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This issue not only worries the West -and its growing concern that the world
follows a single political, social and economic pattern- but also generates
debates among the Chinese academic and political elite in which the idea of
IBEI a democracy with its own characteristics challenges the elements that the
Comparative Politics and West considers fundamental and rescues other participatory and progressive
changes.
Democratization
This paper presents the opinion of Li Fan, a Chinese academic who sets his
position on the relationship between modernization and democracy in his
country and which allows me to begin a deeper analysis of the differentiated
factors that this case has presented in studies on democratization and the
criticisms that have been made to the theories that generalize the Western
experience to other regions of the world.
Overview
Li Fan wrote "It's true that democracy in China is in retreat, but Don't give up
on it now" in July 2020, an Op-Ed that asks the West not to abandon its
support for the democratization of China.
The author considers that there are reasons why democratization in China
may be regressing and, there are other reasons to think the Asian giant is
using its economic power to expand ideologically and territorially. Among
2
them counts:
Jason Lee
The first has to do with the modernization process that China has undergone
for 200 years and that at some point led the author to think that the country
was close to a democratic breakthrough. In his words:
“China’s trajectory so far has confirmed the predictions of modernization theory
that underlay the policy of engagement: as China became wealthier, its citizens
became more educated, more urbanized, and more sophisticated. They felt more
qualified to evaluate their government, took a greater interest in politics, and
demanded that government protect their personal rights and interests”.
This shows that the author conceives modernization as a previous and fundamental
step to achieve democracy and inscribes him in a structuralist approach under the
basic postulates of modernization theory. This approach explains that democracy is
the tip of an iceberg below which is a long process of "industrialization, urbanization,
increasing levels of education, rising national income and a continued spread of
communications technologies" (Teorell, 2010, p. 17), as fundamental factors for its
occurrence.
Although Li has the previous opinion, he also believes that the expected result, that
is, democracy, has not occurred, due to a change in the Chinese politics in which the
most liberal and tolerant reforms applied by Deng Xiaoping and Mao Zedong were
reversed. This confirms that his foundation comes from a structuralist thought rather 3
than a strategic one, because although there are traces of the intervention of the
country's political elites, they themselves have not been able to completely stop the
process of democratization and acquisition of more emancipatory values.
So, even though the expected result has not been produced, he does consider that
modernization is facing its last stage since there is a slowdown in its economy and
the autocratic regime is in decline, the right time for political modernization to be
achieved.
The second reason for his optimism has to do with the liberal values that the Chinese
population has been acquiring since Deng Xiaoping's opening policies approximately
40 years ago, and from which the sympathy and practice of small-scale democracy
in the territory.
This is part of the same theoretical foundation of the structural perspective, but is,
in fact, supported by the values factor. This theory indicates that over time the
populations demand and defend greater public freedoms or values that go beyond
the satisfaction of their material conditions of existence, leading them directly from
authoritarianism to democracy (Welzel, 2010).
Despite the fact that the reviewed author considers that the theory of modernization
is applicable to China and for this reason the West must continue in its commitment
to support the democratization process that is about to end, I consider that this
theory does not fit adequately with the Chinese experience because with it, many
differentiating elements are left aside, elements that, evidently, has led China down
4
dissimilar paths.
To support this hypothesis (1) I will collect what some authors say regarding the
applicability of this theory in the specific case, (2) I will state some elements that I
consider the theory does not allow to take into account because it focuses on
structural elements and (3) I will comment on some other perspectives that allow
elucidating the possibilities regarding the political trajectory in China.
Interfoto (1971)
Reilly (2016), as well as emphasizing again that the theory was built especially
on the experiences of Europe and Latin America, he argued that
modernization theory is not applicable to most East Asian countries that
between 1950 and 1960 were autocracies with high economic growth (Korea,
Taiwan, Malaysia, Singapore) because, of all of them, only Korea and Taiwan 5
transitioned to democracy
Therefore, the Chinese middle class tends to be more loyal to the Chinese
Communist Party (CCP) and less supportive of democratic institutions and
values, which is linked to a particular institutional configuration of a unique
party system and state-dominated economy.
