Demo Probability of Simple Events Tunay

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School SAN JOSE NATIONAL Grade Level Grade 8

AGRICULTURAL AND
INDUSTRIAL HIGH SCHOOL

Teacher Applicant JORESSE TRISTA V. PASTRO Learning Area Mathematics

Teaching Dates and Time Quarter 4th

A Detailed Lesson Plan in Mathematics VIII

I. OBJECTIVES

A. Content Standard

The learner demonstrates understanding of key concepts of probability.

B. Performance Standard

The learner is able to formulate and solve practical problems involving probability of simple
events.

C. Learning Competencies/Objectives

The learner finds the probability of a simple event(M8GE-IVh-1) andsolves problems


involving probabilities of simple event (M8GE-IVi-j-1).
At the end of the lesson, the students shall be able to:
A. determine the probability of simple events;
B. identify the probability of simple events through a given sample events; and
C. solve real-life problems involving probabilities of simple events.

II. CONTENT

Probability of Simple Event

III. LEARNING RESOURCES

A. References:

 Learner’s Materials Pages :

Mathematics Learner’s Module (pp. 563-564)

 Websites :

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mOd0_zG2LXs
https://mathbitsnotebook.com/Geometry/Probability/PBCompoundEvents.html
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/331262186_LESSON_PLAN_for_Basic
_Concepts_of_Probability
https://www.academia.edu/38370404/
Lesson_Plan_on_Probability_of_Simple_Events
https://www.cliffsnotes.com/study-guides/statistics/probability/quiz-probability-
of-simple-events

B. Other Learning Materials:

 PowerPoint Presentation, cartolina, activity sheets, visuals and laptop.


Teacher’s
IV. Activity
PROCEDURE Students’ Activity

Preliminary Activities
1. Prayer

Let us all stand and pray.


Carmen, kindly lead the prayer.
(The students will pray.)
Good morning, class!
Good morning, ma’am!
Before you take your seats, pick up the pieces of paper
under your chair and arrange your chairs properly.
(The students will arrange their seats)
You may now take your seats.

2. Checking of Attendance

Class secretary, is there any absentee?

That’s good to hear! All are present today. None, ma’am!

3. Checking of Assignment

Last meeting, I have given you an assignment. Pass it


forward and I will be the one to check it.

A. Reviewing Previous Lesson

Before proceeding to our topic for today, let us first


recall what we had discussed in our previous lesson.

First, you will be divided into 4 groups. This would be


the group 1, group 2, group 3 and group 4. Then
choose a leader for each group.

At the count of 5, every group should form circle. In 1,


2, 3, 4, 5!

Are you ready, class?

Yes, ma’am!
Directions:

 Each group will be given a flag, jumbled letters


and a cartolina.
 Rearrange the set ofletters to identify a term
related to probability.
 Three minutes will be the alloted time to finish
this activity.
 For the group who has the highest number of
correct answer, will be rewarded.
 Raise your flag if you are done.

Are the instructions clear, class? Yes, ma’am!

Leader from each group, kindly get your materials here.


You may start now!

ILITPROBAYB It is a measure or
estimation of how
likely it is that an
event will occur.
TMENEERXPI It is anything that
is repeatedly do
where results may
vary even
conditions are
similar.
MALSEP ESCAP It is the set of all
possible outcomes
in an experiment.
NETEV It is any subset of
a sample space.
SEALMP INPTO It is an outcome of
an experiment.
ALCDINYARIT It is the number of
outcomes in a
sample space or in
an event
MECOUOT The result of an
experiment.
Time’s up! Post your work on the board and let’s
ILITPYOBA PROBABILIT It is
check.
RB Y measure or
estimation
of how
likely it is
that an
event will
occur.
TMENEERX EXPERIMENT It is
PI anything
that is
repeatedly
do where
results may
vary even
conditions
are similar
MALSEP SAMPLE It is the set
ESCAP SPACE of all
possible
outcomes in
an
experiment.
NETEV EVENT It is any
subset of a
sample
space.
SEALMP SAMPLE It is an
INPTO POINT outcome of
an
experiment.
ALCDINYA CARDINALIT It is the
RIT Y number of
outcomes in
a sample
space or in
an event
MECOUOT OUTCOME The result
of an
experiment.

Did you get all the correct answer, class?


