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SDGs-Goal8 BriefENG v03
SDGs-Goal8 BriefENG v03
SDGs-Goal8 BriefENG v03
MONITORING REPORT
Goal 8
Ukraine
3
CONTENTS
Acronyms and Abbreviations���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 4
Introduction������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 5
AFFORDABLE AND DECENT WORK AND INDUSTRY, INNOVATION REDUCED SUSTAINABLE CITIES RESPONSIBLE
CLEAN ENERGY ECONOMIC GROWTH AND INFRASTRUCTURE INEQUALITIES AND COMMUNITIES CONSUMPTION
AND PRODUCTION
Sustainable
Development
GOALS
4
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS – UKRAINE SDG8: DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH Goal 8
MONITORING REPORT
EU European Union
GDP Gross domestic product
GFCF Gross fixed capital formation
ICT Information and Communications Technology
IPs Industrial parks
IDPs Internally Displaced Persons
IDSS NAS Institute for Demography and Social Studies, National Academy
of Sciences of Ukraine
IMF International Monetary Fund
GII Global Innovation Index
MEDT Ministry of Economic Development and Trade of Ukrainе
MES Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine
MSP Ministry of Social Policy of Ukraine
OECD Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development
PPP Purchasing power parity
RF Russian Federation
SDG Sustainable Development Goal
SDG IWG Interagency Working Group on coordination of implementa-
tion and monitoring of SDGs
SME Small and medium-sized entrepreneurship
SSL State Service of Ukraine on Labor
SSS State Statistics Service of Ukraine
TEA Тypes of economic activity
UN United Nations
UNICEF United Nations Children’s Fund
UNIDO United Nations Industrial Development Organization
5
INTRODUCTION
The 17 Sustainable Development Goals formation SDG platform, localize the SDGs,
(SDGs) of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable and implement projects in thematic areas.
Development – adopted by world leaders in
September 2015 at an historic UN Summit – During 2016-2019, a national system of imple-
officially came into force on 1 January 2016. mentation of SDGs was established in Ukraine,
Over the next fifteen years, with these new which includes a coordination mechanism for
Goals that universally apply to all, countries strategic planning, data collection and mon-
will mobilize efforts to end all forms of pov- itoring of indicators of achievement of SDGs,
erty, fight inequalities and tackle climate preparation of reports on the progress towards
change, while ensuring that no one left be- SDGs up to 2030.
hind. Many countries around the world adapt-
ed the goals and established country-specif- The ‘Sustainable Development Goals: Ukraine’
ic development targets. Ukraine joined the national report identified 86 development tar-
SDGs and, following an inclusive process for gets and 172 indicators for monitoring them
adapting them, built a national SDGs system (http://bit.ly/SDGsUkraine).
(with 86 national development targets and
172 indicators for monitoring their achieve- The strategic SDG8 targets should be focused
ment). Following SDG adaptation, a national on youth development in Ukraine. The targets
discourse was launched in Ukraine to mon- will serve as key reference points for drafting
itor SDGs progress and improve the official upcoming strategic planning/policy documents
statistics system. The national SDG system concerning the development of youth from the
provides a solid foundation for strategic plan- perspective of securing the human rights. En-
ning of Ukraine’s future development. The abling young people’s development and self-re-
High-Level Inter-Ministerial Working Group alization is one of the most important tasks. In
(IMWG) for the implementing the SDGs in the modern world of information technology,
Ukraine under the chairmanship of the First with the scope of knowledge rapidly growing,
Vice Prime Minister of Ukraine – the Minis- young people’s creativity and activity is a driv-
ter of Economic Development and Trade of er of economic development. New challenges
Ukraine has been established in the country have arisen in Ukraine in recent years concern-
to coordinate all activities related to SDGs in ing under-utilization of labour resources aged
Ukraine. The Group includes representatives 15-24. As a result of this, migration of active
of the Ministries and Agencies (at Deputy Ukrainian young individuals abroad has dras-
minister level), the National Academy of Sci- tically increased. Recognising the challenges
ences, and the United Nations Country Team. young people will face in the changing labour
Responsibility for achieving the established market as a result of demographic changes,
targets have been placed on the Ministries technological advancements, globalisation, de-
and Agencies, which should report annually cision makers in Ukraine should put forward
on progress against designated indicators. key recommendations to ensure a youth-friend-
Work is now underway to create an open in- ly future of decent work.
6
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS – UKRAINE SDG8: DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH Goal 8
MONITORING REPORT
In Ukraine, SDG 8, on the one hand, is a means to achieve other 16 SDGs, and on the other hand, an
ultimate goal of the 2030 Agenda.