With the results of the Asian Barometer Survey (ABS), Liu et al (2022) divide
the period from 2002 to 2019 into 5 waves. The first is only the year 2002,
the second is from 2007 to 2008, the third is in 2011, the fourth is from 2015
to 2016 and the fifth is in 2019.
Reuters (1989)
They found that at an important historical moment the State used its
“interceptive” power between economic development and cultural changes.
They argued that before the middle of 2010 China was undergoing a cultural
change due to liberalization policies and reforms for decentralization and
with a growing demand for liberal democracy as predicted by modernization
theory. However, with the change of leadership in the CCP - its intervention
in education and the media - an indoctrination was completed and the
intellectual elite receded.
Mike (2020)
Bloomberg (2022)
Perspectives on the political trajectory in
China
In this scenario of Western sorrow, not a few scholars have wanted to start
a path of theoretical construction of that democratization and democracy
with Chinese characteristics, based particularly on Confucianism, a
religious and political doctrine rooted in the Asian giant.
For example, Lee (2013) found that in a study carried out in 2002 it was 8
concluded from surveys that the Chinese population wanted the
establishment of a democracy but that their notion of democracy was
based on the Confucian idea of minben the people are the primary sources
of state power.
By 2013, the author carried out another number of surveys in which he
found that a group of local scholars mostly perceived democracy as a
“procedural concept—as a process or a means to protect the will and rights
of the people”(Lee, 2013, p. 341), this means that they conceive it beyond
the minben or socioeconomic equity, but with the conviction that it is either
a universal value or a historical trend.
It is also important to note that although 20 of the 28 scholars surveyed
said that democracy is better than any other political system, they were
also emphatic that the abolition of a one-party system and the introduction
of a multi-party one would be a distant option.
About Confucianism and democracy, it has also been said that there is no
fundamental contradiction of values between them, so Confucianism
cannot be seen as an excuse to reject democracy in modern China
(Keqiang, 2006). It is recognized that the Confucian foundations of the
people will, the doctrine of mean (moral merit: personal tolerance towards
different ideas and opinions; in terms of a way of thinking, it means the
opposite of arbitrary and monomaniacal) and independent personality
with the characters of responsibility, obligation and commitment, could
allow a grassroot development of democracy in the Chinese popular
tradition.
Other authors such as Jiwei Ci have rejected that the cosmological
Kennedy (2017) foundation of Confucianism provides a theoretical or ideological
foundation for China's modern politics, considering that the collapse of the
last imperial dynasty (Qing Qing) meant the end of this cosmological or
theological part of Confucianism.
However, Chan (2022) considers that traditional Confucianism has a
political and ethnic thought that can give meaning to democracy and
legitimacy, because if the basis for denying this possibility is to say that
not much of the Chinese population preaches this cosmological part
anymore, would be equivalent to saying that since democracy is not
preached to the same extent, it could not have any place in the Asian giant.
Other grassroots electoral practices such as the election of leaders on a
small scale and the creation and maintenance of the VCE (village
committee elections) for more than 20 years, can shed light on the
establishment of new thoughts and practices similar to Western liberal
democracies. Lu (2012) considers that in China there is a grassroots
democracy which is particularly developed in those villages where there is
competition between the predominant social groups (clans).
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Conclusion
The literature agrees that the explanations given by modernization theory
were adequate even before achieving political modernization in China.
After this period of liberalization and growing demand for liberal values,
the authors agree that the intervention of the State, the reaction of the
middle class and some historical or cultural traits prevented the path
outlined by the theory from being completed.
Another important element is the conception that cultural and historical
differences such as the perception of authority and hierarchy, a particular
legal system based on the dynamics of intra and inter-family favors and
the resistance to the imposition of values and forms of to make politics
and society clearly Western, have also reinforced the mandate of the CCP
and of authoritarianism as opposed to democracy as a foreign conception.
References
Cao, Fangjun. (2009). "Modernization Theory and China's Road to
Modernization”, In Chinese Studies in History, 43:1, 7-16.
Liu, Yu; Su, Yu-Sung & Wu, Wenquan. (2022). "How modernization theory has
stumbled in China: A political interception perspective”. In Democratization.