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MONEY, BANKING AND FINANCE

Central Banking in India


A Retrospect and Prospects
Y V Reddy

T
The flow of events and ideas behind central banking in he issue of governance in central banking is being widely
India, in four distinct phases since independence— debated globally. The United States (US) President Donald
Trump has criticised the Federal Reserve (Fed) for rais-
1950–70, 1970–90, 1990–2010, and post 2010—is
ing interest rates. The European Central Bank (ECB) President
narrated. The 1950–70 period is characterised as one of Mario Draghi recently raised the issue of the threat to central
planned fiscal dominance, while the 1970–90 period has banks’ independence from governments stating that the “ECB
seen the dominance of the fiscal and financial sector mandate does not involve financing government’s deficit”
(El-Erian 2018). President Erdogan of Turkey accused the Central
with an inward-looking bias. Although there was
Bank of a “traitorous” reluctance to lower interest rates. In India,
partnership in crisis management and reform between tensions between government and the Reserve Bank of India
the Reserve Bank of India and the government during (RBI) in the very recent past have been aired in public, culmi-
1990–2010, the period witnessed some differences nating in the resignation of governor Urjit Patel. Shaktikanta
Das who took over as governor in December 2018 said: “I will try
between the government and the RBI in the areas of
and uphold the professionalism, the core values, the credibility
monetary management and external sector. The period and the autonomy of Reserve Bank” (Saha 2019).
since 2010 is broadly categorised by the rebalancing and The fiscal deficit has been a concern for long in India, but
adoption of a new framework, like inflation targeting. current concerns have new dimensions. There are controver-
sies about measurement of the gross domestic product (GDP).
The Comptroller and Auditor General (CAG) of India men-
tioned that the deficits are understated. The critics point out
that the dividend from the RBI to the government already
exceeds the dividends to government from all public enterprises.
Yet, the government has sought and obtained interim divi-
dends recently, obviously to meet cash needs. While a commit-
tee is examining the government’s claim on the accumulated
reserves of RBI, including those on account of revaluation, it has
been reported that the RBI is being asked to pay to government
as dividend, the amounts that have been transferred to reserves
in the previous two years. Cumulatively, these events are
being interpreted by some critics as replacement of “automatic
monetisation of pre-reform period” with what may be termed
as “coercive monetisation of fiscal needs.”
The critics also point out that the fiscal authorities are using
the banking system to implement the government’s programmes
on an unprecedented scale. With the latest directions from the
government on lending to the small and medium-scale enter-
prises (SMEs), the critics point out that “behest lending” of pre-
reform period has been replaced with “lending on command.”
The former governor, Patel, had spoken about the need for
regulation being ownership neutral. The government, however,
This is a mildly revised version of the Kale Memorial Lecture, organised countered with the statement that the RBI has adequate powers of
by the Gokhale Institute of Economics and Politics, Pune on 9 February regulation and supervision over public sector banks (PSBs),
2019. The author wishes to acknowledge Indirani Rao, G Padmanabhan, though it did not deny that such regulation was not on par
A Premchand, C Rammanohar Reddy, T C A Srinivasa Raghavan,
with other banks.
Partha Ray, and Usha Thorat for their inputs and comments.
Of particular significance is the proposal in October 2018 to
Y V Reddy (office.dryvr@gmail.com) is former governor, Reserve Bank invoke Section 7 of the RBI Act, an unprecedented move by the
of India.
government. In many ways, this raises fundamental questions
Economic & Political Weekly EPW MARCH 30, 2019 vol lIV no 13 35
MONEY, BANKING AND FINANCE

on governance. This paper narrates the flow of events and widespread adverse reactions, but the government owned up
ideas that led to the current context from the time the former to the decision.
RBI governor C D Deshmukh delivered the Kale Memorial There is only one notable event that, perhaps, dented the
Lecture soon after independence (Deshmukh 1948). reputation of the RBI, namely the collapse of Palai Bank in Ker-
The RBI was set up originally as a private shareholder insti- ala in 1960. However, the outcome of the scam was the birth of
tution under the RBI Act, 1934. It commenced its operations on deposit insurance and the legislative empowerment of the RBI
1 April 1935. The RBI was nationalised in 1949, despite its pro- to forcibly merge banks.
test. The RBI was also given the power to regulate commercial During this period, the RBI attracted professional talent and
banks after the failure of several banks at that time. The RBI the officers of the central bank were held in the high esteem,
became accountable to the union government (Ministry of not only in global institutions like the IMF and the World Bank,
Finance) under the Constitution that launched the Republic of but also in other countries.
