4129123, 5:07 PM Decision Science - Harvard Law School Center on the Legal Profession
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Decision Science
udgeene, preference, choice
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researc and understand decison making more fenerly? Baruch Fish,
Judiia Decision Makin
5 professor in the department of engineering and public policy a Carnegie Mellon, and
Stephen .Broomell a profesor af socal and decision selences at Carnegie Mallon,
bring a multdisiptnary bucground tothe question na review essay tet
ds tn a "igen and Decision Making” Drawing on psychology, economics and computer
sence, among others, Pschhof and Broomell evew key clement fdecision-
tihng prccaoce— jolie prefrete aed ioscan and dese,
‘hat research has lento each tage ofthe proces
+ Judgment "Sound decisions they write, "require predicting what willhappen if
diferent choices are made. The quality of those gidgments can be evant in
SuntemeDecsons terms of ther acuracy oF their ensistency” Questions af gent can be
turer ren dow into gestions sch How aerate o people
‘Tas Gantt sutomant understand the world andiow much do people ow ad how wl tat impact
ee thelr decision”
=aamy| terion for preferences" and that people can prefer whatever they want?
However, prelerence does iol, they argue, beng able wo compare outcomes
and make trade-offs In other words, how do people weigh possible ourcomnes?
Choice: Finally, choice is about how people combiae vei udgments and tele
preferences to reach a decision plat In studying how individuals make choles,
echho and Eroomel emphasize the use of'delsion modeling where
researchers give weight to various actors anc ute ttt procecie, ke
‘olple regression analy, to understand "the relative portance af the fctone
To flesh out these concepts, the authors draw pri
mpl observational itso revel empirical ress Forinsance, one experimen
ove ints the consistency of inl bi wing the gies of ary ial
Ay from experiments-not
conclude tat ‘people eat contradictory evidence (which says diferent ting about
the same event diferent than they west conflicting evidence (whic points in
erent diectins) Sell other experiment call on subjects to make medal
eelsions given certain sk
‘What should we make of this? First and foremost, understanding and expining