Yes, ma’am!
Since, all groups got a perfect score, you will be
receiving a reward.

Good job, class!

Do you have any question regarding our previous


lesson? None, ma’am!

It seems that you really understood our last topic. So,let


us proceed to our next activity.

B. Establishing a Purpose for the Lesson

This activity is entitled “Dress Me Up”

Directions:

 Each group will be given an envelope.


 Follow the instruction inside the envelope.
 You have 3 minutes to finish the activity.
 If you are done, raise your flag.

Are the instructions clear, class?


Yes, ma’am!

You may start now!

Situation: Ms. Didith has to go to the mall to buy some


stuffs but she’s having a hard time choosing her outfit.
Now, she’s asking us to help her by showing her the
different outfit so she will have many options.

Steps to follow to help Ms. Didith:

1. Pair each top (long sleeves, sleeveless, off-


shoulder) to the bottoms (pants and skirt) given.
2. Show and list all the pairs of outfit.
Time’s up! Post your work on the board.

Ms. Didith mailed us a thank you letter. According to


her letter she said,

Dear students,

I am very pleased for the different outfits


you showed. Now, I can easily choose the
outfit I would wear. For that, all of you
will receive a gift. Thank you so much for
helping me. God bless you!

Love,
Ms. Didith

Good job, class!

How many outfits did you make? Yes, Camille? 6, ma’am!

That’s correct! Ms. Didith has 6 options of choosing


her outfit.

Did you enjoy our acitivity?


Yes, ma’am!
How about you, class? What do you usually do when
choosing your outfit?

Yes, Ellanie? I also pair my shirts with my pants or skirts to know


what outfit would fit me best.

That’s nice to hear!You will see the connection of our


activity as we go through our lesson. So, let’s proceed.

C. Presenting Examples/Instances for the New


Lesson

Have you at a certain time asked yourself the following


questions; “What are my chances of getting the correct
answer in True or False-type of question? Or, Multiple
choice-type of question? Or, should I bring my
umbrella tomorrow?

Though some of you are not aware but these questions


are simply finding the probability of an event. Now, we
will be discussing the Probability of Simple Event.

D. Discussing New Concepts and Practicing New


Skills #1

The probability of an event tells us how likely that


event is to occur.

A simple or a single event is an event with a single


outcome.

This is the formula in finding the probability of an


event.

Probability of an event = (no. of ways it can happen) /


(total number of outcomes)

The probability of an event A, written P(A), is defined


as

n( A)
P ( A )=
n(S )

Let’s say, for example; What is the probability of


rolling an even number in a die?

Let E = event of getting an even number.

Even number in a die = { 2, 4, 6}

3 1
P ( E )= = ∨0.5∨50 %
6 2
.
The probability of an event can also be written as
fraction, decimal or precentage.

Now, let’s discuss the Rules of Probability. There are


four rules of probability.

Rule no. 1: The probability of an event is a number


from 0 to 1.

So, it can be 1 or 0 or any number between 0 and 1 just


like in the first example which is ½, it is between 0 and Group 1, “Rule no. 2: The probability of an
1. impossible event is zero.”
For the second rule, group 1 kindly read.

Let’s say for example.

Example 2: When the single die is rolled, find the


probability of getting an 8.

In this situation, a die has 6 faces only and each face


contains a number 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6. Since the sample
space consists, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6 only. It is impossible
to get an 8. Using the given formula we have,

0
P ( 8 )=
6

Hence, P(8) = 0.
A probability of 0 means the event will never occur. Group 2, ”Rule no. 3: When the event is sure to
happen, then the probability is 1.”
Group 2, kindly read the 3rd rule.

Example 3: When the single die is rolled, find the


probability of getting a number less than 7.

Again, a die has 6 faces and each face contains a


number 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6. Since the sample space
consists, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6. These numbers are all less
6
than 7. So, we can write P(>7) = = 1.
6

A probability of 1 means the event will always occur.


None, ma’am!
Do you have questions, class? Group 4, “Rule no. 4: The sum of the
probabilities of all possible outcomes is 1.”
Let’s proceed. Group 4, kindly read the 4th rule.

In rolling a fair of die, each


outcome in the sample space has a
probability of 1/6. Hence, the sum of the
probabilities of the outcomes is 1. Wh
Example 4: In rolling a die, we have 6 possible
outcomes, each outcome in the sample space has a None, ma’am!
probability of 1/6. So, the sum of the probabilities of
1 1 1 1 1 1
the outcomes is 1. It is because + + + + + =1.
6 6 6 6 6 6

Do you have any question, class?

