Professional Documents
Culture Documents
SBM Questions 2
SBM Questions 2
Confidentiality - Although Kate has asked for "complete confidentiality", she appears to be using the concept of confidentiality to mean that MSB should discuss its findings solely
with her, rather than with any other members of statt or the board ot HH. This seems to be a diterent interpretation of the principle than that used in ICAEW's Code of Ethics which
requires an accountant not to disclose information acquired in the course of a protessional engagement to third parties without specific authority, unless there is a legal or
professional duty to do so.
However, Kate's interpretation also raises the question of who MsB's client actually is in this situation, and therefore to whom its ethical duties are owed: to Kate, or to HH. (Members
of the board or the staff of HH could only be considered as third parties' it MSB's duty is to Kate as an individual.)
The CEO (Kate) should not be acting in a single personal capacity unless empowered to do so by the board.
Constraints which Iimit dealings to certain people may be within the power of the CEO and, as MSB's appointment is not a statutory appointment such as an audit, this may be
acceptable. Ihe issue of dissemination to the board will be one for the CEO to deal with, providing she has capacity to engage her own advisers without reference to the board.
Confidentiality from executive directors may be within the powers of the CEO but to substantiate the powers of confidentiality may itself be a breach of confidentiality.
From a practical perspective it might not be possible to hide the activities required of MSB from HH's staff. If MSB tries to do s0, or misleads HH's staff about the reason for any
enquiries being made of statt, then this lack of transparency could represent a threat to the principle of integrity.
Other issues which MSB should consider before accepting the engagement
It is not clear who would authorise the engagement letter if only the chief executive had knowledge of our intended remit. In particular, we should consider whether the chief
executive has this within her sole and legitimate capacity to act.
Actions might be to enquire of the chief executive the reasons for the contidentiality trom the board and her authority for denying legitimate intormation about the company to the
board.
Perhaps seek permission of the CEO to approach the chairman to substantiate that the CEO has the capacity and is not acting ultra vires. It this is refused, then consider not
accepting the engagement unless the CEO can otherwise demonstrate her capacity to act.
Ethics Page 1
Treasury Page 2
Describe the information that the treasury department needs, from inside and outside to perform its functions.
The treasury function needs information from within and outside Megatrade to carry out its tasks.
(1) From each subsidiary within the group, it will need figures for future cash receipts and payments, making a distinction between definite amounts and estimates of future
amounts. Ihis information about cash tloWs will be used to forecast the cash flows of the group, and identity any future borrowing needs, particularly short-term and
medium-term requirements. Figures should be provided regularly, possibly on a daily basis.
(2) Information will also be required about capital expenditure requirements, so that long-term capital can be made available to fund it.
(3) Subsidiary finance managers should be encouraged to submit information to the treasury department about local market and business conditions, such as prospects for a
change in the value of the local currency, or a change in interest rates.
(4) From outside the group, the treasury will need a range of information about current market prices, such as exchange rates and interest rates, and about which banks are
oftering those prices. Large treasury departments will often have a link to one or more information systems such as Reuters and Bloomberg.
(5) The treasury department should be alert to any favourable market opportunities for raising new debt capital. The treasurer should maintain regular contact with several
banks, and expect to be kept intormed of opportunities as they arise.
(6) Where the treasury is responsible for the group's tax affairs, information will be needed about tax regulations in each country where the group operates, and changes in
those regulations.
Financial Risk Management Page 3
$/£
Spot 1.7106 1.714
3m forward 0.82 0.77 cents premium
6m forward 1.39 1.34 cents premium
Exercise price
Calls Puts
$ Mar Jun Sep Mar Jun Sep
1.6 15.2 2.75
1.7 5.65 7.75 3.45 6.4
1.8 1.7 3.6 7.9 9.32 15.35
If money markets
Net three months
Sale of fin goods $ 197,000.00 3m
this amount is going to be received in 3 m so borrow it NOW
Interest rates Borrow
dollar 9.00%
= $ 192,665.04
The number of dollars we need is 192,665 and need to find out how much that it gives us now so we can borrow )
so divide by the spot rate (higher
= 1.7140
The amount of sterling after 3m given by mutiplying by sterling lending rate
= (3/12 x 9.5%) +1
if the actual spot rate in six months' time turned out to be exactly the present siX-month forward rate,
The net effect on profit or loss is a gain of $75,000 (5425,000 less $350,000)
whereas without the hedging contract there would have been a loss of $350,000.
Sale £ 3,750,000
Using futures
contract size 3.75m / 62.5k 60.000
60 contracts at 1.5390
which is 1.5404 - 1.5490 - 0.0014 below the spot rate
Scenario 1 2 3
Spot at Sept 1.48 1.57 1.62
Sell 60 at 1.539 1.539 1.539
Buy 60 at spot - 0.0014 1.4786 1.5686 1.6186
Gain/loss 0.0604 -0.0296 -0.0796
Using options
contract size 3.75m / 31.25k 120.000
these purchase 120 thus PUT and prem cost vary
at rate 1.48 As 1.48 is less than the option we would excerise options
Selling price at £3.75m
Exercise price Cash received Prem cost Net
1.5000 $ 5,625,000 $ -15,750 $ 5,609,250
1.5500 $ 5,812,500 $ -155,625 $ 5,656,875 Best result
1.6000 $ 6,000,000 $ -352,500 $ 5,647,500
at rate 1.57 As 1.57 is more than 2 of them would not use them and use 1.6 as best
Exercise price Excerise option Rate used Cash received Prem cost Net
1.5000 NO 1.57 $ 5,887,500 $ -15,750 $ 5,871,750 Best result
1.5500 NO 1.57 $ 5,887,500 $ -155,625 $ 5,731,875
1.6000 Yes 1.60 $ 6,000,000 $ -352,500 $ 5,647,500
at rate 1.62
as 1.62 is best rate than all 1.5,1.55 and 1.6 abandon all
cash 1.62 x 3.75m £ 6,075,000.0
Exercise price Excerise option Rate used Cash received Prem cost Net
1.5000 NO 1.62 $ 6,075,000 $ -15,750 $ 6,059,250 Best result
1.5500 NO 1.62 $ 6,075,000 $ -155,625 $ 5,919,375
1.6000 NO 1.62 $ 6,075,000 $ -352,500 $ 5,722,500
Investment Appraisal
Self test question 3 from chapter 17
Life Years 4
Variable cost X Material Other
labour £ 30.00
Material of X £ 1.64
Y units £ 12.60
Other VC £ 4.40
£ 1.64 £ 47.00
NPV -£600,236.40
No accept
Cost
Letters 0.525
Parcels 5.25
Running van 2000 £ 200,000.00
Running truck 1000 £ 20,000.00
Introduction
This report considers whether the proposed new service will meet the two targets of a return on investment of at least 5% and a non-negative net present value. It also considers other
tactors which may be relevant. Calculations are set out in the Appendix.
Recommendation
The proposed new service has an annual average return on average investment of 30%, but it has a negative net present value ($24,000). Because projects must meet both targets to
be acceptable, it is recommended that the service is not provided. However, this is subject to the further factors considered below.
Non financial factors
Although it has a small negative net present value, the proposed service might well be of great value to the public. It should perhaps be provided on that ground alone.
lf the postal service's other projects have large positive net present values, it might be possible to net them oft against the negative net present value here, to give an acceptable
overall result. This is, of course, tantamount to cross-subsidisation.
It may be that charges could be increased and/or costs reduced, so that the net present value could become positive.
Before any final decision is taken, the reliability of all forecasts should be reviewed, and a sensitivity analysis should be carried out.
Market entry
Upowerit needs to decide what African markets to enter, and what its level of involvement will be. It is advisable to start off with only a few markets at the most, to limit not only
the costs of entry and market communications, but also the likely number of competitors. I he choice of market is obviously very important. Not only must there be an accessible
demand to make the market attractive, but Upowerit must assess its comparatīve advantage in that market. The risk associated with the market must also be assessed. This will
include political stability, economic intrastructure and other external intluences.
Long-term objectives
The longer-term objectives for the overseas venture need to be established. Is it merelya way of getting through what could be a temporary domestic slowdown, or is there
going to be a full commitment to overseas expansion? Ihis will necessitate some organisational changes for Upowerit, both in structure and management
Method of investment
The form of involvement needs to be considered. Unless the subsidary route is chosen,
, Upowerit will have to relinquish some control, which it may not be prepared to do.
Operational
These are more short-term needs than the strategic issues presented above. Sales levels, protitability, cash tlows, market share and capital expenditure requirements need to be
forecast and planned in detail. In order to be able to do this, the following issues need to be considered.
Features of market
The needs and preferences of the foreign target market need to be established. This can only be achieved via an extensive programme of market research to forecast likely
demand and establish levels of competition. Dealing with likely foreign competitor responses to the presence of Upowerit must be planned in advance.
Local culture
The cultural implications of doing business in a foreign country must never be underestimated. Upowerit has no experience of conducting business overseas and this often
requires sensitive handling and stafting. Market share will sutter if local preterences are not taken into account.
Local regulations
Regulations overseas are almost certain to be different in some respects, and it is imperative that local knowledge and expertise is employed to make sure that the rules are
complied with.
Cost issues
The costs of doing business overseas will be affected by factors such as foreign tax regimes, access to technology and availability of physical resources.
Management skills
Management skills will be vital, both for staffing and the level of control over the operation. This will have implications for the organisation structure. For example, expatriate staff
from the home country may need to be seconded to the overseas market to help local staff.
Advantages of JV
Exploit opportunities
Joint ventures (JVs) are often used to enable companies to exploit an opportunity which it would be difficult for any one of them to take advantage of individually.
JVs are often used as a means of entering markets which are either closed to foreign companies or ditticult for them to enter. Therefore, Upowerit might see aJVas a good way
of entering a specific foreign country.
Pooling skills and competences
AJV can allow the partners to bring together different skills and competencies. For example, one partner might have extensive technical expertise, while another may have local
market knowledge.
Risks and rewards
Because the JV involves two or more partners, the risks and rewards involved are shared between the various partners. JVs allow risks and capital commitment to be shared
between the venture partners, so they can bea very useftul way of undertaking expensive technology projects.
Continuing assurance
Audit rights and access to intormation need to be established in the contract, as this will attect the scope of the audit.
Ensure that the operations of the JV are within the terms of the JV agreement.
Ensure that internal controls and accounting systems are being applied and are eftective.
Assess whether the accounting systems for a Ventity will be capable of recording accurately and completely the costs being incurred and the assets held by the entity.
If permitted within the terms of the contract, audit access to the accounting records of the partner would provide additional assurance.
Dissolution of the agreement creates additional assurance problems in terms of disengagement, return/sale of assets, intellectual property rights, rights to future customer
access.
The level of assurance needs to be determined (reasonable or limited).
There may be a requirement for a separate audit for a JV entity.
Setting up oversea
LexLand
Now Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7
Land 2,300 -
Building 1,600 6,200
Machinary - 6,400
Working capital - 11,500
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7
Prod/Sales 2,000 2,500 2,500 2,500 2,500
Margin 9,923 10,419 10,940 11,487 12,061
In LRF'000
Total contro 19,845,000 26,046,563 27,348,891 28,716,335 30,152,152
Fixed (x ex rate) 1,806,000 1,841,000 1,877,000 1,914,000 1,951,000
Operating CF 18,039,000 24,205,563 25,471,891 26,802,335 28,201,152
Tax 40% - 7,215,600 - 9,682,225 - 10,188,756 - 10,720,934 - 11,280,461
Tax saving by depn W2 1,120,000 360,000 270,000 202,500 151,875
Land - 2,300,000
Buildibg - 1,600,000 - 6,200,000
Machinary - 6,400,000
After tax Realsiable value 16,200,000
Working cap W3 - 11,500,000 - 575,000 - 603,750 - 633,938 - 665,634 - 698,916 14,677,238
Cash remitted - 3,900,000 - 24,100,000 17,464,000 17,506,213 15,515,728 16,217,945 33,183,802 3,548,652
Ex rate W4 2.3175 2.3625 2.4084 2.4551 2.5028 2.5514 2.6010 2.6515
- 1,682,848 - 10,201,058 7,251,366 7,130,438 6,199,321 6,356,466 12,758,334 1,338,379
Royality received £ 750,000.00 £ 750,000.00 £ 750,000.00 £ 750,000.00 £ 750,000.00 £ -
International Financial Managem Page 9
W3
Year Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7
Total WC 11,500,000 12,075,000.00 12,678,750.00 13,312,687.50 13,978,321.88 14,677,237.97
Investment in WC - 11,500,000 - 575,000.00 - 603,750.00 - 633,937.50 - 665,634.38 - 698,916.09 14,677,237.97
5% inflation increase
W4
Spot rate FLR
Spot rate for LFr = (2.3140+2.3210)/2 = 2.3175 Inlation rate exchange rate 1.05/1.03 1.01941747572816
Spot rate for JS to D (1.5160 + 1.5210)/2=1.5185 1.06/1.03 1.02912621359223
W5
Because both investment alternatives represent an expansion of the exIsting business, the company's existing weighted average cost of capital can be used as a discount rate.
The debt is borrowed in Dinoville where interest will save tax at the rate of 33%. Its after-tax cost is 10% (1 -0.33) = 6.7%.
Market values should be used as weights.
WACC = 0.7 x 17% + 0.3 x 6.7% = 13.91%, say 14%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7
LFR 2.3175 2.3625 2.4084 2.4551 2.5028 2.5514 2.6010 2.6515
JS to D£ 1.5185 1.5627 1.6082 1.6551 1.7033 1.7529 1.8040 1.8565
Jibrovia
Jibrovia in J$ Year 1 Year 2
Cost of Inv 8-10m
Plant 2000 2000 3000
Work cap 4000
Pre tax CF 2 3
Inflation 6%
Tax 33%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7
Pre cash flow 2,120 3,371 3,573 3,787 4,015 4,256
tax 30% - 636 - 1,011 - 1,072 - 1,136 - 1,204 - 1,277
cost of aq - 10,000
machinery - 2,000
after tax value 14,500
Working capital - 4,000 - 240 - 254 - 270 - 286 - 303 - 321 5,674
Cash remitted - 16,000 1,880 2,480 2,292 2,430 2,575 17,230 4,397
EX RATE 1.5185 1.5627 1.6082 1.6551 1.7033 1.7529 1.8040 1.8565
£ VALUE - 10,537 1,203 1,542 1,385 1,426 1,469 9,551 2,369
additonal tax 3% W7 - 40.70 - 62.88 - 64.76 - 66.71 - 68.71 - 70.77
- 10,537 1,203 1,502 1,322 1,362 1,403 9,482 2,298
additonal tax 3% W7
Additional tax of 3% (33%- 30%) is suttered in Dinoville on Jibrovia taxable protits. This is computed by converting the pre-tax cash tlow at the exchange rate for the year and then
multiplying by 3%, eg, Year 1: 2,120 + 1.5627 x 3% = 40.69, rounded to 41.
The net present value of the Jibrovia investment is negative D£658,000 if the investment cost is the maximum J$10 million.
If the cost is only J$8 million, the NPV is increased by J$2m/1.5185 = Df1.317m, giving a positive NPV of D£659,000.
ie the cash flow at the start x the exchange rate x 3%
G SOFP
Non-current assets 117.8
Investments 8.1
Current assets 98.1
Current payables
Loans and other borr -38
Other payables -48.6
137.4
Non-current payables
Medium- and long-ter 30
8% bond 20x9 (par va 18
48
Capital and reserves
Ordinary shares (25 p 20
Reserves 69.4
137.4
Answer
International Financial Managem Page 10
Rights issue
1 for 4 right issue
Price 2.8
cost underwrite 5%
Advantages
(1) The proposed rights issue would comfortably exceed the amount required.
(2) The company's gearing, and thus financial risk, would decrease.
(3) There would be no change in control if the current shareholders took up the rights issue.
(4) Gordon would not have a commitment to make interest payments.
(5) Gordon would not face exchange risk on payments to providers of finance.
Disadvantages
(1) The arrangement costs are higher than for some of the other alternatives.
(2) A rights issue is likely to take longer to arrange than the other alternatives.
(3) The cost of equity is higher than the cost of debt because of the greater risk to equity shareholders and the company does not obtain the benefit of tax relief.
(4) The exchange risk on the income from the US investment remains, as it cannot be matched against the payments to finance providers.
Advantages
(1) Cost is lower than some of the other options.
(2) There is a further facility available which has not been drawn.
Disadvantages
(1) Because the loan is in sterling, there will be foreign exchange risk as the finance is not matched with the dollar income.
(2) Conditions may be attached to the security that impose restrictions over and above the debt limit.
Commercial paper
commerical paper 1 y 15,000
SONIA 1.50%
Renew annually
Addiontal 1%
Advantages
(1) Gordon will be able to take advantage of short-term falls in interest rates.
(2) The cost looks low compared with other sources.
Disadvantages
(1) The commercial paper provides less than 20% of the finance required.
(2) The maturity is wrong for the majority of the requirement; commercial paper is a short-term source to finance a long-term requirement of $72 million.
(3) There are likely to be some issuing costs.
4) The floating rate is not attractive if interest rates are expected to rise.
Cost of loan
Rate 5.659%
p val 77,600 this is 80k less 3%
Recommendation
It there are concerns about gearing levels and directors are prepared to accept a much higher cost of finance than is likely for any of the loan finance, then the rights issue
should be used.
Of the longer-term sources of finance, the Swiss franc loan offers the lowest rate. However, the loan is insufficient to cover the entire US investment, which would mean seeking
extra finance from elsewhere. The fixed-rate sterling loan covers the entire US investment with funds to spare. Both loans will expose Gordon to foreign exchange risk.
Cost of finance
This covers not only any annual interest payment costs, but also arrangement fees, issue costs and so on.
Availability
If the purchase is to take place rapidly, the finance should be available quickly, or (expensive?) short-term bridging finance will be required.
Flexibility
f the directors are expecting to use different sources of finance, they will prefer to use sources that can be changed without significant cost.
Period of investment
The length of time the finance is available should match the length of the investment period.
Tax
The tax consequences of the ditferent sources of tinance must be considered, as these may signiticantly attect costs.
Desired debt-equity finance mix
The maximum amount of debt is limited by a covenant in any event, but the directors may have their own views about the desired balance and hence the desired level of
finance risk. It will be determined by whether they believe that there is an optimal level of gearing, at which the company's weighted average cost of capital will be at its lowest.
Signaling
By issuing the maximum amount of debt, the directors may wish to demonstrate to the stock market the ir confidence in the future.
Maturity of debt
Directors will be concerned about when the debt is due to mature, and Gordon's likely cash position around that date.
Security
Directors will be concerned about the amount of security required, also how any restrictions over assets secured might limit business decisions, including the ability to raise loan
International Financial Managem Page 11
Other sources
Other sources of finance such as convertible and deep-discount bonds may be appropriate.
Finance Page 12
Procedure for obtaining a listing on an International Stock Exchange- Paper prepared for the Board of Multimedia Company
This paper describes the necessary procedures for obtaining a listing on an international stock exchange.
Obtaining a listing on an international stock exchange such as the London or New York Stock Exchange consists of satisfying requirements in three broad areas: namely
registration, listing and admission to trading.
In the UK, a firm seeking a listing must first register as a public limited company to ensure that it is entitled to issue shares to the public. This will require a change to the
company's memorandum and articles of association agreed by the existing shareholders at a special meeting convened for the express purpose of agreeing this change.
The company must meet the regulatory requirements of the Listing Authority which is part of the Financial Conduct Authority in the UK. These regulatory requirements impose
minimum size restrictions on a company and other conditions concerning length of time trading (normally audited accounts must exist for a three-year period). An issue of
particular concern here is that the CEO has a controlling interest in the business - this will have to be addressed. Once these requirements are satisfied the company is placed on
an offticial list and is allowed to make an initial public oftering of its shares.
Once the company is on the official list it must then seek approval from the stock exchange to allow its shares to be traded. Exchanges such as the London Stock Exchange
impose strict requirements which invariably mean that the applicant company will need the services of a sponsoring firm specialising in this area. The regulatory requirements of
the London Stock Exchange include:
compliance with corporate governance regulations (for example, 50% of the board should be independent non-executive directors)
quality and experience of the executive directors and the business plan, all of which must be carefully laid out in a prospectus
This tends to be costly and therefore prohibitive for all but the larger companies. The restrictions (and costs) of obtaining a listing on a junior market (eg, AlIM in the UK) may be
lower.
For a medium-sized firm, the principal advantage of obtaining a public listing is the additional sources of finance available. A listed company would have access to equity
capital from both institutional and private investors, and the sums that can be raised are usually much greater than through private equity sources. In addition, the presence of
firm as a limited company on a major exchange such as the London Stock Exchange enhances the credibility of the firm both to potential investors and to the general public as
has opened itself to a much greater degree of public scrutiny than a privately financed firm.
The disadvantages are significant; the distributed shareholding places the firm in the market for investors seeking corporate control and also increases the likelihood that the
firm will be subject to a takeover bid. The higher degree ot public scrutiny imposes a signiticant regulatory burden on the firm, as it must comply with a range of disclosure
requirements and financial accounts must be prepared in accordance with relevant accounting standards. In the UK, this means in accordance with IFRS and the relevant GAAP
as well as the Companies Acts. Under the rules of the London Stock Exchange, companies must also comply with the governance requirements of the UK Corporate Governan
Code and have an effective and ongoing business planning process in place. The requirement to comply or explain can impose a signiticant regulatory burden and can expose
the company to critical comment.
The main factors to be considered when deciding on the appropriate mix ot short, medium- or long-term debt finance tor Ella
The term should be appropriate to the asset being acquired. As a general rule, long-term assets should be financed from long-term finance sources. Cheaper short-term funds
should finance short-term requirements, such as tluctuations in the level of working capital.
Flexibility
Short-term debt is a more flexible source of finance. There may be penalties for repaying long-term debt early. If the company takes out long-term debt and interest rates fall, it
will tind itselt locked into untavourable terms.
Repayment terms
The company must have sufficient funds to be able to meet repayment schedules laid down in loan agreements and to cover interest costs. Although there may be no specitic
terms of repayment laid down tor short-term debt, it may possibly be repayable on demand, so it may be risky to finance long-term capital investments in this way.
Costs
The interest rate on short-term debt is usually less than on long-term debt. However, if short-term debt has to be renewed frequently, issue expenses may raise its cost
significantly.
Availability
It may be difficut to renew short-term finance in the future if the company's position or economic conditions change adversely
Effect on gearing
Certain types of short-term debt (such as bank overdrafts and increased credit from suppliers) will not be included in gearing calculations. if a company is seen as too highly
geared, lenders may be unwilling to lend money, or judge that the high risk of detaulit must be compensated by higher interest rates or restrictive covenants.
The practical considerations which could be factors in restricting the amount of debt which Ella could raise
Previous record or company
f the company (or possibly ts directors or even shareholders) has a low credit rating with credit reference agencies, investors may be unwilling to subscribe for debentures.
Banks may be intluenced by this, and also by their own experiences of the company asa customer (especially if the company exceeded overdraft limits in the past on a regular
basis)
Restrictions in Articles of Associations
The company should examine the legal documents caretully to see it they place any restrictions on what the company can borrow, and for what purposes.
Restrictions of current borrowing
The terms of any loans to the company that are currently outstanding may contain restrictions about further borrowing that can be taken out.
Uncertainty over project
The project is a signiticant one. Presumably the interest and ultimately repayment that lenders obtain may be dependent on the success of the project. It the results are
uncertain, lenders may not be willing to take the risk.
Security
The company may be unwilling to provide the security that lenders require, particularly if it is faced with restrictions on what it can do with the assets secured.
Alternatively, it may have insufficient assets to provide the necessary security.
There should be sutticient finance to cover the costs of the new tactory, starting the new business unit and working capital requirements to begin production.
After the directors have decided how the project should be financed, they will attend a meeting with the audit partner for Ella at your firm.
There should be sutficient finance to cover the costs of the new tactory, starting the new business unit and working capital requirements to begin production.
Questions
(1) Will the new venture be financed entirely by new debt or is Ella also advancing any capital? This is to establish whether the business plan is complete.
(2) Who prepared the forecasts? This is to establish whether they have been prepared by someone with experience of preparing such budgets, as this will give assurance as to
whether the budgets are reasonable.
(3) Are figures in the forecasts supported by evidence such as quotations for machinery or building work? This is to see the degree of estimation included in the plans.
(4) Has the cost of finance been included in the forecasts?
(5) How long before the products can be sold and begin to fund themselves? The budget does not contain any contingency and it is important to discover how tight the
production schedule is and whether it is realistic.
(6) Have all construction costs been included in the cost projection - for example, the costs of electricity and the cost of employees not being used in their usual roles.
(7) What is the timescale for the construction? Does the projection take account of inflation, if necessary?
(8) Does the projection contain budgets for all raw materials required?
(9) What are the advertising costs based on? These must be appropriate to the specific product, so if they are based on the costs associated with other products of the
company, they may not be suficient
(10) What is the commercial viability of the new product? The accountant should look at market research because ability to pay the loan back will be an important factor for the
Finance Page 13
bank.
Division
Construction and building 50
Engineering and machinery 20
Real estate 30
Group 100
Industry
Construction and building 8
Engineering and machinery 13
Real estate 23
JMR is currently valued on the stock market t £1,000 million, and proposed/current dividends are approximately halt those of analysts' expectations.
Group Stratergy
Disposal of real estate division
The real estate division currently contributes 30% of the Group's earnings, and is the fastest growing of the divisions (over 20% per year in the last three years). The divisional
management team expects this rate of growth to be sustained.
The real estate market sector also has the highest P/E ratio, suggesting the sector affords good growth prospects, and supporting the divisional management team's optimistic
forecasts.
In terms oft JMR's overall porttolio, the real estate division appears to offer better growth prospects than either the construction or engineering divisions, although the
engineering division is likely to have relatively secure earnings by virtue of its contracts with government departments. Nonetheless, disposing of the real estate department
does not appear to be a good strategic move.
The engineering and machinery division looks a more suitable candidate tor disposal, despite its government contracts. It makes the lowest contribution to Group earnings, and
has a lower growth rate than the real estate division.
Although the construction and building division has the lowest growth rate, it generates 50% of the Group's earnings and JMR would be unlikely to want to dispose of a
division which contributes such a large proportion of earnings.
Moreover, we should also consider the institutional investor's potential motives in recommending the sale of the real estate division. It is looking for a large one-off dividend,
which suggests a short-term strategy. In this respect, it is likely that JMR could sell the real estate division for a much higher price than the engineering division, thereby
generating more cash to pay a dividend. However, that is unlikely to be in the Group's longerterm strategic interests.
Equally, there may not be space in any of the divisional headquarters to relocate all the Group staff (50) there, in which case the Group could still look at finding new offices
where overhead costs will be lower. This could also be a good opportunity to review whether the Group really needs 50 staft or whether the team can be streamlined.
Methods of disposal
Sale as a going concern to another business
This would represent, in effect, the reverse of the transaction by which JMR acquired the real estate division. The division would be sold to another company, in exchange for
either cash or shares in the acquiring company. All the responsibilities and costs of running the division would pass to the acquiring company, as would all future protits.
If the sale were made for cash, it could provide JMR with an inflow of cash to meet the shareholders' demands for a large, one-off dividend payment.
However, it would mean that JMR loses 30% of its earnings, and any future earnings growth which the real estate division would have generated. This could mean that the
Group's subsequent ability to pay dividends in future years is reduced. Moreover, stripping out the division with the highest P/E ratio would cause JMR's share price to tall; in
turn reducing the value of the remaining Group, and possibly again laying the board open to a charge of 'destroying value.
Finally, the sale of a division would mean that the Group overhead costs have to be apportioned over only two divisions rather than three, again reducing the Group profitability
unless signiticant overhead savings were made.
Demerger
A demerger would mean that instead of simply being a division of JMR Group, the real estate operation becomes a separate company in its own right. The existing shareholders
of JMR Group are likely to receive shares in the new company in proportion to their existing holding in JMR.
The logic behind a demerger is usually that the existing formation is creating negative synergies, and the new company will generate greater earnings operating independently
rather than being part of the Group. Given the suggestion that JMR is currently 'destroying value', this could well be the case.
However, from JMR's perspective a demerger is less attractive. As with a cash sale, JMR Group would lose 30% of its earnings. But unlike the cash sale, the demerger would not
generate a cash inflow into the business.
Therefore this option would not provide for a one-off dividend to the shareholders, because it is a non-cash option. If shareholders want a one-off cash boost they will have to
generate it themselves by selling their shares in the newly demerged company.
However, one advantage of this approach from the shareholders' perspective is that they have shares in both companies. If they remain dissatisfied with the performance of JMR
Group, they could elect to sell their shares in it, and just retain their shares in the new real estate company.
Liquidation of assets
The real estate division could be closed, its staff made redundant (or redeployed elsewhere in the Group) and its assets sold off at market price.
However, given that the real estate is a profitable and growing business, this is unlikely to be a desirable option; not least because a sale of assets is likely to command lower
prices than the sale of the business as a going concern.
A liquidation of assets would be a cash sale, and so would provide a cash inflow to underwrite a one-off dividend payment. However, given that both options would lead to JMR
losing 30% of its Group earnings, it is likely that it would prefer the option which generates more cash in return.
Moreover, there is likely to be negative publicity surrounding the closure of the division, and any associated redundancies, which may have a further negative impact on the
Group's performance.
MBO
In an MBO, the management of the real estate division would buy the division from JMR, with the intention of driving forward its growth and increasing its profitability.
However, an importat issue here is the price which the managers would agree to pay for the division. On the one hand, it is likely they will have to obtain funding from venture
capitalists to support their own capital in the purchase, so they will want to keep the purchase price as lOw as possible to minimise their debt and future interest charges.
On the other hand, the divisional managers are likely to know more about the business and its prospects than the Group managers, and also any extermal purchasers.
These two factors together are likely to mean that the price an MBO team offer for the sale is likely to be lower than the price which could be earned from an open market sale
of the business as a going concern.
Again, the Group needs to remember that after the buyout the real estate will be a separate entity so Group earnings will be reduced by 30%. Theretore it should not accept a
sale price which is too low, particularly if it intends to make a one-off dividend payment to the institutional investors.
However, an MBO may be considered the most attractive option from a public relations perspective. The Group could present the sale of a successful division to its
management positively- emphasising the way they are being given the opportunity to control the division's strategy and its tuture.
Management buy in
This approach, in effect, combines aspects of an MBO and a sale of the business as a going concern. Like an MBO, a group of people collectively buy the division. However,
unlike an MBO, the purchasers come from outside the company. So atter a management buy-in the real estate division wOuld become a privately owned real estate company.
From JMR's perspective, the management buy-in is another option which could generate a cash inflow, and so would provide the funds to satisfy the investors' demands for a
one-off dividend. Depending on the extent of the purchasers' knowledge of the business, JMR may be able to earn a higher selling price froma management buy-in than from
an MBO.
However, a management bUy-in does not aftord the same pOSitive aspects in terms of public relations.
Recommendation
JMR could either look at the disposal as a means of maximising value from the Group, or raising cash to pay a one-off dividend. A demerger is probably the option which would
maximise value, but it will not generate cash. However, an MBO will generate cash proceeds and, by allowing the divisional management full control of the real estate division
should allow its capabilities to be exploited fully. Although the new entity will be outside the Group, the public relations aspect of a sale to management will be more positive
than an open market sale.
Therefore, JMR would be advised to sell the real estate division through an MBO.
Business & Securities Valuation Page 14
Net assets
Building valuation 1,500,000
Inventory NRV lower cost 100,000
Bad debts 750,000
P/E Ratio
Profed City Tutors
Issued shares (million) 10
Share price (pence) 362
Market value (£m) 36.2
Earnings per share (pence) 0.35 0.2 181
P/E ratio (share price , EPS) 18.1
The P/E for a similar quoted company is 18.1. This will take account of factors - such as marketability of shares, status of company, growth potential - that will differ from those for
Proted. Profed's growth rate has been estimated as higher than that of City Tutors, possibly because it is a younger, developing company, although the basis for the estimate may
be questionable.
All other things being equal, the P/E ratio for an unquoted company should be taken as between one-half to two-thirds of that of an equivalent quoted company. Being
generous, in view of the possible higher growth prospects of Profed, we might estimate an appropriate P/E ratio of around 12, assuming Profed is to remain a private company.
This will value Profed at 12 x £0.35= £4.20 per share, a total valuation of £16.8 million.
Dividends Yield
Next year dividends / cost of equity less growuth
which assumes dividends being paid into perpetuity, and growth at a constant rate.
For Profed, next year's dividend = £0.20 x 1.09 = £0.218 per share
While we are given a discount rate of 15% as being traditionally used by the directors of Proted for investment appraisal, there appears to be no rational basis for this. We can
instead use the intormation for City Tutors to estimate a cost ot equity for Profed. This is assuming the business risks are similar, and ignores the small ditterence in their gearing
ratio.
Using, say, 13% as a cost of equity for Profed (it could be argued that this should be higher since Profed is unquoted so riskier than the quoted City Tutors):
Share price 0.218 / 0.13-0.09
= £5.45
valuing the whole of the share capital at £21.8 million.
Asset-based valuation
Valuing a company on the basis of its asset values alone is rarely appropriate if it is to be sold on a going concern basis. Exceptions would include property investment
companies and investment trusts, the market values of the assets of which will bear a close relationship to their earning capacities.
Profed is typical of many service companies, a large part of whose value lies in the skill, knowledge and reputation of its personnel. This is not reflected in the net asset values,
and renders this method quite inappropriate. A potential purchaser of Profed will generally value its intangible assets such as knowledge, expertise, customer/supplier
relationships and brands more highly than those that can be measured in accounting terms.
Knowledge of the net asset value (NAV) of a company will, however, be important as a floor value tor a company in financial ditticulties or subject to a takeover bid. Shareholders
will be reluctant to sell for less than the NAV even if future prospects are poor.
The status and marketability of shares in a quoted company have tangible etfects on value but these are ditticult to measure.
The P/E ratio will also be affected by growth prospects-the higher the growth expected, the higher the ratio. The growth rate incorporated by the shareholders of City Tutors is
probably based on a more rational approach than that used by Proted.
If the growth prospects of Profed, as perceived by the market, did not coincide with those of Profed's management it is difficult to see how the P/E ratio should be adjusted for
relative levels of growth. However, the earnings yield method of valuation could be useful here.
In the valuation in (a) a crude adjustment has been made to City Tutors's P/E ratio to arrive at a ratio to value Profed's earnings. This can lead to a very inaccurate result if account
has not been taken of all the differences involved.
Dividend-based valuation
The dividend valuation model (DVM) is a cash flow based approach, which values the dividends that the shareholders expect to receive from the company by discounting them
at their required rate of return. It is perhaps more appropriate for valuinga minority shareholding where the holder has no intluence over the level ot dividends to be paid than
Business & Securities Valuation Page 15
for valuing a whole company, where the total cash flows will be of greater relevance.
The practical problems with the DVM lie mainly in its assumptions. Even accepting that the required pertect capital market' assumptions may be satistied to some extent, in
reality, the tormula used in (a) assumes constant growth rates and constant required rates of return in perpetuity
Determination of an appropriate cost of equity is particularly difficult for an unquoted company, and the use of an 'equivalent' quoted company's data carries the same
drawbacks as discussed above. Similar problems arise in estimating future growth rates, and the results from the model are highly sensitive to changes in both these inputs.
It is also highly dependent on the current year's dividend being a representative base from which to start.
The dividend valuation model valuation provided in (a) results in a higher valuation than that under the P/E ratio approach. Reasons tor this may be as tollows:
The share price for City Tutors may be currently depressed below its normal level, resulting in an inappropriately low P/E ratio.
The adjustment to get to an appropriate P/E ratio for Profed may have been too harsh, particularly in light of its apparently better growth prospects.
The cost of equity used in the DVM was that of City Tutors. The validity of this will largely depend on the relative levels of risk of the two companies. Although they both
operate the same type of business, the fact that City Tutors sells its material externally means it is perhaps less reliant on a fixed customer base.
Even if business risks and gearing risk may be thought to be comparable, a prospective buyer of Profed may consider investment in a younger, unquoted company to carry
greater personal risk. His required return may thus be higher than that envisaged in the DVM, reducing the valuation.
operate the same type of business, the fact that City Tutors sells its material externally means it is perhaps less reliant on a fixed customer base.
Even if business risks and gearing risk may be thought to be comparable, a prospective buyer of Profed may consider investment in a younger, unquoted company to carry
greater personal risk. His required return may thus be higher than that envisaged in the DVM, reducing the valuation.
Net assets
£'000
Net assets at book value 100
Coupon yield 11%
P/E ratio 15
gross dividends yield 11%
B of sector 0.8
Return on the market 21%
Methods of valution
P/E ratio
The earnings-based valuation would be based on applying the P/E ratio tor similar quoted companies to Chris Limited's earnings.
15 x £410,000 £6,150,000
This value would be the approximate value of a quoted company in the sector. Research has indicated the acquisitions of private companies are typically priced at a discount of 30%
to 40% to the quoted sector P/E. This discount probably reflects the lack of marketability of the private company shares compared to those of its quoted counterparts. Using a
discount of 40%, the value of Chris Limited would be:
£6,150,000 x 60% = £3,690,000
This is the value of the earnings stream. On top of this, it should be possible to sell the unused property without affecting the earnings stream for around £100,000, giving a total
valuation of £3,790,000.
The market value (MV) of the company is given by the formula MV = D,/ (ke - g) where D, is the prospective dividend (estimated as Do x {1 + g}), ke is the cost of equity andg is the
expected growth rate in dividends. The value of g can be estimated from extrapolating the dividend growth of Chris Limited over the last few years and is 11% ({185/150}- 1).
