CE 023- ENGINEERING DATA ANALYSIS

QUIZ 2: PROBABILITY 17. A TIP Engineering student frequents one of two coffee houses near campus,
Direction: Answer the following questions and provide what is required from each part. choosing Starbucks 70% of the time and Coffee Project 30% of the time. Regardless
of where she goes, she buys a café mocha on 60% of her visits. The next time she
1. In Bristol 90% of the citizens drink tea; 80% drink coffee; 70% drink whiskey; and goes into a coffee house on campus, what is the probability that she goes to Starbucks
60% drink gin. No one drinks all four beverages. What percent of Bristol’s citizens and orders a cafe Mocha?
drink liquor? A. 0.60 B. 0.52 C. 0.46 D. 0.58 E. 0.72 BONUS
A. 1 B. 1/2 C. 0 D. 0.6 E. 1/3
18. An investor has the option of investing in three of five recommended stocks.
2. A group of engineers is taking their dinner in a big circular table. The group is Unknown to her, only two will show a substantial profit within the next 5 years. If she
composed of 4 Civil Engineers, 3 Mechanical Engineers, 2 Electrical Engineers, and 2 selects the three stocks at random (giving every combination of three stocks an equal
Electronics and Communications Engineers. How many arrangements can they form if chance of selection), what is the probability that she selects the two profitable stocks
the awesome CE’s want to be together side by side? A. 0.30 B. 0.60 C. 0.40 D. 0.50 E. 1
A. 17280 B. 2880 C. 30240 D. 20160 E. 69120
19. A
3. How many permutations can be made from the letters of the word ENGINEERING? certain
A. 39,916,800 B. 277,200 C. 55,440 D. 3,326,400 E. 554,400 factory
operates
4. An experiment consists of inspecting items from a production line until a defective three
(D) is found. Give the sample space for this experiment. Which outcomes are in the different
event of which at most five items are inspected? shifts. Over
A. {D, ND, NND, NNND, NNNND} the last
B. {DNNNN, NDNNN, NNDNN, NNNDN, NNNND} year, 200
C. {NNNND, NNNDD, NNDDD, NNDDD, DDDDD} accidents have occurred at the factory. Some of these can be attributed at least in part
D. {NNNND} to unsafe working conditions, whereas the others are unrelated to working conditions.
The accompanying table gives the percentage of accidents falling in each type of
5. Four universities—1, 2, 3, and 4—are participating in a holiday basketball accident– shift category. Suppose one of the 200 accident reports is randomly
tournament. In the first round, 1 will play 2 and 3 will play 4. Then the two winners will selected from a file of reports, and the shift and type of accident are determined. What
play for the championship, and the two losers will also play. One possible outcome can
is the probability that the selected accident did not occur on the night shift?
be denoted by 1324 (1 beats 2 and 3 beats 4 in first-round games, and then 1 beats 3
and 2 beats 4). What is the probability that 1 wins the tournament?
A. 0.77 B. 0.73 C. 0.45 D. 0.64 E. 0.59 BONUS
A. 5/24 B. 6/24 C. 3/24 D. 7/24 E. 4/24
20. The Digital Pet Rock Company was recently successfully funded via Kickstarter
6. A delegation of 4 students is selected each year from a college to attend the
and must now appoint a president, chief executive officer (CEO), chief operating officer
National Student Association annual meeting. In how many ways can the delegation
(COO), and chief financial officer (CFO). It must also appoint a strategic planning
be chosen if there are 12 eligible students ways but two will not attend the meeting
committee with four different members. There are 10 qualified candidates, and officers
together?
can also serve on the committee. What is the probability of randomly selecting the
A. 210 B. 240 C. 450 D. 540 E. 900
committee members and getting the four youngest of the qualified candidates?
A. 1/270 B. 1/480 C. 1/360 D. 1/5040 E. 1/210
SITUATION 1 A friend of mine is giving a dinner party. His current wine supply
includes 8 bottles of zinfandel, 10 of merlot, and 12 of cabernet (he only drinks red
21. In China, where many couples were allowed to have only one child, the probability
wine), all from different wineries.
of a baby being a boy was 0.545. Among six randomly selected births in China, what is
the probability that at least one of them is a girl?
7. If he wants to serve 3 bottles of zinfandel and serving order is important, how many
A. 0.9378 B. 0.9783 C. 0.9738 D. 0.9837 E. None
ways are there to do this?
A. 210 B. 504 C. 56 D. 250 E. 336
22. In a throw of two dice, the probability of obtaining a total of 10 or 12?
A. 1/6 B. 1/9 C. 1/12 D. 1/18 E. 1/24
8. If 6 bottles are randomly selected, what is the probability that this results in two
bottles of each variety being chosen?
23. A box contains 5 defective and 195 non‐defective cell phones. A quality control
A. 0.16 B. 0.12 C. 0.13 D. 0.15 E. 0.14
engineer selects two cell phones at random without replacement. What is the
probability that neither is defective?
9. At Hogwarts School of Witchcraft and Wizardry, the Sorting Hat chooses one of four
A. 0.95063 B. 0.9505 C. 0.00066 D. 0.00051 E. 0.9005
houses for each first-year student. If 4 students are randomly selected from 16
available students (including Harry Potter), what is the probability that they are the four
24. A single person is hired to taste and rank each of three brands of tea, which are
youngest students?
unmarked except for identifying symbols A, B and C. If the taster has no ability to
A. 0.000032 B. 0.000042 C. 0.000056 D. 0.000018 E. 0.0000229
distinguish a difference in taste among teas, what is the probability that the taster will
rank tea type A as the most desirable?
10. How long would (in days) it take to dial every possible seven-digit telephone
A. 0 B. 2/3 C. 1/3 D. 1 E. Data incomplete
number? Assume that the first 2 digits cannot be ones or zeros, and that it takes five
seconds to dial each number.
25. During the inaugural season of Major League Soccer in the United States, the
A. 365 B. 0.463 C. 371 D. 266 E. 297
medical teams documented 256 injuries that caused a loss of playing time to the
player. The results reported in The American Journal of Sports Medicine are shown in
11.A card is drawn at random from an ordinary deck of 52 playing cards. Find the
the table.
probability that it is a three of clubs or a six of diamonds.
A. 1/52 B. 1/26 C. 1/13 D. 1/12 E. 1/24

