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Calcium Carbide Producton Feasibility Study
Calcium Carbide Producton Feasibility Study
Calcium Carbide Producton Feasibility Study
Table of Contents
1. SUMMARY........................................................................................................................................1
2. PRODUCT DESCRIPTION AND APPLICATION............................................................................2
3. MARKET STUDY AND PLANT CAPACITY..................................................................................3
3.1. Market Study...............................................................................................................................3
3.1.1. Past Supply and Present Demand....................................................................................3
3.1.2. Demand Projection..............................................................................................................4
3.1.3. Pricing and Distribution.......................................................................................................5
3.2. PLANT CAPACITY AND PRODUCTION PROGRAM...........................................................6
3.2.1. Plant Capacity......................................................................................................................6
3.2.2. Production Program.............................................................................................................6
4. MATERIALS AND INPUTS..............................................................................................................7
4.1. MATERIALS..............................................................................................................................7
4.2. UTILITIES..................................................................................................................................8
5. TECHNOLOGY AND ENGINEERING.............................................................................................8
5.1. TECHNOLOGY..........................................................................................................................8
5.1.1. Production Process...............................................................................................................8
5.1.2. Environmental Impact Assessment......................................................................................9
5.2. ENGINEERING..........................................................................................................................9
5.2.1. Machinery and Equipment...................................................................................................9
5.2.2. Land, Buildings & Civil Works.........................................................................................10
6. HUMAN RESOURCE AND TRAINING REQUIREMENT............................................................11
6.1. HUMAN RESOURCE REQUIREMENT.................................................................................11
6.2. TRAINING REQUIREMENT...................................................................................................11
7. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS.................................................................................................................12
7.1. Underlying Assumption.............................................................................................................12
7.2. TOTAL INITIAL INVESTMENT COST.................................................................................13
7.3. PRODUCTION COST..............................................................................................................14
7.4. FINANCIAL EVALUATION...................................................................................................15
7.4.1. Profitability........................................................................................................................15
7.4.2. Ratios.................................................................................................................................15
7.4.3. Break-even Analysis..........................................................................................................15
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This profile envisages the establishment of a plant for the production of calcium carbide with a
capacity of 922 tons of per annum and 152.88 ton Acetylene gas per annum. The plant will be
installed in Oromia Region, Finnfine area zone, Gelan town administration Locality. The raw
materials for the production of calcium carbide are lime stone and coal and electrode paste. And
the raw material for the production Acetylene gas is calcium carbide and water which is found in
the area so the raw material supply will be local only electrode paste is imported. Also coal is
found in Oromia region, JIMMA zone and lime stone is found in MUGER gorge AND ABAY
river near FELEKLEK and near FECHE at JEMA GORGE. So the raw material accessibility
will be local.
Calcium carbide when combined with water produces acetylene gas, which is used in welding
and cutting torches. Calcium carbide also constitutes a key component of most polyvinyl
chloride (PVC) production. It is also used in production of calcium Cyanamid (a nitrogen
fertilizer) and in iron (foundry) and steel industries as a desulfurization reagent.
The principal raw materials required are lime, coal and electrode paste. Lime and coal are
available locally while and electrode paste, which have to be imported till local production starts.
The total investment cost of the project including working capital is estimated at Birr 80.48
million. From the total investment cost the highest share (Birr 76.76 million or 95.4%) is
accounted by fixed investment cost followed by initial working capital (Birr 8.1 million or
14.5%) and pre operation cost (Birr 500,000 or 1%). From the total investment cost Birr 17.36
million or 21.57% is required in foreign currency.
The project is financially viable with an internal rate of return (IRR) of 37% and a net present
value (NPV) of Birr 47.9 million, discounted at 18% and 24.6 million discounted at 25 %.
The project can create employment opportunities for 77 permanent persons. The
establishment of such factory will have a foreign exchange saving effect to the country by
substituting the current imports up to 25 million USD. The project will also create backward and
forward linkage with the chemical production sub sector and the manufacturing sector
respectively and also generates income for the Government in terms of tax revenue and payroll
tax.
Calcium carbide is an inorganic chemical compound with the chemical formula of CaC2 having
numerous industrial applications.
Major application of calcium carbide
- Produces acetylene gas, which is used in welding and cutting torches.
- Polyvinyl chloride (PVC) production.
- production of calcium Cyanamid (a nitrogen fertilizer),
All the demand for calcium carbide in Ethiopia has been met from abroad, mainly from China.
Other suppliers of the product to the Ethiopian market are European and Middle East countries
such as Germany, Italy and Jordan. The historical import data of calcium carbide is shown in
Table 3.1.
Table 3.1
Import of calcium carbide
Year Quantity Value
(Tons) (‘000 Birr)
2012 930.4 15,763
2013 1002.5 19,406
2014 1074.5 23,048
As shown in Table 3.1, import of calcium carbide exhibits year-to-year fluctuation without a
clear trend. The fluctuation of the imported quantity is believed to be due to stock carry over
from a period in which import was high to the period of following year. For example, the
quantity imported in year 2010 was 551 tons but in 2020 it is 1506.8 tons.
Despite the fluctuations, the general observed trend is to be increasing. The yearly average
quantity of import in the early years of the data set, i.e. 2010--2020, was about 11.39 tons.
In the absence of a clear growth trend in the import data and the analysis carried above, it is
considered as reasonable to assume that the present demand for the product would be the average
of the imported quantity of the recent two years i.e. years 2018 and 2019. Accordingly the
present (year 2019) effective demand for calcium carbide is estimated at 1434.8 tons.
The demand for the Acetylene gas is very high in the country due to increasing growth of the
construction sector , paint industry, soil treatment, and soap industry. The demand is supplied by
Chora gas and chemical, Gats Solar Engineering, Gab Ethiopia plc and some small companies.
The demand is very high.
The future demand for calcium carbide depends mainly on the growth of the Basic Metal and
Engineering Industries, which are using it to produce acetylene gas for welding and cutting
Nearly all-large factories with workshops use calcium carbide as a source of acetylene by
reacting it with water. Sugar factories of Wonji, Methara and Fincha, the tire factory in Addis
Ababa, metal fabricating plants in Kaliti and various metal engineering related industries under
the Ministry of Defense, could be cited as significant consumers of calcium carbide, among
many others. In addition, highly significant groups of consumers of the product for the same
purpose are heavy vehicles assembly plants (cargo, fuel and public transport) such as Mesfin
Industrial Engineering, MARU, AMCE, and other automotive garages.
As mentioned earlier, future demand for calcium carbide is contingent upon growth of the
national economy, especially the basic metals and engineering sector. Growth of this sector in
Ethiopia is very encouraging due to the conducive investment climate and the high priority given
to the manufacturing sector in general and to the basic metals and engineering sub-sector in
particular.
Assuming that the basic metal engineering sector will grow by a rate higher than the average
national economic growth rate of 10% in the recent past, future demand for calcium carbide is
projected to grow by 10% annually as shown in Table 3.2.
Year Quantity
(Tons)
2023 2005.6
2024 2206.2
2025 2426.8
2026 2669.5
2027 2936.4
2028 3230
2029 3553.1
2030 3908.4
2031 4155.94
2032 4451.7
KTKM GPS Systems and Trading PLCPage 5 of 29
Project proposal for Calcium carbide Acetylene gas production plant 2022
The demand projection, executed in Table 3.2, reveals that the demand for calcium carbide will
grow from 2005.6.5 tons in the year 2023 1to 4451.7 tons by the year 2033.
From the local distribution and retail price of calcium carbide in the country, which is 50 and 80
birr respectively, our price is 165 birr per kg. the price for the Acetylene gas which is in 50kg
pp bag is 185 birr factory outlet price.
The end users of the product can be categorized in to two groups. The first group is those that
produce acetylene for other end users while the second group requires calcium carbide to
produce acetylene only for its own use. By considering the type of end users a combination of
direct sale to bulk consumers (such as acetylene plants) and the use of agents/distributors to
small quantity purchasers (such as garages) is recommended for the envisaged project. In this
regard trading companies which are currently importing and distributing the product could also
serve as intermediate agents of distribution for a local producer.
As per the market information obtained above, the envisaged plant is proposed to have capacity
of 450 tons per annum calcium carbide and 9000 ton Acetylene gas on a single shift of 8 hours
per day and 300 working days per annum.
In order to develop the operators’ skill in production and quality control, it is vital to have a
gradual capacity buildup. In addition to this, a period is required to penetrate to the market.