If you have no question, let us proceed.

E. Discussing New Concepts and Practicing New


Skills #2.

Now, we will find the probability of simple event.

Example: When a fair dice is thrown, what is the


probability of getting:

a) the number 5
b) a number that is a multiple of 3
c) a number that is greater than 6
d) a number that is less than 7
Solution:

A fair die is an unbiased die where each of the six


numbers is equally likely to turn up.

S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}

a) Let A = event of getting the number 5 = {5}

Let n(A) = number of outcomes in event A = 1

n(S) = number of outcomes in S = 6


Let B = event of getting a multiple of 3
1
P ( 5 )= Multiple of 3 = {3, 6}
6
2 1
P ( M 3)= =
Who wants to try letter B? Yes, Clark? 6 3

Let C = event of getting a number greater than 6

There is no number greater than 6 in the sample space


That’s correct, Clark!
S.
How about letter C? Yes, Rommel?
C ={}

0
P ( ¿ 6 )= =0
6

Very good, Rommel! Let D = event of getting a number less than 7

Numbers less than 7 = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}

How about letter D? Yes, Cha? 6


P ( ¿ 7 )= =1
6

That’s correct, Cha!

Let’s have another example:

Each of the letters HELLO is written on a card. A card


is chosen at random from the bag. What is the
probability of getting the letter ‘L’?

Solution:

Since the card is randomly selected, it means that each


card has the same chance of being selected.

S = {H, E, L 1, L 2, O} There are two cards with the


letter ‘L’

Let A = event of getting the letter ‘L’ = {L 1, L 2}


None, ma’am
2
P ( L )= =¿
5

Do you have any question, class?

If you have no question, let’s proceed to our next


activity.

F. Developing Mastery

This activity is called, “Words Can Express My Prob-


Ability”

Directions:

 Each group will be given a cartolina and an


activity sheet.
 Find the probability of each question given to
your group and simplify your answer
 Write your answer on the cartolina provided and
I will pick random student to explain your
answer.
Yes, ma’am!
 Seven minutes will be alloted in this activity.
 Raise your flag if you are done.

Are you ready?

Any representative of the group to get your materials


here.

Let’s start!

GROUP 1

1. Each of the letters ATTITUDE is


written on a card. A card is chosen at random
from the bag. What is the probability of
getting the letter ‘T’?
2. Each of the letters CHARACTER is
written on a card. A card is chosen at random
from the bag. What is the probability of
getting the letter ‘C’?
GROUP 2

1. Each of the letters DETERMINATION is


written on a card. A card is chosen at random
from the bag. What is the probability of getting
the letter ‘R’?

2. Each of the letters PERSEVERANCE is


written on a card. A card is chosen at random
from the bag. What is the probability of getting
the letter ‘E’?
GROUP 3

1. A machine used for a lottery has 10 balls.


Each ball is marked with a different single
digit from 0 to 9. One ball is randomly
selected and the digit is the winning number.
What is the probability of getting a number 3?

2. A machine used for a lottery has 10 balls.


Each ball is marked with a different single
digit from 0 to 9. One ball is randomly
selected and the digit is the winning number.
What is the probability of getting a number
GROUP
more than4 5?

1. A machine used for a lottery has 10 balls.


Each ball is marked with a different single
digit from 0 to 9. One ball is randomly
selected and the digit is the winning number.
What is the probability of getting an odd
number? GROUP 1

2. A machine used for a lottery has 10 balls. 3. Each of the letters ATTITUDE is written on a
Each ball is marked with a different single card. A card is chosen at random from the bag. What is
digit from 0 to 9. One ball is randomly the probability of getting the letter ‘T’?
selected and the digit is the winning number.
Time’s
Whatup!is Kindly post yourthat
the probability output
the on the board.
number is not Solution:Since the card is randomly selected, it means
that each card has the same chance of being selected.

S = {A, T1, T 2, I, T 3, U, D, E}


There are three cards with the letter ‘T’
Let A = event of getting the letter ‘T’ = 3
3
P (T )=
8

2. Each of the letters CHARACTER is written on a


card. A card is chosen at random from the bag. What is
the probability of getting the letter ‘C’?