India on 26 January 1950. The RBI became the debt manager The subservience of the RBI to the government in the 1950s
and banker to almost all state governments through agree- and 1960s was in alignment with global trends in general. The
ments with each of them. Thus, RBI became a fully govern- demands of World War II had warranted subservience, but the
ment-owned full service central bank. The RBI’s role in Indian compulsion of post-war reconstruction and the socialist model
economy, in particular, in relation to government has been of development also meant subordination of central bank to
evolving, responding to the needs of the day within the man- government control. No doubt, the central bank’s advice was
date set by the government from time to time. valued on policies, but it was also used by governments to
The retrospect can be divided, for purpose of convenience, administer controls and regulate or manage banks.
into several phases roughly as a 20-year cycle, namely 1950–
70, 1970–90, 1990–2010, and post 2010.1 Fiscal and Financial Sector Dominance, 1970–90
The 1970s was a period of confusion for central banks globally,
Planned Fiscal Dominance, 1950–70 with the collapse of the Bretton Woods System in 1972–73 and
With the establishment of the Planning Commission in March hyperinflation, partly caused by the oil shock in 1973. In India,
1950 and adoption of planning as the driving force for policy the confusion was compounded by domestic political and
interventions in the economy, the RBI’s policies had to be in economic events, with an inward-looking orientation.
line with plan priorities. The decision to nationalise 14 private sector banks that con-
The RBI’s development orientation was clear from the All trolled most of the country’s deposits in 1970 was a milestone
India Rural Credit Survey (AIRCS) ordered by the RBI under in the country’s economic management by the government,
directions of a committee set up in 1951. Its report in 1954 but it was not in consonance with RBI’s stance, and was admit-
forms the edifice for policy of RBI towards institutional credit. tedly political. The RBI thus became subject to, if not subservi-
The mid-1950s saw the beginnings of serious erosion of ent to the dominance of both fiscal policy of government and
autonomy in the monetary policy function due to the emer- its financial sector policy.
gence of the system of ad-hoc treasury bills and automatic The union government which had no official functionaries
monetisation. Under the system, it was agreed that the RBI in states except in regard to their constitutional obligations,
would replenish government’s cash balances by creation of acquired through nationalisation of banks, a network to imple-
ad-hoc treasury bills in favour of the RBI. The ad-hoc treasury ment its priorities. The RBI became a partner of, if not an agent
bills, which were meant to be temporary, lasted for over of the union government in its developmental activities in the
four decades. states also.
The issue of relations between the RBI and government The states were encouraged by the Planning Commission to
gained prominence in 1957, when governor Benegal Rama Rau have posts of directors of institutional finance to interact with
resigned in response to a letter from the Prime Minister. Governor banks and facilitate flow of banks’ funds to planned activities
Rau asserted his right to be consulted before a decision was in the states. Branch licensing by the RBI took account of states’
taken by the government on “technical and sometimes compli- views. Pooling of central funds, state funds, bank’s credit and
cated monetary issues.” Pandit Nehru maintained that the RBI RBI’s finance/refinance and spending them as per national
is “centrally autonomous but it is also subject to the central priorities decided by governments, became an accepted
government’s directions.” Nehru’s stand was that the RBI is national consensus.
independent within the government. There are similarities as The RBI became a promoter of Development Financial Insti-
well as dissimilarities in the events leading to governor’s resig- tutions (DFIs) in the area of agriculture, industry and mutual
nation in 1957 and in 2018. funds. It became closely involved in deciding the cost and dis-
In the mid-1960s, India had to access funds from the Inter- bursal of bank credit among users in alignment with the plan
national Monetary Fund (IMF). The initiatives continued to priorities set by the government.
be with the ministry with the RBI playing a supporting role. The oil crisis in the early 1970s impacted countries globally and
In 1966, the RBI took the drastic step of devaluing the rupee infused inflationary pressures. The RBI also had to take recourse
by 57% in accordance with the decision of the government, to tight monetary policy to manage the inflationary impact of
which was duly advised by the RBI. The action invited the oil crisis of 1973. The Foreign Exchange Regulation Act
36 MARCH 30, 2019 vol lIV no 13 EPW Economic & Political Weekly
MONEY, BANKING AND FINANCE

(FERA) was passed in 1973. The act expanded the administering On account of government policies relating to personnel in
controls over availability and use of foreign exchange. The RBI the RBI in the 1970s and 1980s, the RBI witnessed a large in-
ensured that the remittances out of the country were severely crease in staff but a decline in quality of qualified profession-
constrained and closely monitored, consistent with the plan als. Without doubt, the 1980s were a turbulent period, but the
priorities. The RBI became an adjunct to the government in its RBI, by and large, managed the price situation better than al-
inward looking policies also. most all countries in the developing world. But on the fiscal
National emergency in the 1970s affected the functioning stability front, the RBI’s record was one of helplessness as the
of the RBI, especially with the appointment of a person not economy was heading towards a crisis on the external fronts
so well respected in the RBI or by financial institutions as in 1991. To quote T C A Srinivasa Raghavan:
governor. Post-emergency, the RBI, in 1978, reluctantly went What was the RBI able to do about it? Precious little. It protested,
along with the controversial decision to hold gold auctions cajoled, and even threatened the finance ministry. But in the end, the
finance secretaries of the period—three or four in all—ignored it be-
on behalf of the government. The objectives of the auctions,
cause they had the prime minister’s backing. The reasons were politi-
namely moderating the price of gold and reducing smuggling cal ... Letter after letter from the governor about deficit and the com-
were, however, not achieved. In the same year (1978), the ing crisis went unacknowledged. (Raghavan 2017: 149–150)
government resorted to demonetisation of very high denomi-
nation notes, despite the then governor I G Patel conveying Partnership in Crisis Management and Reform, 1990–2010
to the finance minister the futility of the exercise. He wrote In the late 1980s and early 1990s, globally, the relationship
later that the gesture had to be made and led to much work between the central banks and the governments changed in
but little gain. many countries, with emphasis on independence of central
The adverse effects of misallocation of resources were evi- banks and the genesis of inflation targeting framework.
