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ET - Mathematical and Chicago School
ET - Mathematical and Chicago School
and
Mathematical School of Thought
Evolution of Mathematical School
01 02 03 04
-Kenneth Boulding
Earliest Proponents
• Ceva, Beccaria, Canard and Whewell all noticed that prices were expressed as ratios
but were unable to conceptualize if the ratios were determinate or whether they had any
mathematical integrity
• Mathematical writers prior to the neoclassicals looked at physics of motions also called
“rational mechanics” in search of analogies in order to conceptualize value. All these
writers were linked by the fact of failure of analogy between price system and rational
mechanics. That is the numerical character of prices was not sufficient to apply
mathematics to economic analysis.
Beginning of Marginalist Revolution
• After around 1870,the analogical barrier was breached by the influx of scientists and
physicians in the field of political economy. Also it was only in 17th century that calculus
was invented
• This was when William Stanley Jevons, Léon Walras, Francis Ysidro Edgeworth, Irving
Fisher, Vilfredo Pareto, and many others entered the scene.
Tjalling Koopmans
- Tjalling Koopmans
Plurality and Mathematics
● There was no one way that mathematics ● Rather as Debrue put it “ The fact
was introduced in economics. The hunch that commodity space has the
existed long back but was later structure of a real vector space is a
conceptualised as the societies evolved basic reason for the success of the
and became more organised and required mathematicization of economic
extensive objectivity. theory”
● The fact that price and quantity are
expressed as numbers in the quotidian
operation of markets was not sufficient to
persuade generations of economists that
mathematical discourse would be
regarded as uniquely correct or
appropriate in discussions of the
economy.
● As illustrated by historian Witold ● By and large, measures did not
Kula that standardized commodity exhibit the invariance required to
measurements are a relatively constitute algebra as we know it.
recent phenomenon, becoming
instituted long after market relations ● Prices in modern markets obviously
were prevalent. In earlier times conform to specific algebraic
many commodity metrics were structures, but they are not the a
gauged by arbitrary anthropometric priori products of nature or of the
units, such as butter by the "round," individual mind
wool by the "fleece," honey by the
"hand," land by the amount that
could be plowed in a single day, and
so on.
Hence, the reason that algebra (and probably abstract algebra) are necessary
to describe modern market activity is that market structures have historically
evolved to the point impersonal character of appropriation. This has no
relation with "equilibrium" or any other metaphor borrowed from physics.
History and mathematics, so often regarded as polar opposites in economics,
are united in a single narrative. Mathematical school of thought as we see
both expresses and enforces the way our culture has decided to organize and
exchange in the economy.
Techniques Used
01 02
Differential and Mathematical
Integral Calculus programming
03 04
Matrix Algebra Game Theory
05
Agent Based computational
economics
How much Mathematics is too
much Mathematics?
Mathematics is a branch of logic and helps to prove the propositions or statements with
data.
Yet, because economics operate in a setting which is ever changing proving becomes
difficult, and hence excessive assumptions are put in place to remove the variability, to be
able to prove a model.
But when variability is removed the subject can no more give us real life solutions. That is
why we end up black swans like 2007-08 crisis, because everything is thought to be working
under a mathematical model and not according to human behavior.
The understanding of economics is possible only by history and its mistakes, because all is
not known of economics even till date owing to the fact that Economics is a natural science
and not a hard science.
When mathematics take the lead, the diversity of economics gets lost, because context
is more important in economics than proving a certain situation and fitting in in one
mathematical model.
Hence, mathematics should be a tool, not the starting point.
That task, today and always, belongs to deductive logic and verbal exposition.
Economics is a science based on human action; and hence "aggregates" do not act,
only individuals do. And hence economics is not going from particular to general, rather it
is made and shaped by social structures and hence should be deduced without a
presumption that one technique will work in some other situation.
Chicago School of
Thought
The Chicago School of Thought has always held a distinct and influential place in
economics through the various phases - First School, Second School and Third
School. The Chicago School of Economics is a neoclassical economic school of
thought which was originally developed by members of the department of
economics at the University of Chicago in the 1930’s.
It asserts that free markets best allocate resources in an economy and that
minimal or no government intervention is best for economic prosperity. The
Chicago School includes monetarist beliefs about the economy, implying that the
money supply should be kept in equilibrium with the demand for money. At an
individual level, it assumes that every actor in the economy is rational i.e they
maximize their self interests and respond to price incentives accordingly. Looking
at the entire society, free markets along with rational actors will ensure allocative
efficiency in the economy.
Friedman’s quantity theory of money was derived from the rationality assumption.
It states that money supply and price level in an economy are directly proportional
which leads to economic growth when rational actors make allocative decisions.
Frank Hyneman Knight is considered as the founder while Milton Friedman,
Merton H. Miller, Richard Posner, Garry S. Becker and George Stigler are the
major contributors to this school of thought.
First Chicago School
• The first school of thought began in the 1920’s with the work of
Frank H. Knight and Jacob Viner.
• They did not support positivistic economic methodology and
denounced economic imperialism on the grounds that
economic analysis should be more confined.
• Being suspicious about the efficiency claims of laissez-faire
economics, they argued for it only on a "non-consequential"
basis. They welcomed active government policies to cure
recessions (Viner's recommendations on "re-inflating" the
economy and supported counter-cyclical monetary policies
(Chicago Plan by Simons).