Fig. 1. Interrelation between SDG8 targets and other SDGs at the national level
SDG8: Decent work and economic growth 7
Fig. 2. Changes in actual and potential GDP during 1991-2018, % to the previous year, GDP gap, %
12 STRUCTURAL DEBT ENERGY WORLD GEOPOLITICAL
CRISIS CRISIS CRISIS FINANCIAL CRISIS
CRISIS
9
-3
-6
-9
-12
Gap
Real GDP
-15
Potential GDP
-18 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
The influence of Russia’s aggression in Crimea ✓ in these areas, in October 2014 – 15% of
and in the East of Ukraine: industrial production, 115 of the 150 coal
mines were operational, today – the decline
✓ USD 463 M – total country’s loss from the
of many settlements, mass labour migration
conflict in the Donbas (World Bank, March
of active population to other countries;
2015);
✓ within 6 years – more than 13 thousand
✓ loss of more than 7% of the territory –
dead military and civilians, 1.7 million
sources of GDP share: the Donbas – 10%
displaced persons, 300 thousand persons
of GDP, AR of Crimea – 3.7% (Kremlin
with disabilities.
Aggression in Ukraine: the Price Tag by
Anders Aslund); ✓ trade restrictions imposed by the RF:
SDG8: Decent work and economic growth 9
Fig. 3. Actual and potential GDP, % to the previous year (1991 = 100 %)
100
Real GDP
Potential GDP
90
80
76,2
73,3
69,6
70
66,2
64,7
64,2
60
50
40
2000
2008
2006
2009
2003
2004
2002
2005
2007
1998
2001
2010
2018
1996
1999
2016
1993
1994
2013
2014
1992
2012
1995
2015
1997
2017
1991
2011
2016 – food embargo; restrictions on the tran- 2018 – restriction on the movement of
sit of goods from Ukraine to the Republic of large-tonnage vessels due to the construction
Kazakhstan and the Kyrgyz Republic through of the Kerch Bridge; blockade, at the end of the
Russian Federation – the negative impact on year, of the Azov Sea ports – complicates the
GDP was, in general, 0.9 percentage points operation of some metallurgical enterprises,
(annual GDP growth could be 3.3% instead as well as enterprises producing construction
of 2.4 %); materials and those engaged in grain exports;
2017 – temporary suspension of the move- end of 2018 – special measures towards Ukrainian
ment of goods by rail and road through the entities: freezing of non-cash funds, non-docu-
contact line within the Donetsk and Luhansk mentary securities and property in the territory
Oblasts, imposed by the Ukrainian authori- of the Russian Federation; ban on the transfer of
ties in response to the intensification of hos- funds outside the Russian Federation, as well as
tilities in the East – led to a reduction of met- the prohibition by the Russian Federation on the
allurgical production by 3.5%, energy gener- importation of certain goods of Ukrainian origin,
ation – by 6.5%; first of all, machine-building products.
“
Today, Ukraine invests 5% of the country’s GDP in security and defense
in order to protect and preserve the most valuable things – the life and
safety of citizens, peace in Europe and in the world ”
Stepan Kubiv, the First Vice Prime Minister of Ukraine –
the Minister of Economic Development and Trade of Ukraine
10
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS – UKRAINE SDG8: DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH Goal 8
MONITORING REPORT
Achievement of the national SDG8 targets and • Inequality in the labour remuneration
indicators is insufficient: of men and women;
• Structural development disproportions are • Secure and safe working environment
not eliminated; for workers is not ensured;
• Slow development of innovations; • Insufficient SMEs access to financial
• High informal employment rate; resources and services.
8.1. Ensure a steady GDP growth by 8.1.1. GDP volume index (annual average), %
modernizing production, developing
innovation, increasing export potential
8.1.2. Share of gross fixed capital to GDP, %
and exporting products with high value
added
8.1.3. Share of exports of goods whose production uses
technologies of high and medium high level in total
exports of goods*, %
8.3. Increase employment 8.3.1. Employment rate among those aged 20–64, %
8.4. Reduce the share of youth not in 8.4.1. Share of youth not in employment, education
employment, education or professional or professional training in the total number of those
training aged 15–24, %
8.5. P
romote a safe and secure working 8.5.1. Number of victims of accidents at work that led
environment for all workers, including to disability of 1 day or more, % of 2015 level
through the application of innovative
technologies in terms of health and 8.5.2. Number of workers killed in accidents at work,
safety % of 2015 level
8.6. C reate institutional and financial 8.6.1. Number of persons employed by SMEs,
capacities for the self-realization of millions of persons
the potential of the economically active
population and the development of the 8.6.2. Share of value added against production costs
creative economy of SMEs, % of total value added against production
costs
SDG8 PRIORITIES
Achievement of SDG8 and following the de- ta under PPP, provided that Ukraine’s economy
termined growth path – 4% by 2020, 6% – by grows evenly from 2019 at 2018 potential level
2025 and 7% – by 2030 – are and remain one (estimated at approx. 3.3%) with EU growth
of the main priorities for Ukraine. rate of 2.2% (average for the past 5 years);
For the reference: 150 years are needed for 39 years – subject to GDP growth rates defined
Ukraine to achieve EU level of GDP per capi- under SDG8.
Table 1.
During 2016-2018, real GDP grew by 8.4%, but • insufficient external demand, including
it is still below the pre-crisis level of 2013 by caused by new protectionist policies
8.7 %. spreading in the world.
