Toronto Poll, May 29, 2023

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Toronto Survey for the National Ethnic

Press and Media Council of Canada

Field Dates: May 26-27, 2023

Release Date: May 29, 2023


Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,305
Torontonians through Interactive Voice
Recording (IVR) from May 26 to May 27, 2023.

Respondents were screened for voter eligibility.

Responses were weighted using demographic


and geographic information to targets based on
the 2021 Census.

The margin of error for survey results is ± 2.71


percentage points, 19 times out of 20 for the
total.

Results may not add up to 100 due to rounding.


Voting Intent - Toronto Mayoral By Election (All Voters)
Q: If an election were held today, for whom would you cast your vote for Mayor?

50

45%
45

43%
39%
40

35

32%
32%
30

28%
27%
25
22%
21%
20%

20
18%
16%

15
13%

13%
12%

12%

12%
12%
12%

11%
11%

11%
11%
11%
11%

10%

10%
10%
10
8%
8%

8%

8%
8%
7%
7%

7%

7%
7%
6%

6%

6%
6%

6%

6%

5%
5%

5%

5%
5

4%

4%
4%
4%

4%
3%

3%
3%
2%

2%
2%

1%
1%

1%
1%
1%
1%

1%
1%

0%
0%

0%
0
Bailao Bradford Chow Furey Hunter Matlow Perruzza Saunders Someone Else Undecided

April 13-15 April 21-22 April 28-29 May 5-6 May 12-13 May 17-18 May 26-27
Voting Intent - Toronto Mayoral By Election (All Voters)
Q: If an election were held today, for whom would you cast your vote for Mayor?

All Female Male Other 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Downtown Etobicoke North York Scarborough
Bailao 7% 6% 8% 5% 9% 7% 6% 5% 8% 4% 7% 7%
Bradford 7% 7% 8% 5% 5% 7% 10% 8% 8% 5% 8% 5%
Chow 22% 21% 23% 24% 21% 23% 23% 23% 20% 22% 22% 25%
Furey 2% 2% 2% 5% 3% 2% 1% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2%
Hunter 10% 12% 8% 8% 12% 9% 9% 9% 10% 8% 5% 17%
Matlow 8% 8% 7% 10% 6% 9% 9% 7% 7% 8% 10% 5%
Perruzza 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0%
Saunders 10% 9% 11% 7% 11% 8% 10% 11% 9% 16% 10% 7%
Someone Else 7% 7% 7% 4% 8% 6% 6% 8% 8% 8% 7% 4%
Undecided 27% 27% 27% 32% 26% 29% 26% 27% 27% 24% 28% 27%
Sample (Unweighted) 1305 670 582 53 188 400 350 367 424 225 382 274
Weighted 1305 668 615 22 443 320 286 256 462 185 380 278
Voting Intent - Toronto Mayoral By Election (Decided Only)
Q: If an election were held today, for whom would you cast your vote for Mayor?

35

30 30% 30%
29%
27%
26%
25
23% 23%
21%
20 20% 20%
19%
17%
16%
15 15% 15%
14%
12% 12%
11%
10 10% 10% 10% 10% 10%
8% 8%
7% 7%
6% 6%
5 5% 5% 5%
3% 3% 3%
2% 2% 2% 2%
1% 1% 1%
0 0%

-5
April 13-15 April 21-22 April 28-29 May 5-6 May 12-13 May 17-18 May 26-27

Bailao Bradford Chow Furey Hunter Matlow Perruzza Saunders Someone Else
Voting Intent - Toronto Mayoral By Election (Decided Only)
Q: If an election were held today, for whom would you cast your vote for Mayor?

April 13-15 April 21-22 April 28-29 May 5-6 May 12-13 May 17-18 May 26-27 Change From Last Week
Bailao 6% 9% 7% 9% 7% 8% 10% +2
Bradford 6% 10% 10% 12% 12% 10% 10% No Change
Chow 22% 23% 26% 27% 30% 29% 30% +1
Furey 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% No Change
Hunter 11% 9% 10% 10% 12% 15% 14% -1
Matlow 23% 21% 19% 16% 15% 11% 11% No Change
Perruzza 2% 2% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% No Change
Saunders 20% 19% 20% 16% 16% 17% 14% -3
Someone Else 8% 5% 5% 7% 6% 5% 10% +5
+1 416-483-2335

info@liaisonstrategies.ca

2586A Yonge Street, Suite 2B


Toronto, Ontario, Canada

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