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3/3/23, 5:41 PM 3.

2 Measures of return and risk | Topic 3 - Equity | Finance Essentials | edX

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3/3/23, 5:41 PM 3.2 Measures of return and risk | Topic 3 - Equity | Finance Essentials | edX

Summary

In this section, you develop your understanding of risk in the context of investing.

Guide time: 25 mins

TOPIC THREE – EQUITY

3.2 Measures of return and risk


The popular perception of financial markets is that they are driven by the opposing forces of
fear and greed. Being academics, we prefer the terms risk and return, but it amounts to the
same thing. Let me explain more.


 mean reversion.

 2:14 / 2:17  1.0x    

Now let’s look a little more at the concept of risk. In finance, risk or volatility is a measure of
the dispersion of returns for a given security or market index. It can be measured using
statistics (the standard deviation or variance of the returns from a security or a market
index). Higher volatility normally signifies a riskier security. Let me provide an example.

Video
return of -16.69%.
In practice, the
precise way of
calculating the
holding period
return is very
important
because it is
important to ask
whether the return
of a share includes
or excludes
dividend
payments. We are


interested in total
returns which
include the capital
gains and the
dividend
yields, and we
always must make
sure that the return
that we use
includes these two
t
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components.
 components.

 4:28 / 4:28

 1.0x    

I now want to demonstrate these ideas more concretely. To do this, I have designed another
bespoke interaction, which I explain in the next presentation.


like Small Caps, sometimes exhibit lower returns than

bonds, like during 2008!

 1:11 / 1:11  1.0x    

For a more visual demonstration of these ideas, please look at the next activity.

Activity

Using the slider, try changing the year and observe how the average risk–return profile
of the asset classes in the graph move around. You might be surprised to know that,
All Rights Reserved
depending on the year, bonds can offer higher average returns at a lower risk than
equities.

edX
Note: Risk is captured by the annualised standard deviation calculated over three
years of daily returns. The average return is calculated over the same horizon and
annualised arithmetically.

About Spend some time interacting with this resource to further your understanding.

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Year

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Standard
Return (%)
Deviation (%)

US Corportate
6.44 7.23

Terms of Service & Honor Code


Bonds

Privacy Policy US Small Caps 35.34 9.01

Accessibility Policy
US Large Caps 30.55 1.5

Trademark Policy US 10y T-notes 8.65 7.64

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