception. The ten-year CAGR of QAAUM of
mutual funds between March 2010 and March 2020 was 13.4% according to the
CRISIL Report, while the ten-year CAGR of QAAUM of mutual funds serviced by
CAMS over the same period was 15.8%. Further, the AUM of equity mutual funds
serviced by the company grew from Rs2,18,000 cr as of March 31, 2015 to
Rs5,22,800 cr as of March 31, 2020, at a CAGR of 19.1%, and as of June 30, 2020
was Rs6,19,000 cr. In addition, the number of folios serviced by CAMS grew from
3.94 cr as of March 31, 2020 to 3.94 mn as of June 30, 2020.
The company believes its operating model has assisted in contributing to the
growth of its mutual fund clients by providing real time, uninterrupted, pan India
services. CAMS mutual fund clients include four of the five largest mutual funds
as well as nine of the 15 largest mutual funds based on AAUM during July 2020,
according to the CRISIL Report. The term of relationship with HDFC Asset
Management Company Limited, ICICI Prudential Asset Management Company
Limited, SBI Funds Management Private Limited and Aditya Birla Capital
Limited, four largest mutual fund clients, averages approximately 18 years as of
June 30, 2020.
According to the CRISIL Report, while the growth in the Indian mutual fund
industry is expected to be near-flat during the financial year 2021 on account of
the COVID-19 pandemic, QAAUMs are expected to increase after the financial
year 2021. The key growth drivers of the Indian mutual fund industry are
expected to include anticipated economic growth, a growing investor base,
higher disposable incomes and investable surplus, increasing aggregate
household and financial savings, increase in geographical penetration as well
as better awareness, ease of investing, digitalization and perception of mutual
funds as long-term wealth creators. As a result of its domain expertise,
established processes, technology driven infrastructure and marquee clients,
the company is well positioned to capitalize on such growth.
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Strategies
Maintain Leadership Position by enhancing Service Offerings to Mutual
Fund Clients
A key element of the company business strategy is to continuously enhance the
scope of its service offerings in its core mutual fund registrar and transfer
agency business and further deepen integration with its clients and improve
value delivery. The company has been focused on adding services for its
existing mutual fund clients relating to servicing of investors, interface with
investors, distributors and other stakeholders, risk management, process
automation, data analytics and business intelligence in order to grow and
maintain its share of business and revenues from its mutual fund clients. For
example, its anti-money laundering service, which detects, investigates and
reports suspicious transactions is separately provided and additionally
chargeable. The company also recently launched edge360, a tool for
distributors to enable the tracking of fees for transactions and the ability to
view, track and manage portfolios of investors.
Further, the company is focused on increasing its mutual fund client base by
attracting new mutual funds being launched in India as its clients. The company
believes its market leading position and its strengths adequately position them
to increase the number of its mutual fund clients.
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SEPTEMBER 18, 2020
Financials
Profit and Loss statement
Y/E Mar (Rs Cr) FY18 FY19 FY20 Jun'20
Revenue From Operations 641.54 693.64 699.63 148.63
Other Income 16.28 18.16 21.71 14.84
Total Income 657.82 711.81 721.34 163.46
EXPENSES
Employee benefits expense 226.33 274.62 257.99 64.55
Finance costs 7.89 10.47 9.70 2.34
Depreciation and amortization expense 40.24 50.40 48.51 10.67
Operating expenses 94.08 105.82 86.61 16.80
Other expenses 62.70 69.63 67.75 15.83
Total Expenses 431.24 510.94 470.57 110.19
Profit/(loss) before exceptional items and tax 226.58 200.87 250.78 53.27
Exceptional Items 0 0 0 0
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SEPTEMBER 18, 2020
Balance Sheet
Y/E Mar (Rs Cr) FY18 FY19 FY20 Jun'20
Non-current assets
Property, plant and equipment 70.04 71.03 65.25 63.27
Right To Use Asset 106.93 97.17 88.57 72.62
Intangible assets 146.58 151.83 144.68 142.49
Financial Assets
Investments 2.03 2.04 0.53 0.55
Loans 12.25 11.64 12.28 13.04
Others 1.22 0 0 0
Deferred tax assets (net) 13.78 20.23 8.33 9.73
Other non-current assets 5.93 1.84 0.29 0.28
Total Non Current Assets 358.76 355.77 319.93 301.98
Current assets
Financial Assets
Investments 216.13 230.50 305.61 315.52
Trade receivables 22.51 26.97 32.03 43.64
Cash and Cash equivalents 7.40 4.86 23.22 2.92
Bank Balances other than Cash and Cash equivalents 20.26 38.64 27.44 81.04
Loans 0.45 0.67 0.57 0.76
other Financial assets 0.16 0.37 5.78 5.88
Current Tax Assets (Net) 0 0 15.04 12.00
Other current assets 72.18 78.54 72.91 71.71
Total current Assets 339.09 380.55 482.60 533.47
Equity
Share Capital 48.76 48.76 48.76 48.79
Other Equity 394.76 392.53 491.05 479.41
Non Controlling Interest 7.69 8.15 - -
Total Equity 451.21 449.44 539.81 528.20
Non-current liabilities
Financial liabilities
Other Financial liabilities 86.55 83.96 77.21 64.56
Provisions 56.65 71.15 73.50 74.97
Total Non current liabilities 143.20 155.11 150.71 139.53
Current liabilities
Financial liabilities
Trade payables
a.Total outstanding dues to
micro enterprises and small enterprises 0.18 0.35 0.69 0.28
b. dues to Others 33.41 34.66 35.29 43.30
Other financial liabilities 25.84 24.81 25.91 42.71
Provisions 7.99 17.09 10.44 14.26
Current Tax Liabilities (Net) 1.13 1.91 0 0
Other current liabilities 34.89 52.98 39.68 67.18
Total Current Liabilities 103.44 131.78 112.01 167.73
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factors before actually trading in derivative contracts. Kotak Securities Limited is a Syndicate member for the public issue of Computer Age Management Services Ltd.
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