• They were hostile to "alternative" economic paradigms. Hence,
they did not welcome the Keynesian Revolution in
macroeconomics and denounced the Monopolistic Competition
approach in microeconomic theory. They believed that the
issues which these paradigms aimed to solve could be
resolved within the confines of Neoclassical Theory.
Frank H. Knight
• The Chicago Law School used economics to rethink swathes of legal theory.
Moreover, sociological issues like addiction, family and even marriage were given a
thoroughly economic interpretation in the hands of Gary S. Becker and Jacob Mincer.
• In macroeconomics, the most renowned phase of the Chicago School was that of
"Monetarism" under the leadership of Milton Friedman, its best-known advocate.
Milton Friedman
● For the longest time, Chicago was the only school
in America not swept by the Keynesian Revolution
but in Friedman's Monetarism, it found a
theoretical and empirical means by which to begin
rolling back the Keynesian revolution. Friedman
claimed that tenets of monetarism can also be
found in Henry Simons’s work during the early
school years.
George J. Stigler
● Monetarism has since given way to the more
mathematically rigorous "New Classical"
economics of Robert E. Lucas in the 1970s and
1980s.
Third Chicago School
● The third generation of Chicagoans ● Becker’s colleagues Heckman and Robert
was represented by Gary Becker and Fogel plunged deeper into cognitive
Sherwin Rosen. They extended the psychology, physiology and medicine,
influence of the Chicago School of building out Chicago’s well-established
Thought into labour markets and taste for empiricism.
factors concerning an individual’s
everyday life. ● In June 2011, the Becker Friedman
Institute for Research in Economics was
● Beginning in 1957, with a landmark established at the University of Chicago in
study of the economics of racial honor of Gary Becker and Milton
discrimination, Becker pursued the Friedman.
logic of choice into many non-market
areas: the study of schooling - human
capital, marriage, family, religion and
crime and punishment.
Gary Becker
Shervin Rosen
Ideas and Methodology
Ideas
01 02
The school closely follows neoclassical
Markets allocate Monopolies are
price theory (as developed by Alfred
resources more created by
Marshall) and libertarianism. It rejected
efficiently than any government's
Keynesianism in favor of Friedman's
government attempt to regulate
monetarism, and later (after 1980) in favor
an economy
of rational expectations as developed by
Robert Lucas.
03 04
It rejects most government regulation of Governments should Instead, they should
business in favor of laissez-faire, regarding avoid trying to focus on maintaining a
the market economy as a necessary (albeit manage aggregate steady and low rate of
not sufficient) condition for a free society. demand growth of money supply
Methodology
In terms of methodology three Analysis - This method became a near hallmark of the
major areas can be identified in the Chicago school. It has always relied extraordinarily on
school’s arsenal. mathematical models through which, as some of its
critics charge, the scholar can prove anything he or she
wants to.
Statistics - As the ideological
emphasis on "positive economics" For example, such absurdities as criminal activity is a
grew stronger over time, career choice, and that smoking is an example of
empirically based research began making an informed choice (between cancer risk and
to rely more heavily on statistics, immediate gratification) can be derived from this
putting less emphasis on theory methodology.
and more on evidence. As a result,
rather than in-depth research, the Group discussions - The third major methodological
school has always been known for innovation that set the school apart from the other
its broad range of subjects, ranging existing economics departments was that their scholars
from law to marriage, slavery, and met together in frequent intense discussions that
demography. helped set a group outlook on economic issues, based
on price theory.
Principle
The Chicago school’s approach to antitrust law in the area of regulatory policy provides an
excellent demonstration of its general principles.
• The Chicago School of economics was followed before the Great Recession. Most
important question was that if markets behaved efficiently, then there shouldn’t have
been any major imbalances or crisis. During the conflagration of the financial crisis,
there were questions about why people in top positions did not adequately regulate the
banking sector.
• Another point of Chicago thought criticised was that price discrimination is socially
beneficial because it moves the monopolist's output closer to the competitive level
which reduces the effects of monopoly.
• Economists today are rethinking the old antitrust theory of conglomerate forbearance.
This theory maintains that when conglomerates face other conglomerate firms in a
large number of markets, the conglomerates will compete less aggressively than
single-product firms selling in the same markets. Initially, the Chicago School rejected
all anticompetitive explanations for conglomerate mergers.
● The Chicago view is that charging prices
● The Chicago School influence also
below cost is irrational, because a
led to a more permissive approach to
predator cannot reasonably expect to
mergers. It has been proved by
recoup its initial losses from price
post-Chicago economists that cartels
predation. However, post Chicago analysis
can be stable, entry barriers can
show that predatory pricing can be a
slows entry in uncompetitive markets.
rational and successful business strategy.
Certain bundling strategies can also
● The new economics of price predation increase total profits by reducing
answers the recoupment problem. When a competition in the tied market.
firm predates against a few rivals, it can
● Several economists have shown that
create a reputation for irrationality. Other
profitable vertical integration can
rivals who have not experienced predatory
cause foreclosure and harm
competition will now reasonably fear that if
competition.
they compete strongly with the firm, it will
turn and predate against them. So they
back off. They cooperate with the predator
by charging a high price in their market.
The Chicago school of thought and the mathematical school of
thought both have stemmed from Neoclassical school of thought
but they have branched out in different directions.