6 c)

ㄐ
-

E (X ) 感 kP ( X =| ) 情 ( 1 - θ) + ( 1 - θ 等 2Q
l ( p= ln+( 18 ) ↑ lnpf ( 1 - 5)
5 ln (1 )
)
p
-

=
。

E (X) )号 E (X ) =
5294 f 5ln (P ( 1 ))
(号
P
θ= 立 5
-

-
.

θ 号⼀主 *
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θ= #
井
lik (θ ) = p ( X
= x , 1θ )
.P ( =X
m |θ
"

lik 1 d )
|θ. P( 1 β= P ( x 2 |θ) P
= P( x= 0 | d )
x = =
:
( x= 31 d ) :( x = 台
, P =
, ☆

安井
⼆
O( β) 0号 [) |↑( 号 ()P lik ( p) ≥ IP ) ( 州
P [x x IP =
,
P

)
Ʃ { xi
liq ( ↑
) -

n
p
)
= "(1 p
dld ) = nlik )
l (P 1 lnllillp )) nlnpt ( xi
-n )
ln ( 5- )
信 )+ 片ln ({ 0) + 3 lh 1 号 -O )+ 2 la ( 今( θ))
= =
=
2 lnl
1

l' (p )

|) p
= 另⼀州
1
= (
d ' (θ ) lkn)
5

)
= 0
= p= 安
-θ
"

⼀最⼀ ( xi
d ( p= -
n)
l ( θ ) = 0 => 5 - IO
θ= P

θ
⼆立 p =
安#

( θ=
2
"
l ( 0 )= 5 2
B
-

] ( -0)
) 跨修
=

E(* ) = E ( } * = 3 RC

= θ 井 ⼆ α
井

fx ( k )
= p ( x=|)
=
( [ " 1 p )^
p
( "

,
kε 9 O ,1 ,
2 .

nf
(
nk

lik ( p ) =
1[ “ 1p )
p

/la ( 1 p )
( ( k ] +( lapfn
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n( ) ln
-

l (p ) = lik P ) (
=

lip ) = 号⼀⼆ p) 王毅
lip ) l" (θ
ap
=
-
= 0 )

(P
=
p号
π 井
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=xf edx ) f ( λ 1≥)
怒立 a|T f ( xn | T)
E (X lik T )= ( 1,
)↓ σλ
=0 =
…

) f ,
x (
(x
.
.

哭
≤ 100) =|
盛oxi
Fx ( 100) 1 ( 1 &
5品
P ( X 2 > 100 ) 1 P(X
-

=
-
-

=
2
-

F y (y) =|
. -

fxy
% "

lik ( ) =卞 e ≈
e 片 e
=

=
6 %e y T
哭
0 e

4 ⼆次
≥

0 「(3) 3. 2 !
=
.

=
2 σ~ d (T ) =
ln ( lik (T) =
ln () -

号
'
↑ (T) =
⼀片⼗⼆ 管
50
6 =>62 =( x)
x

=Ʃ⽇ ( 2 )

'

d ( T) = O T =500

= δ=≈
mxir T 500
#
州
=

lik( σ )
&
=Ʃσe 立 σ . ε pme
l ( δ ) = ln ( lik σ )
( )
=

- nln( 2σ )

.
-
1±

⾶ (x ) = f λ λ州 λ ) = ,
f
( x, |λ /f ( N 4 λ ) f < hs |λ )
,

& " σ) = 卡+f -e0

"
e " o
P ( X 3 > 10 ) =| - P( ① 3 ≤ 10 =| - Fx 3 ( (0 = - (
λ

1 "
)
)
=
1

(o) =
*
共+
lik ( λ ) =λ .
e
5
⽇ λ
e
}
. ,
90 λ=λ e 8x
.
3

= O = 00 r σ= ⽅鹿刚
l ( x) = lnllik (λ) )
=
2 ln λ) 18 x -

δ= ⽅ Nil
#
l ( x) ⼆第⼀ 1
'

18
EN) = Var ( X ) + E] l ( x) = O λ 次
承) + 部 發 ) ⼀
"

E (X ) )
=
(λ <o
=
l =

x+ 1 =
E (X ) 3 . (3x +,

1 ]
α= 31
) * 井
六
=
*
xi

体
i
δ( x
)=π ,
xGR

上器
2

“
lil ( o = 流器
…
)
σ iI π
xu1inop

P. σ e

) ( ) ☆ ⼀点 ( xi UP
-

) nln
-

l(σ ) lnllik (=σ π =

d ( σ) = O σ
演(xiup
δ=
0
—
( λ iiu2