MV=185 x 1.11/ (0.19 -0.11) = £2,567,000
Since this valuation relies on the b of quoted companies and would give the value of a quoted company's dividend stream, this value should be discounted.
£2,567,000 x 60% = £1,540,000
Adjusting for the value of the unused property, the value of the business would be around £1,640,000.
As with the above methods, it assumes that Chris Limited is similar to the sector in terms of gearing and business risk.
It has been assumed that the company will dispose of the unused property, even if Wilkinson plc does not acquirea controlling shareholding.
Asset-based valuation
Net realisable value of assets
The net book value of the company's assets is f2,500,000. To establish the value available to equity investors, the market value of the loan stock must be deducted. This will be the PV
of the loan stock's future cash tlows, discounted at the investors' required rate of return. The best indication ot required returns is given by the details on gilts for the same maturity
with the same coupon in the question. A risk premium must be added on to the yield on the gilts to compensate for the additional risk of Chris Limited, say 3%. The resultant annual
yield (11%+ 3% = 14%) needs to be altered to a semi-annual rate of return of 6.8% W1.14- 1) since the coupon is semi-annual.
Note: The precise calculation here using the square root is probably over the top and gives a spurious level of accuracy. A six-monthly factor ot 7% would be just as good.
The total value of the company's equity is therefore £2,500,000 -£1,047,000 =-£1,453,000.
The dividends of Chris Limited, by contrast, have grown at a reasonably constant rate over the three-year period regardless ot earnings pertormance. Since the dividends have grown
at a much slower rate than earnings, this explains the much lower valuations using dividend-based methods.
The dividend policy may give a clue as to the directors' expectations for future protitability and sustainable dividend growth. f this is the case, then the dividend-based methods are
Iikely to give the most appropriate valuations.
The asset-based valuation is the lowest of the four figures. Ihis is probably because the company derives its value not from its assets base but from its earnings stream and cash flows.
Dividends 50 60
Retained earnings 105 136
Financed by:
Shareholders' funds 595 720
Medium- and long-term bank loans 175 260
770 980
Depn 95 105
Interest 13 18
Non cash expenses 32 26
Lease non capitlised 35 35
Debt 75%
Equity 25%
EVA
Profit after tax 155 196
Non cash expenses 32 36
Interest after tax (1-.24% 9.88 13.68
NOPAT 196.88 245.68
Capital empolyed
20X1
capital eployed and lease 730.00
Business & Securities Valuation Page 17
20X2
BV of sharehold funds + Bank Loan + Lease 805
WACC
20X1
0.75 x 14% + 0.24 x (7% x (1-.24) 11.8%
20X2
0.75 x 16% + 0.24 x (8% x (1-.24) 13.5%
EVA
20X1
196.88 - (11.8% x 730) 110.8
20X2
245.68 - (13.5% x 805) 137
TYU 3 - Page 49 FX NPV's Page 18
15.3%
TYU 3 - Page 49
METHOD 1 0 1 2 3 4 5
T0 T1 T2 T3 T4 T5
Operating cashflow
pre tax net CF € 800.00 € 800.00 € 800.00 € 800.00 € 800.00
TAX 40% -€ 320.00 -€ 320.00 -€ 320.00 -€ 320.00 -€ 320.00
€ 480.00 € 480.00 € 480.00 € 480.00 € 480.00
Assets
Purchase SV -€ 1,250.00 € -
Bfwd
Tax relief WDA € 100.00 € 100.00 € 100.00 € 100.00 € 100.00
-€ 1,250.00 € 100.00 € 100.00 € 100.00 € 100.00 € 100.00
Working capital
Incriminal Amount -€ 500.00 € 500.00
Net CF -€ 1,750.00 € 580.00 € 580.00 € 580.00 € 580.00 € 1,080.00
Fx rate @ 1.16 1.16 1.14 1.11 1.09 1.07 1.05 2% apprication
Net CFs -£ 1,508.62 £ 510.00 £ 520.20 £ 530.60 £ 541.22 £ 1,027.94
DF 10% -£ 1,508.62 £ 463.64 £ 429.92 £ 398.65 £ 369.66 £ 638.27
PV £ 791.51
NPV fomula
PV T1 - T5 £2,300.13 NPV(0.1,C26:G26,)
T0 -£ 1,508.62
£ 791.51
METHOD 2
Net CF -€ 1,750.00 € 580.00 € 580.00 € 580.00 € 580.00 € 1,080.00
DF 1.000 0.928 0.861 0.798 0.740 0.687
DF convert -€ 1,750.00 € 538.03 € 499.10 € 462.99 € 429.49 € 741.87
PV Euro € 921.49
At today FX rate 1.16
£ 794.39
NPV fomula
PV T1 - T5 € 2,671.49 NPV(0.1,C26:G26,)
T0 -€ 1,750.00
€ 921.49
1.16
£ 794.39
PV working
Convert 1.160 T0
1.137 T1 1.16 x 0.98
r 10% FX t1 / FX t0 x 1+r
PV 1.078 used the NPV formala rather than 10% its 7.8%
As % 0.08
IRR & Rate Page 19
T0 value -97.25
T1 Interst 5
T2 Interest 5
T3 Interest + Par Redem 105
IRR 6.0%
Rate 6% Nper 3 years
PMT 5%
PV -97.25
FV 100
TYU1
IRR 8.62%
Rate
TYU3 - Luquidation Page 20
Debenture 10%
Sale proceeds
Property 2500
Plant 400
Motor 300
Current assets 700
3900
Proceeds 3,900
Liquidator cost - 300
Fixed Charge Debenture - 2,500 10% on 2500
1,100
- 1,100 TP + Overdraft split
- 1100/1600 = 69%
68.75p per £ outstanding
Refinancing scheme
New shares 1500
Exisiting loan 1800
15% debentures 270
Plus New ord shares 800k at £1 800
Debt holders
Loan 2.5m down to 1.8m
but int + shares v liquadiation 2.5m
replacing at new lower amount of dates
orgianlly fo 10% at 2.5m = 250k now they get 15% on 1.8m = 270k
a 20k increase in come and lower repayment on redemption date
Bank
OD at 69% or 100%
they are swapping the overdraft into a short term loan, which provides them with some
security over the amount. However if the overdraft is still to remain it could be seen as risky.
TP
Trade payables at 69% or 100%
If they go liquation get 69%. If contue then should receive the full amount but depends
on cash flow back to the company as if contiue then payable receive future income from company
Shareholders
Get 0% or
Put more money into the company but if they don’t put more money
in then they will receive nothing
With the new shareholding they will be control of 56.6%
ie current shareholding is 3000
plus the 800 new issue and 1.5m new shares - 3000/5300 = 56.6%
Have to pay 1.5m turns the business round
ST1 C1 Page 21
‘Opportunities and threats - ZTC needs to ensure that it understand the ways in which it is affected by the environment in which it operates. In this context, it needs to consider the wider environmental factors
(which could be highlighted by ‘PEST’ analysis) as well as any factors that relate more specifically to the telecommunications industry (which could be highlighted using Porter's five forces model as a guide).
‘The most significant recent environmental influence on ZTC’s performance is likely to have come from a political factor - the deregulation of the telecommunications market in Zeeland.
Impact of deregulation - Historically, ZTC held a monopoly position in the telecommunications market in Zeeland. However, now that the market has been deregulated, ZTC’s market share is likely to be
‘eroded when new competitors enter the market. Consequently, it seems likely that ZTC will suffer a fall in revenue, at least in the short term until it identifies alternative markets which it could enter as well.
New entrants - Itis not clear how many competitors have entered the market so far, but another threat ZTC needs to be aware of is that of additional new entrants entering the telecommunications market in
Zeeland in the future, and potentially reducing its market share further.
Telephone networks - It is likely that ZTC’s monopoly was of the fixed line network in Zeeland, rather than mobile telecommunications networks as well. However, its also likely ZTC will face competition from
mobile phone companies.
In this respect, developments in technology (for example, 4G networks) could also boost the performance of mobile phone companies, and thereby increase the level of competition ZTC is facing.
‘Overall market growth - The scenario does not indicate whether the telecommunications market overall in Zeeland is growing or, if itis, how high the growth rate is.
However, this will also have an effect on ZTC’s performance. For example, if the market is growing rapidly, this could help reduce the impact on ZTC’s revenues of its market share declining.
Similarly, if the global market is growing significantly, this could provide opportunities for revenue growth. It appears that one of the Government's motives behind the deregulation was to make ZTC more
competitively internationally, and so the state of the global market is likely to be important for its future performance.
‘Customer bargaining power - Another consequence of the deregulation is that customers in Zeeland now have increased bargaining power in relation to ZTC. Previously, as ZTC was the sole supplier,
‘customers had little or no ability to influence price or service. However, now that there is increased choice in the market, customers’ bargaining power has increased significantly, because if ZTC's tariffs are not
competitive against other providers, or its standards of customer service are poor, customers will be able to switch to one of the competitors in the market.
Employees - The deregulation of the market could also affect ZTC’s relationship with its employees. In effect, it could increase their bargaining power as suppliers. Previously, telecommunications engineers in
Zeeland could only work for ZTC; but itis likely that in future there will be a choice of companies they could work for. Therefore, ZTC will need to ensure that its rewards package is competitive so that it retains
its best staff.
Asa State monopoly, ZTC’s role was expressed in terms of its service to the nation as a whole. Its focus was on the public sector aspirations of efficiency, effectiveness and economy, but it was not subject to
market discipline and its finances were controlled by government. The lack of market input and the highly technical nature of its operations make it likely that its main operational concern was engineering
‘competence, rather than customer interests. However, the Government, as principal stakeholder, imposed requirements around performance and service levels to be achieved.
ZTC now has a new and important class of stakeholder: its shareholders. They will have firm ideas about their requirements in the form of growth, earnings and dividends.
Importance of customers
‘The company faces a deregulated market where competition will intensify. It will need to pay great attention to the views and needs of its customers: they are a stakeholder group that is likely to wield far more
influence than previously, since they will be able to choose new suppliers when new providers of telecommunications services enter the market, following its deregulation.
Impact on objectives
‘These influences will affect objectives at all levels in the organisation and will require a significant realignment of attitudes. In particular, there will be pressure to reduce costs; to develop new and attractive
products; and to improve customer service, particularly in the matter of installing new equipment and dealing with faults.
‘The respective requirements of shareholders and customers also highlight a potential conflict that will need to be addressed by the directors when setting the company's objectives.
Shareholders will want to maximise profitability, which may be achieved by raising prices. But customers will seek the lowest price they can get.
Although the Government is no longer the main external stakeholder, it will still be interested in ZTC’s performance. The company will continue to make a large contribution to the economy of Zeeland as a
major employer and taxpayer; it also has the potential to develop as a major centre of technological excellence.
While the Government will step back from direct involvement in the running of ZTC, itis likely that it will retain an interest in its overall success, and possibly a closer involvement in such matters as the
promotion of technological development and overseas expansion which, if successful, could increase ZTC’s tax liability to the Government.
Corporate governance
A final influence on the strategic objectives of the privatised company will arise in the field of corporate governance. As a listed company, ZTC will be subject to the normal regulations and codes of practice
laid down by its quoting stock exchange. It may also be subject to special government regulation designed to prevent it from using its size and current dominant position to discourage competitors. These
influences are also likely to have a marked effect on the directors’ attitudes and practices.
Overall, the objectives of ZTC will need to change to focus on profitability and shareholder reward, as well as customer satisfaction, all of which becomes increasingly important in a deregulated market.
Alongside this, the directors will need to ensure the business's controls and governance are adequate to comply with its new regulatory requirements.
_x000C_
ST4 Chp5 Page 22
4.1
Market leader
Rev 19,517 5,541 32,322 57,380 180,000
COS - 3,767 - 2,638 - 13,975 - 20,380 56,000
15,750 2,903 18,347 37,000 124,000
Operating costs 31,394 101,500
Operating proft 5,606 22,500
Shop 40 130
T Ltd market leader
Revenue per shop 1,434.50 4,500
Gross margin 64.5% 68.9%
Gross margin per shop 925 953.85
Operating profit margin 9.8% 12.5%
HOWever, atnougn tnere appears to be more important factors affecting CE s performance thnan ts company prove, Branding could still nave a positive impact on its performance.
Brand awareness - Brand awareness would be an indicator of CFE's position in the coffee shop market, and would indicate whether customers or potential customers do actually differentiate CFE from its
customerS, Tor example as offering higher-quality products and service. lf customers don t assoCiate ES products as being higher quality than the competitors, then the money spent on higher-quality
ingredients and service statt Is effectively being wasted.
Quality and trust - One of the key attributes of a successtul brand is that it conveys a sense of qualty and trust to potential customers, thereby encouraging them to buy the product or service in question in
preterence to a rival product.
Quality seems to be very important to CFE: it uses high-quality ingredients for its food and drinks, and seeks to ensure customers receive a high standard of service (by paying its staff wages above the industry
average).
Assets
Non-current assets Revenue 20,000
Property, plant and equipment 2,000 Cost of sales -16,000
Intangible assets 6,100 Gross profit 4,000
8,100 Administrative expenses -2,500
Current assets Finance cost -300
Inventories 100 Profit before tax 1,200
Trade receivables 900 income tax expense -50
Cash and cash equivalents 200 Protit for the year 1,150
1200
Current liabilities
Trade payables 1,000
Current tax payable 50
1,050
Total Liabilties 3,550
Advantages
The Ambion market (where Swift currently operates) is mature and highly compettive, and the government is hostile to road transport.
Acquiring EVM would provide Swift with access to a new market (ECuria) in which demand is growing, competition is immature and the Government is investing in road transportation.
Acquiring EVM will increase the overall size of the group, allowing increased economies of scale to be exploited in relation to purchasing trucks and other equipment.
Swift's capabilities in logistics should enable it to increase EVM's profitability post-acquisition.
Disadvantages
The benefits from the acquisition may be reduced in light of any potential culture clashes that may arise between the two companies involved:
Swift has no experience of operating or acquiring toreign companies.
Swift has no experience of trading in Ecuria.
Although EVM is now a private company, the mindset may still be that of the government organisation it once was. Changing these practices, aithough potentially leading to higher profts, may be complex and
could lead to reputation-damaging labour disputes. Ihis may be unavoidable ir Switt attempts to force the Ambion-style working practices on them, and may lead to contlicts that could be impossible to resolve.
Financial considerations
EVM delivers a return on capital employed (ROCE) of 18.2%. Ihis is very similar to the ROCE of Swift Iransport and appears to be a strong performance for the sector.
The gross profit margin at 20% is higher than that of Swift. However, its net profit margin of 7.5% is lower. This may raise concerns over suitability. The low net profit margin may be due to EVM still carrying high
costs from its State-owned days. However, it is possible that Swift will be able to improve the profit margin through economies of scale and by implementing competences gained at Albion. This would make the
prospect more acceptable.
Liquidity (as demonstrated by the current ratio of 1.14 and the acid test ratio of 1.05) is much lower than that of Swift. Swift will have to determine why this is the case, but it is important to consider the business's
liquidity and cash flow as well as profit
Gearing (30.3%) is much lower for EVM than for Switt. Ihis may indicate a more conservative approach to long-term lending.
Ihe interest cover ratio (5) is only 60% of Swift's. Ihis could indicate lower profitability, but it could also mean that EVM's interest charges are relatively high, due to the problems the Ecurian investors had in
raising finance. However, Swift could look at renegotiating EVM's finances post acquisition
ST2 Chp6 Page 24
Appointment of secretary
The board's functioning would be better if someone acted as company secretary. The secretary could undertake a number of tasks currently undertaken by the CEO, including distributing board minutes
in advance ot meetings and briefing board members in relation to each agenda team. Ihis would free up the time of the CEO or chairman. The secretary should be accountable to the board collectively,
and shouia, necessary, nave the independence to come into connect with the CEO if the secretary believes t is in the interest of GFE.
Audit committee
Appointing a separate audit committee will enable the main board to concentrate more on strategic and operational matters, leaving the audit committee to undertake the detailed financial review that is a major
part of current board meetings. Ihe audit committee should also be responsible for the appointment of auditors and for liaison with them about further work, including a review of controls. At present, the
auditors' ability to exercise independent scrutiny could be questioned, since they have been appointed by the CEO. Governance reports recommend that all members of the committee should have sufficient
financial expertise to contribute effectively, and that one member should have relevant and recent financial experience. New directors may therefore need to be recruited to fufil this requirement or existing
members receive training
Nomination committee
A nomination committee of NEDs would oversee the appointment of the new directors that GFE's board appears to need. Ihe committee would also review other important issues of board functioning that have
not been considered recently, such as
the balance between executives and NEDs
whether there are gaps between the skills, knowledge and experience possessed by the current board and what the board ideally should have
the need to attract board members from a variety of backgrounds
whether GFE will need to pay some NEDs to attract the right candidates
Independent NEDs
Governance reports recommend that at least half the b0ard are independent NEDs, without business or financial connections, who face re-election regularly. Independent NEDs will be particularly important for
SFE as it is a charity, and stakeholders will rely on NEDS to provide unbiased scrutiny of how the executive directors are conducting its aftairs. It is possible that none of the current NEDs can be classed as
independent, since they have all been appointed on the basis of previous business connections.
Expert NEDs
NEDS with experience of the charity sector need to be appointed. Ihe reason given for not discussing operational matters, that these are outside the directors experience, indicates that as a body, the
NEDs have insufficient expertise at present. The CEO's belief that the executive management team is more than capable of managing the delivery of the in-home care services misses the point. NEDs
should scrutinise, and if necessary challenge, the way the CEO is running operations, drawing on their own experience.
Stakeholder representation
There appears to be a lack of stakeholder representation on the board, with fund providers, volunteer helpers and users of GFE's services not being represented. Having a user representative on the
board would mean that the board received direct feedback on the effectiveness of the charity's activities. Stakeholder representatives could also provide feedback to the stakeholders they represent
on the reasoning behind board decisions and GFE's current strategy.
Risks
operational risks
These are risks relating to the business's day to day operations.
Accounting irregularities
The unexplained fall in gross profit in some stores may be indicative of fraud or other accounting irregularities. Low gross profit in itself may be caused by incorrect inventory values or loss of
sale income. Incorrect stock levels, in turn, can be caused by incorect inventory counting or theft of inventory by employees. Similarly., loss of sales income could result from accounting errors or
employees fraudulently removing cash from the business rather than recording it as a sale.
Systems
Technical risks relate to the technology being used by the company to run its business.
Backup
Transferring data to head oftice at the end of each day will be inadequate for backup purposes. Failure of computer systems during the day will still result in loss of that day's transaction data.
Delays in inventory ordering
Although stock information is collected using the EPOS system, reordering ot inventory takes a significant amount of time. Iransterring data to head oftice for central purchasing may result in
some discounts on purchase. However, the average 10 days betore inventory is received at the store could result in the company running out of inventory.
Non-business risks
These are risks that arise for reasons beyond the normal operations of the company or the business environment within which it operates.
Event
HOOD may be vulnerable to losses in a warehouse fire.
Business Risks
External risks relate to the business; they are essentially uncontrollable by the company.
Macroeconomic risk
The company Is dependent on one market sector and vulnerable to competition in that sector
Product demand
The most important social change is probably a change in fashion. HOOD has not changed its product designs for four years, indicating some lack of investment in this area. Given that fashions
tend to change more frequently than every four years, HOOD may experience falling sales as customers seek new designs for their outdoor clothing. HOOD may also be vulnerable to seasonal
variations in demand.
Corporate reputation
Risks in this category relate to the overall perception of HOOD in the marketplace as a supplier of (hopefully) good-quality clothing. However, this reputation could be damaged by problems
with the manutacturing process and a consequent high level of returns.
Profiling
By identifying and profiling the effects of the risks, HOOD can assess what the consequences might be, and hence what steps (if any) are desirable to mitigate or avoid the consequences.
Operational risks
Accounting irregularities
The potential effect on HoOD is loss of income, either from inventory not being available for sale or cash not being recorded. The overall amount is unlikely to be significant, as
employees would be concerned about being caught stealing.
The risk can be minimised by introducing additional controls, including the necessity of producing a receipt for each sale and the agreement of cash received to the till roll by
the shop manager. Loss of inventory may be identified by more frequent inventory checks in the stores or closed-circuit television.
Systems
Backup
The potential effect on HOOD is relatively minor; details of one shop's sales could be lost for part of one day. However, the cash from sales would still be available, limiting the
actual loss.
Additional procedures could be implemented to back up transactions as they occur, using online links to head office. The relative cost of providing these links, compared to the
likelihood of error occurring, will help HOD decide whether to implement this solution.
Delays in inventory ordering
The potential effect on HOOD is immediate loss of sales, as customers cannot purchase the garments that they require. In the longer term, if stock-outs become more trequent,
customers may not visit the store because they believe goods will not be available.
The risk can be minimised by letting the stores order goods directly from the manufacturer, using an extension of the EPOS system. Costs incurred relate to the provision of
internet access for the shops and a possible increase in cost of goods supplied. However, this may be acceptable compared to overall loss of reputation.
Non-business risks
Event
The main effects of a warehouse fire will be a loss of inventory and the incurring of costs to replace it. There will also be a loss of sales as the inventory is not there to fultil
customer demand, and perhaps also a loss of subsequent sales as customers continue to shop elsewhere.
Potential losses of sales could be avoided by holding contingency inventory elsewhere, and losses trom the tire could be reduced by insurance
External risks
Macroeconomic risk
The potential effect on HOOD largely depends on HOOD's ability to provide an appropriate selection of clothes. It is unlikely that demand for coats etc will fall to zero, so some
sales will be expected. However, an increase in competition may result in falling sales and, without some diversification, this will automatically affect the overall sales of HOOD.
HOOD can minimise the risk by diversifying into other areas. Given that the company sells outdoor clothes, commencing sales of other outdoor goods, such as camping
equipment, may be one way of diversitying risk. It can also look to reduce operational gearing, fixed cost as a proportion of turnover.
Product demand
Again, the risk of loss of demand and business to competitors may undermine HOOD's ability to continue in business.
This risk can be minimised by having a broad strategy to maintain and develop the brand of HOOD. Not updating the product range would appear to be a mistake, as the brand
may be devalued if products do not satisty the changing tastes of customers.
The board must therefore allocate appropriate investment funds to updating the products and introduce new products to maintain the company's image.
Corporate reputation
As well as immediate losses of contribution from products that have been returned, HoOD faces the consequence of loss of future sales from customers who believe its
products no longer offer quality. Other clothing retailers have found this to be very serious; a reputation for quality, once lost, undoubtedly cannot easily be regained.
The potential effect of a drop in overall corporate reputation will be falling sales for HOOD, resulting eventually in a going concern problem.
HoOD can guard against this loss of reputation by enhancing quality control procedures, and introducing processes such as total quality management
Pa
23 Page 26
When stripping out the paid for and passger ticket we can view the following
Passenger tickets 2,925 3,040 -3.8%
We can seee that a fall in revenue is inline with a fall in costs 3.8% and 3.3%
But overall the operating loss has increased by 1%
Losses of course business have increased by 3.7%
Revenue
Number of passengers in year 2,460,000 2,390,000 70,000 2.9%
Number of passengers in year 2,460,000 2,390,000
Occupancy (% of capacity utilised) 90% 92%
Total passenger capacity of fleet per night (at 30 June) 62,000 59,000
% of total ships
% of capcity per night 10% 9%
examinable
revenue has fallen cost and seek Profit per passanger as costs
and industry has reduce - are fixed ish
growth enhance ship
utilisation
Profit declined
global issue and seek more
effectively
control with FC bulk buy
Fuel price rised
Occupancy fallen
revenue per pass has fallen
market share fallen
Fuel
Fuel 425 378 47 12.4%
Fuel consumption (000’s tonnes) 839 849 -10 -1.2%
Staff costs
Staff costs 435 431 4.00 0.9%
Number of staff 22,500 22,500 - 0.0%
Food
Food 240 241 - 1.00 -0.4%
Number of passengers in year 2,460,000 2,390,000 70,000.00 2.9%
Total passenger capacity of fleet per night (at 30 June) 62,000 59,000 3,000.00 5.1%
23 Page 27
Part 2
Step 1
Receive Pay Currency Rate per £ Converted
UK France 2.40 £ 1 2.40
France US 1.80 € 1.2 1.50
US UK 6.40 $ 1.6 4.00
US France 3.60 $ 1.6 2.25
Step 2 PAY
Receive UK France US Total Receipt
UK 2.40 2.40
France 1.50 1.50
US 4.00 2.25 6.25
Total to pay - 4.00 - 4.65 - 1.50
Total Receipt 2.40 1.50 6.25
Net Position Payment - 1.60 - 3.15 4.75 -
Step 3 - Instruct
Long term risk is economic risk FX exposure. This might reduce competitivess
PV of future money might advesely affect by FX movements
deriviates are short term and unlikely to mitgiate long term risk
By using forwards and options other instru like swaps and FX debt obligations and foregin currency balances
ex rate can be maanged by locking in rates and avoiding future flucations
As revenue is advance then derivates are not desirable
Ship building
Hotel valuation as
we run cruise ships Independs valuation by
and not hotel experts
Financially check
the accuracy of Independs valuation by
info experts
23 Page 28
Understatement of
losses and Independs valuation by
liabilities experts
Accounting
estimates could be
manipluated
Valuation of the
target company –
e.g. hidden
liabilities, uncertain
rights, onerous
contractual
obligations
Commerical-
Hotels Industry & Independs valuation by
competition experts
More info
Actual number of booking made direct on website
number of booking where payment made or not completed as loss sale
booking where people are located and what curises they are booking
visits from same address
23 Page 29
24 Page 30
Prouduction issues and can they meet cap which reduce landax goals
may need to hold inventory for the future
variation of demand can mean they are not met in short term
G can control prices and increase will be passed stragight to them due to long term contract
maintained the promise
local and therefore low inventoy JIT system
Enviorment and local therefore SCR
risk of quality/ cost cutting so suppliers can compete
or could be more forgein currency for every £ ie 2 x 1.02 then year on year
or can dividend by 0.98
Options 2 gives the lowest present value for cost therefore cheapest
Discuss
How accurate is the depn at 2% per year
Assumptions will need to be checked
the payment each year is getting cheaper each year as £ is getting stronger
Contracts can change and how sure are we that will remain at 93
Price can be driven down year on year contract
switching supplier can have quality issue
invovation can be mutli company and new ideas and methods is promising
if we switch suppliers then lack of commient to development
finding the suppliers and they can change
reduce Eco of scale
wont invest in new equipment like G
upfront cost and uncertaily around this
Geographical issues
lead time and delivery time issues
cross boarder suplly chain isues
exchange rate risk and thereofre increase finance risk
may need money market to ensure exchange rate and fixed price if large flux
Contracts reneable annually so have more bargaining power with regards to price as there is more competition between 3 suppliers
It means that Landex is not reliant on one supplier
ICV currency expected to depreciate so costs will get smaller as the years go on
Capitlity is the issue and now 3 and no longer 1 supplier
After 4 years
Lowest variable cost and then longer term soluation if say 10 years
if we looked over 20 to 40 then long term solutin
24 Page 31
Advice
Stick with google, trusted quality and reliable
Landex should opt for option 3 and bring their manufacturing in house. This provides strong quality and
volume control and allows them to rebuild skills and expertise in the case manufacturing process. This is a longer term option and, whilst expensive, provides the highest upside to rising demand.
Considering the demand is expecte to continue growing, proposal 3 would be the most appropriate solution because costs should become lower over time
Proposal 2 - as the business is growing at a fast rate, it is inevitable that multiple suppliers will be required to keep up with demand. Supplier competition will also drive prices down.
The current supplier has provided reliable and good quality services. This suggests that Gootle is a good option, negotiations may be required on
the price to try and negotiate on lower prices. The option of alternative suppliers can be used as a negotiation tool for prices
Question 2
Amorisated cost after 4 years
However, the functional currency of Landex is the £ and the M$ is forecast to appreciate against the £ over the 4–year term of the bond
A - zero coupon bond from its current level of M$2 = £1. As a result, the exchange rate on 31 December 20X8, when the bond is due to be redeemed, is expected
Build factory $ 40,000,000 to be £1= M$1.645405 (i.e. M$2/1.054).
Prem 17%
The annual cost of debt in $ terms is [(117/100)^1/4 – 1] = As a consequence, in £ sterling terms, the bond generates £20m when issued and requires £28.4428m (i.e. M$40m × 1.17/1.645405) to redeem it.
4.00%
Rate 2; 1
2/1.05^4 1.64540495
$40 x 1.17/1.655
£ 28,442,846.25
£ 20,000,000.00
9.20% (28.4428/20)1/4 —1] = 9.203%
Option 2
£20m 5% coupond bond 20,000,000
charge 2%
Interest 1,000,000
MV less 2% 19,600,000.00
0.8 / 19.6 + 20/19.6 ^1/4 -1
Advice
Not only is the 5% sterling bond lower cost, but it is also lower risk.
There is a risk with the zero coupon bond that the M$ may appreciate
even more than the 5% pa expected.
Also the M$ bond adds to the operating foreign exchange risk rather
than hedging it, as it adds even more costs in M$.
The clear advice is therefore to issue the 5% sterling bond. V 9.2% rate
Financial reporting
Q3
Ethics of using G
Ceasing to use G
What is the entition of the chairman and use as 10 years ago to hour statement or to mslead
to gain short term advantage and reduce reduancy cost. He needs to be honest with
Is the 10 years binding and does it make sense to keep them as supplier as overwhelmig ethical obligation
the staff have had a job for 10 years though so more than redundancy pay would be
Coperate governance
The board of directors is a key stakeholder and is fundamental to
corporate governance. In this case a key member of the board, the finance director, has potential influence over two key decisions:
FD is key member of board and can influence decision for personal interest
there irsk the contract is not in best interest for the company
One safegaurde FD to exlcude himself from the deceision on supplier choice
No vote on the matter
Revenue 16,400
Gross profit 6,200
Operating profit 650
Net cash flow from operations 1,380
Property, plant and equipment 2,420
Net assets 5,800
Working capital at 30 June 20X6
Inventories 3,100
Receivables 2,200
Cash 680
Current liabilities 2,600
Managing exchange rate risk from foreign currency operating cash flows prepared by
Rachel Ridd
The board has asked me to consider foreign currency risks relevant to KHC's first six months of US
operations. I have set out specific illustrative information below.
US operating cash flows- information to illustrate exchange rate risk
Borrowing Lending
Sterling (£) 6.50% 4.50%
US Dollars (S) 5.00% 3.00%
KHC could invoice in £, thus transferring all risks to suppliers and customers. However, this
31 Page 33
seems implausible in the circumstances as KHC is small, perhaps dealing with large
wholesalers and retailers in an advanced economy with a stable currency.
KHC could enter into forward contracts, under which an agreed amount of $ will be bought
or sold at an agreed rate at some fixed future date or, under a forward option contract, at
some date in a fixed tuture period. where there are many transactions it would be
inappropriate to hedge each one but hedging the net cash flow exposure would be
reasonable. However these are only short term measures. (See illustrative example below.)
KHC could buy foreign currency options, under which the buyer acquires the right to buy
(call options) or sell (Put options) a certain amount of a currency at a fixed rate at some future
date. If rates move out-of-the- money, the option is simply allowed to lapse.
KHC could buy foreign currency futures on a financial futures exchange. Futures are
effectively forward contracts, in standard sizes and with fixed maturity dates. Their prices
move in response to exchange rate movements, and they are usually sold before maturity,
the profit or loss on sale corresponding approximately to the exchange loss or profit on the
currency transaction they were intended to hedge.
KHC could enter into a money market hedge. One currency is borrowed and converted into
another, which is then invested until the funds are required or funds are received to repay the
original loan. The early conversion protects against adverse exchange rate movements, but
at a cost equal to the difference between the cost of borrowing in one currency and the
return available on investment in the other currency. (See illustrative example below.)
Where there are many transactions it would be inappropriate to hedge each one but
hedging the net cash flow exposure would be reasonable. However, these are still only short
term measures and would not manage a risk of a drift of £/S exchange rates over a longer
period.
3 months transactions
Receipt $ 640,000.00
What need to be borrowed now at 5% for 3 months / 1+ ( .05 x 3/12
$ need now $ 632,098.77
Net sterling amount 1.5275 413,812.61
Intrest rate £ .54% for 3 months x 1+ ( .04 x 3/12)
£ 418,468.00
Net cash payment -£435,000
- 16,532.00
$640,000 will be received 3 months hence, so $632,098 ($640,000/(1 + (0.05 x 3/12)) may be
borrowed now and converted into sterling, the dollar loan to be repaid from the receipts.
The net sterling payment 3 months hence is:
£435,000-{[S640,000/(1+(0.05x 3/12)1/ 1.5275 x[1 + (0.045 x 3/12)])- £16,532
The equation for the $640,000 receipt in three months is to calculate the amount of dollars to
borrow now (divide by the dollar borrowing rate) and then to tind out how much that will give
now in sterling (divide by the exchange rate). The final amount of sterling after three months is
given by multiplying by the steling lending rate.
6 months transactions
Cash outflows on 30 June 20X7 $ -720,000.00
Cash intlows on 30 June 20X7 $ 400,000.00
$ -320,000.00 1.5112 -£ 211,752.25
$320,000 net ($720,000 - $400,000) must be paid 6 months hence. We can borrow sterling now
and convert it into dollars, such that the fund in 6 months will equal $320,000. The sterling
payment in six months' time will be the principal and the interest thereon. A similar logic applies
as for the equation above except that the situation is one of making a final payment rather than
a receipt.
The sterling payment six months hence is therefore:
I$320,000/(1 + (0.03 x 6/12)//1.5240 x (1 +(0.065 x 6/12)]- £213,594
An alternative approach
The intertemporal nature of the $ cash flows can be recognised as a $ inflow of $640,000
OCcurring after 3 months and a net $ outflow of $320,000 after 6 months.
Unless the $ cash inflows need to be converted to fs for use in the UK, some of the $640,000
inflows could be maintained in $ and be put on deposit in $ in the US for the three to six-month
period, rather than converted to £s. The amount invested would be $317,618 (ie, $320,000/(1+
(0.03 x 3/12)) such that it would accumulate to $320,000 after three months. This amount could
then be used to settle the net $ outflow of $320,000 ($720,000- $400,000) after six months. This
Would avoid the need for hedging the six-month $ net cash outiow by a torward or money
market hedge.
Niche market
net cash inflow $ 400,000 2 years
net cash inflow £100,000 indenfiatly
Wider market
net cash inflow $ 350,000 30 June X8
net cash inflow £100,000 indenfiatly
Growth 4%
WACC 10%
Probaility of niche ma 40%
Wider market 60%
1 July X7 £1: $1.5
Niche market
400k / 1.485 / 0.1-.001 £ 2,992,891.88
100k / 0.1 -£ 1,000,000.00
PV £ 1,992,891.88
Probaility of niche market 40%
£ 797,156.75
Wider market
4500k / 1.485 / 0.1-.005 £ 4,713,804.71
100k / 0.1 - 0.04 -£ 1,666,666.67
£ 3,047,138.05
Wider market 60%
£ 1,828,282.83
Total £ 2,625,439.58
Less 3m / 1.5 -£ 2,000,000.00
£ 625,439.58
*£1 = $1.5 at 1 July 20X7 moves to f1 = $1.485 at 30 June 20X8 with 1% appreciation of the $
31 Page 35
**5% reflects 1% ongoing exchange rate appreciation and 4% $ cash flow growth (more
precisely should be 5.049% (1.04 x 1.01).
The outlay in sterling will be $3m/1.5 £2m
Recommendation
While there is an expected positive NPV, there is also a 40% probability of a negative NPV (ie, if
there is a niche market the PV is less than the outlay of £2 million). Even these figures are
dependent on the accuracy of the underlying assumptions.
Nevertheless, based on these assumptions, for which the test marketing exercise has given
some assurance, there is a significant positive NPV. Also the downside loss in terms of the
negative NPV for a niche market outcome is relatively smal.
A tentative recommendation is therefore to invest in the warehouse but any commitment should
be delayed as long as possible to gain the maximum amount of information from market entry.
Leasing
It should not be assumed that debt is the only alternative when equity finance is not available.
Leasing may be a useful choice that would restrict the US financial commitment depending on
the term of the lease. A lease may be an alternative to borrowing, but it may, in commercial
terms, amount to a similar commitment with similar characteristics. Local advice on the tax
implications of a lease and debt may be needed.
Hedging
The investment in the US and its financing cannot be designated as a net investment in a foreign
operation in accordance with lAS 21, The Effects of Changes in Foreign Exchange Rates as this
rule applies only to consolidated financial statements and KHC does not prepare these as the
US operations are only a division, not a subsidiary.
Also, a foreign currency borrowing in USS cannot be designated as a fair value hedge of the US
assets purchased in S (eg, a warehouse) because these assets are non-monetary. AS such, they
are not subsequentiy remeasured under IAS 21 and therefore they do not contain any
separately measurable foreign currency risk.
fa future sale of the warehouse is highly probable, then it could be designated as a cash flow
hedge, but this seems unlikely as it has not yet been purchased.
Where the S denominated revenues and costs are highly probable, as seems the case, and they
are to be hedged with a forwardor a money market hedge (hedge instruments) then, if the
31 Page 37
hedge accounting conditions of IFRS 9, Financial Instruments are met, this may be treated as a
cash flow hedge. That is:
the portion of gain or loss on the hedging instrument that is determined to be an effective
hedge should be recognised in other comprehensive income; and
any excess in the cumulative gain or loss on the hedging instrument over the movement in
the hedged item is recognised immediately in profit or loss
The gain or loss on the hedging instrument that has been recognised in other comprehensive
income should be reclassified to profit or loss on receipt/payment of the related operating cash
Leasing
f leasing is to be used to finance the warehuse IFRS 16, Leases will apply. Under IFRS 16, all
leases will be recognised in the lessee's statement of financial position as a lease liability and a
right-of-use asset with the effective interest expense recognised in profit or losS.