dent by the late 1970s and early 1980s. The government recog- Induced by technological changes and ascendancy of market
nised the problem and in 1981, successfully approached the ideology in the US, with emerging markets following suit, radi-
IMF for an Extended Fund Facility (EFF), the largest by the IMF cal changes were taking place worldwide in several policy
till then. The EFF is a good example of close and deep coop- areas, in particular, global trade and finance. India lagged
eration between the government and the RBI. behind these developments and believed that a closed economy
By the early 1980s, there was some consensus in the RBI that kept the prospects of crisis low. The RBI’s series of warnings in
inflation was rising because of a surge in money supply. In the late 1980s about an impending crisis were ignored by the
1985, the Sukhamoy Chakravarty Committee recommended a government. The Indian economy experienced a severe bal-
clear framework for the country’s monetary policy in the form ance of payments crisis in 1991.
of monetary targeting to ensure price stability (RBI 1985). The Irrespective of or because of political uncertainties, the gov-
committee recommended control of inflation within accepta- ernment took the advice of the RBI on crisis management and
ble levels and monetisation of government deficit within limits strongly supported its actions in both financial and external
consistent with money supply growth targets. As a follow-up, sectors. It culminated in using gold belonging to the govern-
the RBI followed a range rather than a fixed target for the ment and pledging the gold belonging to the RBI to save the
annual growth of money supply which was further subject to country from loss of reputation and defaulting from meeting
mid-year adjustments. external payments. Negotiations with the IMF were held for
While the limited and half-hearted trade and industrial obtaining its support in a period of political uncertainty. The
reforms brought about a jump in the growth of GDP to over 5% apolitical stature of RBI won the support of the full spectrum of
per annum in the 1980s, the RBI was concerned that the high- political leadership.
growth jump was with borrowed time and money. The RBI The reforms that commenced in 1991 following the crisis
formally expressed its concerns in regard to the persistence of became a watershed in the economic development of the coun-
high fiscal deficits, large borrowing programme financed try. A dramatic shift in the relationship between the govern-
through monetisation, and weaknesses in external balance. ment and the RBI occurred. Beginning with the two-step
Towards the end of the 1980s, short-term external financing devaluation of currency and the reform budget in 1991, a part-
also increased. The collapse of the Union of Soviet Socialist nership began between the RBI and the government in bring-
Republics (USSR) added to the imbalance in external sector ing about fundamental changes in several fronts. Perhaps,
and the RBI assisted the government in concluding a rupee there was an agreed coherent intellectual framework that
trade agreement with Russia. Added to political uncertainties, governed the policies of and relations between the RBI and the
the Gulf crisis triggered high oil prices, further tightening the government. Consistent with government policy, the RBI became
balance of payments situation. The non-resident Indian (NRI) outward-looking but with appropriate caution and calibration
deposits and remittances were adversely affected. The RBI expected from a central bank.
repeatedly warned the government about the impending Reforms undertaken during this period were based on
crisis, but to no avail. Domestic economic vulnerabilities built recommendations of the committees led by former or extant
over the years led to the balance of payments crisis in early central bankers, for example, the Narasimham Committee on
1991, though the proximate trigger was the Gulf crisis and financial sector and on banking, Rangarajan Committee on
political instability. balance of payments, Malhotra Committee on insurance, and
Economic & Political Weekly EPW MARCH 30, 2019 vol lIV no 13 37
MONEY, BANKING AND FINANCE

Tarapore Committee on capital account management. All the committee of finance secretaries. Innovative policy initiatives
recommendations were accepted and many of them imple- such as the Market Stabilisation Scheme (MSS) involving close
mented smoothly with notable exceptions, namely those relating and continuous collaboration between the government and
to dual control over and restructuring of PSBs and directed/ the RBI for cash liquidity management in government and
priority sector lending. markets were put in place.
The budget in 1993–94 announced a move towards a unified In 2005, the RBI set up the Board for Regulation and Supervi-
exchange rate or a market-determined management system, sion of Payment and Settlement Systems (BPSS) to oversee the
marking the transition to convertibility on the current account payment and settlement system. Under the Payment and Set-
soon afterwards. The supplemental agreement in September tlement Systems (PSS) Act, the board is empowered to autho-
1994 on the abolition of the ad hoc treasury bills to be made rise, prescribe policies and set standards for regulating and
effective from April 1997 eliminated the automatic monetisa- supervising all payment and settlement systems in the country.
tion of government deficits and resulted in considerable mod- During this period, several statutory amendments took
eration of the monetised deficit and introduction of the Ways place regarding the RBI Act, Banking Regulation Act, payments
and Means Advances (WMA) system. At the same time, with and settlements system, financial markets, etc, to clarify and
the gradual opening up of the economy and development of enhance the role and effectiveness of the RBI in conduct of
domestic financial markets, the operational framework of the monetary policy and managing the financial system.
monetary policy also changed considerably with clearer artic- In parallel, in the 1990s, several new institutional arrange-
ulation of policy goals and more public dissemination of data ments were put in place by the government. These included
and thinking relating to its operations. establishment of securities market, pension, and insurance
regulators. The governor of the RBI, as the head of the High
Board for Financial Supervision Level Committee on financial markets, virtually assumed the
To ensure that the monetary policy function is carried out in responsibility for coordination in matters relating to money
the best possible way without any conflict of interest with and finance, while being accountable to the government.
regulatory functions, the Board for Financial Supervision (BFS) The Institute for Development and Research in Banking Tech-
was set up in 1994 as an autonomous body under the RBI. nology was established in late 1990. The RBI became a pioneer
Although the BFS was meant to regulate commercial banks, it in setting world-class market infrastructure like Clearing
extended its supervision to non-banking financial companies Corporation of India, with a world-class payment system.