Solution:Since the card is randomly selected, it means


that each card has the same chance of being selected.

S = {C1, H, A, R, A, C2, T, E, R}
There are two cards with the letter ‘C’
Let A = event of getting the letter ‘C’ = 2
2
P (C)=
9
GROUP 2

1. Each of the letters DETERMINATION is written


on a card. A card is chosen at random from the bag.
What is the probability of getting the letter ‘R’?

Solution:

Since the card is randomly selected, it means that


each card has the same chance of being selected.
S = {D, E, T, E, R1, M, I, N, A, T, I, O, N}
There is only one card with the letter ‘R’
Let A = event of getting the letter ‘R’ = 1
GROUP 3 1
P ( R )=
1. A machine used for a lottery 13has 10 balls. Each ball
is marked with a different single digit from 0 to 9. One
2. Each of the letters PERSEVERANCE is written on
ball is randomly selected and the digit is the winning
a card. A card is chosen at random from the bag.
number. What is the probability of getting a number 3?
What is the probability of getting the letter ‘E’?

Solution:
Solution:
Since the ball is randomly selected and is marked from
Since the card is randomly selected, it means that
0-9, it means that each number has the same chance of
each card has the same chance of being selected.
being selected.
S = {P, E1, R, S, E2 , V, E3, R, A, N, C, E4}
There are four cards with the letter ‘E’
SLet
= {0,
A =1,event
2, 3, of
4, getting
5, 6, 7, the
8, 9}
letter ‘E’ = {4}
There is only one ball marked with number 3.
Let A = event of getting number ‘3’ = 1
4 1
P ( E )= =1
P ( 3 )= 3
12
10

2. A machine used for a lottery has 10 balls. Each ball


is marked with a different single digit from 0 to 9. One
ball is randomly selected and the digit is the winning
number. What is the probability of getting a number
more than 5?

Solution:

Since the ball is randomly selected and is marked


from 0-9, it means that each number has the same
chance of being selected.
S = {0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9}

There are four balls marked with number greater


than 5.
Let A = event of getting numbers more than 5 = 4

4 2
P ( ¿ 5 )= =
10 5
GROUP 4

1. A machine used for a lottery has 10 balls. Each


ball is marked with a different single digit from 0
to 9. One ball is randomly selected and the digit is
the winning number. What is the probability of
getting an odd number?

Solution:

Since the ball is randomly selected and is


marked from 0-9, it means that each number
has the same chance of being selected.
S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9}
There are 5 balls marked with odd number.
Let A = event of getting an odd number is 1
5 1
P ( ON ) = =
10 2

2. A machine used for a lottery has 10 balls.


Each ball is marked with a different single digit
from 0 to 9. One ball is randomly selected and
the digit is the winning number. What is the
probability that the number is not 1?

Solution:

Since the ball is randomly selected and is


marked from 0-9, it means that each number
has the same chance of being selected.
S = {0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9}
There are 9 balls marked with numbers that
is not 1.
Very good, class! It seems that you really understood Let A = event of getting numbers that is not
our topic since all of you explained well and got all the 1 is 9.
correct answer.
9
P ( 1 )=
Do you have any question? 10
So, we will now proceed to our next activity.

G. Finding Practical Application of Concepts and


Skills in Daily Living

Our next activity is called, “Bring Me into Your


World”.

Direction: Solve the following on one whole sheet of None, ma’am!


paper. Simplify your answer and show your complete
solution. 10 minutes will be the alloted time to finish
this activity.

1. Best Buy is having an IPOD giveaway. They


put all the IPOD Shuffles in a bag. Customers
may choose an IPOD without looking at the
color. Inside the bag are 4 orange, 5 blue, 6
green and 5 pink IPODS. If Anne chooses one
IPOD at random, what is the probability she
will choose an orange IPOD?
2. A computer company manufactures 2, 000
computers each day. An average of 400 of these
computers are returned with defects. What is the
probability that the computer your purchased is
not defective?
3. Bernadette had 4 roses, 2 daisy and 7 tulips in a
vase. She randomly selected one flower to took
a photo of it and put it back. What is the
probability that she picked tulips?

Time’s up! Pass your paper forward.