Reputation with customers may improve it they know they are being supplied locally (ie, their
supply chain becomes within the US to a greater extent).
Managing customer service from the UK becomes more difficult as US sales volumes grow and
a distribution tacility will, at some point, in the growth curve be a minimum response to satisty
the needs of the US market.
Amore substantial response to US sales growth would be to have a US production facility.
However, having a distribution tacility holding inventory is a much cheaper alternative than a
second manutacturing site in the US which would increase fixed costs and would need an
appropriate skills base without any history of production in the Us.
Having more costs in the US will mean more costs incurred in $ which would be a natural
hedge against the $ revenues that will be earned as a partial protection against currency risks.
Risks
Mere location within the US still leaves a large geographical distance between the warehouse
distribution centre and much ot the US population. A Single distribution centre may therefore
only be a partial solution to the need to improve customer service. A network of multiple
distribution facilities may be warranted at a later date itf and when sales grow more
substantially.
The fixed production facility increases fixed costs and therefore increases risk from operating
gearing if US sales are volatile. Exit costs are also increase if the US venture fails.
High risk of a stock out. May need higher inventory levels than would be the case for an
equivalent level of UK sales, as there is only one warehouse and there is a risk that there may
be inventories in the UK which cannot quickly be used to supply the US market.
Recommendation
Initially, for market entry, sales volumes are likely to be low and supplying from the UK directly to
retailers located across the US is likely to be the most efficient means of distribution while there
are few economies of scope. As sales grow a little, the use of wholesalers may facilitate wider
distribution but there may be a sacrifice of some margin to achieve this, as there would be an
extra step in the supply chain.
Over time, if conditions change and sales expand, a larger number of customers geographically
dispersed across the US may be more eficiently suPplied, with shorter lead times and therefore
better customer service, from a US warehouse distribution centre. If sales expand further, then
multiple US warehouse distribution centres serving different regions of the US may become
appropriate.
has become successtul in this area partly because of, rather than despite, the price. Another
consideration however is that it was non-price factors that caused the difference in sales
volumes(eg, difterences in culture between the two cities, ditferences in retailers selected or
locations within the cities).
There are significant questions whether the price skimming model is either sustainable within
Boston or extendable to other regions of the US.
Perhaps a more sustainable pricing model would be based on market research including what
similar products are selling for in the US market and what the target market group is willing to
pay. This group may ditter from the females aged 25 to 40 applying in the UK market.
Branding issue
Licensing the brand
A licence grants a third-party organisation (the licensee) the rights to exploit an asset belonging
to the licensor.
Licences over brand rights are common. The licensee, Mooton, would pay an agreed amount (in
this case f5 per bag), to KHC, as licensor, relating to the sales generated on licensed products
for the right to exploit the Kiera Healye brand for its Attude range of products in the specitied
geographical area of the UK.
The total annual payment from Mooton would be £150,000 per annum (30,000 x £5). In
perpetuity (assuming that the four year contract was constantily renewed or replaced)
discounted at the WACC this would give a value of £1.5 million.
This compares favourably with the f2.5 million offered by Buckingham for the brand rights to all
fts products (except cosmetics). Ihere may be some annual monitoring costs to be incurred
which will reduce the PV but these are not likely to be significant.
Licence agreements will vary considerably in the constraints placed on the licensee. Some will
dictate branding, pricing and marketing issues. Others will leave these decisions to the licensee.
Licensing can be a method of financing rapid growth without having to make an initial
investment, as KHC would need to do to exploit ditferent product markets itselt. Mooton will
also bring core competences in handbag manufacture that KHC does not have and may find
difficult to acquire.
There needs to be some incentive for the companies involved to purchase the licence but as
Mooton has already approached KHC presumably it believes it will benefit from the licensingg
agreement
From KHC's perspective, the financial risk is low as there is a low risk new revenue stream with
no operating costs to be incurred other than setting up and monitoring the arrangement. There
is however a potential reputational risk.
A key issue is whether Mooton will enhance, damage or have neutral effect on the Kiera Healy
brand.
The licensing arrangement may enhance recognition of the Kiera Healy brand name and
stimulate sales of toiletries. Alternatively, it may damage the brand name it Mooton's product or
customer service is not of the same quality as KHC. Contractual protection against this could be
built into the licensing agreement to protect against this risk. This might involve control over
production quality, service quality and controls over the advertising image presented.
plc was not appropriate but, had it been for the entire global rights, serious consideration could
have been given to this method of valuation, although as the ofter was rejected the valuation
itself seems too low).
The income basis - This would consider the present value of the incremental income generated
by the brand. No price premium is obtained by the Kiera Healy brand, but additional sales
volume is obtained.
The cost basis - this is the current replacement cost of the brand which is the PV of the
advertising expenditure of f3.5 million. The basis on which this value was determined would
need to be considered, including allowance tor risk and how the expenditure could replicate
the brand in varying market conditions.
Aside from the valuation there are adverse strategic factors which are as follows:
The ability for KHC to leverage the brand in future in order to expand is lost permanently
While the brand sale invoves a cause to retain an exclusive and pemanent right to
continue to use, without charge, the "Kiera Healy brand for toiletries globally' the use of
the brand by other companies may damage the brand for KHC (eg, if the other companies
used it for downmarket products).
On the positive side, larger companies could leverage the brand more efficiently than KHC and
Kiera may obtain a higher price in expectation of this. As a stand-alone company, KHC may take
many years to be of sufficient size to explot the brand as effectively.
Minimum price
The minimum price is likely to be higher than the f2.5 million as: this price was rejected; it only
related to non-toiletry products; and the company has developed since the offer was made.
The f1.5 million for licensing to Mooton just for handbags seems indicative of the value of the
brand it it can be spun out to other types of product.
Cost basis of f3.5 million has no element of added value above cost so a minimum of around
t4 million to f5 million may seem appropriate.
lgnoring tax this would give a P/E ratio of around 6.2 to about 7.7.
PHM engagement
Agreed-upon procedures
In an agreed-upon procedures (AUP) engagement, PHM would provide a report of factual
findings from the procedures and tests performed, which need to be agreed with both KHC and
Mooton. The procedures and tests required should be sufticiently detailed so as to be clear and
unambiguous, and discussed and agreed in advance with both KHC and Mooton, so that the
factual findings are useful and appropriate to the licensing contract.
When performing an AUP engagement on historical financial information, PHM, as practitioners,
are required, as a minimum, to comply with International Standards on Related Services (ISRs)
4400, Engagements to Perform Agreed-upon Procedures Regarding Financial lnformation.
Our report for an AUP will not express a conclusion and, therefore, it is not an assurance
engagement. It will not provide recommendations based on the findings.
We would request that KHC and Mooton review the procedures and findings in our report and
use the intormation to draw their own conclusions.
A key guide to the procedures that PHM would carry out would be related to the contractual
terms of the licensing agreement. For example, the number of bags sold; the number of
customer complaints about product quality; and the number of customer complaints about
service quality.
The value of an AUP comes from PHM, as practitioners, objectively carrying out procedures and
tests with relevant expertise thus avoiding the need for KHC to carry Out the procedures and
tests themselves and theretore it protects confidentiality for Mooton.
AUP are most effective in situations such as this where there is a clear matter to focus on in the
form of the licensing contract.
The benefit to KHC of agreed-upon procedures is therefore that it provides evidence for the
board that Mooton is complying with the terms of the licensing contract in identitying,
measuring and attributing all sales of the Attitude range and is fully stating the royaity payments
to KHC. Ihis prevents understating of royalty payments by Mooton and the monitoring of other
contractual terms in amanner that is inconsistent with the licence contract. Aspects of quality
control could also be monitored (eg, customer complaints) to restrict any reputational damage.
Mooton may be more likely to allow PHM to carry out this task as a professional accountant than
perhaps they would with KHC staff, due to the commercial sensitivity of other information that
31 Page 41
may be obtained in the process. In this cotext ISRS 4400 requires compliance with the
applicable requirements of the Code of Ethics for Professional AccoOuntants.
32 Page 42
Q PLC
Listed on AIM in 4 years
Directors Rem increased 10% Year on year but profits not grown
3 months to
3 months to 30 31 3 months to
September December 31 March 3 months to
20X5 20X5 20X6 30 June 20X6 Total
Revenue by customer type:
Individual customers 4,805 3,914 4,766 6,975 20,460 78%
Stores 1,395 1,136 1,384 2,025 5,940 23%
Revenue by product type
Home products 4,200 4,550 4,900 5,250 18,900 72%
Garden products 2,000 500 1,250 3,750 7,500 28%
Cost of sales by product type:
Home products 2,940 3,185 3,430 3,675 13,230 75%
Garden products 1,200 300 750 2,250 4,500 25%
Analyisis of data
3 months to
3 months to 30 31 3 months to
September December 31 March 3 months to
20X5 20X5 20X6 30 June 20X6
Revenue by product type
Home products 4,200 4,550 4,900 5,250 18,900
Cost of sales by product type:
Home products 2,940 3,185 3,430 3,675 13,230
1,260 1,365 1,470 1,575 5,670
GPM 30% 30% 30% 30% 30%
(eg, from the introduction of an ageing analysis of inventories) in order to be able to make the appropriate write down.
Inventories are non monetary assets in accordance with IAS 21, The Etfects of Changes in Foreign Exchange Rates. As such, they will be translated at the exchange rate on the
date of purchase and not normally retranslated thereafter. The fact of the inventories being purchased in a foreign currency is not therefore a major financial statement risk so
long as the original purchase price is recorded.
However, where there is an impairment, or other fair value adjustment, the values of inventories are retranslated at the current date and therefore it is necessary to have detailed
and reliable continuous inventory records in order to be able to do this.
(5) Sustainability
Sustainability is about ensuring that development meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs.
The idea of recycling is consistent with sustainability, in that an organisation should only use resources at a rate that allows them to be replenished (in order to ensure that they
will continue to be available). At the same time, waste should be confined to levels that do not exceed the capacity of the environment to absorb them. Quinter's proposed
recycling policy attempts to reuse some resources and reduces waste.
However, recycling is only one aspect of sustainability. Wider social, environmental and economic issues also need to be addressed for Quinter to demonstrate corporate
responsiblty in promoting sustainability as a listed company acting in the public interest.
Sustainability reporting is an important issue. The ICAEW publication Outside Insights: Beyond Accounting highlights a number of issues that must be addressed for
sustainability reporting to be effective and these are relevant to Quinter's decision to report its sustainability policy in the annual report in terms of the level of detail that should
be indicated. These include the following
Who reports are tor
Links to corporate/business strategy
Materiality of issues reported
Validity of indicators
Objectivity of reporting
Transparency of information
Comparability of information
Balance of information
Understandability of the report
Audit/assurance of the report and performance
External stakeholder engagement
Integration with financial reporting
Addressing true sustainability
An integrated report should explain how the organisation creates value, using both quantitative and qualitative information.
One aspect of this is natural capital, including the impact that Quinter's activities are having on air, water, land, minerals and forests. Recycling would be one element addressing
this.
The benetfit to Quinter of such disclosures is that it presents the image of corporate responsibility in formal communication by indicating the proposed (it limited) ustainability
policy.
Publishing the sustainability policy in the annual report also makes environmental assurance more teasible to order to attest that the claimed policies are being implemented
effectively.
Jan X4 90%
Consideration 432
10% 21
share options veted 31 Dec X7
Obtain AIM listing
Production
20m invested to increat automation
redudant of staff
20X5 20X6
Sales 3600 3600
Factory Assembley
Capacity 3600 5200 8800
Staff 300 900 1200
Sales
Sports car 70%
6 months wait on delovery
Sales and production occur evenly over the year. In 20X5, the geographical distribution of total sales revenue was:
%
US 25
UK 40
Eurozone countries 30
Other regions 5
Prop 1
Net proceeds 29 million
closure costs 2.5 million
CA assets 22 million
FV of assets 28 million
German supplier
3 years Min Max
engine supplier 3500 4200
Average cost per engine
33 Page 45
Japanses suppkier
2 year contract
Fixd price 1540000 Yen
Min Max
engine supplier 3800 5500
FX rate 140 Yen
Discount rate 6%
Controbution pe £45,000
Demand
Year Number of cars
20X7 3,800
20X8 4,100
20X9 4,400
20X10 4,400
20X7 20X8
Demand 3800 4100
Delivery 3800 4100
Cost Yen € 1,540,000.00 € 1,540,000.00
Exchange rate 140 140
Cost £ £ 11,000.00 £ 11,000.00
Direct cost £ 41,800,000 £ 45,100,000
Op cost
Total cost £ 41,800,000 £ 45,100,000
NPV £79,572,801.71
Shensu
PV of engine costs (E) 79,572,802
AF 2 years 6% 1.833
Annual equivalent (E) 43,411,240
Shensu
PV per engine: £79,572,802/(3,800+4,100)- £10,073
Prop 2
Automate and upgrade
new factory 40 million
Bond issue 40 million
10 years at rate 4%
Average varaible cost £6,000
Useful life of machinery 7-10 year
Production capacity 8,000
has a significant initial outlay, then a lower marginal cost. lo compare the first two or three years' cash flows of
Proposal 2 with the outsourcing options would be unreasonable, as the outlay of Proposal 2 would not expect to
be recovered over this short time period.
One approach is therefore to compare the annualised equivalent PVs of Proposal 2 for a 7-year useful life and a
10-year useful life. Ihis can then be compared with Proposal 1 annualised equivalent PVs. (Note: Other
approaches are acceptable.)
Useful life
The first ot these is the usetul lite of the new equipment. If the new equipment lasts / years then the annual
equivalet PV is approximately t38.9 million, which S a lower cost than that for erther of the outsourcing
companies. On the other hand it the new equipment lasts 10 years then the annual equivalent PV is approximately
f35.9 million, which is even lower.
The useful lite of the new equipment is therefore a key risk and a key element in the decision that requires further
investigation.
Three months' lost sales
Another key factor is that there will be three months of lost production when re-equipping the engine factory. The
above table assumes that these sales will be lost and never recovered.
An alternative assumption is that customers are willing to defer their purchase and wait until the new factory and
new engines are available. Ihe tactory has an annual capacity ot 8,000 engines, so in the remaining 9 months it
can make 6,000 engines. Similarly, the assembly plant has an annual capacity of 5,200 cars so, in 9 months, it could
make 3,900 which is greater than the annual demand of 3,800 vehicles in 20X7.
If the assumption that all sales in the three months can be recovered then the alternative calculation is:
In this scenario, it the new equipment lasts / years then the annual equivalent PV is approximately £32./ million,
which is tar lower than that for erther of the outsourcing companies. On the other hand, if the new equipment lasts
33 Page 47
10 years then the annual equivalent PV is approximately t31.2 million, which Is now a signiticantly lower annual
cost than that for either of the outsourcing companies.
A balanced view might be that the useful life is somewhere between 7 and 10 years and that some, but not all, of
the potential sales during the 3 months the engine factory is closed will be lost. A series of iterations on these
assumptions would test the sensitivity of the outcomes.
PVof costs per engine
An alternative methodology is the PV of costs per engine (including opportunity costs) as follows.
Number ot engines
7 year life 2,850+4,100 +(4,400 x 5) 28,950 cars
10 year life 2,850 +4,100 +(4,400 x 8) 42,150 cars
Operating gearing
The two outsourcing options comprise entirely variable costs. However, the significant investment in the factory
means that, while Proposal 2 has a lower variable cost per engine than outsourcing, there are greater fixed costs.
As a result, operating gearing will be higher under Proposal 2. Therefore there is a risk if sales levels are lower than
indicated by the forecasts.
However, the minimum quantities specified by the outsourcing companies are also a de tacto fixed cost as, if
future sales are low, then these minimum levels must still be ordered and paid for. This is a similar risk to Proposal
2 where the cost of the new equipment is paid irrespective of future demand.
In this respect, the Shensu contract is the greater risk as the minimum order is 3,800 which is equal to the 20X/
level of dermand. So any shortfall of sales volume against forecast would result in excess inventory on the Shensu
contract. The Gratz contract is less risky as the minimum is of 3,00 engines per annum.
In both cases, as sales grow over time, the outsourcing company minima become less of a concern as there is
more headroom on tforecast sales.
Financial gearing
he costs ot outsourcing are incurred gradually over time so no immediate borrowing is needed. Conversely,
Proposal 2 requires f40 million of immediate borrowing. This raises financial gearing and therefore financial risk in
requiring future interest payments and capital to be repaid.
The life of the bond is 10 years, which is the maximum useful life of the new equipment. If the useful life is less than
this, then replacement of this equipment may be needed with associated new finance within the life of the existing
bond.
Wider benefits and risks of outsourcing engine production compared with internal manufactures
Benefits
Outsourcing enables Wooster to draw on the core competences of two market leaders. It is noted that Wooster
engines have become inferior to competitors' engines in cost, efficiency and environmental impact. This may
Suggest that, unless the new engine is a significant improvement, the manutacture of engines is not a core
competence of Wooster. Wooster's core competences may instead be in car assembly and brand development.
A further, and related, point is that both outsourcing companies are major multinational car manufacturing
companies which benefit from economies of scale; particularly in comparison to Wooster, which is relatively small
in the context of the industry. By outsourcing to these companies Wooster may benefit from their scale economies
and from a lower price
Risks
There are a number of key risks.
At the moment, the potential to continue internal manutacture of engines gives Wooster the choice to reject the
outsourcing companies' ofters. This may be helpful in negotiating price. However, if Proposal 1 is selected, the
factory will be sold and key staff for engine manufacture made redundant. As a consequence, it would be
extremely difficult for Wooster to resume internal manufacture in future by bringing production back in-house at
the end of the current outsourcing contracts. While there may be competition amongst outsourcers on contract
renewal, there is capacity for Wooster to be less well positioned in renewal negotiations without an in-house
option than is currenty the case.
Outsourcing may restrict future growth as, it sales increase, the capacity of the current two outsourcing companies
appears to be significantly below that of the production capacity of 8,000 which could be achieved by a re-
equipped engine Tactory.
Internal production would incur costs in ts sterling. Ihis appears to reduce currency risk, as Wooster 's functional
currency is the £, compared to the outsourcing alternatives, which are denominated in foreign currencies.
However, it could be argued that the Gratz contract actually gives lower currency risk than in-house production, as
it gives some natural hedging to euro revenues.
One final issue is the supply chain where a UK engine factory is located in the same location, a short distance from
the assembly plant. It therefore has a short supply chain. It also probably benefits from a common internal
information technology system. This may enable more reliable deliveries and appropriate conditions tor just-in-
time manufacturing.
Analysis
The analysis above (Method 1) determines the acost of supplying engines over the contractual periods for Gratz
and Shensu, which are 3 years and 2 years respectively.
In addition, in 20X9, although demand is for 4,400 engines the maximum capacity of Gratz is 4,200 engines. As a
consequence, given that holding inventories at the beginning of 20X9, by over-ordering in 20X8, is not possible
33 Page 48
due to storage problems, there is a constraint on the number of cars that can be sold. There is therefore an
opportunity cost on the Gratz contract in terms of lost contribution from lower sales of £9 million (200 £45,000)
(Note: Method 2 does not require the opportunity cost as the lost sales of 200 cars are built into the lower NPV.)
It may be that the figure of £9 million overstates the opportunity cost as it may be possible to increase price
slightly, compared with the Shensu contract, in order to reduce demand to the available level of supply. Moreover,
if the forecast demand for 20X9 is over optimistic, then this will aftect Shensu but, at the margin, will not aftect
Gratz and therefore the actual opportunity cost will be lower than expected.
A key comparability problem is the ditference in the length of each contract. It is clear that the total cost of
supplying engines over a 3-year period by Gratz (just over £125 million in PV terms) will be greater than that for
Shensu over 2 years (almost f80 million in PV terms). Some method of averaging is theretfore required.
Moreover, the Gratz contract has significant increases in price over the 3-year period so further averagıng is
needed.
The calculations show an annualised equivalent present value of approximately f47.09 million for Gratz and
f43.41 million for Shensu. This would suggest that the Shensu contract is preferable. However, the figures are very
close so a range of other financial and non-financial tactors need to be considered. In particula, the annuity
method adjusts for the differential time periods of the two contracts but does not adjust for the fact that the
number of engines varies over the contract term and is largest in the final year
An alternative method of adjustment is therefore to divide the PV of the costs by the number of engines produced
which allows tor the different contract periods and the variation in the annual number of engines over that period.
Beyond 20X9
The above financial appraisal only goes up to the end of 20X9. While there is no detailed data for 20Y0 and
beyond, there are a number of indicators of future financial differences between the two contracts. If Wooster
wishes to obtain continuity by continuing with the same supplier when the contract is renewed in 20Y0 then the
data for 20X9 for Gratz (and 20X8 for Shensu) may be an indicator of what might be renegotiated.
A key factor is that the demand for Wooster cars is increasing and in 20x9 is expected to be 4,400 which is greater
than Gratz's capacity to supply Wooster. If the demand for Wooster cars continues to expand beyond 20x9 then
the opportunity cost of using Gratz, rather than Shensu, will continue to grow. It may be that, with the knowledge
of a longer term supply relationship with Wooster, Gratz will invest to expand production from 20Y0 but, at current
engine production capacity, it could become a major barrier to growth for Wooster.
Variation in pricing
Shensu is charging a fixed price of yen 1,540,000 per engine. This is £11,000 per engine at the assumed exchange
rate of f1- yen 140.
Over the term of the contract, Gratz is charging variable prices per engine in euro which in ts is as tollows:
Year euro % increase
20X7 14,000 £10,000 0
20X8 15,400 £11,000 10.09%
20X9 € 16,800 £12,000 9.10%
The increases in price over the term of the Gratz contract gives a cash flow advantage to Wooster as the higher
prices are at a later date. These are also discounted to a greater extent as they occur later.
f the contract is taken with Shensu in 20X7 and then renewed with Shensu we do not know what price will be
charged in 20X9 under the new contract. However, the Gratz price for 20X9 represents a significant increase of
9.1% on the Shensu price and on Gratz's own price for 20X8.
If the Gratz contract is to be renewed in 20Y0, the highest price under the existing contract of £12,000 may form
the basis of renewal negotiations and this would mitigate against renewal of the Gratz contract and therefore the
possibility of supply continuity.
Frequency of delivery
The frequency of delivery is different, with Gratz delivering weekly and Shensu only monthly.
he limited storage capability is placed under more strain with monthly deliveries, but would leave some spare
storage capacity with weekly deliveries as each order is smaller.
The fact that orders are only monthly with Shensu means if there is a problem with fulfilling any order, there may
be a significant delay before it can be rectified.
The even spread of sales over the year may imply there is stability of demand and this may reduce the uncertainty
in the supply chain, enabling Shensu to provide a good senvice.
(C)Foreign currency
Both supply contracts are in foreign currencies, but different foreign currencies.
A key issue is the correlation of each of the two currencies with the £, which appears to be Wooster's functional
currency. This will depend on the relative growth rates, interest rates and monetary policies of the UK, Germany
and Japan. Forward currency rates may give an indication of short-term market expectations of currency
movements, but expert advice might be needed to assess longer term expectations of relative currency
movements.
Foreign currency risk management needs to consider the wider picture of foreign currency tlows for the company
as a whople.
In 20X7, predicted sales are 3,800 vehicles. Assuming the price per car remains at the 20X6 level of £87,00, then
33 Page 49
this means total revenue in 20X7 will be £330.6 million. If the proportion of sales to eurozone countries remains at
30% then this will give euro revenues of f99.18 million.
In 20X7, the total direct cost of the Gratz contract is estimated to be f38 million. The Gratz contract would
therefore represent a direct natural hedge for over a third of euro revenues. As a consequence, rather than
increasing foreign currency risk, it actually reduces this risk for the company as a whole.
There are currently minimal revenues (if any) in yen and hence there is no direct natural hedging in respect of the
cost of the engines from Shensu. There may be an indirect hedge it movements in the yen are closely correlated
with movements in the USS or the euro but, at best, this is likely to be somewhat less than perfect.
Short term hedging of transactions is possible by using yen/£ forwards, futures and options. Given that contract
prices are fixed and quantities required are stable then reasonably effective hedging should be possible, at a cost
Over the contract term.
Recommendation
The Shensu contract has the lower annualised present value of £43.4 million compared with £47.1 million for the
Gratz contract. On this pure financial basis the Shensu contractis to be preferred by a reasonable margin.
In addition however the Shensu contract is tor two years compared with three years for the Gratz contract. This
may enable renegotiation earlier but this may result in either a favourable or an adverse outcome.
The risk of the Gratz cotract is lower in forex terms, minimum delivery and in reliability of supply chain terms.
In the longer term however the maximum quantities are greater for Shensu and along with the direct financial
benefit this appears to be the best option but based on a close iudgement.
An adjustment that will need to be made prior to classitication as held tor sale is in respect ot the depreciation
charge for the 11 months to 30 November 20X6. No further depreciation charge is made after the held for sale
classification date.
The depreciation charge for 11 months to 30 November 20X6 is: (£600,000) x 11/12 - £550,000.
The overal adjustment to the financial statements immediately before reclassification as held for sale is theretore
to reduce the depreciation charge to profit or loss to f550,000 and increase the carrying amount of engine factory
assets to f£22.05 million. (Increase is t600,000 - £550,000.)
On re-classification as held for sale, IFRS 5 requires that a disposal group shall, at the date when reclassified as
held for sale, measure the relevant assets at the lower of:
carrying amount
fair value less costs to sell
As the carrying amount is less than the fair value less costs to sell, there is no impairment charge required upon
reclassification.
Based on the estimated amounts provided, a profit on the sale of the factory of f9.45 million (£31.5 - £22.0Sm)
would be recognised in the statement of profit or loss for the year ended 31 December 20X7. The engine factory
assets would be derecognised on sale. (Note that the £29 million proceeds is net of closure costs whereas it
should be gross at f31.5 million without the closure costs deducted. These should be recognised as a provision in
20X6 (see below).)
Provisions
Under Proposal 1 a provision of f2.5 million would need to be made for closure costs of the factory in the year
ended 31 December 20X6. By 30 November 20X6, the contract would be finalised and announced. There is
therefore both a constructive and legal obligation to incur these costs from this date.
Revenue
There has been a clear increase in sales revenues over the period 20x4 to 20X6 represented by signiticant
increases of 12.8% in 20X4 and 14.4% in 20X5, but a much smaller expected increase of only 1.2% for 20X6.
Sales volumes and price are two possible causes of these increases in sales revenues.
Sales volumes have increased by 10% in 20X4 and by 9.1% in 20X5, so this was a signiticant cause of the increase
in revenues. Sales volumes did not increase again in 20X6, but by this stage there was a binding production
capacity constraint from the engine factory which prevented further growth.
The average price increased by 2.5% in 20X4 and by 4.9% in 20X5, which are additional to the volume increases.
33 Page 51
Being able to sell more cars at a higher price is evidence of good performance by Wooster management.
In trying to identity underlying causal factors, it does not seem that the price increase retlects a quality increase as
product costs have also fallen from a high in 20X3 (see below) so this explanation may lack plausibility.
An alternative explanation is a change in the product mix being sold, witha higher proportion of higher priced
cars being purchased by customers in 20x4 and 20X5 compared with 20X3.
An additional explanation of the high price increase in 20X5 could reflect the fact that the company is operating at
productive capacity in 20X5 and 20X6 and management is increasing price to reduce effective demand to the
level of available supply.
The price increase for 20X6 is much smaller at 1.2%. This may be due to market conditions but it is also cumulative
on top of significant price increases in 20x4 and 20X5 which are unlikely to be sustainable at this rate in the longer
run.
Profit
Since 20X3, the year betore the acquisition, profit has improved from operating losses (also losses betore and after
tax) into profits.
Operating profits were achieved in 20X4 and profits before and after tax by 20X5. This was a rapid and significant
turnaround achieved by management
Percentage increases to turn a loss to a profit are not particularly instructive, so perhaps the best measure of the
improvement in operating performance is seen in the improvement in gross profit. In particular, the increase in
gross protit has outweighed the f£11 million increase in administration costs between 20X3 and 20X6 (compound
average ot 4.39% per annum).
The gross profit margin has increased from 25% in 20X3; to 33.7% in 20X5; before dropping back to an expected
33.3% in 20X6.
This has meant a very significant increase in gross profit in 20X4 of 43%; and a further significant increase in 20X5
21.7%.
of
The main cause of the increase in gross profit has been revenue increases which have been discussed above.
However, there has also been good control over production costs which have fallen from £60,000 per vehicle in
20X3; to £S6,000 per vehicle in 20X4; before rising to f58,000 by 20X6.
A key feature in reducing production costs appears to be labour productivity. Following the reduction of the
labour force in 20X4, and again in 20X5, the annual number of cars produced per employee increased
signiticanty from two to three.
There was no further increase in gross profit in 20X6, compared with 20X5, as although the price per vehicle
increased by £1,000, the production cost per vehicle also increased by £1,000, with no change in sales volume.
Return on equity
In terms of the investment pertormance for Stockin in 20X3, return on equity (ROE) was significantly negative (at
minus 13.8%) in that year. Improving in 20X4, ROE was still negative at minus 4.5%. In 20XS it increased to 14.8%,
betore faling back to11.8% in 20Ox6. While this represents a significant improvement in investment pertormance,
it could still be regarded as too low for this type of private equity investment; particularly with respect to the
annual benchmark of 20% expected by StockFin.
(6) Summary
in 20x3, the year before StockFin acqured Wooster, pertormance was poor with significant operating losses being
incurred. Performance improved significantly in 20X4 and again in 20X5 and began to turn the company around.
Pertormance fell back a little in 20X6, partly because the engine plant reached capacity output. New plans are in
place to address this Issue. Iherefore the pertormance in the two years tollowing the acquisition has been good
but, for further improvements, and to prevent the stagnation of growth in 20X6 reoccurring, there needs to be
increased efficiency and further investment.
34 Page 52
Route to India
Start 1 Oct X7
Prices
Prem Eco £600
Business class £1,250
Premium Business
economy class
passenger passenger
s s Revenue
Monday £240,000
Tuesday £165,000
Wednesday £165,000
Thursday £165,000
Friday £270,000
Saturday £195,000
Sunday £270,000
£1,470,000
Operate 360 days a year
Yearly £75,600,000
FV of aircraft 25,000,000
Prem Eco seBuss Seats
Configurition 1 180 80
Demand Demand Seat Seat PE pass BC pass Upgrades Price
PE BC PE BC PE BC
Monday 150 120 180 80 150 80 600 1,250 90,000 100,000
Tuesday 150 60 180 80 150 60 600 1,250 90,000 75,000
Wednesday 150 60 180 80 150 60 600 1,250 90,000 75,000
Thursday 150 60 180 80 150 60 600 1,250 90,000 75,000
Friday 200 120 180 80 180 80 600 1,250 108,000 100,000
Saturday 200 60 180 80 180 60 20 600 1,250 120,000 75,000 20 x 600
Sunday 200 120 180 80 180 80 600 1,250 108,000 100,000
696,000 600,000
Recommendation
The contiguration of 80 Business Class; 180 premium economy generates more revenue per week but also has
greater flexibility to take on more BC passengers. It may 7%
Revenue £m
Fuel costs 2,815.00
Other operating costs - 942.00
Operating profit - 1,273.00
Finance costs 600.00
Profit before tax - 36.00
Tax 564.00
Profit for the year - 73.00
Other comprehensive income 491.00
Fair value changes in cash flow hedges transferred to fuel costs
Fair value changes in cash flow hedges in the year (fuel commodities) 56.00
Total comprehensive income - 85.00
462.00
Loan 1 Oct X7 DF PV
Purchase 40,000,000 1- 40,000,000
Useful life 10
sale price 15,000,000 1/1.07^10 7,625,239
- 32,374,761
Lease 1 Oct X7
Useful life 10
Lease rental 5,000,000
Penalty if broken 14,000,000 if cancel 30 Sept Y2
Comparison
The full lease term of 10 years is comparable with the expected useful lite of the asset it it is purchased. Over this
period using the assumed discount rate, purchasing is the lower NPV option and on this basis is to be accepted.
However the decision should not be taken on the basis of NPV alone. There are a range of other factors that
should be taken into account, particularly as the difference in the two NPVs is relatively small and may be sensitive
to changes (eg, in the interest rate or in the tax rate).
Liquidity may be a key consideration. The purchase of aircraft requires an initial payment. This needs to be out of
available cash or the t80 million needs to be financed (eg, by borrowing). It the company does not have the
available cash and is near debt capacity then leasing may be the only available choice, notwithstanding the higher
NPV.
Risk is also a key factor. lf demand for the London to New Delhi route is not popular it may be possible to use the
aircrart on other routes. It however the aircraft are particularly suitable for this route, or if there is a general fall in
demand for PWA flights globally, then the costs of grounding the aircraft for substantial periods or disposing of
the aircraft need to be considered.
In this respect, the break clause offers an exit route after 5 years which gives a lower NPV than ownership.
However, the penaity cost is substantial and the comparison of (a) ownership and (b) a S-year lease using the
break clause, assumes the aircraft are grounded for a full 5 years without use betore being sold, which is
unrealistic. So while the break clause offers some flexibility, it is limted in its application.
The interest rate should be the after tax rate once tax cash flows are included. More information is needed on the
tax consequences of the various options.
Further information is also needed on how the interest rate is calculated and how sensitive the NPVs are toa
change in interest rate. A significant rise in interest rates would make the leasing method more favourable as it
reduces the PV of the lease rentals and also reduces the value of the residual receipt for the purchase method,
while leaving the outlay PV unaffected.
Recommendation
There are benefits to both methods. Unless market research has a high degree of certainty for strong demand, the
purchase of one aircraft and the leasing of the other may give some flexibility in that it is less likely, it both were
leased, that demand would be so low that both aircraft would need to be grounded and the break-clause
exercised on both contracts.
Purchase 40,000,000
Useful life 10
sale price 15,000,000
Depn 2,500,000
Carry amount at 30 Sept Y0 32,500,000 3 years
If the airCraft is to be grounded permanently from 30 September 20Y0 then the value in use would be zero in
respect of operating earnings.
The fair value less costs to sell would be the fair value at the date of impairment which is f25 million. An
impairment of £7.5 million would therefore Bbe recognised in profit or loss for the year ended 30 September 20Yo.
Leasing
Under IFRS 16, Leases the lease would be recognised in the statement of tinancial position as a lease liability and a
right-of-use asset, which would be depreciated over the lease term.
lf the aircraft are to be grounded permanently from 30 September 20Y0, and this is anticipated at the inception of
the lease, the lease liability will be calculated on the basis that the break clause will be exercised. Ihis means that
the penalty of £14 million is included in the present value of the future lease payments. Ihe right-of-use asset will
be depreciated over the expected lease term of tive years and an impairment loss will be recognised in profit or
loss for the year ended 30 September 20Y0, as tor an owned asset.
Hedgeing drrangements
Forward contracts
A torward contract is a binding agreement to acquire a set amount of goods at a future date at a price agreed
today.
A forward contract fixes the rate for a transaction, and these contracts must be setled regardless of whether or not
the oil price at the settlement date is more favourable than the agreed forward price.
The hedge could be for aviation fuel itself, or for oil, which is very closely correlated to the price of aviation fuel.
While PWA uses fuel, it does not need to take physical delivery of the fuel. Instead it could use changes in the
price of the forward contracts where the gains and losses would oftset the movements in fuel purchase prices
which are entirely separate contracts.
5, tor example, PWA may arrange a forwa
contract with its bank. Subsequently, when it needs to purchase
34 Page 54
the Tuel, the bank ill close out the original torward contract, in effect by arranging another torward contract Tor
the same settlement date, to cancel out the original contract. Ihe close-out is then settled with a cash payment by
one party to the other, depending on the difference between the forward prices in the contract and market prices.
Some advantages of forwards over futures are as follows:
they are transacted over the counter, and are not subject to the requirements of a trading exchange.
they can, in theory, be tor any amount.
The length of time for the contract can be tlexible, but contracts are generally tor less than two years.
Some disadvantages of forwards compared with futures are as follows:
PWA would not have the protection that trading on an exchange brings (see below).
there is a risk of detault by the counterparty to the contract.
Futures
A future would be an exchange-traded agreement to buy or sell a standard quantity of oil on a fixed future date at
a price agreed today. They can be described as exchange-traded standardised forward contracts.
There are two parties to a futures contract-a buyer and a seller - whose obligations are as tollows.
The buyer of a future enters into an obligation to buy the specified asset on a specified date.
The seller of a future is under an obligation to sell the specified asset on a future date.
Futures contracts are traded on an exchange with the contract terms clearly specified by the rules of the exchange.
The contracts are of a standardised size with standardised delivery dates (March, June, September and
December). This means that it may not be possible to match the exact exposure that PWA requires for its fuel over
the exact period for which fuel purchases are anticipated to be made.
Futures are traded on margin, meaning that the trader only has to spend a small amount of money, far below the
value of the underlying commodity, to be exposed to the price rise or fall of that commodity. Margin is an amount
of money deposited with the clearing house of the futures exchange, to cover any foreseeable losses on the
futures position. Both buyers and sellers of futures deposit initial margin with the exchange when they make their
transaction, and may subsequently be required to pay additional variation margin if they incur a loss on their
futures position.
Recommendation
In general, the principle of both forward contracts and futures would be to lock PWA into a contractual price tor
fuel to be paid in the future. Gains or losses would offset changes in the underlying prices of fuel purchases, which
s the item being hedged.