(NBFCs) also in 1997. In April 1998, the RBI decided to switch There were several policy challenges that had to be met during
over to multiple indicators approach as a new framework for the 1990s and early part of the millennium such as the conta-
the conduct of monetary management, which looked at a vari- gion effects of the Asian crisis, the Russian and the Mexican
ety of financial market and economic indicators to evolve the crisis, the fallout of US sanctions as a reaction to our nuclear
appropriate stance of monetary policy. programme and the Year 2000 (Y2K) problem. These were suc-
There was, however, continuing dualism in reforms relating cessfully managed thanks to decisions taken by the govern-
to public sector banking and credit allocation. The intellectual ment to empower the RBI and enhance the role of financial
forces within the RBI advocated withdrawal from priority sec- markets. The RBI also became a fiscal adviser to states and
tor lending, focusing on regulations, ensuring competition transformed itself into a national institution. It also acquired
and gearing up the financial sector to let the market play a greater visibility in the global community of central banking.
leading role. This was at variance with the practical view, By becoming an active member of the Bank for International
which recognised sociopolitical forces and their compulsions. Settlements (BIS) and of the G20 group, and participating in
Broader practical considerations ensured that the develop- the development of International Standards and Codes (ISC),
mental financing role could not go out of the RBI’s radar. the RBI reinforced its national stature and helped improve
However, new private sector banks were issued licences after Indian presence in the global economy.
decades and a liberal approach to approval of licensing for There were, however, some major scams during this period
foreign banks to open branches was adopted. The PSBs were which put the RBI on the defensive. The RBI had to face consid-
recapitalised as needed, in accordance with global standards. erable criticism due to the Harshad Mehta scam in the early
The government ownership in PSBs was diluted, while the 1990s. The brokers were using the cheaper finance of the formal
government retained total management control bestowed on money market to finance their deals in the stock market. They
it in the relevant statutes. diverted money from the banking system by taking money out
In late 1999, the Foreign Exchange Management Act (FEMA) of the interbank market for government securities for use in
was passed replacing the FERA of 1973. Fiscal transparency speculating in the stock market. It was clear that there was
and some fiscal rules were introduced through the Fiscal Re- corruption in the banks concerned, and negligence by the RBI
sponsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act enacted in in several capacities, namely as a regulator of the banks and of
2003 with appropriate technical support provided by the RBI. government securities market, and above all, as an institution
The RBI strengthened its advisory and debt and cash manage- in charge of the payments and settlements system. The RBI
ment roles for state governments since the late 1990s, with the learnt its lessons and successfully installed a most modern
institution of regular meetings with finance secretaries and payments and settlements system and improved its control
38 MARCH 30, 2019 vol lIV no 13 EPW Economic & Political Weekly
MONEY, BANKING AND FINANCE

systems. Unfortunately for RBI, two of the major institutions exchange constraints introduced in 1957 ended in 2004 and
that contributed most to the scam, namely the State Bank soon thereafter, the forex reserves were built to inspire confi-
of India (SBI) and the National Housing Bank (NHB), were dence. But, inflationary pressures emerged on the eve of the
owned by it. crisis, mainly attributable to huge increases in oil prices.
The second scam related to the issue of a licence to an NBFC The global thinking on finance and money was appealing
(CRB Capita), which collapsed in the process of setting up a and euphoric during the early part of the 21st century till the
bank. This resulted in strengthening the regulation of NBFCs. financial crisis hit in 2008. There were clear signs of diver-
The third scam in which the RBI faced embarrassment gence in thinking between the RBI’s caution and the global
happened towards the end of 2000 and early 2001. Ketan preference for market-based finance leading the development.
Parekh used bank money to finance his activities in the stock The RBI was out of alignment with practice of central banking
market. In this case, it was sudden relaxation in the regulato- globally in terms of inflation targeting, independence of cen-
ry restrictions on the exposure of banks to stock markets that tral banks, countercyclical regulation, financial innovations
enabled them to finance the broker. The two banks involved and capital account management. In fact, in pursuing the MSS,
were, Madhavpura Mercantile Cooperative Bank and Global the RBI surrendered its independence in favour of effective-
Trust Bank. As a consequence of this experience, the RBI ness in market operations relating to exchange rate manage-
followed up with several regulatory measures, in particular ment. The government, in general, was in agreement with
those relating to governance, and introduction of fit and global thinking, but eventually tilted in favour of trust in RBI’s
proper criteria. policy advice in these areas. However, the RBI became an un-
Financial sector assessment was made in 2002 and again in willing party to a nationwide bank loan waiver programme in
2006 which provided an opportunity for the RBI to get a com- 2007 and partly funded it.
