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Factors Leadingto Cost Overrun Occurrencein Construction Projects
Factors Leadingto Cost Overrun Occurrencein Construction Projects
Factors Leadingto Cost Overrun Occurrencein Construction Projects
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ABSTRACT
Cost is the fundamental component for any construction project. While observations indicate that the cost overrun is a
major phenomenon in construction industry worldwide. Hence, there are several factors responsible for cost overruns. So,
a lot of studies have been conducted to investigate it. The aim of this paper is to identify the latest top major factors
causing construction cost overrun construction projects in both of developed and developing countries (in particular)
according to many variables during last three decades. through a comprehensive literature review, most common and
frequently occurring causes of cost overrun worldwide and developing countries in particular were listed, factors were
prioritized according to their occurrence, it is concluded that however cost overrun factors vary considerably across
countries, the study of causing factors of cost overrun in construction projects will provide a reference for other projects
that might be executed in similar circumstances and will also provide valuable information for international companies
which intend to provide construction projects.
Keywords: Construction Projects, Factors, Planned Cost, Actual Cost, Cost Overrun.
1. INTRODUCTION
Cost is the fundamental component for any causing cost overrun is different from one country to
construction project. However, cost overrun is observed another because of the different circumstances that
as one of the most frequently occurring issues in surround construction industry. So, the main objective of
construction projects worldwide and need to be more this paper is to determine and discuss the most
studied to alleviate this issue in the future [1]. influencing factors in the cost of construction projects
Cost overrun (CO) has become a norm, rather than an and causing cost overrun occurrence. This was fulfilled
exception in the construction industry. So, it is normal to through literature review of different studies on this
expect that the final cost of a project exceed the initial problem that aimed at:
budget [2]. CO was defined as situation where the - Identifying the latest factors that cause of cost overrun
amount of money used is greater than the estimated cost in construction projects.
of project [3]. - Classifying factors regarded to their related
categories.
In addition, CO in construction project is an indication - Conducting a comparison among factors causing cost
of project failure so, the key to success is to realize and overrun in developed and developing countries.
understand the challenges early in the planning process,
to develop strategies to address them and to establish 2. COST OVERRUN IN CONSTRUCTION
accurate and achievable expectations. Moreover, it INDUSTRY
provides the decision makers with early warning devices
to reduce the cost overrun problems. So, understanding Cost is the common factor of any construction project.
these factors allows for appropriate actions to mitigate However, cost overrun is one of the most occurring risks
factor impacts. Project participants can take action to construction projects and the most severe in developing
curtail or control the effects of these identified cost countries, where these overruns sometimes exceed 100%
escalation factors throughout the life of the project. of the estimated budget [1]. Construction cost which is
Indeed, cost overrun occurs due to many factors that out of control adds investment pressure, increases
differ from one country to another. construction cost, affect investment decision-making.
Previous studies show that, the ranking of factors Hence, it is important to identify the factors that
contribute to cost overrun to avoid and reduce the
1
Professor at Department of Architectural Engineering and Urban problems [4]. So, the increase in cost of project (cost
Planning, Faculty of Engineering, Port Said University. overrun) can reduce the feasibility of the project [5].
2
Professor at Department of Architecture Engineering, Faculty of
Engineering, Fayoum University.
3
Master's Degree Holder of the Department of Architectural
Engineering and Urban Planning, Faculty of Engineering, Port Said
University.
Table1: The global experiments with cost overrun in consideration. After the literature review, the researcher
construction projects [6] extracted the following facts:
The project PC/ AC/ CO %
million million Whereas, Ekab, (2009) mentioned that poor review of
dollar dollar drawings and Changes in design is the most influencing
Suez Canal 200 600 300 factor in cost overrun of construction projects in Iraq
(Egypt-1869) then, poor contracts management and fluctuation in
Brooklyne Bridge 15 30 100 material prices [9]. Besides, the viewpoint of Bageis and
(USA-1883) Fortune. (2009) and Alfouzan, (2013) that there are many
Sydny Opera house 7 102 1457 factors lead to cost overrun in construction projects in
(Australia-1973) KSA as Decision-making regarding tenders which
The ryugyong Hotel 230 750 326 depend on the size of contractor, contractor’s
(North Korea-1992) classification status and type of main client, corruption in
Scottish Parliament 10 414 935 selling lands and government’s poor role in monitoring
Building (UK-2004) materials prices [10][11]. Whereas, Zujo et al. (2010) the
Burj Al-khalifa 800 1500 187.5 main only factor causes cost overrun in Bosnia and
(UAE-2010) Herzegovina is the delay in project's handing over [12].