The key diference would be if PWA wished to hedge 18 months ahead like the previous FD did, then this would
point towards forward contracts, as futures tend to be within 12 months, and possibly less.
It would be possible to extend hedging up to two years using forward contracts, but it would be difficult beyond
that time frame.
Whether PVWA wishes to hedge all of its fuel purchases or (say) 90% like the previous FD would depend on the risk
appetite of the board. The advantage of not hedging 100% would be that the amount of fuel purchased next year
may be below expectations and therefore result in over-hedging (ie, >100% of actual fuel purchases are hedged),
which would perversely expose PWA to increased risk rather than reduced risk.
In having a lower proportion of longer term fuel purchases hedged (say 60% like the previous FD) it leaves scope
for top-up hedging at a later date and the flexibility to leave open positions while observing trends in fuel prices
over time. Shorter term top up hedging at a later date would enable the use of futures it these had more
favourable terms than forward contracts at this time.
Under OCI, the Fair value changes in cash flow hedges transferred to fuel costs of f56 million represent a loss on
forward rate derivative contracts taken out in the year ended 30 September 20X5 (or prior years) to hedge fuel
purchases in the year ended 30 September 20X6 (ie, so gains and losses on the forward contracts can be
recognised in profit or loss in the same period in which the hedged item (fuel purchases) affects profit or loss). As
such, they are recycled to fuel costs in the statement of profit or loss in the year ended 30 September 20X6. The
figure of f56 million is positive in OCl as a negative figure is being removed from OCI. The consequence is that
fuel costs are increased to E942 million. In the year ended 30 September 20X6, the overall effect on total
comprehensive income, of recycling the f56 million is zero, as the extra cost under fuel is cancelled by the positive
figure under OCl.
The underlying cost of fuel was f886 million (E942m - £56m). This would reflect a lower than expected price of
fuel purchases but with an added loss on a hedging arrangement that moved in the wrong direction for PWA. This
loss on hedging increased underlying fuel costs by 6.3%6.
35 Page 56
£'000
Bread market cap 2300000
special bread 170000
Other
Savelow customers Total
£'000 £'000 £'000
Revenue 90,000,000 377,600,000 467,600,000
Wheat used in production -15,600,000 -61,360,000 -76,960,000
Other variable costs -48,000,000 -188,800,000 -236,800,000
Fixed operating costs -120,000,000
Operating profit 33,840,000
Other
Savelow customers Total
Number of loaves sold (million) 120,000,000 472,000,000 592,000,000
Tonnes of wheat used 60,000 236,000 296,000
Loaves produced per tonne of wheat 2,000 2,000
Other
Revised contract Savelow customers Total
Loaves sold 120k x 3/12 + 120k x 9/12 x 1.1 129,000,000 472,000,000 601,000,000
price per load .73 & .75 0.8
Tones of wheat 64500 236,000 300,500
Price per tonne of wheat 260 260
Other VC 0.40 0.40
Loaves produced per tonne of wheat 2,000 2,000
Revenue 94,770,000 377,600,000 472,370,000 (£0.75 x 120k x 3/12)+ (£0.73 x 120k x 9/12x 1.1)
Total wheat cost 16,770,000 61,360,000 -78,130,000 64500 x 260
Other variable costs 51,600,000 188,800,000 -240,400,000 129m x .04
Fixed operating costs -120,000,000
Operating profit 33,840,000
Financial evaluation
Price change
There are two elements to SaveLow's proposed revised terms:
A reduction in selling price for BBB of 2p.
An additional credit period of 60 days.
SaveLow claims that, as a consequence of the price reduction, it will pass the reduction on to its own customers
and, as a result, there will be a 10% increase in the sales volume of loaves.
The above tables deal with the price change and the volume change. They show that, from BBB's perspective, the
price and volume changes precisely compensate each other in terms of contribution and protit. As a result,
operating profit is t3.84 million in each case.
However, a degree of professional scepticism needs to be applied. The price reduction is certain if the agreement
is made, whereas the volume increase is only an estimate which is being made by SavelLow which is self-interested
in trying to persuade BBB to accept the new contract conditions. The claim of 10% increase in sales volume may
therefore be exaggerated in order to make the changes look more acceptable to the BBB board.
As a result, whilst the above tables show financial indifference, this is not necessarily the case given the risks
attached to the increase in volumes.
The price reduction lowers contribution per loaf sold from 22p to 20p, which is a significant 9.1% reduction.
Applying professional scepticism, if the 10% increase in volumes does not occur, then the overall contribution
from the SaveLow contract would be:
120m x £(0.73 - 0.40 - 0.13) = f24m
This is a reduction of £2.4 million from the current profit on the SaveLow contract of E26.4 million.
Also, it has been assumed that fixed costs do not change with the 10% increase in volume. This may be a valid
assumption but there may be some semi-tixed costs that follow a stepped function and therefore there may be
some increase due to the 10% volume increase in the SaveLow contract.
Conversely, other variable costs per unit may be reduced as, for example, distribution costs per loaf may be lower
This may be due to economies of scope as more loaves are being delivered to the same number of SaveLow
Supermarkets.
Credit period
Credit period change-financial cost
The proposed change in credit terms from 30 days to 90 days potentially has two effects:
The direct financial etfect is a reduction in cash received by BBB from sales immediately following the
introduction of the new policy which will mean that the overdraft will increase (unless other finance can be
35 Page 57
It may appear trom the above forecast that BBB will stay within the overdratt limit of £23 million, with a maximum
overdraft of £20.33 million in December 20X7, but the above torecast only includes operating cash flows. t
excludes, for example: tax, interest and investment in PPE.
Overall, there may be serious liquidity issues for BBB if it breaches its overdraft limit, even on a temporary basis. A
more comprehensive cash tlow forecast is needed but, it the SaveLow contract is to be accepted, renegotiation of
the overdraft limit with the bank would be a wise precautionarv prior step.
Conclusion
Despite the proposed changes adversely affecting BBB, the contract with SaveLow remains profitable under a
range of assumptions. In pure financial terms, there is a significant positive contribution.
In terms of a wider perspective, there are however other concerns, including:
approaching capacity and therefore limiting the production of other products and giving a potential opportunity
cost
* liquidity issue it the bank overdraft facility is exceeded in the short term due to the change in credit terms
increasing the price differential with other customers
Despite SaveLow's assertion that the revised terms are not negotiable, there are such significant concerns to BBB
that some adjustment to moderate the new proposals may be worth tryıng to negotiate. Also, a change in supplier
35 Page 58
of a basic item like bread would not be costless for SaveLow and may generate a reaction from ts customers. In
this respect, there may be some costs from SaveLow changing supplier which BBB could leverage to negotiate.
Even if no revisions of the terms are forthcoming, the SaveLow sales are so fundamental to BBB that the new terms
may be preferable to losing the contract entirely, assuming that the bank overdraft facility can be raised
appropriately. It does however appear to be essential that BBB develops alternative strategies to reduce its
dependency on SaveLow in future in case it returns in a few years with further demands for additional price
reductions or other demands that may adversely affect BBB.
Hedge 1
Purchase wheat 5,000 15 Sept X7
hedge date 22 May X7
Future contract on Zero price
Price of contract $ 400.00
Total cost $ 2,000,000.00
Future contract $ 390.00 30 June X7 would have been new future contract
Total cost $ 1,950,000.00
The risk of this underlying contract is twofold. Firstly, that wheat prices are volatile and in contracting at the spot
price at a future date there is uncertainty what that spot price will be as market prices fluctuate. Secondly, the price
of wheat as a commodity is denominated in USS, whereas the functional currency of BBB is clearly f sterling.
Therefore, even it wheat prices in USS remain constant, there is an additional risk of currency tluctuations in the $/£
exchange rate between the inception date and 15 September 20X/ which may cause fluctuations in the f sterling
amount paid by BBB for wheat.
lo summarise:
lotal price risk = market risk + foreign currency risk
he Hedge 1 contract effectively contracts for the equivalent quantity of wheat as the underiying contract at 5,000
tonnes. It also terminates at the same date as the underlying commitment on 15 September 20X/. However, the
risk that it does not mitigate is the foreign currency risk, as BBB is still exposed to changes in the £/S exchange rate
between 22 May 20XI and 15 September 20X7.
The forward contract derivative also generates counterparty risk, which is the risk that the counterparty in a
derivative contract defaults on derivative settlement obligations.
Over the counter (OTC) derivatives, such as forward contracts, generate counterparty risk. Counterparty risk is
similar to credit risk, as it reflects the counterparty's probability of default and the loss arising from the default. But
it is difficult to measure because the exposure at default is uncertain (although it can be mitigated with the use of
collateral).
need to be estimated using internal models and then calibrated against quoted prices of exchange traded futures
contracts. These are likely to be level 2 valuations (or possibly level 3) in accordance with IFRS 13, Fair Value
Measurement. Ihe models require some observable inputs but calculations are then performed to derive the
valuation.
At 22 May 20X7
No entries are required at this date as the firm commitment is unrecognised.
The forward contract is potentially recognised, but it has a zero fair value and there is no related cash transaction
record.
However, the existence of the contract and associated risk would be disclosed from this date in accordance with
IFRS 7, Financial Instruments: Disclosures.
At 30 June 20X7
By 30 June 20X7, the hedge has made a loss of $10 per tonne which amounts to $50,000.
Taking this difference as the assumed fair value and assuming the IFRS 9 conditions for hedge accounting are met
then at 30 June 20X7 this loss is recognised as:
This is to recognise the increase in the fair value of the hedge instrument (which is the forward contract, beinga
derivative financial liability) and to recognise the loss on the forward contract in profit or loss.
This is to recognise the loss in ftair value of the hedged item (ie, the previously unrecognised firm commitment) in
relation to changes in forward exchange rates and to recognise a credit entry in profit or loss, which offsets the loss
previously recognised in respect of the derivative financial liability.
Any further profit or loss on settlement is similarly recognised at 15 September 20X7.
Note: All these vear-end entries are to be translated to f sterling using the f/IS spot rate at 30 June 20X7
Hedge 2
Purchase wheat 7,000 8 Oct X7
Fixed price $ 420.00
Total cost $ 2,940,000.00
Forward contract ON 4 June X7
Zero price $3m for £1.9m 19 Oct X7
Price on 19 Oct X7 2m
overheadge $ 60,000.00
gain 100k
The underlying contract is at a fixed price of US$420. As such, the underlying contract locks in this price so BBB is
not at risk of wheat commodity price fluctuations between 4 June 20X7 and 8 October 20X7. However, the
underlying contract is subject to the risk of currency fluctuations in the $/£ exchange rate between 4 June 20X7
and 8 October 20xI.
The Hedge 2 contract addresses the foreign currency risk in terms of amount as the contract amount of $2.94
million (S420 x 7,000) is effectively equal to the Hedge 2 contract amount of $3 million. The slight overhedging of
60,000 does give a small amount of risk, but this is insigniticant as BBB is regularly purchasing wheat. Ihe other
risk exposure is that the date of the underlying contract (8 October 20X7) is not coterminous with the completion
date of the Hedge 2 contract (9October 20x/). As a result, there is some exposure to currency risk variation
between E/$ for an 11 day period. Subject to an unusually signiticant movement in currency markets in this short
period, this is not a substantial risk.
At 4 June 20X7
No entries are required at this date as the firm commitment is unrecognised.
The forward contract is potentially recognised, but it has a zero fair value and there is no related cash transaction
to record.
However, the existence of the contract and associated risk would be disclosed from this date in accordance with
IFRS /.
At 30 June 20X7
At 30 June 20X7 the profit is recognised as:
DEBIT Forward contract - Financial asset £100,000
CREDIT Profit or loss £100,000
To recognise the increase in the fair value of the hedge instrument (which is the forward contract, being a
derivative financial asset) and to recognise the gain on the forward contract in profit or loss.
DEBIT Profit or loss £100,000
CREDIT Firm commitment £100,000
To recognise the gain in fair value of the hedged item (ie, the previously unrecognised firm commitment) in
relation to changes in forward exchange rates and to recognise a debit entry in profit or loss, which offsets the
profit previously recognised in respect of the gain on the derivative financial asset.
Any further profit or loss is similarly recognised at 8 October 20X7.
If treated as a cash flow hedge then the increase in the fair value of the hedged item (the firm commitment) is not
recognised in the financial statements.
At 30 June 20X7
To recognise the increase in the fair value of the forward contract (ie, a derivative financial asset) and to recognise
the gain on the forward contract in other comprehensive income the following entries would be made.
DEBIT Forward contract - financial asset £100,000
CREDIT Reserves (through OCI) £100,000
The gain is reclassified from OCI (Other Comprehensive Income) in the next accounting period.
35 Page 60
Probabilti Expected
Volume Price y Revenue X8 Volume change Price change Revnue 20Y0 revenue
0.7 0.6 0.42 467,600,000 0.99^2 0.980 0.98^2 0.960 440,146,288 184,861,441
0.3 0.4 0.12 467,600,000 0.97^2 0.941 0.96^2 0.922 405,471,597 48,656,592
0.3 0.6 0.18 467,600,000 0.97^2 0.941 0.98^2 0.960 422,542,232 76,057,602
0.7 0.4 0.28 467,600,000 0.99^2 0.980 0.96^2 0.922 422,364,451 118,262,046
1 427,837,680
Wheat cost
Other
Probability Variable costs X9 change Y0 chage VC Yo Expected cost `
0.7 -236,800,000 0.99^2 0.980 -232,087,680 -162,461,376
0.3 -236,800,000 0.97^2 0.941 -222,805,120 -66,841,536
-229,302,912
Business sustainability
This questions BBB's business sustainability given its current strategy. It is operating in a declining market of
traditional breads where there is competitive pressure from customers and rivals on price and volume.
The validity of the assumptions can be challenged but, to the extent they broadly reflect a declining market, it may
be only a question of time betore breakeven is reached. Moreover, there is a high probability of profit falling to
break even at, or shortly after, 20YO given current market trends.
Alternative strategies to redress the balance may be guided by Ansoff's matrix in seeking new products and new
markets. Most obviously, speciality breads with higher margins may be an opportunity to expand or alternatively
making non-bread baked items such as pastries or seeking new geographical markets.
Financial reporting
A key issue is that within two accounting years BBB may cease to be a going concern. This raises the more
immediate question of impairment and value in use calculations in accordance with lAS 36, Impairment of Assets,
as the time horizon to forecast cash flows from individual assets or CGUs may be limited if the business is not
sustainable beyond 20Y0.
Even before breakeven is reached, reduced cash flow may question the value in use that can be generated and
indicate impairment.
Provisions may also be needed where, for instance, there may be onerous contracts that are not recovering costs
due to the gradual decline of the business.
In the year ending 30 June 20YO the going concern assumption may no longer be appropriate and assets in
general may need to be written down.
As a listed company, BBB needs to comply with the going concern and liquidity disclosures of the UK Corporate
Governance Code. This sets out the following requirements:
to make disclosures on the going concern basIs of accounting and material uncertainties in their financial
statements; and
disclose principal risks and uncertainties, which may include risks that might impact solvency and liquidity,
within their strategic report
In so doing, directors should:
take a broad view, over the long term, of the risks and uncertainties that go beyond the specific requirements in
accounting standards
xplain tne isk managementand contro processesn place that wi unaepin the assessment and tnat tne
degree of formality of this process is consistent with the size, complexity and the particular circumstances of
BBB
For going concern, the 20Y0 horizon tor BBB is beyond current guidance in accounting standards for going
concern but would fall within the narrative disclosures to take a longer term view of viability.
Also, any doubts over short term viability tor BBB resulting from the change in credit terms should be considered.
36 Page 61
Yachts Price
Sailing 15,000 20,000,000
Motor 30,000 50,000,000
1 July W7
Machine 150,000,000 20 year life
10 years 75000000 Carry amount at YE
Interest rate 10%
Chief
Olan Fagan executive 100,000 67%
Finance
Jane Hooton director 5,000 3%
Manufact
uring
Paul Plumber director 5,000 3%
Paloma (venture capital
company) 40,000 27%
Non-
John Nelson (Paloma executive
representative) director 0%
150,000
Other data
EBITDA (E'O000) 12,000 12,930
Number of motor yachts sold 44 46
Equity
£10 ordinary shares 1,500
Share premium 59,600
Retained losses -52,200
Non-current liabilities
10% loans- Rochester Bank 70,000
Current liabilities
Trade and other payables 2,400
Payments made in advance by customers 3,000
Interest owing to Rochester Bank 4,900
Total equity and liabilities 89,200
The initial outlay on equipment is to be deducted of f13 million which would give a NPV of approximately £192.77 million.
Consideration would also need to be given to any loss to be incurred in the year of transition in the year ending 30 June 20X8 in orn
Significant questions over the sustainability of the cash flows and the growth rate would also need to be raised.
36 Page 62
Rochester Bank
The nominal debt to Rochester Bank including interest arrears is £74.9 million. However, from the bank's perspective this is impaired as it seems irrecoverable in full under any of the scenarios.
In terms of a break up and liquidation of the business:
Machinery 39,000
Fixed charge -39,000
Inventories 5,000
Trade and other receivables 4,000
Cash 1,000
10,000
Luquidation cost -5,400
Net proceeds bank 4,600
Other stakeholders
There would be nothing available to the trade and other payables as unsecured creditors (other than a small amount as the prescribed part).
Shareholders would not receive anything.
Conclusion
IF RFI were to buy the loan from the bank for a slightly more favourable price than the liquidation receipts of £43.6 million, (say) £44 million then the bank would make a small return above liquidation
receipts and would avoid the uncertainty, delay and reputational damage of an insolvency.
The annual interest return on this investment for RFl would be (£70m x 10%/£44m = 15.9% which is a significant return for debt but not near the RFI required return of 20%.
Therefore, RFI must consider acquiring the equity. Given that the equity is worthless under liquidation it could possibly be acquired for a nominal price. However, negotiations with equity holders may
best be completed before purchasing the debt.
If equity can be purchased for a nominal amount (say) £1 million then the company (debt and equity) could be acquired for f45 million.
To the extent that the FD's figures in the recovery plan are correct, this would give a return after the additional outlay of £13 million of
E25m/(E45m + £13m)= 43.1% in 20X8 (increasing by 7% per annum thereafter).
APproach 2
Purchasing the debt as above and then forcing MMY into liquidation (due to breach of covenants and non-payment of interest) would be a solution it shareholders were refusing to sell or were trying
to negotiate a high price for their shares.
The liquidator would then pay the £43.6 million to RFl as the new debtholder.
RFI would then need to negotiate to buy the trade and assets from the liquidator (or other structuring as a going concern). As a minimum, this would be £49 million for the NRV of the assets but if
other parties were interested in buying the company this may force up the price.
Approach 1 would theretore appear favourable if shareholders were not pressing tor a high price.
The acquisition of the trade and assets in Approach 2 may, however, avoid any liability on the faulty engines as the new company under RFI control would then be a separate entity from the old MMY
that sold the yachts, but legal advice would need to be taken on this issue.
Due diligence
Engine fails Per moth Since Jan X6
June X6 15 750000
June X7 6 300000
Cost repair 50,000
Total repair cost 1050000
2 year guarentee
Financial reporting
Inventories held at 30 June 20X/ including engines, WIP and tinished goods may need to have an impairment allowance to allow for the cost of repairing the engines. if this is based on intormation
received after the year end this could be an adjusting event after the reporting period in accordance with lAS 10, Events After the keporting Period.
Provisions for repairs for future claims reported but not carried out and also for claims expected but not yet reported. Costs to be incurred in future should be discounted in accordance with IAS 37,
Provisions, Contingent Liabilities and Contingent Assets. Disclosure should be made of the nature and the amount of the provisions.
Contingent asset - claims against the manufacturer, if credible, should be disclosed only as a contingent asset in accordance with IAS 37, but not recognised.
Returns of yachts with major faults by customers may be an issue. Provision would need to be made if this is the case to recognise a loss on resale (second hand values may be relevant to determine
this)
37 Page 63
Work for VC company - holding firms 3 - 5 years and sell for gain
Potential investment in GJ
3 years later
Own 20 Jewellery
Manufactor 10%
Wholesale 90%
Management team equity 1000 Management will own 10% of the ordinary share capital in GJ.
Venture capital equity ((CF) 9000 ICF will own 90% of the ordinary share capital in GJ.
Bank senior debt (Farmley Bank) 18000 This debt will carry an annual interest rate of 6% and is repayable on 1 January 20Y1.
This debt will rank equally with the f1.5 million existing loan from GJ's bank, Roatt Bank plc.
Venture capital- subordinated debt (ICF) 10000 This debt will rank below the Farmley Bank and Roatt Bank debt. It will carry an annual interest rate of 9% and is repayable 01/01/09
Deferred consideration 2000 This additional amount needs to be paid to Ultima by GJ shareholders on 31 December 20X8
Total consideration 40000 Total payable to Ultima.
1 Jan X8 4 memebers pay 250,000 Debt not paid out of free cash flow
Average rate of return 35%
Staff cost 600 No inflation increase, high staff turnover, red cost insig
Purchase Jewellery 1400 reduce quality of stones
Cemter service payment to Ultima 1000 removeal of office and use HR marketing and admin
3000
Extracts from forecast statement of profit or loss for the year ending 31 December 20X7
£'000
Revenue 60,000 5 % increase
Operating costs (excluding depreciation) -53,580
Depreciation -500 300 additonal depn 1 Jan X8
Operating profit 5,920
Non-current liabilities
5% Roatt Bank plc loan (repayable 20Y5) 1,500
Current liabilities 4,800
Ordinary shares (1) 1,000
Retained earnings 7,700
Liabilities and equity 15,000
In common with other valuation methods, it is dependent on the forecasts being reliable and the discount rate being appropriate and stable over time. This means that the working assumptions need
to be valid, which is questioned further below.
Revenue
Revenue is assumed to grow at 5% per year. This is a fundamental assumption as it drives much of the increase in value of the equity from the MBO.
The PV of the previous revenue stream (which is assumed to be constant) under Utima is:
£60m/0.1- £600m
The PV of the forecast revenue stream under the MBO (with 5% pa growth) is:
(E63m/1.1) + (£66.15m/1.14) + ((E69.458m/1.1^2/0.1) -£685.97m
Thus, there is a very substantial increase of f85.97 million in the value of the enterprise arising from the forecast increase in the revenue stream over the three-year time horizon.
Cost savings
The cash cost savings further add to the increased valuation at 31 December 20Y0.
These comprise:
Therefore, annual operating costs fall by £2.45 million from f53.58 million in 20X7 to £51.13 million in 20X8 and thereafter.
The PV of the costs savings before tax amounts to f24.5 million (f2.45m/0.1) according to the working assumptions.
In addition to the debt noted above, the lease liability and interest over the three-year period 20X8 to 20Y0 will also need to be paid.
3 annual payments of £550,000 £1,650,000 leaving a net surplus cash balance of £7,214,000.
The equity value at 31 December 20Y0 can normally be determined by deducting the remaining net debt value at that date.
However, the cash available of £7.214 million is greater than the Roatt Bank debt of f1.5 million at that date giving a surplus of £5.714 milion.
This gives an equity value of:
There may be some unrecognised asset value in intangibles (eg, brand name) but in the absence of this the £40 million valuation givesa high goodwill figure of £30.2 million (E40m - f9.8m).
As a going concern, the continuing valuation to Ultima (ie, without the MBO induced changes) is:
(E5.186m/0.1)- £1.5 m- £50.36m
The price of f40 million therefore looks favourable compared to this figure of f50.36 million.
With the MBO changes the above table shows PV of free cash flows to give an enterprise value of f149.387 million and after deducting debt of £32.434 million an equity value of f116.953 million. The
suggested deal price looks favourable compared to these values, but these are based on forecasts which may not be achieved. This is considered further below.
Overall, subject to the sustainability and reliability of these forecasts, the f40 million sale price suggested seems reasonable.
a) ICF
The forecasts and working assumptions are valid, then the value of the ICF share of equity at 31 December 20YO is (per workings in (1) above):
£157.914m x 90% - £142.123m
ICF's initial equity investment (per the deal structure in Exhibit 4) is £9 million.
The compound annual return over the 3-year period is therefore (E142.123m/£9m)s 250.9%
While this is significantly in excess of the 35% annual return required by ICF, this is only the equity element of the ICF investment. It also has f10 million of subordinated debt which is at risk if the MBO
tails, and this only earns an annual return of 9%.
The weighted average return is therefore:
(250.9% x (9/19)]+ (9%x 10/19)1 123.5% pa
Therefore, to the extent that the torecasts and working assumptions can be delivered by the management team, the expected return is significantly above ICFs required annual rate of 35%.
In particular, the assumption that the cash flows are indefinite needs to be evaluated as much of the fair value at the AlM flotation date at the end of 20Y0 depends on this long tail of cash flows which
may not be realistic given the short-termist strategy of reducing quality and increasing prices.
Risks
There are a number of key risks which may question the forecasts, the working assumptions and therefore the valuations that can be achieved.
Management team
The GJ management team appears to possess the core skills required, have inside knowledge ot the business and hence are aware of the reliability of the forecasts. However, there are some concerns
which may cause risks for the MBO in general, and for ICF in particular.
Geoff Boyne appears to have some conflict of interest between the MBO and Ultima. This may mean there is a risk he will not negotiate the most favourable terms with Ultima for the management
team and for ICF (eg, the total consideration). Ihe tact that he intends to work part time atter the MBO may be indicative of low commitment to the MBO and the lack of suitable finance expertise tor
the MBO (see S below tor further consideration of this issue, including its ethical implications).
In addition, Sally Bothan is responsible for the workshop, but the MBO strategy intends to cdose this, so it is not clear how a key member of the management team will contribute to the post-MBO
operations and whether she has a skill set that will then be required.
Governance
In order to be at less risk from the management team decisions, ICF may want to appoint at least one member of the GJ board to represent its interests and have access to inside information.
Business strategy
The future business strategy of the management team appears to include reducing the actual quality of the jewellery sold. Ihis includes
lower cost precious metals and gem stones
no longer manufacturing its own jewellery, which were: higher priced items; improved reputation; and met 10% of customer needs
fewer stafi, so possiblya poorer service to customers. In contrast GJ management appears to want to raise perceived quality through:
In contrast GJ management appears to want to raise perceived quality through:
refurbishment of stores to improve appearance
increasing prices by 5% per annum, perhaps where price is signal of perceived quality when it is ditficult for customers, for example, to determine the quality of gem stones.
This is a risky policy, as offering customers less and charging a higher price in a competitive market is unlikely to be sustainable. If customers perceive this and revenues fail to increase, or even fall,
37 Page 65
then, as noted above, the valuations are extremely sensitive to the forecast growth rate and the entire MBO financing structure could be at risk, affecting all stakeholders.
Financial gearing
Financial gearing is high with f28 million of the f40 million consideration being financed by debt, which is 67.5%. This is in addition to the £1.5 million debt already in the statement of financial
position and the new lease liability.
This means that any shortfall in operating profit is magnified significantly by the gearing effect
In addition, annual interest on borrowings is £4.932 million (see above). This amount, along with the interest on the new lease liability needs to be earned before any profit is made and before any cash
flows can be generated to repay debt. Failure to repay debt from operating cash flows leaves a major risk of GJ not being able to repay the Farmley Bank debt or the lCF debt in 20Y0 as they fall due.
If this is the case, then ICF is at risk not just for its £9 million equity but also for its f10 million subordinated debt.
Refurbishment
To the extent that the refurbishment costs are repairs, these costs should be recognised in profit or loss as incurred. Where the refurbishment is PPE or an improvement they should be capitalised and
depreciated over their usetul lives in accordance with GJ's accounting policy on PPE.
Inventory management
Inventory should continue to be recognised in accordance with IAS 2 at the lower of cost and net realisable value. The reduction in inventory levels has no direct effect on financial reporting but the
process of reviewing inventories may reveal slow moving items which should be written down to their net realisable value.
Gain 1,100
Discount Lease 1,734
37 Page 66
FV 4,300
Discount lease payment 444
DR Cash 5,500
CR ROU 1,291
CR PPE 3,200
CR FV of lease 2,934
CR PL gain/loss 656
Amortised of lease
Bf Interest 1 RepaymentCf CL
Jan X8 1,734 173.43 -550 1,358 414
Jan X9 1,358 135.77 -550 943 NCL
Jan Y0 943 94.34 -550 488
Therefore the profit or loss charge relating to the lease in each of the three years (depreciation on right-of-use asset plus interest on lease liability) is:
Yle 31 December 20X8: £161,326 + £173,425 - £334,751
Yle 31 December 20X9: £161,326 + £135,763 £297,089
Yle 31 December 20Y0: £161,326 + £94,339 £255,665
38 Page 67
Operating performance
Below expected
Expansion plan
Build in SA
Maunfactors contrustion equipment
Engines imoported US $
Sales mixed and all over countries
Anaylsis
Revenue per unit
UK sales 0.048 0.05 -4% 48,000.00 50,000.00
Eurozone sales 0.063633928571 0.056 14% 63,633.93 56,000.00
Total 0.059224358974 0.0545 9% 59,224.36 54.50
Operating profit per unit 0.00483974359 0.006885416667 -30% 4,839.74 6,885.42
VC per unit -0.04348717949 -0.0385 - 43,487.18 - 38,500.00
(1) Automation
FC increase (9/12 x £24m) -18
Variable cost saving (15,600 £2,000) x 9/12) 23.4
5.4
Cost saving (favourable)
(2) Sales volume changes -9.6
UK units
(4,800-4,400) x (£50,000 - £18,000 -($12,000/1.5))
EU units
(14,400-11,200) x (E70,000/1.25)- f18,000-($12,000/1.5)) -96
Total (adverse) -105.6
(3) Price
UK
(E48,000-£50,000) x 4,400 -8.8
EU 0
Total (adverse) -8.8
38 Page 68
Automation
The impact of automation had a favourable effect of E5.4 million, but only affected 9 months of the year. Given it
was such a substantial project it is not clear why an estimate of its effect could not have been made when the
budget was set in July 20X6, which was only 6 months in advance of implementation.
Price
The selling price in euro at E/0,000 was the same as budgeted, hence there was no price etfect for eurozone
sales. Although the f sterling price ditfered from budget, this was due to toreign exchange rate effects. Ihe
average f sterling price fell by f2,000 from f50,000 to £48,000. This meant a shortfall against budget of f8.8
million. Ihere appears to be price discrimination between the eurozone and UK markets which was t6,000 at the
budgeted exchange rate (t56,000- t50,000), but £15,600 at actual prices and actual exchange rates. Ihis may
cause some leakage between markets. (t is asserted that the same sales mix occurs in the UK and the eurozone
and so this has been assumed.)
Foreign exchange
Foreign exchange impacts on both receipts and payments. A high proportion of receipts comes from eurozone
countries where contract prices are set in euro. When the budget was set, the exchange rate was £1 =€1.25.
However, the actual average exchange rate was t1€1.1.As Hayftield generates cash in euro this exchange rate
movement has had a tavourable eftect as revenues generated in euro now have a higher value when converted to
f sterling. The scale of this effect is significant amounting to f85.53 million. There is a converse story when
considering the exchange rate impact on purchases of engines which are denominated in $. The strengthening of
the $ from £l =$1.5 at the time the budget was set, to £l = $1.2 as the average exchange rate for the year, meant
that the cost of engines in t sterling increased, even though the s cost remained constant at s12,000 per engine.
The impact of this was to increase production costs by £31.2 million. Ihe overall effect of the above exchange rate
movements on operating profit was to give a net currency gain over the year of f54.33 million. However, currency
hedging also made a loss of £10.8 million so, net of this eftect, the overall impact of currency movements and
currency risk management was a gain of f43.53 million (E54.33m - £10.8m).
Fixed costs
The overall increase in fixed costs was 25 million. However, part of this was a result of investment in automation
in order to lower variable costs (see above). lgnoring this investment eftect, the residual ettect was an increase in
fixed production costs over budget of £7 million.
A forward currency contract is a binding agreement to acquire a set amount of a given currency at a future date at
38 Page 69
Cash flow hedge accounting attempts to reflect the use of the forward currency derivative to hedge against future
cash flow movements from exchange rate changes.
Assuming the conditions for hedge accounting defined in IFRS 9, Financial Instruments are met, the hedging
instrument is measured at fair value with the gain or loss being recognised as follows:
The gain or loss on the effective portion of the hedge (ie, up to the value of the opposite loss or gain on the
cash flow hedged item) is recognised in other comprehensive income and transferred to profit or loss when the
cash flow itself is recognised in profit or loss.
Any excess in the cumulative gain or loss on the hedging instrument over the movement in the hedged item is
recognised immediately in profit or loss (as matching is not achieved).
For 1, the gains/losses in hedging instruments from previous periods are recycled from OCl and recognised in
profit or loss, in addition to any further gains/losses in the derivative in the year ended 30 September 20X7.
For 2, there is no recycling as the derivatives do not cross the year end threshold. As a result, all the gains/losses
will be recognised in profit or loss in the year ended 30 September 2OX7.
For 3, movements in the derivative, in the year ended 30 September 20X7, which would normally go through profit
or loss, are recognised in other comprehensive income. Such gains/losses on the derivative will be
restated/recycled to profit or loss in the year ended 30 September 20X8 (ie, in the same period in which the
hedged highly probable transaction affects protit or loss).
For 4, movements in the derivative, in the year ended 30 September 20X7, which would normally go through profit
or loss, are recognised in other comprehensive income and added to the gains/losses in hedging instruments
from the previous period. Such gains/losses on the derivative will be restated/recycled to profit or loss in the year
ended 30 September 20x8 (ie, in the same period in which the hedged highly probable transaction affects profit
or loss).
Joint Venture
CTB is othe JV
Hayfieild buy Eq = 38m
Right of assets
key decision both
profit share equal
Unknown business partner
New subsidary
AMSA
£55 loan
Both strategies ofter the opportunity to enter new geographical markets, with a new product market. This is
'diversification' according to the Ansoff matrix. Whilst offering new opportunities, it combines the significant risks
of both a new geographical area and a new product.
In addition, setting upa new subsidiary adds significant new financial risk by increased borrowing. If the project
succeeds, then all of the benefits will come to Hayfield through its subsidiary, AMSA. However, if the project fails
then it will suffer all the losses. With a lack of local knowledge there may also be an increased probability of failure.
In contrast, the joint arrangement has a number of benefits which would not be experienced by the solely owned
subsidiary, AMSA.
Ihe costs are shared with the joint arrangement partner. As the capital outlay is shared, joint arrangements are
especially attractive to risk-averse firms or, as in this case, where expensive new technologies are being
established. CIB may not bring much new financial capital but the utilisation of the CIB tactory premises appears
to reduce Haytield's outlay from £55 million to around £38 million. I here are also shared operating costs (eg,
labour). Ihese common costs and economies of scale are likely to be a financial benefit to Haytield.
There is also reduced risk from the joint arrangement ina reduction in exit costs if the venture fails, as the set-up
costs are lower.
There may be reputational enhancement as CTB is likely to be a more recognisable brand in South Africa as
Haytield has not previously operated in this area. I he venture parther may theretore bring increased initial
credibility and there may be an opportunity to cross brand to enhance the local reputation.
There are ikely to be synergies. One firm's production expertise can be supplemented by the other's marketing
and distribution facility. For example, there may be economies of scope in distribution of both venturers products
throughout Africa. However, this would not seem to apply to any sales to South Asia or South America.
CIB may also provide local knowledge of South African law, culture, customers and language. Ihis may also
extend to local knowiedge and experience ot suppiy chains.
A joint arrangement may also have a number of problems and risks which would not be experienced by a solely
owned subsidiary.
There may be contlicts of interest between Hayfield and CI8. Ihis may be in terms of prioritisation of the short
term use of resources (eg, use of labour for an urgent delivery). Ihey may also have difterent longer-term
objectives for the joint arrangement -for example, if one is looking tor short-term profits, while the other wants to
invest in longerterm growth.
Disagreements may arise over profit shares, amounts invested, the management of the joint arrangement, and the
marketing strategy. In particula, there needs to be a degree of business trust between the parties requiring
openness and access to information.
There may be a finite life of five years if CTB decides to terminate the arrangement after the minimum period. In
contrast, a subsidiary would have an open-ended life to be determined solely by the interests of Hayfield.
Recommendation
The joint arrangement appears to offer modest and temporary benefits, but major risks, with possibly only a five-
year horizon. The preferred recommendation therefore, despite the higher initial cost, is to set up a subsidiary.
Each of the amounts relating to items in the statement of profit or loss would be translated into the functional
currency of Haytield normally using the average exchange rate.
In respect of assets and liabilities:
Monetary items should be translated and then reported using the closing rate.
Non-monetary items carried at historical cost are translated using the exchange rate at the date of the
transaction when the asset or liability arose.
Initial investigations
Review JA agreement (in combination with legal advisers) for onerous, ambiguous or omitted clauses.
Ensure that the purpose of the JA is clear and the respective rights of Hayfield and CTB are established in the
initial contractual arrangements.
Ensure that the scope of the JA is clear so there is separation of the other operations of each company from
those falling within the JA.
Review tax status of JA entity (if applicable) or Hayfield's operations including remittance of funds. Review
governance procedures including shared management, control, rights over assets, key decision-making
processes to ensure that Haytield management has an appropriate level of control over key decisions that may
damage its interests.
Establish that any initial capital from CIB has been contributed in accordance with the agreement and that legal
ights for Hayfield to use the ClB factory and labour have been established.
Establish the creditworthiness, going concern and reputation of CTB based on local enquiries from
stakeholders and a review of internal documentation as well as that in the public domain.
Ensure the terms of the disengagement and residual rights in five years' time are clear in the initial agreement
so there is a transparent and legitimate exit route.
