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8.5 Jennifer Tofan258
8.5 Jennifer Tofan258
8.5 Jennifer Tofan258
For the experiment describedbelow, let x determine a randomvariable, and use your knowledge of probability to prepare a probability
distribution.
Three balls are drawn(without replacement) from a bag that contains 7 yellow balls and 8 red balls. The number of red balls is counted.
A probability distribution represents the probabilities of all possible values of a random variable. In thiscase, the random variable x is the
number of red balls obtained from drawing three balls from the bag without replacement. The steps below describe how to make a table of a
probability distribution.
From drawing three balls from thebag, there can be0,1,2 or 3 red balls among the three balls. This means there are 4 possible outcomes for
the random variable.
The next step is to find the probability of each possible outcome. To find the probability of an eventA, assuming equally likelyoutcomes, the
formula below can be applied.
number of ways event A can occur
P(A) =
total number of possible outcomes
First, find the total number of possible outcomes. Recall that C(n,r) is the number of combinations of n elements taken r at a time(where
r ≤ n), which can be calculated using the following formula.
n!
C(n,r) =
(n − r)!r!
Since there are 7 yellow balls and 8 red balls, the total number of balls in the bag is 15. Since three balls are drawn from thebag, the total
number of possible outcomes can be found using the combinationformula, which is
15!
C(15,3) = = 455 possible outcomes.
(15 − 3)!3!
Next, find the number of ways that a certain number of red balls can be drawn. Starting with the case there are no red balls among three balls
drawn from thebag, which implies that the three balls drawn are yellow. There are 7 yellow balls and 8 red balls, so the number of ways no
red balls are drawn is equal to
7! 8!
C(7,3) • C(8,0) = • = 35 • 1 = 35 ways.
(7 − 3)!3! (8 − 0)!0!
Thus, the probability that there are no red balls among three balls drawn from the bag can be found using the formula below.
C(7,3) • C(8,0) 35 1
P(0) = = =
C(15,3) 455 13
The next case is that there is one red ball among three balls drawn from thebag, implying the other two balls are yellow. Since there are 7
yellow balls and 8 red balls, the number of ways one red ball is among the three balls drawn is equal to
7! 8!
C(7,2) • C(8,1) = • = 21 • 8 = 168 ways.
(7 − 2)!2! (8 − 1)!1!
Therefore, the probability that there is one red ball among three balls drawn from the bag can be found using the formula below.
Fill in the probabilitiesP(0) andP(1) into thetable, which is shown below. Continue the same process to find the probabilitiesP(2) andP(3).
x 0 1 2 3
1 24
P(x)
13 65
28 8
Following the same process, P(2) = and P(3) = . As aresult, the probability distribution for the given experiment is given in the table
65 65
65
below. Notice that the probabilities add up to = 1.
65
x 0 1 2 3
1 24 28 8
P(x)
13 65 65 65