The lagging of the average annual GDP Fig. 4. GDP growth during 2016-2018, % (2015=100)
growth rate of 2.7% behind the national in-
France 5
dicator 8.1.1 of 4% was caused by:
UK 5,1
• negative impact on prduction of various Germany 5,9
trade and transit restrictions, in particular, Denmark 6,2
imposed by the Russian Federation during EU-28 6,5
2016-2018, and Ukraine’ s mirror response
Sweden 7,4
actions;
Austria 7,5
• incomplete replacement of losses of the Ukraine 8,4
traditional Russian market by the entry Lithuania 10,3
into new markets and expansion in the Slovakia 10,8
European markets, due to the complexity Hungary 11,7
and length of the processes of entering Latvia 11,9
new markets;
Estonia 12,8
• insufficient introduction of innovative Poland 13,6
products and technology in the industry that
Source: Eurostat, estimations of the Ministry of Economic Development and
would help to win new markets; Trade according to the State Statistics Service
The source of the economic growth during Gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) resumed
2016-2018 was domestic consumer and invest- after a three-year drop by 36.8% within 2013-
ment demand. 2015:
• growth of GFCF by 59.8% in 2016-2018
Active expansion of investment demand of the
allowed to exceed its 2013 pre-crisis
non-financial sector (more than 70% of invest-
level by 10.3%;
ment financing) and state governance sector
(more than 12%) supported the trend towards • share of GFCF in the GDP increased
investment and innovation renewal of produc- in 2018 to 17.2 % versus 13.5 % in
tion in the face of aggravation of global com- 2015 and exceeded the 2013 level
petition and a significant loss of the traditional (16.9 % of GDP).
Russian market.
14
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS – UKRAINE SDG8: DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH Goal 8
MONITORING REPORT
Source: Eurostat.
During 2016-2018, there was a positive, albeit Accordingly, there is a lagging behind the
insignificant, contribution of external demand achievement of the national indicator 8.1.3.
for main goods of domestic export to the eco- of SDG8, determined for the proportion
nomic growth in the context of a better foreign of exports of high and medium-high-tech
economic situation. goods in the total volume of exports of
goods at the level of 25% at the end of 2020.
The trends of growing exports of high and me-
dium-high-tech goods emerged: The dynamic of export of high-tech services
significantly accelerated:
• volume of exports of these goods increased
by 27.5% during 2017-2018, but this • according to the National Bank of Ukraine
increase was insufficient to compensate for during 2016-2018, the positive balance of
losses incurred within 2013-2016 as a result trade in telecommunication, computer and
of the reduction of the volume of exports of information services increased by 1.9 times
these goods by 66.2%; (from USD 1.5 bn in 2015 to USD 2.9 bn in
2018), and
• proportion of these goods in the total
volume of exports increased in 2018 • he share of these services in the export of
to 17%, compared with 16.8% in 2017, services increased from 16.9 % in 2015 to
however, it was still lower than the 2015 22% in 2018.
level (19.2 %).
Monitoring of progress towards achieving SDG8 15
Fig. 7. Export of machine building production to certain countries in 2013 and 2018.
Currently, these service sectors should be ity largely depends on the attractiveness of
considered as accelerators of Ukraine’s eco- these sectors for small and medium enter-
nomic growth in the near future. They ade- prises, the development of which is a priority
quately and quickly respond to both domes- for the Government of Ukraine
tic policy and external changes. This flexibil-
• in the information and telecommunication Given the increase in the volume of fixed as-
sector – by 15.6%, sets, and, accordingly, the growing production
potential, this negative outcome is a reflection
• in the professional, scientific and technical
of the negative effects of external challenges
activity – by 11.1% that restrict the demand for domestic prod-
ucts or the possibilities of their production
However, there was no stable trend towards and transportation. Another factor is the lack
the increase in return on fixed assets during this of introduction of innovative products by the
period, which casts doubt on the achieve- domestic industrial businesses.
ment in 2020 of the national indicator 8.2.1.
at the level of 0.13.
Fig. 8. Index of changes in the fixed assets return factor in 2017, % (2015=100) .
Construction 129,4
Administrative and support service activities 108,7
Accommodation and food service activities 106,7
Transport, warehousing, рostal and courier activities 104,3
Manufacturing 103,4
Other services 102,4
Ukraine 100,0
Professional, scientific and technical activities 99,9
Information and communication 99,9
Real estate activities 99,5
Art, entertainment and recreation 96,2
Financial and insurance activities 95,7
Electricity, gas, steam, and airconditioning supply 91,3
Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles 90,2
Mining and quarrying 87,7
Agriculture, forestry and fishing 81,5
Water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation 74,4
Source: State Statistics Service, estimations of the Ministry of Economic Development and Trade
Somewhat better was the dynamic of labour The factors of labour productivity growth were,
productivity per one employed (indicator 8.2.2.). on the one hand, the upgrades that contributed
to the intensification of production per one em-
It grew annually by 2.9% on average, starting ployed, and on the other hand – better incentives
from 2016, and within 3 years increased by linked to the introduced labour remuneration re-
8.9% (5.2% within 2016-2017, which is signifi- form (reduction of tax burden in 2016 and a sig-
cantly higher than the dynamic of capital pro- nificant increase in the minimum wage in 2017),
ductivity). which improved the motivation of workers.
18
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS – UKRAINE SDG8: DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH Goal 8
MONITORING REPORT
However, the dynamic of productivity re- 2014-2015 in connection with the loss of
mained lower than the national indicator a significant share of the Russian market.