12. An economist predicts that the probability of an increase in gross domestic product
(GDP) is 0.64 and that the probability of an increase in inflation is 0.55. The economist
also predicts that the probability of an increase in GDP and inflation is 0.22. Find the
probability of an increase in GDP or an increase in inflation.
A. 1.19 B. 1.41 C. 0.352 D. 0.55 E. 0.97
If one individual is drawn at random from this group of 256 soccer players, find P(C│P)
13. An oil drilling venture involves drilling four wells in different parts of the country. For 0.118
each well, the probability that it will be profitable is 0.10, and the probability that it will 26. The composer Beethoven wrote 9 symphonies, 5 piano concertos (music for piano
be unprofitable is 0.90. If these events are independent, what is the probability of and orchestra), and 32 piano sonatas (music for solo piano). The manager of a radio
drilling at least one unprofitable well? station decides that on each successive evening (7 days per week), a Beethoven
A. 0.9999 B. 0.0001 C. 0.6561 D. 0.55 E. 0.97 symphony will be played followed by a Beethoven piano concerto followed by a
Beethoven piano sonata. For how many years could this policy be continued before
14. A worker operated-machine produces a defective item with probability 0.01 if the exactly the same program would have to be repeated? _4 years_
worker follows the machine’s operating instruction exactly, and with probability of 0.03
if he does not. If the worker follows the instructions 90% of the time, what proportion of 27. You want to obtain cash by using an ATM, but it’s dark and you can’t see your card
all items produced by the machine will be defective? when you insert it. The card must be inserted with the front side up and the printing
A. 0.009 B. 0.015 C. 0.0022 D. 0.003 E. 0.012
configured so that the beginning of your name enters first. What is the probability of
15.. Without repeating any digit, how many 3-digit numbers can you make out from randomly selecting the card’s position and finding that it is incorrectly inserted on the
digits 0, 2, 3, 5, 7, 9 that are less than 730. first attempt, but it is correctly inserted on the second attempt? (Assume that the same
A. 60 B. 64 C. 68 D. 72 E. 76 position used for the first attempt could also be used for the second attempt.) 3/16

16. A box contains 58 red marbles, 14 yellow marbles, 28 blue marbles, all the
marbles are of the same size. Three marbles are drawn at random from the box, first
one, then a second, and then a third. Determine the probability of getting one red
marble, one yellow marble, and one blue marble with replacement.
A. 0.0145 B. 0.0227 C. 0.0348 D. 0.0425 E. 0.0366
28. If you make EDA test questions (each with five possible answers), what is the
probability of getting at least 1 correct? 0.59
29. A bowl of contains five candies- red, brown, yellow, blue and orange. Draw two
candies at random, one for your eat and for a friend. What is the probability that you
get the orange candy and your friend does not get the red one? 0.1875
30. In how many different ways can the letters of your name be arranged so that the
vowels come together.