Hence, it is assumed that the plant will go into full capacity operation in three years’ time
starting with 70% capacity in the first year, 90% during the second year and then to full capacity
during the 3rd year and then after. The production program of the envisaged plant is given in
Table 3.3.
Production Year
prodction year 1 2 3 4 5
capacity utilization 70% 90% 100% 100% 100%
product type
calcium carbide(25kg) 25,469 32,746 36,384 36,384 36,384
Acetylene gas(kg) 107,016 137,592 152,880 152,880 152,880
The principal raw materials required are lime, coal and electrode paste. Lime is available locally
coal is also available locally, and while electrode paste will be imported. But the country has a
high potential of coal at different location but its beneficiation is not yet started. Packing material
is the only auxiliary material required by the envisaged plant. The total annual cost of raw
Table 4.1 Annual requirements for raw and auxiliary materials and their cost
Description Qty Unit Price
Total
In Birr
Price In Birr
L.C F.C Total
Lime (tons) 3,240 2,500 8,100,000 0 8,100,000
Coal (tons) 929 25,000 23,220,000 0 23,220,000
electrode paste (tons) 20 200,000 4,000,000 4,000,000
pp bag(25kg) with liner 36,384 25.0 909,600 0 909,600
4.2. UTILITIES
Utilities required are electricity and water. The total annual cost of utilities is estimated at Birr
953,640. The annual quantities and cost of utilities are estimated as shown in Table 4.2.
The production process for calcium carbide production in an industrial arc furnace is
held by metering the ingredients and prepare for one batch then feed to the electric arc
furnace with feeder. The electric arc furnace will heat to the required temperature to melt
the ingredients which is 1850 to 22000C. The electrode used is a graphite electrode. The
reaction is endothermic which requires 460kJ/mole of the product. Then the molted
product will be cooled in a cooler then crushed screened and packed in 25 kg pp bag
lined with LDPE liner to protect from moisture.
5.2. ENGINEERING
The total cost of machinery and equipment is estimated at Birr 41.85 million of which
Birr 17.36 million or 353,077 US Dollar is required in foreign currency. The list of
machinery and equipment required for the envisaged plant is given in Table 5.1.
Total Price In
SN Equipme nt Quantity(se t) Supplie r
Birr
1 Calcium carbide making plant 1 8,000,000.00
2 Acetylin making and filling plant incl 1 9,360,000.00
sub total (required in forign) 17,360,000.00
3 Transformer and power supply 1 1,000,000.00
Total 18,360,000.00
vhicles
1 landcruser 1 3,000,000.00
2 pickups 1 2,500,000.00
3 coaster 1 4,000,000.00
4 backho loder 1 2,000,000.00
5 dump truck 2 10,000,000.00
Total 39,860,000.00
spare part lumpsum(5% ) 1,993,000.00
Total price 41,853,000.00
The total area required by the project is 10,000m2, of which 2000 m2 is built-up area. The cost
of building at unit cost of Birr 5,000 per m2 is, thus, estimated at Birr 10,000,000.
This would include cost of land preparation and associated civil works. The total land area of the
plant, including the open space, is 10,000 m2 and its lease cost equals Birr 7,539,000 per spm.
The cost of the land lease is as per ONRS land lease rate for Gelan town which is equal to Birr
7539 per sqm for industrial purpose. Of the total cost of the lease 10 % is paid in the beginning
while the rest will be paid in 40 years.
Total human resource required is 63 persons. The total annual cost of human resource is
estimated at Birr 1,515,000. The details of the human resource requirement and the estimated
annual labor cost including employees’ benefit are given in Table 6.1.
Table 6.1
Human resource requirement and estimated labor cost(birr)
The production and technical head, mechanic, electrician and quality control worker need at least
two weeks training on the technology, maintenance and quality control. For the rest, on-the-job
training will be sufficient in the time of installation and commissioning by the specialists. Total
training cost is estimated at about Birr 500,000.
7. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
B. Depreciation
Building 5%
Machinery and equipment 10%
Office furniture 10%
Vehicles 20%
Pre-production (amortization) 20%
Raw Material-Local 30
Raw Material-Foreign 180
Factory Supplies in Stock 30
Spare Parts in Stock and Maintenance 30
Work in Progress 1
Finished Products 15
Accounts Receivable 30
Cash in Hand 5
Accounts Payable 30
The total investment cost of the project including working capital is estimated at Birr
55.2million (See Table 7.1). From the total investment cost the highest share (Birr 46.55
million 84.4%) is accounted by fixed investment cost followed by initial working capital (Birr
8.2 million or14.75%) and pre operation cost (Birr 500,000 or 1%). From the total investment
cost Birr 9.8 million or 17.7% is required in foreign currency.