prehensive appreciation of the global trends in ISC. They pro-
vided an opportunity for officers in the RBI to work with out- Crisis and Recovery
side experts. Around this time, the BIS, IMF and World Bank On the eve of crisis of 2008, India had reasonable external
drew upon the professional skills of RBI in their work globally. sector balance and moderated vulnerability in the fiscal sector,
Between 1990 and 2010, the skills in RBI were expanded but the financial sector remained robust. However, India was
through several measures, including exposure to academia affected mainly due to the contagion through sentiment,
and financial market participants. While the quality of RBI cross-country financial flows and the deceleration in global
professionals improved, the total staff dropped dramatically, economic activity. India recovered quickly not only because it
for example, from 31,275 in 2000 to 20,295 in 2009, and 14,785 did not have serious initial vulnerabilities, but also because as
by 2017. Class I officers during the corresponding years were a response to the crisis, three sets of important measures were
7,881, 9,430 and 6,958 respectively. taken, namely fiscal stimulus, monetary stimulus and regula-
tory forbearance. Coordination between government and
Divergence from Global Thinking central banks to manage the crisis was global and India was
From 2004, the government and the RBI had to face unfamiliar no exception.
challenges. These related to large capital inflows, high eco- In retrospect, however, it appears that the fiscal stimulus
nomic growth, unprecedented expansion in credit, asset bub- was, in fact, fiscal deterioration (since the increase was in
bles and absorption of highly elevated oil prices. These result- recurring revenue expenditures); the monetary stimulus last-
ed in some differences between the government and the RBI in ed longer than needed; the regulatory forbearance was taken
the areas of monetary management and external sector. The undue advantage of by the banks and industry, resulting in
regulatory actions of a prudential and countercyclical nature restructured loans and large non-performing assets (NPAs).
were undertaken by the RBI despite some initial resistance The spur in lending to infrastructure at this time also led to
from government and financial markets. The private sector large NPAs. All indications are that the RBI was constrained by
banks were consolidated and weaknesses eliminated due to government in timely withdrawal of stimulus.
joint efforts while PSBs remained unreformed. It is interesting that globally, tensions between central
The government in a rare case of bipartisan support decided banks and governments arose in the process of withdrawal of
to open private banking sectors to foreign banks but its imple- stimulus and India was no exception. In some countries, especially
mentation was postponed at the persuasion of the RBI by the US, United Kingdom and the eurozone, crisis-induced reforms
adopting a prolonged road map. Fit and proper criteria for took place. In India, the reform process after this had no ob-
ownership of banks were announced after consultation. servable link with the crisis, but it differed from the past.
A notable initiative of RBI which gained full support of govern-
ment was financial inclusion, which went beyond microcredit Rebalancing and the New Framework, Post 2010
with a focus on universal access to financial services and credit Since the financial sector reforms commenced in early 1990,
at affordable rates. In the process, microfinance institutions the government shed some of its authority in regard to finan-
(MFIs) became a new channel of credit dispensation. cial and external sectors to the RBI, regulators, and markets.
This was also the time when India firmly joined the league Often, as in the case of end to automatic monetisation and
of high growth, major economies in the world. The foreign exchange controls, practice preceded legal mandate. The RBI
Economic & Political Weekly EPW MARCH 30, 2019 vol lIV no 13 39
MONEY, BANKING AND FINANCE

gained operational autonomy, aligned the policies with the to maintain price stability, while keeping in mind the objective
government and worked closely with it on structural changes. of growth. The monetary policy framework in India has to be
Developments since 2010 point to a review of the balances operated by the RBI, and the regime is described as flexible
between government, financial markets, and the RBI. The inflation targeting. The central government under the new
government took direct responsibility for coordination in framework determines the inflation target in terms of consum-
financial sector, and sought inputs from financial institutions er price index once in five years. It appoints a Monetary Policy
and markets, especially global financial giants directly rather Committee (MPC) consisting of three members, including the
than through RBI, as was the practice previously. governor from the RBI, and three outside experts nominated
The government reduced its dependence on the RBI for the by the government through a procedure prescribed under
intellectual framework for financial sector reforms since 2008. the law.
The Raghuram Rajan Committee on Financial Sector Reforms In the reform process there was one case of difference bet-
(2008) and Justice Sri Krishna Commission on Financial Sector ween the RBI and the government that came into the open,
Legislative Reforms (2013) provided the intellectual framework. namely the establishment of an independent public debt man-
Assistance to these committees was sourced from outside agement agency. The finance minister made an announcement
government and RBI (Government of India 2009 and 2013). in the budget of 2015 that such a unit will be established, but
The technical work relating to G20 was also outsourced to a later it was watered down, on a plea from the RBI, to public
research institute by government replacing dependence on debt management unit to be located in the RBI pending de-
RBI inputs. Recently, a committee on digital payments headed tailed formulation of implementation of plan.
by a former finance secretary, Ratan Watal (2013), gave a The Financial Resolution and Deposit Insurance (FRDI) Bill,
report on payments system, a core function of central bank. a comprehensive code for speedy and efficient resolution of
The committee’s recommendations included the controversial financial firms, introduced in Lok Sabha by the government in
one to set up an independent regulator to regulate payment 2017 invited stringent public criticism. The proposal, there-
and settlements in the country. fore, had to be withdrawn, with some embarrassment to the
The coordination function in regard to financial sector at an new thinking on reform.
operational level was assigned by the government in 1993 to a
committee on capital markets headed by the governor, with Non-performing Assets
regulators as members and the joint secretary, Ministry of An important issue that came up during this period relates to
Finance, as convener. With the establishment of Financial the large NPAs that belatedly came to the fore after the RBI
Stability and Development Council (FSDC) in December 2010, revised its Prompt Corrective Action (PCA) norms for banks.