Where assets that are to be used in the joint arrangement are already held by CTB or Hayfield then they would
normally be transterred nominally at fair value. Ihis needs to be established.
Clarify the revenue sharing agreement with respect to existing sales under construction, or orders contracted
for but not yet commenced.
Health and safety responsibility needs to be established and liability sharing agreed.
Continuing assurance
Audit rights and access to information need to be established in the contract as this will affect the scope of the
audit.
Ensure that the operations of the JA are within the terms of the JA agreement (eg, adequate labour is being
provided by CTB and there are no violations of the contractual agreement).
Ensure that internal controls and accounting systems are being applied and are effective (eg, that the revenue
from sales in Africa relating to the JA is fully recorded and is separated trom other sales that do not form part of
the joint arrangement, such as existing customers within Africa or of other types of equipment outside the
agriculture industry).
The accounting systems tor a JA entity will need to be capable of recording accurately and completely the costs
being incurred and the assets held relating to the JA. However, as the JA is set up as a jointly controlled
operation, the costs will mainly be recorded in the individual accounts of each of the venturers (although there
may be some joint costs met out of revenue). In this case the key audit issue for the JA is that operations and
assets have been supplied in accordance with the contract rather than recording their costs. Risk areas tor
Hayfield may include overhead allocations as CTB is supplying a factory which has multiple uses.
f permitted within the terms of the contract, audit access to the accounting records of CIB would provide
additional assurance. Ihis may mean however that a reciprocal arrangement needs to be made available to the
advisers for CIB, by giving access to the Haytield accounting systems.
The eventual dissolution of the agreement (perhaps in five years) creates additional assurance problems in
38 Page 72
terms of disengagement, return/sale ot assets, intellectual property rights and rights to future customer access.
The level of assurance needs to be determined (reasonable or limited)
39 Page 73
Number of
New customers in year 232 122 30 25 409
Customers lost in year 88 192 24 19 323
Customers at 30 June 876 732 246 240 2094
Revenue from ABS's largest 97 112 57 15 281
customer
% change
UK 33% -25%
US 33%
Eurozon 33%
operating profit change 7% -28%
Customer change 19.7% 2.5%
Larges customer change -13.4% 280.0%
Competition risk
Nature and evaluation of risk
It is a highly competitive and changing market where competitive
advantage is contestable and temporary.
In 20X8, Business Analytics increased customer numbers by 19.7% despite
losing 12% of the customers it had at the end of 20X7.
Medical Analytics only gained 2.5% in customer numbers, but lost 10% of
the customers it had at the end of 20X7. Customer switching is theretore a
major risk.
The fall in operating margins of both divisions reilects the risk of increased
competition on operations as well as on sales.
In 20X8 Business Analytics operating margin fell from 25% to 20% and
Medical's from 15% to10%. If this downtrend continues in future it may
remove operating profit entirely.
Risk mitigation
Anticipate and adapt to changes in technology and markets.
Stay close to existing customers' evolving needs by relationship
marketing and frequent dialogue.
Marketing and market awareness to seek out new customers.
Invest in new technologies and infrastructures.
Expansion of the business may compensate for lower operating profit
margins (as occurred for Business Analytics in 20X8).
Intellectual property
Nature and evaluation of risk
Products and services nclude and utilise intellectual property content.
There is a risk that intellectual property rights could be challenged, limited,
invalidated or circumvented, which may impact demand for, and pricing of
products and services. Laws can be subject to legislative changes and
increased judicial scrutiny. This creates uncertainty in protectingg
proprietary rights.
Risk mitigation
Trademark, copyright, patent and other intellectual property laws to
protect proprietary rights in intellectual property.
Subscription contracts with customers to contain restrictions on the use of propreitary content
Cyber security
Nature and evaluation of risk
Our data and systems, and those of our strategic partners and customers,
are susceptible to cyber-attacks where external parties seek unauthorised
access.
Our cyber security measures, and the measures used by our third-party
service providers, may not detect or prevent all attempts to compromise
our systems, which may jeopardise the security of the data we maintain or
may disrupt our systems.
This may cause misappropriation of data, deletion or modification of
stored information or other interruption to business operations.
This may lead to financial loss, reputation loss and regulatory breaches.
Risk mitigation
Data privacy and security programmes with the aim of ensuring that
data is protected and that we comply with relevant legislative,
regulatory and contractual requirements.
Continue to invest in rigorous administrative, technical, and physical
controls.
Monitor third party and customer systems and data, particularly where
they interact with our own systems.
Technology failure
Nature and evaluation of risk
The operations are dependent on electronic platforms and networks for
delivery of products and services. These could be adversely affected if we
experience a significant failure, interruption or security breach.
Risk mitigation
Procedures for the protection of our technology assets.
Business continuity plans, including IT disaster recovery plans and back-
up systems, to reduce business disruption in the event of a major
technology failure.
Possible disposal of DS
June X8 Loss making
Max software sale 480.00
Ex loss - 1,520.00
OR sale of Shares in DS
At the acquisition date, the major asset of DS was the rights over Max Software.
Share capital was f1,000,000 and with negative retained earnings of f640,000 then recognised net assets were £360,000.
Unrecognised intangibles, specifically Max Software (Max), had a fair value of £5 million so (in the absence of any further unrecognised intangibles):
On 1 July 20X5, the date of the acquisition, whilst the value of Max made up most of the value of the business of f8 million there were clearly other factors. These may have been intellectual property
rights over other programs; the expectation of future earnings despite losses to date; the expectation that DS would contribute to the other activities of ABS to make it worth paying f8 million to
secure the Ds business and its employees.
By 30 June 20X8, it would appear that the acquisition has not beena success for ABS. The key asset of Max is becoming outdated and its sale value of £480,000 is far below its carrying amount of £2
million (E5m - (3 years x £lm amortisation)) at that date.
Whilst E480,000 could be seen as a floor price for the sale of DS shares, there may be other costs in relation to employees being transferred to the buyer, retained or made redundant. However, the
sale of the shares may transfer some of these obligations (subject to legal constraints such as TUPE). Also as the Max Software is becoming outdated, its value may decline from f480,000 by the date
of sale.
The fact that DS is making losses and that Max software is no longer being utilised by the remainder of the ABS business means that any goodwill that existed on acquisition in excess of the Max value
is unlikely to still be significant.
Any other assets held within the DS statement of tinancial position would need to be valued and considered as additional value. Conversely., however, any liabilities or other obligations of DS may
mean that the value of DS shares may be lower than the value of the Max program as liabilities would probably transter With the share sale.
Liabilities and obligations may include contractual conditions relating to the acquisition (eg. to the previous owners and to employees). Legal due diligence would be needed to explore the nature of
any obligations and how these would differ between an asset sale and a share sale.
Overall, subject to there being significant liabilities or new programs or processes under development, the Max Software value plus any other net assets is likely to be close to the DS share value.
Financial reporting
Sale of Max Software asset
Individual financial statements of Ds
Max is an internally developed intangible asset and so would not be recognised in the individual financial statements of DS. Any proceeds on sale would therefore be recognised in full in profit or loss.
Sale of DS shares
ABS parent company financial statements
The shares of DS would initially be recognised as a financial asset (ie, an investment) at their original cost of £8 million in the ABS parent company tinancial statements.
Where there is an indication of impairment (eg, through the potential obsolescence of Max Software) then the financial asset should be impaired to its recoverable amount.
For example, if at 30 June 20X8, the share value is approximately the same as the Max value of £480,000, then the impairment would be £7.52 million (f8m - f480,000) assuming there had been no
previous impairment.
When the DS shares are sold, any excess net disposal proceeds above f480,000 would be deemed as a profit on disposal. To the extent that the net disposal proceeds are below £480,000 this would
be deemed as a loss on disposal.
Upon disposal, DS shares would be derecognised in the ABS parent company financial statements.
Borrow Lending
Sterling £ 4% 3%
Euro 3.50% 2%
Spot rates
1 May X8 £1 1.2005 1.2025
30 June X8 £1 1.1855 1.1875 EURO weakens
Loan Amoristed
2 months till year end
Loan value 1.00583333333 1+(0.035*2/12) Borrow rate EURO
Loan 1,000,000.00
YE sport 1.19
YE value 847,017.54 Liability
Despoist amount
Loan value 1.005 1+(0.035*2/12) Lending rate £
Loan 1,000,000.00
Date was taken out 1.20
YE value 835,758.84 Asset
The E1 million receivable isa monetary item and is to be retranslated at the closing bid £/€ spot rate of 1.1875, ie, receivables will be recognised at f842,105 (€1m/1.1875).
At 1 May 20x8 the receivable was stated at £831,601 (€1m/1.2025).
A foreign exchange gain of £10,504 (f842,105- f831,601).
The € loan is stated at amortised cost including accrued interest translated at the closing bid f/€ spot rate of 1.1875, ie,
(E1m x(1+(0.035 x 2/12)y1.1875- £847,018
The sterling deposit is stated as a financial asset with accrued interest, ie,
Elm/1.2025x (1+(0.03x 2/12)-£835,759
Owns factory
located 50 Km
given between
60 and 90 days credit to supermarkets
Only small retailers
Meat and fish division profit marking
Sales price
The data shows that the average price of £8 per kg for the Giant contract is lower than the average for other meat
products which is E10 per
This may be due to larger discounts to Giant than other customers. These might have been offered due to the fact
it is a large contract with economies of scale and scope, however the low margins (see below) do not support this
notion.
Alternatively, the tender may have been underpriced to ensure it was successful.
A further, or alternative, explanation is that the type of meats sold to Giant are dissimilar to those sold to other
customers, being cheaper types of meat or lower quality for Giant.
Costs
Limited intormation is provided on costs, but there may be some benefits of large production runs. As noted
above, this may result in economies of scale. Alternatively, as production nears capacity, there may be
diseconomies of scale resulting from production scheduling difficulties and overcapacity problems at some times
of the day or week.
Margins
The operating profit margin, at 2%, is lower than the other meat contracts at 3% or the fish products at 5%. Whilst
appearing to make an incremental profit, the Giant contract does not appear as profitable as other contracts and
therefore on average it there is a capacity constraint then greater questions over renewals would be raised rather t
than for other contracts.
A note of caution is that the allocation of packaging costs appears arbitrary and may have distorted operating
margins which may not, therefore, provide reliable information for decision making.
Moreover, the costs include fixed costs (both those within the food processing division and those allocated from
packaging). As a result, the contribution margin on the Giant contract is likely to be more significant than the
operating profit margin.
Advice
The renewal of the Giant contract depends largely upon whether other contracts are available which may generate
a greater contribution and whether Rein continues to operate at, or near, full capacity. If this is the case, then there
40 Page 78
may be a significant opportunity cost to renewal and, if only available on current terms, it may be optimal to reject
it in order to take advantage of others from other potential customers.
f however the recovery plan can generate spare capacity then continuing with the Giant contract may generate a
reasonable positive contribution, with reduced opportunity cost.
Such a decision is not however without risks. Renewal on same terms does not mean the same profit will be earned
or the same costs incurred. For example, costs may have risen or be volatile as exchange rates may shift with
increasing costs, whilst the price with Giant is fixed.
Given there appears not to be a tender for the renewal, it may be possible to negotiate better terms with Giant as a
condition of renewal.
Meat Fish
Amount of food processed (kg) 39,000,000 4,000,000
Types of meat or fish 7 3
Operating cycle stages average days
Time between order and when raw 4.8 6.9
ingredients are received
Time that raw food ingredients are held
in storage 4.2 1.8
Processing time 0.4 0.3
Time for transfer to packaging factory 0.2 0.2
Packaging time 0.2 0.5
Time that products are held in 8 3
inventories
Time between taking out of inventory 1.1 2.2
and delivery to customer
Total 18.9 14.9
Order time
Time between order and when raw 4.8 6.9
ingredients are received
Improvements
Contractual agreements with suppliers for more prompt
and more reliable deliveries. Consider a just-in-time
(JIT) approach. Consider using more local suppliers.
Information systems linked with suppliers' information
systems where volumes justify this.
40 Page 79
Held in inventory
Time that products are held in 8 3
inventories
Meat times are high. Products held in inventory are at
risk of perishing, particularly if inventory holding times
are excessive.
Improvements
Consider scheduling production to the timing of
predictable customer orders.
Devliery to customer
Time between taking out of inventory 1.1 2.2
and delivery to customer
Goods are delivered to each geographical area when a
truck can be filled.
Fish times may be longer due to small batch sizes.
The risk is that food may perish during delivery. Also,
customer dissatisfaction arises with delays in delivery.
Improvements
Suitable storage during transportation in controlled
temperatures. Information systems linked with customer
information systems.
the quality of the product. Lower costs can therefore give rise to higher profits as revenues would be unattfected.
Indeed, getting the products to customers more quickly with lower wastage and longer shelt lives may enable Rein
to be seen as a higher quality supplier enabling higher prices to be charged.
In addition, to the extent that the above processes are part of the capacity constraint which limits the output (eg, if
storage space or processing capability is at capacity) more etticient processes may raise capacity and enable
increased sales volumes.
One method of approaching this problem in the recovery plan is through business process re-engineering (BPR.
BPR involves focusing attention inwards to consider how business processes can be redesigned or re-engineered
to improve efficiency. Properly implemented, BPR may help an organisation to reduce costs, improve customer
service, cut down on the complexity of the business and improve internal communication.
Rein is forecast to generate positive free cash flows (after interest) in each of the next four years.
20Y0 is £200,000. With the forecast free cash flow for 20Y1 (£1.6 million), this amounts to a forecast cash balance
of £1.8 million at 30 June 20Y1 which will not be sufticient to repay the second loan of f4 million which is due on
that date. The shortfall of £2.2 million is substantial and is likely to be greater than can be realistically financed by
an overdraft.
There is therefore a need to plan early to approach the bank with the forecasts to explore whether there is a
willingness to refinance the loan with a new loan and, if so, whether it would be on reasonable terms.
Whilst there is a possibility of approaching another bank this would be difficult as it would only have a second
charge over the assets as the relationship bank has the first charge. Sale and leaseback of assets would also be
difficult as covenants from the relationship bank would be very likely to restrict this as it holds a charge over these
assetS.
Summary
If the existing loans repayable in 20Y1 and 20Y2 can be refinanced by the relationship bank, then Rein is
generating sutticient cash flows to service those loans. If however they cannot be refinanced then solvency
becomes an issue. It may be ditfficult to refinance the 20Y1 loan as the relationship bank will continue to hold
charges over assets in respect of its 2072 loan and covenants may not permit a second charge.
If refinancing is a problem, then raising finance through the factoring of receivables may be an alternative solution
at this stage but it has significant limitations (see below).
The nature of debt factoring is addressed by IFRS 9, Financial Instruments, although the standard does not give
specific detailed guidance on the treatment of debt factoring. A key question is whether tactored receivables
should be derecognised as a financial asset
Derecognition (ie, ceasing to recognise the factored debts) is appropriate only where the criteria for derecognition
of a financial asset according to IFRS 9 have been satistied.
Specifically, derecognition should only take place where the seller (Rein) has transferred substantially all the asset's
risks and rewards of the receivables. (Note that if a transter occurs and the seller neither transters nor retains
substantially all the risks and rewards the asset will only be derecognised it control has been lost.)
This is a question of judgement as to whether substantially all the risks and rewards have been transferred. In
respect of the t6.3 million (90% x t/m) that would be immediately received from the factor then it would appear
that there is a strong case that this should be derecognised given that it is non-recourse finance. However, interest
has to be paid until cash is received trom receivables, which gives some slow-moving risk and it is a question of
Judgement as to whether this is substantial in the context of the specitic circumstances.
Rein is ultimately to receive a net total of at least t6,633,200 (see working below) thus the question arises as to
when risk passes with respect to the remaining £333,200 (£6,633,200 - £6,300,000) and thus when derecognition
should occur with respect to this amount. This is again likely to be a question ot judgement as to what is a
'substantial' risk, but it would not exceed three months before derecognition when the tactor assumes
unconditional responsibility.
The £3.2 million of receivables which have not been factored will continue to be recognised.
The f6.3 million received would be shown under cash and cash equivalents in the statement of financial position.
to maintain its sales ledger function for receivables which have not been factored. There may also be an adverse
reputational damaae
41 Page 83
Ketch PLC
AIM company
air con units
Large AC
Small AC
UK and Europe
Build in mumbai
£m
Director/Shareholder Board role No £1 SC
Rohit Reed Chief executive 30
Katy Krugman Finance director 30
Catherine Coase Production director 5
Sue Shiller NED 5
Zoe Zimmerman NED 5
Individual shareholders - 25
(each owning less than 1%) 100
90,000 shipped
900,000 3rd party
Mumbai Mumbai
internal external
transfers sales Total
Price 186 120
Number of units sold 90,000 90,000 180,000
Revenue 16740000 10800000 27,540,000
Full costs (internal revenue/1.2) 13950000 13950000 27,900,000
Profit/(loss) 2790000 -3150000 -360,000
The above table shows an overall operating loss of f360,000. Hence, the sale of the Mumbai operations appears
to have a favourable financial effect.
However, the figures used in the table make a number of assumptions. One key assumption is that the full cost per
item transferred internally to the UK factory is the same as an external sale to a customer in India. It may be, for
example, that the distribution costs are greater for the sales to the UK. However, this need not be the case, as the
distribution to the UK is to a single destination and is only made in batches, by ship, once a month. Distribution
within India may be overland and may not benefit from the same economies of scope as the UK distribution
channel.
A further assumption is that the prices charged reflect arm's length market values. A superficial conclusion could
be that because the internal and external prices are dterent they cannot both be market values. However, this is
not necessarily the case as they are being sold into different markets with different price elasticities, so price
discrimination may be applied. However, there is doubt about whether an internal transter price of cost plus 20%
IS a market value. Ihe best benchmark may be the alternative UK suppliers of components being considered once
the Mumbai tactory is sold.
Assuming that the transfer price is equal to, or higher than, a market price then it seems on financial terms that the
sale of the Mumbai operations will have a favourable impact on Ketch's profit, if the current year's performance is
to be typical of future pertormance.
In addition to the pure operating profit effect, the sale of the Mumbai operation will release cash which may be
used elsewhere. Alternative uses of the surplus cash are considered below.
There is a need tor Ketch to acquire the refrigerant components to make air conditioning units. Under the
assumption given, the available alternative source is from a UK third-party supplier. This change from the Mumbai
operations to a UK third-party supplier has a number of financial benefits and risks.
Benefits
Operating gearing will fall, as there will no longer be fixed costs of production in Mumbai, but variable costs are
41 Page 84
Risks
The same components will be available to competitors so there is no competitive advantage in terms of costs.
The best suppliers of retrigerant components may have exclusivity agreements with rivals and there may be a
competitive disadvantage in onily being able to source inferior quality components.
A foothold in the Indian market will be lost.
Exit costs are significant financially and perhaps reputationally.
Impairment 3,820
An adjustment that will need to be made prior to classification as held tor sale is in respect of any depreciation
charge after the date the assets are classified as held for sale.
On re-classification as held for sale, IFRS 5 requires that a disposal group shall, at the date when reclassified as
held for sale, measure the relevant assets at the lower of:
Carrying amount
Fair value less costs to sell
Any test for impairment will be based on the disposal group as a whole.
The impairment charges will be treated as reductions in the carrying amounts of individual assets (IAS 36,
impairment of Assets).
This impairment loss is allocated to non-current assets in accordance with IFRS. Normally, the first part of the
impairment would relate to goodwill but, as the division was set up trom scratch in India, there appears to be no
goodwill. No impairment charge relates to inventories (per IFRS 5) therefore all the impairment relates to PPE.
One qualitication is that the non-monetary assets such as PPE would normally be measured at the exchange rate at
the date of purchase, and would not be normaly be retranslated. However, where there is an impairment, non-
monetary assets are retranslated at the exchange rate at the date of impairment. As a resuit, the sterling amount of
the net asset value may chnange.
Consideration also needs to be given as to whether the sale is a discontinued operation under IFRS 5.
The Mumbai Division may be a component of the entity as a CGU. lt is revenue generating, it is clearly
distinguishable in financial reporting terms from the rest of the company and it is material. It appears to be a
separate major line of the business as it makes dierent types of product from the rest of the company at a
separate location.
IFRS 5 provides an analysis of the contribution of the discontinued element to the current year's profit ie, the part
that will not be included in future years profits. showing separate information about discontinued operations
allows users of tinancial statements to make relevant future projections of cash tlows, financial position and
earnings-generating capacity.
Between 1 August and 30 September 2018 there is a further reduction of f0.45 million in the fair value of PPE. This
should be recognised as a further impairment in the financial statements tor year ended 30 September 2018.
41 Page 85
The new factory would have an initial incremental initial outlay of f50 million which could be financed trom the
available surplus funds (see above).
It would generate incremental free cash tlows of f5 million at 1 October 2019 prices, intlating by 1% per annum
for 20 years. (Assuming year end cash flows)
use 6% (7%-1%) as an approximation and then use the cumulative present value tables for simplicity
(this approach will give an estimate although it is not technically correct as the cost saving is an annuity not a
perpetuity)
Conclusion
Overall, in the short term, there is more flexibility in outsourcing so there can be a smoother transition from the
Mumbai operations. An investment in a UK factory may be a good long-term idea, as funds are available, but
sourcing cooling components from established external UK suppliers seems the lowest risk solution currently
available.
Cash available
Sale of Mumbai division 28.38
Exisitng cash per SOFP 21.7
total 50.08
Price 2.3
20% prem 0.2
max affoardable price 2.5
individuals holding 20 million shares to sell back to Ketch. Indeed, even at the maximum affordable price of £2.50
(a premium of 20p per share or 8.7%) many small shareholders may be passive and not want to sell their shares.
At a high price, any of the benefits of the buy-back to continuing shareholders may not be worth the cost. At a
lower price (say) between f2.30 and £2.50 then the directors' objective of achieving 20 million shares bought
back may not be feasible.
Overall, the buy-back price needs to be high enough to persuade a sufficient number of the individual
shareholders to sell. If they are not willing to do so in sufficient numbers, then the scheme may tail to achieve its
objectives.
Acareful balancing of these factors will be needed.
Taking the Ploome plc bond as an example. The annual yield can be estimated as:
((100/97.5)^1/4-1)+ 3/97.5 - 3.71%
Taking the Ghlast plc bond as an example. The annual yield is:
((145/95)10-1)-4.32%
The Ghlast bond earns a higher yield but also has a higher credit risk as the credit rating is lower at BBB.
The return on corporate bonds (including the above two examples) is lower than the WACC. However, this does
not mean it is detrimental to shareholder value as the risk on corporate bonds of a BBB credit rating and above
(investment grade) is likely to be lower than Ketch's WACC which includes the riskier cost of equity.
More generally, the investment in bonds enables Ketch to keep liquidity and hold funds until investment
opportunities arise. In so doing, they keep the real option to delay a current investment decision in the expectation
that a preferable project will arise in the future.
The corporate bonds in which Ketch intends to invest are fixed interest. Whilst the interest cash flows are
reasonably secure (although subject to credit risk) the fair value of the bond is subject to variation particularly as
expected interest rates are likely to change.
(2) Liquidity and marketability risk- This is the ease with which an issue can be sold in the market. Smaller issues
are particularly subject to this risk but purchases in Ploome and Ghlast may avoid this. In certain markets the
volume of trading tends to be concentrated in the "benchmark' stocks, thereby rendering most other issues
illiquid. Other bonds become subject to 'seasoning' as the initial liquidity dries up and the bonds are
purchased by investors who wish to hold them to maturity.
(3) Even if an issuer has a triple A credit rating and is therefore perceived as being at least as secure as the
Government, it will still have to offer a yield above that offered by the Government due to the smaller size
(normally) and the thinner market in the stocks.
(4) Issue specific risk - eg, risk of call. If the company has the right to redeem the bond early, then it will only be
logical for it to do this if it can refinance at a lower cost. What is good for the issuer will be bad for an investor
like Ketch and, thus, the yield will have to be higher to compensate.
(5) Fiscal risk - The risk that taxes will be increased. For foreign bonds, there would also be the risk of the
imposition of capital controls locking your money into the market.
(6) Currency risk- For foreign bonds, there would also be the risk of currency fluctuation, so the sterling
equivalent of the interest paid and the principal may vary over time even though these amounts may be fxed
in local currency terms.
(5) Recommendation
The three choices impact upon shareholder groups and other stakeholders in a variety of ways, and the best
option for one stakeholder group may not be the same as tor another.
Issues to consider from the perspective of Ketch as a whole are: return, risk and corporate governance.
The investment in the new factory does not favour a good short-term transition for the Mumbai factory production
and therefore outsourcing may be preferred as noted above.
The purchase of own shares seems more driven by personal interests of some directors and is uncertain in its
delivery given the nature of the current shareholdings. Also, it does not appear to be linked to any clear financial
or business strategy.
The return from bonds may not be the highest of the three choices but, in the short term at least, it is relatively
certain. Moreover, it keeps the real option to invest in a new tactory when an appropriate investment opportunity,
with an acceptable risk-return balance, arises. It also maintains the balance of control in the corporate governance
system and so does not disadvantage any stakeholder in terms of power or influence. It also increases liquidity,
although for a cash generating company this is not a key issue, at the moment.
The decision to invest in bonds is therefore recommended.
2018 2017
Draft
£'000 £'000
Revenue 248,000 242,400
Cost of sales -155,100 -151,900
Gross profit 92,900 90,500
Distribution and administration costs -43,400 -42,900
Operating profit 49,500 47,600
Finance costs -5,500 -5,500
Profit before tax 44,000 42,100
Tax -8,400 -8,000
Profit for the year 35,600 34,100
Non-current assets
Property, plant and equipment 334,000
Current assets
Inventories 18,200
Trade and other receivables 24,200
Cash 21,700
Total assets 398,100
Equity
£1 ordinary shares
Share premium 100,000
Retained earnings 18,400
Non-current liabilities 123,300
Bank loan (repayable 2026) 140,000
Current liabilities
Trade and other payables 16,400
41 Page 88
Zeta PLC
Sells sport equipment
manufactor
based in US and europe
Sales
Made 10 retail owned
Online store
Cusomters over 35 and 70% golf and 52% Ski
(1) The selling price per item is the same for sales through stores and online.
(2) The cost of sales per item is the same for sales through stores and online.
(3) Cost of sales comprises the cost of purchasing products for sale.
% change
Revenue:
Stores 1.2% -12.7% -7.9%
Online 32.1% 14.0% 21.1%
Total 8.8% -7.0% -1.3%
Cost of sales 12.0% -3.3% 2.0%
Gross proft 1.6% -18.2% -10.2%
% of total revenue
Stores 27.20% 50.20% 27.83% 44.34% 77.32% 72.17%
Online 8.90% 13.70% 11.97% 15.86% 22.68% 27.83%
36.10% 63.90% 39.81% 60.19% 100.00% 100.00%
Revenue
The revenue of Zeta has declined from £31.3 million in 2017 to f30.9 million in 2018, a fall of 1.3%. Whilst perhaps
not significant of itselt, it is in an unfavourable direction and contributes toa much larger fall in gross profit (see
below).
The composition of the decrease in revenue points to some trends which can be explored in terms of sales
channel (stores and online) and products (skiing and golf):
The increase in online sales is offset by a decrease in sales from stores of 7.9%. Due to the larger scale of the store
based sales, then this is sutticient for sales to fall for Zeta overall.
Gross profit
Note: Information on other operating costs is not provided, but it seems likely that stores' sales incur greater costs
(rents, labour and overheads) than online sales. In this respect, the operating profit is likely to be much lower than
the gross profit. Nevertheless, the relative trend of increasing online sales relative to stores sales is likely to be
favourable for operating profit.
The gross profit of Zeta has declined from £8.39 million in 2017 to £7.536 million in 2018, a fall of 10.2%. This fall
is significant and reflects the 1.3% decrease in revenue noted above, but also a 2% increase in cost of sales.
Customer, including website contacts, stores and order processing Tunctions. intormation can be accessed and
updated from any point, so that participants in customer-facing processes- sales, customer service, marketing-
can coordinate their efforts and give consistent, coherent messages to the customer.
Information can also be analysed (through data analytics) to determine protitability, purchasing trends or web
browsing patterns.
Brand valuation
either purchase shares or brand
Due dilgence prod to support valuation
indicate a low value or a zero value of its brand to Ski-Gear. It however Zeta can leverage the Ski-Gear brand better
than Ski-Gear management were able to do, then the Ski-Gear brand may still have value to Zeta.
A strong brand should help to generate future cash intlows and higher profits for a company. Brands can build
market share. Ihey could also be used to support higher prices (by ditterentiation) compared with Zeta's own
branded products.
Unlike many other assets, there is normally no active market for brands that could provide comparable market
values. Almost by definition, one brand should be differentiated from another brand, and thus, the two are not
comparable. Iherefore, a number of ditferent models have been developed to try to provide authoritative brand
values and to measure the pertormance oT brands.
Research-based approaches: These use consumer research into consumer behaviour and attitudes to assess the
relative performance of brands. In particular, these approaches seek to measure how consumers' perceptions
intluence their purchase behaviour. However, such measures do not put a financial value on brands so, unless they
are integrated with other approaches, they are insutticient tor assessing the economic value of brands.
Cost-based approaches: Cost-based approaches define the value of a brand as the aggregation of all the
historical costs incurred to bring the brand to its current state for example, development costs, marketing costs,
advertising and other communication costs.
However, the flaw in such approaches is that there is not necessarily any direct correlation between the costs
incurred and the value added by the brand. Financial investment can be important in building brand value,
provided it is etfectively targeted, but it it isn't, it may have no impact at all. Moreover, the analysis of financial
investment needs to go beyond obvious costs such as advertising and promotion, to include R&D, product
packaging and design, retail design and employee training.
Premium price: Under the premium price method, the value of the brand is calculated as the net present value
(NPV) of the price premiums that a branded product could command over an unbranded or generic equivalent
However, a difficuity with this method comes from finding an unbranded product to compare to. loday, the
majority of products are branded and, in some cases, 'own-branded' products such as Zeta can be as strong as
producer brands, charging similar prices
Economic use approach: This approach combines marketing and financial principles as follows:
Marketing principle - first, brands help to generate customer demand, which translates into revenue
through purchase volume, price and frequency. Second, brands help to retain customer demand in
the longer term, through repurchasing and loyalty.
Financial principles-The brand's future earnings are identified and then discounted to an NPV
using a discount rate which reflects the risk of the earnings being realised.
IFRS 13 requires that entities should maximise the use of relevant observable inputs when determining a fair value,
and minimise the use of unobservable inputs. In relation to this, IFRS 13 uses a fair value hierarchy' which
categories inputs into three levels:
Level 1 inputs - Quoted prices in active markets for identical assets or liabilities that the entity can access at the
measurement date.
Level 2 inputs - Inputs (other than quoted market prices included within Level 1) that are observable for the
asset or liability, either directly or indirectly.
Level 3 inputs - Unobservable inputs for the asset or liability.
t is not nomally possible to identity Level 1 inputs when dealing with brands, due to their unique nature. By
definition, if all brands are ditterent, or have ditferent characteristics, it will not be possible to identity any identical
assets. Therefore, the fair values of brands will have to be determined using the lower two levels of inputs
(althougha possible Level 2 input could be the value of similar brands which have already been valued).
R&D
develipment costs
4 year life
Tender pricing
Pricing for Vechile Compliance dividsion
1 July 2019 cost pls method
2 examples of tender propsales YE June 2019
Texas Victoria
£'000 £'000
Bespoke programming costs (including learning time) 1,280 320
Support and maintenance costs 640 160
Total direct costs 1,920 480
Add: SNPRS development costs 9,600 2,400
Total estimated cost 11,520 2,880
Mark-up 15% 1,728 432
Tender price 13,248 3,312
Texas
£'000 45% cost
Bespoke programming (£1.28m x (100/145)) 882.7586 100/145 1,280
Learning-extra 45% (£1.28m x (45/145)) 397.2414 extra 45/145 640
Other direct costs (support and maintenance) 640
Total direct costs 1,920
Allocation of development costs (excluding 45% extra) [(882,759 +640,000) x 5] 7613.793 9,600
Total cost 9,534
Profit margin 15% 1,430
Tender price 10,964
Successful tender price (£13.248m/1.2) 11,040
Theretore, if this approach had been used, the tender price would have been the lowest with a strong possibility
that the tender would have been won.
43 Page 95
Victoria contract
Regarding the Victoria contract, it may appear that the cost-plus pricing method has been succeesstul in winning
the contract. However, with only one other bidder, it has not taken account of competitive conditions, resulting in a
bid that was 30% below that of the other tendering company at t4,731,429(t3,312,000/0./). Ihis price therefore
tailed to maximise the protit on the contract. Whilst the precise figure of 30% is only known with hindsight,
information may have been known where a price set on a judgement basis could have been higher, based on
knowledge of the rival's prior bidding behaviour.
Recommendation
The recommendation to internal audit could be to return to the previous judgemental basis but closely monitor
the proportion of successful bids and subsequently monitor the profit made on these contracts. Knowledge of
rival bids and customer expectations would be key factors in making such judgements.
Development costs
1 July 2017 SNPRS
life 4 years
Cost 96,000,000
2019 2018
Years ended 30 June 16 12
Number of tenders made 4 6
Number of successful tenders 80 72 £m
Value of tenders made 15 36 £m
Value of successful tenders
Carrying amount
The initial SNPRS development costs of E96m are being amortised over 4 years and so at 30 June 2019 the
carrying amount was E48m.
The key financial reporting issue at 30 June 2019 is whether, due to the poor tender performance on SNPRS
contracts, an impairment charge should be made in respect of the £48m carrying amount
Impairment
IAS 36 requires intangible assets to be tested for impairment. As the development costs have a finite life, they are
not tested for impairment automatically with annual impairment reviews. However, the low tender success rate is
an indication of impairment in accordance with IAS 36 and an impairment review should therefore take place.
The impairment loss will equal the excess of the carrying amount over the recoverable amount. The recoverable
amount is the greater of: ( the tair value less costs of disposal, and () value in use (present value of future cash
flows).
The allocation of overheads is not acceptable as cash flows in determining the value in use. Moreover, the
development costs are unlikely to generate cash tlows independently of other assets. The impairment review
therefore needs to be carried out at the level of a cash generating unit
Whilst the information is not available to do this exercise, it has been estimated that only £36.7m of SNPRS
development costs has been recovered on successtul number plate recognition tenders in the two years since
launch. lo the extent that this calculation is valid, and if this experience is to continue over the next two years, then
only a further £36./m will be recovered from further use, and these amounts need to be discounted to a present
value to determine value in use. Ihere is therefore a strong indicator of impairment when compared with the
t48m carrying amount.
It is unlikely that the recoverable amount of the development costs would be based on their fair value less costs of
disposal as they are integral to the business and therefore difticult to sell separately from the business.
43 Page 96
Amoristed 4 years
R&D budget was 15% of revenue last year
Each saves 12%
Spend 300 m
saved 36 m ie 12%
Financial reporting
IAS 36 requires intangible assets not yet ready for use to be tested for impairment annually.
If R&D costs are cut on all projects, then the impact of the cuts on their future value in use needs to be assessed.
This may include any delay in implementation, where delayed cash flows are subject to greater discounting or
there may be questions over future viability of some projects given the reduced investment. Intangible assets not
yet ready for use are subject to significant uncertainty and this should be considered in the impairment review.
If the new project is cancelled, then the costs of development already capitalised (if any) will need to be fully
written of as an impairment loss.
The use of 15% of revenue seems an entirely arbitrary way of determining total R&D spend. It does not consider
atfordability as, even where revenue is high, protit and net cash tlow may be low. Neither does it assess the level of
return that can be obtained by RED investment, as it is merely a top-down total figure linked to an unrelated figure
from the financial statements.
Rather, the determination of R&D spend should, like any other investment, be determined by the projects
identified which tit into the company's overall strategy and generate an acceptable return whilst, in total, being
affordable and within the company's risk appetite.
Financial reporting
It seems appropriate to impair at least some of the £22 million development costs that have already been
capitalised on SoftTech I. Future benefits have been pushed back two years and there is greater risk of benefits
not being realised. Impairing some or all of the f22m of development costs should theretore be evaluated.
The policy of capitalising future development costs on SoftTech II should be revisited given that problems have
been discovered. MVS should therefore consider writing off future development costs on SoftTech l as incurred as
the future economic benetits are too uncertain.
There is no amortisation of Soft lech lI costs until it is available for use.
It may be that, if Softlech I is to continue in productive use beyond 30 June 2020, then its useful life should be
extended to reflect this, thereby reducing the annual amortisation charge for the years ending 30 June 2019 and
30 June 2020.
Soft Tech I cannot be revalued as, in accordance with IAS 38, there is no active market for development projects,
given their unique nature.
Liquidity issue
poor perofmance
new customer terms and new system
improve the cashflow
Sale of software 2.4m
Maintenance for 3 years annual payment arrears 240,000
per year 80000
Or they can make a single payment of £3m
interest -9.70%
This is the implicit interest rate sacritice by MvS and the reward to customers from paying early. I hus, while the
new policy benetits short term liquidity for MVS, there is a profit sacrifice.
However, if MVS if having problems obtaining full price, then this scheme could be a way of reducing the price in
present value terms to make the product more attractive to customers.
While there is a short-term liquidity gain in year 1, by bringing receipts for support services forvward, in steady state
after three years the cash receipts will be lower as the payments for support service that would have been received
under the previous payment arrangements will no longer occur.