Table 7.1
Initial investment cost in birr
sn Items L.C F.C Total % contribution
1 Land 7,539,000 7,539,000 9.37
2 Building And Civil Works 10,000,000 10,000,000 12.43
3 Office Equipment 1,000,000 1,000,000 1.24
4 Vehicles 39,860,000 - 39,860,000 49.53
5 Plant Machinery & Equipment 18,360,000 18,360,000 22.81
Total Fixed Investment Cost 58,399,000 18,360,000 76,759,000 95.37
6 Pre Production Capital Expenditure* 500,000 500,000 0.62
Total Initial Investment 58,899,000 18,360,000 77,259,000 95.99
7 Working Capital at Full Capacity 3,223,493 3,223,493 4.01
Total Initial Investment 62,122,493 18,360,000 80,482,493 100.00
* N.B Pre operating cost include project implementation cost such as installation, startup,
commissioning, project engineering, project management etc and capitalized interest during
construction.
** The total working capital required at full capacity operation is Birr 4.62 million. However, only the
initial working capital of Birr 3.22 million during the first year of production is assumed be funded
through external sources. During the remaining years the working capital requirement will be
financed by funds generated internally (for detail working capital requirement see Appendix 7.A.1).
The annual production cost at full operation capacity is estimated at Birr 7.2 million (see Table
7.2). The cost of raw material account for 46.9 % of the production cost. The other major
components of the production cost are salaries and wedge, depreciation, financial costs which
account for 15.2%, 13.6% and 1.6%, respectively. The remaining is the share of administration
and sales, repair and maintenance financial cost. For detail production cost see Appendix 7.A.2.
Table 7.2Annual production cost at full capacity (year three)
7.4.1. Profitability
Based on the projected profit and loss statement, the project will generate a profit throughout its
operation life. Annual net profit after tax is Birr 22.5 million during the life of the project.
Moreover, at the end of the project life the accumulated net cash flow amounts to Birr 155.6
million. For profit and loss statement and cash flow projection see Appendix 7.A.3 and 7.A.4,
respectively.
In financial analysis financial ratios and efficiency ratios are used as an index or yardstick for
evaluating the financial position of a firm. It is also an indicator for the strength and weakness of
the firm or a project.
Ratios (%)
Gross Profit/Sales 23% 25% 27% 27%
Net Profit After Tax/Sales 23% 25% 19% 19%
Return on Investment 27% 27% 27% 27%
Return on Equity 121% 149% 123% 123%
SRR 45%
break even 51%
Using the year-end balance sheet figures and other relevant data, the most important ratios such
as return on sales which is computed by dividing net income by revenue, return on assets
(operating income divided by assets), return on equity (net profit divided by equity) and return
on total investment (net profit plus interest divided by total investment) has been carried out over
the period of the project life and all the results are found to be satisfactory.
The break-even analysis establishes a relationship between operation costs and revenues. It
indicates the level at which costs and revenue are in equilibrium. To this end, the break-even
point for capacity utilization and sales value estimated by using income statement projection are
computed as followed.
The pay- back period, also called pay – off period is defined as the period required for recovering
the original investment outlay through the accumulated net cash flows earned by the project.
The envisaged project possesses wide range of benefits where it promotes the socio-economic
goals and objectives stated in the strategic plan of the Oromia National Regional State. These
benefits are listed as follows
In the project life under consideration, the region will collect about Birr 71 million from
corporate tax payment alone. Such result create additional fund for the regional government that
will be used in expanding social and other basic services in the region
Based on the projected figure we learn that in the project life an estimated amount of 27.3
million us dollar will be saved as a result of the proposed project which is the purchased cost of
the products. This will create room for the saved hard currency to be allocated on other vital and
strategic sectors
The proposed project is expected to create 77 jobs. This is one of the commendable
accomplishments of the project.
The proposed project helps to diversify ONRS’ and Ethiopian economy. It contributes to
industrialization of the ONRS as well as the country as a whole. It also has a potential to
strengthen the linkage between the manufacturing and the trade sub-sectors.
9. Appendix