all coordination functions are directly with the ministry. The The issue got complicated because of the reluctance of the gov-
union finance minister is the chairperson of the council. The ernment to promptly inject capital in psbs without putting in
members include the governor, four secretaries to government, place corrective mechanisms, and consequent impact on
a chief economic adviser and four heads of regulatory bodies. credit flow. There was also an effort to apportion the blame
The council has been made responsible for financial develop- between the mismanagement of psbs by the government and
ment, financial stability, financial literacy, financial inclusion, inadequate regulation and supervision by the RBI. The govern-
and most important, inter regulatory coordination. ment, in 2017, responded with two measures, namely intro-
The RBI resumed its task of implementing reforms in money ducing Insolvency Bankruptcy Code (IBC) and amendments
and finance once the process of crisis management and recovery to Banking Regulation Act in relation to NPA issue. The for-
were completed, and after it had effectively handled the after- mer is a historic step with enormous positive consequences
shocks of the dollar tantrums in 2013. for the financial system. The latter, however, could be consid-
The initiatives regarding financial inclusion which in the ered superfluous since the powers that were conferred to the
past were led by the RBI with strong support from the govern- RBI by the ordinance already existed implicitly under the
ment changed in terms of the emphasis and scope. The finan- prevailing act. However, the amendment empowered the
cial inclusion movement from 2014 was led by the government government to give directions to the RBI on this purely
under Prime Minister’s programme (PMJDY) with full support operational matter.
from the RBI. As part of the programme and, consistent with The RBI was on the defensive not only on the delayed recog-
Raghuram Rajan Committee’s recommendations, guidelines nition of NPA problem, but also on account of large frauds com-
were issued for payments bank and small finance banks in the mitted by the borrowers. Three high-profile cases related to
same year. Approvals for setting up such banks were given in Punjab National Bank in the Nirav Modi case and IDBI/SBI in
principle, promptly in 2015. The concept of differentiated bank the Vijay Mallya case while it was ICICI Bank in the Videocon
licensing was introduced in India. In 2016, guidelines for case. All these were essentially in the nature of frauds committed,
on-tap licensing of universal banks for private sectors were for which the responsibility rests with the management of the
also released. respective boards. The owners should be most concerned
The legislative mandate for a new monetary policy frame- though. Overall, the series of events led to an unusual and
work came into force in June 2016 through amendments to the public expression of the prevailing inadequacy of powers of
RBI Act. The primary objective of the monetary policy now is the RBI in supervising PSBs.
40 MARCH 30, 2019 vol lIV no 13 EPW Economic & Political Weekly
MONEY, BANKING AND FINANCE

The monetary management as well as the reputation of the During the reform period till 2013, the government took
RBI has been affected by the demonetisation announced in several steps to strengthen the balance sheet of the RBI and
November 2016 and implemented subsequently by the RBI. added to the reserves. For instance, the excessive cost of steri-
Demonetisation, announced by the Prime Minister on Novem- lisation which normally is borne by the central bank was
ber 2016, came as a surprise. The RBI seems to have reluctantly shared by the government to keep the central bank strong to
acquiesced after governor Raghuram Rajan had orally expressed be able to serve the government better in times of difficulties.
reservations before he vacated the position at the end of his In recent years, the government has reviewed this approach.
term. The decision was implemented during Urjit Patel’s tenure. Further, by taking recourse to unprecedented practice of
The RBI had to take the blame for the significant pain that was interim dividend, the spirit of limit on WAM arrangement under
caused to the general public during the period of implementation. fiscal management legislation has been compromised. The
In 2018, the initiation of consultations with the governor immediate fiscal needs seem to take precedence over a
under Article 7 of the RBI Act for the first time in the history of renewed assessment of the capital needs of the RBI.
the RBI gave rise to a number of issues. These continue to dom- In 2018, the government took the stand that the existing levels
inate the relationship between the RBI and the government of reserves are in excess of the requirement and, therefore, the
even after the exit of governor Urjit Patel for “personal reasons.” excess of reserves could be legitimately claimed for use by the
government. The government was laying claim to the stock
Current Issues and not merely flow. In its calculation, the government took
In October 2018, it transpired that the government had sought into account the revaluation gains on forex assets on account
the opinions of the governor under Section 7 in order to give of depreciation of the rupee over the years. The RBI, on the
directions to the RBI in public interest. This is unprecedented other hand, are of the view that the reserves are not in excess
and virtually meant that the channels of normal communica- and that, even if they were in excess, the purpose will be
tion for reaching the agreed position between the government served over the years by sticking to the legal requirement of
and the RBI governor had broken down. The board of RBI transferring to its reserves a portion of the current surplus of
appeared to have differences with the governor on the same income over expenditure till the reserves need to be augmented.
issues. These differences came into public domain after a The chief economic adviser had already proposed that the
speech by a deputy governor. excess reserves should be made available for injecting capital
The central bank’s deputy governor, Viral Acharya gave a to the psbs which are currently under-capitalised.