44 Page 99
Background
C PLC
Listed entity
Design and make high quality glasses
Needs to raise 15m
Proposal of exansion
A unhedged position whcin entered by treasure
Assurance engagement risk and actions
Gearing and executive options issue
10 years of no growth
NEDs 6 years and chairmain is NED 10 years
No single shreholders
3 month 1m contract
September 2019 delivery 98.4
December 2019 delivery 98.5
March 2020 delivery 98.6
12 month SONIA rate 1 Aug 19 1.50%
Contata can borrow at SONIA 2.50%
Loan 15,000
SONIA + 2.5% = 1.5 % + 2.5% 4.00%
44 Page 100
Interest rate futures contracts offer a means of hedging against the risk of adverse interest rate movements. If a
company buys an interest rate futures contract, it contains the entitlement to receive interest; it it sells an interest
rate futures contract, it sells the promise to make interest payments. Buying an interest rate futures contract,
therefore, equates to lending, whilst selling an interest rate futures contract equates to borrowing.
Contacta will therefore sell interest rate futures contracts to hedge against an increase in interest rates before it
takes out the loan in three months.
It is necessary to choose the futures contract with delivery on the closest date following the date when it is
intended to close the position. In this case, Contacta should therefore sell December futures on 1 August.
The benchmark expected interest cost on the loan at current rates (assuming they do not change) is:
f15m x (SONIA+2.5%) x 9/12 - £15m x (4%) x 9/12 £450,000
As the loan period is nine months and the futures periods are only three months, it is necessary to take a futures
position three times larger than the loan in order to obtain cover for the full impact of an interest rate change.
Treasurey
Borrow amount of Swiss France CHF at low interest
convert to £
despoisting higher sterling rate to profit
8-Jul-19
Borrow 4,000
Annual interest 0.50%
Matuirty in 6 motnhs 10 interest on 6m
Total liabiltiy 4,010 in CHF
is an expectation that the CHF will appreciate against the £. This is to compensate the holders of CHF for the
lower interest rate obtained by expecting currency gains on the principal relative the f sterling deposit holders.
Gearing
£1 ordinary shares 5,000
Share premium 1,000
Retained earnings 8,200
Equity tota 14,200
Non-current liabilities
49% loan notes 2022 87,500
Gearing 86%
MV of Equtiy
Share price 8.32
shares 5,000
41600
68%
Can borrow at 4%
wherease if equity they would require Rate of return 10%
Gearing
By all measures, gearing is high and therefore financial risk is high. Gearing will be increased by the f15m new
44 Page 102
debt in three months' time with the expansion tor contact lenses, but this is short term debt.
The securty provided by PPE IS also limited, in terms of carryıng amounts at least. Ihe carrying amount is only
93.75m whereas the debt is close to this at E87.5m and will exceed the PPE carrying amount with the additional
E15m of borrowing. However, it may be that the fair value of the property is far in excess of its carrying amount.
The level of gearing can also be measured in terms of interest cover
interest cover 2019 6,200/3,500 1.77 times
Interest cover 2018 5,600/3,500 1.60 times
Thus, while interest is covered in both 2019 and 2018, it is less than 2 and significant earnings volatility could lower
this. Ihe new tlbm loan in the 2020 financial year will increase interest costs but should also increase revenue and
profit
Overall, it is fair to say that financial gearing is high and with additional risks such as high operating gearing, which
is typical of manufacturing companies, and market risks with new entrants, then further long term borrowing in
future would add to these risks and may be a matter of concern to stakeholders, including shareholders, existing
lenders and employees. Higher gearing with higher risk may also only be possible at higher interest rates to
compensate lenders for the additional risks.
Catherine's quote
Catherine's argument is flawed. As noted above further borowing is raising gearing further and therefore may
well not be available at historic interest rates of 4%.
Even if borrowing is available at a lower rate than the required return on equity, this does not necessarily make it
cheaper. Raising more debt will raise gearing. Ihis in turn will increase the volatility of the residual returns to equity
holders making them more risky. This in turn will raise the required return on equity. In equilibrium, the increase in
the return to equity, with the cost of new debt, will approximately be equal to the weighted average cost of capital.
Shares 300000
MV 2550000
Gain on FV 120000
Current MV 2496000
The share options give Contacta directors the right to purchase shares at the specified exercise price of f8.50 on
30 June 2021 if they remain as directors until that date (ie over the vesting period). Ihe options have an exercise
price that was equal to the market price on the grant date of 30 June 201/
The amouts of the share options are substantial with an initial fair value of f120,000 per director and the
potential for this value to rise significantly. Whilst we need to know the detail of the remaining remuneration
package, this option value is potentially significant enough to impact upon the incentives of directors in making
decisions.
Share options can be used to align management and shareholder interests, particularly options held for a long
time when value is dependent on long-term performance
The UK Corporate Governance Code states that shares granted, or other forms of remuneration, should not vest or
be exercisable in less than three years. Ihis is to ensure that incentives are given not just for short-term
performance. Ihese options satisty this condition in having a four-year vesting period to encourage longer term
decision making.
If directors or employees are granted a number of options in one package, these options should not all be able to
be first exercised at the same date. Ihis is because it may promote short-termist behaviour around the exercise
date to manipulate the share price (including financial statement disclosures and measurements) it a large number
of options are due to be exercised. Ihese options are the only ones that the Contacta directors have and so they
have this risk.
Share options may give an incentive to align the risk preferences of directors and shareholders. An investment
opportunity that would attract shareholders, because the returns are high relative to the systematic risk, may be
rejected by directors because they may be exposed to the total risks of an investment failing. Options may
encourage directors to take more risks as there is significant upside potential. However, where options are in-the-
money, directors may become more risk averse as they are afraid of losing these accumulated past gains,
particularly given the volatility of option prices.
Conversely, as in this case, the Contacta options are out-of-the money (underwater) at f8.32 compared with an
exercise price of f8.50. If the share price stays at this level, then the options are worthless. If a risky decision is
made that goes wrong and share price falls, they are still worthless. ITheretore, directors may be incentivised to
make risky decisions as there is then upside potential if they increase share price, rather than low risk decisions
which may, even if modestly successful, keep share price at an out-of-the-money level, still making the options
worthless.
If options become significantly underwater, then they may need to be renegotiated or else they would tail to
provide any relevant incentives for decision making. Ihe Contacta options are not in this position at the moment
with almost two more years betore expiry.
More generally, an increase in volatility according to the Black Scholes Merton model will increase the value of
44 Page 103
2019 2018
£'000 £'000
Revenue 74,400 76,300
Gross profit 25,200 26,300
Operating profit 7,500 8,600
Social media and marketing - website to download receipts and don’t sell direct to customers
As noted above, granular information is needed for each type of product and for each geographical area.
Information is needed about demand from both:
Customers of SSS (ie retailers)
Consumers (ie individuals who purchase from the retailers)
Customers
Information about customers is essential in predicting sales and as part of customer relationship management.
Customers will better understand local market conditions and how their own customers (consumers) behave.
Knowledge of how customers price our products to consumers would be useful in predicting demand, particularly
for future price changes.
Consumers
There is a pull demand from consumers which, it predictable, could be communicated to customers to encourage
ordering SSS products on a more timely and efficient basis. Collection of data from the website (eg downloads of
recipes and discount vouchers) may enable better prediction of pull demand from consumers.
Data analytics
Historic data may be useful. eg customers may be willing to release data on SSS product sales collected by their
bar codes. This could then be collected for all customers to establish a big data set, to which data analytics could
be applied to analyse point of sale information on SSS products (timing, amounts purchased, price charged).
More indirectly, data relating to the usage by customers of the SSS website and social media may be usefully
analysed. Increased activity (in terms of the number of hits) may be lead indicator for an increase in future sales.
More specifically, the hits on the web page for each type of product may indicate increased sales for that product
in the near future. Ihere needs to be predictable patterns in the link between the number ot hits and future sales
and the lag between them. Algorithms applied to this big data may be able to discern such patterns to provide
better forecasts of sales.
This internal data could be combined with external data to help predict demand.
The number of hits on the SSS website from individual consumers may give some clues. Retailers could be
informed it demand predictions were to be related to a specific geographical area. Ihe downloading of discount
vouchers may be a particular feature as retailers near where the consumers live could be warned of an increase in
expected demand based on the number of vouchers downloaded in the local area.
SSS could more actively use social media to predict consumer behaviour. For example, their use of blogs, vlogs,
twitter feeds etc. SoCial media analytics allows companies to measure quantitatrve metrics such as the number of
times its Facebook account has been 'liked' but also capture qualitative data. For example, key words posted by
customers about the organisation's products can be used to perform 'sentiment analysis' which would allow SSS
to respond to relevant activty and trends.
More general external data could also be used, such as weather predictions if there is an established link between
types of weather and demand for SsS products. Also any popular cooking programmes on IV may produce a
short term surge in demand which could be analysed based on historic data.
Frecnh market
Expand
Price 20% higher
Min order 60 EURO UK Euro eq 50
Fixed delivery 10 EURO Net price 42
Actual currior cost 18 EURO Net euro 52
4% difference in 50 and 52
Or sale online
Each require 3m in marketing and website expandsion
Arrangement 1
Loan 3,000,000 EURO
Mar-20
zero coupon rate
Reedem in 4 years
At 3,510,000 EURO
Arrangement 2
Loan £ 2,500,000
Swaps arragement
4 years
Interest fixed 3.50%
D will pay 3m EURO
SSS pay £2.5m
on 31 March 224
Online to consumers
Selling through online marketing in France is the direct exporting model.
Direct exporting occurs where the producing organisation itself performs the export tasks rather than using an
intermediary. Sales are made directly to customers overseas who in this case are the final users, rather than
wholesalers or retailers.
SS5 also does not use an intermediary (eg overseas selling agent) but rather a courier which merely provides a
distribution service.
There are high initial marketing costs, but this is also true of any other form of entry into a new market where a
producer has to establish reputation. The difference with the online approach is that marketing is targeted to
individuals, rather than general market advertising to the population as a whole.
An advantage of this approach is that, other than these initial marketing costs, there are few fixed costs, so
withdrawal from the market should have low exist costs and there are tewer financial and reputational risks from
withdrawal.
The distribution network is, in effect, outsourced to international couriers with core competences in international
distribution. The distribution costs would therefore be variable costs and would not suffer unduly from low initial
sales.
In terms of margin, at the minimum order value of E60 in rance and there is a delivery charge to customers of
ET0.The distribution cost for SSS averages E18. So, there is a net price of E52. Ihis compares with the equivalent
UK price for the same goods equivalent to ES0 (using a 20% mark up on UK prices). he net rench price is
therefore 4% higher at €52 than the UK price.
However, the initial costs of £2.5 million will need to be covered.
The UK gross profit margin is 33.87% (£25,200k/£74,400k).
If sales prices are 4% higher in France then this is the equivalent of f2,976k (£74,400k x 0.04).
The French margin is therefore:
(£25,200k + £2,976k/(£74,400k+ £2,976k) - 36.4%
However additional distribution costs will be incurred for French sales.
Network of retailer customers
There are two aspects to this suggestion by the FD:
The sales to consumers are through third party intermediaries (ie French retailers)
The distribution is through SSS owned vans (rather than through third party couriers as with the online model)
For the retailer network, there are the following advantages and disadvantages:
Advantages
Local knowledge provided by French retailers.
Control over distribution by SSS.
Bundle multiple orders in vans tor distribution (not each order separately).
Disadvantages
Retailer margins reduce the price to SSS.
Difficulty finding retailers willing to hold SSS inventory.
Time delay to end user as two stages (i) to retailer (ii) held in inventory before final sale. This may affect
perishable items.
Additional tixed costs in establishing retailer network.
SSS may be less aware of consumers' needs and preferences in a new market as there is no direct contact.
Low levels of sales in the early years may mean there is insufticient volume for a retailer coveringa limited
geographical area (eg it demand is from individuals who are geographically spread)
A key risk of both models is foreign exchange risk. As products are made in the UK, costs are incurred in fs.
However, they are sold in hrance, so revenues are generated in euro. Ihis leads to short-term transaction risk and
longer-term economic risk from long-term shifts in exchange rates which may affect viability.
Arrangement 1
Loan 3,000,000 EURO
Mar-20
zero coupon rate
Reedem in 4 years
At 3,510,000 EURO
Effective interest rate 1.17 3.51/3
Less - 1.00
0.17
Divided by 4 years 4.3%
6 month effecite on terest
45 Page 107
1.043
Dividend by 2 0.52
Less -1 - 0.48
1.98%
Interest 3m loan 59,400.00
Convert rate 1.19 49,915.97 Interest
Arrangement 2
Loan £ 2,500,000
Swaps arragement
4 years
Interest fixed 3.50%
Effective rate 3.84% 1.0192 -1
D will pay 3m EURO
SSS pay £2.5m
on 31 March 224
Financing arragement
Two types of financing arrangements
Amount- Both loans are for the same amount of €3 million (or f2.5 million at the opening spot rate). This is not an
insignificant amount to S55, but neither is it fundamental.
Interest rate- The annual effective interest rate on the euro denominated loan is 4% (E3.51m/€3m) - 1)1/4
The annual nominal interest rate on the sterling loan with a swap arrangement is 3.8% which is lower than the euro
denominated bond. However, the effective rate is 3.8361% (1.0192-1).
Foreign currency risks - both arrangements are etectively in euro. I his forms a patial currency hedge against the
expected euro denominated revenues from the French project. However, there is a currency risk if the French
project fails within 4 years, and SSS withdraws from the French market. Then there is currency exposure from the
run-off of euro interest payments and repayment of principal. These could however be hedged from the date of
withdrawal.
Swap arrangement
The main benefit of the swap is that SSS can take out a sterling loan, perhaps with its relationship bank, in the
home market on tavourable terms. It can then use a swap to convert the sterling loan into what is, in effect, a loan
in a foreign currency.
Whilst there are some transaction costs tor a swap arrangement, these are typically low as they are over-the-
counter arrangements with a bank and do involve market exposure. However, the transaction costs are likely to be
higher than a straight euro loan.
There is the risk that the counterparty will default on its obligations (eg through insolvency or refusal to pay). This
will then leave SSS exposed to the original sterling loan agreement. The lower interest rate on this arrangement
compared with the euro loan may be regarded as a default risk premium.
The swap is in effect a derivative and will have a fair value depending on how the exchange rates move over time.
If the exchange rates move in line with the working assumption, then the swap will be a liability as the value of the
euro interest payments will be greater than the value of the sterling interest payments made by the counterparty.
The same will be true of the final repayments with the counterparty. However, in compensation tor S55, the value
of the sales of products in France will be greater in sterling terms.
Euro denominated loan-financial reporting treatment
The euro denominated loan has not been designated as part of a hedge arrangement for hedge accounting
purposes.
It is therefore measured in accordance with IFRS 9 as a financial liability which would normally be measured at
amortised cost.
It is a financial item in accordance with IAS 21, so it would be retranslated at the year-end into the SSS functional
currency which is f sterling. Interest would be translated at the average rate over the 6 months of the loan that falls
within the financial year to 30 September 2020.
€59,400/1.19 - £49,916
Liability
The carrying amount of the loan at 30 September is: €3.0594m
This is converted to sterling at the closing rate for the year to 30 September 2020 which is f1 -€1.18
Thus the carrying amount of the loan at 30 September 2020 in sterling is:
€3.0594m/1.18 £2,592,712
Summary forecasts of operating profit for CCare as follows for the years ending 30 September:
2021 2022 onwards
CS'000 CS'000
Revenue 9,000 14,500
Manufacturing costs:
Variable -2,100 -3,300
Fixed -4,950 -5,300
Gross protit 1,950 5,900
Administrative and distribution costs -2,205 -2,500
Operating (loss/profit -255 3,400
WACC 10%
Exchange rate 1.7
Appreciate against £ 1% years
Whilst there is an expected positive NPV, it is very small and a small movement in estimates could generate a
negative NPV. Much will depend upon the accuracy and the validity of the assumptions.
Nevertheless, based on these assumptions, there is a positive NPV.
However, a number of serious concerns are relevant:
There is dependency on one large customer, Flomm, which in steady state makes up one third of sales.
Moreover, the sales to Flomm make a total contribution of f3,400k (£4,500- f1,100). The loss of this contract
would entirely wipe out profits tor the year ending 30 September 2022.
Whilst there is some market research, this needs to be questioned given the pattern of substantial growth
within two years.
There is significant foreign currency risk.
The small NPV is dependent on forecasts to perpetuity and a 1% indefinite annual growth of the CS against the
£. These assumptions need to be questioned as a small variation could create a negative NPV.
There are initial losses predicted. This creates a funding risk but also the risk of slower initial growth which
would afect the small NPV.
Recommendation
Based on: the marginal nature of the NPV of the project; the levels of risk; and the questionable credibility of the
assumptions, the Canadian proposal should be rejected.
Methods
SSS IPO
Raise 20,000,000 DR Cash 20,000,000
Shares 315,000 CR SC 315,000
CR Share Prem 19,685,000
Private investor
Loan 20,000,000 DR Cash 20,000,000
Share ssue 340,000 CR SC 340,000
CR Share Prem 19,660,000
Loan $ 34,000,000
Fixed no repayments
Fixed rate 5%
The issue price per share is f63.49. There are some costs to the issue which would include an underwriter, such as
an investment bank. This will reduce the net proceeds obtained.
There is also some uncertainty. Whilst SSS may wish to obtain a given price, this may not be a reasonable price for
a successtul tloat it the market does not value S55 shares at this level. Moreover, there is a risk that the shares may
not be fully subscribed. The underwriter might take on this risk but if the risk is high it may not be possible to find
an underwriter to act for SSS.
The private equity route would raise the same £20m but would require the issue of 340,000 shares. This values the
SSS shares at f58.82 per share. However, if Cobalt has agreed to this, then the funds are more certain than an IPO.
Corporate governance consequences area key issue for the two share capital issues.
With the private equity the shareholdings would be:
MSL
Properties 30
Bedds 12,300
2019 2018
Summary statement of profit or loss:
Rental income (1 September to 30 June) 68,603 63,534
Rental income (1 July to 31 August) 4,428 5,053
Fair value increases (Note 1) 43,500 23,000
Operating costs (Note 2) -44,500 -38,000
Profit for period 72,031 53,587
Number of properties 30 28
Number of bed spaces available 12,300 11,200
Occupancy rate
(1 September to 30 June) 97% 99%
Occupancy rate
(1 July to 31 August) 40% 48%
Fair value of properties 1230m 1103m
Borrowings (Note 4) 620m 530m
Price variance
September to 30 June
(E575-£573) x 108,310 216,620
1 July to 31 August
(E450-£470) x 7,640 - 152,800
Total ` 63,820
£'000
Operating profit 2018 53,587
lew properties (W2) 7,315
Occupancy variance (W3) -2,935
Rental prices variance (W4) 64
Fair value movements 20,500
Operating costs (44,500-38,000) -6,500
Operatina proft 2019 72,031
Performance methods
Properties 30 28 7.14%
Beds 12,300 11,200 9.82%
Occupancy 10m 0.97 0.99 -2.02%
Occupancy 2m 0.4 0.48 -16.67
46 Page 112
Rental revenues
Overall, rentals have risen by 6.48% which appears to be a good performance. However, much of this increase has been driven by expansion, rather than an increase in underlying like-for-like
earnings. There were two new properties added to the portfolio in 2019. This produced an increase of 1,100 beds compared with 2018. The two new properties generated revenues of £7.315m so,
without this, revenue would have tallen.
Looking at average portfolio rental rates these have remained relatively stable for the period of 1 Sept- 30 June, at f575 per property in 2019 and E573 on average in 2018. However, average rates
have shown a decline for the period from 1 July-31 Aug in 2019 compared to the same period in 2018. Whilst it is expected that average rental rates for this period are lower due to students being on
holiday and returning home, the decline of 4.3% (450-470/470) between 2018 and 2019 is a concern.
The increased expansion was at a cost of E110m which was far greater than the existing average property value. A consequence of this was that the gross rental yield fell from 6.22% to 5.94%. This is
indicative that whilst revenues have increased, this is through expensive expansion rather than increased operating performance.
Revenue per bed has fallen from £6,124 to f5,938. This is largely due to the reduced occupancy, as the new properties are priced at the average rate.
A serious concern is the reduction in the occupancy rates. They have fallen in the 10 months student period and the summer period. However, the like-for-like reductions in occupancy are much
greater than the overall figures as the two new properties had 100% occupancy throughout the year.
Fair value movements
The increase in fair values makes up over 60% of total profit. Whilst this is significant it is only partly driven by management actions. The element of fair value movement driven by market forces is
beyond management control. However, to the extent to which forecast future rentals determine fair value then this could be attributable to managerial performance.
Fair value changes are however unlikely to be sustainable at this level and so should not be expected to contribute, to this extent, to the long-term performance of MSL.
Returns on investment
The net total return (based on the FV of properties) for MSL after FV changes and operating costs is 5.86% (£72,031k/E1,230m) which is an increase on 2018 when it was only 4.86%. This is largely due
to FV movements which, as already noted, are unsustainable.
Interest
The finance director has not included interest in the protit figures to be reconciled, hence interest cannot be one of the reconciling items. However, interest does affect overall performance. In 2018,
interest was £16.96 million (E530x 3.29%) whereas in 2019 it had increased to £19.84m (£620m x 3.2%). This increase of f2.88m in annual interest is due to financing the two new properties.
In 2019, the additional properties generated additional rentals of £7.315m, which more than covers the additional interest. However, there are operating costs to consider and the increased borrowing
means increased financial risk and liquidity risk with an average term to maturity of only 8 years.
Conclusion
Overall, profit has increased to just over £72,031 m from £53,587m, an increase of 43.3%. Nevertheless, there are a number of concerns which creates significant doubt about the quality and
sustainability of pertormance:
Rental pertormance is questionable. Given there are no pipeline developments to continue revenue growth through expansion.
There are questions over declining occupancy, particularly in the summer period.
Fair value gains have boosted headline profit in 2019, but cannot be relied on to do so in future and if property prices decline they will reduce profit
The fair values may be questioned in terms ot their measurement (see below) theretore distorting the measurement of pertormance.
Issue 1
No prepare booking of rental argreemnt for 5 rooms for 2 weeks
Issue 2
Audit exam 10% lower than fair value recognised
12m difference
But they are done by expert valuations
Issue 1
The concern in this case is the completeness of reported rental incomes, with the risk of understatement of revenue. The risk is not only that rental incomes have been understated, but that there has
been misappropriation of assets from rental receipts. If true, this would be fraudulent behaviour.
Given the low levels of occupancy in the summer period there is the opportunity for local management responsible for booking, to rent out apartments and take the money directly for personal use. It
may be dificult for one person to do so, but collusion between a small group of individuals may be possible.
Actions and procedures
Review the formal booking system to establish whether the local manager had any ability to enter or alter booking records.
Obtain a full explanation of why the 'delay' in recording occurred and where is the receipt of cash or other means of payment
Discuss the matter with other local staff (eg housekeeping and clerical staff) to establish if they knew anything about the matter.
Speak to the 'guests' to establish the facts surrounding booking and payment.
Examine housekeeping records of occupancy and cleaning for other cases of understatement of incomne.
Review other bookings for similar omissions.
If there is evidence of fraud, then suspend the manager and contact the police.
Issue 2
There is a concern that the fair values of properties are overstated in the statement of financial position. The profit for the period may also be overstated if the fair values are overstated relative to last
year.
There is also a concern that the matter is material as the claimed overstatement is £12m which is a significant proportion of the FV movement for the year in the financial statements and 10% of the fair
value of the assets concerned. Also this is only on the three properties. I here may be further issues relating to the fair value tor other properties.
Actions and procedures
The methods used by the internal audit team to determine their fair values need to be independently reviewed including assumptions, estimates and other evidence. IFRS 13, Level 3 criteria should
have been applied by internal audit (Level 1 and Level 2 seem unlikely in the circumstances).
Review compliance with IAS 40 which does not require an external valuer.
The external valuer is a management expert and should be reviewed for independence and competence. His/her methods need to be independently reviewed including assumptions, estimates and
other evidence.
If there is not agreement on the method after reviewing both sets of estimates, then a further independent valuer may be used, appointed by the board.
If these three properties have been the only sample items then there may be an issue of overstatement of fair value for all properties. A wider review should be considered.
Inform the external auditor who may wish to use an auditor's expert. It may well be that the audit is currently taking place.
Recent loans have been taken out. If these have been based on false valuations the bank should be informed.
Personal note
The FD is my line manager and has asked for support although he may be at fault in this matter. An implied intimidation threat is noted.
University partnerships A reduction in the number or duration of Stay close to existing university
university partnerships is a key risk to income partners to satisfy their evolving
security and future rental incomes. needs by building and sustaining
Specifically, if existing nomination agreements relationships, reputation building
were not to be renewed or renewed on less and frequent dialogue.
favourable terms (eg shorter duration) then a Strive to build new partnerships
barrier to entry is lower and competitive with universities in the target
advantage eroded. mid- and upper-tier.
Currently about 60% of rental income is under Seek to negotiate extended and
nomination agreements, of which 70% are multi- longer terms for nomination
year (ie 42% of rental income is under multi-year agreements to provide incomme
nomination agreements). security and a barrier to entry for
Risk assessment- relative significance new rivals to sustain competitive
University partnerships risk is significant as almost advantage.
half (42%) of all rental income, which is currently
guaranteed by universities, would be at risk.
Property market Increases in the price of property may reduce the attractiveness of further expansion as, Consider leasing some property rather than buying.
price and volatity all other things being equal, it will lower the rental yield. Take expert advice on future property price movements.
Moreover, increases in property prices will lower the rental yield on existing properties Consider investing in a 'land bank' for future investment
therefore lowering a key performance measure. where good value opportunities arise.
Volatility in share prices will cause volatility in reported income as fair value movements
are recognised through profit or loss (IAS 40).
Conversely, increases in property prices may reduce risk by deterring new entrants and
reducing competitiveness in the sector.
Risk assessment- relative significance
Property market risk is significant as property is the major asset and the business model is
asset-driven.
Even relatively minor unfavourable movements in property prices may have significant
effects on MSL given the high value of its property portfolio.
Financial risk MSL is highly borrowed with loan to value on properties of 50.4% in 2019; increased from Maintain good relations with banks.
borrowing and 48.1% in 2018. Negotiate refinancing arrangements early.
cost of borrow Interest cover is 3.6 times in 2019; increased from 3.2 in 2018. However, these figures Monitor cash budgets.
include fair value movements which are not cash generating, unless properties are sold. Monitor the extent to which rentals guaranteed by
Bullet repayments also need to be covered or refinanced. universities cover interest payment obligations.
Risk assessment- relative significance Covenants need to be considered for continued compliance
Financial risk has worsened in 2019 but is like to be only a medium risk given the level of to avoid penalties.
profitability.
Health and Death or injury of an employee or student arising from a property defect or MSL Compliance with statutory obligations for building and fire
Safety operational or management obligation. (eg a fire or building defect). safety.
Risk assessment- relative significance Control building features during the development process as
Health and Safety has low probability but high impact if it occurs. Reputational damage, they are built for purpose.
legal redress and financial consequences would be potentially significant. Insurance.
Work with universities to promote the importance of Health
and Safety and students' own conduct in respect of this.
47 Page 114
BB LISTED
Sells lith battery
2018 2m sold global
2019 3m sold global
2020 8m
2030 125m
Number of
batteries sold by
Company Revenue (m) BB End date of current contract % revenue % units Rev per unit
Bluchi (italy) £126,000,000 60,000 30-Jun-23 3 years 61% 60% £2,100.00
Eastern (US) £60,000,000 30,000 30-Jun-22 2 years 29% 30% £2,000.00
Whiston (UK) £19,000,000 10,000 30-Jun-21 1 year 9% 10% £1,900.00
£205,000,000 100,000
Bluchi overall wants 20,000 and 20% gwoth 5 years, min 50,000 EURO, Source Aus mining
Eastern only by BB, annual 60,000 and 40% 4 years, min 30,000 US $ keep inventory low
Whiston specialist MV, only BB, no min, £
Dependence on one supplier, Lilley, may cause a supply chain security issue. Rivals may contract with Lilley for its available tuture supplies or Lilley's natural resources may run out. Also, continued
scarcty may increase supplier power for Lilley, enabling t to impose increased prices or impose other supply conditions.
BB is particularly vulnerable due to its short-term monthly contracts. I his means there is no security of supply and the price is, in eftect, the spot price which is rising and volatile. BB has fixed prices
with car manutacturer customers, so protit is particularly volatile to raw material price volatility.
Also, the Lilley contract is in AS, and there will therefore be currency risk on top of commodity price risk.
Scarcity of supply globally, and supply chain concentration in few countries, are further market-wide supply risks in obtaining alternative sources of lithium. For example, rivals may lock-in available
lithium supplies with long-term contracts, leaving little residual supply available in open markets.
Further scarcity of supply may lead to more price increases and price volatility over time as natural resources diminish further
EV production globally is increasing rapidly. If it expands more quickly than expected then, with this additional demand, available lithium supply may run out sooner than expected.
Non-market factors present additional risks, with the possibility of governmental and inter-governmental regulations limiting supply chains and distribution channels (eg to protect natural resources).
Overall, the sustainability of the long-term supply of raw materials is a major risk which threatens the continued viability and sustainability of BB if it is restricted to lithium-ion battery production only.
In terms of consequences, lithium-ion batteries cannot be made if no lithium is available for BB. This may mean factory shut-downs, perhaps for significant periods, and then the minimum contractual
requirements for customers may not be met. Ihis could risk loss of reputation and litigation.
Mitigation
Lilley contract
A long-term contract with Lilley would fix the price over the contract term and provide assurance, as tar as possible, over security of supply.
However, there are a number of downside factors:
Four years is a long horizon and beyond that of the current customer contracts. Predicting required amounts (maxima and minima) may be ditticult. Ihere is a possible exposure ot having an excess
of lithium if supply is greater than demand. Storage may be costly or impractical and resale may be difticult.
While the lithium price is fixed, it is at a much higher level than the current price. As prices rise over time this may be of future benetit, but there is a short-term cost.
The contracts are in Australian S and there is therefore a currency risk, even though prices are fixed in the local currency.
In addition to the Lilley contract, further contracts with multiple suppliers, if attainable, might go some way towards mitigating the risk of reliance on one supplier.
Recommendation
The contract with the supplier seems a better choice as it gives security of supply as well as price protection and over a much longer period.
Requirement 1.2: Benefits and risks of the R&D project (solid state batteries)
The R&D project has had some early success witha number of process innovations. However, there remain significant uncertainties over the outcomes.
Moreover, the scale ot the R&D project is sutficient to impact materialy the company as a whole it the project tails.
Immediate withdrawal from the R&D project is one possibility to be considered. This would save the loss of further R&D investment if the project fails but there is then dependency on the current
technology of lithium-ion production which is at risk for BB and globally in decline.
The three possible outcomes are:
The R&D continues with up to £200m of new investment then ultimately fails. This is the worst-case scenario as failure of the R&D may be identified before all the additional £200m costs are spent.
Fixed costs of production, of £150m, are avoided it production does not take place.
Outcome 2
succesulf and commence 1 July 2024
sales 180,000 units
till June 2025 and growth 12.5% per annum unit June 2032
60% likely
Outcome 3
succesulf and commence 1 July 2024 15% likely
Year Sales Contro
Jun-24 0 240,000
Jun-25 1 270,000 219,024,000
Jun-26 2 303,750 256,258,080
Jun-27 3 341,719 299,821,954
Jun-28 4 384,434 350,791,686
Jun-29 5 432,488 410,426,272
Jun-30 6 486,549 480,198,739
Jun-31 7 547,367 561,832,524
Jun-32 9 615,788 683,637,815
PV T1-8 @ 17% 1,505,088,000 npv(.17, All above
Fixed cost -350,000,000
NPV 1,155,088,000
Assumptions
WACC 17%
PV July 2024 200,000,000
fixed cost 8 years 150,000,000
total cost 350,000,000
Expected NPV
NPV July 2024
NPV Likelyhood
Outcome 1 -200,000,000 25% -50,000,000
Outcome 2 648,400,000 60% 389,040,000
Outcome 3 1,155,088,000 15% 173,263,200
512,303,200
Earlier costs incurred on the R&D project are sunk costs and so are not relevant to the decision to continue.
Discussion
The R&D project gives an expected positive NPV of E511.18m. Ihis would suggest that BB should continue with the R&D project in pure tinancial terms.
There are however a number of risks and possible hidden costs.
f failure of the R&D project means failure of the BB company, then there may be significant additional costs from the liquidation, eg the distressed sale of assets and foregoing of existing revenue
streams from lithium-ion battery sales.
Delay in R&D is an additional risk to failure. Even if the R&D project succeeds, BB may be only the second fastest to market (or even later) and the projected benefits to BB may then be much smaller.
Worse still, if the company which is first to market also has a first patent over the technology, then BB may now be legally unable to explort its own development work on a commercial basis. Legal
advice would be needed on the restrictions over BB of any prior patent by another company in the industry.
Ihere may also be a financial risk to delay. Ihe funds raised may be insutticient to tinance an extended delay in R&D activities. Also, with a high discount rate of 1/% pa, a significant delay will cause the
NPV of revenues to be reduced substantially.
Expected values suggest a risk neutral approach. I his is unlikely to be the case. Some of the shareholders, such as the private equity holders, may hold diversified porttolios but are nevertheless likely
to be risk averse. More particularly, the shareholder/directors and individual shareholders are less likely to be diversitied and may therefore be very risk averse, weighting possible downside losses
much more than equvalent potential gains.
The high discount rate of 17% per annum does contain a risk weighting to compensate for risk aversion but it may not be the same for all shareholders and may not consider going concern risks.
A further risk is that the board's estimates of outcomes are too optimistic and, in reality, the cash flows and probable outcomes may be optimistic and not the best estimates currentiy available.
Significant estimation uncertainties are not just in the development of the technology but also the forecast costs and revenues and the speed to market, not just of BB, but also of rival companies. Ihe
time horizon is up to 12 years into the future, which is a substantial period in any industry, but more so in a rapidly changing and developing industry like EV batteries.
Recommendation
There are significant risks in continuing with the solid-state battery R&D project. However, there are also significant risks with discontinuing solid-state R&D and leaving sole dependence on lithium-ion
battery production. Ihe current business model, comprising only lithium-ion battery production, appears to be
unsustainable. I his is partly because of the global scarcity of natural resources required to build lithium-ion EV batteries: and partly because the development ot a solid state battery by some company
globally, is likely to make the lithium-ion battery largely obsolete for EV once solid-state batteries become established as the industry norm.
The fact that BB made signiticant progress last year and has patented a number of process innovations encourages continuation with the R&D project. This does not however necessarily mean
continuation to become ultimately an independent solid-state battery producer (although this is possible). Alternatives exist over the next few years whereby, optimistically, BB could merge or be
acquired by a largerEV producer or EV battery producer, perhaps with a wIsh to acquire the BB patents gained to date and any future BB patents as the R&D continues. Ihis may give significant gains
to BB shareholders. More pessimistically, the R&D project could be subject to continual periodic review and it success becomes unlikely, then withdrawal from the project may be possible before the
£200m funding has al been spent
A recommend ation is theretore to continue with the R&D project, but subject to regular monitoring and review based on key time-based KPls and assessment of competitors projects (eg monitoring
their filed patents).
Pleuron
Pleuron is asking for less shares than PrivEqu and is providing the same amount of finance. So, at £f42.11, the price per share is higher.
The deal however has a key impact on corporate governance as four new directors are required, giving half the votes in board meetings. It is not clear why this is required, but retaining a casting vote
tor the CEO would retain board control for the existing shareholders, but only if they act together.
The four new directors may bring a range of new types of expertise.
In the year ending 30 June 2025, it is requiring supplies of solid-state batteries at a zero contribution. There may be some uncertainty as to how the contribution is calculated, but it could be that there
is no loss no gain from this one-year arrangement. However, if BB is at, or near, full capacity for solid-state battery production in the year ending 30 June 2025, then there may be an opportunity cost
from lost sales to other customers. This may mean not obtaining a foothold in the wider solid-state market.
In the long term, however, this arrangement may generate additional sales and contribution which might not be attained with the other two finance providers. Pleuron is incentivised to buy from BB as
it benefits the value of its shareholding. Further sales seem probable as the investment by Pleuron in BB is likely to be strategic, rather than just financial.
Lith-Ox
Lith-Ox is offering the highest price per share, at £44.44, and the lowest shareholding. However, the value of this deal depends on whether the options will be exercised.
More information is needed to evaluate the consequences of the £100 million loan, particularly the interest rate that would apply.
The options are currently out-of-the-money, but the long vesting period up to 2030 means that if the R&D and subsequent production are successful, the options are likely to become in-the-money
and exercised. There would then be further dilution of equity. On exercise, Lith-Ox's shareholding would increase by 250,000 shares, to 2.5 million, although an additional f12.5 million (250,000 x £50)
would be raised.
Valuing the options at their fair value (eg using Black Scholes Merton model) would give a better idea of the Lith-Ox proposition.
Overall, this proposition protects Lith-Ox from downside risk by using debt, whilst enabling it to benefit from upside potential with the options.
BB's operational risk is lowered by giving it access to a new supplier of Lithium.
Recommendation
The Lith-Ox proposition seems favourable as: it is least thre atening to corporate governance with the lowest shareholding, it provides the required finance and opens upa new source of supply for
lithium.
Natural capitals
The element of natural capitals is relevant to BB in its use of scare natural resources ot lithium and cobalt.
In incorporating the use of natural capitals into its business model BB should use and disclose the following key steps in the valuation process:
Quantity resource use
Understand how the resource use causes changes in the natural environment
Value the impacts on people associated with these changes in the natural environment
modern energy for all. Ensure there is heat, light and power for the whole planet, without
destroying the planet. (BB is a key producer of clean power)
11. Sustainable cities and communities - Make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe,
resilient and sustainable (reduction of admissions and reduction of the use of lithium-ion if the R&D solid state project is successful).