1.Let O = event of getting orange IPOD

Orange IPOD = {4}

4 1
P ( O )= =
20 4

2.Let C = event of getting a computer which is not


defective

Computer with no defect = 2, 000-400={1, 600}

1,600 4
P (C)= =
H. Making Generalization and Abstraction about 2,000 5
the Lesson
3.Let T = event of getting tulips
A while ago, we discussed about the probability of
simple events.
Tulips = {7}
Any volunteer to define probability? Yes, Ven?
7
P (T )=
20
That’s correct, Ven!

How about a simple event? Yes, Mari?

That’s correct, Mari!

The probability of an event is a number which can be The probability is how a number from 0 to 1 which
written as ________? Give one, Peed? tells you how likely the event is to be happened.
Very good! Another? Yes, Joy?

That’s correct! Another? Yes, Fen?

Very good, Fren! An event with only one outcome, ma’am!

If an event will never happen, then its probability


is_____? Yes, Jin?

That’s correct, Jin!

The sum of probabilities of all outcomes in the As a fraction, ma’am


sample space is _______? Yes, Marlon?
As a decimal, ma’am
Very good, Marlon!
As a percentage, ma’am
If an event is sure to happen, then the probability is
______? Yes, Geline?

0, ma’am!
Very good, Geline!

It seems that you really understood the lesson for today.


So, now we will be having our quiz.

I. Evaluating Learning 1, ma’am!

On a one whole sheet of paper answer the following


questions. You have 15 minutes to answer.

You may start now! 1, ma’am!


Name:______________________ Date:________
Year/ Section:________________ Score:_______

Direction: Find the probability of the following.

1. Trista is asked to choose a day from a week. What is


the probability of choosing a day which starts with “S”?
2. If a letter is chosen at random from the word
PERSEVERANCE, What is the probability that the
lette chosen is “R”?
3. Choosing a month from a year, what is the
probability of selecting a month with 31 days?
4. What is the probability of getting an ace from a deck
of 52 cards?
5. A box contains 5 blue balls, 3 orange balls and 2
pink balls, what is the probability of drawing out an
orange ball?
6. A box contains 5 blue balls, 3 orange balls and 2
pink balls, what is the probability of drawing out an
pink ball?
7. What is the probability of getting a 3 from a deck of
52 cards?
8. What is the probability of getting an ace of hearts
from a deck of 52 cards?
9.If a letter is chosen at random from the word
JORESSE, What is the probability that the lette chosen
is “S”?
10. A box contains 4 blue balls, 1 yellow balls and 2
pink balls, what is the probability of drawing out an
orange and pink ball?

Time’s up! Exchange your paper with your seatmate


and we will check.

1.Trista is asked to choose a day from a week. What


is the probability of choosing a day which starts with
“S”?
2
P ( S )=
7
2. If a letter is chosen at random from the word
PERSEVERANCE, What is the probability that the
lette chosen is “R”?
2 1
P ( R )= =
12 6
3. Choosing a month from a year, what is the
probability of selecting a month with 31 days?
7
P ( M 31 )=
12
4. What is the probability of getting an ace from a
deck of 52 cards?
4 1
P ( A )= =
52 13
5. A box contains 5 blue balls, 3 orange balls and 2
pink balls, what is the probability of drawing out an
orange ball?
3
P ( O )=
10
6. A box contains 5 blue balls, 3 orange balls and 2
pink balls, what is the probability of drawing out a
pink ball?
2 1
P ( P )= =
10 5
7. What is the probability of getting a 3 from a deck
of 52 cards?
4 1
P ( 3 )= =
52 13
8. What is the probability of getting an ace of hearts
from a deck of 52 cards?
Kindly, copy your assignment and write your answer
1
on one whole sheet of paper. P ( AH )=
52
9. If a letter is chosen at random from the word
J. Additional Activities for Application or
JORESSE, What is the probability that the lette
Remediation chosen is “S”?
2
1. Give at least three situations from your experiences P ( S )=
7
wherein you wondered for a probability of a certain 10. A box contains 4 blue balls, 1 yellow balls and 2
event. pink balls, what is the probability of drawing out an
blue and pink ball?
Are you done? 6
P ( B /P ) =
7
Okay, arrange your seats properly.

Goodbye, class! God bless.

See you tomorrow!

Yes, ma’am!

(The student will arrange their seats)

Goodbye, ma’am!

Prepared by:

JORESSE TRISTA V. PASTRO

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