8.2.2. of SDG 8, set at 4% on average for At the same time, the share of processing
2016-2020. manufacturing industries with the use of
high technological processing, as compared
Unlike the return on assets, labour productivity to 2015, did not change and amounted to
grew across the majority of types of economic 0.6%, but increased compared to 2013
activities (TEAs). level – 0.4%.
TEAs in the service sector with the use of Fig. 9. L abour productivity growth rate in 2018
high and medium-high technology in produc- (in international dollars by PPP 2011),%
tion had one of the highest rates of productiv-
Latvia 5,9
ity growth.
Georgia 5,1
As a result: Ukraine 4,4
Belarus 4,2
• the growth rate of processing Poland 3,5
manufacturing industries with the use of Czech Republic 3,4
high and medium-high technology exceeded
Kazakhstan 3,3
the growth rate of industry as a whole:
Lithuania 2,7
• in 2017, compared with 2015, the share of Turkey 2,5
processing manufacturing industries with Slovakia 2,2
the use of medium-high technological Germany 1,8
processing increased to 2.6% in the EU 1,6
structure of gross value added, although France 1,4
the 2013 level – 2.8% – was not achieved,
Italy 0,8
which is a consequence of significant
reduction of production during the crisis Source: World Bank, ilo.org
Fig. 10. L abour productivity per one employed by types of economic activities1 in 2017 (2015=100)
Construction 149,5
Financial and insurance activities 137,3
Information and communication 119,1
Professional, scientific and technical activities 112,9
Administrative and support service activities 112,8
Real estate activities 112,6
Accommodation and food service activities 112,6
Other services 110,1
Industry 109,4
Agriculture, forestry and fishing 109,3
Transport, warehousing, ostal and courier
р activities 109,0
Ukraine 108,9
Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles 106,6
Art, entertainment and recreation 105,2
Education 101,0
Public administration and defence, compulsory social security 99,9
Human health and social work activities 99,5
– By types of economic activities, labour productivity is estimated on the basis of gross value added and the number of employed population aged 15-70 years.
1
Source: State Statistics Service, estimations of the Ministry of Economic Development and Trade.
Monitoring of progress towards achieving SDG8 19
The share of TEAs of the service sector with International comparisons. According to Eu-
the use of high and medium-high technology in rostat data, in 2011, the share of TEAs of the
production in the structure of gross value add- processing industry with the use of high-tech
ed in the economy within 2016-2018 continu- processing was 1.3% in the structure of gross
ously increased from 8.9% in 2015 to 9.8% in value added of the European Union economies
2018 (8.9% in 2013). This once again indicates (27 countries), while the medium-high-tech
the high potential of these TEAs in the forma- processing – 5.1%.
tion of Ukraine’s GDP in the near futureі
Table 3. D
ynamic of processing industry TEAs with the use of high and medium-high manufacturing
technology, % compared with the previous year
Table 4. S
hares of processing industry TEAs with the use of high and medium-high manufacturing
technology in the structure of gross value added in the economy by the level of technology use, %
In the context of the three-year economic • in 2017 – 19.1% in the context of raising the
growth, in 2018, the employment rate among minimum wage from UAH 1,439 to UAH
those aged 20-64 increased from 64.4% in 3,200 and the de-shadowing of wages as a
2015 to 65.6% in 2018. This allows to expect result of introduction of a new methodology
the achievement of the national indicator for determining the minimum wage;
8.3.1. of SDG 8 set at 66% by the end of 2020.
• in 2018 – 12.5% in the context of average
wage raising in the economy at a rate
The increase in the employment rate occurred
higher than the raising of the minimum
in the context of introduction of a new social
wage, in response to the continuing
policy, which included the reform of the sys-
migration-related outflow of personnel.
tem of labour remuneration and taxation on
wages, as well as measures aimed at creating
Overall, over three years, real wages in-
new jobs. In particular:
creased by 46% and even exceeded the 2013
• in 2016, the real wage growth amounted to level by 9%.
9 % in the context of lowering the rate of
the single contribution for mandatory state The positive trends include a reduction in the
social insurance from 34.7% to 22%; gap between the higher average wage of men
20
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS – UKRAINE SDG8: DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH Goal 8
MONITORING REPORT
and women’s wage from 25.1% in 2015 to es was 71.9%, while among those employed
22.3% in 2018, although there still is gender the share of such workers was 12.2%.
wage gap.
Among women, the share of self-employed
Fig. 11. E mployment rate among those aged 20-64 exceeded the corresponding indicator among
in 2018,% men (74.6% vs. 70.1 %), and in rural areas
it was twice as high as in urban settlements
Czech Republic 79,9
(91% and 42.2 % respectively).
Germany 79,9
Lithuania 77,8
Latvia 76,8
The number of those economically inactive
EU 73,2
aged 20-64 is another indicator that charac-
Slovakia 72,4
terizes the increase in employment and the
Poland 72,2 improvement of the labour market situation in
France 71,3 Ukraine through creation of decent jobs, im-
Ukraine 65,6 provement of conditions for self-employment,
Italy 63 and raising incentives for work. It decreased
Turkey 55,6 over the past three years by 5.8% and in 2018
amounted to 6.9 million persons, or about one
Source. Eurostat. third of the total population of this age (28.2%
vs. 29.2% in 2015).