13.Climate action - Take urgent action to tackle climate change and its impacts (BB contributes to the production of zero emission vehicles).
The SDGs enable companies to report information on sustainable development performance using common indicators and shared sets of priorities.
The Global Reporting Initiative
The Global Reporting Initiative (GR) is a reporting framework that aims to develop transparency, accountability, reporting and sustainable development. Its vision is that reporting on economic,
environmental and social impact should become as routine and comparable as tinancial reporting. It also seeks to achieve as much standardisation as is possible in sustainability reporting by
organisations. The GRI's G4 Sustainability Reporting Standards, published in 2016, emphasise the need for organisations to disclose their most critical impact on the environment, society and the
economy.
For BB this is likely to mean disclosures relating to the risks of raw material usage (lithium and cobalt) but also the opportunities to reduce CO2 emissions by being an effective element of the supply
chain of its customers who produce zero emission Ev.
48 Page 118
ILA PLC
Listed stock exchange
operates lesuire parks UK, US and India
Visiting number down 5%, UK and US maintain vistome
India expect to grow
(1) Analyse the financial performance and position of lLA and each of its three leisure parks, using the information provided.
Share price fallen from £3.23 to £2.25
2020 2019
Extracts- key financial data at 30 June £m £m
Market value of non-Current assets 610 630
Loans-2.8% bank loans 2028 330 330
Share capital - £1 ordinary shares 80 80
Reserves 185 170
2020 2019
Extracts - statement of profit or loss for the years ended 30 June £m £m Op margin 17.9% 22.7%
Revenue - attractions (entry tickets) 139 145.25 % change -4.3%
Revenue -other 55.6 58.1 -4.3%
Variable costs -16.68 -17.43 -4.3%
Fixed costs -153 -153 0.0%
Operating profit 24.92 32.92 -24.3%
UK US Total
Analysis by leisure park for the year ended 30 June 2020 £m £m £m
Revenue -attractions (entry tickets) 60 63 16 139
Revenue - other 24 25.2 6.4 55.6
Variable costs -7.2 -7.56 -1.92 -16.68
Fixed costs -65 -66 -22 -153
Operating profit/(loss) 11.8 14.64 -1.52 24.92
Other operating data for the year ended 30 June 2020 UK US India
Average price per entry ticket £30 £35 £20
Number of attractions 100 80 50
Market value of non-current assets £220m £250m £140m Decline in number of visitors has reducted profitability and operating cashflow
Price 30 25 20
Vistors 2,000,000 1,800,000 800,000 4,600,000
Attractions 100 80 50
Revenue -attractions (entry tickets) 60,000,000 63,000,000 16,000,000 139,000,000
Revenue - other 24,000,000 25,200,000 6,400,000 55,600,000
84,000,000 88,200,000 22,400,000 194,600,000
Fixed costs -65,000,000 -66,000,000 -22,000,000 -153,000,000
Variable costs -7,200,000 -7,560,000 -1,920,000 -16,680,000
Operating profit/(loss) 11,800,000 14,640,000 -1,520,000 24,920,000
Fair value of PPE 220,000,000 250,000,000 140,000,000 610,000,000
Operating margin 14% 17% -7% 13%
Rev per attraction 42 49 28 42
Rev per attraction 840,000 1,102,500 448,000
ROCE 5.4% 5.9% -1.1% 4.1% Op marign/PPE
Controbution 76,800,000 80,640,000 20,480,000 177,920,000 fixed cost + operating margin
Industry factors
There are external risks to performance trom the industry. Ihis could be from a decline in the industry in terms of social tastes, in tavour of spending on other types of leisure activity. There is some
diversification of tastes across several differ cultures but there remains risk, even froma decline in one major park. Also, some culture changes may be international.
Conversely industry factors may come from increased competitiveness within the industry. This could be new entrants who may draw demand away from lLA.
Other factors could be increased costs, for example from health and safety regulations for the industry.
Financial position
ILA has high borrowing and the refore high financial gearing in relation to PPE (debt/PPE) at 54% (£330m/£610m) in 2020 and 52% (£330m/£630m) in 2019.
Gearing could also be calculated in market value terms at the debt/equity at 183% (£330m/{80m x £2.25) in 2020.
Alternatively expressed as debt/(debt + equity) at 64.7% (E330m/(80m x £2.25) + £330m)).
If share price falls further when earnings are announced, then market value based gearing will increase to an even higher level.
Interest cover is 2.7 times (f24.92m/(E330m x 2.8%) which appears reasonable based on existing debt levels and interest payments.
The high financial gearing makes profit after interest more volatile and risky. In combination with high operating gearing, profit is very sensitive to changes in revenues, which themselves are becoming
more volatile.
High borrowing also reduces debt capacity for further borrowing. This has already been demonstrated by ILA's inability to raise new debt on reasonable terms in the UK and the US.
The inability to borrow puts a strain on liquidity with the reduction in operating cash flows and the need tor new investment. Ihis reduces financial flexibility.
This may also create insolvency risk if sales continue to decline.
Other concerns include covenants on existing loans, which may restrict new borrowing but also, it breached, may require immediate payment out of cash that LA does not have and may not be able
to access.
Even if covenants are not breached, the existing loans become repayable in 2028, so a clear financial plan is needed if the bank will not roll over these loans.
Foreign exchange movements create a further source of volatility as, even if underlying prices and visitor volumes in the US and Indian parks remain constant, there may still be volatility in £ sterling
values.
(2) Evaluate the proposal to open a new leisure park in Japan, including its financing. Include supporting calculations and reasoned advice.
Japan - Leisure Park
Similar price to UK and US ticekts
1-Jul-22 open park
Pirce 4500 Yen
Initial investment 26,000,000 Yen 1-Apr-21
Strategy
This is a significant positive NPV, but the CEO admits that the torecasts are optimistic rather than neutral.
While the NPVs are positive using the management forecasts, there remain a number of concerns and risks with the Japanese project.
This is a new venture in an unknown geographical market. As such, the riskS and uncertainties relating to the forecasts are high. In this respect, the key risk appears to be the visitor numbers, as this is
the main revenue stream and other revenue streams are dependent on this.
While there is a working assumption that visitor numbers remain constant after the tirst three years, this does not mean that ticket prices or costs will remain the same. Both are likely to rise.
Particular risk issues are:
Validity of market research
Competitor analysis, including response of competitors to the ILA new market entrant
Human resources - new language and culture than existing parks mean may not be able to replicate existing business model. Significant local recruitment is needed.
Cost estimates are also at risk eg cost and/or time over-runs on initial building and FOREX risks.
Conclusion
There is a high positive NPV for the project which suggests acceptance on financial grounds. However, this conclusion is based on the working assumptions which have short-term uncertainty relating
to construction costs, medium-term uncertainty over the first three years' revenues and even greater uncertainty in terms of longer-term projections and business sustainability.
Wider considerations such as liquicdity and risk also need to be considered given the inability of ILA to access finance. This is particularly the case if costs overrun on the construction project
To reduce uncertainty, the robustness of the assumptions need to be stress tested with sensitivity analysis and more market research. Liquidity risk could also be reduced by leaving the excess
¥6,000m borrowing on deposit until the Japanese park construction is completed in case there are over-runs. Only once construction is complete, should it be considered spending the money on
developing the Indian park.
Assuming turther marketing research results giving assurance over the working assumptions, the recommendation is to accept the project.
Assurance on Cashflow
Loan from bank
Review documentation trom the bank and legal documentation to determine the terms of the
loan and the future cash flow interest and principal repayments.
Evaluate whether the amount of the loan should be sutticient to fund the expansion and
permit ILA to pay its other debts as they fall due
Starting costs
Review statting cost fore casts tor consistency with projected number of visitors and statting
requirements at other parks.
Review salary increases expected over time based on assumptions of wage increases and
statting numbers. Other parks may provide a benchmark.
Evaluate assumptions by comparing with local employment law, including minimum wage
requirements.
Other costs
Review whether all other cash costs have been included at reasonable amounts (eg
maintenance, asset replacements, asset disposals, utilities, training, health and safety,.
administration, incremental central costs).
48 Page 120
Tax
Review for consistency with forecast taxable profit and Japanese corporate tax rates.
Sensitivity analysis
Review forecast revenues and costs for sensitivity to changes in key assumptions.
Analytical procedures
Review key margins and ratios tor reasonableness
Review daily, weekly, monthly patterns of forecast visitor numbers against experience and
benchmarks elsewhere (internal and external).
Hedging effectiveness
The currency forward hedge attempts to reduce foreign currency risk arising from ¥6,000m of the yen loan in relation to the f which is the functional currency. In hedging this relationship, it would be
largely efective based on the illustrative data. I he yen has strengthened, increasing the *6,000m element of loan liability by £3.85m (see below) but there has been a corresponding increase in the
fair value of the forward contract which has become a financial asset with a fair value of t3./3m, creating a gain of the same amount. Ihere is an ineftective element of t0.12m, but this is small.
The question arises as to whether the correct currency relationship has been hedged. The ¥6,000m excess element of the loan is being invested in India, not in the UK, so the production director is
arguing that this should be the hedge (yen/rupee). This argument has some merit if we are matching currencies on a transaction by transaction basis (see below).
However, a weakness of the above analysis is that it attempts to hedge individual transactions. A better approach would be to consider the net movements and balances on all ILAs foreign currency
activities and then attempt to hedge these. Given that no previous activities have been in Japan, a no hedging policy would leave open the yen exposure for the full ¥32,000m from the date of
receiving the loan, up to the commencement of expenditure on construction or receipts from revenues.
The fair value of the currency forward contract has increased from nil at inception to an asset of £3.73m (gain)
ILA has constructeda currency hedge by entering into the currency forward agreement and the gains/losses on the forward should oftset the majority of any future losses/gains on the loan from
movemets in the t/yen foreign exchange rate.
ILA measures its loan liability using the closing exchange rate and the currency forward is a derivative measured at fair value through profit or loss (FVTPL). As a result, the fair value movement match
under normal IFRS 9 measurement rule and there is no accounting mismatch. Hedge accounting is not therefore required for the gains and losses on the hedged item and hedged instrument to be
reflected in the statement of profit or loss in the same period.
The journal entries to recognise the currency forward are:
(3) Set out the key assurance procedures to be carried out by Perkins when assessing the reasonableness of each of the torecast cash receipts and payments and the underlying assumptions. lgnore
ethical issues.
(4) In respect of the proposed assurance engagement, including the comments by the chief executive, Harold (Exhibit 4):
Set out any ethical implications for Perkins and Harold.
Recommend actions that Perkins should take.
(5) With respect to the proposed yen loan and currency forward contract (Exhibit 5):
Explain the foreign currency risk on the ¥32,000 million loan. Evaluate the extent to which the forward contract hedges the risk and respond to the comments of the production director.
Using the illustrative data, set out and explain the financial reporting treatment of these transactions in the financial statements of ILA for the year ending 30 June 2021.
48 Inclass Page 121
Share price
Jun-20 3.23
Jun-21 2.25
1 13
2 8
3 8
4 7
5 8
44
The ROCE for UK and US are inline and show the stable market
India however is negative as we made a loss for the year
US seems to be doing better operating margin wise than UK as this is due to smaller fixed costs
A reason behind this could be valid
Variable costs seem to be of simialr split ie 90/10%
Revenue per attaraction is £42 compared to £49 were as the India is hlaf this at 20
revenue per attraction seems to also be signicantly less
As the UK and US are mature makets it is important that they take 10/15 years to do so
ie opeing 2016
£20 price
Attrition revenue not enough in India
Jun-20 Apr-21 2023
Amount per annum
Japan NPV ¥m
Revenue - attractions 10,000
Revenue- other 4,000
Variable costs -1,200
Incremental fixed costs -8,450
4,350
Investment -26,000
PV perp @ 10% 43500
DF 0.91 0.83
- 23,636.36 35,950.41
NPV 12,314.05
48 Inclass Page 122
Number of attractions 70
Assumed exchange rate £1 ¥130
Discount rate required 10% pa
Average price per entry ticket Y4,500
Benefits
generates a sign NPV 12.3bn ten
will appease investory who are concerned at firms poor results
Risk
Figures are optimisic
no certainty of success - culture acceptence
Significant investment requred and exit strategy are issue
Ability to contruct in 15m
Yen devlaution
Fin risk
Interest paybale excesssive 36bn x 2.25% = 6.2m
breach esiting converants
Puntive collerail on assets and revenue and floating charges
Recommediation
additonal nalaysis
produce a more realise appriasla - director not sure
apply stress tests s
Situation analysis and senstivty anaylsis
Unless the value can be veriffed with certainy I would reject due to financial risk
Invest in India through with flexible pricing rather than new Japan
Loan
Yen 32,000
40 years term
Investment in Japan 26,000
Improve India 6,000
Interest 2.25% 720
6m loan
Exchange rate
1-Apr-21 130
30-Jun-21 120
Hedge at start 4
Gain - 0.1162
The hedge howeve overs this and only a loss 116 is recognised
The loan is converted to £ from Yen at the year end Rate - IAS 21
As the £ has depreciated agaisnt the Yen by 10 during 3 months the fair value of 6m element is hedged
therefore ex change rate loss 3.85m
The FV of forward from Nil to incept ie 3.73 m
By entering into forward agains the gain.loss on forward offset the loss on the loan
the movements being FX changes
Under IFRS 9 they are matches and measurement rule and there is no accounting mismatch
Hedge accounting is not required for gain on loss on hedge as hedge instrsutment to be
reflected in the statement of profit or loss in the same period.
The journal entries to recognise the currency forward are:
26m loan
Loan value at start 200.00
Loan at YE 216.67
Gain/loss - 16.67
Additionally, there will be a further unhedged foreign currency exchange loss of £16.667m
This will be a foreign exchange loss on monetary liabilities recognised
Producton director
Says should be REUPEE's
we would need to see the contracts that would be could be in multiple currencly
45 Inclass Page 123
Operational Issues
FX Risk
Finance expansion
Exhibit 1
High quailty goods
Fresh goods
Ingreidents are perishable
Soup - 10 days use If we predict this wrong then can be disregarded
Others 1 year life then under product they will miss out on sales
88 Porducts
Don’t make products for anyone else
Don’t sell to UK directly - retailers do this
up market retailers - ie low end could be option
Summary
Niche mani
Seek to expand international and fixed domestic issue
Financial performance and luquidity issues
we can view location to nearest store and work out again more acuratly where are sales are coming form which areas
We should be capturing how many products are purchased and get the most views, clicks or downloaded receipts on the website
we need to look at which 88 products are used and why
if the types of products are not being predicted correcly
then we have issue of substitute for each other
The issue with perishable goods is that they need to be reviewed daily as they need to get to customers intime
so that they can be used before 10 days
A georgpraical spread of sales is importatn as lead times for items away from factory take longer to deliver therefore
may not sell as much fresh perishable goods
Unpredictable volatility based on current data availability is an issue
for eample sales data no follow pattnern on historic
given that yearly sales are similar when we look at weeks no patterns can be viewed and unpredictable
we need information quickly to make judgement calls rather than monthly
need customer ie retailers and cosumers
Customer - ie retailers
What promitions are they running
what other goods simialr to ours are they selling
info from customers as part of CRM
understanding of makret they work in and behave
how they price products simialr to ours and what future prices are like
Consumers
wesbite data, social media and other data explained
For our social media we can run poles for new products
get customers to rank our goods
compare the ages of people using
ask for the reasons why people like our goods
download of receipts and which is more popular
Data analytics
Historic data may be useful. eg customers may be willing to release data on SSS product sales collected by their
bar codes. This could then be collected for all customers to establish a big data set, to which data analytics could
be applied to analyse point of sale information on SSS products (timing, amounts purchased, price charged).
More indirectly, data relating to the usage by customers of the SSS website and social media may be usefully
analysed. Increased activity (in terms of the number of hits) may be lead indicator for an increase in future sales.
More specifically, the hits on the web page for each type of product may indicate increased sales for that product
in the near future. Ihere needs to be predictable patterns in the link between the number ot hits and future sales
and the lag between them. Algorithms applied to this big data may be able to discern such patterns to provide
better forecasts of sales.
This internal data could be combined with external data to help predict demand.
The number of hits on the SSS website from individual consumers may give some clues. Retailers could be
informed it demand predictions were to be related to a specific geographical area. Ihe downloading of discount
vouchers may be a particular feature as retailers near where the consumers live could be warned of an increase in
expected demand based on the number of vouchers downloaded in the local area.
SSS could more actively use social media to predict consumer behaviour. For example, their use of blogs, vlogs,
twitter feeds etc. SoCial media analytics allows companies to measure quantitatrve metrics such as the number of
times its Facebook account has been 'liked' but also capture qualitative data. For example, key words posted by
customers about the organisation's products can be used to perform 'sentiment analysis' which would allow SSS
to respond to relevant activty and trends.
More general external data could also be used, such as weather predictions if there is an established link between
types of weather and demand for SsS products. Also any popular cooking programmes on IV may produce a
short term surge in demand which could be analysed based on historic data.
demand by
perishable goods - correct - no subsitues
demand of non perishable goods
georppahica location
awareness of tastes and consumption
demographics
pages popularity
occupacty do our goods sell do we sell to high end indivualds
externalietes
global demand - stock pile
customer recommedations and codes
weather oullok
seasonlity
France
Sell directly to customers
3rd party couries made in UK
Min order EURO 60
20% higher prices Price 60.00
Fixed delviery 10 EUOR Euro UK price 50.00
Actually cost 18 EURO delivery take /1.2 41.67
gradually building to french retailers add the diverly 8.33
3m EURO investment
Geographical Loss on delivery
Belief is not enough Diff in delivery 8.00
45 Inclass Page 125
Risk
We ususlly sell to retailer and have an undestanding relationhip with them
we are not aware of actually what customers want therefore can not
know what how much to produce for the french market
the min order seems high for individuals who want to purchase this and can
be off putting total min spend is 70 euro for suaces and spreads
Was the adversting a success in the magazin
What was the market like
Does the free sampling mean that customers want the goods or is it because it is free
it seems we have not tested and tried to use the above model. We are potentially going to
fast too quickly therefoe failure seems more likely as we don’t know the market as
well as we think we do.
Network of retailers
benefits
We undeerstand retailering and have expertise in this are
Can build a foothold in the market and copy the UK model which has proven to be
successful
large market with potentailly moree customers
Risk
We FX risk this is due to flucations of euro and can impacct our margin
we may expierence longer credit terms
the 10 days perishable goods may not last as long as they could in the UK
this will result in more luqidity issues for the bussiness
as cash is tied up in debtors
gaining the contract with retailer may take longer than expected
losses might arise because of this
We would need to delvier in our vans and this again same issues with the UK market
in terms of georgraphical sales
Recommedaition
Despite the risk of retailers there they seem to be perfered choice and
current operations
Financing product
Arragement 1
Loan EURO € 3,000,000
Mach 2020
zero coupon
redeemable € 3,510,000
Mar-24
4 years
take 3.51/3 ^ -(1/4) 0.9615094003919
Less 1 3.85%
Interest charge € 115,472
6 months payment € 57,736
Average 6 m rate rate 1.19 £ 48,518
Arragement 2
Currencey swap
4 year loan 3.50%
2,500,000
Interest charge 87,500
Cover into today rate 1.2 £3,000,000 1.0192
1.0192
French bank -1.9%
currency swap 3.80% 0.019
3,000,000
Interest charge 114,000
6 months payment x average rate 1.19 95,798
Recomndation
Neither should obained until firm is convicend that the project will last 4 years
thus defer acquistion of debt until a time which it becomes cleart
a firm should avoid the swap due to credit risk
as the cost is marginal
Canadian Market
Dollar $
new factory 34,000,000
Has relationhip with 300 supermket
Purchase 4,500,000
WACCC 10%
Exchange rate 1.7
this appreciate against £ 1%
Benefits
Expansion into the new market where population is more receptive to UK brands
Potential follow on oppurtines into US and areas
Logics are no longer an issue with couries
locating in canda will avoid trade barries
Risk
high cost of capital lead to signicant dadmage to firms value if market rejects the new brand
WACC might no be accurate and need to be reviewed
We might be selling the machinery or produce on licence for other firms
We can be over reliant on Flom Inc who indicate they will acqure 4.5m (1/3) of revenue
Recommediation
NPV genraltes no vlaue for investors , I would proceed with opportunity
Financing
20 m needed
IPO
New shares 315,000
Issue 20,000,000
Share price 63
Director/ShareholderBoard role Shareholding (number of ordinary E1
Carol Naylor CEO 400,000 30%
Alison Rimmer FD 400,000 30%
Craig Naylor MD 200,000 15%
New shares 315,000 24%
1,315,000
Private equity
New shares 340,000
Issue 20,000,000
Director/ShareholderBoard role Shareholding (number of ordinary E1
Carol Naylor CEO 400,000 30%
Alison Rimmer FD 400,000 30%
Craig Naylor MD 200,000 15%
Private equity 340,000 25%
1,340,000
They have right NED
this might be a good thing
Balanced Board
NED bring in different insight
Ethical issues
Transparency issues as not to tell them
£1,800 of goods
Argoc Inc
Listed NYE stock exchange
Operates in Europe Asia and America
New board Oct 2020
GPM
Farm Vehicles 50% 50% 50%
Farm Equipment 20% 20% 20%
Small componets 25% 25% 25%
36% 29% 32%
The idea of the chief executive enhances the degree of specialisation at the lower level of tractor engines, rather than only at the level of complete vehicles.
This tends to enhance some of the above benefits in, for example, giving greater economies of scale and specialisation in production.
However, it also creates greater costs of transport for internal supply chains.
There are also greater problems of internal communication and co-ordination in making parts to a vehicle in different factories in different locations.
It may be possible to standardise production of engines for different vehicles (eg same engine in a small and mid-size tractor). This could give greater production efticiencies from even longer
production runs for engines.
Downstream supply chain - customer order mgnt, inventory mgn, outbound logistics and customer service
(a) Level production and sales
Production levelling involves smoothing production output over the year which assists production planning. However, unless there are wide variations in inventory levels (with associated costs) then
demand levelling and distribution levelling in the downstream supply chain need to be co0-ordinated with production levelling.
Where production is global (eg for vehicles) then production levelling can be focussed on perhaps only one factory. Where production of the same product is at several sites (eg for farm equipment
and components) then production levelling will need to be coordinated with demand in each area.
Key benefits from level production include:
Maximising plant utilisation
Facilitating predictability of supply requirements for suppliers
Smoothing labour requirements which may mean lower overtime and fewer short-term stafting premiums being paid.
With ideal co-ordination between production and distribution output will be shipped out to customers on the day of production, thereby minimising inventory held by Agroc.
At the other extreme, if production is not smoothed, then Agroc's factories may reach capacity in trying to meet demand in the peak season. Similarly, there may be unutilised capacity in the low
season. Both of these create inefticient use of Agroc s assets.
f production is level, then requirements for pats and components from suppliers are also likely to be level, meaning there is greater predictability of Agrocs needs from suppliers which is enhanced
by the new technology platform but may reduce the benefits of such a platform given the predictability of the level requirements.
Similarly, requirements for labour are more level, thereby reducing overtime payments in the high season or reduced working hours in the low season. Labour recrurtment is also tacilitated.
However, in the absence of demand levelling the counterpart of production levelling is uneven inventory levels.
Demand levelling involves caretul management of the sales pipeline and good relations with dealer customers. A key problem for Agroc in doing this is that it operates in an industry where demand is
seasonal.
As Agroc operates in both the Northern and Southern hemispheres, there may be a partial offset of seasonality for low and high season demand in the agriculture industry. This may help demand
smoothing a little. Nevertheless, there appears to be a significant seasonality issue.
Incentivising dealer customers to buy out of season is key to success. A key issue for dealer customers is that if delivery of goods is to be made out of season, then the period before sale may be
signiticant. Dealer customers therefore need to be incentivised if inventory holdings are to be shitted down the supply chain.
The finance director's proposal aims to share the inventory holding costs with dealers by Agroc incurring the financial cost of holding inventories through an interest free loan. The marketing director
goes further by proposing that Agroc takes on the risks of unsold inventory by offering a 90-day right of return.
he direct tinancial cost of Agroc making loans to customers is the need to borrow to finance the loans. Unless the terms of the loans taken out by Agroc match those of the loans to dealers (period,
interest rate, fixed/variable, currency) then there is a potential mismatch risk where costs may be greater than expected if financial market conditions change unexpectedly.
For dealers, they still have the cost of inventory storage and risk of damage, but they benefit from having inventories always available to meet their customer needs. Indeed, dealers may in turn
provide incentives to their own customers (tarmers) to make purchases out of season to shift inventory storage costs further down the supply chain.
There is an additional bad debt risk to Agroc from this policy. Most customers are SMEs and if they are holding inventories from Agroc and become insolvent then Agroc may not be able to recover
erther the sums due on the outstanding loans or the products supplied.
Marketing director
The marketing director goes further by proposing that Agroc takes on the risks of unsold inventory by offering a 90-day right of return. This will provide greater incentives for dealer customers to make
more purchases out ot season and enhance the probability of level monthly sales over the year.
However, with the marketing director's suggestion, there may be the incentive for dealers to over-order and hold excessive inventories to offer more choice to their customers. However, this shifts the
costs and risks of returns onto Agroc (eg damaged goods, disputed returns, transport costs).
If the dealer is unable to sell the tractor before 30 September 2022 then Agroc can take credit for interest up to that date being $50,000 (1.1)9/12- 1)- $3,705
Sold $ 55,000 1.1 $ 50,000 even if interest free would have to record entry
1.1 (rate) x Power 9/12 0.074
$ 3,704.97
Thus, at 30 September 2022 the entries are:
Dr Loan financial asset $3,705
Cr Interest income $3,705
If the dealer is able to sell the tractor before 30 September 2022 then Agroc can take credit for interest income up to the date of that sale. Agroc would also recognise a gain on the settlement of the
loan asset equal to the unaccrued interest income at that date. Ihe total of the interest income recognised and the gain would be $5,000.
During the 90-day right of return period, no interest income is recognised as (per IFRS 15 para 65) as no contract asset is recognised.
If the tractor is sold by the dealer or the 90-day period elapses without a return, then the sale and interest income can be recognised as above.
50 Page 130
Zatter PlC
London stock exchange
FFF provided advice and assurance service
£'000
Minix- summary statement of profit or loss for year ended 30 September 2020
Revenue 14,000
Cost of sales -4,500
Depreciation and amortisation -500
Other operating costs -4,000
Operating profit 5,000
Finance costs -1,200
Profit before tax 3,800
Taxation 20% -760
Profit after tax 3,040
Assumptions
Prosal 1 Oct 2021
Depn increase 250,000 per annum then consent after 3 years
Captial expendire 1m Sept 2021 and increase 250 and consent after 3 year
Depn tax allowable
tax rate 20%
WACC 10%
No working capital needed
Recommedation
Candidates can recommend any of the three proposals it supported by judgements based on facts from the scenario or likely extensions of those facts (eg the nature of the contractual term
shareholder agreement).
Development costs
The capitalisation of development costs would have consequences for accounting numbers but may also affect the FCF estimates derived from the underlying issues.
It may also question the integrity, judgement and optimism of Minix management if they believe that research/development projects will be successful when the auditors do not. This may call into
question otherfigures in the financial statements and other data (retrospective and prospective) provided by Minix directors into question.
Due diligence procedures should include:
Examine board minutes and correspondence with auditors to understand the nature of the disagreement and the basis on which the auditors believed that the development costs should be written
off to profit or loss.
Ascertain the nature of the development projects and the amounts comprising the f1.1 million in question.
Check whether there have been any changes (good or bad) on the development projects since the audit report was issued.
Check other development projects that have been capitalised in the past and assess whether this has been appropriate with hindsight.
With the agreement of Minix directors, speak to the auditors.
51 Page 132
LPH
London stock exchange
Investment in specialistasset for hire
On 1 July 2022 construction equipment
New head of tech and imprve asset management and revenue feneration
May 2020 new digital info system
7% market sahre
top 5 companies make up 30%
60% is UK generated
Busines model
90% hire contract short term 1 - 3 weeks
Owns equipment 6 years
Maintence cost and damage
early disposal
90% order in 24 hours
180 depots in UK and Euorpe
5 new depost opened YE 30 June 2021 cost 5m
Summary statements of profit or loss for the years ended 30 June 2021 2020
Draft Final
£m £m change % change
Revenue 355 330 25.00 7.6%
Cost of sales -162 -151 - 11.00 7.3%
Gross profit 193 179 14.00 7.8%
Distribution and administration costs -164 -153 - 11.00 7.2%
Operating profit 29 26 3.00 11.5%
Finance costs -4 -2 - 2.00 100.0%
Profit before tax 25 24 1.00 4.2%
Tax -5 -5 - 0.0%
Profit for the year 20 19 1.00 5.3%
2021 2020
Other financial data £m £m change % change
EBITDA 70 62 8.00 13%
Depreciation 41 36 5.00 14%
Additions to equipment for hire:
New equipment for expansion
(including specialist assets) 34 6 28.00 467%
Replacement equipment 37 39 - 2.00 -5%
Additions to other PPE (including new depots) 7 0 7.00
Net debt 86 61 25.00 41%
Directors comments
success increase in profit new specilist assets
generated extra 5.6m
800 new customers
At f41m for 2021, depreciation is a key cost of asset ownership and use. This is largely a fixed cost and makes the profit sensitive to changes in the level of activity through operating gearing.
Return on assets
While profit has increased in absolute terms in 2021 compared with 2020, there has been increased investment in more equipment in 2021 and therefore an expansion of the asset base available to
generate revenue.
The total CAPEX in the year was £78m. While some of this amount was tor replacement of assets, there was also new investment in specialised equipment for hire of £30m and new depots of £Sm.
The ROCE decreased from 9.5% to 8.9% showing that, although profit increased, it did not increase by as much as the asset base. The % return on assets therefore fell. It may however be that this
reduction is not a reasonable measure of pertormance as:
it may take time for the new business line relating to specialist equipment to gain traction and generate protit. So, while ROCE may tall initially, it may rise again once the new business line is more
established.
Some of the assets (eg the depots) may have been purchased during the year and so have not had a full 12 months to generate profit. Nevertheless, all these assets would be fully reflected in the
statement of financial position.
ROCE is considered more in the next requirement.
(ii) Utilisation
Utilisation is a key measure of the efticiency with which assets are being used which is related to the return they make in terms of ROCE
LPH appears to measure physical utilisation of assets based on time. It could more beneficially be measured in terms of value. ie the revenue that has been generated compared with the revenue that
could have been generated. I his gives a greater weighting to the utilisation of more valuable assets.
Utilisation is however a metric that can be used not just at company level but at all levels down to each depot and even each individual piece of equipment. As such, it is a measure of how far the
business is 'making the assets sweat.
It also provides key management information which is appropriate at a monthly level in a range of key management decisions. Poor utilisation of individual assets may indicate:
a shift in customer demand
an inappropriate purchase
purchase of an excessive quantity of a given asset
the need to sell the asset
wrongly located assets.
Conversely, very high utilisation may suggest that more of a given item of equipment needs to be purchased to ensure it is available to satisty customer demand.
A problem may be that utilisation may depend on a range of factors that are not easily identity (eg over/under pricing). However, it could enable appropriate questions to be asked by the board.
Ameasure of asset utilisation at a granular level (eg per depot or equipment type) is therefore likely to be an appropriate metric to report to the board on a monthly basis.
Recommendation
Assessing monthly performance depot level seems to be the most appropriate as it links to organisational structure and operational management decision making (depot manager) and therefore
metrics may not only measure and control at board level, but also incentivise at depot level.
Loan 27,073.57
Loan 59,098.22
Asset
To 30 June Cost Depn Acc depn NBV
2023 40,000,000 6,000,000 6,000,000 34,000,000
2024 40,000,000 6,000,000 12,000,000 28,000,000
2025 40,000,000 6,000,000 18,000,000 22,000,000
2026 40,000,000 6,000,000 24,000,000 16,000,000
2027 40,000,000 6,000,000 30,000,000 10,000,000
2028 40,000,000 6,000,000 36,000,000 4,000,000
Liab (all year) 40,000,000
51 Page 134
Lease-buy decision
Value of tax Value of tax
Time Lease rental releif DF 4 % CF PV relief WDA
0 -8,000 1.000 -8,000 -8,000
1 -8,000 -1,600 0.962 -6,400 -6,154 6m x 20%
2 -8,000 -1,600 0.925 -6,400 -5,917 85% of above
3 -8,000 -1,600 0.889 -6,400 -5,690
4 -8,000 -1,600 0.855 -6,400 -5,471
5 -8,000 -1,600 0.822 -6,400 -5,260
6 0 -1,600 2,749,632 0.790 1,600 1,265
-9,600 NPV of 6 year lease -38,400 -35,227
Lease 1
PVFLP at 5% 24,015.60 (£8400k x (AF2yrs + 1) AF % yrs =1.859+1 2.859 x 8000
Lease 2
PVFLP at 5% 25,731.00 (£9000k x (AF2yrs + 1) AF % yrs-1.859+1 2.859 x 9000
Lease-buy decision
Lease 1 - 8,400
Lease 2 - 9,000
Value of tax
Time Lease rental releif DF 4 % CF PV
0 -8,400 1.0000 -8,400 -8,400
1 -8,400 -1,680 0.9615 -6,720 -6,462
2 -8,400 -1,680 0.9246 -6,720 -6,213
3 -9,000 -1,800 0.8890 -7,200 -6,401
4 -9,000 -1,800 0.8548 -7,200 -6,155
5 -9,000 -1,800 0.8219 -7,200 -5,918
6 0 -1,800 2,749,632 0.7903 1,800 1,423
-10,560 NPV of 2 lease -41,640 -38,125
51 Page 135
Lease-buy decision
Cost 40,000,000
After tax borrowing rate 5%(1-T)-4%
Disposal value 4,000,000
Tax rate 0.2
WDA 0.15
Working assumptions
WACC 10%
Borrow rate 5% discoutned
tax 20% end of period
Depn straight line
Purchase of equip 15% reducing balance capital allowances
except in final year
different TWDV and dispal - balance allowance or balance charge
Sixyear lease
Initial recognition of the asset (the right of use of the construction equipment) and the lease liability in accordance with IFRS 16 is the present value of the future lease payments (PVFLP).
The assets are recognised as PPE and the PVFLP is written off as depreciation over shorter of the lease term (six years) and the useful life (also six-years) on a straight-line basis (£7,105,969 pa) if
periods benefit equally from the assets' use.
The liability is amortised using the interest rate implicit in the lease or the incremental borrow rate. LPH has chosen the latter (at 5% pa) as its accounting policy. IFRS 16 requires the total finance
charge to be allocated to each accounting period to give a constant periodic rate of charge.
The lease liability reduces each year by the difference between the lease rental payment and the finance charge.
The SPL is charged with the depreciation on the asset and the finance charge on the liability. Overall, the amount recognised through profit or loss is the same as the sum of the lease rentals of E48m.
Leasing
Leasing will reduce the need to tind the initial f40m cash in July 2022. Ihe cash cost will be spread, enabling the new equipment have time to generate revenue for hiring to customers to help pay the
lease rentals. With leasing, the timing of costs is therefore more closely matched with cash intlows from revenue streams, which aids liquidity.
The implicit rate of interest in the lease may be lower than a bank loan, although this needs to be ascertained.
Similarly, there may be a difference in the tax treatment of a lease, but this may be a benetit or a cost according to the tax jurisdiction.
Lease rentals need to be capitalised in accordance with lFRS 16. However, the amount of the capitalised lease liability is likely to be lower than the borrowing required to purchase the equipment. This
is particularly true for shorter leases. Ihis may be an advantage in avoidinga breach of the debt covenant based on gearing.
The lease contract may include maintenance costs or require the lessee to maintain the asset. If maintenance costs are incurred by the lessor, then the lease rentals will be higher, but it avoids
uncertainty. With LPH's mechanical equipment, this may be an advantage
A key assumption is that the LPH board has already decided to acquire the construction equipment. t is therefore presumably contident that the construction equipment will make a profit irrespective
of the method of finance. Ihe viability of the acquisition of the construction equipment is not therefore in question. Ihe Issue is therefore which of the three methods of ftinancing the construction
equipment is preterable.
Using the net of tax borrowing interest rate as the discount rate, this shows the following present values of financing cash flows.
In pure financial terms, using the working assumptions, the purchase and borrow decision gives the lowest after tax PV and is therefore preferred if assessed on this basis alone.
However, other tactors need to be considered. It the asset is still serviceable and its condition acceptable to customers after six years, the ownership of the asset can be extended. Extensions of the
lease term may or may not be negotiated with the lessor with the leasing options, but this Is uncertain and is likely to have greater cost than extending ownership
Comparing the 6-year lease with the two 3-year leases, while the 6-year lease has a lower PV cost there are three advantages to the two 3-year leases:
There is an exit route atter three years (unless there is a prior contractual commitment), so it the construction equipment is not hiring out as successtully as expected, then the second lease need not
be entered into.
Ihe second lease is tor brand new construction equipment which may be technologically or aesthetically superior to the construction equipment used in the first three years and in the six-year
lease.
As the two leases are shorter than the six-year lease, the lease liability recognised in the financial statements is lower and so gearing is lower. This may be important for complying with the loan
covenant
T.Soft is offering SaaS (software as a service) to LPH. SaaS solutions employ internet technology and remote servers, enabling users to access software online from anywhere, using a device with an
internet connection. Ihe sottware does not need to be installed on hardware in the company's offices.
The RFID tracking device enables the assets over £3,000 to be located and their movements recorded providing useful management information to LPH and its customers.