landmark speech in October 2018, in which he virtually warned The law and the current practice are for the board to deter-
the government that undermining RBI’s independence would mine on a yearly basis the excess of income over expenditure,
attract the wrath of the markets (Acharya 2018). The speech the amount required for addition to its reserves and then the
provoked strong response from the government which inter- residual is transferred to the government as dividends. This
preted the deputy governor’s speech, that was admittedly au- surplus thus flows to the Consolidated Fund of India for use as
thorised by the governor, and represents institutional position, it deems fit. As part of the reforms, a formula was approved by
as an act of defiance rather than as an expression of dis- the board for transfer of such reserves and remained in force
agreement with the government. It triggered a prolonged war till 2014. However, the government took the position that the
of words between the deputy governor of the RBI and secretary level of reserves of the RBI is in excess of needs and that the
to the economic affairs, Ministry of Finance, but this subsided entire surplus of income over expenditure should be trans-
with the departure of Urjit Patel in December 2018. The resolu- ferred to the government. This was done in 2015.
tion of issues originally flagged for consideration under Sec- There is no doubt that in the ultimate analysis, the govern-
tion 7 is likely to impact the future role of the RBI as is evident ment as the owner has a claim over the reserves, but the way it
from nationwide debates on autonomy of the RBI. It is interest- exercises gives signals to the market and influences public
ing that the market reactions to the proposals of the RBI have opinion. In law, the board will have to decide on this, and the
not been as severe or as depressing as it was made out in Acha- board members are nominated by the government. There are
rya’s speech, presumably because both financial market and two substantive issues. One is determination of excess reserves
governments have a short-term bias. and whether this should only be confined to realised gains or
First and foremost, the contentious issue relates to the use of can apply to revaluation gains as well, and the second issue is
excess reserves in the balance sheet of the RBI. This is not the the immediate use of excess reserves, as determined.
first attempt by the government in this regard. In 1986, the There are different approaches to the level of capital of a
government demanded the RBI’s profits in the government’s central bank. One view is that the government will provide
quest for fiscal relief. Governor Malhotra explained how the support to it when needed and hence, the issue of adequacy does
profits of RBI were different from the normal profits of other not arise. All income over expenditure every year could get
public sector companies, and added that they were notional. transferred to the government. Alternatively, the government
He explained that higher transfers would impact the economy may like to assure the markets that its central bank has the
adversely and made it clear that the profits of RBI should not capital to meet contingencies that may arise without depending
be considered as an avenue for augmenting the resources of on governments. There is merit in keeping at least central
the government. bank’s balance sheet strong if the government’s fiscal balance
Economic & Political Weekly EPW MARCH 30, 2019 vol lIV no 13 41
MONEY, BANKING AND FINANCE

sheet is weak. But, substantively, it is the judgment of the gov- raise the issues and convince the RBI, but should ideally
ernment that prevails on the adequacy issues, though proce- respect the final judgment of the RBI. To implement any sup-
durally the decision is that of board. port beyond what the RBI considers to be prudent, the govern-
The use of reserves accumulated in the past will have to ment should ideally draw upon its budgetary resources as is
consider three factors, namely (a) the macroeconomic implica- being done in the case of the waiver of farmers’ loans.
tions of such transfers, in particular, the monetary implications Finally, the issue of governance and the role of board have
which are likely to be expansive; (b) the issues of intergenera- been raised. This certainly is a matter which requires to be
tional equity since the reserves have been accumulated as an considered keeping in view both the global practices and chan-
insurance for the future; (c) the constitutional propriety of ging domestic circumstances. In any case, if the role of the
using the reserves directly to fund capital of the banks instead board is being reviewed, it should encompass the composition
of crediting it to Consolidated Fund of India and then using it of the board and relations between the board and government
as considered necessary by the government; and (d) the incon- as well as governor. The current composition of the board in
gruity of the banking regulator being asked to use its resources India is unique and is appropriate to a full service central
to fund banks that are in need of the capital. A committee has bank. Currently, the board focuses on housekeeping and ren-
been appointed to advise the RBI on the capital framework and ders advice and guidance on policy, and is active in commit-
related matters. tees of the board. The committees of the board are constituted
Second, the government demands that the RBI should relax on advice of the governor and they provide for a for detailed
the norms of PCA. The government’s contention is that the scrutiny and guidance by the board members.
growth is affected by such stringent measures. This is certainly The issues relating to capital framework, the regulatory
an operational matter and a matter on which the government- relaxations and the role and composition of board, will have a
owned institutions could make representations to the RBI for lasting impact on the RBI.
consideration. There can be genuine concerns of government, but
governments generally persuade the regulator and do not direct Prospects
it in such matters. Obviously, the government is tilting in favour What will be the future of central banking in general, and in
of its own regulated entities who failed to convince the regula- India, in particular? We can start answering the question by
tor in the matter, though the RBI is the agent of government, looking at the past, as Professor Goodhart did (2010). He iden-
fully equipped to take a view on the matter. In a manner, this tifies three main stable epochs from the past, with short
dilutes both the autonomy and accountability of the RBI. periods of confusion between them. These three periods are:
Third, the government is also seeking the dilution of the (i) the Victorian era, say from the 1840 until 1914; (ii) the decades
Basel III norms for India on the ground that these are more of government control: the 1930s until the end of the 1960s;
stringent than the global standards. In general, the Basel III and (iii) the triumph of the markets: from the 1980s to 2007.
norms assume a particular level of realisable value of the assets in The period from 1914 to 1931–33 was a confused interregnum
case it becomes non-performing. In India, the transactions cost with World War I, and failed attempt to re-establish the gold
and the liquidity in relevant markets, in particular in real estates, standard; the 1970s was another interregnum between the
make the realisable value generally far less than the declared subservience of monetary policies to government control, and
value. There is, thus, a case for the Indian norms to be more the establishment of a free market system, with the central
stringent than global ones. But the scope, coverage and deviation bank following a regime of inflation targeting.