One of the positive outcomes of the Govern-
ment’s social reforms aimed at increasing the Every second economically inactive person
income of the population was the formation of was a pensioner, every third was performing
a tendency towards the de-shadowing of home (family) duties, every tenth was a stu-
wages and reduction of the level of informal dent. At the same time, compared with 2015,
employment. Due to the stimulating effect of the number of those “frustrated” (working-age
raising the minimum wages in the economy unemployed persons that stopped active job
and the salary of workers of the I tariff catego- search because they lost hope to find the job)
ry in the context of a significant reduction of significantly decreased by 37.2%; the number
taxation in 2016, the level of the shadow econ- of those that did not know where and how to
omy, estimated on the basis of “expenditures look for a job decreased by 4 times; the number
of population – retail trade turnover”, decreased of those that believe that there is no suitable
within 2016-2018 by 11 percentage points to work decreased by 38.3%. These categories
46% of the official GDP (57% in 2015, 51% for 2018 make up 120.6 thousand persons, or
in 2016, and 48% in 2017). On the whole, the 1.7% of the working-age economically inactive
integral indicator of the shadow economy lev- population versus 210.6 thousand persons and
el decreased within 2016-2018 in response to 3.1%, respectively, compared with 2015.
the restoration of macroeconomic stability and
economic growth in the context of implemen- Consequently, the new social policy, which
tation of reforms in Ukraine – by 10 percentage was implemented during 2016-2018, generally
points to 30% of GDP – the lowest over the stimulated employment growth and, accord-
past 11 years. ingly, economic growth, de-shadowing and
contributed to the improvement of material
The informal employment level decreased situation of population, and thus, the reduction
from 26.2% of the total number of the em- of poverty (according to the absolute criteri-
ployed in 2015 to 21.6% in 2018, the number on: equivalent expenditures below the actual
of the informally employed in 2018 was 3.5 mil- subsistence minimum), which for 9 months of
lion. Usually, the representatives of certain so- 2018 amounted to 45% versus 58.3% in 2015.
cio-economic groups are engaged in informal
employment. However, the still relatively low standard of
living of the population did not allow to stop
Thus, informal labour relations predominated in both external and internal labour migration, the
the self-employment sector, where the share dynamic of which remained high during 2016-
of the population working in informal work plac- 2018.
Monitoring of progress towards achieving SDG8 21
Fig. 12. Population aged 20-64 by reasons of economic inactivity, thous. people
3628
Pensioners
3973,7
Perform home (family) duties 2137,6
2044
Pupils, students 692,5
723,8
By state of health 111,9
127,6
Other 107,6
117,2
Dependents 76,7
91,9
Discouraged 65,2
103,9
Think that there is no suitable work 48,5
78,6
Have a seasonal work 18,5
24,2
Hope to return to the previous job 9,1
15 2018
Don't know where and how to search for a job 6,9 2015
28,1
According to the State Statistics Service sur- ly occupied areas of the Donetsk and Luhansk
vey, in 2015-2017, the number of migrant work- Oblasts and the AR of Crimea were registered.
ers outside Ukraine amounted to 1,303.3 thou-
sand people, which is by 10.3% more than in Therefore, the state should continue to pay
2010-2012, taking into account the demograph- considerable attention to the labour market de-
ic changes. velopment, creation of decent jobs, conditions
for entrepreneurship development, wage and
As of April 22, 2019, according to the Unified pension reforms, which will encourage Ukrai-
Information Database of Internally Displaced nians to realize their abilities and embody their
Persons, 1.4 million IDPs from the temporari- dreams in Ukraine.
In 2018, compared with 2015, the share of fits) and close relatives (performed family du-
youth not in employment, education or profes- ties, receive a survivor’s pension, supported
sional training reduced to 14.5%, which today and not working “for health reasons”). At the
is well below the national indicator 8.4.1. of same time, the state could use this untapped
SDG 8, set at 17% by the end of 2020 and potential of youth, creating conditions for the
15.5% by the end of 2030. realization of their knowledge and skills, using
the wide possibilities of information technolo-
54% of young people aged 15-24 were not in gy and organizing various forms of domestic
employment, education or professional train- work.
ing being supported by the state (social bene-
22
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS – UKRAINE SDG8: DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH Goal 8
MONITORING REPORT
Fig. 13. Y
outh not in employment, education or employment of this group of young people are
professional training in 2018, % related to the lack of dynamic general econom-
ic development in Ukraine, the underdeveloped
Turkey 24,4 labour market infrastructure, the lack of moti-
Italy 19,2 vation and skills among youth to independent-
Ukraine 14,5 ly acquire knowledge as well as the low level
France 11,1 of vocational guidance of youth on the labour
force needs of the economy.