Asset management
Asset management is the process of making best use oft an organisation's assets to promote their efticient use and increase the returns generated from the asset.
The tracking of assets enables equipment meeting customers' specification to be identified and located as soon as a customer order is made. Ihe software and tracking improves logistics, enabling
the most appropriate asset, in the closest location to be delivered to the customer to reduce lead times and transport costs.
Once delivered to the customer, the use and movement of the asset can be traced recording valuable management information about how and where the asset is being used by the customer.
There is also a benefit to the asset management of the customer who can trace the LPH asset during the hire period to make best use it.
Upon completion of the hire period, information about the location of the asset and possibly the next customer to use the asset can be accessed. This can help determine which depot to return the
asset to for storage or whether to transter it directly to the next customer.
Operating efficiencies can therefore be achieved, such as speeding up drop-off and pick-up (ie turnaround times) which may reduce the associated operating costs and improve customer experience.
Inventories of assets and their locations can also be maintained to ensure there is geographical balance of each type of asset to most efficiently meet future customer demands.
There may also be a more general improvement in customer experience in using real time data to enable customers to track hired equipment and reduce the likelihood of equipment being lost or
wrongly located.
Iracking asset usage may also enable maintenance to be carried out by LPH at the time of lowest demand so the impact on utilisation is minimised.
The life-cycle history of each asset can also be ascertained and the decision to replace early or extend useful lives can be informed by evidence.
Revenue generation
For LPH, the use of equipment in terms of utilisation is directly linked to revenue generation. Hire revenues are generated by ensuring the assets are available for customers' use at the right time and
location.
Management information about the location and use of equipment will facilitate awareness of the patterns of availability and use of each type of asset. This will identify under and over stocking of each
type of equipment and help optimise the equipment porttolio to meet customer needs. or example, the number of instances when customer orders cannot be satistied due to lack of availability of
appropriate assets can be minimised.
Having assets in the best locations due to tracking may also shorten lead times to meet urgent customer demands and increase customer satistaction. Ensuring that assets are in the possession of
customers means hiring revenues are being generated.
Cross depot communication may also be improved. Depot managers may have knowledge of local customer needs but may be unaware of revenue generating opportunities outside their
geographical region. Asset availability at the company level can be enhanced by co-operation between depots through sharing information via use of the dashboard. Ihe centralised availability of the
same real time and historic data enables better internal communications and better and more consistent communications with customers.
Administration of revenue is also facilitated by tracking assets' use and location to support invoicing and provide evidence of the cut-off on the asset return date if there is a dispute.
A centralised sales database can be accumulated over time for customer relationship management (CRM) and marketing, based on knowledge of past customer use.
52 Page 136
Tallum PLC
3 subs
make ICM chips
Table 1 above translates the net operating cash inflows provided in the four currencies into t sterling using the
year-end exchange rates provided to bring them to a common currency basis. Ihe year-end exchange rate is not
Ideal as the transactions occurred over the year, but t provides a reasonable apPproximation for management
intormation purposes.
The key issue is that the company generates a signiticant amount of net operating cash tlows at £1,200 million pa.
This is a ratio of 0.20 (operating cash flows divided by revenue) on the revenue of f6,000 million. There are a
number ot payments to be made from these operating net cash intlows including: investment cash tlows (CAPEX;
financing cash flows (interest and repayment of debt), tax, dividends. Nevertheless, there is a substantial surplus
for the year. The cash and cash equivalents balance of f87 million reflects the fact that signiticant net cash inflows
are being generated, but there are substantial outflows.
Nevertheless, whilst there is currently strong growth in the semiconductors industry. there is an historic pattern of
varability and hence there is a need to manage variation in cash flows within years and between years.
This is not just to maintain liquidity, but also to optimise the use of surplus cash to generate returms for
shareholders.
Net operating cash inflows (per month)
Currency Average Standard deviation Coefficent of variation
British pounds (f'000) 40,000 19,596 0.49
Euro (E000) 25,000 22,000 0.8
Malaysian ringgit (RM'000) 15,000 30,000 0.4
US dollars (USSO00) 20,000 16,444 0.63
100,000
The standard deviations (SD) shown in the table produced by the lallam's data analytics team gives absolute
values. Ihey cannot therefore be directly compared with each other to give a relative assessment of risk, as the
scale of the amounts ditfers. Clearly, they are also in ditferent currencies.
The coefficient of variation relates the SD to its absolute value and is therefore comparable between the divisions
to compare relative risk. Higher values of the coefficient of variation suggest a greater dispersion in the data
adjusting for absolute size.
Once this scaling is considered then Malaysian cash flows have the lowest coefficient of variation and therefore the
lowest relative dispersion.
If the four currencies are translated to fs then the absolute numbers of the means and SDs will change, but this
does not affect the coefficient of variation which shows the relative variability of each division, as it merely scales
the data. This is demonstrated below with the table translated to fs as the common currency:
t can be seen from the above tables that the euro currency cash generation has the highest relative volatility, but
all the divisions are experienCing a reasonable degree of variation in monthly net operating cash flows based on
the SD.
In terms of risk, if the cash flows of each division are approximately normally distributed, then there is a probability
of approximately 16% of them talling more than one SD below the mean in any one month.
However, the above figures are translated at constant year end exchange rates. Currency tluctuations within the
year are an additional source of cash flow uncertainty when the SD in ts equivalent may change over the year from
currency variations within the year. Ihis adds to the variations in the original cash tlows in the underlying
currencies.
The individual divisions' cash flows show fairly high SDs. However, in considering the overall variation for the
company, the covariance between divisional flows needs to be considered. A low, or negative, covariance would
reduce overall volatility of net operating cash tlows tor the company as a whole.
Conversely, it the SDs are highly correlated then there is a significant risk at company-wide level as there is a high
covariance which means they will move together and not be compensated by ditterent random movements or by
movements in opposing directions. The SDs may be highly correlated if there are common factors affecting all
divisions, such as a global recession or a technological change in the semiconductor industry.
For the company as a whole, it is unlikely that the SDs are highly correlated if the movements are random and
independent between divisions and over time.
However, applying professional scepticism to the data, it should be questioned whether the SD of the past is likely
to continue in future. It may be asked, is the data persistent to extrapolate the past to the future '? For example,
what is the probability of an event shifting the distribution of all divisions through a common causal tactor, such a
a recession or technological change.
Irrespective of the nature of the distributions, high volatility, measured by a high SD, is not necessarily a major risk.
In terms of managing the risk, unexpected volatility is the key problem. If the volatility is expected, then plans can
be put in place (eg, extend the overdratt facility) to manage the liquidity risks.
52 Page 137
Despite the high SD, the mean cash flows are all positive, so the company is expected to be cash generative. This
does not mean cash management is not important as surplus cash flows need to be used tavourably (eg invested)
and liquidity needs to be managed in case there are random shocks to cash intlows from revenues.
Overall, with centralised cash management, the central treasury department eftectively acts as the bank tor the
group. Ihe central treasury has the job of managing the volatility and ensuring that individual operating units have
all the funds they need at the right time. For example, a centralised pool of funds can be maintained for
precautionary purposes avoiding the need tor separate management of pools at divisional level.
Payables
Receivables division UK Germany Malaysia
UK (E'000) 0 £24,000 £18,00 24,000
Germany (EO00) € 5,500 0 £18,000 23,500
Malaysia (RMO00) 35,000 50,000 85,000
Convert to £:
Payables
Receivables division UK Germany Malaysia
UK (E'000) £ - £ 24,000 £ 18,000 42,000
Germany (EO00) £ 5,000 £ - £ 10,000 15,000
Malaysia (RMO00) £ 7,000 £ 10,000 17,000
12,000 34,000 28,000
Benefits
This procedure has the advantage for Tallam of reducing the number of settlement transactions and thus
transaction costs, including foreign exchange purchase costs and money transmission costs. Ihere will also be less
loss of interest through having money in transit. However, it requires strict control procedures trom the central
treasury. Ihere may also be other legal and tax issues to consider.
Linda's notes made on 31 March 2021 - Forward contract with Mooton Bank
Current date: 31 March 2021.
On 30 June 2021, Tallam needs to pay US$4.8 million to a supplier of silicon. 30-Jun-21 $ 4,800.00
On 31 March 2021, the £/US$ market spot rate was:
£1 US$ 1.3110-1.3144
Mooton Bank has offered, on 31 March 2021, the following over-the-counter, forward contract to which I have agreed:
£/USS Three-months forward 0.78-0.72 cents premium
Alternatively, if competitive conditions permit, some advance payment or periodic progress payments procedures
could be considered on such a large contract.
For the future, the following procedures could be considered to manage the credit risk of foreign sales (ie,
exports)
Forfaiting is medium-term export finance. Forfaiting would enable Tallam as an exporter to receive immediate cash
by selling their medium and long-term receivables at a discount through an intermediary. This is achieved by the
purchase of financial instruments such as bills of exchange and letters of credit on a non-recourse basis bya
torfeter. GIven lallams bad debt experience, the discount may however be significant.
Documentary credits This is a risk-free methodof obtaining payment, also a method of obtaining short-term
finance from a bank, for working capital, as a bank might agree to discount or negotiate a letter of credit.
Export credit insurance (ie, trade credit insurance). This is insurance against the risk of non-payment by foreign
customerstor export debts. Export credit insurance is offered by private insurance companies and by government
agencies, often reterred to as export credit agencies (ECAs). However, export credit insurance comes at a cost
which Tallam must weigh against its credit experience. If credit experience has been poor, as indicated by internal
audit, then premiums will also be poor.
Acceptance credits. Short-term financeby a bank agreeing to accept bills oft exchange drawn on itselt.
)Ethics
There are a number of ethical issues
Confidentiality - opening the group treasurer's desk
Forcing open the group treasurer's desk in her absence could be viewed by the board as a breach of confidentiality committed by the members of the treasury department. This applies in terms of her
personal confidentiality (personal possessions) and corporate confidentiality in terms of accessing potentially sensitive business information. The board has ultimate responsibility, although not
culpability., tor this breach of the treasurer's confidentiality.
While the desk and any business contents are the property of Tallam, the decision to force it open should not have been made at the level of treasury staff. Given the group treasurer is a senior
employee it would be appropriate for the board to authorise forced access and inspection of the documents contained therein if this was deemed legal and necessary. These documents could then
be distributed to appropriate treasury staf.
Depending on the health condition of the group treasurer, permission could have been obtained from her, or at least notification given, to aid transparency of the actions.
Intimidation
There is a possible suggestion in the anonymous letter of an element of intimidation towards the treasury team by the group treasurer in her senior management role. However, this is an accusation,
rather than being established, and needs to be ascertained by the board. Ihe board is responsible for governance and the behaviour of its senior management and, if it ignores the possibility of
intimidation by the treasurer, it could be regarded as complicit
The fact that the whistleblower wrote anonymously may suggest possible intimidation, but there may be alternative explanations such as tear of legal action or disciplinary action for an invalid claim or
a claim with malicious intent
Hedging transactions with Mooton Bank
The ethical issue with the placing of the forward contract with the bank where the group treasurer's brother works may imply conflict between personal family interests and the corporate interests of
Tallam, particularly the group treasurer's duty in respect of those interests.
In particula, the group treasurer's brother was directly responsible for issuing forward contracts at the bank. By processing transactions for Tallam, this may have meant a bonus or at least a better
appraisal for the group treasurer's brother.
Regarding the 'evidence' presented that the group treasurer had deliberately chosen a less favourable contract with her brother's bank Mooton than was available by other banks, the calculations are
set out below:
Mooton Bank
£/S
Payable 4,800,000
Spot rate 1.3032 -1.3072 1.30230
3,685,787
From the above it is clear that the Mooton Bank forward contract is actually slightly more favourable to Tallam than the alternative suggested by the whistleblower, as the sterling cost locked-in by the
forward is lower.
Also, the bid-offer spread is greater on the contract with Kimmel Bank suggested by the whistleblower. Kimmel is therefore pricing its risk higher, which is to the disadvantage of Tallam compared with
the Mooton Bank contract.
The difference in quoted torward rates between Mooton and Kimmel may be due to timing. Although they are both on the same day, they may not be at the same time of the same day, so intra-day
exchange rate movements may account tor the difference.
There are also non-financial factors to consider as to which bank offers the better deal. For example, it may include the counterparty risk involved if one of the banks is operating under stressed
conditions.
There is however a question of motives and competence in whether the group treasurer should be entering intoa USS torward contract for settlement of a payment at all. lallam generates significant
revenues in USS and there could be matching and a natural ott-set against these. Some justification may be required trom the group treasurer on her return to work as to why a hedging contract was
needed in these circumstances. Entering into the contract may have been a genuine commercial misjudgement but, alternatively, it questions her motives in entering into an unnecessary transaction
with a related party.
Overall, there appears to be a lack of transparency and accountability for the group treasurer's actions. A number of quotes should have been obtained and a record made of which quote was
selected ith a justification of why this quote was preterred over the others. Authorisation should have been obtained (eg, from the finance director).
Actions
Take legal advice on the actions the board should take with response to whistleblowing and ensure the board's actions responding to the letter comply with legal advice.
The anonymous letter should be discussed at board level.
The whistleblower 's claims of intimidation and the culture of staff working in treasury feeling threatened needs to be investigated.
Discussions should be held with the group treasurer and explanations obtained when she returns to work. This should include the results of investigations if evidence of intimidation is discovered.
It is not appropriate to discover who sent the letter. This may be illegal and it may open the person up to the intimidation feared and may discourage other whistleblowers to come forward in the
future.
An investigation of the circumstances in which it was decided to force open the group treasurers desk, and how this was done, needs to be carried out. Possible disciplinary action may result
Internal controls need to be set up over the group treasurers ability to enter into hedging transactions on her own. An approval process needs to be set up (eg. with approvals by the finance
director) establishing procedures to obtain multiple quotes for hedging and other finance transactions. This should be for all hedges which can impact material risks or have material costs.
On her return to work, the group treasurer needs to explain why she used Mooton Bank and address the concerns, if true, that her brother, as a related party, is processing transactions for the bank
without any disclosure of this relationship.
Establish procedures for disclosure where there may be potential conflicts of interest to facilitate transparency.
Ketch PLC
Not an audit client
financial benefits = calcuations
Dividends
10m paid each year
YE 30 Sept 2018
Sale of Mumbai operation
Benefits
Operating gearing will fall, as there will no longer be fixed costs of production in Mumbai, but variable costs are
likely to be higher in paying the supplier per component.
There is more financial flexibility in having a number of suppliers rather than being dependent orn one source as
with Mumbai.
Loss making and want to increase the EBITDA but this is missleading as boost the groups income
then they can fixed and variable cost are only needed
Risk
Re organise supply chain can cause problems with supplier delay and production issues
this can affect the volume of sales with the lack of ac units being sold due to supplier issues
If a buyer can be found quickly this implies that the sale if likely to be a length time and they have not lined
up a replacement. The third party is a tempory soluation again coming with there supplier issues
this means the business incresae the chance of loss making due to loss of key compotnets and supplier issues.
The same components will be available to competitors so there is no competitive advantage in terms of costs.
The best suppliers of retrigerant components may have exclusivity agreements with rivals and there may be a
competitive disadvantage in onily being able to source inferior quality components.
Reputation loss
Consulsion
Undertake a compehersive review of ifnancial impact before proceeding with diviestment
disposed then contied to use the factory to supply the firm at a reasonible price
quaility and devliery continity
Mumbai
internal Mumbai
transfers external sales
Price 186 120
Mark up 20% 31 20
Cost 155 100
units 90,000 90,000
Revenue 16,740,000 10,800,000
Costs - 13,950,000 - 13,950,000
Profit 2,790,000 - 3,150,000
PPE
CA 30,000
FV 28,250
Impairment 1,750
Price 30,000
cost to sell 1,620
NA -28,250
CA of Inv -500
2,870
From the above we can see that external sales are loss making by 3.15m
this substainaly loss is can be justified to close done the operation and sell the trade as ette
Finacial reporting
The assets can be classed as held for sale
provided they are ready to sold in 12 months
that the are activity looking for seller or seller lined up this is not the case for K PlC
They would also need do disclosure a sperate line as SOPF as assets held for sale
We would also see a sperate line under the SOPL under profit with discounted operations
Propsal 1
New factory
1-Oct-19
Cost of factory 50,000,000
Saving 5,000,000
WACC 7% 20 years 10.59
1% increase per year 11.59
57,950,000
Cost -50,000,000
NPV 7,950,000
Year Cash DF 7% PV
0 -50,000 1.00 -50,000
1 5,050 0.93 4,720
2 5,101 0.87 4,455
3 5,152 0.82 4,205
4 5,203 0.76 3,969
5 5,255 0.71 3,747
6 5,308 0.67 3,537
7 5,361 0.62 3,338
8 5,414 0.58 3,151
9 5,468 0.54 2,974
10 5,523 0.51 2,808
11 5,578 0.48 2,650
12 5,634 0.44 2,502
13 5,690 0.41 2,361
14 5,747 0.39 2,229
15 5,805 0.36 2,104
16 5,863 0.34 1,986
17 5,922 0.32 1,875
18 5,981 0.30 1,769
19 6,041 0.28 1,670
20 6,101 0.26 1,577
NPV 7,627
WACC may not be a suitable discount rate. This is partly because it reflects the average risk of the company, rather
than the risk of this particular project.
Also, the WACC is determined at a point in time for a period of time and may
not be applicable over a 20-year time horizon
Similarly sustaining a 1% increase in incremental cash flow over a period of 20 years is unlikely.
The EBITDA figure is likely to be favoured by the factory purchase rather than from buying from a third-party
supplier. This is because a significant element of the factory cost, in accruals terms, is depreciation which is
excluded from EBITDA. Conversely, all the cost of purchasing the components is included in EBlTDA.
Catherine is the production director and favour to her to invest in the new factory
If this was to go to a third party catherin would lose control and perhas job be a risk.
In addition, Catherine would benefit from the EBITDA-based director bonus if the factory proposal is implemented
In operational terms the new factory would give more control over operations including production scheduling
and quality. However, the higher fixed costs lead to higher operating gearing.
Outsourcing may provide more flexibility of supply from multiple suppliers. Such suppliers may also have
established production, scale economies and core competences.
Conclusion
Overall, in the short term, there is more flexibility in outsourcing so there can be a smoother transition from the
Mumbai operations. An investment in a UK factory may be a good long-term idea, as funds are available, but
sourcing cooling components from established external UK suppliers seems the lowest risk solution currently
available.
Articles of A require that 75% votes is needed for the buy back
Rohit and Katy are 60% share holders
Offer only to indiviudal share holders
In this case rohit and katy are increasing their share in the business
therefore increase the bonus and 10m dividend granted to themselves
this is clearly acting in there own self interest rather than the own interest of the shareholders
Benefits
The control is longer with 1% share holders
Enhances EPS
Potentail to increase DPS above the regualr .10
reduce WACC as expenseive equity finance cancelled
Risk
That increase the control to R and K as they will increase the control of the business to 37.5%
therfore can use the company to their own advantage such as special dividends or increase dividends payments
Investment in bonds
Zoe and Sue NEDS want corporate bonds
Bonds in P PLC IRR
Bond price today 97.5 Y0 -97.5
Interest 3% x £100 3 Y1 3
Years 4 Y2 3
Par 100 Y3 3
rate(4,3,-97.5, 100) 3.684% Y4 103
Add 3% 3.684%
ABB rating
The Ghlast bond earns a higher yield but also has a higher credit risk as the credit rating is lower at BBB.
The return on corporate bonds (including the above two examples) is lower than the WACC. However, this does
not mean it is detrimental to shareholder value as the risk on corporate bonds of a BBB credit rating and above
(investment grade) is likely to be lower than Ketch's WACC which includes the riskier cost of equity.
More generally, the investment in bonds enables Ketch to keep liquidity and hold funds until investment
opportunities arise. In so doing, they keep the real option to delay a current investment decision in the expectation
that a preferable project will arise in the future.
The corporate bonds in which Ketch intends to invest are fixed interest. Whilst the interest cash flows are
reasonably secure (although subject to credit risk) the fair value of the bond is subject to variation particularly as
expected interest rates are likely to change.
(2) Liquidity and marketability risk- This is the ease with which an issue can be sold in the market. Smaller issues
are particularly subject to this risk but purchases in Ploome and Ghlast may avoid this. In certain markets the
volume of trading tends to be concentrated in the "benchmark' stocks, thereby rendering most other issues
illiquid. Other bonds become subject to 'seasoning' as the initial liquidity dries up and the bonds are
purchased by investors who wish to hold them to maturity.
(3) Even if an issuer has a triple A credit rating and is therefore perceived as being at least as secure as the
Government, it will still have to offer a yield above that offered by the Government due to the smaller size
(normally) and the thinner market in the stocks.
(4) Issue specific risk - eg, risk of call. If the company has the right to redeem the bond early, then it will only be
logical for it to do this if it can refinance at a lower cost. What is good for the issuer will be bad for an investor
like Ketch and, thus, the yield will have to be higher to compensate.
(5) Fiscal risk - The risk that taxes will be increased. For foreign bonds, there would also be the risk of the
imposition of capital controls locking your money into the market.
(6) Currency risk- For foreign bonds, there would also be the risk of currency fluctuation, so the sterling
equivalent of the interest paid and the principal may vary over time even though these amounts may be fxed
in local currency terms.
Sue's view- Sue is correct that the Ghlast bonds give a higher yield. This may be due to the longer maturity but
may also be just compensation for accepting higher credit risk, given the BBB rating. Corporate bond markets are
not as liquid as government bond markets so the market for sale may be thin and a buyer may not be available at
a reasonable price when the cash is required for investment.
Recommedation
share buy back is a no
61% 39%
61% 39%
mpany, rather
mplemented
share prem orgianlly
they don’t want to sell as it’s a bad del
they don’t want to sell as it’s a bad del
they don’t want to sell as it’s a bad del
e expectation
Linx
PLC on London stock exchange
Revenue 355
Revenue per customer 70.9859154929577
Revenue per depost 1.97222222222222
GPM 54.4%
OPM 8.2%
CAPEX 78.00
CAPEX per revenue 22.0%
Revenue
Being that the market is hightly competitvies an increase in revenue of 7.6% shows that they are
able to competie well in the market and able to stay competitve and meet the customers demands. This is a
promising sign as they business looks to grow and expand
We do not have the information regarding seasonily and econmic cycles therefore could request the information
on a per month bases of sales and what was ordered to gain a better understanding of targeting customers
and there specific wants so we can meet goal of delivery when urgent to customers
Revenue split
UK 213
Euro 142
We can see that if we take the split that there is both growing markets in the UK and Euro markets
with revenues increasing
As maintence is a signicant cost we have seen cost of sales have increased by 7.3% which is inline with renveue growth of
The growth in renvue and sales show that we able to delvier right equipment at right place at the right time
Which costs have gone up inline with revenue we have seen that disctrubtion and admin costs have increased
this has earn up the increase in sales resulting in a small increase in PBT of 1m comapred to the 25m growth in sales
This shows that even tho we able to meet customers demands we do this at a cost to the business
Return on assets
Utilisation rate of equipment for hire 52%
ROCE 8.90%
Despite an increase in revenue the utilation rate has fallen by 4% showing that customers are not using the products as
much we must maintaine a high rate in order for sale from hiring time to increase
The total CAPEX in the year was £78m. While some of this amount was tor replacement of assets,
there was also new investment in specialised equipment for hire of £30m and new depots of £Sm.
This has fallen but as we have new equipment over time we expect that to grow
TR days 128.521126760563
Gearing 29%
adverse impact on gearing and financial risk
as this has
Question 2
3 matrix
ROCE
return of captial employed looks Where capital employed = equity + net debt
as the company has taken on increase in the loan amount and as a result increased the net debt of the company
we would expect this to have falen.
We want to ensure that the assets we are investing in a gaining a strong return and being utiliited
for the company and therefore ROU may be best looking at the specilist equipement
this can be measuring the specific customers that used the equipment, the mainitence costs around this
and the type of customers using this equipment
We would not report this as mangerila performacne
if judgment used and not approate and sweat assets and hold them lover book value and
this can lead to short term
The 24hr needs for customers and delivery of 90% of goods, what they want and when
reporting on the time taken and period held and which type of customer this is can be useful to determin
which assets are worth keeping for future and disposing of
By
customer
product what we need and don’t need
deposit where we should and shoudlnt need
Question 3
FR treatment of each choices
Interest 2000000
Tax saved 20% 1600000
PL charge
Depn
0
1 2023 6,000,000
2 2024 6,000,000
3 2025 6,000,000
4 2026 6,000,000
5 2027 6,000,000
6 2028 6,000,000
0 1
2022 2023
Equipment -40,000,000
Tax saving 1,600,000
Capital allowance 6,000,000
Residual value
- 40,000,000.00 7,600,000.00
DF 5% 1.00 0.95
- 40,000,000.00 7,238,095.24
NPV 935,455.06
Lease a 6 years
Rental 8,000,000
Annutity 4.329
Annuity to use 5.329
ROU 42632000
Opening
0 2022 42,632,000
1 2023 34,632,000
2 2024 28,363,600
3 2025 21,781,780
4 2026 14,870,869
5 2027 7,614,412
6
ROU
Depn Interest
2022 7,105,333 -
2023 7,105,333 1,731,600
2024 7,105,333 1,418,180
2025 7,105,333 1,089,089
2026 7,105,333 743,543
2027 7,105,333 380,721
42,632,000 5,363,133
Opening
0 2022 24,015,600
1 2023 15,615,600
2 2024 7,996,380
3
4 2025 25,731,000
5 2026 16,731,000
6 2027 8,567,550
Depn Interest
2022 8,005,200 -
2023 8,005,200 780,780
2024 8,005,200 399,819
2025 8,577,000 -
2026 8,577,000 836,550
2027 8,577,000 428,378
Finanancial
Cheaper to go for the purchase
Non financial
Cash position to payment of leease
the penaltiy if the break in lease as the assets are no longer in use
Be business use for the assets in 6 years may change and as lock down in contract unable to
adapt
the loan converence of this amount and interest cover
early repayment charges on repayment of loan
Borrow to buy
More flexible as cash can be used and not tided up
The discount rate is the net of tax borrowing rate of 4% (ie 5%(1-).
This is because lease rentals are low risk like servicing debt. However, it could be argued that a higher discount rate should
of 3-year lease rentals as they are uncertain, unless they have been contractually fixed at the beginning of the project.
expansion of £40m is significant and there could be elements of the investment where Ltd borrows and buys the equipme
A range of local commercial factors should be considered in individual investments.
TIhe viability of the acquisition of the construction equipment is not therefore in question.
The issue is therefore which of the three methods of ftinancing the construction equipment is preterable.
Using the net of tax borrowing interest rate as the discount rate, this shows the following present values of financing cash
In pure financial terms, using the working assumptions, the purchase and borrow decision gives the lowest after tax PV an
However, other tactors need to be considered. It the asset is still serviceable and its condition acceptable to customers aft
lease term may or may not be negotiated with the lessor with the leasing options, but this Is uncertain and is likely to have
Comparing the 6-year lease with the two 3-year leases, while the 6-year lease has a lower PV cost there are three advanta
There is an exit route atter three years (unless there is a prior contractual commitment), so it the construction equipment
be entered into.
Ihe second lease is tor brand new construction equipment which may be technologically or aesthetically superior to the co
lease.
As the two leases are shorter than the six-year lease, the lease liability recognised in the financial statements is lower and
covenant
Asset management
New IT system will enable us to be sure of where our assets are and when we can expect them back
this enables use to comitt to future lease argreement of customers as we able to advise when they are back in stock and re
and does not book out equipment that is not in stock or returned due to poor asset control
Tracing equopment and maintance of records ensure that assets are not missused or taken for own use by customers
this can mean charges and no longer loss of assets by being stolen and can be used by the business
Can more accurary predict the useful life of assets and the maintence around asset groups
Able to provide a delaited report of which of the wide range of assets are most proift and revenue generating rather than
total balance of revenue
Can gain an inside on assets not utitliised and reasons for this and if they still is a business case to have them in stock
Provide secuiirty that assets are tracked preventing the likelyhood of missuse or stolen
Dashboard provides a clear understanding of where assets are and what they are used for
giving management the clear and can advise if other stores have the assets
Revenue generation
We can track billing and use time by the customers to ensure that revneue per use is manimised and ensure that
we are not under charging the assets
we can track which is used the most and when to give real time information about which assets we need to particualr
area resulting in targetting this areas to increase renveue by large stock of assets they need
the demand is there but we can not meet it is no longer an issue
We can review how the asset is moved from stock to customers and able to meet our target 24hour delivery
Able to view the asset utilisation of each store and which are most popluar to gain understanding of
how seasonal certain types of equipment are
managmenet use there own knowledge and experience but this is subjective and based on past experiene
and can not be used to predict the future and what is expected
June
2020 Change % change
Final
£m
330 25 7.6%
-151 -11 7.3%
179 14 7.8%
-153 -11 7.2%
26 3 11.5%
-2 -2 100.0%
24 1 4.2%
-5 0 0.0%
19 1 5.3%
2020
Final
£m
196 24 12.2%
31 4 12.9%
27 1 3.7%
53 22 41.5%
5 5 100.0%
312 56 17.9%
23 0 0.0%
186 20 10.8%
66 30 45.5%
37 6 16.2%
312 56 17.9%
2020
62 8 12.9%
36 5 13.9%
6 28 466.7%
39 -2 -5.1%
0 7 #DIV/0!
61 25 41.0%
2020
56% -0.04 -7.1%
36 -3 -8.3%
9.50% -0.00600000000000001 -6.3%
0.98 0.25 25.5%
24,100 1100 4.6%
175 5 2.9%
330 25 7.6%
73.0303030303 -2.04438753734529 -2.8%
1.88571428571 0.0865079365079366 4.6%
54.2%
7.9%
45.00 33 73.3%
13.6%
demands. This is a
198 15 7.6%
132 10 7.6%
61 25 41.0%
66 30 45.5%
53 22 41.5%
5 5 100.0%
24.40%
a certain market
ave and georgprahcially too far
yearsa Jul-22
40 -4 /6 600000
Interest
2,000,000 8,000,000
2,000,000 8,000,000
2,000,000 8,000,000
2,000,000 8,000,000
2,000,000 8,000,000
2,000,000 8,000,000
2 3 4 5 6
2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
WACC 5%
5% at 5 years not 5 years + 1
7,105,333
8,836,933
8,523,513
8,194,422
7,848,877
7,486,054
- 9,000,000 16,731,000
836,550 - 9,000,000 8,567,550
428,378 - 9,000,000 - 4,073
8,005,200
8,785,980
8,405,019
8,577,000
9,413,550
9,005,378
on payments
r than leasign
owning asset
t avoids uncertainty.
nt is preterable.
present values of financing cash flows.
gives the lowest after tax PV and is therefore preferred if assessed on this basis alone.
tion acceptable to customers after six years, the ownership of the asset can be extended. Extensions of the
Is uncertain and is likely to have greater cost than extending ownership
PV cost there are three advantages to the two 3-year leases:
o it the construction equipment is not hiring out as successtully as expected, then the second lease need not
r aesthetically superior to the construction equipment used in the first three years and in the six-year
nancial statements is lower and so gearing is lower. This may be important for complying with the loan
et 24hour delivery
n past experiene
Balance allowance
x 8000
x 9000
TRADITIONAL BUDGET STATEMENT
New technology
Fixed costs 24,000,000
Saved average 2,000
notes for the board which explain each of the reconciling factors and a conclusion explaining why the
overall actual operating profit was less than budget operating profit. n
future contract
bases riks and locking into rate
exchange and standardised
dates and currency are standard might not suit
fixed sizes - futures and options
Expasion plan
Joint venture or subsidary
Selling price 25,000
JV
We share the profits and losses
Not have 100% control
They wull buy P&M 38,000
5 years contract
Due dilgence will need to be done on new unkwon busienss partner
the key aiea is JV or joint operation
No separate entity but fall under JO per IFRS 11 and both parties have contorl of Rigt to asset and obligation
relating to the arrangement
2 parties have control and shared in agreeemtn which exisit only when dececsions
about the activities of company and neded
JO is recongised in a line in FS
Assets + shares of held assets and Liable + shares of liabilityies
Revenue will also be shared and include sale of tractors less amount attribulted to the joint other party
Expenses will also be joit and items PL transalated at FX using average rates
A+ L - all monetary items will close rate
all non monetary items will histric rate
they specilise in bus's
They are based in SA and have trackion and have distoubtion chan
they have the land and we provide the P&M
Cheaper to use them as set up costs
they are taking 55m - 38m
Subsidary
We take on all profit and loss
Do have a say
Loan 55,000
Loan on consolidation will be elimaited as part of group
As is in South aferica it would have difference domain currency and we would need to cover to £
on consolidation with IAS 21 need presented in presentation currcny
Transalte all monentary and non monetry at closing rate
income and expenses and OCI will exchange rate rules will be the average rate
report fx difference to OCI
Loan 55m will be net investment in forgein operations and PL movedment will be recognsied in the FX home currency
Fav Adverse
Distributi
W6 Distribution and admin (fav)
on and
administr - 170.0
ation
costs
Automation Fixed Costs
$ has strengthen but our costs have increased by 2,000 Automation Variable Costs
W1 Automation (fav)
FC increase (9/12 x £24m)
Variable cost saving (15,600 x £2,000) x
New technology
Fixed costs
euro has stregthned to £ as we get more £ than before Saved average
UK sales volume
Budget
UK Price Variance
Actual UK sales
Budget price
Buget price v act sales
Actual
Euro FX Variance
Variance
Budget
Fixed
productio - 265.0
n costs
Saved 18m in production
e FX home currency
e Financial Information.
W1 Automation (fav) 5.4
w2 Sales volume changes (adv) -105.6
w3 Price (adv) -8.8
W4 Foreign exchange (fav) 54.33
ws Fixed costs (adv) -7
on Fixed Costs
on Variable Costs
- 2,000
- 240.0
- 25.0
m in production 18
- 7.0
20.00
Nov 2021 Paper
Forecast summary of Dec 21
produced both paper packaging and plastic packagin
Sold plastic division 100m in 1 Jan 2021
(a) Explain and evaluate the benefits and riskS of investing in the new Al machinery
Exhibit 3A). Provide a reasoned recommendation that takes account of relevant
financial and non-financial issues. Show supporting calculations, including the
probability of generating a negative expected NPV.
ignore the possibility of a new market entrant (Exhibit 3B).
new artificial intelligence controlled production machinery (AI machinery) at seven of its paper mills
Investment
Total PV of 75 95 Total PV of
optimistic; 180 105 85 optimistic; 117
most likely; 120 45 25 most likely; 78
and pessimisti 90 15 -5 and pessimistic. 58.5
(b)
Explain how your evaluation in 1.(a) would change when Demm becomes aware of
the possibility of Hagg as a new market entrant (Exhibit 3B). Provide reasoned
advice to the directors about the decision they should now take regarding the
investment in the new Al machinery. ShoW revised calculations.
Neg NPV 75% does not 12% 0.75 x 0.12 22% Change of Neg NPV
Neg NPV 25% x 50% 0.25 x 0.5
(c) Assume that Demm invests in the new Al machinery on 1 January 2022, at a cost
of 295 million and Hagg enters the market in December 2022.
Explain the financial reporting treatment of the Al machinery in Demm's financial
statements for the year ending 31 December 2022. Show supporting calculations.
State any assumptions.
Cost 95
Hag enters in market
Cost 95
NBV after Y1 76
2
Provide reasoned advice to the Demm board regarding which of the two mutually
exclusive sales contracts should be accepted (Exhibit 4). Consider financial and non
financial factors. Show supporting calculations which evaluate returns and risks.
Zambesi Inc US
Nile plc UK
, including shared and integrated information technology
Zambesi Inc
FMCG and is a growing company
global retailers
US customers 50%
nternet sales directly to consumers as B2C sales.
made from recycled pulp
3 year contract
PV for 3 years 3
million
40% 75 30
60% 95 57
87
-1.2
Investment
40% 60%
12.00% 18.00%
20.0% 30.0%
8.00% 12.00% 50.00%
Investment
75 95
42 22
3 -17
-16.5 -36.5
Em
4,361
Operating expenses -4,304
Operating profit 57
Finance costs -8
Profit before tax 49
Non-current assets
Property, plant and equipment 935
Current assets
112
Other current assets 372
Total assets 1,419
Purchase a land
for development
How the land might be fined
Dividends at YE
canceld to provide fiance for land and other same level
Em
Revenue 1476
Operating profit 46
Finance costs (including £11.2m interest on borrowings) -14
Profit before tax 32
Taxation -9
Profit after tax 23
Non-current assets
Property, plant and equipment 305
Current assets
Inventories (including landbank £243m) 587
Cash 8
Other current assetss 172
Total assets 1,072
Equity
Ordinary share capital -£1 shares 100
Retained earnings 247
Other reserves 150
Total equity 497
Non-current liabilities
Borrowings (Note) 351
Other 71
Current liabilities 153
Total equity and liabilities 1,072
Nominal CA
3.5% Bank loan 190 190 Jun-24 3.5
2.8% Bonds 165 161 May-29 7.5
4 years repayment
Interest 2.04
Provide reasoned advice for the Rudder board on whether the 2021 dividend should be
cancelled (Exhibit 4. In so doing, evaluate the comments of the operations director and
the finance director. Use all relevant available information.
1%
2018 37.64 0.3764
2019 38.8 0.388
2020 40 0.4
2021 40
Directors Five directors own shares in Rudder. Their holdings range from 160,000 shares held by the marketing director to 305
Owned
40 48000 0.000833
Tran cost 0.8
arketing director to 305,000 shares held by the CEO. 1%