In addition, Ameh et al. (2010) extracted that the junior
The problem of CO in construction projects is not factors cause cost overrun in Nigeria are the economic
confined to developing countries only but also in global stability, shortage of materials, government policies (laws
projects as clarified in table1. Also, large construction and regulations), domination of construction industry by
projects have been plagued by cost and schedule foreign firms and aids, project location and absence of
overruns [6]. In general, if the increase's rate exceeds the construction cost data [13]. But, Singh et al. (2011) and
15% in project's cost; it will be considered as cost Shanmuganathan and Baskar, (2015) mentioned that the
overrun. Hence, the normal range of cost overrun is junior factors cause cost overruns in India are
between 0 and 15%. [7]. uncompleted initial designs and poor contracts,
ineffective construction management, poorly established
3. FACTORS LEADING TO COST cost control systems, poor project (site) management,
poor cost control, additional work, Improper planning
OVERRUN IN CONSTRUCTION
and changes or discrepancies which occur during the
PROJECTS construction period [14][15].
There are many factors causing of project cost Gajewska, and Ropel, (2011) stated that the delay in
deviation in other words, causes of variations between diction making, miscalculation, and not finding the right
estimated cost or planned cost (PC) and actual cost (AC) contractor are the most influencing factors of delay the
of project which will be explained in details later. Hence, construction projects which leading to cost overrun
the researcher reviewed a lot of studies concern with the occurrence in Sweden [16]. In addition, Memon et al,
causing factors of cost overrun in construction projects. (2011), Toh et al, (2012) and Abd-Karim et al, (2013)
Many studies show that 90% of construction projects mentioned that client requirements on quality, poor
have underestimated costs and this percentage increases design and delays in design, unrealistic contract duration
in the developing countries because of the lack of and requirements imposed lack of experience, late
experience in the project management process. So, there delivery of materials and equipment, relationship
are many factors can cause cost overrun that are different between management and labor, fluctuation of prices of
from one project to another and from one place to materials, cash flow and financial difficulties faced by
another. Cost overrun will be identified, its reasons will contractors and shortages of materials are the most
be clarified, and many of previous studies will be influencing factors in cost overrun in Malaysia [7][17]
analyzed [8]. [18].
3.1. PREVIOUS STUDIES RELATED TO In addition, Mahamid et al. (2011) the junior factors
STUDY'S SUBJECT cause cost overrun in Palestine are Materials price
fluctuation, Insufficient duration for estimation, Lake of
There are a number of researches about factors leading experience in contracts, Size of contract and Poor review
to cost overrun occurrence in construction projects in of drawings [19], but, Bosenena,* (2011) saw that the
several countries (developed and developing countries), only factor causes cost overrun in Jordan is The Delay
as follow. However, it should be performed more such (Increase in duration) [5]. Whereas, Arcila, (2012) stated
studies in developing countries, in particular Egypt to that the most common cause of cost overrun in projects
face the critical problem of cost overrun in construction in UK are clients changing their mind during the course
field. Past researchers studied the factors affecting of the project, financial performance of the job contracts
construction costs from various perspectives. However, management, insufficiency in planning and design quality
different countries have different cost factors for [2]. Whereas, Banaitiene and Banaitis, (2012) stated that
lack of experience, design errors, scheduling errors and This comparison indicated to some facts as
failure to comply with contractual quality requirements, construction projects in developing countries suffer from
and technology changes in Croitia [20]. In addition, managerial, financial, contractual and project resource
Apolot et al, (2012) stated that the most influencing problems, so the decision makers should take those
factors of cost overrun in Uganda are lack of project factors in consideration to avoid cost overrun occurrence.
management during execution: insufficient and
ineffective working, delays, changes in scope of work 4. CLASSIFICATION OF COST
and location, law and order [21]. Besides, Doloi, (2013) OVERRUN FACTORS OF
clarified that the planning and scheduling deficiencies,
Methods/techniques of construction, effective monitoring CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
and feedback process, complexity of design and The following structure of cost overrun factors is
construction, improper control over site resource extracted from the previous studies analysis in both of
allocations and contractor’s deficiencies in planning and developed and developing countries. Hence, it consists of
scheduling at tender stage are the main causes of cost six main groups of cost overrun factors as technical
overrun of construction projects in Australia [22]. But, group, financial and economic group, political situation
Siemiatycki, (2015) briefly mentioned that economic and group, managerial group, project resources group and
political factors cause cost overrun in construction environmental factors group.
projects in Canada [23].
Communication
The related factors to this category are The related factors to this category are
Additional work at owner’s request, Poor coordination among the project
Scope
Changing orders and Poor scope definition participants and Lack of leadership
[2][16][21][24][25]. knowledge [21][24].
Labor
[2][6][9][14][15][19][20][24][25]. are Lack of labor and Unqualified labor
The related factors to this category are [19][25].
Financial
funding and Methods of financing and are Fluctuations in the cost of building
payments for completed works Material materials, The shortage in construction
[2][6][24][25]. materials in markets and Materials
The related factors to this category are problem[6][9][10][11][13][14][15]
Poor contractor management, [19][24][25].
Internal