EU-28 10,5
Slovakia 10,2
In 2018, as in previous years, among young
Poland 8,7 people aged 15-24 in this category there were
Lithuania 8,0 more women than men. Thus, the share of
Latvia 7,8 women in the total number of persons aged
15-24 was 17.8%, and men – 11.3%. The main
Source: Eurostat. reason that women were not in employment,
education or professional training was the per-
Part of young people were not in employment, formance of family duties (58%). This indicates
education or professional training due to rea- a significant imbalance in the gender composi-
sons connected with low awareness of the la- tion of this category of young people, since the
bour market needs. In 2018, the share of these share of men that perform family duties was
young people was 6%. The problems with the only 15%.
Fig. 14. R
easons why youth aged 15-24 were not in employment, education or professional training in 2017,
by gender
1,3 Women
Other
3,8
Men
0,1
Hope to return to the previous job
0,0
0,0
Have a seasonal work
0,4
1,5
Think that there is no suitable work
2,7
0,1
Don't know where and how to search for a job
0,8
1,5
Dependents
3,7
0,5
Discouraged
3,0
0,9
By state of health
2,5
57,9
Perform home (family) duties
16,3
31,1
Unemployment
52,3
5,1
Persons who receive a survivor's pension
14,6
Source. State Statistics Service, estimations of the Ministry of Economic Development and Trade.
Monitoring of progress towards achieving SDG8 23
In 2018, for the first time in the past 3 years, 2015 only in 2017). Target indicator – reduction
the level of accidents at work that led to dis- in 2020 to 70% of 2015 level.
ability of 1 day or more decreased compared
to 2015 level by 3% and amounted to 4.1 ac- The main causes of accidents, including fatal
cidents per 1,000 workers. However, this dy- ones, are organizational. The most common
namic is insufficient to achieve the national among them are as follows: non-compliance with
indicator 8.5.1 of SDG 8, set at 75% of the the requirements of occupational safety instruc-
2015 level by 2020. tions, non-fulfillment of official duties, violation of
rules of traffic safety, technological process etc.
The situation with the achievement of the
second national indicator 8.5.2 of SDG 8 is Therefore, one of the priority activity areas for
currently worse. Thus, the number of fatal all enterprises should be the formation of the
work accidents in 2018 increased by 9% com- occupational safety culture, since a healthy and
pared to 2015 and amounted to 0.4 accidents self-conscious workforce is the driving force of
per 1,000 workers (it was by 2% lower than in the state’s future.
Fig. 15. D
istribution of the number of victims of accidents by the most traumatic accident causes for 2018
Psychophysiological causes Technical reasons
The most hazardous types of activities in Ukraine In 2018, the number of fatal accidents across
are construction, mining and quarrying, metallur- these types of activities amounted to 70% of
gical production, agriculture, trade and transport. all fatal accidents.
24
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS – UKRAINE SDG8: DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH Goal 8
MONITORING REPORT
Fig. 16. D
istribution of the number of victims of accidents according to the N-1 acts by the most hazardous
sectors of the economy where the accidents occurred for 2018
Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) In 2017, the share of workers employed by SMEs,
are more flexible to changes and adapt to them as well as entrepreneurs in the total number of
more quickly. Ukraine’s experience confirms the employed in the economy reached 80.8%
this. (79.1% – in 2015 and 75.5% in 2013).
The Government of Ukraine identified dereg- ty. During these sessions, 72 regulatory acts
ulation, development of entrepreneurship and were adopted within 3 years, of which 26 reg-
competition as one of the policy priorities. The ulatory acts were adopted in 2018.
“deregulation” Government sessions were
held on a quarterly basis (starting from Q IV As a result, in 2016-2018, Ukraine’s Doing Busi-
of 2016) in order to make decisions aimed ness ranking grew by 10 positions and in 2018
at improving the conditions of SMEs activi- it ranked 71st among 190 countries.
26
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS – UKRAINE SDG8: DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH Goal 8
MONITORING REPORT
However, today, the progress in the Doing On the one hand, the general Ukraine’s
Business rating is slower than planned, ranking was objectively influenced by sig-
which threatens the achievement of the na- nificant positive changes in other countries,
tional indicator 8.6.3, set as 30th in 2020. since many of them are guided by the Doing
Business rating in their internal regulations.
Fig. 19. C
ertain countries’ position in the Doing Thus, according to World Bank statistics, for
Business 2019 rating 16 years of existence of the rating, 3,500 re-
forms were implemented. From 02.06.2017
Lithuania 14 to 01.05.2018, 128 countries implemented re-
Latvia 19
cord-breaking 314 reforms aimed to improve
the regulation in all areas that are measured
Germany 24 for this rating.
France 32
On the other hand, Ukraine’s ranking was also
Poland 33 negatively influenced by the lack of progress in
Czech Republic 35
a number of reforms: “taxation” – 11 positions
(from 43rd to 54th); “connection to the electric
Belarus 37 grid” – 7 positions (from 128th to 135th); “reg-
Slovakia 42
istration of enterprises” – 4 positions (from
52nd to 56th); “obtaining loans” – 3 positions
Italy 51 (from 29th to 32nd).
