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Solutions - Utility v2
Solutions - Utility v2
Solutions - Utility v2
= 0.37
= 0.574
= 0.68
= 0.33
A2) Since the decision maker is indifferent, their expected utility for the two decision is the same:
E[ U( $60 ) ] = 50
The Expected Value of the gamble is $50, and of the sure payoff is $60. A risk neutral decision maker
should take the sure payoff. Someone who values the gamble more than they should is risk seeking.
A3) Since the decision maker is indifferent, their expected utility for the two decision is the same:
E[ U(option i) ] = E[ U( option ii ) ]
U( $60 ) = .7
The Expected Value of option i (riskier gamble) is $65, and of the expected value of option ii (less risky
gamble) is $50. Someone who is indifferent between a higher expected payoff with more risk (option i)
and a lower expected payoff with less risk (option ii) is risk averse.
Alternatively, we can sketch the utility function of the decision maker (the orange line) and compare it
with the utility function of the risk neutral person (the blue line) which is always a straight line. From the
graph, it is clear that the decision maker is risk averse.
1.2
0.8
Utility
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Payoff
12
10
8
Expected Utility
0
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2
prob p
As it can be seen, for very smaller values of p the best alternative is the blue line (A3), for values of p in
the middle range the red line (A1) gives us the highest utility, and for large values of p, the best
expected value is given by the green line (A2). Exact coordination of line intersections can be calculated: