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Secret Sauces Finuture Final 1
Secret Sauces Finuture Final 1
Types of Risk The Treynor measure is equal to the risk premium divided by
beta, or systematic risk
Key classes of risk include market risk, credit risk, liquidity risk,
operational risk, legal and regulatory risk, business and strategic
risk, and reputation risk.
• Market risk includes interest rate risk, equity price risk, foreign
exchange risk, and commodity price risk.
Jensen measure = ap = E(Rp) — {Rp + [3p[E(RM) — Rp]}
• Credit risk includes default risk, bankruptcy risk, downgrade
risk, and settlement risk. The information ratio is essentially the alpha of the managed
portfolio relative to its benchmark divided by the tracking error,
• Liquidity risk includes funding liquidity risk and market liquidity
where tracking error is the standard deviation of the difference
risk.
between portfolio return and benchmark return.
Credit Risk Transfer Mechanisms
E(Ri) = RF + βi [E(Rmkt) – RF] APT defines the structure of returns but does not define which
factors should be used in the model. The CAPM is a special case
Measures of Performance of APT with only one factor exposure: the market risk premium.
The Fama-French three-factor model describes returns as a
The Sharpe measure is equal to the risk premium divided by the
linear function of the market index return, firm size, and book-
standard deviation, or total risk.
to-market factors.
FOUNDATION OF RISK MANAGEMENT
Risk Data Aggregation Financial engineering, involves the use of forwards,
futures, swaps, options, and securitized products to hedge
Involves defining, gathering, and processing risk data for
risk. Case studies on understanding the risks of these
measuring performance against risk tolerance/appetite.
hedging tools: Bankers Trust, Orange County, and Sachsen
Benefits include:
Landesbank.
• Increases ability to anticipate problems
Reputational risk: the way in which the general public
• Identifies routes to financial health. perceives the firm. Case study: Volkswagen. Corporate
governance: system of policies and procedures that direct
• Improves resolvability in event of bank stress how a firm is operated. Case study: Enron
• Increases efficiency, reduces chance of loss, and Cyber risk: risk of financial or reputational loss due to
increases profitability. cyberattack on internal technology infrastructure. Case
Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) study: the SWIFT system.
Integrated and centralized framework for managing firm Financial Crisis of 2007—2009
risks in order to meet business objectives, minimize Contributing factors:
unexpected earnings volatility, and maximize firm value.
Benefits include (1) increased organizational (1) banks relaxed their lending standards with move to
effectiveness, (2) better risk reporting, and (3) improved originate-to distribute model (increased subprime lending),
business performance. (2) institutions increasingly funded themselves using short-
term facilities (increased liquidity risk), and
Risk Factors for Financial Disasters
(3) the Lehman Brothers default caused a loss of
Interest rate risk: results from fluctuations in interest confidence with banks refusing to lend to each other, and
rate levels (measured using duration). Case study: the ultimately requiring central banks to provide liquidity
savings and loan (S&L) crisis in the 1980s. support.
Liquidity risk: potential for loss that results from short- GARP Code of Conduct
term funding issues. Case studies: Lehman Brothers,
Continental Illinois, and Northern Rock. Sets forth principles related to ethical behavior within the
risk management profession. It stresses ethical behavior in
Hedging strategies-, a firm must choose between a static the following areas:
hedge and a dynamic (rolling) hedge. Case study on
dynamic hedge challenges: Metallgesellschaft Refining Principles
and Marketing (MGRM).
• Professional integrity and ethical conduct
Model risk: can include making improper assumptions,
• Conflicts of interest
measuring relationships the wrong way, and deploying
the wrong model overall. Case studies: the Niederhoffer • Confidentiality
case and Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM).
Professional Standards
Rogue trader, misleading reporting can cause the
• Fundamental responsibilities
collapse of an entire organization. Case study: Barings
Bank (Nick Leeson). • Adherence to best practices