The best
Ukraine 71 place – 1
The effect of the implemented regulatory re-
Source: Doing Business 2019. forms in Ukraine was most positive for such
high-tech types of economic activities as “In-
Fig. 20. Ukrainian clusters registered with the European Cluster Collaboration Platform
formation and Telecommunications”, “Health- tional framework for the development and im-
care and Social Assistance”. According to the re- plementation of high and medium-high-tech
sults of 2016-2017, there are positive outcomes industries, the latest innovative and digital
by all three dimensions – the number of SMEs, technology, environmentally-friendly (green)
the number of those employed by SMEs, the technology and the development of creative
share of value added against production costs industries.
of SMEs.
At the European Cluster Collaboration Plat-
At the same time, the TEA “Information and form, there are currently 22 registered
Telecommunications” became the leader Ukrainian clusters, including 9 IT clusters, and
among all other TEAs by the increase in the by the general number of participants – 69.7%
number of SMEs by 26.5%, and ranked sec- are SMEs.
ond by the increase in the number of the em-
ployed – by 16% to 265.3 thous. persons, and In 2015, there were 16 industrial parks (IPs) in
the share of value added – by 14.9 percentage Ukraine, and within 2016-2018, 25 new ones
points. were registered. Among the total number of
the newly-established IPs, 6 IPs operate in
The development of the TEA “Information and the field of information and telecommunica-
Telecommunications” in Ukraine is facilitated tions, 4 IPs are engaged in research activities,
not only by the high level of education and pro- 13 IPs produce machinery and equipment, 12
fessional training, simplification of business IPs produce electric equipment, 2 IPs produce
environment in the country implemented by computers, electronic and optical products.
the Government, but also by the recent ac- This confirms the recent trend towards the
celeration of economy clustering and develop- development of high and medium-high-tech
ment of industrial parks. This creates institu- industries.
Fig. 21. I ndustrial parks included in the Industrial Park Register as of 15.05.2019
The clustering of the economy and the estab- The progress is restrained by slow implemen-
lishment of a network of IPs become the driv- tation of necessary reforms in the areas of
ing force of the modern global transformations “taxation”, “connection to the electric grid”,
and changes in the development agenda in “registration of enterprises”, “obtaining of
Ukraine, but the effectiveness of the initiated loans”. In particular, the issue of expanding
changes should improve. the granting of loans to SMEs by commercial
banks, which is stipulated by several state
Currently, the achievement of national indi- strategic documents, remains unaddressed.
cators 8.6.1 – number of persons employed The funding of projects on the arrangement
by SMEs and 8.6.2. – share of value added of industrial parks included in the IP Register
against production costs of SMEs, as a per- and ensuring the access of these IPs to the
centage of the total value added by costs engineering and transport infrastructure are
(Table 3.22.), as well as indicator 8.6.3 – very limited.
Ukraine’s position in the Doing Business
rating remain compromised.
Integration of SDG8 targets into national development agenda 29
Fig. 22. Inclusion of goals and targets in the Government’s Medium-Term and annual plans
Decisions adopted by the IWG include as fol- • approval of the list of topics of the national
lows: thematic reports to be covered in the
Reports on achievement of SDGs in Ukraine
• division and corresponding assignment of
in the framework of monitoring;
central executive bodies by SDG targets;
• approval of the concept of annual and five- • analysis and evaluation of the degree of
year monitoring reports on assessment of incorporation of SDG targets into strategic
the progress towards SDGs in Ukraine; (policy) documents of the Government;
Fig. 23. S
tatus of SDG incorporation into the current regulatory acts (national strategic and policy documents)
The 6 targets of SDG 8 are essentially incorporat- tation of which is aimed at ensuring the achieve-
ed into 9 current strategic and policy documents ment of objectives of the regulatory acts.
through the implementation of 54 objectives (44
of which are up to 2018), identified in these docu- SDG 8 targets 8.3., 8.4. and 8.5 are fully incor-
ments, and 200 activities (of which 133 activities porated into strategic and policy documents.
are to be implemented by 2018), the implemen- Targets 8.1, 8.2 and 8.6 are partly incorporated.
Fig. 24. Degree of incorporation of SDG 8 and SDG 8 targets into the regulatory acts, %
32
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS – UKRAINE SDG8: DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH Goal 8
MONITORING REPORT
Fig. 25. Distribution of indicators by the intensity and speed of achievement of the target values
34
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS – UKRAINE SDG8: DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH Goal 8
MONITORING REPORT
Target 8.2 is only by 20% incorporated into with high value added; target 8.6 - in terms of
the strategic and policy documents of Ukraine. developing creative economy; target 8.2 - in
The progress in the achievement of indicators terms of systemic development of high-tech
is partial. Thus, labour productivity grew, but at industries and to incorporate target 8.5 as the
the same time the productivity of assets re- previous regulatory act expired.
mained mostly unchanged. The lack of gener-
al progress is, in essence, a reflection of the Step 2:
insufficient intensity of production growth in to accelerate the implementation of the reform
general. One of the reasons is the lack of a on deregulation and development of compe-
comprehensive vision of the development of tition, guarantee and protection of property
production and, in particular, of high-tech com- rights, building a stable, transparent and sim-
petitive industries. ple tax system, reform of the system of labour
remuneration and tax reform, decentraliza-
Target 8.6 – as of the end of 2018, it was in- tion, elimination of corruption at all levels, and
corporated by 80%. The creative industries in de-shadowing of the economy.