from global standards are a regulatory and operational matter. Goodhart (2010) adds:
Fourth, the extent of the RBI’s response to the liquidity con- Following the ongoing financial crisis, there is probably an interreg-
ditions being faced by the NBFCs is another point of friction num in search of a new consensus.
between the government and the RBI. If IL&FS faced a liquidity His expectation of the future is:
problem it would have been the responsibility of the RBI. But the range and scope of interaction with government, on the bank
Obviously, it is an insolvency issue since the government tax, on regulation and sanctions, on debt management and on bank
intervened. Perhaps, the government intervened since both resolution, is likely to increase. The idea of the central bank as an in-
the Life Insurance Corportaion (LIC) and the SBI owned by it dependent institution will be put aside.
are large stakeholders in IL&FS, and also because many infra- There are three interrelated issues that are being globally
structure projects are involved. In any case, the RBI should be deliberated now. First, in regard to operational independence
concerned at the risk assessment capabilities of public sector there is increasing realisation that monetary policies, fiscal
giants like the LIC and the SBI that allowed this to happen policies and financial sector policies have more significant
while having a large stake in IL&FS. spillover effects than was realised before the global financial
Fifth, the government seeks a policy and a procedure from crisis. What institutional arrangements and processes ensure
the RBI to facilitate lending liberally primarily to small and that spillover effects are taken into account? Second, in regard
medium industries. The SMEs’ problem is not new, nor is it to the choice between a full service central bank and a mone-
unique to India. However, any extraordinary push will jeop- tary authority, it is necessary to examine the advantage of co-
ardise depositors’ interest or induce systemic instability. This ordination recognising spillover effects vis-à-vis the risks of
is a matter again in which government and the industry could conflict of interests in performing multiple functions. Third, in
42 MARCH 30, 2019 vol lIV no 13 EPW Economic & Political Weekly
MONEY, BANKING AND FINANCE

the context of institutional independence the question raised liberty to think globally, advise independently and act in the
is how independent the agencies can be without encroaching domestic context.
on the larger public policy function of the state. Tucker (2018), India has to very closely watch the global developments and
for instance, compares military and judiciary with central chart the future of our central banking, more than ever before
bank and raises the question about which public policy deci- in history for several reasons. First, future will be more glob-
sion should be made by politicians, technocrats or judges. ally integrated. Second, India will be increasingly important to
Treating central bank as an institution exercising unelected the world. Third, we have more opportunities than ever before in
power, Tucker (2018) writes in the preface: the area of financial sector for our dominance with our strengths
The book argues that power, welfare, incentives, and values have to be in technology and skilled manpower. To take advantage of it,
considered together if the institution of delegated unelected power is the Government of India in partnership with the RBI should
to be sustainable in our democracies. address the root causes of the recent standoff between them.
There are no easy answers, but search for meaningful answers
to these for practical application in our country is complicated Conclusions
by heightened global uncertainties. The future of central banking everywhere depends on when
The global uncertainties due to geopolitical pressures, trade and how the confusing era with regard to central banking
wars and threat of digital currency, cumulatively pose severe ends. Further, the immediate future of central banking in
problems for the central banks. It is unclear how they will evolve, India depends not only on how it equips itself to face the com-
especially in view of the serious current infirmities in regard to plex unclear challenges, but also on the manner in which the
global monetary system, global financial architecture, and regu- current concerns relating to fiscal management, public sector
lation of global financial conglomerates by national regulators. ownership, external sector balance and coordination func-
Redefining the role of central banking has to take place in tions are resolved by the government.
the context of a historic rebalancing that is underway glob- The concluding part of C D Deshmukh’s Kale Memorial Lecture
ally between role of state and markets, between national on central banking in 1948 can be reiterated:
and global approaches, and relative emphasis on fi nance After all, it is not the theoretical constitution of the institution
and real sectors, and role of Asia and West (US and Europe). that matters, but the spirit in which the partnership bet ween the
Perhaps, in regard to India also, we are going through con- Ministry of Finance and the bank is worked. The success of the
partnership will, in the ultimate analysis, depend on the manner in
fusion in search of a new ideal for a central bank and it has to which government desires to be served and provides opportunities
be ideal for our circumstances. There is one lesson from the accordingly. No country can have better public institutions than it
past to guide us. The RBI has done well whenever it has the deserves.

Note Sukhamoy Chakravarty), Reserve Bank of In- https://www.thehindu.com/business/mem-


1 Detailed accounts of some of these periods can dia, Mumbai. bers-fiduciary-responsibility-with-rbi/arti-
be found in the official history of the RBI (see — (1998): (Author: G Balachandran). The Reserve cle26196765.ece.
RBI 1970, 1985, 1998 and 2005). Bank of India: 1951–67, New Delhi: Oxford Uni- Srinivasa Raghavan, T C A (2017): Dialogue of the
versity Press (on behalf of the Reserve Bank of
India). Deaf: The Government and the RBI, Chennai:
— (2005): History of the Reserve Bank of India, 1967– Tranquebar Press.
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Economic & Political Weekly EPW MARCH 30, 2019 vol lIV no 13 43

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