general were not covered by the state policy
measures. The existing forms of SME develop- Step 3:
ment support were insufficient, as they were in order to ensure the necessary progress in
not backed up by financial resources. the implementation of all SDG 8 targets, it is
necessary, as evidenced by the monitoring of
Target 8.5 is incorporated by 100%, but the ab- the achievement of SDG 8, to strengthen the
solute majority of activities of the National So- focus of the state policy on the following:
cial Program for Improvement of Occupational
(і) establishment and development of high-tech
Safety and Working Environment for 2014-2018,
competitive industries (from fundamental
which were aimed at achieving the target 8.5,
science to production and maintenance);
have not been implemented due to the lack of
planned financing. This is partly the reason why (іі) further intensification of investments,
there is no tangible progress towards indicator. implementation of infrastructure projects
8.5.2 - number of workers killed in accidents at (highways, transport interchanges, high-
work. speed passenger railways, vehicles for
railways and waterways: cars, barges,
In relation to the remaining targets – 8.3 and power grids etc.);
8.4 – there is sufficient progress allowing to ex- (ііі) strengthening institutional and financial
pect the achievement of the national indicators support for the development of innovative
by 2020. This was also facilitated by, among processes and products, protection of
other things, the effective implementation of intellectual property;
activities included in the strategic and policy
documents. (іv) support for exports with high gross value
added;
At the same time, the current progress towards (v) ensuring financial stability and improving
these targets is controversial and may also be conditions of access to financial resources
triggered by the development of several nega- for both internal and external market
tive trends: increase in the number of people players, including SMEs.
(including youth) that go to work abroad; grow-
ing number of retired young people, which is a Step 4
result of an ongoing military conflict in Ukraine; to review the indicators of achievement of the
emergence of problems associated with the SDGs in Ukraine. The goals should be ambi-
“demographic decline” of the 1990s and early tious. If monitoring is currently showing that
2000s. Therefore, their implementation should there are achievable goals in the short term
remain in the focus of the Government. perspective – it is worth to aim higher.
Step 1: Step 5:
to complete the incorporation of target 8.1 in to change the system and extend the perspec-
terms of export to foreign markets of products tive of state strategic planning.
Conclusions and Recommendations 35
• blurs goals and objectives; The draft Law of Ukraine On State Strategic
• disperses rather than concentrates the Planning, developed by the Ministry of Econom-
necessary financial and human resources. ic Development and Trade together with other
interested central executive bodies, which is
The outcome of such non-systemic activity is, based on the fundamentally new principles of
among others, the underfunding of important forming a system of state strategic planning
objectives and activities, the low degree of and forecasting instruments that envisage sig-
their implementation, the overlapping of func- nificant changes in the system and structure of
tions, objectives and activities among execu- such documents, their hierarchy, the compo-
tive authorities, the low responsibility. sition of entities responsible for the develop-
ment and approval, monitoring and evaluation
In order to overcome this “chaos” at the state of efficiency, as well as public reporting on the
level in the same way as it was done in Ukraine implementation of objectives and activities,
at the regional level and in the security and achievement of goals envisaged by all state
defense sector, it is expedient to introduce strategic planning documents is aimed to ad-
ACTION PLAN FOR IMPLEMENTATION OF THE REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT FORECAST OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT
STRATEGY (5) OF UKRAINE (5)
REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT
BUDGET DECLARATION (3)
STRATEGIES (15)
Action Plan for implementing Regional Development Strategies (5) Program of activity of the
Cabinet of Ministers
of Ukraine (5)
Development Strategies of cities, towns, villages,
Regional united territorial communities (5)
development Strategies for the
agreement (3) Action Plan of the Cabinet development of individual
Iocal financial plans (3) of Ministers of Ukraine (5) industries (spheres) + plan
/ nationwide programs (5)
Programs of socio-economic and cultural development of
the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, regions, districts, cities, Strategic plans of central
towns, villages, the united territorial community (1) executive bodies (5)
BUDGETS
36
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS – UKRAINE SDG8: DECENT WORK AND ECONOMIC GROWTH Goal 8
MONITORING REPORT
dress this issue. The Draft Law also envisages ative economy or raw material and agrarian econ-
that all documents of the new system should omy. What will happen to the environment, will
be interlinked and linked to budgeting, which Ukrainians stay in Ukraine. The answers to these
will reduce the dispersion of the budget funds questions also impact the choice of tools and
and allow to concentrate them on achievement decisions of the current state policy, as well as
of the identified goals. understanding and perception of these decisions
by the public.
The analysis of achievement of SDG 8 revealed
that 7 out of 9 strategic documents, whose ob- The foresight research on the development of sci-
jectives and activities are aimed at achieving ence, technology, economy, society and ecology
SDG 8, have a perspective by 2022. This insig- within the coming 10, 20 and 30 years, which, in
nificant planning timeframe does not allow the turn, forms the basis for the development of a
public to understand the ultimate goal of all the vision of Ukraine’s future, is to help in addressing
steps currently implemented by the authorities. this difficult issue. Ukraine should also look be-
For example, what economy will Ukraine have in yond the horizon, despite the numerous issues it
2050 – green, the economy of industries 4.0, cre- is currently facing.